基本面调查员的个人主页 - 老虎社区

基本面调查员

基本面调查员

关注我，了解股票背后公司到底是做什么的。

IP属地：海外

25关注

268粉丝

2主题

0勋章

基本面调查员

2021-11-11

$NQ100指数2112(NQ2112)$ 期货模拟每日盈亏

基本面调查员

2021-11-08

和我想的一模一样

@基本面调查员:$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$短期回20，长期破一百都没什么问题。汽车性能方面世界第一，但是操作系统，也就是自动驾驶之类的还有待商榷。特斯拉必然不会坐以待毙。并且lucid的产品定价比较高。

基本面调查员

2021-11-07

$英特尔(INTC)$稳稳地探底了，可以观察现在的股价可以说是历史低点，从疫情开始到现在，美联储疯狂放水的情况下股价没什么变化。基本面来看，英特尔的新cpu竞争力很强，看到80。

基本面调查员

2021-11-04

**

杨元庆回应“撤回上市申请”质疑：传言完全不对

基本面调查员

2021-10-26

$老虎证券(TIGR)$冷静，只有1，2类牌照而已

基本面调查员

2021-10-25

这说了个啥？啥也没说

华尔街骗过全世界：所谓散户战胜机构，原来是假的！

基本面调查员

2021-10-11

该涨了吧？

@基本面调查员:$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$短期回20，长期破一百都没什么问题。汽车性能方面世界第一，但是操作系统，也就是自动驾驶之类的还有待商榷。特斯拉必然不会坐以待毙。并且lucid的产品定价比较高。

基本面调查员

2021-10-04

$SQQQ 20211015 9.5 CALL(SQQQ)$快多

基本面调查员

2021-09-30

$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$都说啦要跌的。你们以为利好出了要涨，你们想过为什么一个月涨了快百分之50吗？那是在透支利好！Buy the rumor,sell the news，这个你们还得长一长记性

基本面调查员

2021-09-28

$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$短期回20，长期破一百都没什么问题。汽车性能方面世界第一，但是操作系统，也就是自动驾驶之类的还有待商榷。特斯拉必然不会坐以待毙。并且lucid的产品定价比较高。

基本面调查员

2021-09-28

$老虎证券(TIGR)$还好我早就跑了

基本面调查员

2021-09-10

$老虎证券(TIGR)$快跑！！！！

基本面调查员

2021-08-31

$NQ100指数2109(NQ2109)$ 真牛啊

基本面调查员

2021-08-25

$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$又你**的增发

基本面调查员

2021-08-09

$RBLX 20210820 86.0 CALL(RBLX)$还是赌财报舒服啊

基本面调查员

2021-07-20

$普普文化(CPOP)$虽然我没上车，但是我还是想问，怎么有这么恶心的公司啊？

基本面调查员

2021-07-13

$维珍银河(SPCE)$都是新手吧？流言涨，新闻跌，这么经典的规律大家一定要记住

基本面调查员

2021-07-08

大盘崩了！！！！！

基本面调查员

2021-07-08

$360数科(QFIN)$开盘就卖，不卖等死

基本面调查员

2021-07-05

$滴滴(DIDI)$可惜不能做空

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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期货模拟每日盈亏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6e6e9c1e61f65509966ca5f2b4a204","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870932545","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845614529,"gmtCreate":1636334434062,"gmtModify":1636334434062,"author":{"id":"3572368062789280","authorId":"3572368062789280","name":"基本面调查员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9a0fd39450462531a0eddeb9630a56","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"和我想的一模一样","listText":"和我想的一模一样","text":"和我想的一模一样","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845614529","repostId":"862375767","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":862375767,"gmtCreate":1632840583572,"gmtModify":1632840583572,"author":{"id":"3572368062789280","authorId":"3572368062789280","name":"基本面调查员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9a0fd39450462531a0eddeb9630a56","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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}\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n杨元庆回应“撤回上市申请”质疑：传言完全不对\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-04 18:09 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2021-11-04/doc-iktzscyy3650763.shtml><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>11月4日晚间消息，联想集团董事长兼CEO杨元庆今日表示，“有人说我们研发投入不满足上市要求，这是完全不对的”。\n杨元庆称，科创板的标准是“研发投入累计在6000万元以上”，实际上，联想已经大大跨过了这个门槛；专利方面，联想拥有超2万多项专利。\n杨元庆称，未来将继续加大研发投入，主要集中在新IT的5个方向上，包括端、边、云、网、智。\n对于市场关注的近90%的资产负债率水平，杨元庆表示，IT行业和...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2021-11-04/doc-iktzscyy3650763.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f10c5571533b425a393d535b40586ec","relate_stocks":{"03396":"联想控股","00992":"联想集团"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2021-11-04/doc-iktzscyy3650763.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111002164","content_text":"11月4日晚间消息，联想集团董事长兼CEO杨元庆今日表示，“有人说我们研发投入不满足上市要求，这是完全不对的”。\n杨元庆称，科创板的标准是“研发投入累计在6000万元以上”，实际上，联想已经大大跨过了这个门槛；专利方面，联想拥有超2万多项专利。\n杨元庆称，未来将继续加大研发投入，主要集中在新IT的5个方向上，包括端、边、云、网、智。\n对于市场关注的近90%的资产负债率水平，杨元庆表示，IT行业和房地产行业不同，后者资金周转周期长，IT行业周转周期比较快，从进货、库存到出货，数月内就可完成。同时，行业更看重的财务指标为“现金周期”，即供应商会给公司账期，公司也会给客户账期，从“应收帐款+库存-应付账款”的周期来看，公司保持在数天水平。杨元庆表示，联想负债结构中，约70%为供应商应付款，有息负债比例很小。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852921476,"gmtCreate":1635235929775,"gmtModify":1635235929775,"author":{"id":"3572368062789280","authorId":"3572368062789280","name":"基本面调查员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9a0fd39450462531a0eddeb9630a56","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>冷静，只有1，2类牌照而已","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>冷静，只有1，2类牌照而已","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$冷静，只有1，2类牌照而已","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852921476","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566179398545949","authorId":"3566179398545949","name":"龙潜九","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65d607cd781f66e20aa399c604b6e345","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"1号最重要","text":"1号最重要","html":"1号最重要"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856612173,"gmtCreate":1635173053984,"gmtModify":1635173053984,"author":{"id":"3572368062789280","authorId":"3572368062789280","name":"基本面调查员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9a0fd39450462531a0eddeb9630a56","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这说了个啥？啥也没说","listText":"这说了个啥？啥也没说","text":"这说了个啥？啥也没说","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856612173","repostId":"1134453672","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134453672","pubTimestamp":1635133630,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134453672?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-25 11:47","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"华尔街骗过全世界：所谓散户战胜机构，原来是假的！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134453672","media":"格隆汇","summary":"所谓的散户复仇，不过是换个花样被割。幕后的赢家，其实另有其人。","content":"<p>“布衣之怒，流血五步，天下缟素。”</p>\n<p>每回打开交易软件，我总忍不住想起这句颇具气势的理想主义宣言，和9个月前那场荡气回肠的大战。</p>\n<p>散户与华尔街同台竞技多少年来，从未有人想过两者能公平较量。更别提有朝一日，区区小散居然真能披着一身剐，嘴里喊着“YOLO”，把皇帝拉下马来。</p>\n<p>在那惊心动魄的两周间，全世界的韭菜们同仇敌忾，简直有些“英特纳雄耐尔，就一定会实现”的意味。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2da63db57f61964a8cdb564d37fc68e\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"553\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这个童话故事一般美好的当代传奇曾令无数人心潮澎湃，<b>直到它被一份文件彻底击碎。</b></p>\n<p>10月18日，美国证券交易委员会发布题为《关于2021年初股票和期权市场结构状况的员工报告》，还原了年初那场“散户大战空头”背后的真相。</p>\n<p>原来，所谓的散户复仇，不过是换个花样被割。</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><b><b>百姓 豪绅</b></b></p>\n<p>把这份文件揭露的事实用一句话总结，就是“得先让豪绅出钱，带着百姓捐钱。豪绅捐了，百姓才跟着捐”。只不过这次钱到手后，“不管豪绅的钱还是百姓的钱，咱们都三七分账。”</p>\n<p>怎么想这个所谓的“真相”，都与人们记忆中的认知大相径庭。散户大战过去9个月了，现在SEC企图用一份长达44页的报告为其翻案，如何能令大家信服？</p>\n<p>复盘一下这件事的来龙去脉，<b>还要从今年1月的一条推特开始说起。</b></p>\n<p>1月22日，华尔街知名空头机构香橼发推称，“我有5种法子证明，GME只值20美元”。这条傲慢的推特像一条导火索，迅速引燃了散户心中积压已久的怨气。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6df2ad7a524344e29fc22dbe11252c56\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这里得先介绍一下GME，该股全称GameStop，背后是美国一家老牌游戏零售巨头。一听就知道，这是个夕阳产业。</p>\n<p>如今玩家大多在网上买实体游戏，要么玩数字版，再加上去年疫情对线下服务业的打击，GameStop的重资产经营几乎难以为继，连年亏损下，一度濒临破产。</p>\n<p><b>基本面如此，GME的股价却在跌到3美元之后一路奋起直追。</b>到1月21日涨到45美元的历史新高，比那些能赚钱的年份还猛，这才有了香橼那条推特。</p>\n<p>GME之所以大涨特涨与经营无关，主要是机缘巧合之下，它成了WSB论坛一只闪耀的明星股。</p>\n<p>WSB全称WallStreetBets，意为“华尔街赌场”，是Reddit网站下的一个分支。顾名思义，这里聚集着一群赌性极强的股民，他们一般年纪不大，动不动就梭哈，妄想一步登天。</p>\n<p>GME在这里人气火爆，除了作为老一辈玩家童年回忆的情感因素。最重要的是，它是那些被华尔街肆无忌惮做空的股票中最具代表性的一只。据SEC披露，沽空比例高达123%。这意味着，<b>GME的空头头寸之多，甚至是流通股票的1.2倍。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8e7639871a7081a4d2adf9b59af4dba\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"554\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>理论上，做空的风险是上不封顶的。一旦股票被多头一路上推，空头就必须以高价买回股票，在不断亏损中止血出局，这就是逼空。买回股票时势必推升股价，空头之间因此相互踩踏，形成所谓的轧空。</p>\n<p>空头最大的恐惧就这样以最剧烈的方式上演了。</p>\n<p>1月22日，被香橼激怒的散户们冲进GME，大买该股或加杠杆买入看涨期权GME当天大涨50%，最高涨至77美元。空头们至此的损失将近50亿美元。这还只是个开始。</p>\n<p>一根大阳线，千军万马来相见。在之后的一周内，GME最高涨至483美元，5天之内股价翻了10倍。散户们在逼空大战中赚到手软，空头则不得不忍痛买进翻了倍的股票，要么继续耗，要么平仓止血。<b>或者更惨，耗到无钱可用时爆仓。</b></p>\n<p>虽然GME在涨至顶峰后接连暴跌，但时至今日股价仍高达180美元。在这场狂潮中，有散户晒出超过4420%的收益；空头们一天亏超140亿美元后，香橼宣布转行，梅尔文资本等一票对冲基金爆仓。</p>\n<p>这么来看，散户们着实大获全胜。然而，SEC的报告中却给出了截然不同的结论：空头虽然巨亏，<b>散户们也只是被利用当了棋子。</b></p>\n<p>幕后的赢家，其实另有其人。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><b><b>侠盗 买办</b></b></p>\n<p>一场血腥的较量过后，双方偃旗息鼓，发现其实打了个两败俱伤。<b>就算有赢家，也充其量是惨胜。</b></p>\n<p>34岁的波士顿金融分析师Keith Patrick Gill是WSB论坛的领头羊之一，早在2019年6月就买入GME。到今年1月27日，5万美元变成2010万美元；但当天买进的其他散户就没这么幸运了，他们将在半个月内目睹从500块到38块的飞流直下。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56098bc90591f83a05652acf9d97c51b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>今年前5个月，华尔街空头光在GME、AMC两只股票上的亏损就达到92.5亿美元；前基金经理Ryan Cohen却在GME身上大赚29亿美元。</p>\n<p>“天下风云出我辈，一入江湖岁月催。”无论吃牛排喝红酒还是吃薯条喝可乐，精英与散户都得在这场游戏中愿赌服输，不可谓不公平。但SEC偏要告诉世人：</p>\n<p><b>有那么一股势力在幕后搅弄风云，散户和空头都着了他们的道。</b></p>\n<p>10月19日，SEC主席加里·根斯勒现身美国电视台。声称“散户下单的股票其实并非流向透明的交易所，而是流向了‘黑池’。”按他的说法，当初散户的资金在变成账户上的股票前，先在“黑池市场”中走了一圈。</p>\n<p><b>散户们被当枪使的阴谋，就是在这个所谓的“黑池”中酝酿而生。</b></p>\n<p>在讨论“黑池”之前，有必要先了解一下北美近两年崛起的网红券商——Robinhood。它在2013年由两名华尔街出身的80后创立，去年在疫情下的大范围居家隔离中被捧到风口浪尖。</p>\n<p>Robinhood是用互联网思维做券商的代表，它找准了自身年轻化的定位，靠零佣金、零门槛和傻瓜式的交易界面，在去年大放水导致全球年轻散户入市达到巅峰时迅速膨胀起来。单在今年1月份的散户大战中，Robinhood就获得了300万次下载。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5ef774444d65f36730ba2f176f264d8\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"533\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>今年7月，Robinhood挂牌纳斯达克。</p>\n<p>不过，罗宾汉虽是英国传说中有名的侠盗，Robinhood也打着“散户大本营”的旗号。<b>这家券商，本质上维护的还是华尔街的利益。</b></p>\n<p>比如在散户大战进行到最为激烈的时段，Robinhood突然宣布对GME和AMC等股票限制交易，不允许买入，只允许卖出。“拉闸断电”，不可谓不狠。</p>\n<p>即便恢复交易后，也只允许交易者购买1股GME，之后逐步提高到4股、20股和100股。钝刀磨肉，生生把这场散户狂潮磨到烟消云散。</p>\n<p>为此，散户坚定的支持者马斯克曾在Clubhouse上质问过Robinhood创始人特涅夫，是否受到了Citadel的推动从而实施交易限制，被特涅夫断然否认。</p>\n<p>Citadel是SEC报告中另一个主角。它是美国最大的期权做市商，曾在梅尔文爆仓前夕慷慨解囊借出30亿。不过Citadel还有一个身份，<b>它是Robinhood最大的营收来源之一。</b></p>\n<p>加里·根斯勒口中的“黑池”，也是Citadel在其中为非作歹。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1267523bee0f38c9d2e4f0d04570d1ef\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Citadel的首席执行官格里芬</p>\n<p>“黑池”是个不为人知的另类交易系统，在这里操纵一切的是Citadel、Virtu Americas等做市商，栖身于Robinhood等新兴互联网券商，从而绕过SEC的批准和监管。</p>\n<p>黑池的交易规则很简单，散户在Robinhood发出订单后并没有被立刻执行，而是流向了黑池里的Citadel等做市商，它们再将订单集中起来与Robinhood批发交易。</p>\n<p><b>这个过程在几毫秒内就能完成，却能为它们带来巨大的收益。</b>今年1月的短短19个交易日内，光GME一只股票，在黑池中的交易量就超过1100亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><b><b>毫秒 万亿</b></b></p>\n<p>关于几毫米能做什么，国内知名私募幻方很有发言权。</p>\n<p>今年1月，幻方第二代超级计算机“萤火二号”交付使用。去年10月，幻方在介绍“萤火一号”时声称其算力相当于4万台个人电脑。而萤火二号的算力，是一号的18倍。</p>\n<p>美国的格林威治小镇也曾云集超过300家对冲基金，管理数千亿美元资产，仅次于纽约和伦敦。这个只有174平方公里的弹丸之地之所以高朋满座，离不开一箭之遥的那些海底光缆。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98c171a379aaebae55e1da93c42065f5\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"554\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>对冲基金之都——格林威治</p>\n<p>三师兄“一秒钟几十万上下”的豪言，已成历史尘埃。无论光缆还是超算，用最现金的科技减少延迟，<b>在毫秒之间创造万亿利润，这是量化投资用AI对人脑的降维打击。</b></p>\n<p>北美的量化投资已经有几十年的发展，而国内起步不过10年。比如幻方，2016年初才成立，最新规模已超600亿元。今年1月的备案产品就有59只，连续数月蝉联“私募备案王”。</p>\n<p>相同之处在于，今年量化交易以不同的形式在中美两地露足了脸。</p>\n<p>北美史诗一般的散户大战华尔街，直到这周才露出了量化交易的马脚。根据SEC的说法，所谓的轧空实际上不是GME等股票暴涨的理由。</p>\n<p><b>支撑WSB概念股一柱擎天的，单纯是全球散户们高昂的乐观情绪。</b></p>\n<p>但很简单就会发现，这种情绪是如何爆发的。是否有人利用了华尔街与散户长久以来积压的矛盾，是否有人利用论坛这种松散的组织形式暗中引导舆论，这都十分可疑。</p>\n<p>不要忘记在Robinhood拉闸之时，孙宇晨是如何浑水摸鱼，把20万WSB用户拉到群里收割，从而在几分钟内疯狂出货70亿枚TRX，狂赚几千万美金的。</p>\n<p>不管如何操作，<b>做市商联合互联网券商渔翁得利的真相确实是暴露了。</b></p>\n<p>针对此事，今年4月新官上任SEC主席的加里·根斯勒虽然是银行家出身，但更倾向于通过铁腕监管减少华尔街的出格之举，此举与中国证监会的做法有些相似。</p>\n<p>上个月，在A股连续49个交易日成交额超过万亿元的记录被大家大肆谈论的同时，国内量化类私募基金总管理规模正式突破1万亿的传闻也引起了部分股民的注意。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf446e98e6b90b5de5b1501c78238c44\" tg-width=\"981\" tg-height=\"594\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>有声音认为，<b>所谓的万亿成交额高实则是高换手的量化私募撑起的“虚胖”。</b>无论真假，这都应该引起注意。</p>\n<p>2015年A股疯牛后大跌，监管层明确将量化投资列为市场波动之因。一个月内A股市值蒸发30%，被查明是海外对冲基金的恶意做空后，监管层直接限制了34家境外账户。</p>\n<p>其中最著名的一家对冲基金，就是Citadel。</p>\n<p><b>4、结语</b></p>\n<p>关于散户与机构的博弈，加里·根斯勒有一句名言：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 我对投资者保护并不持中立态度。如果有人想投机，那是他们的选择，但我们作为一个国家，有责任保护这些投资者免受欺诈。\n</blockquote>\n<p>事实证明，脱离基本面，散户无论从资金、人脉、工具甚至法律上都无法与机构抗衡，因此难逃被收割的宿命。</p>\n<p>但这并不代表散户大战华尔街是一次无意义的抗争，它至少证明了，团结起来的人民能爆发出多大的能量，这足以让任何一个政府引起重视。</p>\n<p>而监管的责任，无非是利用种种方式达成投资者梦寐以求的“公平”二字。资本的天性是追逐利润，为此不惜一切代价。</p>\n<p>Citadel割完中国割美国，还不够疯狂吗？</p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>华尔街骗过全世界：所谓散户战胜机构，原来是假的！</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街骗过全世界：所谓散户战胜机构，原来是假的！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-25 11:47 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/492351><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“布衣之怒，流血五步，天下缟素。”\n每回打开交易软件，我总忍不住想起这句颇具气势的理想主义宣言，和9个月前那场荡气回肠的大战。\n散户与华尔街同台竞技多少年来，从未有人想过两者能公平较量。更别提有朝一日，区区小散居然真能披着一身剐，嘴里喊着“YOLO”，把皇帝拉下马来。\n在那惊心动魄的两周间，全世界的韭菜们同仇敌忾，简直有些“英特纳雄耐尔，就一定会实现”的意味。\n\n这个童话故事一般美好的当代传奇曾令...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/492351\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cac2eef0a6a80f86034dd1813b0330fb","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/492351","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"1134453672","content_text":"“布衣之怒，流血五步，天下缟素。”\n每回打开交易软件，我总忍不住想起这句颇具气势的理想主义宣言，和9个月前那场荡气回肠的大战。\n散户与华尔街同台竞技多少年来，从未有人想过两者能公平较量。更别提有朝一日，区区小散居然真能披着一身剐，嘴里喊着“YOLO”，把皇帝拉下马来。\n在那惊心动魄的两周间，全世界的韭菜们同仇敌忾，简直有些“英特纳雄耐尔，就一定会实现”的意味。\n\n这个童话故事一般美好的当代传奇曾令无数人心潮澎湃，直到它被一份文件彻底击碎。\n10月18日，美国证券交易委员会发布题为《关于2021年初股票和期权市场结构状况的员工报告》，还原了年初那场“散户大战空头”背后的真相。\n原来，所谓的散户复仇，不过是换个花样被割。\n1、百姓 豪绅\n把这份文件揭露的事实用一句话总结，就是“得先让豪绅出钱，带着百姓捐钱。豪绅捐了，百姓才跟着捐”。只不过这次钱到手后，“不管豪绅的钱还是百姓的钱，咱们都三七分账。”\n怎么想这个所谓的“真相”，都与人们记忆中的认知大相径庭。散户大战过去9个月了，现在SEC企图用一份长达44页的报告为其翻案，如何能令大家信服？\n复盘一下这件事的来龙去脉，还要从今年1月的一条推特开始说起。\n1月22日，华尔街知名空头机构香橼发推称，“我有5种法子证明，GME只值20美元”。这条傲慢的推特像一条导火索，迅速引燃了散户心中积压已久的怨气。\n\n这里得先介绍一下GME，该股全称GameStop，背后是美国一家老牌游戏零售巨头。一听就知道，这是个夕阳产业。\n如今玩家大多在网上买实体游戏，要么玩数字版，再加上去年疫情对线下服务业的打击，GameStop的重资产经营几乎难以为继，连年亏损下，一度濒临破产。\n基本面如此，GME的股价却在跌到3美元之后一路奋起直追。到1月21日涨到45美元的历史新高，比那些能赚钱的年份还猛，这才有了香橼那条推特。\nGME之所以大涨特涨与经营无关，主要是机缘巧合之下，它成了WSB论坛一只闪耀的明星股。\nWSB全称WallStreetBets，意为“华尔街赌场”，是Reddit网站下的一个分支。顾名思义，这里聚集着一群赌性极强的股民，他们一般年纪不大，动不动就梭哈，妄想一步登天。\nGME在这里人气火爆，除了作为老一辈玩家童年回忆的情感因素。最重要的是，它是那些被华尔街肆无忌惮做空的股票中最具代表性的一只。据SEC披露，沽空比例高达123%。这意味着，GME的空头头寸之多，甚至是流通股票的1.2倍。\n\n理论上，做空的风险是上不封顶的。一旦股票被多头一路上推，空头就必须以高价买回股票，在不断亏损中止血出局，这就是逼空。买回股票时势必推升股价，空头之间因此相互踩踏，形成所谓的轧空。\n空头最大的恐惧就这样以最剧烈的方式上演了。\n1月22日，被香橼激怒的散户们冲进GME，大买该股或加杠杆买入看涨期权GME当天大涨50%，最高涨至77美元。空头们至此的损失将近50亿美元。这还只是个开始。\n一根大阳线，千军万马来相见。在之后的一周内，GME最高涨至483美元，5天之内股价翻了10倍。散户们在逼空大战中赚到手软，空头则不得不忍痛买进翻了倍的股票，要么继续耗，要么平仓止血。或者更惨，耗到无钱可用时爆仓。\n虽然GME在涨至顶峰后接连暴跌，但时至今日股价仍高达180美元。在这场狂潮中，有散户晒出超过4420%的收益；空头们一天亏超140亿美元后，香橼宣布转行，梅尔文资本等一票对冲基金爆仓。\n这么来看，散户们着实大获全胜。然而，SEC的报告中却给出了截然不同的结论：空头虽然巨亏，散户们也只是被利用当了棋子。\n幕后的赢家，其实另有其人。\n2、侠盗 买办\n一场血腥的较量过后，双方偃旗息鼓，发现其实打了个两败俱伤。就算有赢家，也充其量是惨胜。\n34岁的波士顿金融分析师Keith Patrick Gill是WSB论坛的领头羊之一，早在2019年6月就买入GME。到今年1月27日，5万美元变成2010万美元；但当天买进的其他散户就没这么幸运了，他们将在半个月内目睹从500块到38块的飞流直下。\n\n今年前5个月，华尔街空头光在GME、AMC两只股票上的亏损就达到92.5亿美元；前基金经理Ryan Cohen却在GME身上大赚29亿美元。\n“天下风云出我辈，一入江湖岁月催。”无论吃牛排喝红酒还是吃薯条喝可乐，精英与散户都得在这场游戏中愿赌服输，不可谓不公平。但SEC偏要告诉世人：\n有那么一股势力在幕后搅弄风云，散户和空头都着了他们的道。\n10月19日，SEC主席加里·根斯勒现身美国电视台。声称“散户下单的股票其实并非流向透明的交易所，而是流向了‘黑池’。”按他的说法，当初散户的资金在变成账户上的股票前，先在“黑池市场”中走了一圈。\n散户们被当枪使的阴谋，就是在这个所谓的“黑池”中酝酿而生。\n在讨论“黑池”之前，有必要先了解一下北美近两年崛起的网红券商——Robinhood。它在2013年由两名华尔街出身的80后创立，去年在疫情下的大范围居家隔离中被捧到风口浪尖。\nRobinhood是用互联网思维做券商的代表，它找准了自身年轻化的定位，靠零佣金、零门槛和傻瓜式的交易界面，在去年大放水导致全球年轻散户入市达到巅峰时迅速膨胀起来。单在今年1月份的散户大战中，Robinhood就获得了300万次下载。\n\n今年7月，Robinhood挂牌纳斯达克。\n不过，罗宾汉虽是英国传说中有名的侠盗，Robinhood也打着“散户大本营”的旗号。这家券商，本质上维护的还是华尔街的利益。\n比如在散户大战进行到最为激烈的时段，Robinhood突然宣布对GME和AMC等股票限制交易，不允许买入，只允许卖出。“拉闸断电”，不可谓不狠。\n即便恢复交易后，也只允许交易者购买1股GME，之后逐步提高到4股、20股和100股。钝刀磨肉，生生把这场散户狂潮磨到烟消云散。\n为此，散户坚定的支持者马斯克曾在Clubhouse上质问过Robinhood创始人特涅夫，是否受到了Citadel的推动从而实施交易限制，被特涅夫断然否认。\nCitadel是SEC报告中另一个主角。它是美国最大的期权做市商，曾在梅尔文爆仓前夕慷慨解囊借出30亿。不过Citadel还有一个身份，它是Robinhood最大的营收来源之一。\n加里·根斯勒口中的“黑池”，也是Citadel在其中为非作歹。\n\nCitadel的首席执行官格里芬\n“黑池”是个不为人知的另类交易系统，在这里操纵一切的是Citadel、Virtu Americas等做市商，栖身于Robinhood等新兴互联网券商，从而绕过SEC的批准和监管。\n黑池的交易规则很简单，散户在Robinhood发出订单后并没有被立刻执行，而是流向了黑池里的Citadel等做市商，它们再将订单集中起来与Robinhood批发交易。\n这个过程在几毫秒内就能完成，却能为它们带来巨大的收益。今年1月的短短19个交易日内，光GME一只股票，在黑池中的交易量就超过1100亿美元。\n3、毫秒 万亿\n关于几毫米能做什么，国内知名私募幻方很有发言权。\n今年1月，幻方第二代超级计算机“萤火二号”交付使用。去年10月，幻方在介绍“萤火一号”时声称其算力相当于4万台个人电脑。而萤火二号的算力，是一号的18倍。\n美国的格林威治小镇也曾云集超过300家对冲基金，管理数千亿美元资产，仅次于纽约和伦敦。这个只有174平方公里的弹丸之地之所以高朋满座，离不开一箭之遥的那些海底光缆。\n\n对冲基金之都——格林威治\n三师兄“一秒钟几十万上下”的豪言，已成历史尘埃。无论光缆还是超算，用最现金的科技减少延迟，在毫秒之间创造万亿利润，这是量化投资用AI对人脑的降维打击。\n北美的量化投资已经有几十年的发展，而国内起步不过10年。比如幻方，2016年初才成立，最新规模已超600亿元。今年1月的备案产品就有59只，连续数月蝉联“私募备案王”。\n相同之处在于，今年量化交易以不同的形式在中美两地露足了脸。\n北美史诗一般的散户大战华尔街，直到这周才露出了量化交易的马脚。根据SEC的说法，所谓的轧空实际上不是GME等股票暴涨的理由。\n支撑WSB概念股一柱擎天的，单纯是全球散户们高昂的乐观情绪。\n但很简单就会发现，这种情绪是如何爆发的。是否有人利用了华尔街与散户长久以来积压的矛盾，是否有人利用论坛这种松散的组织形式暗中引导舆论，这都十分可疑。\n不要忘记在Robinhood拉闸之时，孙宇晨是如何浑水摸鱼，把20万WSB用户拉到群里收割，从而在几分钟内疯狂出货70亿枚TRX，狂赚几千万美金的。\n不管如何操作，做市商联合互联网券商渔翁得利的真相确实是暴露了。\n针对此事，今年4月新官上任SEC主席的加里·根斯勒虽然是银行家出身，但更倾向于通过铁腕监管减少华尔街的出格之举，此举与中国证监会的做法有些相似。\n上个月，在A股连续49个交易日成交额超过万亿元的记录被大家大肆谈论的同时，国内量化类私募基金总管理规模正式突破1万亿的传闻也引起了部分股民的注意。\n\n有声音认为，所谓的万亿成交额高实则是高换手的量化私募撑起的“虚胖”。无论真假，这都应该引起注意。\n2015年A股疯牛后大跌，监管层明确将量化投资列为市场波动之因。一个月内A股市值蒸发30%，被查明是海外对冲基金的恶意做空后，监管层直接限制了34家境外账户。\n其中最著名的一家对冲基金，就是Citadel。\n4、结语\n关于散户与机构的博弈，加里·根斯勒有一句名言：\n\n 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