AbbyLi999的个人主页 - 老虎社区

AbbyLi999

AbbyLi999

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IP属地：中国香港

19关注

8粉丝

3主题

0勋章

10-16

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@小虎老师:降息前夕，TLT是否值得买？每月分红，还退分红税！

10-03

年底看到5800没问题

06-07

$游戏驿站(GME)$ 明天中午直播还会涨！

06-06

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 持有快一年了，1250出了很知足了，等过段时间回调后再来接达子。

05-25

$诺和诺德(NVO)$ 冲啊！破前高！

03-09

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 加仓！加仓！冲啊！

02-21

$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$ 请问这是什么意思？

01-24

$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$ 看好 Trump!冲啊！

01-09

$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ 抄底了！冲啊！109！

01-09

$英伟达(NVDA)$ CES还没开始就冲了新高，这么威武的吗哈哈哈哈哈哈

01-09

$诺和诺德(NVO)$ 冲啊！

2023-12-22

$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ 冲啊！

2023-10-19

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@ETF小帮手:ETF追踪 | 什么是10年期国债ETF？10年期国债是一个好的入门投资吗？

2023-10-18

[强]

@阿强观港美股:如何投资美债呢？

2021-11-10

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$赌财报的我现在有点瑟瑟发抖…

2021-11-01

$特斯拉(TSLA)$只信马斯克！[爱心]

2021-08-08

$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$恶心至极！周一直接抛！

2021-03-23

$嘉楠科技(CAN)$别跌了，人都不好了[流泪] [流泪] [流泪]

2021-03-23

$Takung Art Co., Ltd.(TKAT)$太牛逼了！42卖飞了[流泪] [流泪] [流泪] [流泪] [流泪]

2021-03-11

$嘉楠科技(CAN)$上啊Can哥！

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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持有一篮子期限超过20年的美国国债，价格波动受美联储基准利率影响。随着利率下降，其投资组合中的债券价格趋于上涨。（注：债券价格和债券收益率成反比，即债券价格上涨，债券收益率下降。）长期国债ETF 的价格对利率变化的敏感度高于短期国债的 ETF。此外，购买TLT要择时！过去三年如果无脑买TLT很大概率亏损。下图可见，2020年美联储利率降低到0附近，TLT触顶。但还没到2022年首次加息，TLT就因市场敏感度高先跌了一波。7月以来，由于降息预期大增，TLT反弹近6%。2019年至今 TLT 走势2019年至今联邦基金有效利率投资者通常将 ETF 债券持有量的平均期限乘以预期的利率变化。例如，iShare官网显示TLT的有效久期为16.65%，意味着利率下降100个基点， TLT 价格上涨约16%。相反，利率上升 100 个基点将意味着价格下跌 16%，因此，过去一轮加息中利率以创纪录的速度上升时， TLT 跌入谷底。iShare官网TLT投资说明展望未来，降息周期的临近，市场当前预计到2024年12月，美联储降息100个基点的概率达42.6%。虽然TLT近期提前兑现一定预期涨幅，但仍有更多上涨空间。CME FedWatch Tool未来利率预期另一方面，TLT有稳定分红派息，当前12月股息率高达为3.72%，每个月1日会分派到投资者账户。iShare官网TLT投资说明大家通常知道，分红是会扣股息税的。但是TLT的股息税是会返还的。投资者购买美债ETF的股息税将会在次年2-4月返退回账户。美国对美国企业的现金股息的征税是30%。但是，部分国家或地","text":"$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ 随着美联储 9月份降息的概率接近100%，最大的美债关联ETF- TLT 资金流入再度飙升。TLT 持有一篮子期限超过20年的美国国债，价格波动受美联储基准利率影响。随着利率下降，其投资组合中的债券价格趋于上涨。（注：债券价格和债券收益率成反比，即债券价格上涨，债券收益率下降。）长期国债ETF 的价格对利率变化的敏感度高于短期国债的 ETF。此外，购买TLT要择时！过去三年如果无脑买TLT很大概率亏损。下图可见，2020年美联储利率降低到0附近，TLT触顶。但还没到2022年首次加息，TLT就因市场敏感度高先跌了一波。7月以来，由于降息预期大增，TLT反弹近6%。2019年至今 TLT 走势2019年至今联邦基金有效利率投资者通常将 ETF 债券持有量的平均期限乘以预期的利率变化。例如，iShare官网显示TLT的有效久期为16.65%，意味着利率下降100个基点， TLT 价格上涨约16%。相反，利率上升 100 个基点将意味着价格下跌 16%，因此，过去一轮加息中利率以创纪录的速度上升时， TLT 跌入谷底。iShare官网TLT投资说明展望未来，降息周期的临近，市场当前预计到2024年12月，美联储降息100个基点的概率达42.6%。虽然TLT近期提前兑现一定预期涨幅，但仍有更多上涨空间。CME FedWatch Tool未来利率预期另一方面，TLT有稳定分红派息，当前12月股息率高达为3.72%，每个月1日会分派到投资者账户。iShare官网TLT投资说明大家通常知道，分红是会扣股息税的。但是TLT的股息税是会返还的。投资者购买美债ETF的股息税将会在次年2-4月返退回账户。美国对美国企业的现金股息的征税是30%。但是，部分国家或地","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ca945a5270f08f51cfde6b00ded025c","width":"2794","height":"1458"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a957542dc6ab5163136a15f90fbed4f","width":"2278","height":"930"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e396db3c57e14c0f206369caf8c7134","width":"2026","height":"910"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/338455814001136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356160292401472,"gmtCreate":1727955174001,"gmtModify":1727955176027,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559690053373773","idStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"年底看到5800没问题","listText":"年底看到5800没问题","text":"年底看到5800没问题","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356160292401472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":314066054500640,"gmtCreate":1717696576880,"gmtModify":1717696578248,"author":{"id":"3559690053373773","authorId":"3559690053373773","name":"AbbyLi999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6edecf42f563c8531e7b406814d37e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559690053373773","idStr":"3559690053373773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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