FiveStar的个人主页 - 老虎社区

FiveStar

股市菜雞, 五星吹爆

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69关注

21粉丝

1主题

0勋章

2021-11-01

Enjoy it[Happy]

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-10-31

🎃🎃🎃

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-10-30

Trade or treat!![Cool]

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-07-27

Q1成长不輸$Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)$

BRIEF-Etoro Group - Total Commissions Of $347 Mln For Q1 2021, Up 141% Compared With Q1 2020

2021-07-26

$A50指数2107(CN2107)$ 今天和$恒生科技指数主连 2107(HTImain)$ 一起比誰不受地心引力影響嗎？[喷血]

2021-07-19

$VIX波动率主连 2107(VIXmain)$ $欧洲波动率主连 2107(FVSmain)$ 就你俩是涨的一个是美股ㄧ个是欧股 [无语] $NQ100指数主连 2109(NQmain)$

2021-06-09

$WTI原油主连 2107(CLmain)$ 久違的70元真难想到去年还负的[笑哭]

2021-06-03

$AMC院线(AMC)$ To the Moon!!!!!!

2021-05-19

女神嫁人冲击日股？

新垣结衣与星野源结婚明天日本股市会如何呢？[暗中观察] $SGX日经主连(NKmain)$ $OSE小日经主连(JMImain)$ $NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$

女神嫁人冲击日股？

2021-05-17

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ Q1 earing report will be coming, will go up?

2021-05-12

$MSCI台湾加权指数主连(MTWmain)$ $FTSE台湾指数主连(TWNmain)$ $台积电(TSM)$跌惨了能接台积电否？[捂脸]

2021-05-11

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 财报好盘前抄了下[看涨]

2021-04-27

$玉米主连(ZCmain)$ 真涨停了。。。$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$

2021-03-23

S&P500做空数据20年新低

S&P500的做空数据来到20年新低, 上次同样的低点是2000年的互联网泡沫, 莫非又是个拐点？[惊讶] $标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $SP500指数主连(ESmain)$

S&P500做空数据20年新低

2021-03-18

$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$Wow [财迷] [财迷]

2021-03-17

$富途控股(FUTU)$ 利多出盡都是套路

2021-03-16

彎道超車搶在Robinhood前上市

Robinhood rival eToro to go public through SPAC merger valuing the 'social investment network' at $9.6 bln

2021-03-09

$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$Excellent! The only red one[笑哭]

2021-03-02

$富时中国H50指数主连(FCHmain)$ 这个期货也免佣吗？$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ $恒生科技指数主连(HTImain)$

2021-02-27

這篇值得多看幾次

@交易员Owen:为什么这次跳水不简单，深入聊聊美债，美股和通胀的关系

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Inc.(HOOD)$</a>","text":"Q1成长不輸$Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800734628","repostId":"2147868765","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2147868765","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624965539,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2147868765?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 19:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BRIEF-Etoro Group - Total Commissions Of $347 Mln For Q1 2021, Up 141% Compared With Q1 2020","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2147868765","media":"Reuters","summary":"June 29 (Reuters) - Fintech 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Commissions Of $347 Mln For Q1 2021, Up 141% Compared With Q1 2020</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; 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class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-29 19:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>June 29 (Reuters) - <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCV\">Fintech Acquisition Corp V</a>   :</p><p>   * ETORO GROUP - TOTAL COMMISSIONS OF $347 MILLION FOR Q1 2021, UP 141% COMPARED WITH Q1 2020</p><p>   * ETORO GROUP - 3.1 MILLION NEW REGISTERED USERS IN QUARTER, UP 214% COMPARED TO Q1 2020</p><p>   * ETORO GROUP - NET TRADING INCOME OF $269 MILLION IN QUARTER, UP 72% COMPARED WITH Q1 2020</p><p>Source text for Eikon:    Further company coverage:   </p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSS":"Total System Services","FTCV":"Fintech Acquisition Corp 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[财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dab77b2fee59668c2e8a69969064b541","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327983909","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":325461970,"gmtCreate":1615914952690,"gmtModify":1703495047259,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$富途控股(FUTU)$</a> 利多出盡 都是套路","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$富途控股(FUTU)$</a> 利多出盡 都是套路","text":"$富途控股(FUTU)$ 利多出盡 都是套路","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325461970","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":325527408,"gmtCreate":1615907706304,"gmtModify":1703494925084,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"彎道超車 搶在Robinhood前上市","listText":"彎道超車 搶在Robinhood前上市","text":"彎道超車 搶在Robinhood前上市","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325527408","repostId":"2119976593","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2119976593","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1615900800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2119976593?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-16 21:20","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Robinhood rival eToro to go public through SPAC merger valuing the 'social investment network' at $9.6 bln","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2119976593","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"MW Robinhood rival eToro to go public through SPAC merger valuing the 'social investment network' at","content":"<html><body><font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\nMW Robinhood rival eToro to go public through SPAC merger valuing the 'social investment network' at $9.6 bln\n</p>\n<p>\n  EToro Group Ltd., the social investment network and Robinhood rival, announced Tuesday that it will be going public through a merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FNTC\">FinTech Acquisition Corp.</a> V <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCV\">$(FTCV)$</a>, in a deal that values eToro at about $9.6 billion. FinTech shares soared 17.1% in premarket trading, while futures  for the S&amp;P 500  edged up 0.1%. The company is expected to have about $800 million in cash on its balance sheet after closing, which is expected to occur in the third quarter of 2021. The combined company will operate as eToro Group Ltd. and will be listed on the Nasdaq exchange. EToro said it added more than 5 million new registered users in 2020 and revenue for the year rose 147% to $605 million. \"Momentum is accelerating in 2021 as a new generation of investors discover the global markets,\" eToro said. \n</p>\n<p>\n  -Tomi Kilgore; 415-439-6400; AskNewswires@dowjones.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 16, 2021 09:20 ET (13:20 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Robinhood rival eToro to go public through SPAC merger valuing the 'social investment network' at $9.6 bln</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRobinhood rival eToro to go public through SPAC merger valuing the 'social investment network' at $9.6 bln\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-16 21:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\nMW Robinhood rival eToro to go public through SPAC merger valuing the 'social investment network' at $9.6 bln\n</p>\n<p>\n  EToro Group Ltd., the social investment network and Robinhood rival, announced Tuesday that it will be going public through a merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FNTC\">FinTech Acquisition Corp.</a> V <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCV\">$(FTCV)$</a>, in a deal that values eToro at about $9.6 billion. FinTech shares soared 17.1% in premarket trading, while futures  for the S&amp;P 500  edged up 0.1%. The company is expected to have about $800 million in cash on its balance sheet after closing, which is expected to occur in the third quarter of 2021. The combined company will operate as eToro Group Ltd. and will be listed on the Nasdaq exchange. EToro said it added more than 5 million new registered users in 2020 and revenue for the year rose 147% to $605 million. \"Momentum is accelerating in 2021 as a new generation of investors discover the global markets,\" eToro said. \n</p>\n<p>\n  -Tomi Kilgore; 415-439-6400; AskNewswires@dowjones.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 16, 2021 09:20 ET (13:20 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FTCV":"Fintech Acquisition Corp V"},"source_url":"http://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2119976593","content_text":"MW Robinhood rival eToro to go public through SPAC merger valuing the 'social investment network' at $9.6 bln\n\n\n  EToro Group Ltd., the social investment network and Robinhood rival, announced Tuesday that it will be going public through a merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) FinTech Acquisition Corp. V $(FTCV)$, in a deal that values eToro at about $9.6 billion. FinTech shares soared 17.1% in premarket trading, while futures  for the S&P 500  edged up 0.1%. The company is expected to have about $800 million in cash on its balance sheet after closing, which is expected to occur in the third quarter of 2021. The combined company will operate as eToro Group Ltd. and will be listed on the Nasdaq exchange. EToro said it added more than 5 million new registered users in 2020 and revenue for the year rose 147% to $605 million. \"Momentum is accelerating in 2021 as a new generation of investors discover the global markets,\" eToro said. \n\n\n  -Tomi Kilgore; 415-439-6400; AskNewswires@dowjones.com \n\n\n \n\n\n$(END)$ Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  March 16, 2021 09:20 ET (13:20 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":329535591,"gmtCreate":1615257034613,"gmtModify":1703486352778,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ES3.SI\">$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$</a>Excellent! The only red one[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ES3.SI\">$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$</a>Excellent! The only red one[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$Excellent! The only red one[笑哭]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae04741ceb79225286080919b955ab41","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329535591","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1821,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":365909873,"gmtCreate":1614685747492,"gmtModify":1703479831703,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/FCHmain\">$富时中国H50指数主连(FCHmain)$&nbsp;</a>这个期货也免佣吗？<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连(CNmain)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/HTImain\">$恒生科技指数主连(HTImain)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/FCHmain\">$富时中国H50指数主连(FCHmain)$&nbsp;</a>这个期货也免佣吗？<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连(CNmain)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/HTImain\">$恒生科技指数主连(HTImain)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$富时中国H50指数主连(FCHmain)$ 这个期货也免佣吗？$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ $恒生科技指数主连(HTImain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365909873","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":366824679,"gmtCreate":1614439729491,"gmtModify":1703477573996,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"這篇值得多看幾次","listText":"這篇值得多看幾次","text":"這篇值得多看幾次","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366824679","repostId":"368545133","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":368545133,"gmtCreate":1614342217720,"gmtModify":1703476627398,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"交易员Owen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"为什么这次跳水不简单，深入聊聊美债，美股和通胀的关系","htmlText":"快速而猛烈的下跌，乃至于触发熔断，然后花上几个月的时间修复，这样灾难性的暴跌我们一般叫崩盘，股灾啥的，在当下的市场环境下，这个可能性我们都知道不大。 但如果说一场调整，持续2到3个月，每天涨涨跌跌，总体上跌的要比涨的多，甚至像本周这样连续的大跌反复出现，几个月下来，你的收益会少于周期开始的时候，这样的市场阶段我们怎么定义呢？不是股灾也不是崩盘，那就是中长期震荡回调期。 当10年美债利率攀升到1.5%以后，如果持续向上，美股会不会进入一个赚钱选股都相对更难的长期回调时期呢？所以这点上，我们得小心。避险的意识必须要有。 这次分享，我就主要聊一下，为什么这次美股大跌不能当成一次简单的回调看待。这次跳水不简单。 其实关于美债利率对美股的影响，我在年初大选的时候就已经开始预警了。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/338364255\" target=\"_blank\">相比强烈的通胀预期，美股的开年黑其实算不了什么</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/336057536\" target=\"_blank\">国会遭受冲击，最重要的是这个变动</a> 只是点位上，我预测10年美债收益率到1%的时候会出现美股的小调整，但没想到市场的风险情绪在拜登上台和民主党统一国会和白宫后，被短时间激发，疫情的负面影响也到了后期，在1个多月时间里美股连创新高，没有对1%的美债收益做任何反应，美股的估值也是在那个时候被悄悄拉大。 我们看一下标普的席勒市盈率走势，在今年年初是34.8倍。这个只是表面上的间接估值法的一个结果。 实际上你要这么看，这相当于，我们用大约35单位的价格购得了1单位的每股盈利。那么1/35得到的以标普每股盈利为收益的收益率为2.5%多。 那为什么说这个估值是在被拉高？我们得看下平准通胀率，也就是长期市场对未来的通胀率的预测。10","listText":"快速而猛烈的下跌，乃至于触发熔断，然后花上几个月的时间修复，这样灾难性的暴跌我们一般叫崩盘，股灾啥的，在当下的市场环境下，这个可能性我们都知道不大。 但如果说一场调整，持续2到3个月，每天涨涨跌跌，总体上跌的要比涨的多，甚至像本周这样连续的大跌反复出现，几个月下来，你的收益会少于周期开始的时候，这样的市场阶段我们怎么定义呢？不是股灾也不是崩盘，那就是中长期震荡回调期。 当10年美债利率攀升到1.5%以后，如果持续向上，美股会不会进入一个赚钱选股都相对更难的长期回调时期呢？所以这点上，我们得小心。避险的意识必须要有。 这次分享，我就主要聊一下，为什么这次美股大跌不能当成一次简单的回调看待。这次跳水不简单。 其实关于美债利率对美股的影响，我在年初大选的时候就已经开始预警了。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/338364255\" target=\"_blank\">相比强烈的通胀预期，美股的开年黑其实算不了什么</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/336057536\" target=\"_blank\">国会遭受冲击，最重要的是这个变动</a> 只是点位上，我预测10年美债收益率到1%的时候会出现美股的小调整，但没想到市场的风险情绪在拜登上台和民主党统一国会和白宫后，被短时间激发，疫情的负面影响也到了后期，在1个多月时间里美股连创新高，没有对1%的美债收益做任何反应，美股的估值也是在那个时候被悄悄拉大。 我们看一下标普的席勒市盈率走势，在今年年初是34.8倍。这个只是表面上的间接估值法的一个结果。 实际上你要这么看，这相当于，我们用大约35单位的价格购得了1单位的每股盈利。那么1/35得到的以标普每股盈利为收益的收益率为2.5%多。 那为什么说这个估值是在被拉高？我们得看下平准通胀率，也就是长期市场对未来的通胀率的预测。10","text":"快速而猛烈的下跌，乃至于触发熔断，然后花上几个月的时间修复，这样灾难性的暴跌我们一般叫崩盘，股灾啥的，在当下的市场环境下，这个可能性我们都知道不大。 但如果说一场调整，持续2到3个月，每天涨涨跌跌，总体上跌的要比涨的多，甚至像本周这样连续的大跌反复出现，几个月下来，你的收益会少于周期开始的时候，这样的市场阶段我们怎么定义呢？不是股灾也不是崩盘，那就是中长期震荡回调期。 当10年美债利率攀升到1.5%以后，如果持续向上，美股会不会进入一个赚钱选股都相对更难的长期回调时期呢？所以这点上，我们得小心。避险的意识必须要有。 这次分享，我就主要聊一下，为什么这次美股大跌不能当成一次简单的回调看待。这次跳水不简单。 其实关于美债利率对美股的影响，我在年初大选的时候就已经开始预警了。 相比强烈的通胀预期，美股的开年黑其实算不了什么 国会遭受冲击，最重要的是这个变动 只是点位上，我预测10年美债收益率到1%的时候会出现美股的小调整，但没想到市场的风险情绪在拜登上台和民主党统一国会和白宫后，被短时间激发，疫情的负面影响也到了后期，在1个多月时间里美股连创新高，没有对1%的美债收益做任何反应，美股的估值也是在那个时候被悄悄拉大。 我们看一下标普的席勒市盈率走势，在今年年初是34.8倍。这个只是表面上的间接估值法的一个结果。 实际上你要这么看，这相当于，我们用大约35单位的价格购得了1单位的每股盈利。那么1/35得到的以标普每股盈利为收益的收益率为2.5%多。 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MTWmain\">$MSCI台湾加权指数主连(MTWmain)$&nbsp;</a>陪跑下&nbsp;","text":"$台积电(TSM)$今早在台股涨2.3% 大概为明天财报做准备 台积电都占了台股32% 那干脆买$MSCI台湾加权指数主连(MTWmain)$ 陪跑下","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/335181050","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":305129157,"gmtCreate":1604927944279,"gmtModify":1703835221236,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\" target=\"_blank\">$黄金主连(GCmain)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGCmain\" target=\"_blank\">$微黄金主连(MGCmain)$ </a>&nbsp;一眼就來到1900以下了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\" target=\"_blank\">$黄金主连(GCmain)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGCmain\" target=\"_blank\">$微黄金主连(MGCmain)$ </a>&nbsp;一眼就來到1900以下了","text":"$黄金主连(GCmain)$ $微黄金主连(MGCmain)$ 一眼就來到1900以下了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/305129157","repostId":"305116439","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":305116439,"gmtCreate":1604925342717,"gmtModify":1703835187064,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"发生了什么？道指，原油暴涨，黄金大跌","htmlText":"疫情方面周一晚间传来重大消息。辉瑞和BioNTech宣布，他们联合研制的新冠候选疫苗在第3期临床试验研究的中期分析中取得了重大进展。双盲试验中，在第二次注射后7天，疫苗有效性超过90%，这意味着首次注射28天后就能达到保护效果。 消息过后，美股原油大幅上涨，黄金则快速跳水。 早上的文章特别提醒大家关注黄金再次测试1850的可能性。今天的大跌虽然存在一定的偶然性，但是也验证了我们对于黄金目前趋势/位置的判断。risk-on模式重新启动，意味着高风险品种会受益走高，但黄金下行空间也不会因此显著加大。我们依然认为黄金在1850附近是中期重要买点。 美股就不用赘述，早间文章也都言明所有短期消息都是利好。今天的快速拉升属于偶发情况，大格局还是倾向于慢牛为主。 原油方面，依然需要关注实际需求端回暖的情况。消息的确是明显的推动，但是在回到42/45中期转折点上方之前，对油价依然保留相对谨慎的态度。 复盘文章链接：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/305973188\" target=\"_blank\">特朗普翻盘概率接近于零 “交易拜登”是否已经落地？</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\" target=\"_blank\">$SP500指数主连(ESmain)$</a> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\" target=\"_blank\">$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$</a> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\" target=\"_blank\">$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$</a>","listText":"疫情方面周一晚间传来重大消息。辉瑞和BioNTech宣布，他们联合研制的新冠候选疫苗在第3期临床试验研究的中期分析中取得了重大进展。双盲试验中，在第二次注射后7天，疫苗有效性超过90%，这意味着首次注射28天后就能达到保护效果。 消息过后，美股原油大幅上涨，黄金则快速跳水。 早上的文章特别提醒大家关注黄金再次测试1850的可能性。今天的大跌虽然存在一定的偶然性，但是也验证了我们对于黄金目前趋势/位置的判断。risk-on模式重新启动，意味着高风险品种会受益走高，但黄金下行空间也不会因此显著加大。我们依然认为黄金在1850附近是中期重要买点。 美股就不用赘述，早间文章也都言明所有短期消息都是利好。今天的快速拉升属于偶发情况，大格局还是倾向于慢牛为主。 原油方面，依然需要关注实际需求端回暖的情况。消息的确是明显的推动，但是在回到42/45中期转折点上方之前，对油价依然保留相对谨慎的态度。 复盘文章链接：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/305973188\" target=\"_blank\">特朗普翻盘概率接近于零 “交易拜登”是否已经落地？</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\" target=\"_blank\">$SP500指数主连(ESmain)$</a> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\" target=\"_blank\">$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$</a> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\" target=\"_blank\">$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$</a>","text":"疫情方面周一晚间传来重大消息。辉瑞和BioNTech宣布，他们联合研制的新冠候选疫苗在第3期临床试验研究的中期分析中取得了重大进展。双盲试验中，在第二次注射后7天，疫苗有效性超过90%，这意味着首次注射28天后就能达到保护效果。 消息过后，美股原油大幅上涨，黄金则快速跳水。 早上的文章特别提醒大家关注黄金再次测试1850的可能性。今天的大跌虽然存在一定的偶然性，但是也验证了我们对于黄金目前趋势/位置的判断。risk-on模式重新启动，意味着高风险品种会受益走高，但黄金下行空间也不会因此显著加大。我们依然认为黄金在1850附近是中期重要买点。 美股就不用赘述，早间文章也都言明所有短期消息都是利好。今天的快速拉升属于偶发情况，大格局还是倾向于慢牛为主。 原油方面，依然需要关注实际需求端回暖的情况。消息的确是明显的推动，但是在回到42/45中期转折点上方之前，对油价依然保留相对谨慎的态度。 复盘文章链接：特朗普翻盘概率接近于零 “交易拜登”是否已经落地？ $SP500指数主连(ESmain)$ $道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$ $NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/305116439","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840986969,"gmtCreate":1635575337334,"gmtModify":1635575337475,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Trade or treat!![Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"Trade or treat!![Cool]&nbsp;","text":"Trade or treat!![Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840986969","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374538044,"gmtCreate":1619454068388,"gmtModify":1619454068388,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连(ZCmain)$&nbsp;</a>真涨停了。。。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连(ZCmain)$&nbsp;</a>真涨停了。。。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$玉米主连(ZCmain)$ 真涨停了。。。$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374538044","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":329535591,"gmtCreate":1615257034613,"gmtModify":1703486352778,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ES3.SI\">$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$</a>Excellent! The only red one[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ES3.SI\">$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$</a>Excellent! The only red one[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$Excellent! The only red one[笑哭]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae04741ceb79225286080919b955ab41","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329535591","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1821,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":339535218,"gmtCreate":1608911314434,"gmtModify":1703737340385,"author":{"id":"3548990198718312","authorId":"3548990198718312","name":"FiveStar","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548990198718312","authorIdStr":"3548990198718312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连(CNmain)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/INmain\">$NIFTY指数主连(INmain)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/TWNmain\">$FTSE台湾指数主连(TWNmain)$&nbsp;</a>今晚少数能玩的票....","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连(CNmain)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/INmain\">$NIFTY指数主连(INmain)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/TWNmain\">$FTSE台湾指数主连(TWNmain)$&nbsp;</a>今晚少数能玩的票....","text":"$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ $NIFTY指数主连(INmain)$ $FTSE台湾指数主连(TWNmain)$ 今晚少数能玩的票....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/339535218","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}