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基本面调查员
关注我,了解股票背后公司到底是做什么的。
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基本面调查员
2021-01-30
$游戏驿站(GME)$
$AMC院线(AMC)$
我再给大家解释一下,为什么要控制在320刀以上。首先有些人看期权看得是put,倒是我们要打的其实是Call期权,也就是看涨期权。写call期权的人是看空。我们可以看到320价位有很多call期权未平,如果价格低于320,那么期权卖方就需要从市场上购买1790000只股票并且以320刀一股的价格出售给call的买方!期权交易中买方只有权利,卖方只有义务!只要买方要求行权,卖方就必须配合行权!这就是为什么我们要控制在320以上,因为320这里有几百万股!
基本面调查员
2021-04-27
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
今天再不跌我倒立洗头
基本面调查员
2021-04-21
$富途控股(FUTU)$
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
大家放心,我昨天咨询了富途客服,客服的答复是:现在我们交易的股票本身就是ads,目前总股本1.36亿,增发以后不过会到1.45亿,以153的增发价格计算,增发后的股价应该为153*(1.36/1.45)=143.5美元,现在明显是超跌,不要慌!老虎更不用慌,无任何利空消息,纯是跟着老大跌。
基本面调查员
2021-03-24
$英特尔(INTC)$
爆笑如雷了家人们[开心] 英特尔今年建厂 2030年进入7nm时代
基本面调查员
2021-01-30
$AMC院线(AMC)$
$游戏驿站(GME)$
不要听一些人说什么reddit散户在组织撤退了,这是最新的热门截图,都是2个小时以内发的贴,看看up量。
基本面调查员
2021-02-02
$游戏驿站(GME)$
$游戏驿站(GME)$
我本金也就一万刀左右,32@305刀,我拿稳了,亏了就亏了了吧,不过是几万块钱而已,赢了这可是能说一辈子的故事啊,而且是亲身经历,心路历程都真实的故事!
基本面调查员
2021-02-19
$游戏驿站(GME)$
$AMC院线(AMC)$
能不能不要嘲讽那些高位接盘的人了啊?不是他们你们哪来的钱赚?
基本面调查员
2021-03-24
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
兄弟们拿住,我现在有800多股,财报应该会超预期,我入金2个月手续费就快2k刀了
基本面调查员
2021-02-20
$第九城市(NCTY)$
买矿机挖矿。
$亿邦国际(EBON)$
矿机生产商,和嘉楠科技(CAN)差不多。
$未来金融科技(FTFT)$
纯打区块链擦边球,和比特币没什么关系。前三个能乘比特币东风,第三个属实擦边球。
基本面调查员
2021-04-24
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
本来昨天就要破21的,被拜登打趴下了,从今天开始,一直涨到tmd35是最好的,哈哈哈哈哈哈
基本面调查员
2021-03-18
$游戏驿站(GME)$
觉得会涨的评论1 觉得会跌的点赞
基本面调查员
2021-03-10
$游戏驿站(GME)$
我就想来个人给我分析一下这波股价暴涨背后的逻辑?
基本面调查员
2021-02-19
$海川证券(MTC)$
这个公司,官网的版权时间还在2020年,没有注册入口以及软件下载专用页面。软件得和客服机器人说话才会给你。给北京客服打电话甚至没有任何提示音,直接时间到了就挂了。专用软件也没有注册链接,UI设计非常老旧。总结:纯炒作股,基本面非常差,小赌怡情。
基本面调查员
2021-04-26
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
个人建议,今天最好空仓观望嗷。老虎从顶峰一来从来没有连续4天都涨得情况,而且明显上周主力拉升之后还没来得及出货
基本面调查员
2021-04-09
$游戏驿站(GME)$
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
$富途控股(FUTU)$
与其在这gmegme不如买tigr futu这种波动大的股。不要觉得SH就是不亏,别人拿这笔钱已经干了很多事了,而你还在每天提心吊胆看gme股票。就那个李XX,百分之90gme评论区都有,而且都很快,累不累啊?我经历过持有gme的感觉,虽然最后亏了,但是我解脱了。2月份涨上去的时候我也很高兴,我也希望能逼空,干碎机构,但是,有时候要考虑一下别的东西。我的推测是机构正在出货,然后等下跌以后,再以低价吸筹顺便抬高股价,循环反复。散户无论是经济实力还是策略还是经验,都不可能比得过大机构。真心希望大家可以看清楚一点。
基本面调查员
2021-05-01
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
老虎的兄弟们再见,我转投
$Churchill Capital Corp IV(CCIV)$
了!祝大家能在美股市场大赚特赚!再见!
基本面调查员
2021-03-15
$嘉楠科技(CAN)$
$第九城市(NCTY)$
$亿邦国际(EBON)$
Calm down 比特币正在下跌
基本面调查员
2021-04-16
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
开盘前我就说了,大伙有没有信了的
基本面调查员
2021-10-26
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
冷静,只有1,2类牌照而已
基本面调查员
2021-04-27
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
破纪录的4连涨了
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n杨元庆回应“撤回上市申请”质疑:传言完全不对\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-04 18:09 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2021-11-04/doc-iktzscyy3650763.shtml><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>11月4日晚间消息,联想集团董事长兼CEO杨元庆今日表示,“有人说我们研发投入不满足上市要求,这是完全不对的”。\n杨元庆称,科创板的标准是“研发投入累计在6000万元以上”,实际上,联想已经大大跨过了这个门槛;专利方面,联想拥有超2万多项专利。\n杨元庆称,未来将继续加大研发投入,主要集中在新IT的5个方向上,包括端、边、云、网、智。\n对于市场关注的近90%的资产负债率水平,杨元庆表示,IT行业和...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2021-11-04/doc-iktzscyy3650763.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f10c5571533b425a393d535b40586ec","relate_stocks":{"00992":"联想集团","03396":"联想控股"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2021-11-04/doc-iktzscyy3650763.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111002164","content_text":"11月4日晚间消息,联想集团董事长兼CEO杨元庆今日表示,“有人说我们研发投入不满足上市要求,这是完全不对的”。\n杨元庆称,科创板的标准是“研发投入累计在6000万元以上”,实际上,联想已经大大跨过了这个门槛;专利方面,联想拥有超2万多项专利。\n杨元庆称,未来将继续加大研发投入,主要集中在新IT的5个方向上,包括端、边、云、网、智。\n对于市场关注的近90%的资产负债率水平,杨元庆表示,IT行业和房地产行业不同,后者资金周转周期长,IT行业周转周期比较快,从进货、库存到出货,数月内就可完成。同时,行业更看重的财务指标为“现金周期”,即供应商会给公司账期,公司也会给客户账期,从“应收帐款+库存-应付账款”的周期来看,公司保持在数天水平。杨元庆表示,联想负债结构中,约70%为供应商应付款,有息负债比例很小。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852921476,"gmtCreate":1635235929775,"gmtModify":1635235929775,"author":{"id":"3572368062789280","authorId":"3572368062789280","authorIdStr":"3572368062789280","name":"基本面调查员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9a0fd39450462531a0eddeb9630a56","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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11:47","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"华尔街骗过全世界:所谓散户战胜机构,原来是假的!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134453672","media":"格隆汇","summary":"所谓的散户复仇,不过是换个花样被割。幕后的赢家,其实另有其人。","content":"<p>“布衣之怒,流血五步,天下缟素。”</p>\n<p>每回打开交易软件,我总忍不住想起这句颇具气势的理想主义宣言,和9个月前那场荡气回肠的大战。</p>\n<p>散户与华尔街同台竞技多少年来,从未有人想过两者能公平较量。更别提有朝一日,区区小散居然真能披着一身剐,嘴里喊着“YOLO”,把皇帝拉下马来。</p>\n<p>在那惊心动魄的两周间,全世界的韭菜们同仇敌忾,简直有些“英特纳雄耐尔,就一定会实现”的意味。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2da63db57f61964a8cdb564d37fc68e\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"553\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这个童话故事一般美好的当代传奇曾令无数人心潮澎湃,<b>直到它被一份文件彻底击碎。</b></p>\n<p>10月18日,美国证券交易委员会发布题为《关于2021年初股票和期权市场结构状况的员工报告》,还原了年初那场“散户大战空头”背后的真相。</p>\n<p>原来,所谓的散户复仇,不过是换个花样被割。</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><b><b>百姓 豪绅</b></b></p>\n<p>把这份文件揭露的事实用一句话总结,就是“得先让豪绅出钱,带着百姓捐钱。豪绅捐了,百姓才跟着捐”。只不过这次钱到手后,“不管豪绅的钱还是百姓的钱,咱们都三七分账。”</p>\n<p>怎么想这个所谓的“真相”,都与人们记忆中的认知大相径庭。散户大战过去9个月了,现在SEC企图用一份长达44页的报告为其翻案,如何能令大家信服?</p>\n<p>复盘一下这件事的来龙去脉,<b>还要从今年1月的一条推特开始说起。</b></p>\n<p>1月22日,华尔街知名空头机构香橼发推称,“我有5种法子证明,GME只值20美元”。这条傲慢的推特像一条导火索,迅速引燃了散户心中积压已久的怨气。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6df2ad7a524344e29fc22dbe11252c56\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这里得先介绍一下GME,该股全称GameStop,背后是美国一家老牌游戏零售巨头。一听就知道,这是个夕阳产业。</p>\n<p>如今玩家大多在网上买实体游戏,要么玩数字版,再加上去年疫情对线下服务业的打击,GameStop的重资产经营几乎难以为继,连年亏损下,一度濒临破产。</p>\n<p><b>基本面如此,GME的股价却在跌到3美元之后一路奋起直追。</b>到1月21日涨到45美元的历史新高,比那些能赚钱的年份还猛,这才有了香橼那条推特。</p>\n<p>GME之所以大涨特涨与经营无关,主要是机缘巧合之下,它成了WSB论坛一只闪耀的明星股。</p>\n<p>WSB全称WallStreetBets,意为“华尔街赌场”,是Reddit网站下的一个分支。顾名思义,这里聚集着一群赌性极强的股民,他们一般年纪不大,动不动就梭哈,妄想一步登天。</p>\n<p>GME在这里人气火爆,除了作为老一辈玩家童年回忆的情感因素。最重要的是,它是那些被华尔街肆无忌惮做空的股票中最具代表性的一只。据SEC披露,沽空比例高达123%。这意味着,<b>GME的空头头寸之多,甚至是流通股票的1.2倍。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8e7639871a7081a4d2adf9b59af4dba\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"554\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>理论上,做空的风险是上不封顶的。一旦股票被多头一路上推,空头就必须以高价买回股票,在不断亏损中止血出局,这就是逼空。买回股票时势必推升股价,空头之间因此相互踩踏,形成所谓的轧空。</p>\n<p>空头最大的恐惧就这样以最剧烈的方式上演了。</p>\n<p>1月22日,被香橼激怒的散户们冲进GME,大买该股或加杠杆买入看涨期权GME当天大涨50%,最高涨至77美元。空头们至此的损失将近50亿美元。这还只是个开始。</p>\n<p>一根大阳线,千军万马来相见。在之后的一周内,GME最高涨至483美元,5天之内股价翻了10倍。散户们在逼空大战中赚到手软,空头则不得不忍痛买进翻了倍的股票,要么继续耗,要么平仓止血。<b>或者更惨,耗到无钱可用时爆仓。</b></p>\n<p>虽然GME在涨至顶峰后接连暴跌,但时至今日股价仍高达180美元。在这场狂潮中,有散户晒出超过4420%的收益;空头们一天亏超140亿美元后,香橼宣布转行,梅尔文资本等一票对冲基金爆仓。</p>\n<p>这么来看,散户们着实大获全胜。然而,SEC的报告中却给出了截然不同的结论:空头虽然巨亏,<b>散户们也只是被利用当了棋子。</b></p>\n<p>幕后的赢家,其实另有其人。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><b><b>侠盗 买办</b></b></p>\n<p>一场血腥的较量过后,双方偃旗息鼓,发现其实打了个两败俱伤。<b>就算有赢家,也充其量是惨胜。</b></p>\n<p>34岁的波士顿金融分析师Keith Patrick Gill是WSB论坛的领头羊之一,早在2019年6月就买入GME。到今年1月27日,5万美元变成2010万美元;但当天买进的其他散户就没这么幸运了,他们将在半个月内目睹从500块到38块的飞流直下。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56098bc90591f83a05652acf9d97c51b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>今年前5个月,华尔街空头光在GME、AMC两只股票上的亏损就达到92.5亿美元;前基金经理Ryan Cohen却在GME身上大赚29亿美元。</p>\n<p>“天下风云出我辈,一入江湖岁月催。”无论吃牛排喝红酒还是吃薯条喝可乐,精英与散户都得在这场游戏中愿赌服输,不可谓不公平。但SEC偏要告诉世人:</p>\n<p><b>有那么一股势力在幕后搅弄风云,散户和空头都着了他们的道。</b></p>\n<p>10月19日,SEC主席加里·根斯勒现身美国电视台。声称“散户下单的股票其实并非流向透明的交易所,而是流向了‘黑池’。”按他的说法,当初散户的资金在变成账户上的股票前,先在“黑池市场”中走了一圈。</p>\n<p><b>散户们被当枪使的阴谋,就是在这个所谓的“黑池”中酝酿而生。</b></p>\n<p>在讨论“黑池”之前,有必要先了解一下北美近两年崛起的网红券商——Robinhood。它在2013年由两名华尔街出身的80后创立,去年在疫情下的大范围居家隔离中被捧到风口浪尖。</p>\n<p>Robinhood是用互联网思维做券商的代表,它找准了自身年轻化的定位,靠零佣金、零门槛和傻瓜式的交易界面,在去年大放水导致全球年轻散户入市达到巅峰时迅速膨胀起来。单在今年1月份的散户大战中,Robinhood就获得了300万次下载。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5ef774444d65f36730ba2f176f264d8\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"533\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>今年7月,Robinhood挂牌纳斯达克。</p>\n<p>不过,罗宾汉虽是英国传说中有名的侠盗,Robinhood也打着“散户大本营”的旗号。<b>这家券商,本质上维护的还是华尔街的利益。</b></p>\n<p>比如在散户大战进行到最为激烈的时段,Robinhood突然宣布对GME和AMC等股票限制交易,不允许买入,只允许卖出。“拉闸断电”,不可谓不狠。</p>\n<p>即便恢复交易后,也只允许交易者购买1股GME,之后逐步提高到4股、20股和100股。钝刀磨肉,生生把这场散户狂潮磨到烟消云散。</p>\n<p>为此,散户坚定的支持者马斯克曾在Clubhouse上质问过Robinhood创始人特涅夫,是否受到了Citadel的推动从而实施交易限制,被特涅夫断然否认。</p>\n<p>Citadel是SEC报告中另一个主角。它是美国最大的期权做市商,曾在梅尔文爆仓前夕慷慨解囊借出30亿。不过Citadel还有一个身份,<b>它是Robinhood最大的营收来源之一。</b></p>\n<p>加里·根斯勒口中的“黑池”,也是Citadel在其中为非作歹。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1267523bee0f38c9d2e4f0d04570d1ef\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Citadel的首席执行官格里芬</p>\n<p>“黑池”是个不为人知的另类交易系统,在这里操纵一切的是Citadel、Virtu Americas等做市商,栖身于Robinhood等新兴互联网券商,从而绕过SEC的批准和监管。</p>\n<p>黑池的交易规则很简单,散户在Robinhood发出订单后并没有被立刻执行,而是流向了黑池里的Citadel等做市商,它们再将订单集中起来与Robinhood批发交易。</p>\n<p><b>这个过程在几毫秒内就能完成,却能为它们带来巨大的收益。</b>今年1月的短短19个交易日内,光GME一只股票,在黑池中的交易量就超过1100亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><b><b>毫秒 万亿</b></b></p>\n<p>关于几毫米能做什么,国内知名私募幻方很有发言权。</p>\n<p>今年1月,幻方第二代超级计算机“萤火二号”交付使用。去年10月,幻方在介绍“萤火一号”时声称其算力相当于4万台个人电脑。而萤火二号的算力,是一号的18倍。</p>\n<p>美国的格林威治小镇也曾云集超过300家对冲基金,管理数千亿美元资产,仅次于纽约和伦敦。这个只有174平方公里的弹丸之地之所以高朋满座,离不开一箭之遥的那些海底光缆。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98c171a379aaebae55e1da93c42065f5\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"554\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>对冲基金之都——格林威治</p>\n<p>三师兄“一秒钟几十万上下”的豪言,已成历史尘埃。无论光缆还是超算,用最现金的科技减少延迟,<b>在毫秒之间创造万亿利润,这是量化投资用AI对人脑的降维打击。</b></p>\n<p>北美的量化投资已经有几十年的发展,而国内起步不过10年。比如幻方,2016年初才成立,最新规模已超600亿元。今年1月的备案产品就有59只,连续数月蝉联“私募备案王”。</p>\n<p>相同之处在于,今年量化交易以不同的形式在中美两地露足了脸。</p>\n<p>北美史诗一般的散户大战华尔街,直到这周才露出了量化交易的马脚。根据SEC的说法,所谓的轧空实际上不是GME等股票暴涨的理由。</p>\n<p><b>支撑WSB概念股一柱擎天的,单纯是全球散户们高昂的乐观情绪。</b></p>\n<p>但很简单就会发现,这种情绪是如何爆发的。是否有人利用了华尔街与散户长久以来积压的矛盾,是否有人利用论坛这种松散的组织形式暗中引导舆论,这都十分可疑。</p>\n<p>不要忘记在Robinhood拉闸之时,孙宇晨是如何浑水摸鱼,把20万WSB用户拉到群里收割,从而在几分钟内疯狂出货70亿枚TRX,狂赚几千万美金的。</p>\n<p>不管如何操作,<b>做市商联合互联网券商渔翁得利的真相确实是暴露了。</b></p>\n<p>针对此事,今年4月新官上任SEC主席的加里·根斯勒虽然是银行家出身,但更倾向于通过铁腕监管减少华尔街的出格之举,此举与中国证监会的做法有些相似。</p>\n<p>上个月,在A股连续49个交易日成交额超过万亿元的记录被大家大肆谈论的同时,国内量化类私募基金总管理规模正式突破1万亿的传闻也引起了部分股民的注意。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf446e98e6b90b5de5b1501c78238c44\" tg-width=\"981\" tg-height=\"594\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>有声音认为,<b>所谓的万亿成交额高实则是高换手的量化私募撑起的“虚胖”。</b>无论真假,这都应该引起注意。</p>\n<p>2015年A股疯牛后大跌,监管层明确将量化投资列为市场波动之因。一个月内A股市值蒸发30%,被查明是海外对冲基金的恶意做空后,监管层直接限制了34家境外账户。</p>\n<p>其中最著名的一家对冲基金,就是Citadel。</p>\n<p><b>4、结语</b></p>\n<p>关于散户与机构的博弈,加里·根斯勒有一句名言:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 我对投资者保护并不持中立态度。如果有人想投机,那是他们的选择,但我们作为一个国家,有责任保护这些投资者免受欺诈。\n</blockquote>\n<p>事实证明,脱离基本面,散户无论从资金、人脉、工具甚至法律上都无法与机构抗衡,因此难逃被收割的宿命。</p>\n<p>但这并不代表散户大战华尔街是一次无意义的抗争,它至少证明了,团结起来的人民能爆发出多大的能量,这足以让任何一个政府引起重视。</p>\n<p>而监管的责任,无非是利用种种方式达成投资者梦寐以求的“公平”二字。资本的天性是追逐利润,为此不惜一切代价。</p>\n<p>Citadel割完中国割美国,还不够疯狂吗?</p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>华尔街骗过全世界:所谓散户战胜机构,原来是假的!</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街骗过全世界:所谓散户战胜机构,原来是假的!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-25 11:47 北京时间 <a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/492351><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“布衣之怒,流血五步,天下缟素。”\n每回打开交易软件,我总忍不住想起这句颇具气势的理想主义宣言,和9个月前那场荡气回肠的大战。\n散户与华尔街同台竞技多少年来,从未有人想过两者能公平较量。更别提有朝一日,区区小散居然真能披着一身剐,嘴里喊着“YOLO”,把皇帝拉下马来。\n在那惊心动魄的两周间,全世界的韭菜们同仇敌忾,简直有些“英特纳雄耐尔,就一定会实现”的意味。\n\n这个童话故事一般美好的当代传奇曾令...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/492351\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cac2eef0a6a80f86034dd1813b0330fb","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/492351","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"1134453672","content_text":"“布衣之怒,流血五步,天下缟素。”\n每回打开交易软件,我总忍不住想起这句颇具气势的理想主义宣言,和9个月前那场荡气回肠的大战。\n散户与华尔街同台竞技多少年来,从未有人想过两者能公平较量。更别提有朝一日,区区小散居然真能披着一身剐,嘴里喊着“YOLO”,把皇帝拉下马来。\n在那惊心动魄的两周间,全世界的韭菜们同仇敌忾,简直有些“英特纳雄耐尔,就一定会实现”的意味。\n\n这个童话故事一般美好的当代传奇曾令无数人心潮澎湃,直到它被一份文件彻底击碎。\n10月18日,美国证券交易委员会发布题为《关于2021年初股票和期权市场结构状况的员工报告》,还原了年初那场“散户大战空头”背后的真相。\n原来,所谓的散户复仇,不过是换个花样被割。\n1、百姓 豪绅\n把这份文件揭露的事实用一句话总结,就是“得先让豪绅出钱,带着百姓捐钱。豪绅捐了,百姓才跟着捐”。只不过这次钱到手后,“不管豪绅的钱还是百姓的钱,咱们都三七分账。”\n怎么想这个所谓的“真相”,都与人们记忆中的认知大相径庭。散户大战过去9个月了,现在SEC企图用一份长达44页的报告为其翻案,如何能令大家信服?\n复盘一下这件事的来龙去脉,还要从今年1月的一条推特开始说起。\n1月22日,华尔街知名空头机构香橼发推称,“我有5种法子证明,GME只值20美元”。这条傲慢的推特像一条导火索,迅速引燃了散户心中积压已久的怨气。\n\n这里得先介绍一下GME,该股全称GameStop,背后是美国一家老牌游戏零售巨头。一听就知道,这是个夕阳产业。\n如今玩家大多在网上买实体游戏,要么玩数字版,再加上去年疫情对线下服务业的打击,GameStop的重资产经营几乎难以为继,连年亏损下,一度濒临破产。\n基本面如此,GME的股价却在跌到3美元之后一路奋起直追。到1月21日涨到45美元的历史新高,比那些能赚钱的年份还猛,这才有了香橼那条推特。\nGME之所以大涨特涨与经营无关,主要是机缘巧合之下,它成了WSB论坛一只闪耀的明星股。\nWSB全称WallStreetBets,意为“华尔街赌场”,是Reddit网站下的一个分支。顾名思义,这里聚集着一群赌性极强的股民,他们一般年纪不大,动不动就梭哈,妄想一步登天。\nGME在这里人气火爆,除了作为老一辈玩家童年回忆的情感因素。最重要的是,它是那些被华尔街肆无忌惮做空的股票中最具代表性的一只。据SEC披露,沽空比例高达123%。这意味着,GME的空头头寸之多,甚至是流通股票的1.2倍。\n\n理论上,做空的风险是上不封顶的。一旦股票被多头一路上推,空头就必须以高价买回股票,在不断亏损中止血出局,这就是逼空。买回股票时势必推升股价,空头之间因此相互踩踏,形成所谓的轧空。\n空头最大的恐惧就这样以最剧烈的方式上演了。\n1月22日,被香橼激怒的散户们冲进GME,大买该股或加杠杆买入看涨期权GME当天大涨50%,最高涨至77美元。空头们至此的损失将近50亿美元。这还只是个开始。\n一根大阳线,千军万马来相见。在之后的一周内,GME最高涨至483美元,5天之内股价翻了10倍。散户们在逼空大战中赚到手软,空头则不得不忍痛买进翻了倍的股票,要么继续耗,要么平仓止血。或者更惨,耗到无钱可用时爆仓。\n虽然GME在涨至顶峰后接连暴跌,但时至今日股价仍高达180美元。在这场狂潮中,有散户晒出超过4420%的收益;空头们一天亏超140亿美元后,香橼宣布转行,梅尔文资本等一票对冲基金爆仓。\n这么来看,散户们着实大获全胜。然而,SEC的报告中却给出了截然不同的结论:空头虽然巨亏,散户们也只是被利用当了棋子。\n幕后的赢家,其实另有其人。\n2、侠盗 买办\n一场血腥的较量过后,双方偃旗息鼓,发现其实打了个两败俱伤。就算有赢家,也充其量是惨胜。\n34岁的波士顿金融分析师Keith Patrick Gill是WSB论坛的领头羊之一,早在2019年6月就买入GME。到今年1月27日,5万美元变成2010万美元;但当天买进的其他散户就没这么幸运了,他们将在半个月内目睹从500块到38块的飞流直下。\n\n今年前5个月,华尔街空头光在GME、AMC两只股票上的亏损就达到92.5亿美元;前基金经理Ryan Cohen却在GME身上大赚29亿美元。\n“天下风云出我辈,一入江湖岁月催。”无论吃牛排喝红酒还是吃薯条喝可乐,精英与散户都得在这场游戏中愿赌服输,不可谓不公平。但SEC偏要告诉世人:\n有那么一股势力在幕后搅弄风云,散户和空头都着了他们的道。\n10月19日,SEC主席加里·根斯勒现身美国电视台。声称“散户下单的股票其实并非流向透明的交易所,而是流向了‘黑池’。”按他的说法,当初散户的资金在变成账户上的股票前,先在“黑池市场”中走了一圈。\n散户们被当枪使的阴谋,就是在这个所谓的“黑池”中酝酿而生。\n在讨论“黑池”之前,有必要先了解一下北美近两年崛起的网红券商——Robinhood。它在2013年由两名华尔街出身的80后创立,去年在疫情下的大范围居家隔离中被捧到风口浪尖。\nRobinhood是用互联网思维做券商的代表,它找准了自身年轻化的定位,靠零佣金、零门槛和傻瓜式的交易界面,在去年大放水导致全球年轻散户入市达到巅峰时迅速膨胀起来。单在今年1月份的散户大战中,Robinhood就获得了300万次下载。\n\n今年7月,Robinhood挂牌纳斯达克。\n不过,罗宾汉虽是英国传说中有名的侠盗,Robinhood也打着“散户大本营”的旗号。这家券商,本质上维护的还是华尔街的利益。\n比如在散户大战进行到最为激烈的时段,Robinhood突然宣布对GME和AMC等股票限制交易,不允许买入,只允许卖出。“拉闸断电”,不可谓不狠。\n即便恢复交易后,也只允许交易者购买1股GME,之后逐步提高到4股、20股和100股。钝刀磨肉,生生把这场散户狂潮磨到烟消云散。\n为此,散户坚定的支持者马斯克曾在Clubhouse上质问过Robinhood创始人特涅夫,是否受到了Citadel的推动从而实施交易限制,被特涅夫断然否认。\nCitadel是SEC报告中另一个主角。它是美国最大的期权做市商,曾在梅尔文爆仓前夕慷慨解囊借出30亿。不过Citadel还有一个身份,它是Robinhood最大的营收来源之一。\n加里·根斯勒口中的“黑池”,也是Citadel在其中为非作歹。\n\nCitadel的首席执行官格里芬\n“黑池”是个不为人知的另类交易系统,在这里操纵一切的是Citadel、Virtu Americas等做市商,栖身于Robinhood等新兴互联网券商,从而绕过SEC的批准和监管。\n黑池的交易规则很简单,散户在Robinhood发出订单后并没有被立刻执行,而是流向了黑池里的Citadel等做市商,它们再将订单集中起来与Robinhood批发交易。\n这个过程在几毫秒内就能完成,却能为它们带来巨大的收益。今年1月的短短19个交易日内,光GME一只股票,在黑池中的交易量就超过1100亿美元。\n3、毫秒 万亿\n关于几毫米能做什么,国内知名私募幻方很有发言权。\n今年1月,幻方第二代超级计算机“萤火二号”交付使用。去年10月,幻方在介绍“萤火一号”时声称其算力相当于4万台个人电脑。而萤火二号的算力,是一号的18倍。\n美国的格林威治小镇也曾云集超过300家对冲基金,管理数千亿美元资产,仅次于纽约和伦敦。这个只有174平方公里的弹丸之地之所以高朋满座,离不开一箭之遥的那些海底光缆。\n\n对冲基金之都——格林威治\n三师兄“一秒钟几十万上下”的豪言,已成历史尘埃。无论光缆还是超算,用最现金的科技减少延迟,在毫秒之间创造万亿利润,这是量化投资用AI对人脑的降维打击。\n北美的量化投资已经有几十年的发展,而国内起步不过10年。比如幻方,2016年初才成立,最新规模已超600亿元。今年1月的备案产品就有59只,连续数月蝉联“私募备案王”。\n相同之处在于,今年量化交易以不同的形式在中美两地露足了脸。\n北美史诗一般的散户大战华尔街,直到这周才露出了量化交易的马脚。根据SEC的说法,所谓的轧空实际上不是GME等股票暴涨的理由。\n支撑WSB概念股一柱擎天的,单纯是全球散户们高昂的乐观情绪。\n但很简单就会发现,这种情绪是如何爆发的。是否有人利用了华尔街与散户长久以来积压的矛盾,是否有人利用论坛这种松散的组织形式暗中引导舆论,这都十分可疑。\n不要忘记在Robinhood拉闸之时,孙宇晨是如何浑水摸鱼,把20万WSB用户拉到群里收割,从而在几分钟内疯狂出货70亿枚TRX,狂赚几千万美金的。\n不管如何操作,做市商联合互联网券商渔翁得利的真相确实是暴露了。\n针对此事,今年4月新官上任SEC主席的加里·根斯勒虽然是银行家出身,但更倾向于通过铁腕监管减少华尔街的出格之举,此举与中国证监会的做法有些相似。\n上个月,在A股连续49个交易日成交额超过万亿元的记录被大家大肆谈论的同时,国内量化类私募基金总管理规模正式突破1万亿的传闻也引起了部分股民的注意。\n\n有声音认为,所谓的万亿成交额高实则是高换手的量化私募撑起的“虚胖”。无论真假,这都应该引起注意。\n2015年A股疯牛后大跌,监管层明确将量化投资列为市场波动之因。一个月内A股市值蒸发30%,被查明是海外对冲基金的恶意做空后,监管层直接限制了34家境外账户。\n其中最著名的一家对冲基金,就是Citadel。\n4、结语\n关于散户与机构的博弈,加里·根斯勒有一句名言:\n\n 我对投资者保护并不持中立态度。如果有人想投机,那是他们的选择,但我们作为一个国家,有责任保护这些投资者免受欺诈。\n\n事实证明,脱离基本面,散户无论从资金、人脉、工具甚至法律上都无法与机构抗衡,因此难逃被收割的宿命。\n但这并不代表散户大战华尔街是一次无意义的抗争,它至少证明了,团结起来的人民能爆发出多大的能量,这足以让任何一个政府引起重视。\n而监管的责任,无非是利用种种方式达成投资者梦寐以求的“公平”二字。资本的天性是追逐利润,为此不惜一切代价。\nCitadel割完中国割美国,还不够疯狂吗?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826051433,"gmtCreate":1633960620682,"gmtModify":1633960620682,"author":{"id":"3572368062789280","authorId":"3572368062789280","authorIdStr":"3572368062789280","name":"基本面调查员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9a0fd39450462531a0eddeb9630a56","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"该涨了吧?","listText":"该涨了吧?","text":"该涨了吧?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826051433","repostId":"862375767","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":862375767,"gmtCreate":1632840583572,"gmtModify":1632840583572,"author":{"id":"3572368062789280","authorId":"3572368062789280","authorIdStr":"3572368062789280","name":"基本面调查员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9a0fd39450462531a0eddeb9630a56","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>短期回20,长期破一百都没什么问题。汽车性能方面世界第一,但是操作系统,也就是自动驾驶之类的还有待商榷。特斯拉必然不会坐以待毙。并且lucid的产品定价比较高。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>短期回20,长期破一百都没什么问题。汽车性能方面世界第一,但是操作系统,也就是自动驾驶之类的还有待商榷。特斯拉必然不会坐以待毙。并且lucid的产品定价比较高。","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$短期回20,长期破一百都没什么问题。汽车性能方面世界第一,但是操作系统,也就是自动驾驶之类的还有待商榷。特斯拉必然不会坐以待毙。并且lucid的产品定价比较高。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862375767","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1904,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820162567,"gmtCreate":1633359537305,"gmtModify":1633359537305,"author":{"id":"3572368062789280","authorId":"3572368062789280","authorIdStr":"3572368062789280","name":"基本面调查员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9a0fd39450462531a0eddeb9630a56","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$SQQQ 20211015 9.5 CALL(SQQQ)$</a>快多","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$SQQQ 20211015 9.5 CALL(SQQQ)$</a>快多","text":"$SQQQ 20211015 9.5 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