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溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-09-06
$拼多多(PDD)$
啥时候掉头呀……太难了了!快承受不住了!
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-09-20
$拼多多(PDD)$
多多你倒是继续下降回调啊。。拜托了
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-08-23
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
其实慢牛或许才是更健康的,最老虎对股民都是好事,大家都坚定持有,再一个未来开放金融了,加入美股的百姓会更多,老虎的市值会是现在的十倍!总之一切都不要着急。。
@啊呜喵喵喵
@特郎普
@lsq艾薇儿
@小虎AV
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-09-11
$三倍做空原油ETN(DWT)$
全部是亏的……
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-09-07
$黄金主连(GCmain)$
降息会利好股市,弱美元黄金是利好还是利空??求大神指点迷津
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-08-20
$微博(WB)$
这破财报居然能涨这么多??
溜达溜达出来转一转
10-29
$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$
为啥突然跳开200多点?直接比上证指数?3340点时候还高,完全看不懂,谁来解释一下
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-09-18
$三倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion(NUGT)$
速度长起来
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-09-12
$三倍做空原油ETN(DWT)$
可算回头了!
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-06-07
$跟谁学(GSX)$这玩意还有救吗??中概股是不是都要死翘翘??
溜达溜达出来转一转
12-19
$Nukkleus(NUKK)$
我见过的最疯狂的股票,没有之一
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-08-26
$富途控股(FHL)$
这么好的业绩涨不了一块钱??我不信
溜达溜达出来转一转
11-18
尽是忽悠,骗一个算一个。
重大转变!外资巨头:买入中国股票!
溜达溜达出来转一转
11-11
$iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$
以太坊作为绝代双骄,也该起飞了
溜达溜达出来转一转
11-06
$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$
什么情况,上证及关联指数都涨,这货居然背道而跌????
溜达溜达出来转一转
10-08
$A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$
这是发生了啥?收盘好好的,外盘就崩了?
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-09-12
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
刚才发生了什么,剧烈的拉升!??
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-08-27
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
财报死了吗
溜达溜达出来转一转
2019-08-23
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
开始吧。。。
溜达溜达出来转一转
11-12
但是资金体量太少了,一共就一亿美元的本金,回报5倍也支撑不起这个股价
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日(2025年1月20日)前调整投资组合,重点关注美国国债、中国和欧洲股市以及黄金。</p><p>当前,市场正在为特朗普的“激进政策”做准备,展现出“激进的资产走势”。Hartnett表示,投资者已为就职日的“美国风险”做好准备,随着美联储降息被定价,杠杆的裂缝(黄金、小盘股、风险平价、新兴市场)已经开始显现,美国长期利率的任何上升都意味着风险逆转,市场投资风向也会随之发生转变。</p><p>根据美银11月全球基金经理调查,投资者对美国增长、通胀的预期提高,对美国股票的大量增持的信念发生转变。</p><p>Hartnett表示,当特朗普2.0交易出现裂缝时,将迎来“TINA Turner”时刻——“大选后没有其他交易选择,只能做多美元、做多美国股票、做空美国国债;但在就职日之前,美国金融条件的进一步收紧(将转变交易策略)。”</p><p>Hartnett表示,“强劲”的全球宏观数据可能是美国金融条件收紧的驱动因素之一。</p><p>Hartnett建议投资者在进入2025年第一季度考虑以下三个投资策略:</p><p>如果收益率上升至5%,购买美国国债。Hartnett认为,美联储将通过在2025年不降息来表明第一季度抑制通胀预期的决心,而美国国债将迫使特朗普政府缓和关税。</p><p>在特朗普就职日之前买入中国、欧洲股票。Hartnet表示,他相信中国、欧洲会积极应对“美国优先”的关税政策,即相对于美国,中国和欧洲拥有较低的利率、较便宜的货币、较低的油价,金融条件将大幅放松。</p><p>购买黄金。Hartnet表示,人口结构拐点即将到来,世界依赖比率将在2028年达到53%的低点,即“去通胀化”人口结构的顶峰;叠加人工智能的巨大需求,意味着黄金仍然是最好的长期通胀对冲工具。</p><p><strong>猛烈抛售美股</strong></p><p>回到市场层面,随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股持续下挫。</p><p>上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅达1.24%,科技股居多的纳指周跌幅达3.15%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX在上个交易日大涨12.86%,盘中一度涨超20%。</p><p>华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。</p><p>分析指出,“在特朗普2.0时代,不断涌现的政治新闻导致美股市场更加脆弱,比如,在特朗普提名疫苗怀疑论者小罗伯特·肯尼迪担任卫生部长后,大型制药商股价应声下跌。且鉴于美股仍处于历史性高位,不能太急于逢低买进。”</p><p>展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场,投资者将继续关注特朗普的过渡计划,包括他对关键内阁职位的选择。</p><p>另外,美联储的变数也是市场担忧的风险点之一。美联储主席鲍威尔在上周四表示,经济稳健将使美联储能够从容决定进一步放松政策的速度。与此同时,新数据显示,零售额连续两个月实现意外强劲增长,进一步证明美国经济强劲。</p><p>本周美联储官员们可能继续给市场“泼冷水”,如果更多美联储政策制定者强调需要放慢降息步伐,美元可能继续受到支撑。</p><p>目前来看,美元依然是特朗普赢得总统大选的明显受益资产,美元汇率的持续走高正给一些新兴市场资产和大宗商品造成巨大痛苦。</p><p>但也有交易人士警告称,美元涨势过快、过猛的话,还可能出现进一步的波动。</p><p>Renaissance Macro Research分析师Kevin Dempter在一份报告中表示:“美元处于超买状态,正在挑战阻力位,而一些金属和新兴市场则处于超卖状态,正试图守住关键支撑位。”</p><p>他表示:“我们将密切关注它们对超买和超卖状况的反应。如果美元对超买状况的反应强烈,可能会导致趋势逆转,金属和新兴市场则可能出现相反的趋势。”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>重大转变!外资巨头:买入中国股票!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n重大转变!外资巨头:买入中国股票!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-18 07:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>“特朗普交易”即将出现重大转变?</p><p>美银策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日前调整投资组合,买入中国和欧洲股票以及美债、黄金。</p><p>随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股市场遭遇猛烈抛售。上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅超1%,纳指周跌幅超3%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX飙升。</p><p>华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场。</p><p><strong>重大转变</strong></p><p>美银策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日(2025年1月20日)前调整投资组合,重点关注美国国债、中国和欧洲股市以及黄金。</p><p>当前,市场正在为特朗普的“激进政策”做准备,展现出“激进的资产走势”。Hartnett表示,投资者已为就职日的“美国风险”做好准备,随着美联储降息被定价,杠杆的裂缝(黄金、小盘股、风险平价、新兴市场)已经开始显现,美国长期利率的任何上升都意味着风险逆转,市场投资风向也会随之发生转变。</p><p>根据美银11月全球基金经理调查,投资者对美国增长、通胀的预期提高,对美国股票的大量增持的信念发生转变。</p><p>Hartnett表示,当特朗普2.0交易出现裂缝时,将迎来“TINA Turner”时刻——“大选后没有其他交易选择,只能做多美元、做多美国股票、做空美国国债;但在就职日之前,美国金融条件的进一步收紧(将转变交易策略)。”</p><p>Hartnett表示,“强劲”的全球宏观数据可能是美国金融条件收紧的驱动因素之一。</p><p>Hartnett建议投资者在进入2025年第一季度考虑以下三个投资策略:</p><p>如果收益率上升至5%,购买美国国债。Hartnett认为,美联储将通过在2025年不降息来表明第一季度抑制通胀预期的决心,而美国国债将迫使特朗普政府缓和关税。</p><p>在特朗普就职日之前买入中国、欧洲股票。Hartnet表示,他相信中国、欧洲会积极应对“美国优先”的关税政策,即相对于美国,中国和欧洲拥有较低的利率、较便宜的货币、较低的油价,金融条件将大幅放松。</p><p>购买黄金。Hartnet表示,人口结构拐点即将到来,世界依赖比率将在2028年达到53%的低点,即“去通胀化”人口结构的顶峰;叠加人工智能的巨大需求,意味着黄金仍然是最好的长期通胀对冲工具。</p><p><strong>猛烈抛售美股</strong></p><p>回到市场层面,随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股持续下挫。</p><p>上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅达1.24%,科技股居多的纳指周跌幅达3.15%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX在上个交易日大涨12.86%,盘中一度涨超20%。</p><p>华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。</p><p>分析指出,“在特朗普2.0时代,不断涌现的政治新闻导致美股市场更加脆弱,比如,在特朗普提名疫苗怀疑论者小罗伯特·肯尼迪担任卫生部长后,大型制药商股价应声下跌。且鉴于美股仍处于历史性高位,不能太急于逢低买进。”</p><p>展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场,投资者将继续关注特朗普的过渡计划,包括他对关键内阁职位的选择。</p><p>另外,美联储的变数也是市场担忧的风险点之一。美联储主席鲍威尔在上周四表示,经济稳健将使美联储能够从容决定进一步放松政策的速度。与此同时,新数据显示,零售额连续两个月实现意外强劲增长,进一步证明美国经济强劲。</p><p>本周美联储官员们可能继续给市场“泼冷水”,如果更多美联储政策制定者强调需要放慢降息步伐,美元可能继续受到支撑。</p><p>目前来看,美元依然是特朗普赢得总统大选的明显受益资产,美元汇率的持续走高正给一些新兴市场资产和大宗商品造成巨大痛苦。</p><p>但也有交易人士警告称,美元涨势过快、过猛的话,还可能出现进一步的波动。</p><p>Renaissance Macro Research分析师Kevin Dempter在一份报告中表示:“美元处于超买状态,正在挑战阻力位,而一些金属和新兴市场则处于超卖状态,正试图守住关键支撑位。”</p><p>他表示:“我们将密切关注它们对超买和超卖状况的反应。如果美元对超买状况的反应强烈,可能会导致趋势逆转,金属和新兴市场则可能出现相反的趋势。”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151595197","content_text":"“特朗普交易”即将出现重大转变?美银策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日前调整投资组合,买入中国和欧洲股票以及美债、黄金。随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股市场遭遇猛烈抛售。上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅超1%,纳指周跌幅超3%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX飙升。华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场。重大转变美银策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日(2025年1月20日)前调整投资组合,重点关注美国国债、中国和欧洲股市以及黄金。当前,市场正在为特朗普的“激进政策”做准备,展现出“激进的资产走势”。Hartnett表示,投资者已为就职日的“美国风险”做好准备,随着美联储降息被定价,杠杆的裂缝(黄金、小盘股、风险平价、新兴市场)已经开始显现,美国长期利率的任何上升都意味着风险逆转,市场投资风向也会随之发生转变。根据美银11月全球基金经理调查,投资者对美国增长、通胀的预期提高,对美国股票的大量增持的信念发生转变。Hartnett表示,当特朗普2.0交易出现裂缝时,将迎来“TINA Turner”时刻——“大选后没有其他交易选择,只能做多美元、做多美国股票、做空美国国债;但在就职日之前,美国金融条件的进一步收紧(将转变交易策略)。”Hartnett表示,“强劲”的全球宏观数据可能是美国金融条件收紧的驱动因素之一。Hartnett建议投资者在进入2025年第一季度考虑以下三个投资策略:如果收益率上升至5%,购买美国国债。Hartnett认为,美联储将通过在2025年不降息来表明第一季度抑制通胀预期的决心,而美国国债将迫使特朗普政府缓和关税。在特朗普就职日之前买入中国、欧洲股票。Hartnet表示,他相信中国、欧洲会积极应对“美国优先”的关税政策,即相对于美国,中国和欧洲拥有较低的利率、较便宜的货币、较低的油价,金融条件将大幅放松。购买黄金。Hartnet表示,人口结构拐点即将到来,世界依赖比率将在2028年达到53%的低点,即“去通胀化”人口结构的顶峰;叠加人工智能的巨大需求,意味着黄金仍然是最好的长期通胀对冲工具。猛烈抛售美股回到市场层面,随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股持续下挫。上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅达1.24%,科技股居多的纳指周跌幅达3.15%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX在上个交易日大涨12.86%,盘中一度涨超20%。华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。分析指出,“在特朗普2.0时代,不断涌现的政治新闻导致美股市场更加脆弱,比如,在特朗普提名疫苗怀疑论者小罗伯特·肯尼迪担任卫生部长后,大型制药商股价应声下跌。且鉴于美股仍处于历史性高位,不能太急于逢低买进。”展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场,投资者将继续关注特朗普的过渡计划,包括他对关键内阁职位的选择。另外,美联储的变数也是市场担忧的风险点之一。美联储主席鲍威尔在上周四表示,经济稳健将使美联储能够从容决定进一步放松政策的速度。与此同时,新数据显示,零售额连续两个月实现意外强劲增长,进一步证明美国经济强劲。本周美联储官员们可能继续给市场“泼冷水”,如果更多美联储政策制定者强调需要放慢降息步伐,美元可能继续受到支撑。目前来看,美元依然是特朗普赢得总统大选的明显受益资产,美元汇率的持续走高正给一些新兴市场资产和大宗商品造成巨大痛苦。但也有交易人士警告称,美元涨势过快、过猛的话,还可能出现进一步的波动。Renaissance Macro Research分析师Kevin Dempter在一份报告中表示:“美元处于超买状态,正在挑战阻力位,而一些金属和新兴市场则处于超卖状态,正试图守住关键支撑位。”他表示:“我们将密切关注它们对超买和超卖状况的反应。如果美元对超买状况的反应强烈,可能会导致趋势逆转,金属和新兴市场则可能出现相反的趋势。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":370184519098624,"gmtCreate":1731404201837,"gmtModify":1731404203951,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"但是资金体量太少了,一共就一亿美元的本金,回报5倍也支撑不起这个股价","listText":"但是资金体量太少了,一共就一亿美元的本金,回报5倍也支撑不起这个股价","text":"但是资金体量太少了,一共就一亿美元的本金,回报5倍也支撑不起这个股价","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370184519098624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369960241885584,"gmtCreate":1731340026699,"gmtModify":1731340380361,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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以太坊作为绝代双骄,也该起飞了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4fd12ef2dfe750ca16f78bcde556cc8","width":"696","height":"1122"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369960241885584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369957932539904,"gmtCreate":1731339349918,"gmtModify":1731340380047,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETHA\">$iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$ </a> 该轮到以太坊起飞了🛫️","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETHA\">$iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$ </a> 该轮到以太坊起飞了🛫️","text":"$iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$ 该轮到以太坊起飞了🛫️","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/397cd2076a615a7cc6df63239eb6eeff","width":"696","height":"1122"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369957932539904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":367987414388912,"gmtCreate":1730858425308,"gmtModify":1730858426670,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$ </a> 什么情况,上证及关联指数都涨,这货居然背道而跌????","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$ </a> 什么情况,上证及关联指数都涨,这货居然背道而跌????","text":"$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$ 什么情况,上证及关联指数都涨,这货居然背道而跌????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367987414388912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":365177263448136,"gmtCreate":1730198146723,"gmtModify":1730198148019,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$ </a> 为啥突然跳开200多点?直接比上证指数?3340点时候还高,完全看不懂,谁来解释一下","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$ </a> 为啥突然跳开200多点?直接比上证指数?3340点时候还高,完全看不懂,谁来解释一下","text":"$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$ 为啥突然跳开200多点?直接比上证指数?3340点时候还高,完全看不懂,谁来解释一下","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365177263448136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3494547934967289","authorId":"3494547934967289","name":"东方未名","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d28dae709e06da989619577f178500a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3494547934967289","authorIdStr":"3494547934967289"},"content":"路透援 引知情人士称, 中国考虑在下个月批准未来 几年内发行超过10万亿人民币债券, 以提振 经济。如果特朗普在选战胜出, 中国可能考 虑宣布更强有力的财政刺激方案。","text":"路透援 引知情人士称, 中国考虑在下个月批准未来 几年内发行超过10万亿人民币债券, 以提振 经济。如果特朗普在选战胜出, 中国可能考 虑宣布更强有力的财政刺激方案。","html":"路透援 引知情人士称, 中国考虑在下个月批准未来 几年内发行超过10万亿人民币债券, 以提振 经济。如果特朗普在选战胜出, 中国可能考 虑宣布更强有力的财政刺激方案。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":357815118569752,"gmtCreate":1728376051872,"gmtModify":1728376053057,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$ </a> 这是发生了啥?收盘好好的,外盘就崩了?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$ </a> 这是发生了啥?收盘好好的,外盘就崩了?","text":"$A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$ 这是发生了啥?收盘好好的,外盘就崩了?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357815118569752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":276412393468008,"gmtCreate":1708511878427,"gmtModify":1708511880039,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哈哈哈😆","listText":"哈哈哈😆","text":"哈哈哈😆","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/276412393468008","repostId":"1163366179","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1163366179","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1708494678,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163366179?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-02-21 13:51","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美国基金公司看好中国股市:千载难逢的买入机会","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163366179","media":"观察者网","summary":"而同时在美国,也出现了一些针对中国的负面言论,但这些并未阻止美国基金公司推出产品,看好中国股市的反弹。美国基金公司持续推出以中国为重点的美国ETF据路透社当地时间2月20日报道,一些手中握有中国产品的美国基金经理,长期看好投资者将会重返市场,他们认为中国这片巨大市场的估值让人难以忽视。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>此前一段时间,中国的资本市场震荡走弱、波动加大,一度令不少投资者深感忧虑。而同时在美国,也出现了一些针对中国的负面言论,但这些并未阻止美国基金公司推出产品,看好中国股市的反弹。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国基金公司持续推出以中国为重点的美国ETF</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据路透社当地时间2月20日报道,一些手中握有中国产品的美国基金经理,长期看好投资者将会重返市场,他们认为中国这片巨大市场的估值让人难以忽视。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“这可能是一个千载难逢的机会,可以用很长时间未见的估值水平买入中国股票。”美国金瑞基金是一家专注于中国投资机会和交易所交易基金(ETF)的公司,其首席执行官乔纳森·克莱恩(Jonathan Krane)在一封电子邮件中就这样认为。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e9d85944b9b216155b0a005dc8ad319\" alt=\"A股龙年第一个交易日实现开门红,沪指收复2900点整数关口。图自澎湃影像\" title=\"A股龙年第一个交易日实现开门红,沪指收复2900点整数关口。图自澎湃影像\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"441\"/><span>A股龙年第一个交易日实现开门红,沪指收复2900点整数关口。图自澎湃影像</span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据报道,自2021年年初以来,成立于2013年、拥有约50亿美元资产的金瑞基金已经推出了4只以中国为重点的ETF,其中,KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWBE)是中国最大的ETF之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">许多基金经理认为,鉴于中国庞大的经济规模和经济增长率,这意味着投资者无法不在配置中考虑中国。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“我们从根本上认为世界第二大经济体(中国)能在投资者的投资组合中发挥作用吗?是的,这点毫无疑问。”摩根大通资产管理公司的ETF解决方案全球主管布莱恩·雷克(Bryon Lake)这样表示。他所在的公司,于去年3月推出了JPMorgan Active China ETF(JCHI),目前拥有约920万美元的资产。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">路透社援引晨星公司(Morningstar)的数据指出,2023年总共推出了4只以中国为重点的美国ETF,而2022年为2只,2021年为8只,截至2023年底,共有48只以中国为重点的美国ETF。这些数字虽然在过去几年内看上去变化不大,但在过去十年中增长了46%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">专注于中国的资产管理公司希望,准备好一只既定的基金——并拥有良好的业绩记录——将使他们能够在反弹时获得最大利润。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">推出新的ETF通常需要至少六个月的时间,而且对于涉足新领域的资产管理公司来说,这个过程可能会更长。因此提前拥有一款具有良好记录的产品,届时可以吸收资金快速流入,将一个相对较小的基金一夜之间变为“大玩家”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>促进市场平稳健康发展,中国证监会为股市练好内功</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">报道中,路透社也提到了中国此前一段时间股市出现的波动。对相关问题,证监会1月24日曾表态称,这段时间以来,资本市场震荡走弱、波动加大,不少投资者深感忧虑,提出意见建议,我们认真倾听,感同身受。我们深知,只有广大投资者有实实在在的获得感,资本市场平稳健康发展才能有牢固的根基,从而真正实现稳市场、稳信心。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此后近一个月来,证监会连连发声、出手。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2月4日,为进一步贯彻落实国务院副总理何立峰在部署走访上市公司工作、推动上市公司高质量发展全国视频会议上的讲话要求,证监会召开走访工作推进会,会议通报了走访工作进展,交流了走访工作经验,研究了走访过程中企业反映的共性问题,并就证监局和沪深证券交易所更好配合地方政府做好下一步工作提出要求。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2月5日,证监会一天四次重磅发声,涉及维护市场稳定运行、“两融”融资业务、股票质押以及走访上市公司工作。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2月6日,证监会再度表态称,当前,A股市场估值水平处于历史低位,中长期投资价值凸现,得到了包括中央汇金公司在内的投资机构的充分认可。我们坚定支持中央汇金公司持续加大增持规模和力度,将为其入市操作创造更加便利的条件和更加畅通的渠道。同时,我们将继续协调引导公募基金、私募基金、证券公司、社保基金、保险机构、年金基金等各类机构投资者更大力度入市,鼓励和支持上市公司加大回购增持力度,为A股市场引入更多增量资金,全力维护市场稳定运行。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dadb5bbbcdb9323464ba8fba6cc58979\" alt=\"2月19日,上海,当天下午收盘后,陆家嘴人行天桥大屏幕上展示的A股龙年首个交易日收盘股指。图自澎湃影像\" title=\"2月19日,上海,当天下午收盘后,陆家嘴人行天桥大屏幕上展示的A股龙年首个交易日收盘股指。图自澎湃影像\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\"/><span>2月19日,上海,当天下午收盘后,陆家嘴人行天桥大屏幕上展示的A股龙年首个交易日收盘股指。图自澎湃影像</span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2月8日,农历新年前最后一个交易日,三大股指高开高走全线飘红,上证指数报2865.9点,涨1.28%,深成指报收8820.6点,涨1.29%,创业板指报收1726.86点,涨1.16%。两市近4800只个股上涨,逾500股涨停。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2月9日,证监会发布消息称,近日组织稽查执法、日常监管力量集中查办了招商证券多名从业人员买卖股票等违法违规行为。依托刑事追责、行政处罚、行政监管措施、内部问责进行立体化惩戒。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在休市10天后,2月19日,龙年迎来首个交易日,沪深三大股指延续反弹,沪指高开高走,收复2900点整数关口,创业板指涨超1.1%,三大股指均大幅收涨。另外,北证50指数高位整理,最终大涨3.22%。路透社称,受北京方面所出台的支撑措施等影响,中国股市今年迄今为止已从低点反弹近2%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据证监会网站消息,2月18日至19日,新春上班伊始,证监会召开系列座谈会,就加强资本市场监管、防范化解风险、推动资本市场高质量发展广泛听取各方面意见建议。座谈会由证监会党委书记、主席吴清和领导班子成员分别主持。专家学者、中小投资者、上市公司、拟上市企业、证券基金经营机构、会计师律师事务所、私募机构、外资机构等方面代表参与座谈。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与会代表表示,近期证监会严肃查处了一批财务造假、内幕交易案件,起到了很好的警示震慑效果,建议进一步加大对各类证券违法犯罪行为的惩治力度,形成更多有宣示效应的案例,切实保护投资者特别是中小投资者合法权益,维护公开公平公正的市场秩序。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">证监会负责同志认真听取与会代表发言,对大家长期以来给予证监会工作的大力支持表示衷心感谢。证监会负责同志表示,资本市场涉及方方面面,越是在形势复杂严峻的时候,越要广开言路,集思广益,凝聚共识。证监会将认真对待来自各个方面的意见建议包括批评意见,经过论证切实可行的马上就办,一时不具备条件的做好沟通解释,及时回应市场关切,依靠各个方面的共同努力把资本市场建设好、发展好。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">另据21世纪经济报道,IPO严监管之态日渐明晰。不仅倒查IPO企业十年财务数据,企业IPO撤回材料照查不误,上市失败仍然可以判为欺诈发行并给予大额罚款。某头部券商投行人士表示:“倒查之下,预计一些‘注水’成分大、长期虚增营业收入和净利润的企业将会被揪出重罚,相应中介机构估计也难逃处罚。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">而国内企业也对市场展现了信心。今年以来,截至2月19日,共有638家A股公司发布643单回购计划,回购金额上限合计739.7亿元。仅龙年头两个工作日里,就有196家A股上市公司发布回购相关公告,通过回购股票实现实施股权激励或员工持股计划,或是市值管理。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">除股票回购以外,近期基于对公司未来发展前景的信心及对公司长期投资价值的认可,不少公司重要股东也频频发出股票增持信号,向股市释放对企业长期向好发展的坚定信心。据不完全统计,截至2月19日,2024年以来已有444家上市公司获重要股东增持。</p></body></html>","source":"gczw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国基金公司看好中国股市:千载难逢的买入机会\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-02-21 13:51 北京时间 <a href=https://www.guancha.cn/economy/2024_02_21_725800.shtml><strong>观察者网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>此前一段时间,中国的资本市场震荡走弱、波动加大,一度令不少投资者深感忧虑。而同时在美国,也出现了一些针对中国的负面言论,但这些并未阻止美国基金公司推出产品,看好中国股市的反弹。美国基金公司持续推出以中国为重点的美国ETF据路透社当地时间2月20日报道,一些手中握有中国产品的美国基金经理,长期看好投资者将会重返市场,他们认为中国这片巨大市场的估值让人难以忽视。“这可能是一个千载难逢的机会,可以用很...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.guancha.cn/economy/2024_02_21_725800.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a10424fe3b1f29e8d28fdc0dc474e86","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://www.guancha.cn/economy/2024_02_21_725800.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163366179","content_text":"此前一段时间,中国的资本市场震荡走弱、波动加大,一度令不少投资者深感忧虑。而同时在美国,也出现了一些针对中国的负面言论,但这些并未阻止美国基金公司推出产品,看好中国股市的反弹。美国基金公司持续推出以中国为重点的美国ETF据路透社当地时间2月20日报道,一些手中握有中国产品的美国基金经理,长期看好投资者将会重返市场,他们认为中国这片巨大市场的估值让人难以忽视。“这可能是一个千载难逢的机会,可以用很长时间未见的估值水平买入中国股票。”美国金瑞基金是一家专注于中国投资机会和交易所交易基金(ETF)的公司,其首席执行官乔纳森·克莱恩(Jonathan Krane)在一封电子邮件中就这样认为。A股龙年第一个交易日实现开门红,沪指收复2900点整数关口。图自澎湃影像据报道,自2021年年初以来,成立于2013年、拥有约50亿美元资产的金瑞基金已经推出了4只以中国为重点的ETF,其中,KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWBE)是中国最大的ETF之一。许多基金经理认为,鉴于中国庞大的经济规模和经济增长率,这意味着投资者无法不在配置中考虑中国。“我们从根本上认为世界第二大经济体(中国)能在投资者的投资组合中发挥作用吗?是的,这点毫无疑问。”摩根大通资产管理公司的ETF解决方案全球主管布莱恩·雷克(Bryon Lake)这样表示。他所在的公司,于去年3月推出了JPMorgan Active China 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Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日(2025年1月20日)前调整投资组合,重点关注美国国债、中国和欧洲股市以及黄金。</p><p>当前,市场正在为特朗普的“激进政策”做准备,展现出“激进的资产走势”。Hartnett表示,投资者已为就职日的“美国风险”做好准备,随着美联储降息被定价,杠杆的裂缝(黄金、小盘股、风险平价、新兴市场)已经开始显现,美国长期利率的任何上升都意味着风险逆转,市场投资风向也会随之发生转变。</p><p>根据美银11月全球基金经理调查,投资者对美国增长、通胀的预期提高,对美国股票的大量增持的信念发生转变。</p><p>Hartnett表示,当特朗普2.0交易出现裂缝时,将迎来“TINA Turner”时刻——“大选后没有其他交易选择,只能做多美元、做多美国股票、做空美国国债;但在就职日之前,美国金融条件的进一步收紧(将转变交易策略)。”</p><p>Hartnett表示,“强劲”的全球宏观数据可能是美国金融条件收紧的驱动因素之一。</p><p>Hartnett建议投资者在进入2025年第一季度考虑以下三个投资策略:</p><p>如果收益率上升至5%,购买美国国债。Hartnett认为,美联储将通过在2025年不降息来表明第一季度抑制通胀预期的决心,而美国国债将迫使特朗普政府缓和关税。</p><p>在特朗普就职日之前买入中国、欧洲股票。Hartnet表示,他相信中国、欧洲会积极应对“美国优先”的关税政策,即相对于美国,中国和欧洲拥有较低的利率、较便宜的货币、较低的油价,金融条件将大幅放松。</p><p>购买黄金。Hartnet表示,人口结构拐点即将到来,世界依赖比率将在2028年达到53%的低点,即“去通胀化”人口结构的顶峰;叠加人工智能的巨大需求,意味着黄金仍然是最好的长期通胀对冲工具。</p><p><strong>猛烈抛售美股</strong></p><p>回到市场层面,随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股持续下挫。</p><p>上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅达1.24%,科技股居多的纳指周跌幅达3.15%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX在上个交易日大涨12.86%,盘中一度涨超20%。</p><p>华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。</p><p>分析指出,“在特朗普2.0时代,不断涌现的政治新闻导致美股市场更加脆弱,比如,在特朗普提名疫苗怀疑论者小罗伯特·肯尼迪担任卫生部长后,大型制药商股价应声下跌。且鉴于美股仍处于历史性高位,不能太急于逢低买进。”</p><p>展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场,投资者将继续关注特朗普的过渡计划,包括他对关键内阁职位的选择。</p><p>另外,美联储的变数也是市场担忧的风险点之一。美联储主席鲍威尔在上周四表示,经济稳健将使美联储能够从容决定进一步放松政策的速度。与此同时,新数据显示,零售额连续两个月实现意外强劲增长,进一步证明美国经济强劲。</p><p>本周美联储官员们可能继续给市场“泼冷水”,如果更多美联储政策制定者强调需要放慢降息步伐,美元可能继续受到支撑。</p><p>目前来看,美元依然是特朗普赢得总统大选的明显受益资产,美元汇率的持续走高正给一些新兴市场资产和大宗商品造成巨大痛苦。</p><p>但也有交易人士警告称,美元涨势过快、过猛的话,还可能出现进一步的波动。</p><p>Renaissance Macro Research分析师Kevin Dempter在一份报告中表示:“美元处于超买状态,正在挑战阻力位,而一些金属和新兴市场则处于超卖状态,正试图守住关键支撑位。”</p><p>他表示:“我们将密切关注它们对超买和超卖状况的反应。如果美元对超买状况的反应强烈,可能会导致趋势逆转,金属和新兴市场则可能出现相反的趋势。”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>重大转变!外资巨头:买入中国股票!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n重大转变!外资巨头:买入中国股票!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-18 07:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>“特朗普交易”即将出现重大转变?</p><p>美银策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日前调整投资组合,买入中国和欧洲股票以及美债、黄金。</p><p>随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股市场遭遇猛烈抛售。上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅超1%,纳指周跌幅超3%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX飙升。</p><p>华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场。</p><p><strong>重大转变</strong></p><p>美银策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日(2025年1月20日)前调整投资组合,重点关注美国国债、中国和欧洲股市以及黄金。</p><p>当前,市场正在为特朗普的“激进政策”做准备,展现出“激进的资产走势”。Hartnett表示,投资者已为就职日的“美国风险”做好准备,随着美联储降息被定价,杠杆的裂缝(黄金、小盘股、风险平价、新兴市场)已经开始显现,美国长期利率的任何上升都意味着风险逆转,市场投资风向也会随之发生转变。</p><p>根据美银11月全球基金经理调查,投资者对美国增长、通胀的预期提高,对美国股票的大量增持的信念发生转变。</p><p>Hartnett表示,当特朗普2.0交易出现裂缝时,将迎来“TINA Turner”时刻——“大选后没有其他交易选择,只能做多美元、做多美国股票、做空美国国债;但在就职日之前,美国金融条件的进一步收紧(将转变交易策略)。”</p><p>Hartnett表示,“强劲”的全球宏观数据可能是美国金融条件收紧的驱动因素之一。</p><p>Hartnett建议投资者在进入2025年第一季度考虑以下三个投资策略:</p><p>如果收益率上升至5%,购买美国国债。Hartnett认为,美联储将通过在2025年不降息来表明第一季度抑制通胀预期的决心,而美国国债将迫使特朗普政府缓和关税。</p><p>在特朗普就职日之前买入中国、欧洲股票。Hartnet表示,他相信中国、欧洲会积极应对“美国优先”的关税政策,即相对于美国,中国和欧洲拥有较低的利率、较便宜的货币、较低的油价,金融条件将大幅放松。</p><p>购买黄金。Hartnet表示,人口结构拐点即将到来,世界依赖比率将在2028年达到53%的低点,即“去通胀化”人口结构的顶峰;叠加人工智能的巨大需求,意味着黄金仍然是最好的长期通胀对冲工具。</p><p><strong>猛烈抛售美股</strong></p><p>回到市场层面,随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股持续下挫。</p><p>上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅达1.24%,科技股居多的纳指周跌幅达3.15%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX在上个交易日大涨12.86%,盘中一度涨超20%。</p><p>华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。</p><p>分析指出,“在特朗普2.0时代,不断涌现的政治新闻导致美股市场更加脆弱,比如,在特朗普提名疫苗怀疑论者小罗伯特·肯尼迪担任卫生部长后,大型制药商股价应声下跌。且鉴于美股仍处于历史性高位,不能太急于逢低买进。”</p><p>展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场,投资者将继续关注特朗普的过渡计划,包括他对关键内阁职位的选择。</p><p>另外,美联储的变数也是市场担忧的风险点之一。美联储主席鲍威尔在上周四表示,经济稳健将使美联储能够从容决定进一步放松政策的速度。与此同时,新数据显示,零售额连续两个月实现意外强劲增长,进一步证明美国经济强劲。</p><p>本周美联储官员们可能继续给市场“泼冷水”,如果更多美联储政策制定者强调需要放慢降息步伐,美元可能继续受到支撑。</p><p>目前来看,美元依然是特朗普赢得总统大选的明显受益资产,美元汇率的持续走高正给一些新兴市场资产和大宗商品造成巨大痛苦。</p><p>但也有交易人士警告称,美元涨势过快、过猛的话,还可能出现进一步的波动。</p><p>Renaissance Macro Research分析师Kevin Dempter在一份报告中表示:“美元处于超买状态,正在挑战阻力位,而一些金属和新兴市场则处于超卖状态,正试图守住关键支撑位。”</p><p>他表示:“我们将密切关注它们对超买和超卖状况的反应。如果美元对超买状况的反应强烈,可能会导致趋势逆转,金属和新兴市场则可能出现相反的趋势。”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151595197","content_text":"“特朗普交易”即将出现重大转变?美银策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日前调整投资组合,买入中国和欧洲股票以及美债、黄金。随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股市场遭遇猛烈抛售。上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅超1%,纳指周跌幅超3%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX飙升。华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场。重大转变美银策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中称,随着美国金融条件的收紧,建议投资者在美国当选总统特朗普就职日(2025年1月20日)前调整投资组合,重点关注美国国债、中国和欧洲股市以及黄金。当前,市场正在为特朗普的“激进政策”做准备,展现出“激进的资产走势”。Hartnett表示,投资者已为就职日的“美国风险”做好准备,随着美联储降息被定价,杠杆的裂缝(黄金、小盘股、风险平价、新兴市场)已经开始显现,美国长期利率的任何上升都意味着风险逆转,市场投资风向也会随之发生转变。根据美银11月全球基金经理调查,投资者对美国增长、通胀的预期提高,对美国股票的大量增持的信念发生转变。Hartnett表示,当特朗普2.0交易出现裂缝时,将迎来“TINA Turner”时刻——“大选后没有其他交易选择,只能做多美元、做多美国股票、做空美国国债;但在就职日之前,美国金融条件的进一步收紧(将转变交易策略)。”Hartnett表示,“强劲”的全球宏观数据可能是美国金融条件收紧的驱动因素之一。Hartnett建议投资者在进入2025年第一季度考虑以下三个投资策略:如果收益率上升至5%,购买美国国债。Hartnett认为,美联储将通过在2025年不降息来表明第一季度抑制通胀预期的决心,而美国国债将迫使特朗普政府缓和关税。在特朗普就职日之前买入中国、欧洲股票。Hartnet表示,他相信中国、欧洲会积极应对“美国优先”的关税政策,即相对于美国,中国和欧洲拥有较低的利率、较便宜的货币、较低的油价,金融条件将大幅放松。购买黄金。Hartnet表示,人口结构拐点即将到来,世界依赖比率将在2028年达到53%的低点,即“去通胀化”人口结构的顶峰;叠加人工智能的巨大需求,意味着黄金仍然是最好的长期通胀对冲工具。猛烈抛售美股回到市场层面,随着市场消化特朗普政府可能带来的政策变化,以及美联储官员打压降息预期,导致美股持续下挫。上周,美股三大指数全线大跌,标普500指数单周累计跌幅超2%,道指周跌幅达1.24%,科技股居多的纳指周跌幅达3.15%。与此同时,恐慌指数VIX在上个交易日大涨12.86%,盘中一度涨超20%。华尔街分析师认为,由于选举后的担忧造成了不确定的市场前景,投资者开始谨慎行事。随着特朗普胜选的最初兴奋情绪开始消退,投资者逐渐认识到特朗普财政计划的成本以及可能重新引发通胀的风险。分析指出,“在特朗普2.0时代,不断涌现的政治新闻导致美股市场更加脆弱,比如,在特朗普提名疫苗怀疑论者小罗伯特·肯尼迪担任卫生部长后,大型制药商股价应声下跌。且鉴于美股仍处于历史性高位,不能太急于逢低买进。”展望本周,“特朗普交易”的余波或将持续影响全球市场,投资者将继续关注特朗普的过渡计划,包括他对关键内阁职位的选择。另外,美联储的变数也是市场担忧的风险点之一。美联储主席鲍威尔在上周四表示,经济稳健将使美联储能够从容决定进一步放松政策的速度。与此同时,新数据显示,零售额连续两个月实现意外强劲增长,进一步证明美国经济强劲。本周美联储官员们可能继续给市场“泼冷水”,如果更多美联储政策制定者强调需要放慢降息步伐,美元可能继续受到支撑。目前来看,美元依然是特朗普赢得总统大选的明显受益资产,美元汇率的持续走高正给一些新兴市场资产和大宗商品造成巨大痛苦。但也有交易人士警告称,美元涨势过快、过猛的话,还可能出现进一步的波动。Renaissance Macro Research分析师Kevin Dempter在一份报告中表示:“美元处于超买状态,正在挑战阻力位,而一些金属和新兴市场则处于超卖状态,正试图守住关键支撑位。”他表示:“我们将密切关注它们对超买和超卖状况的反应。如果美元对超买状况的反应强烈,可能会导致趋势逆转,金属和新兴市场则可能出现相反的趋势。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369960241885584,"gmtCreate":1731340026699,"gmtModify":1731340380361,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETHA\">$iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$ </a> 以太坊作为绝代双骄,也该起飞了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETHA\">$iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$ </a> 以太坊作为绝代双骄,也该起飞了","text":"$iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$ 以太坊作为绝代双骄,也该起飞了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4fd12ef2dfe750ca16f78bcde556cc8","width":"696","height":"1122"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369960241885584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":367987414388912,"gmtCreate":1730858425308,"gmtModify":1730858426670,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$ </a> 什么情况,上证及关联指数都涨,这货居然背道而跌????","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$ </a> 什么情况,上证及关联指数都涨,这货居然背道而跌????","text":"$A50指数主连 2411(CNmain)$ 什么情况,上证及关联指数都涨,这货居然背道而跌????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367987414388912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":357815118569752,"gmtCreate":1728376051872,"gmtModify":1728376053057,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$ </a> 这是发生了啥?收盘好好的,外盘就崩了?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$ </a> 这是发生了啥?收盘好好的,外盘就崩了?","text":"$A50指数主连 2410(CNmain)$ 这是发生了啥?收盘好好的,外盘就崩了?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357815118569752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":930249601,"gmtCreate":1568297671303,"gmtModify":1704717674278,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$</a> 刚才发生了什么,剧烈的拉升!??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$</a> 刚才发生了什么,剧烈的拉升!??","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 刚才发生了什么,剧烈的拉升!??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/930249601","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3071,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":994581700,"gmtCreate":1566857421800,"gmtModify":1704715167697,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a> 财报死了吗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a> 财报死了吗","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 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开始吧。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994156613","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":370184519098624,"gmtCreate":1731404201837,"gmtModify":1731404203951,"author":{"id":"3521542758448301","authorId":"3521542758448301","name":"溜达溜达出来转一转","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9318644320c81b0655f0810acc70c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521542758448301","authorIdStr":"3521542758448301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"但是资金体量太少了,一共就一亿美元的本金,回报5倍也支撑不起这个股价","listText":"但是资金体量太少了,一共就一亿美元的本金,回报5倍也支撑不起这个股价","text":"但是资金体量太少了,一共就一亿美元的本金,回报5倍也支撑不起这个股价","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370184519098624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}