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恒指反弹--力不足

期权六艺
04-19

昨日早盘恒指反弹有模有样，A股带动力十足。可惜至16500已是高度，恒指熊证无密集未能助力，反弹如水开效果。16900守不住16400/16200见支持，利空来临跌破都不是问题。4月恒指寻底继续，本周16000跌破可能性不大，下周难言可守，17200应为月内高位，若窄波幅跌至16000-15800也正常。美股指电子盘亚洲时段跌不少，高位盘整是正常，升幅庞大，但影响恒指稳定度。人家涨跟不上，人家跌可是受影响，港股不论气氛及股票流通性均不济。本人常讲的18800上半年难有期待，14800可能先于前者见到。周五至发文最低16068，周初目标16300-16100到达，昨日布置双买认购至16500仅几点期权金，对双买勒束成本无影响，效力却是大增。本周获胜已连续24周18周胜2平，鉴于波动持续性不足，近几周未有双位数获利。恒指波动率3/4月着实不大，未影响周双买勒束仅未有大收获。守得住才能赢的起，全年52周全覆盖交易，即有双位数获利周，也有3%内回撤周，更有高成功率。交易可一柱冲天，亦可一落到地，重在稳定持久，市场里历来不缺流星。 $恒生指数主连 2404(HSImain)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ $纳指100ETF(QQQ)$

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