银色蚂蚁的个人主页 - 老虎社区

银色蚂蚁

银色蚂蚁

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

358关注

5粉丝

1主题

0勋章

2021-12-10

[傲娇]

2021-10-05

$老虎证券(TIGR)$还有救吗？

2021-05-04

$Churchill Capital Corp IV(CCIV)$有没有人比我幸福

2021-05-01

$Churchill Capital Corp IV(CCIV)$跟着气球上。

2021-06-30

$Fintech Acquisition Corp V(FTCV)$[得意] [得意] [得意] [得意]

2021-04-15

钱少

都是缩减QE，这一次和八年前会有什么不同？

2021-06-24

$特斯拉(TSLA)$[得意] [得意] [得意] 等到了

2021-03-11

$老虎证券(TIGR)$今天还会上吗?

2021-04-24

美国爸爸不在家

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-15

$RLX科技(RLX)$加油

2021-11-24

[得意]

2021-06-08

$Fintech Acquisition Corp V(FTCV)$[害羞] [害羞] [害羞]

2021-05-19

48小时又回来

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-03

$Churchill Capital Corp IV(CCIV)$几时改名?

2021-03-16

又来

游戏驿站直线跳水，触发熔断

2021-03-10

$老虎证券(TIGR)$上了上了。为什么昨天要卖[流泪]

2021-12-28

[真香]

2021-12-18

[比心] [666]

2021-12-07

[得意]

2021-12-01

Into the unknown [保佑] [保佑]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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IV(CCIV)$跟着气球上。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/158b7530d248eaac761603c1dd0f9e0f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101068359","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":153519504,"gmtCreate":1625033789408,"gmtModify":1631889615296,"author":{"id":"3577365538114922","authorId":"3577365538114922","name":"银色蚂蚁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e8524107a986c74239171a15e29e41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCV\">$Fintech Acquisition Corp V(FTCV)$</a>[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCV\">$Fintech Acquisition Corp V(FTCV)$</a>[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"$Fintech Acquisition Corp V(FTCV)$[得意] 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13:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"都是缩减QE，这一次和八年前会有什么不同？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163247183","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"“劳动力市场大致上与2013年底一样健康，但美联储认为这离充分就业还很远。”\n\n2013年4月，也就是QE4宣布退出的半年前，美国失业率刚刚从金融危机峰值下降到7.5%，黑人失业率则还高达13％。\n那","content":"<blockquote>\n “劳动力市场大致上与2013年底一样健康，但美联储认为这离充分就业还很远。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>2013年4月，也就是QE4宣布退出的半年前，美国失业率刚刚从金融危机峰值下降到7.5%，黑人失业率则还高达13％。</p>\n<p>那时鲍威尔刚当上美联储理事不久，他在公开市场委员会会议上表示，“实现经济目标已取得实质性进展”，建议开始考虑减少购债。</p>\n<p><b>八年后的今天，失业率已经从疫情峰值下降到6%，就业市场健康状况也远好于当年（如黑人失业率降至9.6%），鲍威尔却觉得这还不够。</b></p>\n<p><b>上周的IMF春季会议线上研讨会上他指出，“复苏仍然不完整，不均衡”</b>，将维持QE规模，直至实现通胀和就业目标“取得实质性的进一步进展”再考虑缩减。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cb9269b36146e907455c5636dc1bd7d\" tg-width=\"1019\" tg-height=\"535\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>指数综合了反应就业市场健康状况的22个指标，显示当前健康状况好于2013年</p>\n<p>其中的态度转变表明，美联储如今把实现充分就业放在重中之重，并且对“充分就业”有了不同的理解。</p>\n<p><b>就业是重中之重</b></p>\n<p>在两个经济目标——稳定通胀率在平均2%水平和实现充分就业——何者为优先项上，美联储这次选择了后者，这是从2013年的经验中得来的方法论。</p>\n<p>2013年，美联储将通胀和失业率联系得十分紧密，他们认为失业率降到一定程度（4.5%）会触发物价水平急剧上升；则反过来，为了不让通胀失控，就应该在就业市场完全复苏前退出刺激。</p>\n<p>于是，当年失业率还在7%的时候，美联储就宣布减少购债，因为预计缩减QE后失业率还会继续下降，慢慢推升通胀回到2%目标位。</p>\n<p><b>但事实证明，通胀确实在升，却升得非常慢。失业率早已降到4.5%以下，但八年来，由于私营部门消费投资热情不足，通胀持续低于2%。</b></p>\n<p><b>路透分析师Howard Schneider评论，这可能让美联储认为，通胀总体上较弱，所以这次可以等待失业率下降到更低的水平，而不会有很大的通胀风险。</b></p>\n<p><b>根据美联储的预测，到年底，失业率将从目前的6％下降到4.5％，预计到今年夏天，每月将增加一百万就业人数。</b>美国3月非农就业人口增加91.6万，远超预期，被认为是就业市场前景向好的一个证明。</p>\n<p>不过，许多分析师对这种做法持怀疑态度。美国3月CPI同比增长2.6%，创下2018年8月来最高水平，虽然部分是由于去年同期低基数效应，但供需缺口的扩大不容忽视。</p>\n<p>疫情造成美国下游消费品端大面积供应链断裂，目前尚未完全恢复，近期芯片短缺就是最明显的例子。需求端则确实在逐步抬头，汽油、食品、住房需求均明显改善，线下服务需求也处于复苏轨道。</p>\n<p>Columbia Threadneedle高级利率分析师Edward Al-Hussainy表示：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 一场大规模的实验正在进行……我们正在让经济变得越来越热。疫情对供应端形成的约束并未完全解除，经济正在进行重新配置，我们不知道这将如何影响价格形成。\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>何时“取得实质性进展”？</b></p>\n<p>那么对于就业市场，怎样才叫做复苏实现“完整”、“均衡”？</p>\n<p>鲍威尔IMF春季会议上给了个大致的定量说法：如果能像3月那样增加就业，“连续几个月”增加100万就业人口，“那样就真正开始显示，向着我们的目标有了进展”。</p>\n<p><b>但另外，美联储这次要在就业市场“健康”程度上好好画上一笔。</b></p>\n<p>3月一次美联储会议上，鲍威尔对美国社会经济不平等的状态表示担忧：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 经济下滑并没有使得所有美国人受到相同的打击，本就最脆弱的那些人受到的打击最大。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>目前，虽然美国就业市场在整体失业率、黑人失业率、女性失业率等多项指标上，表现都优于2013年退出QE时期，<b>但在劳动参与率、长期失业人口占失业人口比重等方面仍不及当年。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebc5f0395bc553ddbb5eb9870f1c7080\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"736\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Indeed Hiring Lab经济研究主管Nick Bunker说表示，今天的美联储“对充分就业的构成有不同的看法”，“<b>劳动力市场大致上与2013年底一样健康，但美联储认为这离充分就业还很远。</b>”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“劳动力市场大致上与2013年底一样健康，但美联储认为这离充分就业还很远。”\n\n2013年4月，也就是QE4宣布退出的半年前，美国失业率刚刚从金融危机峰值下降到7.5%，黑人失业率则还高达13％。\n那时鲍威尔刚当上美联储理事不久，他在公开市场委员会会议上表示，“实现经济目标已取得实质性进展”，建议开始考虑减少购债。\n八年后的今天，失业率已经从疫情峰值下降到6%，就业市场健康状况也远好于当年（如黑人...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acda3093f2aff10e50f822317125a553","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163247183","content_text":"“劳动力市场大致上与2013年底一样健康，但美联储认为这离充分就业还很远。”\n\n2013年4月，也就是QE4宣布退出的半年前，美国失业率刚刚从金融危机峰值下降到7.5%，黑人失业率则还高达13％。\n那时鲍威尔刚当上美联储理事不久，他在公开市场委员会会议上表示，“实现经济目标已取得实质性进展”，建议开始考虑减少购债。\n八年后的今天，失业率已经从疫情峰值下降到6%，就业市场健康状况也远好于当年（如黑人失业率降至9.6%），鲍威尔却觉得这还不够。\n上周的IMF春季会议线上研讨会上他指出，“复苏仍然不完整，不均衡”，将维持QE规模，直至实现通胀和就业目标“取得实质性的进一步进展”再考虑缩减。\n\n指数综合了反应就业市场健康状况的22个指标，显示当前健康状况好于2013年\n其中的态度转变表明，美联储如今把实现充分就业放在重中之重，并且对“充分就业”有了不同的理解。\n就业是重中之重\n在两个经济目标——稳定通胀率在平均2%水平和实现充分就业——何者为优先项上，美联储这次选择了后者，这是从2013年的经验中得来的方法论。\n2013年，美联储将通胀和失业率联系得十分紧密，他们认为失业率降到一定程度（4.5%）会触发物价水平急剧上升；则反过来，为了不让通胀失控，就应该在就业市场完全复苏前退出刺激。\n于是，当年失业率还在7%的时候，美联储就宣布减少购债，因为预计缩减QE后失业率还会继续下降，慢慢推升通胀回到2%目标位。\n但事实证明，通胀确实在升，却升得非常慢。失业率早已降到4.5%以下，但八年来，由于私营部门消费投资热情不足，通胀持续低于2%。\n路透分析师Howard Schneider评论，这可能让美联储认为，通胀总体上较弱，所以这次可以等待失业率下降到更低的水平，而不会有很大的通胀风险。\n根据美联储的预测，到年底，失业率将从目前的6％下降到4.5％，预计到今年夏天，每月将增加一百万就业人数。美国3月非农就业人口增加91.6万，远超预期，被认为是就业市场前景向好的一个证明。\n不过，许多分析师对这种做法持怀疑态度。美国3月CPI同比增长2.6%，创下2018年8月来最高水平，虽然部分是由于去年同期低基数效应，但供需缺口的扩大不容忽视。\n疫情造成美国下游消费品端大面积供应链断裂，目前尚未完全恢复，近期芯片短缺就是最明显的例子。需求端则确实在逐步抬头，汽油、食品、住房需求均明显改善，线下服务需求也处于复苏轨道。\nColumbia Threadneedle高级利率分析师Edward Al-Hussainy表示：\n\n 一场大规模的实验正在进行……我们正在让经济变得越来越热。疫情对供应端形成的约束并未完全解除，经济正在进行重新配置，我们不知道这将如何影响价格形成。\n\n何时“取得实质性进展”？\n那么对于就业市场，怎样才叫做复苏实现“完整”、“均衡”？\n鲍威尔IMF春季会议上给了个大致的定量说法：如果能像3月那样增加就业，“连续几个月”增加100万就业人口，“那样就真正开始显示，向着我们的目标有了进展”。\n但另外，美联储这次要在就业市场“健康”程度上好好画上一笔。\n3月一次美联储会议上，鲍威尔对美国社会经济不平等的状态表示担忧：\n\n 经济下滑并没有使得所有美国人受到相同的打击，本就最脆弱的那些人受到的打击最大。”\n\n目前，虽然美国就业市场在整体失业率、黑人失业率、女性失业率等多项指标上，表现都优于2013年退出QE时期，但在劳动参与率、长期失业人口占失业人口比重等方面仍不及当年。\n\nIndeed Hiring Lab经济研究主管Nick 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IV(CCIV)$几时改名?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/158b7530d248eaac761603c1dd0f9e0f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108981112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":322752798,"gmtCreate":1615837267114,"gmtModify":1703493799427,"author":{"id":"3577365538114922","authorId":"3577365538114922","name":"银色蚂蚁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e8524107a986c74239171a15e29e41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"又来","listText":"又来","text":"又来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322752798","repostId":"1198239491","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198239491","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1615821704,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198239491?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-15 23:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"游戏驿站直线跳水，触发熔断","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198239491","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月15日，游戏驿站直线跳水，触发熔断，熔断前跌近15%，报226.19美元。","content":"<p>3月15日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>直线跳水，触发熔断，熔断前跌近15%，报226.19美元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cee5aa3e0403d24ce37b065848310c1\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>游戏驿站直线跳水，触发熔断</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>直线跳水，触发熔断，熔断前跌近15%，报226.19美元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cee5aa3e0403d24ce37b065848310c1\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" 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