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阿里王
To the moon
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阿里王
2021-09-14
$达达集团(DADA)$
$涂鸦智能(TUYA)$
没有任何消息放量下跌,是否是机构被迫清仓?
阿里王
2021-09-01
我的天啊竟然还不到6000台
$蔚来(NIO)$
阿里王
2021-08-06
$灿谷(CANG)$
已经建仓3700股,未来几天视情况继续补仓,目标价8美金以上,目前价格持有胜率很高公司
@阿里王:
$灿谷(CANG)$
未来的增长性并不确定,但是当前太被低估了[财迷] 现在买入持有胜率很高
阿里王
2021-07-25
$好未来(TAL)$
$新东方(EDU)$
$高途(GOTU)$
不知道说什么,很有幸见证历史吧[喷血] [喷血] [喷血] [惊吓]
阿里王
2021-07-24
$腾讯音乐(TME)$
$唯品会(VIPS)$
$好未来(TAL)$
[惊吓] [汗颜] [喷血] 归零倒计时
阿里王
2021-07-23
$声网(API)$
业务与营收增长主要来自于在线教育,如果监管属实声网营收增速会大幅放缓,无法支撑起当前近30倍市销率估值。
阿里王
2021-07-19
$灿谷(CANG)$
未来的增长性并不确定,但是当前太被低估了[财迷] 现在买入持有胜率很高
阿里王
2021-07-01
2021第二季度详细复盘:收益37%中的稳中求进
这是我在老虎社区写的第三篇季度交易复盘(前两篇:
2021年第一季度复盘
和
2020年我的交易复盘
)。相对于上个季度,4-6月里科技股和中概股的整体表现要比之前平稳得多,纳斯达克也在这个阶段上涨了约9%。在美联储决定维持当前货币政策后,股市一路向上,很多股票的价格也接近了2月时的高度或者创下了新高。考虑到前两个盈利季度积累的可观资金量,2021第二季度我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票交易结合的交易方法,但投资组合里加入了更多的股票,相应每支股票的占比也相对下降。基本面投资与毛票交易的仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021Q2收益率(蓝色)2021Q2投资组合主要数据统计我的2021Q2的累积收益为37.25%,与2021Q1的89.26%相比下降较明显,主要因为投资策略相较于之前季度更加保守以降低波动性。另外持仓的大部分中概股从2月的高点持续下跌到5月中也抵消了毛票交易带来的收益,导致5月中旬之前资产总额一直在负收益区间震荡。本季度一半的时间投资组合跑输基准和大盘。最大回撤为14.26%,发生在4月1日到4月20日间,相对之前季度的夸张的28.26%回撤有所改善。2021Q2最好的一天收益5.54%,最糟糕的一天亏损5.02%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为11.06%,最糟糕的日亏损为11.14%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为2.21%,显著低于2021Q1的4.18%。日下行波动率为1.35%,显著高于202
2021第二季度详细复盘:收益37%中的稳中求进
阿里王
2021-06-09
$理想汽车(LI)$
$京东(JD)$
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
经历了三个月多的回撤和震荡后账户资产终于又创新高了,年初至今收益已经128%,第二季度因为4月拖了后腿表现一般,希望6月可以带来更多的惊喜吧
阿里王
2021-05-17
$知乎(ZH)$
月活用户和付费用户数量持续高速增长,商业内容解决方案和会员收入势头强劲,但是这费用率和亏损幅度太离谱了。暂时清仓了,当前的市场环境和情绪很难给知乎一个高估值。
阿里王
2021-05-17
$小牛电动(NIU)$
一季度销量上去了,二季度营业额基本符合预期。但是出乎意料的亏损是十分糟糕的。销售费用太高,不知道是否是新产品线广告与地推所致。目前对小牛持谨慎态度,等电话会议披露更多运营细节吧[无语]
阿里王
2021-05-06
$Stealth Biotherapeutics Corp(MITO)$
1.43成本买的3000股终于翻身了[开心]
阿里王
2021-05-04
$Precipio, Inc.(PRPO)$
成本2.15持有2900股。都是新冠相关的利好,能不能复制一下OCGN[财迷]
@阿里王:
$Precipio, Inc.(PRPO)$
一个月前2.04买的1500股会变成多少呢?
阿里王
2021-04-29
$Farmmi, Inc.(FAMI)$
这种规模的增发稀释还真的第一次见。。大开眼界
阿里王
2021-04-15
$Quantumscape Corp.(QS)$
188页的做空报告,直接用几年前Theranos丑闻做比较,有空仔细看看
阿里王
2021-04-09
$Novo Integrated Sciences, Inc.(NVOS)$
$Medalist Diversified REIT, Inc.(MDRR)$
$Virpax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(VRPX)$
栽了个大跟头。一天四支毛票同时暴跌。
阿里王
2021-04-07
$恒异电子(BNSO)$
这825股会抹平今天中概股的亏损吗?
阿里王
2021-04-01
2021第一季度详细复盘:盈利89%中的巨幅回撤和不确定性
$京东(JD)$
$理想汽车(LI)$
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
2021第一季度很快就过去了。相信专注于科技股的各位和我的经历很相似—一月到二月中旬赚的盆满钵满,二月中旬开始美债收益率飙升,市场开始大幅回撤,到三月中旬的一个月内回吐了大部分盈利。最后半个月市场情绪暂时稳定,投资表现回暖,但还是有例如Archegos爆仓等黑天鹅事件和美债收益率持续飙升等不确定因素继续扰乱投资者情绪。在经历了美好的2020第四季度后,2021我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票套利结合的交易方法,仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021年一季度资产回报率与关键数据我的2021Q1的累积收益为89.26%,与2020Q4的110.65%相比有所下降,主要因为今年市场大环境衰弱,表现不如从前。 最大回撤为28.26%,发生在2月19号到3月8号,主要因为手里的成长性科技股与毛票联动下跌。我最初做股票用的都是基于统计回测的毛票交易策略,但是经历了去年9月一波超过20%的回撤后决定加入一些基于基本面的股票投资,一方面是想更好的规避风险,另一方面也是想鞭策自己更认真的研究宏观市场与公司财务。所以当市场大幅回调发现手上所有资产都在大幅回撤的时候还是很慌乱的。市场的确验证了金融世界的常识:在危机时资产价格的关联性会大幅增加。附上最糟糕的一个交易日的日间盈亏,如果是你会慌张吗?部分资产在市场崩盘时的日间表现2021Q1最好的一天收益11.06%,最糟糕的一天亏损11.14%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为16.81%,最糟糕的日亏损为5.98%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为4.18%,显
2021第一季度详细复盘:盈利89%中的巨幅回撤和不确定性
阿里王
2021-03-27
$好未来(TAL)$
$腾讯音乐(TME)$
$唯品会(VIPS)$
2023见[白眼]
阿里王
2021-03-26
$Muscle Maker, Inc.(GRIL)$
$InMed Pharmaceuticals Inc(INM)$
$绿星球集团(PLAG)$
已买入,看好其中两支三个月翻倍。目前GRIL2.33,INM3.51,PLAG2.31。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/m/TW/357293116?invite=1VOKFP&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">2021年第一季度复盘</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/336040601?invite=1VOKFP&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">2020年我的交易复盘</a>)。相对于上个季度,4-6月里科技股和中概股的整体表现要比之前平稳得多,纳斯达克也在这个阶段上涨了约9%。在美联储决定维持当前货币政策后,股市一路向上,很多股票的价格也接近了2月时的高度或者创下了新高。考虑到前两个盈利季度积累的可观资金量,2021第二季度我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票交易结合的交易方法,但投资组合里加入了更多的股票,相应每支股票的占比也相对下降。基本面投资与毛票交易的仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021Q2收益率(蓝色)2021Q2投资组合主要数据统计我的2021Q2的累积收益为37.25%,与2021Q1的89.26%相比下降较明显,主要因为投资策略相较于之前季度更加保守以降低波动性。另外持仓的大部分中概股从2月的高点持续下跌到5月中也抵消了毛票交易带来的收益,导致5月中旬之前资产总额一直在负收益区间震荡。本季度一半的时间投资组合跑输基准和大盘。最大回撤为14.26%,发生在4月1日到4月20日间,相对之前季度的夸张的28.26%回撤有所改善。2021Q2最好的一天收益5.54%,最糟糕的一天亏损5.02%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为11.06%,最糟糕的日亏损为11.14%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为2.21%,显著低于2021Q1的4.18%。日下行波动率为1.35%,显著高于202","listText":"这是我在老虎社区写的第三篇季度交易复盘(前两篇:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/m/TW/357293116?invite=1VOKFP&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">2021年第一季度复盘</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/336040601?invite=1VOKFP&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">2020年我的交易复盘</a>)。相对于上个季度,4-6月里科技股和中概股的整体表现要比之前平稳得多,纳斯达克也在这个阶段上涨了约9%。在美联储决定维持当前货币政策后,股市一路向上,很多股票的价格也接近了2月时的高度或者创下了新高。考虑到前两个盈利季度积累的可观资金量,2021第二季度我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票交易结合的交易方法,但投资组合里加入了更多的股票,相应每支股票的占比也相对下降。基本面投资与毛票交易的仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021Q2收益率(蓝色)2021Q2投资组合主要数据统计我的2021Q2的累积收益为37.25%,与2021Q1的89.26%相比下降较明显,主要因为投资策略相较于之前季度更加保守以降低波动性。另外持仓的大部分中概股从2月的高点持续下跌到5月中也抵消了毛票交易带来的收益,导致5月中旬之前资产总额一直在负收益区间震荡。本季度一半的时间投资组合跑输基准和大盘。最大回撤为14.26%,发生在4月1日到4月20日间,相对之前季度的夸张的28.26%回撤有所改善。2021Q2最好的一天收益5.54%,最糟糕的一天亏损5.02%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为11.06%,最糟糕的日亏损为11.14%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为2.21%,显著低于2021Q1的4.18%。日下行波动率为1.35%,显著高于202","text":"这是我在老虎社区写的第三篇季度交易复盘(前两篇:2021年第一季度复盘和2020年我的交易复盘)。相对于上个季度,4-6月里科技股和中概股的整体表现要比之前平稳得多,纳斯达克也在这个阶段上涨了约9%。在美联储决定维持当前货币政策后,股市一路向上,很多股票的价格也接近了2月时的高度或者创下了新高。考虑到前两个盈利季度积累的可观资金量,2021第二季度我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票交易结合的交易方法,但投资组合里加入了更多的股票,相应每支股票的占比也相对下降。基本面投资与毛票交易的仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021Q2收益率(蓝色)2021Q2投资组合主要数据统计我的2021Q2的累积收益为37.25%,与2021Q1的89.26%相比下降较明显,主要因为投资策略相较于之前季度更加保守以降低波动性。另外持仓的大部分中概股从2月的高点持续下跌到5月中也抵消了毛票交易带来的收益,导致5月中旬之前资产总额一直在负收益区间震荡。本季度一半的时间投资组合跑输基准和大盘。最大回撤为14.26%,发生在4月1日到4月20日间,相对之前季度的夸张的28.26%回撤有所改善。2021Q2最好的一天收益5.54%,最糟糕的一天亏损5.02%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为11.06%,最糟糕的日亏损为11.14%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为2.21%,显著低于2021Q1的4.18%。日下行波动率为1.35%,显著高于202","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a213900f14a0b9aa689b223aa38129c7","width":"688","height":"224"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82762cb1f7572f1d4f67cd308a5e8db3","width":"688","height":"696"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca245ddb0dc5d34e6957867486379a4d","width":"688","height":"439"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158381752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13915,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3568081734360099","authorId":"3568081734360099","name":"何安迪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02c7061d02e3c72d7ce21a375ae80cb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568081734360099","authorIdStr":"3568081734360099"},"content":"按季度复盘 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中美竞争激烈 兄弟小心啊","text":"中概股最近很危险的 中美竞争激烈 兄弟小心啊","html":"中概股最近很危险的 中美竞争激烈 兄弟小心啊"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356353189,"gmtCreate":1616758534341,"gmtModify":1616758534341,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRIL\">$Muscle Maker, Inc.(GRIL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INM\">$InMed Pharmaceuticals Inc(INM)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLAG\">$绿星球集团(PLAG)$</a>已买入,看好其中两支三个月翻倍。目前GRIL2.33,INM3.51,PLAG2.31。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRIL\">$Muscle Maker, Inc.(GRIL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INM\">$InMed Pharmaceuticals Inc(INM)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLAG\">$绿星球集团(PLAG)$</a>已买入,看好其中两支三个月翻倍。目前GRIL2.33,INM3.51,PLAG2.31。","text":"$Muscle Maker, Inc.(GRIL)$$InMed Pharmaceuticals Inc(INM)$$绿星球集团(PLAG)$已买入,看好其中两支三个月翻倍。目前GRIL2.33,INM3.51,PLAG2.31。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356353189","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4058,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572387658832123","authorId":"3572387658832123","name":"illusion少校","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f799560af157282fc666dbdfeec040c","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572387658832123","authorIdStr":"3572387658832123"},"content":"这几个是什么题材的","text":"这几个是什么题材的","html":"这几个是什么题材的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":303992827,"gmtCreate":1602849343769,"gmtModify":1703828170866,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">$小牛电动(NIU)$</a>简述一下看多小牛的理由。 一,产品优秀。 二,优秀有经验的管理团队,很适合与资方打交道。 三,明确的用户定位和良好的品牌效应。 四:未来几年中国电动车更新迭代将创造巨大市场空间。 五:高于同行的毛利率。 六:拥有更多用户数据,未来对这些数据的想象空间很大。 七:广阔的国际市场扩张潜力。 风险当然也存在:竞争和政策风险。目前雅迪的营业额和增速都要高于小牛,并在二三线城市已经建立了很成熟的市场和销售网络。另外城市禁止电摩也是一个要考虑到的风险因素,会直接影响小牛高端M和N系列产品的销售。不确定性:小牛电动的估值。市面上很难找到可比较的标的。作为传统电摩制造厂商来说,小牛市值指标已经高过其他的该类公司,但如果按照新能源汽车或者科技公司的估值方法计算,小牛股价依旧有很大的上行空间。鉴于小牛产品的独特性、小牛偏于科技主题的品牌效应和由此衍生的社群以及小牛对数据的重视,我更倾向于第二种估值方式。欢迎交流。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">$小牛电动(NIU)$</a>简述一下看多小牛的理由。 一,产品优秀。 二,优秀有经验的管理团队,很适合与资方打交道。 三,明确的用户定位和良好的品牌效应。 四:未来几年中国电动车更新迭代将创造巨大市场空间。 五:高于同行的毛利率。 六:拥有更多用户数据,未来对这些数据的想象空间很大。 七:广阔的国际市场扩张潜力。 风险当然也存在:竞争和政策风险。目前雅迪的营业额和增速都要高于小牛,并在二三线城市已经建立了很成熟的市场和销售网络。另外城市禁止电摩也是一个要考虑到的风险因素,会直接影响小牛高端M和N系列产品的销售。不确定性:小牛电动的估值。市面上很难找到可比较的标的。作为传统电摩制造厂商来说,小牛市值指标已经高过其他的该类公司,但如果按照新能源汽车或者科技公司的估值方法计算,小牛股价依旧有很大的上行空间。鉴于小牛产品的独特性、小牛偏于科技主题的品牌效应和由此衍生的社群以及小牛对数据的重视,我更倾向于第二种估值方式。欢迎交流。","text":"$小牛电动(NIU)$简述一下看多小牛的理由。 一,产品优秀。 二,优秀有经验的管理团队,很适合与资方打交道。 三,明确的用户定位和良好的品牌效应。 四:未来几年中国电动车更新迭代将创造巨大市场空间。 五:高于同行的毛利率。 六:拥有更多用户数据,未来对这些数据的想象空间很大。 七:广阔的国际市场扩张潜力。 风险当然也存在:竞争和政策风险。目前雅迪的营业额和增速都要高于小牛,并在二三线城市已经建立了很成熟的市场和销售网络。另外城市禁止电摩也是一个要考虑到的风险因素,会直接影响小牛高端M和N系列产品的销售。不确定性:小牛电动的估值。市面上很难找到可比较的标的。作为传统电摩制造厂商来说,小牛市值指标已经高过其他的该类公司,但如果按照新能源汽车或者科技公司的估值方法计算,小牛股价依旧有很大的上行空间。鉴于小牛产品的独特性、小牛偏于科技主题的品牌效应和由此衍生的社群以及小牛对数据的重视,我更倾向于第二种估值方式。欢迎交流。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":37,"commentSize":19,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/303992827","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25860,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"20720740123116","authorId":"20720740123116","name":"甩小饼","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/c9e78e4003c7902c6421996438d94a90","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"20720740123116","authorIdStr":"20720740123116"},"content":"市场空间还很大,还有政府合作","text":"市场空间还很大,还有政府合作","html":"市场空间还很大,还有政府合作"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":357293116,"gmtCreate":1617274372135,"gmtModify":1710134099645,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"title":"2021第一季度详细复盘:盈利89%中的巨幅回撤和不确定性","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>2021第一季度很快就过去了。相信专注于科技股的各位和我的经历很相似—一月到二月中旬赚的盆满钵满,二月中旬开始美债收益率飙升,市场开始大幅回撤,到三月中旬的一个月内回吐了大部分盈利。最后半个月市场情绪暂时稳定,投资表现回暖,但还是有例如Archegos爆仓等黑天鹅事件和美债收益率持续飙升等不确定因素继续扰乱投资者情绪。在经历了美好的2020第四季度后,2021我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票套利结合的交易方法,仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021年一季度资产回报率与关键数据我的2021Q1的累积收益为89.26%,与2020Q4的110.65%相比有所下降,主要因为今年市场大环境衰弱,表现不如从前。 最大回撤为28.26%,发生在2月19号到3月8号,主要因为手里的成长性科技股与毛票联动下跌。我最初做股票用的都是基于统计回测的毛票交易策略,但是经历了去年9月一波超过20%的回撤后决定加入一些基于基本面的股票投资,一方面是想更好的规避风险,另一方面也是想鞭策自己更认真的研究宏观市场与公司财务。所以当市场大幅回调发现手上所有资产都在大幅回撤的时候还是很慌乱的。市场的确验证了金融世界的常识:在危机时资产价格的关联性会大幅增加。附上最糟糕的一个交易日的日间盈亏,如果是你会慌张吗?部分资产在市场崩盘时的日间表现2021Q1最好的一天收益11.06%,最糟糕的一天亏损11.14%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为16.81%,最糟糕的日亏损为5.98%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为4.18%,显","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>2021第一季度很快就过去了。相信专注于科技股的各位和我的经历很相似—一月到二月中旬赚的盆满钵满,二月中旬开始美债收益率飙升,市场开始大幅回撤,到三月中旬的一个月内回吐了大部分盈利。最后半个月市场情绪暂时稳定,投资表现回暖,但还是有例如Archegos爆仓等黑天鹅事件和美债收益率持续飙升等不确定因素继续扰乱投资者情绪。在经历了美好的2020第四季度后,2021我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票套利结合的交易方法,仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021年一季度资产回报率与关键数据我的2021Q1的累积收益为89.26%,与2020Q4的110.65%相比有所下降,主要因为今年市场大环境衰弱,表现不如从前。 最大回撤为28.26%,发生在2月19号到3月8号,主要因为手里的成长性科技股与毛票联动下跌。我最初做股票用的都是基于统计回测的毛票交易策略,但是经历了去年9月一波超过20%的回撤后决定加入一些基于基本面的股票投资,一方面是想更好的规避风险,另一方面也是想鞭策自己更认真的研究宏观市场与公司财务。所以当市场大幅回调发现手上所有资产都在大幅回撤的时候还是很慌乱的。市场的确验证了金融世界的常识:在危机时资产价格的关联性会大幅增加。附上最糟糕的一个交易日的日间盈亏,如果是你会慌张吗?部分资产在市场崩盘时的日间表现2021Q1最好的一天收益11.06%,最糟糕的一天亏损11.14%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为16.81%,最糟糕的日亏损为5.98%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为4.18%,显","text":"$京东(JD)$$理想汽车(LI)$$阿里巴巴(BABA)$2021第一季度很快就过去了。相信专注于科技股的各位和我的经历很相似—一月到二月中旬赚的盆满钵满,二月中旬开始美债收益率飙升,市场开始大幅回撤,到三月中旬的一个月内回吐了大部分盈利。最后半个月市场情绪暂时稳定,投资表现回暖,但还是有例如Archegos爆仓等黑天鹅事件和美债收益率持续飙升等不确定因素继续扰乱投资者情绪。在经历了美好的2020第四季度后,2021我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票套利结合的交易方法,仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021年一季度资产回报率与关键数据我的2021Q1的累积收益为89.26%,与2020Q4的110.65%相比有所下降,主要因为今年市场大环境衰弱,表现不如从前。 最大回撤为28.26%,发生在2月19号到3月8号,主要因为手里的成长性科技股与毛票联动下跌。我最初做股票用的都是基于统计回测的毛票交易策略,但是经历了去年9月一波超过20%的回撤后决定加入一些基于基本面的股票投资,一方面是想更好的规避风险,另一方面也是想鞭策自己更认真的研究宏观市场与公司财务。所以当市场大幅回调发现手上所有资产都在大幅回撤的时候还是很慌乱的。市场的确验证了金融世界的常识:在危机时资产价格的关联性会大幅增加。附上最糟糕的一个交易日的日间盈亏,如果是你会慌张吗?部分资产在市场崩盘时的日间表现2021Q1最好的一天收益11.06%,最糟糕的一天亏损11.14%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为16.81%,最糟糕的日亏损为5.98%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为4.18%,显","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87035f3cf3470bb6bf15a827455384b7","width":"840","height":"324"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca8cf883f41c5314975574a363f2a6fc","width":"900","height":"843"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c52ecc8a1596081c9f6114d7e738d2f8","width":"492","height":"501"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":24,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357293116","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":21150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572345168322398","authorId":"3572345168322398","name":"Mitchill","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a600735db9fce7c4734455f110b74541","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572345168322398","authorIdStr":"3572345168322398"},"content":"期权持仓为何都是远期的?准备长期持有博高收益?","text":"期权持仓为何都是远期的?准备长期持有博高收益?","html":"期权持仓为何都是远期的?准备长期持有博高收益?"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":158381752,"gmtCreate":1625129560976,"gmtModify":1710134099266,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"title":"2021第二季度详细复盘:收益37%中的稳中求进","htmlText":"这是我在老虎社区写的第三篇季度交易复盘(前两篇:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/m/TW/357293116?invite=1VOKFP&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">2021年第一季度复盘</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/336040601?invite=1VOKFP&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">2020年我的交易复盘</a>)。相对于上个季度,4-6月里科技股和中概股的整体表现要比之前平稳得多,纳斯达克也在这个阶段上涨了约9%。在美联储决定维持当前货币政策后,股市一路向上,很多股票的价格也接近了2月时的高度或者创下了新高。考虑到前两个盈利季度积累的可观资金量,2021第二季度我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票交易结合的交易方法,但投资组合里加入了更多的股票,相应每支股票的占比也相对下降。基本面投资与毛票交易的仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021Q2收益率(蓝色)2021Q2投资组合主要数据统计我的2021Q2的累积收益为37.25%,与2021Q1的89.26%相比下降较明显,主要因为投资策略相较于之前季度更加保守以降低波动性。另外持仓的大部分中概股从2月的高点持续下跌到5月中也抵消了毛票交易带来的收益,导致5月中旬之前资产总额一直在负收益区间震荡。本季度一半的时间投资组合跑输基准和大盘。最大回撤为14.26%,发生在4月1日到4月20日间,相对之前季度的夸张的28.26%回撤有所改善。2021Q2最好的一天收益5.54%,最糟糕的一天亏损5.02%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为11.06%,最糟糕的日亏损为11.14%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为2.21%,显著低于2021Q1的4.18%。日下行波动率为1.35%,显著高于202","listText":"这是我在老虎社区写的第三篇季度交易复盘(前两篇:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/m/TW/357293116?invite=1VOKFP&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">2021年第一季度复盘</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/336040601?invite=1VOKFP&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">2020年我的交易复盘</a>)。相对于上个季度,4-6月里科技股和中概股的整体表现要比之前平稳得多,纳斯达克也在这个阶段上涨了约9%。在美联储决定维持当前货币政策后,股市一路向上,很多股票的价格也接近了2月时的高度或者创下了新高。考虑到前两个盈利季度积累的可观资金量,2021第二季度我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票交易结合的交易方法,但投资组合里加入了更多的股票,相应每支股票的占比也相对下降。基本面投资与毛票交易的仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021Q2收益率(蓝色)2021Q2投资组合主要数据统计我的2021Q2的累积收益为37.25%,与2021Q1的89.26%相比下降较明显,主要因为投资策略相较于之前季度更加保守以降低波动性。另外持仓的大部分中概股从2月的高点持续下跌到5月中也抵消了毛票交易带来的收益,导致5月中旬之前资产总额一直在负收益区间震荡。本季度一半的时间投资组合跑输基准和大盘。最大回撤为14.26%,发生在4月1日到4月20日间,相对之前季度的夸张的28.26%回撤有所改善。2021Q2最好的一天收益5.54%,最糟糕的一天亏损5.02%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为11.06%,最糟糕的日亏损为11.14%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为2.21%,显著低于2021Q1的4.18%。日下行波动率为1.35%,显著高于202","text":"这是我在老虎社区写的第三篇季度交易复盘(前两篇:2021年第一季度复盘和2020年我的交易复盘)。相对于上个季度,4-6月里科技股和中概股的整体表现要比之前平稳得多,纳斯达克也在这个阶段上涨了约9%。在美联储决定维持当前货币政策后,股市一路向上,很多股票的价格也接近了2月时的高度或者创下了新高。考虑到前两个盈利季度积累的可观资金量,2021第二季度我继续使用之前的基本面投资+毛票交易结合的交易方法,但投资组合里加入了更多的股票,相应每支股票的占比也相对下降。基本面投资与毛票交易的仓位分配大概五五开,具体回报如下。2021Q2收益率(蓝色)2021Q2投资组合主要数据统计我的2021Q2的累积收益为37.25%,与2021Q1的89.26%相比下降较明显,主要因为投资策略相较于之前季度更加保守以降低波动性。另外持仓的大部分中概股从2月的高点持续下跌到5月中也抵消了毛票交易带来的收益,导致5月中旬之前资产总额一直在负收益区间震荡。本季度一半的时间投资组合跑输基准和大盘。最大回撤为14.26%,发生在4月1日到4月20日间,相对之前季度的夸张的28.26%回撤有所改善。2021Q2最好的一天收益5.54%,最糟糕的一天亏损5.02%。对比上一季度最好的日收益为11.06%,最糟糕的日亏损为11.14%。2021Q1投资组合的日波动率为2.21%,显著低于2021Q1的4.18%。日下行波动率为1.35%,显著高于202","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a213900f14a0b9aa689b223aa38129c7","width":"688","height":"224"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82762cb1f7572f1d4f67cd308a5e8db3","width":"688","height":"696"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca245ddb0dc5d34e6957867486379a4d","width":"688","height":"439"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158381752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13915,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3568081734360099","authorId":"3568081734360099","name":"何安迪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02c7061d02e3c72d7ce21a375ae80cb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568081734360099","authorIdStr":"3568081734360099"},"content":"按季度复盘 [666] [666]","text":"按季度复盘 [666] [666]","html":"按季度复盘 [666] [666]"}],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":322700903,"gmtCreate":1615823907502,"gmtModify":1703493694923,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a>过去三周损失较为惨重,因为毛票仓位较重和杠杆的原因最大回撤30%,好在最近情况有所好转。借着大跌的机会调了一些仓位:1. 加仓JD和BABA。逻辑很简单,消息面和市场行情导致优质股票估值缩水,是很好的买入机会。2. 逐步建仓理想。虽然蔚来和小鹏也都是很好的公司,但理想的企业运营和成本管理都更为出色,公司战略清晰和扎实,估值相对也更具有吸引力。抄底抄到了半山腰,成本均价26,会长期持有。3. 清仓百度。去年10月建仓到清仓收益120%。目前公司的PE处于历史相对高位,而且不想让自己投资组合承受太多新能源/自动驾驶带来的不确定性4. 继续持有小牛电动、Square、WIX、达达、新氧、有道。都是不错的赛道,不想错过可能的机会。5. 小仓位建仓逸仙电商,均价14.2。理由同上。6. 考虑建仓云计算。目前在认真关注Zendesk、Anaplan、Okta、Datadog、Elastic、Avalara。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a>过去三周损失较为惨重,因为毛票仓位较重和杠杆的原因最大回撤30%,好在最近情况有所好转。借着大跌的机会调了一些仓位:1. 加仓JD和BABA。逻辑很简单,消息面和市场行情导致优质股票估值缩水,是很好的买入机会。2. 逐步建仓理想。虽然蔚来和小鹏也都是很好的公司,但理想的企业运营和成本管理都更为出色,公司战略清晰和扎实,估值相对也更具有吸引力。抄底抄到了半山腰,成本均价26,会长期持有。3. 清仓百度。去年10月建仓到清仓收益120%。目前公司的PE处于历史相对高位,而且不想让自己投资组合承受太多新能源/自动驾驶带来的不确定性4. 继续持有小牛电动、Square、WIX、达达、新氧、有道。都是不错的赛道,不想错过可能的机会。5. 小仓位建仓逸仙电商,均价14.2。理由同上。6. 考虑建仓云计算。目前在认真关注Zendesk、Anaplan、Okta、Datadog、Elastic、Avalara。","text":"$京东(JD)$$阿里巴巴(BABA)$$理想汽车(LI)$过去三周损失较为惨重,因为毛票仓位较重和杠杆的原因最大回撤30%,好在最近情况有所好转。借着大跌的机会调了一些仓位:1. 加仓JD和BABA。逻辑很简单,消息面和市场行情导致优质股票估值缩水,是很好的买入机会。2. 逐步建仓理想。虽然蔚来和小鹏也都是很好的公司,但理想的企业运营和成本管理都更为出色,公司战略清晰和扎实,估值相对也更具有吸引力。抄底抄到了半山腰,成本均价26,会长期持有。3. 清仓百度。去年10月建仓到清仓收益120%。目前公司的PE处于历史相对高位,而且不想让自己投资组合承受太多新能源/自动驾驶带来的不确定性4. 继续持有小牛电动、Square、WIX、达达、新氧、有道。都是不错的赛道,不想错过可能的机会。5. 小仓位建仓逸仙电商,均价14.2。理由同上。6. 考虑建仓云计算。目前在认真关注Zendesk、Anaplan、Okta、Datadog、Elastic、Avalara。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/393a5c78e99516267a01df27050faa52","width":"1170","height":"1840"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322700903","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3464209514184414","authorId":"3464209514184414","name":"翻车老司机","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e73abc2998aa19e38a352a63123ea28","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3464209514184414","authorIdStr":"3464209514184414"},"content":"买那么多哦 看得过来吗","text":"买那么多哦 看得过来吗","html":"买那么多哦 看得过来吗"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":392293350,"gmtCreate":1607442072270,"gmtModify":1703847983232,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a>补仓京东,目前成为第一重仓股。平均成本78,会长期持有,三年股价看到200","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a>补仓京东,目前成为第一重仓股。平均成本78,会长期持有,三年股价看到200","text":"$京东(JD)$补仓京东,目前成为第一重仓股。平均成本78,会长期持有,三年股价看到200","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/392293350","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3562979480014316","authorId":"3562979480014316","name":"越来越美好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bbf470dfe265b6057a815891874988f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3562979480014316","authorIdStr":"3562979480014316"},"content":"京东纯粹觉得是正股就买了,没想长期持有,竟然一路下跌哈","text":"京东纯粹觉得是正股就买了,没想长期持有,竟然一路下跌哈","html":"京东纯粹觉得是正股就买了,没想长期持有,竟然一路下跌哈"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":305790935,"gmtCreate":1605053631627,"gmtModify":1703835974279,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"title":"近况更新","htmlText":"<a 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Inc.(PRPO)$一个月前2.04买的1500股会变成多少呢?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/396976490","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463088607730142","authorId":"3463088607730142","name":"圣火喵喵教主","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7133a4cc52642f406aaccac947869fc","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3463088607730142","authorIdStr":"3463088607730142"},"content":"现在你满意了吗","text":"现在你满意了吗","html":"现在你满意了吗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":307873897,"gmtCreate":1605536700319,"gmtModify":1703838127910,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">$福沃德工业(FORD)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ELSE\">$伊莱克森(ELSE)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCCO\">$Technical Communications Corpora(TCCO)$</a>很有趣的三支股票,入场。年底前应该会被炒作一下","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">$福沃德工业(FORD)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ELSE\">$伊莱克森(ELSE)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCCO\">$Technical Communications Corpora(TCCO)$</a>很有趣的三支股票,入场。年底前应该会被炒作一下","text":"$福沃德工业(FORD)$$伊莱克森(ELSE)$$Technical Communications 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underdeliver"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977967124,"gmtCreate":1601400188668,"gmtModify":1703824224970,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">$Snowflake(SNOW)$</a>250补仓80股做空,如果涨到280会继续追加筹码,坚定相信价值回归","listText":"<a 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看好明年年底到15块","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974730138","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3568191961654934","authorId":"3568191961654934","name":"心旷神怡YU","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568191961654934","authorIdStr":"3568191961654934"},"content":"已经实现了","text":"已经实现了","html":"已经实现了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356944500,"gmtCreate":1616751953400,"gmtModify":1616751953400,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAFU\">$华富教育(WAFU)$</a>1200股在20块全部清仓了。高点挂现价单没卖掉错过了一万","text":"$华富教育(WAFU)$1200股在20块全部清仓了。高点挂现价单没卖掉错过了一万","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aadb44350f0fbc4c0bf9a204830594a6","width":"1170","height":"512"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356944500","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561735284652125","authorId":"3561735284652125","name":"短线为胜率","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8af599f52f22ad95cbab0816b311469","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561735284652125","authorIdStr":"3561735284652125"},"content":"应该很早就没有空票了吧","text":"应该很早就没有空票了吧","html":"应该很早就没有空票了吧"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":304466005,"gmtCreate":1605280575207,"gmtModify":1703837260312,"author":{"id":"3557112159985164","authorId":"3557112159985164","name":"阿里王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93666e8922ac0243a982cdedc89da592","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557112159985164","authorIdStr":"3557112159985164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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