Last week I mentioned that we might witness the born of a super bull.A few of you pointed out some of the "red flags" I covered in the past few weeks that seem in a conflict of the super bull view.There are indeed a number of the red flags brewing and the most obvious is market breadth - the percentage of stocks above 200 MA is deteriorating, which is certainly a divergence with the index.Despite almost the 3 major indices hit historical high (Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ) this year, not all stocks are as strong as these indices because only a handful of the stocks, in particular the big & mega cap stocks led the market into historical high. Many stocks especially the small cap (Russell 2000) stocks are laggards.What's
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The two proxies to confirm the super bull run
The two proxies to confirm the super bull run
3 Signs That the Stock Market could be Topping Out
Last week, the 4 major US indices had a smooth rally with low volume suggested there is lacking of supply in the upswing.US indices: S&P 500, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, NASDAQThis is especially obvious in the $SP500指数主连 2112(ESmain)$ , as shown in the upper left pane above. However, one thing stands out on last Friday among the 4 US indices:1. S&P 500 futures (ES) tested the all time high at 4550 followed by a mild rejection.2. Dow Jones futures (YM), as shown in the lower left pane, also had a mild rejection despite closing at all time high.3. Russell 2000 futures (RTY) failed to commit above the swing high formed on 15 Oct with mild rejection, as shown in the upper right pane.4. Nasdaq futures (NQ) had slightly l
3 Signs That the Stock Market could be Topping Out
Will The Rising Interest Rate Crash the Stock Market?
Last Friday the US 10 year treasury yield (TNX) spiked to 1.60, the highest since July 2021.10 year treasury yield (TNX)Based the daily chart above, $微型10年美债收益率主连 2110(10Ymain)$ broke out from the accumulation structure 2 weeks ago and tested the axis line (where the support-turned-resistance) at 1.5 followed by a shallow reaction.Last week, TNX was on the move again and broke the swing high resistance at 1.5 and close at the recent high at 1.60.It is likely to test the previous swing high formed in March 2021 at 1.7 (as shown in the blue box).While the10 year yield is on the rise, how does it affect the stock market? Let’s look at the NASDAQ 100 futures (NQ).NASDAQ 100 Futures (NQ)Firstly, why look at NASDAQ? While th
Will The Rising Interest Rate Crash the Stock Market?
The Perfect Time to Invest in Gold based on 25 Years Data, Price Volume & Targets
Take a look at the annual seasonality chart of $黄金主连 2112(GCmain)$ for the past 25 years below.Gold Annual seasonality for the past 25 years from SeasonaxGenerally, Gold forms a bottom in November and starts to rally up in December all the way till February. Since this is an annual seasonality chart, it does not mean every year Gold will behave as per the chart above. Rather, it means that Gold tends to perform in this seasonal pattern based on averaging the data for the past 25 years.Next, let’s visualizethe current context of Gold together with the performance of the identified bullish season (from Nov-Feb) in the monthly chart below:Bullish season (Non-Feb) as highlighted in Gold Monthly Chart Since Gold hit the
The Perfect Time to Invest in Gold based on 25 Years Data, Price Volume & Targets
Super Bull is here...?
As mentioned in my post last week, S&P 500 hit all time high. Not only $SP500指数主连 2109(ESmain)$ , $NQ100指数主连 2109(NQmain)$ and the $道琼斯指数主连 2109(YMmain)$ are ready to start the mark up phase. On top of that, even the laggard, Russell 2000 just broke above the intermediate resistance at 2250 and on its way to challenge the top of the trading range.US 4 major indicesThe 4 major US indices are in sync and showing bullish tone. Based on a point & figure price target projection, S&P 500 could accelerate up to hit
Super Bull is here...?
The Most Important Trading and Investing Rule You Need to Know
Find out the most important trading and investing rule every one needs to know (yet might overlook) - how to calculate position sizing for your stock with proper risk management and understand how reward to risk ratio will affect that. This video is extracted from my Weekly Live session on 10 Oct 2021.Key Points The recommended risk per trade for swing trading The one thing you need to do to reduce your risk and save money. Ways to adjust your risk based on different situations. Watch the video belowSafe trading. If you are day trading the US futures or swing trading for Malaysia and US stocks, do check out my YouTube Channel: Ming Jong Tey for additional videos and resources. $阿里巴巴(BABA)$
Failed Breakout in AAPL — Change is coming for Apple Stock (What should Investor and Trader do?)
Change of character was observed in $苹果(AAPL)$ after the false breakout. Find out what’s next for AAPL and what investor and trader should do. This video is extracted from my Weekly Live session on 12 Sep 2021. Watch the video below:If you are day trading the US futures or swing trading for Malaysia and US stocks, do check out my YouTube Channel: Ming Jong Tey for additional videos and resources. $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $微软(MSFT)$ Further Reading
Wyckoff Price Volume Analysis on S&P 500 - The Bar That Pointed to More Weakness Ahead
The market has been very volatile in both direction after the down move since Black Friday. I have explained in detail in the Sunday’s webinar since 5 Dec because Wyckoff phase A is still unfolding.I have also mentioned deterioration in the market breadth, which is a red flag in the market several times. Just in case you are wondering why the stocks in your watchlist have a huge draw down yet the indices are still a few % away from all time high, you might want to check out the stocks that will make or break the indices where those 5 - $苹果(AAPL)$ $微软(MSFT)$
These 3 Stocks Flash Out Buy Signals During Market Correction
Check out the trade reviews on $梅西百货(M)$ , $Datadog(DDOG)$ , $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ . This video is extracted from my Weekly Live session on 26 Sep 2021. Watch the video below:Key Points Find out how to manage the trade to maximize profit by leaning on the huge accumulation structure. How to spot the outperforming stocks that will beat the market (especially during market correction) The sweet spot of Wyckoff accumulation for entry in OPEN. Two common types of sign of strength rally to watch out for when breaking out from accumulation. The sure fire way to identify the sign of strength rally to confirm
Trade The Pullback Without Catching a Falling Knife Even If You Are A Beginner— AMBA, BRKS
Find out the one simple technique you can use immediately to trade the pullback as a confirmation without catching a falling knife in $安霸(AMBA)$ and $布鲁克自动化(BRKS)$ , even if you are a complete beginner. Watch the video below:Safe trading. If you are day trading the US futures or swing trading for Malaysia and US stocks, do check out my YouTube Channel: Ming Jong Tey for additional videos and resources. $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ $PayPal(PYPL)$ Further
Trading Stocks Ahead of Earnings Reports with Wyckoff Phase Analysis — Case Study BAC
Find out how you can trade stocks ahead of earning reports with Wyckoff Phase Analysis, volume and comparing the relative strength of the stock with the market with a case study in $美国银行(BAC)$ . This video is extracted from my Weekly Live session on 17 Oct 2021. Watch the video belowSafe trading. If you are day trading the US futures or swing trading for Malaysia and US stocks, do check out my YouTube Channel: Ming Jong Tey for additional videos and resources. $苹果(AAPL)$ $PayPal(PYPL)$ $金融ETF(XLF)$
Here's what history says about Crude Oil performance during the last quarter (Q4)
I have mentioned on 5 Nov 2021 that a change of character bar showed up in $WTI原油主连 2201(CLmain)$ (as circled) on 4 Nov and the up move is stopped for now with the immediate support around 75, as shown in the screenshot of my Telegram Group below:Crude Oil Update in Telegram GroupSince then, crude oil had a test of the supply zone followed by a reversal and a reaction. Last Friday, it was testing the support zone (as boxed up in green) near 75, as shown below:Crude oil support areaNow, let’s take alook at charts of Oil Services ETF (OIH) and Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) as a representation of a basket of the crude oil related stocks below, where I have highlighted the bar on 4 Nov in ye
Here's what history says about Crude Oil performance during the last quarter (Q4)
Current Stock Market Update: What You Should Know About the Recent Market Correction
Find out the detailed analysis on S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones and Russell 2000 and what’s behind the market correction. This video is extracted from my Weekly Live session on 17 Oct 2021.Key Points How to use the analogue comparison to "predict" the recent market correction Using scenario analysis to judge the market How to seek for confirmation in Russell 2000 if The Next Biggest Index/ETF Winner manifests How to Interprete the supply and demand during the correction. How to spot for exhaustion of the market correction and get yourself ready for the next rally up. Watch the video below:If you are day trading the US futures or swing trading for Malaysia and US stocks, do check out my YouTube Channel: Ming Jong
Trading Earnings Announcements the Smart Way – Case Studies Plus Prediction of SNAP Direction
Many traders or investors find that earning announcements are nerve-racking because of the high volatility involved in the share price. Often the top question that pops up in their mind is “Should I hold or sell before the earnings announcements?”In this post, you will find out: How to use the Wyckoff’s Structure analysis to anticipate the direction of the share price. The most crucial element when trading the earnings announcements (majority of traders/investors overlook this) Case studies to illustrate the concept. Prediction of SNAP direction (Earning Announcement on 21 Oct 2021, Thurs, After Market Closed) Wyckoff’s Structure AnalysisIn order to determine if a stock is of accumulation or distribution bias, Wyckoff’s structure analysis is the first step one needs to proceed followed by
Trading Earnings Announcements the Smart Way – Case Studies Plus Prediction of SNAP Direction
These 10 Stocks will Make or Break S&P 500
Find out the top 10 stocks - $苹果(AAPL)$ , $微软(MSFT)$ , $亚马逊(AMZN)$ , $谷歌A(GOOGL)$ , $特斯拉(TSLA)$ that will make or break S&P 500 with price volume analysis and to anticipate if SP 500 will create new high. These 10 stocks account for 30% weightage in S&P 500 index. This video is extracted from my Weekly Live session on 26 Dec 2021. Watch the videoSafe trading. If you are day trading the US futures or swing trading for Malaysia and US stocks, do ch
Q&A US Stocks EP4: Price Action Analysis on PLTR,BIDU, XOM, PYPL
In this video, I go over and answer some questions & analyzed charts from myTelegram Group members including $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ , $富途控股(FUTU)$ , $老虎证券(TIGR)$ , BIDU, XOM, PYPL to spot the direction, target price, any potential unusual behaviors and potential entry. Watch the video below:Questions1) PLTR - checking on Palantir chart. The high volume but small doji-like candle in blue, was it indicative of hidden supply? Secondly, the yellow area, has demand returned and safe to enter around 23?PLTR2) FUTU - What's your opinion?3) TIGR - also similar pattern, another Chinese stock that was ba
Hunting The Breakout Trade Setups & What To Look For — BAC, SIG
Find out how to hunt for the breakout trade setups and what to look for to trade the breakout in $美国银行(BAC)$ and $西格内特珠宝(SIG)$ . This video is extracted from my Weekly Live session on 10 Oct 2021. Watch the video belowSafe trading. If you are day trading the US futures or swing trading for Malaysia and US stocks, do check out my YouTube Channel: Ming Jong Tey for additional videos and resources. $迪士尼(DIS)$ $Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ Further Reading
The Next Biggest Index/ETF Winner - Here's What You Need to Know
Last week, I mentioned the market is going down (Market is at a vulnerable point - what's next?) and 4350 is the support. Not only the support was hit in a day, the characteristics of the down move was sharp with spike of supply, which was totally off as my anticipation of a "grinding down" type movement.The sharp movement was accompanied by lots of fear and panic as seen on the price action, which created a selling climax followed by an automatic rally (e.g. technical rally after an oversold condition).Another key point from last week was a rotation from the big/mega cap to the small cap, especially the small-cap growth instead of a broad market selloff.Comparative strength of 4 major US indicesNow, let's analyze the compa
The Next Biggest Index/ETF Winner - Here's What You Need to Know
Wyckoff Price Volume Analysis for S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000
Watch the video below for a detailed price volume analysis (the Wyckoff analysis) in S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000 and to anticipate the next directional bias. This video is extracted from my Weekly Live session on 12 Dec 2021.Watch the video belowMarket BreadthStock market breadth vs SPXLast week S&P 500 index (SPX) closed at an all-time high despite the stock market breadth continued to deteriorate, only 42% of stocks are above 200-day average, as shown above.I've initiated some short positions in the weak stocks like $罗素2000指数ETF(IWM)$ , $Twilio Inc(TWLO)$ , $普拉格能源(PLUG)$ to test the water
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