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Wall Street ignores these 'orphan' stocks, but they've beaten the S&P 500 over 20 years

Dow Jones2021-10-02

A business might be considered boring, but a solid operator can make owners of its stock a lot of money while flying under the radar

Wall Street is in the business of selling stocks. But it ignores some of them, and some of the "orphan stocks" ignored by analysts have been incredible long-term performers.

When an investment bank (which is probably also a brokerage firm) underwrites a new offering of stock, it has the job of selling those shares to investors. Later on, analysts working for brokerage firms continue to cover the stocks and rate them based on earnings estimates and share-price targets.

In his CWS Market Review newsletter on Aug. 17, Eddy Elfenbein mentioned Nathan's Famous Inc. $(NATH)$ as an example of a stock "that is up more than 35-fold in the last 20 years" while being overlooked by Wall Street.

Elfenbein listed other of his favorite orphans, such as Atrion Corp $(ATRI)$., which makes fluid delivery equipment used for various medical applications, and Chase Corp. (CCF), which manufactures various protective materials.

All three are included in the list below.

Since an orphaned stock isn't covered by analysts, no estimates for sales or earnings are available.

A few caveats:

An orphan stock screen

To identify a list of orphan stocks with excellent 20-year performance records, we began with the components of the Russell 3000 Index , which represents 98% of stocks traded in the U.S. Specifically, we started with the components of the Vanguard Russell 3000 ETF $(VTHR)$, which tracks the index by holding all of its component stocks.

Among the Russel 3000, there are 118 orphan stocks not covered by any analysts polled by FactSet.

Among those 118 orphan stocks, 74 have traded for at least 20 years, and 34 of those have beaten the 20-year return of the S&P 500 Index . Eight have beaten the index over 5, 10 and 15 years as well, and they are bolded in the table.

Here are the 74, listed by 20-year total return with dividends reinvested. Their market values range from less than $200 million to $12.8 billion. At the bottom of the table are figures for the S&P 500:

Company Return -- 20 Years Return -- 15 Years Return -- 10 Years Return -- 5 Years Market cap. ($mil)
Diamond Hill Investment Group Inc. BRDG 8905% 783% 319% 21% $571
NewMarket Corp. NEU 7532% 723% 188% -13% $3,733
EVI Industries Inc. EVI 6722% 2511% 3556% 428% $300
Atrion Corp. ATRI 3783% 1065% 292% 56% $1,198
Amerco UHAL 3742% 902% 871% 92% $12,806
Nathan's Famous Inc. NATH 3472% 843% 519% 61% $284
Winmark Corp. WINA 3231% 835% 439% 113% $728
U.S. Lime & Minerals Inc. USLM 2730% 382% 304% 154% $832
Chase Corp. CCF 2616% 1645% 936% 97% $1,093
Tucows Inc. TCX 2223% 1920% 2395% 179% $793
Hingham Institution for Savings HIFS 1837% 958% 532% 137% $639
RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. RICK 1788% 844% 734% 489% $557
CorVel Corp. CRVL 1631% 1492% 626% 282% $2,742
Investors Title Co. ITIC 1547% 490% 615% 153% $360
Seaboard Corp. SEB 1515% 203% 82% 34% $4,798
NVE Corp. NVEC 1489% 323% 82% 57% $331
Cass Information Systems Inc. CASS 1356% 216% 136% 21% $632
FRP Holdings Inc. FRPH 1113% 248% 246% 77% $539
Daily Journal Corp. DJCO 977% 726% 337% 37% $433
Utah Medical Products Inc. UTMD 963% 321% 309% 50% $321
Ingles Markets Inc. Class A IMKTA 957% 332% 472% 93% $923
Miller Industries Inc. MLR 956% 157% 178% 104% $431
Marine Products Corp. MPX 950% 124% 267% 85% $453
National Presto Industries Inc. NPK 918% 365% 81% 29% $625
VirnetX Holding Corp. VHC 899% 1053% -80% 56% $252
First Bancorp Inc. FNLC 884% 235% 247% 77% $326
Oil-Dri Corp. of America ODC 875% 254% 150% 8% $185
Village Super Market Inc. Class A VLGEA 801% 166% 32% -11% $234
Pure Cycle Corp. PCYO 741% 59% 329% 213% $342
Universal Health Realty Income Trust UHT 709% 267% 156% 15% $796
IDT Corp. Class B IDT 617% 525% 971% 356% $1,167
P.A.M. Transportation Services Inc. PTSI 614% 185% 716% 269% $392
Century Bancorp Inc. Class A CNBKA 568% 450% 405% 171% $419
Flexsteel Industries Inc. FLXS 488% 331% 224% -4% $252
S&P 500 IndexSPX 469% 367% 356% 124%
Source: FactSet

You can click on the tickers for more about each company, including business profiles and trailing price-to-earnings ratios (since consensus earnings estimates that drive forward P/E ratios aren't available). For comparison, the trailing P/E for the S&P 500 is 25.

The largest company on the list by market cap is Amerco (UHAL), which rents moving vehicles and equipment through company-owned U-Haul stores and through stores owned by independent dealers.

If you see any stocks on the list that interest you, homework is in order. No estimates are available to help you consider how rapidly a company may increase its sales or earnings from here. So read up, consider a company's business strategy and form your own opinion about how likely it is to remain competitive over the next decade or two.

免责声明:本文观点仅代表作者个人观点,不构成本平台的投资建议,本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证,亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

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    ·2021-10-03
    I like orphan stocks, under the radar like stealth fighters, and suddenly they shine!  👍😊🎊🎉🎊🌟🌟🌟
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