个人中心 - 老虎社区

Melody_w

没什么是不可能的—只要你为自己所热爱之事付出努力～

IP属地：北京

帖子 · 44帖子 · 44
关注 · 0关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0粉丝 · 0

- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2023-12-20
  这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  859 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2023-03-04
  $两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$
  340 3
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2023-03-04
  $两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$
  183 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2023-03-04
  $两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$
  174 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2023-03-03
  $两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$
  229 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2023-03-02
  $两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$
  267 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2023-02-11
  $天然气主连 2303(NGmain)$ 时刻关注天然气是否会触底反弹[贱笑]
  2,370 1
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2023-02-11
  $恒生指数主连 2302(HSImain)$ 随着恒生指数的回撤，香港股市大概率迎来最佳配置时机。
  1,070 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2023-01-10
  这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
  老虎锐评 | 美国12月CPI预估，涨幅会回落多少？
  周四的数字不会难看。
  老虎锐评 | 美国12月CPI预估，涨幅会回落多少？
  1,103 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Melody_wMelody_w
  ·2022-09-27
  $1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$开始吃肉！
  1,369 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
暂无关注

热议股票

关于我们·老虎社区守则·老虎社区账号管理规范·老虎社区服务协议·老虎社区隐私政策

公司名称：北京至简风宜信息技术有限公司

违法和不良信息投诉：010-5681-3562（工作时间9:30-18:30）

邮箱：service@laohu8.com

老虎社区侵权投诉指引

中国互联网举报中心·北京互联网举报中心

网络谣言曝光台·扫黄打非举报中心

网络110报警服务

© 2018-2024 老虎社区版权所有

营业执照：91110105MA01A4U55R

ICP备：京ICP备18016422号

网安备：京公网安备11010502036490

qrcode

关注我们

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3546917951592808","uuid":"3546917951592808","gmtCreate":1583823928987,"gmtModify":1678097562727,"name":"Melody_w","pinyin":"melodywmelodyw","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"没什么是不可能的—只要你为自己所热爱之事 付出努力～","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":62,"headSize":89,"tweetSize":44,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":8,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":254,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"d5d1b81d9a9a4306a42a1560851c3454-6","templateUuid":"d5d1b81d9a9a4306a42a1560851c3454","name":"实盘挑战","description":"累计达12个月","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d8870465821fae6716a27af2624e40","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d5ffd25685d045ade4bb948ef8fd5c3","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076cd4597f6ea22aabdd4f6a12b2c293","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.09.03","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5600},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.04.19","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"45aa8c9032204ad8bee19bb27da4edb8-1","templateUuid":"45aa8c9032204ad8bee19bb27da4edb8","name":"交易笔数","description":"累计达100笔","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6040a65e0c6e125e4dcfe0101de45ee","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f803dba33fef1aa87b64be09f4f064ee","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dfa45d4a1e98a2d8c2e1b4253ddd916","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.02.02","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5100},{"badgeId":"5697d37f217342faaa027fdb5a6e7c12-1","templateUuid":"5697d37f217342faaa027fdb5a6e7c12","name":"单笔平均盈利排行","description":"Top 50%","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f53cdecfbff6499d133bad354ae10ff1","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2554f84686bbcccc035b93fe29308e43","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84c66bc70ac1cf09f4e89b1d4ca9d017","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.12.12","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5200},{"badgeId":"754899bf0917479fa68cfac1ea371651-4","templateUuid":"754899bf0917479fa68cfac1ea371651","name":"月赛Top 20团队成员","description":"Top 20","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d5f6257975e3a2e001863530de2d54","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b11553f10856375b727276b12bd82504","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ed78d6c094821a36c4fb840a9cf8825","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.12.03","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5400},{"badgeId":"1f74612b6f95455f970edd02b5316db8-6","templateUuid":"1f74612b6f95455f970edd02b5316db8","name":"收益排行","description":"Top 3%","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fbaa8e552e02eae8e6a2ce5d6566431","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98862e418516dab972bed7aaf561dec6","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5ca933a5695ed2e862b228f6c09ee5","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.09.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5300},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.59%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc-3","templateUuid":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc","name":"知识航海家","description":"观看学堂课程满50节","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21acbb5884e07b96522d8d84c4b7acea","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4e8dc2edfbfee912f4e68fe6c23b3f0","grayImgUrl":null,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.05","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2006},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.05.07","exceedPercentage":"93.48%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":11,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-1","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资经理虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到10万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8dfc27c1ee0e25db1c93e9d0b641101","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43908c142f8a33c78f5bdf0e2897488","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82165ff19cb8a786e8919f92acee5213","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"60.46%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"location":"北京","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":254160146645296,"gmtCreate":1703087189054,"gmtModify":1703087204443,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/254160146645296","repostId":"1192415600","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":859,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":627979463,"gmtCreate":1677896021552,"gmtModify":1677896022359,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3e9df82a5fa9fc2c8566e4ff089983e","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/627979463","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3550571390218189","authorId":"3550571390218189","name":"usstock","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fca8b980d7e58486dcdd4e358741a33","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3550571390218189","authorIdStr":"3550571390218189"},"content":"请膨胀吧，继续膨胀起来吧，啪的爆了。","text":"请膨胀吧，继续膨胀起来吧，啪的爆了。","html":"请膨胀吧，继续膨胀起来吧，啪的爆了。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":627979047,"gmtCreate":1677895325190,"gmtModify":1677895327069,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3e9df82a5fa9fc2c8566e4ff089983e","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/627979047","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":627955873,"gmtCreate":1677862131892,"gmtModify":1677862133802,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2f2fbef7e33c4edb104662edea39718","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/627955873","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":627951215,"gmtCreate":1677859049737,"gmtModify":1677859051641,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ea05a435866c2ba7d2f9a9ea907b092","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/627951215","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":627014787,"gmtCreate":1677765767849,"gmtModify":1677766822673,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOIL\">$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55c48e767d9aa1489c2af52a9d2ade59","width":"1284","height":"2778"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/627014787","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":625391153,"gmtCreate":1676084653973,"gmtModify":1676084655169,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NGmain\">$天然气主连 2303(NGmain)$&nbsp;</a>时刻关注天然气是否会触底反弹[贱笑]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NGmain\">$天然气主连 2303(NGmain)$&nbsp;</a>时刻关注天然气是否会触底反弹[贱笑]&nbsp;","text":"$天然气主连 2303(NGmain)$ 时刻关注天然气是否会触底反弹[贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/625391153","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":625391317,"gmtCreate":1676084598739,"gmtModify":1676084600577,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2302(HSImain)$&nbsp;</a>随着恒生指数的回撤，香港股市大概率迎来最佳配置时机。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2302(HSImain)$&nbsp;</a>随着恒生指数的回撤，香港股市大概率迎来最佳配置时机。","text":"$恒生指数主连 2302(HSImain)$ 随着恒生指数的回撤，香港股市大概率迎来最佳配置时机。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/625391317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1070,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":628546015,"gmtCreate":1673364568037,"gmtModify":1673364570709,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628546015","repostId":"1185461473","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185461473","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供来自华尔街的观点，观察市场，提供独道的解读视角。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎锐评","id":"1005414032","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673358951,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185461473?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-10 21:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"老虎锐评 | 美国12月CPI预估，涨幅会回落多少？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185461473","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"周四的数字不会难看。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>12月CPI预估</b></p><p>从上周五开始，市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象。什么叫做市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象，就是说股市的上涨下跌没有逻辑可言，但是其它资产的交易逻辑性非常强，而股市突然上涨或者下跌的时候，恰好是其它宏观资产价格剧烈变化的时候。</p><p>按照重要性排序，现在对于美国加息决议的决定因素是“<b>CPI数据 &gt;鲍威尔在某个场合的讲话 &gt;其他美联储成员在某个场合的讲话 &gt; FOMC会议</b>”。最没有看头的反而是FOMC会议，当然也不得不看，因为害怕美联储会放雷。</p><p>12月美国的CPI数据还没出来，但是欧盟的CPI数据出来了。根据彭博的数据，欧盟12月的CPI数据进一步高位下降。下图是美国（蓝线）和欧盟（白线）的CPI，两者关系非常紧密。细心的人会发现欧盟CPI冲高回落似乎比美国晚，这里面的核心原因在于能源部分。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>下图是美国CPI中能源部分的增长率，是去年6月见顶。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>但是欧盟CPI的能源部分，是去年10月才开始回落。这个差异和常识也相互吻合，美国的能源独立性更强，欧盟的能源依赖性更强。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>欧盟12月的CPI进一步回落暗示了美国也会回落，那美国12的CPI具体是多少呢？我今天来估算一下。</p><p>第一个部分是能源，11月的同比增长还是13%，但是根据汽油的平均价格来看，12月的同比增长会是负数，也就是说2022年12月的汽油价格比2021年12月的汽油价格还便宜，大概同比增长是-1%。考虑到能源部分中还有一些服务部分，价格具有一定的粘滞性，能源的同比增长大概只有3%。下图是美国的汽油价格，红框是12月。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>第二部分是食物（下图是食物的指数），是属于通胀比较顽固的部分，目前通胀的环比开始放缓。这里数学处理一下，沿用11月的环比增幅来估计12月的食物指数，那么12月的食物部分的同比增长是10%，这个和11月的食物同比增长10.6%相近。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>对于第三部分（商品）和第四部分（服务），均采用和食物类似的处理方式。商品的同比增长将会是2%，低于11月的3.7%；服务的同比增长将会是7%，略微高于11月的6.8%。商品价格的回落有目共睹，所以实际可能比2%更低。服务的同比增长依然具有粘性，这里面房租的贡献最大，从现在的实际感受来看，房租确实没有回落。</p><p><b>最后把预估的4部分套上各自的权重系数，那么12月的通胀预估是6.0%。目前华尔街分析师的预期均值是6.5%，我的比他们的预期要低0.5%。</b>注意，我的预估其实都是偏保守，因为食物、商品和服务的环比增长在过去4个月都是越来越小，而我套用的是11月的环比增长来预估12月的数，很保守。下图是这3部分过去4个月的指数以及环比增长，环比变弱的趋势明显。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>周四的数字不会难看。</p><p><i>免责声明：非研究报告，仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>老虎锐评 | 美国12月CPI预估，涨幅会回落多少？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n老虎锐评 | 美国12月CPI预估，涨幅会回落多少？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-10 21:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b>12月CPI预估</b></p><p>从上周五开始，市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象。什么叫做市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象，就是说股市的上涨下跌没有逻辑可言，但是其它资产的交易逻辑性非常强，而股市突然上涨或者下跌的时候，恰好是其它宏观资产价格剧烈变化的时候。</p><p>按照重要性排序，现在对于美国加息决议的决定因素是“<b>CPI数据 &gt;鲍威尔在某个场合的讲话 &gt;其他美联储成员在某个场合的讲话 &gt; FOMC会议</b>”。最没有看头的反而是FOMC会议，当然也不得不看，因为害怕美联储会放雷。</p><p>12月美国的CPI数据还没出来，但是欧盟的CPI数据出来了。根据彭博的数据，欧盟12月的CPI数据进一步高位下降。下图是美国（蓝线）和欧盟（白线）的CPI，两者关系非常紧密。细心的人会发现欧盟CPI冲高回落似乎比美国晚，这里面的核心原因在于能源部分。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>下图是美国CPI中能源部分的增长率，是去年6月见顶。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>但是欧盟CPI的能源部分，是去年10月才开始回落。这个差异和常识也相互吻合，美国的能源独立性更强，欧盟的能源依赖性更强。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>欧盟12月的CPI进一步回落暗示了美国也会回落，那美国12的CPI具体是多少呢？我今天来估算一下。</p><p>第一个部分是能源，11月的同比增长还是13%，但是根据汽油的平均价格来看，12月的同比增长会是负数，也就是说2022年12月的汽油价格比2021年12月的汽油价格还便宜，大概同比增长是-1%。考虑到能源部分中还有一些服务部分，价格具有一定的粘滞性，能源的同比增长大概只有3%。下图是美国的汽油价格，红框是12月。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>第二部分是食物（下图是食物的指数），是属于通胀比较顽固的部分，目前通胀的环比开始放缓。这里数学处理一下，沿用11月的环比增幅来估计12月的食物指数，那么12月的食物部分的同比增长是10%，这个和11月的食物同比增长10.6%相近。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>对于第三部分（商品）和第四部分（服务），均采用和食物类似的处理方式。商品的同比增长将会是2%，低于11月的3.7%；服务的同比增长将会是7%，略微高于11月的6.8%。商品价格的回落有目共睹，所以实际可能比2%更低。服务的同比增长依然具有粘性，这里面房租的贡献最大，从现在的实际感受来看，房租确实没有回落。</p><p><b>最后把预估的4部分套上各自的权重系数，那么12月的通胀预估是6.0%。目前华尔街分析师的预期均值是6.5%，我的比他们的预期要低0.5%。</b>注意，我的预估其实都是偏保守，因为食物、商品和服务的环比增长在过去4个月都是越来越小，而我套用的是11月的环比增长来预估12月的数，很保守。下图是这3部分过去4个月的指数以及环比增长，环比变弱的趋势明显。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>周四的数字不会难看。</p><p><i>免责声明：非研究报告，仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。</i></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df74a3173019df9d7cecb61fc0d78eea","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185461473","content_text":"12月CPI预估从上周五开始，市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象。什么叫做市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象，就是说股市的上涨下跌没有逻辑可言，但是其它资产的交易逻辑性非常强，而股市突然上涨或者下跌的时候，恰好是其它宏观资产价格剧烈变化的时候。按照重要性排序，现在对于美国加息决议的决定因素是“CPI数据 >鲍威尔在某个场合的讲话 >其他美联储成员在某个场合的讲话 > FOMC会议”。最没有看头的反而是FOMC会议，当然也不得不看，因为害怕美联储会放雷。12月美国的CPI数据还没出来，但是欧盟的CPI数据出来了。根据彭博的数据，欧盟12月的CPI数据进一步高位下降。下图是美国（蓝线）和欧盟（白线）的CPI，两者关系非常紧密。细心的人会发现欧盟CPI冲高回落似乎比美国晚，这里面的核心原因在于能源部分。下图是美国CPI中能源部分的增长率，是去年6月见顶。但是欧盟CPI的能源部分，是去年10月才开始回落。这个差异和常识也相互吻合，美国的能源独立性更强，欧盟的能源依赖性更强。欧盟12月的CPI进一步回落暗示了美国也会回落，那美国12的CPI具体是多少呢？我今天来估算一下。第一个部分是能源，11月的同比增长还是13%，但是根据汽油的平均价格来看，12月的同比增长会是负数，也就是说2022年12月的汽油价格比2021年12月的汽油价格还便宜，大概同比增长是-1%。考虑到能源部分中还有一些服务部分，价格具有一定的粘滞性，能源的同比增长大概只有3%。下图是美国的汽油价格，红框是12月。第二部分是食物（下图是食物的指数），是属于通胀比较顽固的部分，目前通胀的环比开始放缓。这里数学处理一下，沿用11月的环比增幅来估计12月的食物指数，那么12月的食物部分的同比增长是10%，这个和11月的食物同比增长10.6%相近。对于第三部分（商品）和第四部分（服务），均采用和食物类似的处理方式。商品的同比增长将会是2%，低于11月的3.7%；服务的同比增长将会是7%，略微高于11月的6.8%。商品价格的回落有目共睹，所以实际可能比2%更低。服务的同比增长依然具有粘性，这里面房租的贡献最大，从现在的实际感受来看，房租确实没有回落。最后把预估的4部分套上各自的权重系数，那么12月的通胀预估是6.0%。目前华尔街分析师的预期均值是6.5%，我的比他们的预期要低0.5%。注意，我的预估其实都是偏保守，因为食物、商品和服务的环比增长在过去4个月都是越来越小，而我套用的是11月的环比增长来预估12月的数，很保守。下图是这3部分过去4个月的指数以及环比增长，环比变弱的趋势明显。周四的数字不会难看。免责声明：非研究报告，仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":661475900,"gmtCreate":1664210189700,"gmtModify":1664210193052,"author":{"id":"3546917951592808","authorId":"3546917951592808","name":"Melody_w","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ae510950e97b848a729e6485515b32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546917951592808","authorIdStr":"3546917951592808"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UVXY\">$1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$</a>开始吃肉！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UVXY\">$1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$</a>开始吃肉！","text":"$1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$开始吃肉！","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baccfa5e6d22cf6c648d1eaba43d7bfb","width":"1242","height":"2448"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661475900","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}