KinKat
KinKat
知己知彼,百战百胜!
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avatarKinKat
2021-07-29

RafflesMed : 1H21 Results

$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$HighlightsDividend Policy ° Changed to Annual Dividend (from Semi-Annual). ° Formula - Up to Half of Average Sustainable PATMI. I assume 'sustainable' to mean recurring operating income & 'average' to give them flexibility to maintain the same or gradually increasing dividend (starting from 2.5ct) ° For FY21, Expected Div = 2.5ct (same Total Dividend since FY18)China Operations °  The main drag on RafflesMed for the past few years had been the China hospitals. During the construction phase, it drags down FCF due to high CAPEX. Upon completion, it drags down profitability till there's enough critical mass of patient load. ° ChongQing Hospital ought to be profitable soon,
RafflesMed : 1H21 Results
avatarKinKat
2021-05-02

What's the IV for BRK.B ?

$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$What's That? ° IIRC, Intrinsic Value (IV) a term either coined or popularized by Benjamin Graham (Warren Buffett 's 师父) ° It helps fundamental investors to put a value to a stock & use it as a basis for buy/sell decisionsWhy Is It Useful? ° BRK have a huge pile of cash & does share buybacks below IV ° Prior to Jul-18, the benchmark used was 1.2 x NBV per share but this had been shifted higher but not made known (else, they hardly get to do any buyback as investors will grab the shares the moment it drops below IV)I'm Still Listening ... ° My estimate is 1.3 x NBV / share, ° Look at the 30% Column (Pink) & Buy Back Column (Yellow) for correlation, prior to '20 °
What's the IV for BRK.B ?
avatarKinKat
2021-08-08

What's the IV for BRK.B?

$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Background ° In a previous post, I estimated the IV (Intrinsic Value) of BRK.B to be 1.3 * NBV after comparing past Shares BuyBack data. ° However, from their latest Q221 Financial Report, the highest Average Price Paid for their Shares BuyBack in Q121 was $286.10 (for May). What Does that Mean? ° For Q121, using my computed NAV = $199.34 & my previously estimated 1.3 * NBV, I'd projected Max Shares Buyback Price = $259.14. ° With this latest data of $286.10, this means the formula could be around 1.435 * NBV instead !! What's Next ? ° From the latest Q221 Financial Report, I have computed NBV = $211.22. ° At 1.3 * NBV, my estimated Shares Buyback Max Limit = $274.58. ° At 1.435 * NBV, my estimated Sha
What's the IV for BRK.B?
avatarKinKat
2021-04-14
$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$For investors / traders of AGC, do take note of shares releases from July. Current number of AGC SPAC shares is low compared to what's going to be freed. Fm now till July, I'd expect AGC share prices to have volatile swings but will unlikely go below $10, the SPAC IPO price(?). This is also the PIPE price & unfortunately doesn't provide a higher base price support (unlike other SPACs with PIPE at $15). If prices should go up a lot, do note that fm Jul, there'll be a huge multiple of shares which may flood the mkt. The higher the price, the stronger would be the temptation by Grab employees to take profit.Just sharing my thoughts which are usually NOT correct. In the meantime, let's co
avatarKinKat
2021-04-17

KIT - Rights Issue Soon?

$KEPPEL INFRA TRUST WEF 2015(A7RU.SI)$IMO, KIT ought to be doing a Rights Issue soon as the mkt condition seems just abt right.To recap, they completed the acquisition of PCSPC recently,What is PCSPC?What's the cost?Why do we care?OMG! How much money do I need to reserve for this? As reference, KIT did a bigger Rights Issue in 2019 to raise $500m,This time round, they require S$357.6m. Assuming they plan to maintain the same Gearing Ratio, that means ~$243m in new shares, with the rest in borrowings.In the worst case (ie max to raise fm new shares to existing shareholders), Total Shares = 4,990,437,786Divide $243m by that means 4.87ct/shareie 1-for-10 @ $0.50 can easily do the trick!However, during the last Equity Fund Raising, they also had a Pri
KIT - Rights Issue Soon?
avatarKinKat
2021-04-18

Why KIT?

$KEPPEL INFRA TRUST WEF 2015(A7RU.SI)$Why Invest in KIT? •Yield = 6.8% @ $0.545 • Stable Distribution, Payout twice a year • FCFE > DPUWhat Do They Do? • Infrastructure like Power, Gas & Water, mostly government concessions for fixed terms & profit margins. • Recent acquisitions provide diversification into non-concession based business.Very Scary, Huge Losses in FY20!! • They're asset heavy, Depreciation Expenses are very hefty & Net Losses in their Income statements are not unexpected. • As KIT is a Business Trust & are allowed to pay out 100% of available cash flow, we should look at FCF (Free Cash Flow) instead, • FCF = OCF - CAPEXMore importantly, we're more interested in DCF (Distrib
Why KIT?
avatarKinKat
2021-11-07

What's the IV for BRK.B ?

$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Background • In my 1st Post in B/May after their Q121 Results, I posted on why their IV is 1.3 x NAV • In my 2nd Post in B/Aug after their Q221 Results, I posted on why their IV may be as high as 1.435 x NAV • With Q321 Results just announced, this post will expand on this topic Q321 Results Figures for Computing NAV Shares BuyBack for Q321 Compilation & Computation Observations •This is the 2nd Consecutive Q where their Average Monthly Share Buyback Price is Higher than my Original 1.3 x NAV Estimate. ---> Not as High as 1.435 x NAV for Q221 but still 1.351 x NAV for Q321. • Useful Reference Prices in Q421 for me, ---> $279.24 (1.3x) - For BUY, up to this price ---> $290.19 (1.351x) - For SEL
What's the IV for BRK.B ?
avatarKinKat
2021-05-02
I finally realized my dream of attending BRK AGM! BUT, the online livestream one [捂脸]  [得意] 
Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting 2021: Highlights and storylines
avatarKinKat
2021-04-09
2022! Becoming a recurring biz, not so different fm Flu vaccine [疑问] 
EU seeks new contract with Pfizer/BioNTech for up to 1.8 billion vaccines from 2022 -EU source
avatarKinKat
2021-08-03

General Offer by Keppel Corp

$SINGAPORE PRESS HLDGS LTD(T39.SI)$Offer PriceBuy, Hold or Sell ° Decision is yours to make! ° There's a discount now of ~5% if you were to buy SPH now. However, the value of the offer is dependent also on KREIT & SPH REIT prices. Further, it requires approval via EGM plus completion of the earlier Media co. spin off.Estimated Timeline
General Offer by Keppel Corp
avatarKinKat
2021-06-23
Unbelievable! Just one stock, can make so much difference in one's total assets. The wonderful thing about US market is, there're so many of such stocks vs SGX. The difficult part is to buy enough of it & hold long enough, to make a big difference [财迷] [得意] 
抱歉,原内容已删除
avatarKinKat
2021-05-10
A decade is a long time [白眼] [傲娇] 
1 Big Reason I Won't Buy Amazon Stock
avatarKinKat
2021-06-21
Correction week [疑问] 
Asia Stocks Drop as Fed Pivot Saps Reflation Bets: Markets Wrap
avatarKinKat
2021-05-01
2025 is the year to watch [疑问] 
1 Question Tesla Investors Need to Ask Themselves
avatarKinKat
2021-05-19
Yet so many new highs [惊讶] 
Wall Street closes lower on weak telecom stocks despite strong retail earnings
avatarKinKat
2021-06-06
A decade is a long time for tech stocks [惊讶] 
3 Technology Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade
avatarKinKat
2021-05-26
Inflation fears have become a recurring theme. Best is to take profits on up days [疑问] 
抱歉,原内容已删除
avatarKinKat
2021-05-22
Banks will do better in a rising interest rate environment, good to add bank shares to our stocks portfolio. Will wait for pullbacks to add any [财迷] 
Here Are the 3 Bank Moves Warren Buffett Has Made So Far in 2021
avatarKinKat
2021-03-06
Pulled Nasdaq up from the brink of a correction (defined as a 10% drop from recent peak)... [汗颜] 
U.S. Stocks open up, as strong jobs report boosts reopening optimism
avatarKinKat
2021-06-25
Dreams do come true [哇塞] 
Nasdaq and S&P 500 end at record highs; Dow rallies

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