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AbbyLi999
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IP属地:中国香港
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AbbyLi999
2024-12-14
$英伟达(NVDA)$
我加仓了,达仔下周你也该开启暴涨模式了!
AbbyLi999
2024-12-13
$英伟达(NVDA)$
我特么发现我最近是在第一大重仓的英伟达里躲牛市,擦!
AbbyLi999
2024-12-10
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
走得快,好世界,我可不想当乞丐😌
AbbyLi999
2024-12-09
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
先落袋一部分,留点底仓继续持有。我爱我的拉拉,谢谢Elon 💕
AbbyLi999
2024-10-16
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@小虎老师:降息前夕,TLT是否值得买?每月分红,还退分红税!
AbbyLi999
2024-10-03
年底看到5800没问题
AbbyLi999
2024-06-06
$英伟达(NVDA)$
持有快一年了,1250出了很知足了,等过段时间回调后再来接达子。
AbbyLi999
2024-03-09
$英伟达(NVDA)$
加仓!加仓!冲啊!
AbbyLi999
2024-02-21
$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$
请问这是什么意思?
AbbyLi999
2024-01-24
$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$
看好 Trump!冲啊!
AbbyLi999
2024-01-09
$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$
抄底了!冲啊!109!
AbbyLi999
2024-01-09
$英伟达(NVDA)$
CES还没开始就冲了新高,这么威武的吗哈哈哈哈哈哈
AbbyLi999
2024-01-09
$诺和诺德(NVO)$
冲啊!
AbbyLi999
2023-12-22
$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$
冲啊!
AbbyLi999
2023-10-19
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@ETF小帮手:ETF追踪 | 什么是10年期国债ETF?10年期国债是一个好的入门投资吗?
AbbyLi999
2023-10-18
[强]
@阿强观港美股:如何投资美债呢?
AbbyLi999
2021-11-10
$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$
赌财报的我现在有点瑟瑟发抖…
AbbyLi999
2021-11-01
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
只信马斯克![爱心]
AbbyLi999
2021-08-08
$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$
恶心至极!周一直接抛!
AbbyLi999
2021-03-23
$嘉楠科技(CAN)$
别跌了,人都不好了[流泪] [流泪] [流泪]
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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@陈友谅"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":380885749379264,"gmtCreate":1734020722070,"gmtModify":1734021935740,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559690053373773","authorIdStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 我特么发现我最近是在第一大重仓的英伟达里躲牛市,擦!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 我特么发现我最近是在第一大重仓的英伟达里躲牛市,擦!","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 我特么发现我最近是在第一大重仓的英伟达里躲牛市,擦!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380885749379264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554857116975884","authorId":"3554857116975884","name":"当幸福来推门","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b36eb74db7323ef12721deffe746bd18","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3554857116975884","authorIdStr":"3554857116975884"},"content":"短期趋势不好 成功躲开了牛市","text":"短期趋势不好 成功躲开了牛市","html":"短期趋势不好 成功躲开了牛市"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":379932595679560,"gmtCreate":1733791130517,"gmtModify":1733837358715,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559690053373773","authorIdStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 走得快,好世界,我可不想当乞丐😌","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 走得快,好世界,我可不想当乞丐😌","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 走得快,好世界,我可不想当乞丐😌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49b028c15f6465cd1dfda49461bdffa5","width":"1179","height":"2556"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379932595679560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":379826082165112,"gmtCreate":1733756264779,"gmtModify":1733756851447,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559690053373773","authorIdStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 先落袋一部分,留点底仓继续持有。我爱我的拉拉,谢谢Elon 💕","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 先落袋一部分,留点底仓继续持有。我爱我的拉拉,谢谢Elon 💕","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 先落袋一部分,留点底仓继续持有。我爱我的拉拉,谢谢Elon 💕","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dea1455e60033bfe14bb08e2299b4e3d","width":"981","height":"1637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379826082165112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4161932824255432","authorId":"4161932824255432","name":"小岛大浪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18691f82bc0421a1c71019cf028d7514","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4161932824255432","authorIdStr":"4161932824255432"},"content":"没看到成本价啊,不过落袋为安就很好了","text":"没看到成本价啊,不过落袋为安就很好了","html":"没看到成本价啊,不过落袋为安就很好了"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360628017205408,"gmtCreate":1729062245181,"gmtModify":1729062246790,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559690053373773","authorIdStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360628017205408","repostId":"338455814001136","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":338455814001136,"gmtCreate":1723640683597,"gmtModify":1723808925192,"author":{"id":"36989258284800","authorId":"36989258284800","name":"小虎老师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/6e9d88ae16a2b401169a727cf1457404","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36989258284800","authorIdStr":"36989258284800"},"themes":[],"title":"降息前夕,TLT是否值得买?每月分红,还退分红税!","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> 随着美联储 9月份降息的概率接近100%,最大的美债关联ETF- TLT 资金流入再度飙升。TLT 持有一篮子期限超过20年的美国国债,价格波动受美联储基准利率影响。随着利率下降,其投资组合中的债券价格趋于上涨。(注:债券价格和债券收益率成反比,即债券价格上涨,债券收益率下降。)长期国债ETF 的价格对利率变化的敏感度高于短期国债的 ETF。此外,购买TLT要择时!过去三年如果无脑买TLT很大概率亏损。下图可见,2020年美联储利率降低到0附近,TLT触顶。但还没到2022年首次加息,TLT就因市场敏感度高先跌了一波。7月以来,由于降息预期大增,TLT反弹近6%。2019年至今 TLT 走势2019年至今联邦基金有效利率投资者通常将 ETF 债券持有量的平均期限乘以预期的利率变化。例如,iShare官网显示TLT的有效久期为16.65%,意味着利率下降100个基点, TLT 价格上涨约16%。相反,利率上升 100 个基点将意味着价格下跌 16%,因此,过去一轮加息中利率以创纪录的速度上升时, TLT 跌入谷底。iShare官网TLT投资说明展望未来,降息周期的临近,市场当前预计到2024年12月,美联储降息100个基点的概率达42.6%。虽然TLT近期提前兑现一定预期涨幅,但仍有更多上涨空间。CME FedWatch Tool未来利率预期另一方面,TLT有稳定分红派息,当前12月股息率高达为3.72%,每个月1日会分派到投资者账户。iShare官网TLT投资说明大家通常知道,分红是会扣股息税的。但是TLT的股息税是会返还的。投资者购买美债ETF的股息税将会在次年2-4月返退回账户。美国对美国企业的现金股息的征税是30%。但是,部分国家或地","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> 随着美联储 9月份降息的概率接近100%,最大的美债关联ETF- TLT 资金流入再度飙升。TLT 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ETF。此外,购买TLT要择时!过去三年如果无脑买TLT很大概率亏损。下图可见,2020年美联储利率降低到0附近,TLT触顶。但还没到2022年首次加息,TLT就因市场敏感度高先跌了一波。7月以来,由于降息预期大增,TLT反弹近6%。2019年至今 TLT 走势2019年至今联邦基金有效利率投资者通常将 ETF 债券持有量的平均期限乘以预期的利率变化。例如,iShare官网显示TLT的有效久期为16.65%,意味着利率下降100个基点, TLT 价格上涨约16%。相反,利率上升 100 个基点将意味着价格下跌 16%,因此,过去一轮加息中利率以创纪录的速度上升时, TLT 跌入谷底。iShare官网TLT投资说明展望未来,降息周期的临近,市场当前预计到2024年12月,美联储降息100个基点的概率达42.6%。虽然TLT近期提前兑现一定预期涨幅,但仍有更多上涨空间。CME FedWatch 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持有快一年了,1250出了很知足了,等过段时间回调后再来接达子。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6049560b5312759610874fb78b2a5ff2","width":"981","height":"1637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/314034752950512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":282167170203880,"gmtCreate":1709916855882,"gmtModify":1709916859588,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559690053373773","authorIdStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 加仓!加仓!冲啊!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 加仓!加仓!冲啊!","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 加仓!加仓!冲啊!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/282167170203880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":276452347355320,"gmtCreate":1708521767685,"gmtModify":1708521771091,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559690053373773","authorIdStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DWAC\">$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$</a> 请问这是什么意思?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DWAC\">$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$</a> 请问这是什么意思?","text":"$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$ 请问这是什么意思?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f383736cd7a90996c4c7ff9d94a13b22","width":"1179","height":"1326"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/276452347355320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3478394109151180","authorId":"3478394109151180","name":"我是张东升","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8a95b1ba57faca39890a0fbf87c46ea","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3478394109151180","authorIdStr":"3478394109151180"},"content":"应该是关于收购是否同意的投票。可以不用管。","text":"应该是关于收购是否同意的投票。可以不用管。","html":"应该是关于收购是否同意的投票。可以不用管。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":266563980390480,"gmtCreate":1706107054540,"gmtModify":1706107055680,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559690053373773","authorIdStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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冲啊!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/254955982729480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":232170791358720,"gmtCreate":1697718620862,"gmtModify":1697718622264,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559690053373773","authorIdStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/232170791358720","repostId":"232061946150944","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":232061946150944,"gmtCreate":1697686239920,"gmtModify":1697686282693,"author":{"id":"3527667688472228","authorId":"3527667688472228","name":"ETF小帮手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087e050021c7db2ae39b1cb7515b694d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667688472228","authorIdStr":"3527667688472228"},"themes":[],"title":"ETF追踪 | 什么是10年期国债ETF?10年期国债是一个好的入门投资吗?","htmlText":"10 年期国债收益率可与标准普尔 500 指数相媲美,成为当今投资领域最受关注的基准,这是有充分理由的。收益率的变动可以提供对经济增长前景和市场预期的洞察,这在通胀环境中变得更加明显。 不仅投资者对基准收益率感兴趣,美联储以及经济学家和分析师也密切关注 10 年期利率,将其作为各种经济模型、指标和货币政策决策的组成部分。了解 10 年期国债利率如何运作、为何重要,并查看跟踪 10 年期国债的顶级国债 ETF 列表。10年期国债收益率是多少? 10年期国债收益率,通常被称为“10年期收益率”或“10年期债券利率”,是美国政府通过发行10年期国债来借款的利率。它代表投资者持有这些政府发行的证券直至到期(在本例中为 10 年)可预期获得的收益率或回报。产量以年百分比表示。 10年期国债收益率也是各个金融市场和更广泛经济的关键基准和重要指标。例如,10年期国债收益率可作为设定各种金融产品(包括抵押贷款、公司债券和其他贷款)利率的参考点。当10年期收益率上升或下降时,它会影响整个经济的借贷成本。 因此,投资者经常监控 10 年期收益率以评估其对股市的影响。较高的收益率可能会给股价带来下行压力,因为它们可能使固定收益投资相对于股票更具吸引力。 10年期国债无风险吗? 虽然十年期国债被认为是最安全的投资之一,但它们并非完全没有风险。10年期国债的“无风险”标签主要是指由于美国政府的支持,其违约风险较低。这是因为美国政府可以征税、借贷或印制货币来履行其债务义务。 投资者还必须记住,虽然违约风险很小,但 10 年期国债仍面临利率风险。现有债券的价格与利率的变化成反比。如果利率上升,现有债券的市场价值可能会下降,如果您需要在到期前出售,可能会导致资本损失。这种风险主要影响债券的市场价值,可以通过持有债券直至到","listText":"10 年期国债收益率可与标准普尔 500 指数相媲美,成为当今投资领域最受关注的基准,这是有充分理由的。收益率的变动可以提供对经济增长前景和市场预期的洞察,这在通胀环境中变得更加明显。 不仅投资者对基准收益率感兴趣,美联储以及经济学家和分析师也密切关注 10 年期利率,将其作为各种经济模型、指标和货币政策决策的组成部分。了解 10 年期国债利率如何运作、为何重要,并查看跟踪 10 年期国债的顶级国债 ETF 列表。10年期国债收益率是多少? 10年期国债收益率,通常被称为“10年期收益率”或“10年期债券利率”,是美国政府通过发行10年期国债来借款的利率。它代表投资者持有这些政府发行的证券直至到期(在本例中为 10 年)可预期获得的收益率或回报。产量以年百分比表示。 10年期国债收益率也是各个金融市场和更广泛经济的关键基准和重要指标。例如,10年期国债收益率可作为设定各种金融产品(包括抵押贷款、公司债券和其他贷款)利率的参考点。当10年期收益率上升或下降时,它会影响整个经济的借贷成本。 因此,投资者经常监控 10 年期收益率以评估其对股市的影响。较高的收益率可能会给股价带来下行压力,因为它们可能使固定收益投资相对于股票更具吸引力。 10年期国债无风险吗? 虽然十年期国债被认为是最安全的投资之一,但它们并非完全没有风险。10年期国债的“无风险”标签主要是指由于美国政府的支持,其违约风险较低。这是因为美国政府可以征税、借贷或印制货币来履行其债务义务。 投资者还必须记住,虽然违约风险很小,但 10 年期国债仍面临利率风险。现有债券的价格与利率的变化成反比。如果利率上升,现有债券的市场价值可能会下降,如果您需要在到期前出售,可能会导致资本损失。这种风险主要影响债券的市场价值,可以通过持有债券直至到","text":"10 年期国债收益率可与标准普尔 500 指数相媲美,成为当今投资领域最受关注的基准,这是有充分理由的。收益率的变动可以提供对经济增长前景和市场预期的洞察,这在通胀环境中变得更加明显。 不仅投资者对基准收益率感兴趣,美联储以及经济学家和分析师也密切关注 10 年期利率,将其作为各种经济模型、指标和货币政策决策的组成部分。了解 10 年期国债利率如何运作、为何重要,并查看跟踪 10 年期国债的顶级国债 ETF 列表。10年期国债收益率是多少? 10年期国债收益率,通常被称为“10年期收益率”或“10年期债券利率”,是美国政府通过发行10年期国债来借款的利率。它代表投资者持有这些政府发行的证券直至到期(在本例中为 10 年)可预期获得的收益率或回报。产量以年百分比表示。 10年期国债收益率也是各个金融市场和更广泛经济的关键基准和重要指标。例如,10年期国债收益率可作为设定各种金融产品(包括抵押贷款、公司债券和其他贷款)利率的参考点。当10年期收益率上升或下降时,它会影响整个经济的借贷成本。 因此,投资者经常监控 10 年期收益率以评估其对股市的影响。较高的收益率可能会给股价带来下行压力,因为它们可能使固定收益投资相对于股票更具吸引力。 10年期国债无风险吗? 虽然十年期国债被认为是最安全的投资之一,但它们并非完全没有风险。10年期国债的“无风险”标签主要是指由于美国政府的支持,其违约风险较低。这是因为美国政府可以征税、借贷或印制货币来履行其债务义务。 投资者还必须记住,虽然违约风险很小,但 10 年期国债仍面临利率风险。现有债券的价格与利率的变化成反比。如果利率上升,现有债券的市场价值可能会下降,如果您需要在到期前出售,可能会导致资本损失。这种风险主要影响债券的市场价值,可以通过持有债券直至到","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/232061946150944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":231801741971568,"gmtCreate":1697600966769,"gmtModify":1697600968170,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559690053373773","authorIdStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强] ","listText":"[强] ","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/231801741971568","repostId":"229017189765408","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":229017189765408,"gmtCreate":1696951546185,"gmtModify":1696954275984,"author":{"id":"3500773707643786","authorId":"3500773707643786","name":"阿强观港美股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dad38649fc47712e5a4b86bce9af5da","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500773707643786","authorIdStr":"3500773707643786"},"themes":[],"title":"如何投资美债呢?","htmlText":"投资美债,一般投资者,是配置美债基金ETF为主,有不同时间期限可以选择,和买卖股票一样,输入代码即可买卖,交易方便灵活,可以随时买卖,不用关注到期日,可以长期持有着派息。 但投资美债也是有风险的,美联储自2022年3月开始,加息了11次,利率升至5.25%~5.50%,导致长期美债,大幅下跌,例如,美国国债20+年以上ETF,代码:TLT,从高位下跌接近腰斩。 虽然说目前加息末期,美债风险相对不太大,但如果后期美债发行量继续大增,而市场消化不佳,长期美债一样也会承压。但如果接下来,美联储降息,长期美债回报也会不错。 一,保守投资者 挑选短期美债ETF,相对稳健,目前波动不大,挑选的下面两支美债ETF,资产规模,成交量都不错,可以长期持有着派息。 1,美国国债1-3月ETF,代码:BIL 2,美国国债1-3年ETF,代码:SHY 二,进取投资者 进取投资者,如果不单单想赚美债利息,还想赚差价,例如,后期美联储降息,则到期时间越长的美债,价格弹性也就越大,则选择期限比较长的美债ETF。但到期时间越长,也代表风险越大,不过可以长期持有着派息也不错。 1,美国国债3-7年ETF,代码:IEI 2,美国国债7-10年ETF,代码:IEF 3,美国国债20+年以上ETF,代码:TLT","listText":"投资美债,一般投资者,是配置美债基金ETF为主,有不同时间期限可以选择,和买卖股票一样,输入代码即可买卖,交易方便灵活,可以随时买卖,不用关注到期日,可以长期持有着派息。 但投资美债也是有风险的,美联储自2022年3月开始,加息了11次,利率升至5.25%~5.50%,导致长期美债,大幅下跌,例如,美国国债20+年以上ETF,代码:TLT,从高位下跌接近腰斩。 虽然说目前加息末期,美债风险相对不太大,但如果后期美债发行量继续大增,而市场消化不佳,长期美债一样也会承压。但如果接下来,美联储降息,长期美债回报也会不错。 一,保守投资者 挑选短期美债ETF,相对稳健,目前波动不大,挑选的下面两支美债ETF,资产规模,成交量都不错,可以长期持有着派息。 1,美国国债1-3月ETF,代码:BIL 2,美国国债1-3年ETF,代码:SHY 二,进取投资者 进取投资者,如果不单单想赚美债利息,还想赚差价,例如,后期美联储降息,则到期时间越长的美债,价格弹性也就越大,则选择期限比较长的美债ETF。但到期时间越长,也代表风险越大,不过可以长期持有着派息也不错。 1,美国国债3-7年ETF,代码:IEI 2,美国国债7-10年ETF,代码:IEF 3,美国国债20+年以上ETF,代码:TLT","text":"投资美债,一般投资者,是配置美债基金ETF为主,有不同时间期限可以选择,和买卖股票一样,输入代码即可买卖,交易方便灵活,可以随时买卖,不用关注到期日,可以长期持有着派息。 但投资美债也是有风险的,美联储自2022年3月开始,加息了11次,利率升至5.25%~5.50%,导致长期美债,大幅下跌,例如,美国国债20+年以上ETF,代码:TLT,从高位下跌接近腰斩。 虽然说目前加息末期,美债风险相对不太大,但如果后期美债发行量继续大增,而市场消化不佳,长期美债一样也会承压。但如果接下来,美联储降息,长期美债回报也会不错。 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ETF。此外,购买TLT要择时!过去三年如果无脑买TLT很大概率亏损。下图可见,2020年美联储利率降低到0附近,TLT触顶。但还没到2022年首次加息,TLT就因市场敏感度高先跌了一波。7月以来,由于降息预期大增,TLT反弹近6%。2019年至今 TLT 走势2019年至今联邦基金有效利率投资者通常将 ETF 债券持有量的平均期限乘以预期的利率变化。例如,iShare官网显示TLT的有效久期为16.65%,意味着利率下降100个基点, TLT 价格上涨约16%。相反,利率上升 100 个基点将意味着价格下跌 16%,因此,过去一轮加息中利率以创纪录的速度上升时, TLT 跌入谷底。iShare官网TLT投资说明展望未来,降息周期的临近,市场当前预计到2024年12月,美联储降息100个基点的概率达42.6%。虽然TLT近期提前兑现一定预期涨幅,但仍有更多上涨空间。CME FedWatch 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