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Tim力添
2021-03-22
$RLX科技(RLX)$
这个赛道不亚于新能源车,悦刻就是另一个蔚来啊。抽悦刻的00后 怎么可能去抽华子。 今天就是捡钱。
Tim力添
2021-02-11
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
亚洲市场春节假期,原油在这5个交易日大概率高位震荡。随着假期结束恢复生产,原油将会重回升势。在假设GDP经济活动回到2019年,原油供应也一样的情况下,第一目标位应该是回到疫情前高点65-70之间。如若考虑到通胀预期,拜登限制页岩油开发,欧佩克限产等因素,原油今年挑战历史高位100也不是没有可能。
Tim力添
2021-02-18
$箩筐技术(LKCO)$
现在市场交易逻辑是预期流动性边际收紧,抱团白马股涨不动了,只有搞小盘股,也许箩筐科技正好赶上这波,就算涨5倍市值才35亿美刀 180多亿人民币。
Tim力添
2020-06-29
$蔚来(NIO)$
我看很多文章都写高瓴资本去年12月清仓蔚来,但我看6月1日的前股东名单里有Hillhouse fund,这不就是高瓴资本吗?有谁能科普下?
Tim力添
2020-05-16
$蔚来(NIO)$
倒计时两天!全能ES6亮相汪涵淘宝直播间
Tim力添
2020-06-25
$蔚来(NIO)$
蔚来最大的问题时不能加杠杆。不然分分钟上10
Tim力添
2020-05-12
$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$
这个最后一天会不会买不出去?流动性很差啊。
Tim力添
2021-07-13
$晶门半导体(02878)$
$蔚来(NIO)$
半年前盈利1000万美元,折算成年化PE=27.88/1.55=17。这也太便宜了吧。 如果全年盈利2000万美元,在PE 30不变的情况下,合理估值应该是46亿的市值。
Tim力添
2021-03-07
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
从目前趋势看,原油远没有到顶。 目前供应关系还是保持偏紧,因为美国页岩油封井后大多需要要重新钻探,在拜登取消补贴的政策下,没那么快能恢复回来,有预测分析要等到年底才能恢复到疫情前。如果页岩油没那么快能起来,欧佩克就有底气拉油价,毕竟价高唯一需要担心的就是促进页岩油发展,但拜登推广清洁能源打压石油产业,大概率会延缓页岩油产业。而需求端,疫情恢复大多数国家都预测GDP增长创历史新高。原油需求和经济活动强相关,因此原油需求理论的会创新高。货币超发,通货膨胀,让黑色系,基础金属,农产品均已经创历史新高,而原油只是恢复到疫情前的高位而已,离18年的高点还差10美元。综合这几个因素,也许原油将会是大宗商品最后爆发的品类。 能看到80,90甚至100一切皆有可能。当欧美主流国家经济指标同比出现滞涨信号时,才是原油到顶的时候。
Tim力添
2020-09-24
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
特斯拉今年从最低79涨到500。按现在价格373也是5倍。上涨逻辑还是美联储的放水,科技股有无限的想象。但当流动性编辑收紧时,它会回到应有的估值。
Tim力添
2021-03-22
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
$RLX科技(RLX)$
抄底原油,抄底悦刻 。真爽。
Tim力添
2021-03-01
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
今天出门很堵车啊,想想如果国外要也恢复了生产后的情况,相信原油不会就此止步。 原油是全球定价商品,国内经济已经历了复苏并朝着滞涨阶段过渡,然而国外还在从疫情好转向生产恢复中过度。 因此,原油在需求端还有边际增长。在供给端,Opec国家对增产是有分歧的,并不见得会达成一致。而且疫情期间油井由于成本原因不得不封井,封井后地下油气分布会发生变化就需要重新投资打井,在拜登取消页岩油补贴的情况下,页岩油疫情后快速恢复的假设 目前看是被证伪的。 美联储 目前还不会退出刺激政策,直到国内失业率下降,经济恢复。目前看 1.9万亿 是政策顶,之后政策也不会就此转向。(参照国内财政政策的演变)还有,60美元左右的原油算高吗?显然,答案是否定的。连19年经济低迷的高点都不到。 如果,通胀是今年必然发生的,那么油价就应该要有通胀的价格,现在的价格对Opec国家来说去除美元贬值,远比19年高点低。
Tim力添
2021-02-23
$保利协鑫能源(03800)$
现在市场已经在交易 滞涨期,股市阶段性顶部。
Tim力添
2021-02-22
$箩筐技术(LKCO)$
都挂3块卖
Tim力添
2020-10-21
$跟谁学(GSX)$
不就是分析师下调股价嘛。能跌这么多?
Tim力添
2021-02-22
$箩筐技术(LKCO)$
别卖,大家一起干
Tim力添
2021-02-08
$箩筐技术(LKCO)$
有妖股潜力
Tim力添
2020-05-12
$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$
最后两天,会不会出现流动性问题,没人接盘卖不出去的情况?
Tim力添
2020-09-11
$微软(MSFT)$
买微软是不是就赌 TikTok[开心]
Tim力添
2020-07-14
$蔚来(NIO)$
月底是不是EC6上市发布啊?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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空调要用铝代铜。12月合约价格居然和现在差不多。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126713545","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128878242,"gmtCreate":1624511924686,"gmtModify":1624511924686,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02878\">$晶门半导体(02878)$</a>为啥这支半导体市值这么低?不合理啊,是第二支蔚来吗?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02878\">$晶门半导体(02878)$</a>为啥这支半导体市值这么低?不合理啊,是第二支蔚来吗?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>","text":"$晶门半导体(02878)$为啥这支半导体市值这么低?不合理啊,是第二支蔚来吗?$蔚来(NIO)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128878242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2026,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359578361,"gmtCreate":1616416915253,"gmtModify":1616416915253,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX科技(RLX)$</a>抄底原油,抄底悦刻 。真爽。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a><a 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今天就是捡钱。","text":"$RLX科技(RLX)$这个赛道不亚于新能源车,悦刻就是另一个蔚来啊。抽悦刻的00后 怎么可能去抽华子。 今天就是捡钱。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359579077","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574136236134630","authorId":"3574136236134630","name":"一万个柚子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79b522364661b99dd7533da0f2c0e36e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574136236134630","authorIdStr":"3574136236134630"},"content":"加了税和华子一个价呢","text":"加了税和华子一个价呢","html":"加了税和华子一个价呢"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":320244078,"gmtCreate":1615127527994,"gmtModify":1703484884027,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>从目前趋势看,原油远没有到顶。 目前供应关系还是保持偏紧,因为美国页岩油封井后大多需要要重新钻探,在拜登取消补贴的政策下,没那么快能恢复回来,有预测分析要等到年底才能恢复到疫情前。如果页岩油没那么快能起来,欧佩克就有底气拉油价,毕竟价高唯一需要担心的就是促进页岩油发展,但拜登推广清洁能源打压石油产业,大概率会延缓页岩油产业。而需求端,疫情恢复大多数国家都预测GDP增长创历史新高。原油需求和经济活动强相关,因此原油需求理论的会创新高。货币超发,通货膨胀,让黑色系,基础金属,农产品均已经创历史新高,而原油只是恢复到疫情前的高位而已,离18年的高点还差10美元。综合这几个因素,也许原油将会是大宗商品最后爆发的品类。 能看到80,90甚至100一切皆有可能。当欧美主流国家经济指标同比出现滞涨信号时,才是原油到顶的时候。 ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>从目前趋势看,原油远没有到顶。 目前供应关系还是保持偏紧,因为美国页岩油封井后大多需要要重新钻探,在拜登取消补贴的政策下,没那么快能恢复回来,有预测分析要等到年底才能恢复到疫情前。如果页岩油没那么快能起来,欧佩克就有底气拉油价,毕竟价高唯一需要担心的就是促进页岩油发展,但拜登推广清洁能源打压石油产业,大概率会延缓页岩油产业。而需求端,疫情恢复大多数国家都预测GDP增长创历史新高。原油需求和经济活动强相关,因此原油需求理论的会创新高。货币超发,通货膨胀,让黑色系,基础金属,农产品均已经创历史新高,而原油只是恢复到疫情前的高位而已,离18年的高点还差10美元。综合这几个因素,也许原油将会是大宗商品最后爆发的品类。 能看到80,90甚至100一切皆有可能。当欧美主流国家经济指标同比出现滞涨信号时,才是原油到顶的时候。 ","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 从目前趋势看,原油远没有到顶。 目前供应关系还是保持偏紧,因为美国页岩油封井后大多需要要重新钻探,在拜登取消补贴的政策下,没那么快能恢复回来,有预测分析要等到年底才能恢复到疫情前。如果页岩油没那么快能起来,欧佩克就有底气拉油价,毕竟价高唯一需要担心的就是促进页岩油发展,但拜登推广清洁能源打压石油产业,大概率会延缓页岩油产业。而需求端,疫情恢复大多数国家都预测GDP增长创历史新高。原油需求和经济活动强相关,因此原油需求理论的会创新高。货币超发,通货膨胀,让黑色系,基础金属,农产品均已经创历史新高,而原油只是恢复到疫情前的高位而已,离18年的高点还差10美元。综合这几个因素,也许原油将会是大宗商品最后爆发的品类。 能看到80,90甚至100一切皆有可能。当欧美主流国家经济指标同比出现滞涨信号时,才是原油到顶的时候。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320244078","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3051,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362387076,"gmtCreate":1614597455495,"gmtModify":1703478642430,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>今天出门很堵车啊,想想如果国外要也恢复了生产后的情况,相信原油不会就此止步。 原油是全球定价商品,国内经济已经历了复苏并朝着滞涨阶段过渡,然而国外还在从疫情好转向生产恢复中过度。 因此,原油在需求端还有边际增长。在供给端,Opec国家对增产是有分歧的,并不见得会达成一致。而且疫情期间油井由于成本原因不得不封井,封井后地下油气分布会发生变化就需要重新投资打井,在拜登取消页岩油补贴的情况下,页岩油疫情后快速恢复的假设 目前看是被证伪的。 美联储 目前还不会退出刺激政策,直到国内失业率下降,经济恢复。目前看 1.9万亿 是政策顶,之后政策也不会就此转向。(参照国内财政政策的演变)还有,60美元左右的原油算高吗?显然,答案是否定的。连19年经济低迷的高点都不到。 如果,通胀是今年必然发生的,那么油价就应该要有通胀的价格,现在的价格对Opec国家来说去除美元贬值,远比19年高点低。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>今天出门很堵车啊,想想如果国外要也恢复了生产后的情况,相信原油不会就此止步。 原油是全球定价商品,国内经济已经历了复苏并朝着滞涨阶段过渡,然而国外还在从疫情好转向生产恢复中过度。 因此,原油在需求端还有边际增长。在供给端,Opec国家对增产是有分歧的,并不见得会达成一致。而且疫情期间油井由于成本原因不得不封井,封井后地下油气分布会发生变化就需要重新投资打井,在拜登取消页岩油补贴的情况下,页岩油疫情后快速恢复的假设 目前看是被证伪的。 美联储 目前还不会退出刺激政策,直到国内失业率下降,经济恢复。目前看 1.9万亿 是政策顶,之后政策也不会就此转向。(参照国内财政政策的演变)还有,60美元左右的原油算高吗?显然,答案是否定的。连19年经济低迷的高点都不到。 如果,通胀是今年必然发生的,那么油价就应该要有通胀的价格,现在的价格对Opec国家来说去除美元贬值,远比19年高点低。","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 今天出门很堵车啊,想想如果国外要也恢复了生产后的情况,相信原油不会就此止步。 原油是全球定价商品,国内经济已经历了复苏并朝着滞涨阶段过渡,然而国外还在从疫情好转向生产恢复中过度。 因此,原油在需求端还有边际增长。在供给端,Opec国家对增产是有分歧的,并不见得会达成一致。而且疫情期间油井由于成本原因不得不封井,封井后地下油气分布会发生变化就需要重新投资打井,在拜登取消页岩油补贴的情况下,页岩油疫情后快速恢复的假设 目前看是被证伪的。 美联储 目前还不会退出刺激政策,直到国内失业率下降,经济恢复。目前看 1.9万亿 是政策顶,之后政策也不会就此转向。(参照国内财政政策的演变)还有,60美元左右的原油算高吗?显然,答案是否定的。连19年经济低迷的高点都不到。 如果,通胀是今年必然发生的,那么油价就应该要有通胀的价格,现在的价格对Opec国家来说去除美元贬值,远比19年高点低。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362387076","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368814127,"gmtCreate":1614307315169,"gmtModify":1703476131604,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>叙利亚军事打击,原油应要涨啊。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>叙利亚军事打击,原油应要涨啊。","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 叙利亚军事打击,原油应要涨啊。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368814127","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369760830,"gmtCreate":1614076456620,"gmtModify":1614076456620,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03800\">$保利协鑫能源(03800)$</a>现在市场已经在交易 滞涨期,股市阶段性顶部。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03800\">$保利协鑫能源(03800)$</a>现在市场已经在交易 滞涨期,股市阶段性顶部。","text":"$保利协鑫能源(03800)$现在市场已经在交易 滞涨期,股市阶段性顶部。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369760830","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369354329,"gmtCreate":1614005863961,"gmtModify":1614005863961,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$箩筐技术(LKCO)$</a>都挂3块卖","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$箩筐技术(LKCO)$</a>都挂3块卖","text":"$箩筐技术(LKCO)$都挂3块卖","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369354329","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369352633,"gmtCreate":1614005807922,"gmtModify":1614005807922,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$箩筐技术(LKCO)$</a>别卖,大家一起干","listText":"<a 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","text":"$箩筐技术(LKCO)$现在市场交易逻辑是预期流动性边际收紧,抱团白马股涨不动了,只有搞小盘股,也许箩筐科技正好赶上这波,就算涨5倍市值才35亿美刀 180多亿人民币。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384235884","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":385529291,"gmtCreate":1613565582713,"gmtModify":1613565582713,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$箩筐技术(LKCO)$</a>这支股票市值太被低估,就算上10美刀才20亿市值","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">$箩筐技术(LKCO)$</a>这支股票市值太被低估,就算上10美刀才20亿市值","text":"$箩筐技术(LKCO)$这支股票市值太被低估,就算上10美刀才20亿市值","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385529291","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":388355529,"gmtCreate":1613028936161,"gmtModify":1703768521353,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>亚洲市场春节假期,原油在这5个交易日大概率高位震荡。随着假期结束恢复生产,原油将会重回升势。在假设GDP经济活动回到2019年,原油供应也一样的情况下,第一目标位应该是回到疫情前高点65-70之间。如若考虑到通胀预期,拜登限制页岩油开发,欧佩克限产等因素,原油今年挑战历史高位100也不是没有可能。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>亚洲市场春节假期,原油在这5个交易日大概率高位震荡。随着假期结束恢复生产,原油将会重回升势。在假设GDP经济活动回到2019年,原油供应也一样的情况下,第一目标位应该是回到疫情前高点65-70之间。如若考虑到通胀预期,拜登限制页岩油开发,欧佩克限产等因素,原油今年挑战历史高位100也不是没有可能。","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02878\">$晶门半导体(02878)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>半年前盈利1000万美元,折算成年化PE=27.88/1.55=17。这也太便宜了吧。 如果全年盈利2000万美元,在PE 30不变的情况下,合理估值应该是46亿的市值。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02878\">$晶门半导体(02878)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>半年前盈利1000万美元,折算成年化PE=27.88/1.55=17。这也太便宜了吧。 如果全年盈利2000万美元,在PE 30不变的情况下,合理估值应该是46亿的市值。","text":"$晶门半导体(02878)$$蔚来(NIO)$半年前盈利1000万美元,折算成年化PE=27.88/1.55=17。这也太便宜了吧。 如果全年盈利2000万美元,在PE 30不变的情况下,合理估值应该是46亿的市值。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142696071","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":320244078,"gmtCreate":1615127527994,"gmtModify":1703484884027,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>从目前趋势看,原油远没有到顶。 目前供应关系还是保持偏紧,因为美国页岩油封井后大多需要要重新钻探,在拜登取消补贴的政策下,没那么快能恢复回来,有预测分析要等到年底才能恢复到疫情前。如果页岩油没那么快能起来,欧佩克就有底气拉油价,毕竟价高唯一需要担心的就是促进页岩油发展,但拜登推广清洁能源打压石油产业,大概率会延缓页岩油产业。而需求端,疫情恢复大多数国家都预测GDP增长创历史新高。原油需求和经济活动强相关,因此原油需求理论的会创新高。货币超发,通货膨胀,让黑色系,基础金属,农产品均已经创历史新高,而原油只是恢复到疫情前的高位而已,离18年的高点还差10美元。综合这几个因素,也许原油将会是大宗商品最后爆发的品类。 能看到80,90甚至100一切皆有可能。当欧美主流国家经济指标同比出现滞涨信号时,才是原油到顶的时候。 ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ </a>从目前趋势看,原油远没有到顶。 目前供应关系还是保持偏紧,因为美国页岩油封井后大多需要要重新钻探,在拜登取消补贴的政策下,没那么快能恢复回来,有预测分析要等到年底才能恢复到疫情前。如果页岩油没那么快能起来,欧佩克就有底气拉油价,毕竟价高唯一需要担心的就是促进页岩油发展,但拜登推广清洁能源打压石油产业,大概率会延缓页岩油产业。而需求端,疫情恢复大多数国家都预测GDP增长创历史新高。原油需求和经济活动强相关,因此原油需求理论的会创新高。货币超发,通货膨胀,让黑色系,基础金属,农产品均已经创历史新高,而原油只是恢复到疫情前的高位而已,离18年的高点还差10美元。综合这几个因素,也许原油将会是大宗商品最后爆发的品类。 能看到80,90甚至100一切皆有可能。当欧美主流国家经济指标同比出现滞涨信号时,才是原油到顶的时候。 ","text":"$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 从目前趋势看,原油远没有到顶。 目前供应关系还是保持偏紧,因为美国页岩油封井后大多需要要重新钻探,在拜登取消补贴的政策下,没那么快能恢复回来,有预测分析要等到年底才能恢复到疫情前。如果页岩油没那么快能起来,欧佩克就有底气拉油价,毕竟价高唯一需要担心的就是促进页岩油发展,但拜登推广清洁能源打压石油产业,大概率会延缓页岩油产业。而需求端,疫情恢复大多数国家都预测GDP增长创历史新高。原油需求和经济活动强相关,因此原油需求理论的会创新高。货币超发,通货膨胀,让黑色系,基础金属,农产品均已经创历史新高,而原油只是恢复到疫情前的高位而已,离18年的高点还差10美元。综合这几个因素,也许原油将会是大宗商品最后爆发的品类。 能看到80,90甚至100一切皆有可能。当欧美主流国家经济指标同比出现滞涨信号时,才是原油到顶的时候。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320244078","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3051,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974135784,"gmtCreate":1600955711348,"gmtModify":1703823151930,"author":{"id":"3548935125710883","authorId":"3548935125710883","name":"Tim力添","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548935125710883","authorIdStr":"3548935125710883"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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