KYHBKO
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avatarKYHBKO
2021-12-27

2021 Annual Review

2021 has been a good year for me. though my overall portfolio remains in the red, but I am thankful to have learnt much.  Personally, investing is not just for the sole reason of financial independence.  With more financial security, it is about gaining more time for the people and purposes I am passionate about.  Money can help us to do things simultaneously - sponsor a kid's education in Africa, supporting disaster recoveries for different countries, investing into sustainable solutions, getting help so that I have more with my family & interests.  I have been reminding myself that time is the most expensive commodity and health is a close second.  These help me to prioritise my time towards my family, passions and friends.Biggest (paper) lossesAs per today,
2021 Annual Review
avatarKYHBKO
2021-10-25

my Alibaba trade setup for days ahead

$Alibaba(BABA)$from the 1D chart, the stock looks to be topping and may begin a downward trend. it is possible for the price to hit another high before the price turn downwards. for me, I am anticipating the price to go downwards. it is critical that it does not break the previous low of around 140. once the price has bottomed up (MACD), I intend to buy another LONG position for the stock. the earnings at 4 Nov can see some buying in anticipation of the coming 11.11 shopping - expecting to hit another record sales. it is not surprising if there are external news or events that can affect the price for the short term. however, the stock is undervalued for me (less than $226). for those who are doing dollar cost
my Alibaba trade setup for days ahead
avatarKYHBKO
2021-11-21

how to trade Alibaba after the drop

$Alibaba(BABA)$ suffered after the earnings. with a drop of over 15% in the last 5 days, there would be concerns even for the strongest of Alibaba fans. Revenue Growth of 29% yoy is one of the few good news but the costs of revenue and equity loss are concerns. after going through the earnings, the fundamentals of Alibaba remain sound. As price is the function of demand & supply, I prefer to look at charts than try to guess the price of bottom. the difference could be catching a falling knife.My trade set up with be focused on reversal using 1 Day chart MACD indicator. this is a lagging indicator but can be a more prudent approach. the reversal may happen at end of November or early December pending any more bla
how to trade Alibaba after the drop
avatarKYHBKO
2022-01-16

Tesla milestones for 2022

Twitter user herbertong shared a very good overview of Tesla's key milestones for 2022. of course, these may change but this puts together a good overview the progress of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$.on top of the launch of Giga Texas & Berlin, Shanghai is also in the midst of expansion. we will see more states offering Tesla insurance. Tesla energy will see expansion and mega battery plant will be opened. new models will continued to be rolled out and both semi and cybertrucks will see more traction. Innovations for 4680 batteries, Tesla Bot, FSD will also bring forth more opportunities. 2022 will be an exciting year for Tesla shareholders.  while there are challenges in supply chain, weather & COVID, let us look forward to
Tesla milestones for 2022
avatarKYHBKO
2022-01-28

What could have caused the 11% drop of Tesla on 27Jan2022?

What caused ‌$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$‌stock to fall by over 11% after a record breaking quarterly earnings report?  Before we dive into details, let us not forget Elon the visionary.  From SpaceX, Starlink, the Boring Company and a future of autonomous, sustainable transport, he has seen the future that most of us cannot imagine.  With this backdrop, let us look into the various reasons for the fall of the stock price:1.  The delay of the $25,000 TeslaThis was deemed by the news to be the main reason for the fall.  As per CNBC, Elon later explained that Tesla’s driverless tech should eventually be so advanced that it will drive sales of the company’s electric cars to the anticipated high volume of sales with or without
What could have caused the 11% drop of Tesla on 27Jan2022?
avatarKYHBKO
2021-12-09

bullish case for BYD

$BYD(01211)$$BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDY)$ offers great potential and opportunity going forward.latest sales updatethe company has been increasing their production and still they are unable to meet the demand for their vehicles. for Nov, BYD is again the top EV sales with 91,219 new energy vehicle (including plug in) units  it was estimated that they have 200,000 pre orders that they have yet to fulfill. this has led to BYD management apologising for the delays in deliveries. to meet the increasing demand, the company has been investing into land to build new factories. ground breakingBYD has officially started construction on an RMB 15 billion ($2.4 billion) new energy auto parts industria
bullish case for BYD
avatarKYHBKO
2022-02-09

Meta - should we still invest?

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$‌has suffered much losses recently after a weaker than expected guidance.  Though the quarter's revenue fell short (estimated $29.57B versus actual of $29.01B), the EPS was better than expected (estimated $3.19 vs actual $3.22).Some notable concerns have been raised:Quarter's daily user is lesser than estimated, arriving at 1.929B versus estimate of 1.93BReality Lab (which is researching and creating the various A/R, V/R hardware) conctinued to suffer losses since 2019.  This is an important pivot for Meta and currently, there are no signs that Meta is in the lead in any metaverse domain as yet.Europe's privacy issues (extract from their SEC submission):The tech giant took issue with European privacy
Meta - should we still invest?
avatarKYHBKO
2022-01-23

What does the Fear Index $VIX says about the coming market

The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) is a real-time index that represents the market’s expectations for the relative strength of near-term price changes of the S&P 500 index (SPX).  This is also known as the "Fear Index" in relationship to S&P 500.  Thus, ‌$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$‌usually move in opposite direction against theS&P500 index ‌$S&P 500(.SPX)$‌.When there is more fear (VIX) ie up trend, the S&P500 would usually move down trend and vice versa.There are typically 2 price actions involving VIX:1.  VIX Spike - this is characterised by a suddent move up and pull back quickly. This usually imply short term panic.  For some traders, this can be interpreted as a bu
What does the Fear Index $VIX says about the coming market
avatarKYHBKO
2021-11-28

What to trade in the coming weeks

Black Friday did not end well with the global market.  Omicron (a Covid19 variant) has crashed the markets, leaving Dow Jones down by 900 points.  This has created few considerations - will the market continue to fall because of the omicron.  Personally, once the vaccine makers bring assurance about the effectiveness of their "current" vaccines, the market concerns should be brushed away.  However, let us remain cautious as we approach the week.Despite this, I have done my research for few companies and these are my technical setup to take (LONG) positions.  Note that I have done my checks on these companies and thus, do not forget your due diligence as we have different investment strategies, risk-reward tolerance and investment timeline.Some of my favourites incl
What to trade in the coming weeks
avatarKYHBKO
2021-11-18

The World's 100 most valuable brands 2021

a good article was posted by www.visualcapitalist.com listing the top 100 most valuable brands in 2021.this is derived using brand's total financial value multiplied by its proportional value on its parent company's sales.  this is meant to give a overview of company's brand, reputation and ability to generate value.personally, I am glad to see $Tencent(00700)$ coming in at #5 above Facebook and $Alibaba(BABA)$ that is #7 - 2 Chinese companies listed in the top 10. while not everyone may agree with the calculation of value, this helps me to identify the top companies and with this, a filtered list of companies that we can consider for investing. these are sorted by the various actors a
The World's 100 most valuable brands 2021
avatarKYHBKO
2021-10-24

Earnings Report highlights for TESLA Q3/2021

These are some highlights from $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Q3 2021 earnings report:<PLUS> are positive developments<WATCH> are potential areas of concernsNotable highlights: Operating margin 14.6% despite the Average Selling Price (ASP) of vehicles drop by 6% YoY in Q3 on top of record vehicle production and deliveries. This is due to vehicle volume increase and costs reduction. Challenges that affected the margin: semi conductor shortages, congestion at ports and rolling blackouts - thus, the factories could not operate at “full capacity” <PLUS> FSD City Streets rolled out in Q3 - this is based on the safety score of the drivers (good). Tesla’s Autopilot is 8x better than the US average for millions of miles between collis
Earnings Report highlights for TESLA Q3/2021
avatarKYHBKO
2021-12-04

Delisting of DIDI, the impact, OTC & ADS

$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$ made the following announcement to delist their stock from US stock exchange on 2nd Dec 2021.DIDI announcement 02 Dec 21BEIJING--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- DiDi Global Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders. The Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vot
Delisting of DIDI, the impact, OTC & ADS
avatarKYHBKO
2021-12-04

Week in review (29Nov21-03Dec21)

This has been a week of much losses with most of my holdings in red.What could have accounted for such a red week for most stocks? Omicron started the decline that led to travel restrictions & banning of flights for selected African countries Federal Reserves (potentially accelerating) tapering Federal Reserves to raise the interest rates faster to address the “non-so transitory” Inflation Investors turning to value stock instead of growth Profit taking after a good run $DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$ De-listing > with concerns spreading to other China stocks Latest non-farm payroll 210K was a far cry from the expected 550K (as per investing.com) though the unemployment rate dropped to 4.2% instead of the 4.5% expected We need to diff
Week in review (29Nov21-03Dec21)
avatarKYHBKO
2021-10-31

2021Q3 Earnings Report highlights for BYD 1211.HK

Here is my highlight of Q3/2021 earnings report for BYD $BYD COMPANY(01211)$ , $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDF)$ , $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDY)$ <++> are positive developments<??> are potential areas of concernsCurrency is RMB$Notable highlights: <++> operating income +21.98% QoQ and +38.25% (9 months from beginning of year compared to same period last year) <??> net profit -27.5% QoQ and -28.43% (9 months from beginning of year compared to same period last year) <??> Basic EPS is 0.44 for last quarter and 0.85 (9 months from beginning of year compared to same period last year). This is down ~ 28%++ from previ
2021Q3 Earnings Report highlights for BYD 1211.HK
avatarKYHBKO
2021-11-27
World Health Organisation WHO has named the new African variant omicron and expressed concerns for this. USA has joined several European countries to limit/ban travels from African nations. this was the black swan that caused Dow Jones to tumble 900 points in a single day, its worse since October 2020. together with the lockdowns in Europe and other countries, the coming days can get rocky. there is coordinated strikes expected across few countries for $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and this can cause some disruptions to their busiest black Friday, cyber Monday weekend. from my investments, the only stock that turned green is $Baidu(BIDU)$as they rolled out robotaxi in Beijing. while it i
avatarKYHBKO
2021-11-30

What websites I use for my trade setup - Part 2

Here is another websites that I use:2. Investing.comI have set up a (free) account with investing.com. There are some similarities with Yahoo Finance but I love the following features:Economic Calendar - that I can customized by countries and also importance (1 to 3 stars).On top of economic calendars, they offer pleasant layout of holiday calendar, earnings calendar, dividend calendar and more.Favourite feature - Technical analysisThe technical analysis provided by investing.com is one of my favourites.Using $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$(1 Day period) as example, this techical analysis is a good and easy way cause they have included the common indicators used by most. Thank to the colour coding of green for buy and red for sell, it is easy to
What websites I use for my trade setup - Part 2
avatarKYHBKO
2021-11-13

[Earnings Season] Q3 2021 Earnings highlights for PayPal

PayPal $PayPal(PYPL)$ released their Q3/2021 results on 8th Nov 2021 and here are some of the highlights:<++> these are positive developments<??> these are areas of concernsCurrency: USD$Notable highlights:<++> Total Payment Volume (TPV) hit $310 billion. This is a growth of 26% and 24% on FX-neutral (FXN) basis. This led to growth of net revenue at 13% amounting to $6.18 billion. TPV came from 3 sources of Merchant services (grew 31% on a spot basis), Venmo grew 10% and lastly from eBay Marketplace.<??> eBay Marketplace saw a volume decline of 45% on a spot basis, ie 3% of TPV (compared to 7% to same period in 2020).<++> Revenues from value added services have been growing since Q3/2020 from $383 million
[Earnings Season] Q3 2021 Earnings highlights for PayPal
avatarKYHBKO
2021-10-01
How to find entry for Alibaba$Alibaba(BABA)$Approaching this using technical analysis using the 1D chart, it seems that there is a forming of a double bottom.  Usually, a potential reversal may follow. thus, I propose to watch the coming few days to see if it breaks the previous low. if it does not break the recent low, we may see a reversal. this would be the point that I may place another position as I dollar cost average (DCA) this stock.note that I am intending to hold this for a long time frame for years. I will look into such technical approach only after I have qualified that the company has good fundamentals and reach a fair value. please do your own due diligence as we may have different strategy coming to trading an
avatarKYHBKO
2021-11-28

SRG in review - how I research on companies

Seritage Growth Properties (SRG) $Seritage Growth Properties(SRG)$ This stock got my interest as Guy Spier and Mohnish Pabrai own them as per their recent 13F filing. I have been following both investors and appreciate the sharing of their investment insights. Thus, this stock has caught my attention. With this company, I will share my research into companies. This part only look at their annual performance from recent years (starting 2017 to TTM) with a macro view of their income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement. To be more comprehensive, we will need to check on the sector (to ascertain the average industry performance, average metrics like P/E, P/S, P/B, P/FCF and any sector concerns). We would need to look into thei
SRG in review - how I research on companies

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