宝武集团的个人主页 - 老虎社区

宝武集团

宝武集团

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IP属地：安徽

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35主题

0勋章

2019-10-24

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 中美世界各国领导人非正式宣布，汽车今年有长远稳定增长放缓解决方案提供商务部门负责人。

2020-08-19

中国人市场大好欧美大盘，对券商，保险，银行情大好。刺激经济复工复产，世界粮食短缺。中国是农业大国带利益。世界疫情长期人类，挑战极限。疫苗接种成功对世界长期人类对抗，挑战自我。

抱歉，原内容已删除

2019-09-26

我参加了。就很好，谢谢老虎给我这喜爱的平台

2019-10-10

$鲁大师(03601)$ 升级成长值，优良的产品质量安全。

2019-11-27

$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 3元进最佳

2020-08-29

$小米集团主连(MIUmain)$ 大家都美了，小米笑翻倍。

2019-11-27

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 3万点是美国政府机构想要的

2019-04-11

$中国人保(601319)$我42岁投你一辈子拿钱投资依身。爱你中国心

2019-12-06

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 美变化大，小心观察。小心意意走向

2021-04-26

特斯拉应该调整模式，把整个汽车的，动力重新改装一下，以中国的国产嗯，能换掉美国的智能，更改国内的所有配件，包括系统在内，特斯拉就完全变成国产化中国画，这是啦，才有真正的春天，那就是中国智能汽车

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-01-15

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 3万点我个人关点。

2019-12-08

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ 中国明年会更好，有信心。

2019-12-06

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 益利

2019-09-26

我你投资者信心满满的都是爱。

2019-06-02

$马钢股份(600808)$ 我是马钢车轮轮箍厂人员之一

2021-04-26

这并不是谁都是龙头，龙头就是一个字，伯克希尔，真龙头。国内的茅台，香港的腾讯。

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-26

这是哪？他的系统和他的配件在四年前就有问题，一直没有处理好，到现在还是这样，你拖我拖拖到最后自自己把自己形象全丢了

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-08-29

$理想汽车(LI)$趋势线：不确定

2020-07-24

我都看好两位，开发思维方式方法各有春秋。特斯拉比蔚来合作有意思。

2019-11-04

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ 说话注意点，上证50是中国稳定性上升有在增强。

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23:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>周一，激光雷达概念股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">维视图像</a>盘中持续走高，最高涨超30%，此前该股成为WSB论坛热点话题。其他WSB热门股票跟涨，截至发稿，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>涨近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KOSS\">高斯电子</a>涨5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>涨2.4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e61174ebc834e63807f49ff7583e77f\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" 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22:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"铜价飙升至十年来的最高水平，有色金属板块走高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112124246","media":"智通财经","summary":"高盛将未来12个月铜目标价提高到1.1万美元/吨。","content":"<p>4月26日(周一)，有色金属板块盘中走高，截至发稿，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FCX\">麦克莫兰铜金</a>涨超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AA\">美国铝业</a>涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRQ\">Turquoise Hill Resources</a>涨超4%，美国雅宝公司涨超3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4747a8a90284928bc8ab8f9768b760f4\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>此前全球铜价飙升至十年来的最高水平，伦铜一度升至9700美元/吨。包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>等机构认为，考虑到铜在绿色能源转型中的重要作用，各国的气候目标将使本轮铜价反弹成为更长维度铜价上涨的开始。</p><p>高盛将未来12个月铜目标价提高到1.1万美元/吨，较两周前其重申的12个月铜目标价上调500美元，升幅将近4.8%。</p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>铜价飙升至十年来的最高水平，有色金属板块走高</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n铜价飙升至十年来的最高水平，有色金属板块走高\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-26 22:22 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/458639.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>4月26日(周一)，有色金属板块盘中走高，截至发稿，麦克莫兰铜金涨超6%，美国铝业涨超5%，Turquoise Hill Resources涨超4%，美国雅宝公司涨超3%。此前全球铜价飙升至十年来的最高水平，伦铜一度升至9700美元/吨。包括高盛等机构认为，考虑到铜在绿色能源转型中的重要作用，各国的气候目标将使本轮铜价反弹成为更长维度铜价上涨的开始。高盛将未来12个月铜目标价提高到1.1万美元/吨...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/458639.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eeb9a4d452d8568bcc6a2558535ad160","relate_stocks":{"AA":"美国铝业","FCX":"麦克莫兰铜金"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/458639.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"1112124246","content_text":"4月26日(周一)，有色金属板块盘中走高，截至发稿，麦克莫兰铜金涨超6%，美国铝业涨超5%，Turquoise Hill Resources涨超4%，美国雅宝公司涨超3%。此前全球铜价飙升至十年来的最高水平，伦铜一度升至9700美元/吨。包括高盛等机构认为，考虑到铜在绿色能源转型中的重要作用，各国的气候目标将使本轮铜价反弹成为更长维度铜价上涨的开始。高盛将未来12个月铜目标价提高到1.1万美元/吨，较两周前其重申的12个月铜目标价上调500美元，升幅将近4.8%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":348882994,"gmtCreate":1617912187318,"gmtModify":1617912187318,"author":{"id":"3514068381898040","authorId":"3514068381898040","name":"宝武集团","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4254873f7d4928b268d7a42338f74512","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514068381898040","authorIdStr":"3514068381898040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"纸涨价，对中国人民币重大利好。","listText":"纸涨价，对中国人民币重大利好。","text":"纸涨价，对中国人民币重大利好。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348882994","repostId":"348908318","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":348908318,"gmtCreate":1617873720000,"gmtModify":1617875949790,"author":{"id":"3524030243818067","authorId":"3524030243818067","name":"巴伦周刊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a88e8bd37e8c66a6dfdca78e1466369","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3524030243818067","authorIdStr":"3524030243818067"},"themes":[],"title":"腾讯又遭减持，三年前大回撤噩梦不会重演","htmlText":"投资者将很难想象，在基本面不存在重大变故的情况下，腾讯的估值水平会调整至大幅低于同业的位置。 Prosus NV减持2% 腾讯控股（0700.HK）股份的消息引发了对后者股价的担忧。美东时间周三（4月7日），腾讯ADR下跌7.54%。4月8日，腾讯港股迎来1486.82亿港元的日内成交额，创下历史新高，但股价至收盘时却仅下跌了1.51%。 2018年时，Prosus亦曾减持相同比例的腾讯股票。与当时的表态相似，Prosus再次承诺至少未来三年内不再出售任何腾讯股票。正常而言，附带期限的不减持承诺代表了大股东相当水平的信心。然而，似曾相识的场景带来了某种“轮回感”，令市场不禁开始想象腾讯股价大幅回撤的可能。三年前，腾讯同样面临监管风险，版号发放暂停与青少年防沉迷等问题使其游戏业务经历重创。那一次，腾讯股价自高位累计下跌了接近50%。 但这种今昔对比很可能止于联想。一方面，市场此前先行消化了相当部分的政策利空因素；受反垄断和金融科技监管收紧的影响，腾讯股价已较今年2月的最高点下跌了接近20%。另一方面，人们尚未看到此次的跌幅具体如何，已有较多市场声音开始展望其股价的反弹。 在基本面维度，今天的腾讯并非2018年的腾讯。受益于夺目的游戏和支付业务，2020年是这家巨头的盈利新高峰。财报显示，2020年全年，腾讯实现营收4820.64亿元，同比增长28%；实现归母净利润1598.47亿元，同比增长71%，非国际会计准则下归属于公司股东净利润1227.42亿元，同比增长30%。有市场分析人士指出，此次减持的动机的确主要来自Prosus内部，而不是基于对监管因素或腾讯经营情况的担忧。 1 三年前的回撤很难重现 2018年3月，Prosus减持2%的腾讯股份，持股比例从33.2%降至了31.2%。随后大约八个月时间里，腾讯股价自472港元跌至250港元，回撤幅度接近50%。然而，不应忽视","listText":"投资者将很难想象，在基本面不存在重大变故的情况下，腾讯的估值水平会调整至大幅低于同业的位置。 Prosus NV减持2% 腾讯控股（0700.HK）股份的消息引发了对后者股价的担忧。美东时间周三（4月7日），腾讯ADR下跌7.54%。4月8日，腾讯港股迎来1486.82亿港元的日内成交额，创下历史新高，但股价至收盘时却仅下跌了1.51%。 2018年时，Prosus亦曾减持相同比例的腾讯股票。与当时的表态相似，Prosus再次承诺至少未来三年内不再出售任何腾讯股票。正常而言，附带期限的不减持承诺代表了大股东相当水平的信心。然而，似曾相识的场景带来了某种“轮回感”，令市场不禁开始想象腾讯股价大幅回撤的可能。三年前，腾讯同样面临监管风险，版号发放暂停与青少年防沉迷等问题使其游戏业务经历重创。那一次，腾讯股价自高位累计下跌了接近50%。 但这种今昔对比很可能止于联想。一方面，市场此前先行消化了相当部分的政策利空因素；受反垄断和金融科技监管收紧的影响，腾讯股价已较今年2月的最高点下跌了接近20%。另一方面，人们尚未看到此次的跌幅具体如何，已有较多市场声音开始展望其股价的反弹。 在基本面维度，今天的腾讯并非2018年的腾讯。受益于夺目的游戏和支付业务，2020年是这家巨头的盈利新高峰。财报显示，2020年全年，腾讯实现营收4820.64亿元，同比增长28%；实现归母净利润1598.47亿元，同比增长71%，非国际会计准则下归属于公司股东净利润1227.42亿元，同比增长30%。有市场分析人士指出，此次减持的动机的确主要来自Prosus内部，而不是基于对监管因素或腾讯经营情况的担忧。 1 三年前的回撤很难重现 2018年3月，Prosus减持2%的腾讯股份，持股比例从33.2%降至了31.2%。随后大约八个月时间里，腾讯股价自472港元跌至250港元，回撤幅度接近50%。然而，不应忽视","text":"投资者将很难想象，在基本面不存在重大变故的情况下，腾讯的估值水平会调整至大幅低于同业的位置。 Prosus NV减持2% 腾讯控股（0700.HK）股份的消息引发了对后者股价的担忧。美东时间周三（4月7日），腾讯ADR下跌7.54%。4月8日，腾讯港股迎来1486.82亿港元的日内成交额，创下历史新高，但股价至收盘时却仅下跌了1.51%。 2018年时，Prosus亦曾减持相同比例的腾讯股票。与当时的表态相似，Prosus再次承诺至少未来三年内不再出售任何腾讯股票。正常而言，附带期限的不减持承诺代表了大股东相当水平的信心。然而，似曾相识的场景带来了某种“轮回感”，令市场不禁开始想象腾讯股价大幅回撤的可能。三年前，腾讯同样面临监管风险，版号发放暂停与青少年防沉迷等问题使其游戏业务经历重创。那一次，腾讯股价自高位累计下跌了接近50%。 但这种今昔对比很可能止于联想。一方面，市场此前先行消化了相当部分的政策利空因素；受反垄断和金融科技监管收紧的影响，腾讯股价已较今年2月的最高点下跌了接近20%。另一方面，人们尚未看到此次的跌幅具体如何，已有较多市场声音开始展望其股价的反弹。 在基本面维度，今天的腾讯并非2018年的腾讯。受益于夺目的游戏和支付业务，2020年是这家巨头的盈利新高峰。财报显示，2020年全年，腾讯实现营收4820.64亿元，同比增长28%；实现归母净利润1598.47亿元，同比增长71%，非国际会计准则下归属于公司股东净利润1227.42亿元，同比增长30%。有市场分析人士指出，此次减持的动机的确主要来自Prosus内部，而不是基于对监管因素或腾讯经营情况的担忧。 1 三年前的回撤很难重现 2018年3月，Prosus减持2%的腾讯股份，持股比例从33.2%降至了31.2%。随后大约八个月时间里，腾讯股价自472港元跌至250港元，回撤幅度接近50%。然而，不应忽视","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c6e527cab6549a980abd37ee315690f","width":"1080","height":"720"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9993499921d426bb1aa11d10a3359ec","width":"297","height":"273"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40105fa6cce74ff78831e7c4aae5bfeb","width":"830","height":"295"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348908318","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":323583861,"gmtCreate":1615355434953,"gmtModify":1703487805158,"author":{"id":"3514068381898040","authorId":"3514068381898040","name":"宝武集团","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4254873f7d4928b268d7a42338f74512","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514068381898040","authorIdStr":"3514068381898040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"买买","listText":"买买","text":"买买","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323583861","repostId":"1113945761","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113945761","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1615354129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113945761?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-10 13:28","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"小米午后快速下挫转跌，早盘最多涨近4%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113945761","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"小米集团午后下挫，现转跌，早盘最多涨近4%。","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团</a>午后下挫，现转跌，早盘最多涨近4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db1ca75e5c29e02266b5be5f62800056\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小米午后快速下挫转跌，早盘最多涨近4%</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团</a>午后下挫，现转跌，早盘最多涨近4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db1ca75e5c29e02266b5be5f62800056\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300939\">$秋田微(300939)$</a>[财迷]","text":"$秋田微(300939)$[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364010940","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":366352536,"gmtCreate":1614399252325,"gmtModify":1703477297733,"author":{"id":"3514068381898040","authorId":"3514068381898040","name":"宝武集团","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4254873f7d4928b268d7a42338f74512","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514068381898040","authorIdStr":"3514068381898040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] 中国牛，香港老虎最牛。","listText":"[财迷] 中国牛，香港老虎最牛。","text":"[财迷] 中国牛，香港老虎最牛。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366352536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2076,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":337315376,"gmtCreate":1611067678795,"gmtModify":1703747797582,"author":{"id":"3514068381898040","authorId":"3514068381898040","name":"宝武集团","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4254873f7d4928b268d7a42338f74512","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514068381898040","authorIdStr":"3514068381898040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\\","listText":"\\","text":"\\","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337315376","repostId":"1157408279","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157408279","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1611066661,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157408279?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-19 22:31","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"开盘：美股集体高开，新能源汽车板块强势领涨","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157408279","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月19日，美股集体高开，道琼斯指数指数开盘上涨265.72点，涨幅0.86%，报31079.98点;标普500指数指数开盘上涨31.13点，涨幅0.83%，报3799.38点;纳斯达克综合指数指数上","content":"<p>1月19日，美股集体高开，道琼斯指数指数开盘上涨265.72点，涨幅0.86%，报31079.98点;标普500指数指数开盘上涨31.13点，涨幅0.83%，报3799.38点;纳斯达克综合指数指数上涨138.88点，涨幅1.07%，报13137.38点。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c62c39193d63275cf16bca45613750ec\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\">中概股造车新势力上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>涨超4.3%，此前发布beta版高速自主导航驾驶技术功能。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>涨超3%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>涨7.3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>涨0.65%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>自动驾驶部门Cruise将与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>合作推动无人驾驶汽车商业化。</p><p>菲亚特克莱斯勒汽车集团与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0NQ9.UK\">标致</a>雪铁龙集团合并后的Stellantis普通股今日正式开始在纽交所交易，开涨近13%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨近5%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>将百度目标价由183美元上调近60%至292美元，维持“买入”评级。此外，威马汽车宣布，与百度Apollo共同研发的威马W6在威马湖北基地下线，将于今年上半年交付。据悉，威马W6可通过百度Apollo云端的百万级TOPS算力实现特定场景无人驾驶。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>涨超13%，上周累计涨幅超过100%。此前，Wedbush分析师Michael Pachter重申对游戏驿站的“中性”评级，目标价16美元。该分析师认为，尽管游戏驿站处于有利地位，并将成为新主机发布的主要受益者，但是其前景仍不明朗。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>涨超9%，此前，有媒体报道称，黑莓公司近日已经向华为出售了90项智能手机技术专利。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>开盘：美股集体高开，新能源汽车板块强势领涨</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n开盘：美股集体高开，新能源汽车板块强势领涨\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-19 22:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>1月19日，美股集体高开，道琼斯指数指数开盘上涨265.72点，涨幅0.86%，报31079.98点;标普500指数指数开盘上涨31.13点，涨幅0.83%，报3799.38点;纳斯达克综合指数指数上涨138.88点，涨幅1.07%，报13137.38点。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c62c39193d63275cf16bca45613750ec\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\">中概股造车新势力上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>涨超4.3%，此前发布beta版高速自主导航驾驶技术功能。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>涨超3%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>涨7.3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>涨0.65%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>自动驾驶部门Cruise将与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>合作推动无人驾驶汽车商业化。</p><p>菲亚特克莱斯勒汽车集团与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0NQ9.UK\">标致</a>雪铁龙集团合并后的Stellantis普通股今日正式开始在纽交所交易，开涨近13%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨近5%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>将百度目标价由183美元上调近60%至292美元，维持“买入”评级。此外，威马汽车宣布，与百度Apollo共同研发的威马W6在威马湖北基地下线，将于今年上半年交付。据悉，威马W6可通过百度Apollo云端的百万级TOPS算力实现特定场景无人驾驶。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>涨超13%，上周累计涨幅超过100%。此前，Wedbush分析师Michael Pachter重申对游戏驿站的“中性”评级，目标价16美元。该分析师认为，尽管游戏驿站处于有利地位，并将成为新主机发布的主要受益者，但是其前景仍不明朗。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>涨超9%，此前，有媒体报道称，黑莓公司近日已经向华为出售了90项智能手机技术专利。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 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\n \n  【瑞幸董事长陆正耀回应被要求退市：深感失望和遗憾】5月20日凌晨，瑞幸咖啡董事长陆正耀发表个人声明称，纳斯达克不等最终调查结果就要求公司退市，出乎意料，对此个人深感失望和遗憾。他坚信瑞幸咖啡的商业模式和商业逻辑。瑞幸如果退市，会倾尽全力维持门店运营[眼眼] 今天瑞幸会复牌，各位股东把握时机。。。。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$</a>\n \n","listText":"【瑞幸董事长陆正耀回应被要求退市：深感失望和遗憾】5月20日凌晨，瑞幸咖啡董事长陆正耀发表个人声明称，纳斯达克不等最终调查结果就要求公司退市，出乎意料，对此个人深感失望和遗憾。他坚信瑞幸咖啡的商业模式和商业逻辑。瑞幸如果退市，会倾尽全力维持门店运营[眼眼] 今天瑞幸会复牌，各位股东把握时机。。。。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$</a>","text":"【瑞幸董事长陆正耀回应被要求退市：深感失望和遗憾】5月20日凌晨，瑞幸咖啡董事长陆正耀发表个人声明称，纳斯达克不等最终调查结果就要求公司退市，出乎意料，对此个人深感失望和遗憾。他坚信瑞幸咖啡的商业模式和商业逻辑。瑞幸如果退市，会倾尽全力维持门店运营[眼眼] 今天瑞幸会复牌，各位股东把握时机。。。。$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/959241051","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"4206bd9d0fa146759ff2e482d059722a","tweetId":"959241051","title":"瑞幸董事长陆正耀回应被要求退市：深感失望和遗憾_老板联播-梨视频官网-Pear 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11:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"赚得够多又活得够久，巴菲特赢在哪里？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131734009","media":" 房东经济学","summary":"2020年8月30日，股神巴菲特过了自己的90岁生日。在美国众多超级富豪当中，我觉得最值得羡慕的人就是他了，美国排名前十的富豪里只有他是从投资做起来的，他的投资经历跨越了大半个世纪，在无数大事小事的历练中变得越来越强大，造福了无数投资者、也成就了自己的财富神话，现年已经90岁的他身体仍然不错。赚得够多又活得够久，巴菲特是真正的人生赢家。","content":"<p>2020年8月30日，股神巴菲特过了自己的90岁生日。在美国众多超级富豪当中，我觉得最值得羡慕的人就是他了，美国排名前十的富豪里只有他是从投资做起来的，他的投资经历跨越了大半个世纪，在无数大事小事的历练中变得越来越强大，造福了无数投资者、也成就了自己的财富神话，现年已经90岁的他身体仍然不错。</p><p>赚得够多又活得够久，巴菲特是真正的人生赢家。下面我们就来看看他为什么能赢。</p><p><b>眼光够好</b></p><p>股神的眼光不一般，这点成绩说明一切：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>的股价从1965年至2017年的五十二年间，平均每年上涨20.9%，超过同期标普500平均年化9.9%的上涨速度。</p><p>从数字看，巴菲特的年化收益率比标普500这个基准高一倍多一点，但复利下来是什么概念呢？我们将收益图拉长至1964 - 2015，伯克希尔的表现直接把标普500这个基准线压成了一条水平线。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7aed3bc22883bce85e629ed8cb9344e0\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\">伯克希尔哈撒韦 VS 标普500 1964-2015 （1964年定基100）</p><p>巴菲特的投资嗅觉敏锐，作为一个甜食爱好者，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">可口可乐</a>正好就是股神最漂亮的投资之一。</p><p>1988年，巴菲特重仓买入5亿美元的可口可乐，1989年增持4亿美元，1994年又增持3亿美元，累计投资13亿美元，当时可口可乐市值占伯克希尔账面价值的25%，仓位极重。到了十年之后1998年，他的持仓升值到133亿美元，一只股票十年十倍，十年净赚120亿美元，后来伯克希尔继续持有可口可乐至今。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fc46eb6cef4e6e0c72a54d9330e079f\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"563\">伯克希尔哈撒韦2019年1月1日持仓状况</p><p>巴菲特是一个甜食爱好者，而且洞察力极强，他发现零售机四周扔弃的瓶盖中，可口可乐的瓶盖比例很高；他也非常认同可口可乐的护城河，当时他和芒格得出的结论是：就算找到这个地球上最好的营销团队，想要复制出这样的可乐品牌，花1000亿美元都办不到（当时可口可乐市值仅200亿美元）。</p><p>另一个考量因素在于可口可乐的毛利率很高（超过80%），只要可口可乐卖得越多，利润自然就更高，而且可口可乐在过去八十年里销量保持稳定上升，即便如此，80年代末时全世界还有很多欠发达地区的人口没有尝过可乐的味道，他们在想：到2000年、2025年、2050年时，可口可乐的销售量会是多少？结果令人心动。当时可口可乐市盈率15倍，市净率5倍左右，估值便宜，巴菲特把握了这一次机会。大多数分析师只会分析几个季度的财报预测，但很少有人对几十年的跨度有这样准确的判断。</p><p><b>比可口可乐更刺激的是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>。</b>伯克希尔在2016年至2018年连续买入苹果股票，2019年底伯克希尔公开数据显示公司持有了大约2.5亿股苹果股票，成本352.8亿美元（平均每股成本141美元），2019年底是市值已经达到737亿美元（每股292美元），如今苹果股票价格是500美元并即将按照1:4拆股。假设伯克希尔的苹果持仓没有发生大幅变化，<b>那么短短几年间，伯克希尔通过苹果就赚了900多亿美元。</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e59625236439eec5595692c908be72a\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"315\">伯克希尔2019年末持仓数据</p><p>巴菲特在今年2月接受媒体采访时曾这么评价：苹果不是一只股票，而是保险和铁路之后伯克希尔哈撒韦的第三大业务，苹果“可能是我所知道世界上最好的生意”。</p><p><b>国运够强</b></p><p>没有人的成功能够离开时代，巴菲特的成功其实是美国成功的一个体现，在他的人生中，美国国运一路向上，这也使得美股长牛。如果让巴菲特出生在一个战乱不断、教育缺失的贫困国家，他不可能会有今天这样的成绩。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15237627c40ce402c337a6e0f2098717\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"610\">美国、中国、日本GDP （1960-2018）</p><p>巴菲特从美国得到的幸运不仅仅在于投资，而是从出生时就开始享受了，他出生在美国一个中产家庭，<b>从小就家里住独立屋（别墅）、开私家车，对美国来说，这就是1930年代中产阶级的普遍生活水准，</b>纵观整个二十世纪，很难找到另一个国运比美国更好的国家。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c06d1fe76b971b424aa12d21e48a145a\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"1384\">巴菲特童年照片</p><p>巴菲特在2017年参加《福布斯》杂志100周年庆典时表示<b>，美国股市只有一条路，那就是上坡路。他认为，100年内道指将升破100万点（当时道指约2.2万点）。</b></p><p>他说的没错，过去美股就是这样的走法，即使是一个人不如巴菲特有眼光，他于1950年用1万美元买入标普500指数，不算历年分红再投资，今天的价值也达到180万美元，名义上翻了180倍，扣除通胀因素则翻了18倍。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b2dee2d1528ede5a5e0e489e6e0c4a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"665\">标普500指数 1928-2019</p><p><b>活得够久</b></p><p><b>投资最讲究的是复利，当时间的朋友。</b>正如第一部分所说，巴菲特旗下的伯克希尔哈撒韦从1965年至2017年的五十二年间，平均每年上涨20.9%，这个回报率可能还远远不及A股的各路股神如徐翔、赵老哥等人。以徐翔为例，他旗下产品年化收益率约200%，是巴菲特的十倍水平，可惜徐翔的路子太野，最终因涉嫌操纵证券市场、内幕交易犯罪而被捕，200%的年化回报没能得到持续。</p><p>巴菲特强就强在他的高收益持续了半个多世纪，正是因为复利在基数越来越大的后期威力也不断增加，巴菲特有96%的财富都是60岁以后获得的。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d655f1e608f507c676e587e4201672e\" tg-width=\"637\" tg-height=\"635\">巴菲特身价 14岁至87岁</p><p>过去十年，虽然伯克希尔的表现相对标普500（全收益）已没有优势，而且大幅输给侧重于信息技术的纳斯达克指数。但需要了解的是，过去十多年的美股长牛主要是科技股带动起来的，而巴菲特的大多数投资都集中在金融、消费等传统行业，伯克希尔能在这种情况下获得与标普500不相上下的回报已经是非常厉害了。</p><p>目前，巴菲特身价790亿美元，按照过去五十多年的平均收益率来看，巴菲特每多活一年，他的财富就可以增长超过170亿美元。都说越有钱的人越怕死，原因就在这里，他们雪球大，每年的复利成果大到可怕。</p><p>股神的身体状况目前相当不错，由于今年疫情影响，最近的一次线下大会还是在2019年的股东大会，当时89岁的巴菲特和95岁的芒格回答了6个小时的提问，一共应对了投资者50多个问题。89岁和95岁的两个老人在万众瞩目之下高负荷输出六个小时，这可能是很多年轻人都做不到的。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5fcea5be2d0c8ddc35e8e5da8d172e3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\">巴菲特和芒格，伯克希尔哈撒韦2019年股东大会</p><p><b>股神打败自己</b></p><p>虽然巴菲特是一个这样幸运的股神，但随着时间的推移，他也逐渐难逃自己过去的预言。</p><p><b>巴菲特一直认为指数基金可以轻松打败主动型基金。</b>他觉得99%的市场参与者应该购买指数基金，而不是自己去买卖股票。</p><p>为了证实自己观点的正确性，2007年12月19日，巴菲特在Long Bets网站上发布“十年赌约”，以50万美元为赌注，指定Girls Inc.of Omaha这个慈善组织为受益人，若巴菲特赌赢则该组织可获得其赢得的全部赌金。他认为：<b>“任何一名职业投资人可选择至少5只对冲基金，在这段很长的时间内，职业投资人选择对冲基金的表现会落后于只收取象征性费用的标普500指数基金的表现”。</b></p><p>最后，这组由专业人士精心挑选的对冲基金全都输给了标普500。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9478bfae4c90c783366a2d972ba030e1\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"441\">五只FOF基金和标普500指数基金在十年赌约中的表现，全部输给标普500</p><p>不光是参与赌局的FOF基金，<b>其实现在的伯克希尔也难以再战胜指数了。</b></p><p>我们不妨看一下伯克希尔的表现，2008年12月31日，伯克希尔A类股收盘价格96600美元；到了2018年12月31日，伯克希尔A类股收于306000美元，巴菲特的伯克希尔十年总收益317%，由于伯克希尔从未进行分红，因此这就是股东的全部收益；</p><p>而2008年12月31日，标普500全收益指数（含股息）收于1452.98，2018年12月31日，标普500全收益指数（含股息）收于5035.45，标普500指数十年总收益347%（含股息收益）。<b>可见，2008-2018年十年期间，巴菲特输给了标普500全收益指数30%。</b></p><p>被动投资的威力还在变得越来越强：</p><p>2019年以来，标普500上涨28.7%，伯克希尔仅上涨18.3%，巴菲特在这一年的时间里输给标普500整整10个百分点；</p><p>再看今年，到目前为止标普500上涨8.6%，伯克希尔则是下跌了3.6%，才大半年巴菲特输给标普500超过12个百分点。</p><p>巴菲特言行一致，在2019年第四季度伯克希尔也买入了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">标普500ETF</a>，尽管数量不算多，但有很强的意义。<b>巴菲特曾预言主动投资干不过被动投资，最后自己也逃不出这个预言！</b></p><p>对巴菲特的历史成绩做统计，我们会发现：</p><p>在1957至1975年的出道期，巴菲特年均收益21.0%；</p><p>在1976至1998年的巅峰期，巴菲特年均收益30.4%；</p><p>在1999至2019年的老年期，他的年均收益为9.4%。</p><p>股神成绩的变化和美国产业变迁有密不可分的联系，他尤其喜欢金融和消费行业，但在过去的二十年，科技股崛起，很长一段时间内科技股的缺席可能是他最大的遗憾，即便是这样，在过去二十年他的成绩仍然强过大盘，这也说明巴菲特对自己熟悉的传统行业的确已经做到了极致（在缺少科技股的情况下还能有这么好的成绩）。后来的事实证明他是一个善于学习和勇于改变的人，他在2016-2018年大手笔买入苹果这一具有消费属性的科技股，堪称完美的一战。</p>","source":"lsy1573394270695","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>赚得够多又活得够久，巴菲特赢在哪里？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n赚得够多又活得够久，巴菲特赢在哪里？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-08-31 11:50 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/tksZ5AJu4ZZYTnZ1Q2XmNw><strong> 房东经济学</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2020年8月30日，股神巴菲特过了自己的90岁生日。在美国众多超级富豪当中，我觉得最值得羡慕的人就是他了，美国排名前十的富豪里只有他是从投资做起来的，他的投资经历跨越了大半个世纪，在无数大事小事的历练中变得越来越强大，造福了无数投资者、也成就了自己的财富神话，现年已经90岁的他身体仍然不错。赚得够多又活得够久，巴菲特是真正的人生赢家。下面我们就来看看他为什么能赢。眼光够好股神的眼光不一般，这点...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/tksZ5AJu4ZZYTnZ1Q2XmNw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b402548399cb86b8c641f128495d0e","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/tksZ5AJu4ZZYTnZ1Q2XmNw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131734009","content_text":"2020年8月30日，股神巴菲特过了自己的90岁生日。在美国众多超级富豪当中，我觉得最值得羡慕的人就是他了，美国排名前十的富豪里只有他是从投资做起来的，他的投资经历跨越了大半个世纪，在无数大事小事的历练中变得越来越强大，造福了无数投资者、也成就了自己的财富神话，现年已经90岁的他身体仍然不错。赚得够多又活得够久，巴菲特是真正的人生赢家。下面我们就来看看他为什么能赢。眼光够好股神的眼光不一般，这点成绩说明一切：伯克希尔的股价从1965年至2017年的五十二年间，平均每年上涨20.9%，超过同期标普500平均年化9.9%的上涨速度。从数字看，巴菲特的年化收益率比标普500这个基准高一倍多一点，但复利下来是什么概念呢？我们将收益图拉长至1964 - 2015，伯克希尔的表现直接把标普500这个基准线压成了一条水平线。伯克希尔哈撒韦 VS 标普500 1964-2015 （1964年定基100）巴菲特的投资嗅觉敏锐，作为一个甜食爱好者，可口可乐正好就是股神最漂亮的投资之一。1988年，巴菲特重仓买入5亿美元的可口可乐，1989年增持4亿美元，1994年又增持3亿美元，累计投资13亿美元，当时可口可乐市值占伯克希尔账面价值的25%，仓位极重。到了十年之后1998年，他的持仓升值到133亿美元，一只股票十年十倍，十年净赚120亿美元，后来伯克希尔继续持有可口可乐至今。伯克希尔哈撒韦2019年1月1日持仓状况巴菲特是一个甜食爱好者，而且洞察力极强，他发现零售机四周扔弃的瓶盖中，可口可乐的瓶盖比例很高；他也非常认同可口可乐的护城河，当时他和芒格得出的结论是：就算找到这个地球上最好的营销团队，想要复制出这样的可乐品牌，花1000亿美元都办不到（当时可口可乐市值仅200亿美元）。另一个考量因素在于可口可乐的毛利率很高（超过80%），只要可口可乐卖得越多，利润自然就更高，而且可口可乐在过去八十年里销量保持稳定上升，即便如此，80年代末时全世界还有很多欠发达地区的人口没有尝过可乐的味道，他们在想：到2000年、2025年、2050年时，可口可乐的销售量会是多少？结果令人心动。当时可口可乐市盈率15倍，市净率5倍左右，估值便宜，巴菲特把握了这一次机会。大多数分析师只会分析几个季度的财报预测，但很少有人对几十年的跨度有这样准确的判断。比可口可乐更刺激的是苹果。伯克希尔在2016年至2018年连续买入苹果股票，2019年底伯克希尔公开数据显示公司持有了大约2.5亿股苹果股票，成本352.8亿美元（平均每股成本141美元），2019年底是市值已经达到737亿美元（每股292美元），如今苹果股票价格是500美元并即将按照1:4拆股。假设伯克希尔的苹果持仓没有发生大幅变化，那么短短几年间，伯克希尔通过苹果就赚了900多亿美元。伯克希尔2019年末持仓数据巴菲特在今年2月接受媒体采访时曾这么评价：苹果不是一只股票，而是保险和铁路之后伯克希尔哈撒韦的第三大业务，苹果“可能是我所知道世界上最好的生意”。国运够强没有人的成功能够离开时代，巴菲特的成功其实是美国成功的一个体现，在他的人生中，美国国运一路向上，这也使得美股长牛。如果让巴菲特出生在一个战乱不断、教育缺失的贫困国家，他不可能会有今天这样的成绩。美国、中国、日本GDP （1960-2018）巴菲特从美国得到的幸运不仅仅在于投资，而是从出生时就开始享受了，他出生在美国一个中产家庭，从小就家里住独立屋（别墅）、开私家车，对美国来说，这就是1930年代中产阶级的普遍生活水准，纵观整个二十世纪，很难找到另一个国运比美国更好的国家。巴菲特童年照片巴菲特在2017年参加《福布斯》杂志100周年庆典时表示，美国股市只有一条路，那就是上坡路。他认为，100年内道指将升破100万点（当时道指约2.2万点）。他说的没错，过去美股就是这样的走法，即使是一个人不如巴菲特有眼光，他于1950年用1万美元买入标普500指数，不算历年分红再投资，今天的价值也达到180万美元，名义上翻了180倍，扣除通胀因素则翻了18倍。标普500指数 1928-2019活得够久投资最讲究的是复利，当时间的朋友。正如第一部分所说，巴菲特旗下的伯克希尔哈撒韦从1965年至2017年的五十二年间，平均每年上涨20.9%，这个回报率可能还远远不及A股的各路股神如徐翔、赵老哥等人。以徐翔为例，他旗下产品年化收益率约200%，是巴菲特的十倍水平，可惜徐翔的路子太野，最终因涉嫌操纵证券市场、内幕交易犯罪而被捕，200%的年化回报没能得到持续。巴菲特强就强在他的高收益持续了半个多世纪，正是因为复利在基数越来越大的后期威力也不断增加，巴菲特有96%的财富都是60岁以后获得的。巴菲特身价 14岁至87岁过去十年，虽然伯克希尔的表现相对标普500（全收益）已没有优势，而且大幅输给侧重于信息技术的纳斯达克指数。但需要了解的是，过去十多年的美股长牛主要是科技股带动起来的，而巴菲特的大多数投资都集中在金融、消费等传统行业，伯克希尔能在这种情况下获得与标普500不相上下的回报已经是非常厉害了。目前，巴菲特身价790亿美元，按照过去五十多年的平均收益率来看，巴菲特每多活一年，他的财富就可以增长超过170亿美元。都说越有钱的人越怕死，原因就在这里，他们雪球大，每年的复利成果大到可怕。股神的身体状况目前相当不错，由于今年疫情影响，最近的一次线下大会还是在2019年的股东大会，当时89岁的巴菲特和95岁的芒格回答了6个小时的提问，一共应对了投资者50多个问题。89岁和95岁的两个老人在万众瞩目之下高负荷输出六个小时，这可能是很多年轻人都做不到的。巴菲特和芒格，伯克希尔哈撒韦2019年股东大会股神打败自己虽然巴菲特是一个这样幸运的股神，但随着时间的推移，他也逐渐难逃自己过去的预言。巴菲特一直认为指数基金可以轻松打败主动型基金。他觉得99%的市场参与者应该购买指数基金，而不是自己去买卖股票。为了证实自己观点的正确性，2007年12月19日，巴菲特在Long Bets网站上发布“十年赌约”，以50万美元为赌注，指定Girls Inc.of Omaha这个慈善组织为受益人，若巴菲特赌赢则该组织可获得其赢得的全部赌金。他认为：“任何一名职业投资人可选择至少5只对冲基金，在这段很长的时间内，职业投资人选择对冲基金的表现会落后于只收取象征性费用的标普500指数基金的表现”。最后，这组由专业人士精心挑选的对冲基金全都输给了标普500。五只FOF基金和标普500指数基金在十年赌约中的表现，全部输给标普500不光是参与赌局的FOF基金，其实现在的伯克希尔也难以再战胜指数了。我们不妨看一下伯克希尔的表现，2008年12月31日，伯克希尔A类股收盘价格96600美元；到了2018年12月31日，伯克希尔A类股收于306000美元，巴菲特的伯克希尔十年总收益317%，由于伯克希尔从未进行分红，因此这就是股东的全部收益；而2008年12月31日，标普500全收益指数（含股息）收于1452.98，2018年12月31日，标普500全收益指数（含股息）收于5035.45，标普500指数十年总收益347%（含股息收益）。可见，2008-2018年十年期间，巴菲特输给了标普500全收益指数30%。被动投资的威力还在变得越来越强：2019年以来，标普500上涨28.7%，伯克希尔仅上涨18.3%，巴菲特在这一年的时间里输给标普500整整10个百分点；再看今年，到目前为止标普500上涨8.6%，伯克希尔则是下跌了3.6%，才大半年巴菲特输给标普500超过12个百分点。巴菲特言行一致，在2019年第四季度伯克希尔也买入了标普500ETF，尽管数量不算多，但有很强的意义。巴菲特曾预言主动投资干不过被动投资，最后自己也逃不出这个预言！对巴菲特的历史成绩做统计，我们会发现：在1957至1975年的出道期，巴菲特年均收益21.0%；在1976至1998年的巅峰期，巴菲特年均收益30.4%；在1999至2019年的老年期，他的年均收益为9.4%。股神成绩的变化和美国产业变迁有密不可分的联系，他尤其喜欢金融和消费行业，但在过去的二十年，科技股崛起，很长一段时间内科技股的缺席可能是他最大的遗憾，即便是这样，在过去二十年他的成绩仍然强过大盘，这也说明巴菲特对自己熟悉的传统行业的确已经做到了极致（在缺少科技股的情况下还能有这么好的成绩）。后来的事实证明他是一个善于学习和勇于改变的人，他在2016-2018年大手笔买入苹果这一具有消费属性的科技股，堪称完美的一战。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":971008951,"gmtCreate":1598635868273,"gmtModify":1704219977231,"author":{"id":"3514068381898040","authorId":"3514068381898040","name":"宝武集团","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4254873f7d4928b268d7a42338f74512","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514068381898040","authorIdStr":"3514068381898040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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