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投资与思考
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投资与思考
2020-11-05
今天听到一个逻辑:拜登在摇摆州的逆转意味着当选概率的大大提高,如果拜登当选则可能会降低对华为的打压,从而利空小米。感觉有点道理。 #投资与思考 #交易线索
$小米集团-W(01810)$
投资与思考
2021-01-04
$心动公司(02400)$
有个关注的微博大V去这家公司了所以买点关注一下的,没想到无心插柳。
投资与思考
2020-12-24
$拼多多(PDD)$
阿里被绊,拼多多收益,逻辑简单直观,没多想一步啊
投资与思考
2020-11-11
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
昨天看到了政府关于互联网平台反垄断的意见征求新闻,感觉到这些平台式互联网公司可能要有麻烦了。但是没有及时做空,真的是非常失误。
$腾讯控股(00700)$
$美团-W(03690)$
$京东(JD)$
投资与思考
2021-01-04
$火币科技(01611)$
比特币涨了这么多,火币开盘才10来个点,机会很明显。
投资与思考
2021-02-05
$极光(JG)$
最近中概股各种价值回归了,需要尽早抢筹码
$猎豹移动(CMCM)$
$荔枝(LIZI)$
投资与思考
2020-05-19
$亚马逊(AMZN)$
今晚新高
投资与思考
2020-12-30
$比亚迪股份(01211)$
可以关注美股新能源三杰(蔚来、理想、小鹏)的波动与港股比亚迪的联动效应,这里还是存在较大的类套利空间的。比如昨晚三杰涨了很多,今天A股和港股的比亚迪就有一个比较好的涨幅,而且不是开盘即涨,这里存在比较好的上车时间。
$蔚来(NIO)$
$理想汽车(LI)$
$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
投资与思考
2021-01-04
$宁德时代(300750)$
特斯拉降价要大卖,宁德时代大涨,没有抓住。
投资与思考
2020-05-27
$搜狗(SOGO)$
最近中概挺强
投资与思考
2021-04-01
$心动公司(02400)$
小破站出来拯救我的浮亏持仓了。。同时持有2家仓位的我表示对B站这笔投资很满意B站投资心动想想就非常合理啊,对B站扩大对游戏行业链条上下游更多环节的控制有很大好处,可以说是1+1大于2的典型例子继续看好B站与心动公司
$哔哩哔哩-SW(09626)$
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
投资与思考
2021-02-05
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
B站新年元旦晚会的二次传播做的不如东方卫视的一点就是,东方卫视会在每段节目完毕后,把该段视频实时剪辑为短视频上传到微博等,以便于站外讨论和二次传播,而B站当时全播放完了之后才有整段的录播,传播效果差了很多。而今天是小年,B站小年晚会的视频就学到了这个点,做成分段上传了。B站的进步速度还是可以的
投资与思考
2020-11-18
$蛋壳公寓(DNK)$
好几个月前就在各个地方看到了零散的关于蛋壳的运营问题,没有及时做空..
投资与思考
2021-03-14
$猫途鹰(TRIP)$
看好疫情逐渐平息旅游业逐步回复,买点观察着
投资与思考
2021-02-01
$心动公司(02400)$
心动不如行动
投资与思考
2020-12-01
$Yalla Group(YALA)$
YALA牛逼!
投资与思考
2020-11-17
$小米集团-W(01810)$
是不是做个波段呢
投资与思考
2020-11-05
$1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$
最近的疯涨,可以考虑买点避险了
投资与思考
2020-05-28
$美国银行(BAC)$
这周银行股涨了不少
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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仓储成本等降下来,减少当前因竞争格局比较激烈情况下的对用户的补贴,同时用户的留存率不因补贴少了而下降很多,这个新业务才算真的做起来了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110812563","repostId":"137083300","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":137083300,"gmtCreate":1622268549300,"gmtModify":1622431153720,"author":{"id":"3555926517215344","authorId":"3555926517215344","name":"走马财经","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/405de4c75e3b97b2d778531943cbe586","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555926517215344","authorIdStr":"3555926517215344"},"themes":[],"title":"美团发布了一份非常吓人的财报","htmlText":"1让悲观者更悲观,让乐观者更乐观。这就是2021年一季报,美团给我的第一印象。对于乐观者来说,美团这份财报好得吓人,气势如虹:单季度5900多万新增年活跃买家,这创造了美团的历史记录,是一季度中国所有平台新增用户量最多的一家,不是所有电商平台,是所有平台。2020年全年,美团新增用户只有6000万,其中Q4单季度新增3410万,2021年一个季度就基本完成了去年一整年的用户增量。新用户暴涨的同时,单用户年均消费次数也大幅增长,达到30.5次。新用户增长越快,单用户年均消费次数往往增长越慢,甚至负增长,因为新用户肯定会摊低均值。但是美团做到了用户和消费次数同时大幅增长,这是过去两年拼多多身上经常发生的事情。季度收入370亿,同比增长121%,环比仅仅下跌了2.4%,一季度是传统的淡季,四季度是传统旺季,所以通常一季度业绩环比会有双位数的下滑,尤其是对于成熟体量的公司。参照同业,阿里本地生活业务一季度同比增速仅仅50%,环比则下跌了13.2%。参照其它新经济巨头,阿里巴巴Q1环比下跌15.2%,京东环比下滑9.4%,拼多多环比下滑16.5%。分部来看,外卖、到店酒旅和新业务全部超过100%增长,尤其是新业务,增速超过136%,且规模达到99亿元,占整体营收的比例上升到26.8%,三年之内,这部分业务占整体业务的比重超过50%是大概率,也就是说,以2020年为节点,美团仅仅花了3年,就可能再造一个美团。对于悲观者来说,美团这份财报糟糕得吓人:新业务单季度亏损80亿,其中大部分亏损来自美团优选,而且盈利遥遥无期,单单这一条就能让许多投资者退而却步。新用户增长超预期也许只是昙花一现,难以持续。社区团购竞争激烈,政策风险,投资巨大,利润微薄,恐怕竹篮打水一场空。而我,显然更愿意站在乐观者一方。在我看来,这是一份远超预期的财报,下面,请给我10分钟左右的时间,带大家梳理它的业务表现和内在","listText":"1让悲观者更悲观,让乐观者更乐观。这就是2021年一季报,美团给我的第一印象。对于乐观者来说,美团这份财报好得吓人,气势如虹:单季度5900多万新增年活跃买家,这创造了美团的历史记录,是一季度中国所有平台新增用户量最多的一家,不是所有电商平台,是所有平台。2020年全年,美团新增用户只有6000万,其中Q4单季度新增3410万,2021年一个季度就基本完成了去年一整年的用户增量。新用户暴涨的同时,单用户年均消费次数也大幅增长,达到30.5次。新用户增长越快,单用户年均消费次数往往增长越慢,甚至负增长,因为新用户肯定会摊低均值。但是美团做到了用户和消费次数同时大幅增长,这是过去两年拼多多身上经常发生的事情。季度收入370亿,同比增长121%,环比仅仅下跌了2.4%,一季度是传统的淡季,四季度是传统旺季,所以通常一季度业绩环比会有双位数的下滑,尤其是对于成熟体量的公司。参照同业,阿里本地生活业务一季度同比增速仅仅50%,环比则下跌了13.2%。参照其它新经济巨头,阿里巴巴Q1环比下跌15.2%,京东环比下滑9.4%,拼多多环比下滑16.5%。分部来看,外卖、到店酒旅和新业务全部超过100%增长,尤其是新业务,增速超过136%,且规模达到99亿元,占整体营收的比例上升到26.8%,三年之内,这部分业务占整体业务的比重超过50%是大概率,也就是说,以2020年为节点,美团仅仅花了3年,就可能再造一个美团。对于悲观者来说,美团这份财报糟糕得吓人:新业务单季度亏损80亿,其中大部分亏损来自美团优选,而且盈利遥遥无期,单单这一条就能让许多投资者退而却步。新用户增长超预期也许只是昙花一现,难以持续。社区团购竞争激烈,政策风险,投资巨大,利润微薄,恐怕竹篮打水一场空。而我,显然更愿意站在乐观者一方。在我看来,这是一份远超预期的财报,下面,请给我10分钟左右的时间,带大家梳理它的业务表现和内在","text":"1让悲观者更悲观,让乐观者更乐观。这就是2021年一季报,美团给我的第一印象。对于乐观者来说,美团这份财报好得吓人,气势如虹:单季度5900多万新增年活跃买家,这创造了美团的历史记录,是一季度中国所有平台新增用户量最多的一家,不是所有电商平台,是所有平台。2020年全年,美团新增用户只有6000万,其中Q4单季度新增3410万,2021年一个季度就基本完成了去年一整年的用户增量。新用户暴涨的同时,单用户年均消费次数也大幅增长,达到30.5次。新用户增长越快,单用户年均消费次数往往增长越慢,甚至负增长,因为新用户肯定会摊低均值。但是美团做到了用户和消费次数同时大幅增长,这是过去两年拼多多身上经常发生的事情。季度收入370亿,同比增长121%,环比仅仅下跌了2.4%,一季度是传统的淡季,四季度是传统旺季,所以通常一季度业绩环比会有双位数的下滑,尤其是对于成熟体量的公司。参照同业,阿里本地生活业务一季度同比增速仅仅50%,环比则下跌了13.2%。参照其它新经济巨头,阿里巴巴Q1环比下跌15.2%,京东环比下滑9.4%,拼多多环比下滑16.5%。分部来看,外卖、到店酒旅和新业务全部超过100%增长,尤其是新业务,增速超过136%,且规模达到99亿元,占整体营收的比例上升到26.8%,三年之内,这部分业务占整体业务的比重超过50%是大概率,也就是说,以2020年为节点,美团仅仅花了3年,就可能再造一个美团。对于悲观者来说,美团这份财报糟糕得吓人:新业务单季度亏损80亿,其中大部分亏损来自美团优选,而且盈利遥遥无期,单单这一条就能让许多投资者退而却步。新用户增长超预期也许只是昙花一现,难以持续。社区团购竞争激烈,政策风险,投资巨大,利润微薄,恐怕竹篮打水一场空。而我,显然更愿意站在乐观者一方。在我看来,这是一份远超预期的财报,下面,请给我10分钟左右的时间,带大家梳理它的业务表现和内在","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36fc73a3a0c4e57d6125f3a4a4ed7fc1","width":"688","height":"450"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4bb7aea6584c26404a3c3514f16b41d","width":"688","height":"413"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6949a9c1b091a9cf7c26a4ed4df48e2a","width":"688","height":"480"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137083300","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":357513812,"gmtCreate":1617284786136,"gmtModify":1617284786136,"author":{"id":"722005582819","authorId":"722005582819","name":"投资与思考","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1d08fe52554883ebdbd951ec88a16bac","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"722005582819","authorIdStr":"722005582819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"很久没有全仓全绿了(绿涨红跌),纪念一下","listText":"很久没有全仓全绿了(绿涨红跌),纪念一下","text":"很久没有全仓全绿了(绿涨红跌),纪念一下","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/407ec179744a7d3855dd6e36db42e45c","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357513812","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":357125648,"gmtCreate":1617248907384,"gmtModify":1617248907384,"author":{"id":"722005582819","authorId":"722005582819","name":"投资与思考","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1d08fe52554883ebdbd951ec88a16bac","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"722005582819","authorIdStr":"722005582819"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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