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沙漠雨
2021-05-02
学到了。
抱歉,原内容已删除
沙漠雨
2021-05-02
厉害
小鹏汽车4月交付量5147台,连续10个月同比翻番
沙漠雨
2021-04-10
穿什么自己喜欢就好
抱歉,原内容已删除
沙漠雨
2021-04-10
学习了
抱歉,原内容已删除
沙漠雨
2021-03-22
5%远远不够呀,继续继续
抱歉,原内容已删除
沙漠雨
2021-03-20
$物农网(WNW)$
这可是只妖股啊,静等她成妖!
沙漠雨
2021-03-20
LAZR加油💪
沙漠雨
2021-03-06
$Sify Technologies Limited(SIFY)$
总算有点好消息了[微笑] [微笑] [微笑]
沙漠雨
2021-02-24
学习了
巴菲特、达里奥、索罗斯等大师是如何应对股市下跌的?
沙漠雨
2021-02-23
有人接飞刀吗?
沙漠雨
2021-02-23
$CPS Technologies Corp(CPSH)$
账户里的定海神针
沙漠雨
2021-02-15
$AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.(AQB)$
潜力巨大,周二加仓
沙漠雨
2021-02-14
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@小贝导演:【今天不聊股市,聊点骚操作】装修房子不花钱?买完新车就出租?
沙漠雨
2021-02-14
很喜欢ABNB,从打新开始关注却一直没能拥有—爱恨交加啊[呆住] [呆住] [呆住]
沙漠雨
2021-02-14
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
$65的目标价不算过分吧?
沙漠雨
2021-02-10
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
继续加油💪
沙漠雨
2021-02-09
$RLX科技(RLX)$
就是中签率太低
沙漠雨
2021-02-08
到底了吗?
沙漠雨
2021-02-05
幸福来得太突然!有人关注这只票吗?
沙漠雨
2021-01-19
我也想去澳斯汀
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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09:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>5月2日,小鹏汽车公布4月交付成绩:总交付量5147台,同比增长285%,连续10个月同比翻番。其中,P7交付量2995台,G3交付量2152台。今年1-4月累计交付量达18487台,是去年同期的五倍。</p><p>小鹏汽车表示:我们会进一步加快产品和技术发展,增强售后服务能力,为大家带来更好的体验。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4664ea9fea3824cb650630e52c49708\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"2437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b8fa6072ee37e0b77a4d157dfdbb8b0","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143822503","content_text":"5月2日,小鹏汽车公布4月交付成绩:总交付量5147台,同比增长285%,连续10个月同比翻番。其中,P7交付量2995台,G3交付量2152台。今年1-4月累计交付量达18487台,是去年同期的五倍。小鹏汽车表示:我们会进一步加快产品和技术发展,增强售后服务能力,为大家带来更好的体验。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":346365160,"gmtCreate":1618000314550,"gmtModify":1618000314550,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"穿什么自己喜欢就好","listText":"穿什么自己喜欢就好","text":"穿什么自己喜欢就好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346365160","repostId":"2125712705","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":346365392,"gmtCreate":1618000164116,"gmtModify":1618000164116,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"学习了","listText":"学习了","text":"学习了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346365392","repostId":"2125721231","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359874174,"gmtCreate":1616387759498,"gmtModify":1616387759498,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"5%远远不够呀,继续继续","listText":"5%远远不够呀,继续继续","text":"5%远远不够呀,继续继续","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359874174","repostId":"2120149521","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350267426,"gmtCreate":1616214200865,"gmtModify":1616214200865,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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[微笑]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2b625d884a6012397f87a6d0b2b0815","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367764020","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363111549,"gmtCreate":1614100783781,"gmtModify":1614100783781,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"学习了","listText":"学习了","text":"学习了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363111549","repostId":"1114793986","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114793986","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614088147,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114793986?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-23 21:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"巴菲特、达里奥、索罗斯等大师是如何应对股市下跌的?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114793986","media":"腾讯网","summary":"巴菲特表示当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现,要保持冷静,长期持有。\n格雷厄姆:第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。\n达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不","content":"<p>巴菲特表示当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现,要保持冷静,长期持有。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆:第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。</p>\n<p>达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功,要保持镇定,反向操作。</p>\n<p>彼得林奇称暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。</p>\n<p>索罗斯:要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。</p>\n<p>吉姆·罗杰斯:买其所值,卖其疯狂。</p>\n<p>如果股市暴跌,普通投资者应该怎么办?</p>\n<p><b>一、大师们如何应对大跌?</b></p>\n<p><b>巴菲特:保持冷静,长期持有</b></p>\n<p>在股神巴菲特看来,投资者在面对股市剧烈波动时,最好的方法应该是保持冷静,并坚守长期持有的投资原则。</p>\n<p>作为拥有长达五十多年投资生涯的股神,巴菲特曾在2016年的一次采访中告诫投资者:「当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现。如果一个投资者遇到股市下跌就忧心忡忡,然后想着等股市回升时就抛掉手中的股票,那么这种投资者最终不会获得理想汽车的回报。」</p>\n<p>一直以来,巴菲特都在强调长期投资是取得理想收益的重要因素。他认为,投资股市所获得的收益来自于长期持有优质公司的股票。如果投资者购买优质公司的股票,且持有这些股票10年、20年、30年之久,那么他们最终将会取得不错的回报。</p>\n<p>巴菲特曾在致股东的年度信中解释说,市场总是处于波动之中,因此对于每个投资者来说,无论投资经验深浅,最好的选择就是保持镇定。</p>\n<p>他写道:虽然通常情况下市场是理性的,但市场偶尔也会有疯狂之举。对于投资者而言,抓住机遇并不需要太多的智慧或经济学位。</p>\n<p>投资者需要的,仅仅是无视市场恐慌或狂热的能力,并将注意力集中在基本面上即可。另外,能在相当长的时期内保持无趣、甚至是愚蠢的意愿也十分重要。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆</p>\n<p>第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆是巴菲特的导师,证券分析之父,价值投资的鼻祖。1929年9月,道琼斯指数最高涨到381点,随后开始下跌。10月29日,道琼斯指数暴跌12%,这一天被形容为纽约交易所112年历史上「最糟糕的一天」,这就是历史上最著名的「黑色星期二」。</p>\n<p>1929年11月,道琼斯指数最低跌到198点,然后企稳反弹。到1930年3月,一度涨到286点,反弹幅度高达43%。于是许多投资者认为最坏的时期已经过去了,股市将要大反转。格雷厄姆也这样认为,于是他开始进场抄底。</p>\n<p>他抄的都是从价值评估上看非常便宜的好股票,为了取得更大的收益率,他还利用保证金进行杠杆操作。但股市反弹持续到4月份后又开始暴跌,道琼斯指数在1930年下跌33%,而格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达50.5%。</p>\n<p>至1932年7月,道琼斯指数达到最低点41点,从最高点381点算起,最大跌幅高达89%,而同期格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达78%,这场超级大熊市几乎让他倾家荡产。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆后来重新东山再起,写出投资圣经《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》,总结出一个永恒的价值投资基本原则:安全边际。</p>\n<p>安全第一,赢利第二。</p>\n<p>达里奥:保持镇定,反向操作</p>\n<p>和巴菲特一样,全球最大对冲基金桥水基金创始人达里奥也认为,投资者在面对股市下跌时不必惊慌,应该保持冷静。</p>\n<p>达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功。</p>\n<p>相反,在市场走跌时,投资者需要进行反向操作,即当你不再感到恐惧时,你可能需要卖出;当你感到恐惧时,你也许需要买进。</p>\n<p>目前,桥水基金已成为全球最大对冲基金公司,管理的资产规模高达1500亿美元。</p>\n<p>在《原则》一书中,达里奥分享了他在市场崩盘中学到的三件事情:第一,不应该离谱地过度自信,并放纵自己被情绪左右。无论我知道多少东西,无论我多么勤奋,我都不应该自信地做出绝对的断言。</p>\n<p>第二,我再次领会到研究历史的价值;第三,把握市场的时机相当困难。成为一个成功投资者的要决之一,是只对你有高度信心的投资对象进行冒险押注,并对这些对象进行充分的分散投资。</p>\n<p>明智的人在经历各种沉浮时都始终盯稳健的基本面;而轻浮的人跟着感觉走,做出情绪化的反应,对于热门的东西一拥而上,不热的时候又马上放弃。</p>\n<p>想要拥有很多优势,而又不暴露于不可接受的劣势之下,最稳妥的方式是做出一系列良好的、互不相关的押注,彼此平衡,相互补充。</p>\n<p>彼得·林奇</p>\n<p>股市波动的历史规律告诉我们,所有的大跌都会过去,股市永远会涨得更高。历史经验还表明,股市大跌其实是释放风险,创造投资的一次好机会,能以很低的价格买入那些很优秀的公司股票。但抄底并没有那么简单。与其去不断抄「底」,不断被套,不如等底部出现后再介入不迟。</p>\n<p>1987年美国股市大崩盘时,很多人由百万富翁沦为赤贫,精神崩溃甚至自杀。当时美国证券界超级巨星彼得·林奇管理着100多亿美元的麦哲伦基金,一天之内基金资产净值损失了18%,损失高达20亿美元。</p>\n<p>林奇和所有开放式基金经理一样,只有一个选择:抛售股票。为了应付非比寻常的巨额赎回,林奇不得不把股票都卖了。</p>\n<p>过了一年多,彼得·林奇回忆起来仍然感到害怕,「在那一时刻,我真的不能确定,到底是到了世界末日,还是我们即将陷入一场严重的经济大萧条,又或者是事情还没变得那么糟糕,仅仅只是华尔街即将完蛋?」</p>\n<p>之后彼得林奇继续经历过很多次股市大跌,但仍然取得了非常成功的绩效。</p>\n<p>第一,不要因恐慌而全部贱价抛出股票。如果你在股市暴跌中绝望地卖出股票,那么你的卖出价格往往会非常之低。1987年10月的行情让人感到惊恐不安,但没必要在这一天或第二天把股票抛出。</p>\n<p>当年11月份股市开始稳步上扬。到1988年6月,市场已经反弹了400多点,也就是说涨幅超过了23%。</p>\n<p>第二,对持有的好公司股票要有坚定的勇气。第三,要敢于低价买入好公司股票。暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。</p>\n<p>索罗斯</p>\n<p>世界经济史是一部基于假象和谎言的连续剧。要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。</p>\n<p>索罗斯1987年前认为日本股市泡沫巨大,放空日本股票,结果惨败,日本股市牛到了1989年。索罗斯在华尔街评论上鼓吹美国股市会坚挺,日本股市将会崩盘,而结果正好相反:美国股市崩盘了,日本股市却坚挺。</p>\n<p>1987年9月,索罗斯把几十亿美元的投资从东京转移到了华尔街。然而,首先出现大崩溃的不是日本证券市场,而恰恰是美国的华尔街。</p>\n<p>1987年10月19日,美国纽约道琼斯平均指数狂跌508点,创当时历史记录。在接下来的一个星期里,纽约股市一路下滑。而日本股市却相对坚挺。索罗斯决定抛售手中所持有的几个大的长期股票份额。</p>\n<p>其他的交易商捕捉到有关信息后,借机猛烈向下砸被抛售的股票,使期货的现金折扣降了20%。索罗斯在这场华尔街大崩溃中,损失了大约6.5亿到8亿美元。</p>\n<p>这场大崩溃使量子基金净资产跌落26.2%,远大于17%的美国股市的跌幅,索罗斯成了这场灾难的最大失败者。</p>\n<p>索罗斯当年的惨败原因归根结底是投机心理作祟,揣摩市场时机一意孤行的走到了巨额亏损的境地。</p>\n<p>错误并不可耻,可耻的是错误已经显而易见了还不去修正。承担风险,无可指责。但同时记住千万不能孤注一掷。对错都不重要,关键是弄错的时候你损失了多少,判断正确的时候又赚了多少。</p>\n<p>吉姆·罗杰斯:买其所值,卖其疯狂</p>\n<p>华尔街投资大师吉姆·罗杰斯曾指出,应该耐心等待好时机,赚了钱获利了结,然后等待下一次机会。如此,才可以战胜别人。</p>\n<p>市场走势时常会呈现长期的低迷不振,为了避免使资金陷入一潭死水的市场中,投资者应该等待能够改变市场走势的催化因素出现。买其所值,卖其疯狂。</p>\n<p>菲利普·费雪</p>\n<p>菲利普·费雪是现代投资理论的开路先锋之一,成长股投资策略之父,教父级的投资大师,华尔街极受尊重和推崇的投资家之一。</p>\n<p>要学会花很多时间来研究,并不急于买入。在一个连续下跌的市场环境中,不要过快地买入那些不熟悉的股票。</p>\n<p>1929年美国股市处在崩溃前的疯狂牛市中,但费雪发现美国许多产业前景不稳,股市有严重泡沫。</p>\n<p>1929年8月,他向银行高级主管提交了一份「25年来最严重的大空头市场将展开。」的报告。这可以说是费雪一生中最令人赞叹的股市预测,可惜的是费雪「看空做多」。</p>\n<p>他说:「我免不了被股市的魁力所惑。于是到处寻找一些还算便宜的股票,因为它们还没涨到位。」1929年10月美股突然崩溃,费雪也没有幸免于难,在股灾中他损失惨重,费雪亦血本无归。</p>\n<p>费雪开始明白,决定股票价格的主要因素,不是当年的P/E,而是未来几年的预期P/E。他说,若能培养自己的能力,在合理的上下限内确定某只股票未来几年可能的业绩,就能找到一把钥匙,不但能避免亏损,更能赚得厚利。</p>\n<p>比尔·米勒</p>\n<p>「我经常提醒我的分析师们,你们关于公司的信息100%代表了公司的过去,而股票的估值100%取决于未来。」</p>\n<p>米勒管理的Legg Mason价值型信托基金在1991—2005年这15年当中,连续战胜标准普尔500指数,创造了有史以来最辉煌的基金经理业绩记录,被誉为这个时代最成功的基金经理。然而,在短短一年时间里,这个荣誉就被他亲手毁掉了。</p>\n<p>在次贷危机中,很多原来非常优秀的公司股票连续大幅下跌,米勒认为投资者反应过度了,于是逆市买入。他本以为那次危机是一次大好的赚钱良机,结果危机却变成大萧条之后最惨重的大熊市。</p>\n<p>虽然过去15年来他逆向操作的投资决策事后都证明是正确的,但这次却栽得很惨。米勒的股票清单就像是这次危机中的「烈士榜」:AIG、贝尔斯登、房地美、花旗、华盛顿互助银行等。</p>\n<p>2008年,已经58岁的米勒接受采访时说:「从一开始我就没能恰当地估计到这场流动性危机的严重性」。</p>\n<p>尽管米勒以前经常从市场恐慌中赚钱,但他说,这次自己没想到危机会这么严重,基本面的问题如此之深,以至于曾贵为市场领头羊的优质上市公司居然统统倒下了。</p>\n<p>「我还是缺乏经验」,米勒说,「每一个买进股票的决定都是错的,真是太可怕了。」</p>\n<p>经验教训「任何超常发挥的投资组合,在某段时间内能成功,是因为具有价格错位的保险性。市场对这个未来数的估计是错的。我们通过比较市场,对此公司的估值以及我们自己对公司的估值,用多种要素组合的方法来找出价格错位。」</p>\n<p><b>二、股市暴跌,普通投资者怎么办?</b></p>\n<p>状况一:手中股票已经跌到成本区</p>\n<p>建议:在这种状况下,谨慎的投资者应该选择离场,比较激进的也要设置止损价,然后观察一两天再作出决定。不要盲目杀跌,也不要对自己买的股票有情绪,在这个时刻,头脑一定要清醒。</p>\n<p>状况二:手中股票已经出现亏损</p>\n<p>建议:这种亏损也需要分类对待,投资者可查看相关资料,如果手中股票属于基金重仓股,那么就不要盲目斩仓,甚至在大盘快速暴跌的情况下,可分批补仓,摊低成本,和基金死磕到底。(如遇熊市下跌过程中或股灾的时候,不适合用这条建议)</p>\n<p>而如果通过查看资料发现,该股票主力主要是由个别大户操纵的,这样的股票在市场持续不佳的情况下,投资者应该坚决出局,保住现金争取更大的主动性。因为这种股票的主力在大盘真正暴跌时一般不会护盘。</p>\n<p>另外,还有一些成交比较清淡的个股,没有明显主力介入的迹象,那么一定要设立止损价位,这种股票的性质主要以跟风为主,一旦跌破长期形成的平台,一定要坚决离场。</p>\n<p>状况三:手中一半是钱一半是股票</p>\n<p>建议:如果投资者这部分股票处于盈利状态,而市场趋势始终看不明朗,那么应将股票出掉,保留现金。毕竟市场中的机会很多,保留现金才能在市场中有更大的话语权。</p>\n<p>如果是手中这部分股票已经亏损,那么投资者应该选择市场在大幅下跌之后,并出现走稳趋向的时候,迅速补充自己手中的股票。而如果补仓后,该股当天涨幅较大,可当天做变相T+0,锁定一部分利润。</p>\n<p>状况四:手中都是钱想进场</p>\n<p>建议:如果是激进型的投资者,并有一定看盘能力的,可以根据市场情况抢反弹,但应以短线思维为主。</p>","source":"lsy1571985465872","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n巴菲特、达里奥、索罗斯等大师是如何应对股市下跌的?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-23 21:49 北京时间 <a href=https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210223A0ADX600><strong>腾讯网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>巴菲特表示当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现,要保持冷静,长期持有。\n格雷厄姆:第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。\n达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功,要保持镇定,反向操作。\n彼得林奇称暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。\n索罗斯:要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210223A0ADX600\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9beffeecb928009bf6287e307899ffe3","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210223A0ADX600","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114793986","content_text":"巴菲特表示当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现,要保持冷静,长期持有。\n格雷厄姆:第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。\n达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功,要保持镇定,反向操作。\n彼得林奇称暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。\n索罗斯:要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。\n吉姆·罗杰斯:买其所值,卖其疯狂。\n如果股市暴跌,普通投资者应该怎么办?\n一、大师们如何应对大跌?\n巴菲特:保持冷静,长期持有\n在股神巴菲特看来,投资者在面对股市剧烈波动时,最好的方法应该是保持冷静,并坚守长期持有的投资原则。\n作为拥有长达五十多年投资生涯的股神,巴菲特曾在2016年的一次采访中告诫投资者:「当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现。如果一个投资者遇到股市下跌就忧心忡忡,然后想着等股市回升时就抛掉手中的股票,那么这种投资者最终不会获得理想汽车的回报。」\n一直以来,巴菲特都在强调长期投资是取得理想收益的重要因素。他认为,投资股市所获得的收益来自于长期持有优质公司的股票。如果投资者购买优质公司的股票,且持有这些股票10年、20年、30年之久,那么他们最终将会取得不错的回报。\n巴菲特曾在致股东的年度信中解释说,市场总是处于波动之中,因此对于每个投资者来说,无论投资经验深浅,最好的选择就是保持镇定。\n他写道:虽然通常情况下市场是理性的,但市场偶尔也会有疯狂之举。对于投资者而言,抓住机遇并不需要太多的智慧或经济学位。\n投资者需要的,仅仅是无视市场恐慌或狂热的能力,并将注意力集中在基本面上即可。另外,能在相当长的时期内保持无趣、甚至是愚蠢的意愿也十分重要。\n格雷厄姆\n第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。\n格雷厄姆是巴菲特的导师,证券分析之父,价值投资的鼻祖。1929年9月,道琼斯指数最高涨到381点,随后开始下跌。10月29日,道琼斯指数暴跌12%,这一天被形容为纽约交易所112年历史上「最糟糕的一天」,这就是历史上最著名的「黑色星期二」。\n1929年11月,道琼斯指数最低跌到198点,然后企稳反弹。到1930年3月,一度涨到286点,反弹幅度高达43%。于是许多投资者认为最坏的时期已经过去了,股市将要大反转。格雷厄姆也这样认为,于是他开始进场抄底。\n他抄的都是从价值评估上看非常便宜的好股票,为了取得更大的收益率,他还利用保证金进行杠杆操作。但股市反弹持续到4月份后又开始暴跌,道琼斯指数在1930年下跌33%,而格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达50.5%。\n至1932年7月,道琼斯指数达到最低点41点,从最高点381点算起,最大跌幅高达89%,而同期格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达78%,这场超级大熊市几乎让他倾家荡产。\n格雷厄姆后来重新东山再起,写出投资圣经《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》,总结出一个永恒的价值投资基本原则:安全边际。\n安全第一,赢利第二。\n达里奥:保持镇定,反向操作\n和巴菲特一样,全球最大对冲基金桥水基金创始人达里奥也认为,投资者在面对股市下跌时不必惊慌,应该保持冷静。\n达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功。\n相反,在市场走跌时,投资者需要进行反向操作,即当你不再感到恐惧时,你可能需要卖出;当你感到恐惧时,你也许需要买进。\n目前,桥水基金已成为全球最大对冲基金公司,管理的资产规模高达1500亿美元。\n在《原则》一书中,达里奥分享了他在市场崩盘中学到的三件事情:第一,不应该离谱地过度自信,并放纵自己被情绪左右。无论我知道多少东西,无论我多么勤奋,我都不应该自信地做出绝对的断言。\n第二,我再次领会到研究历史的价值;第三,把握市场的时机相当困难。成为一个成功投资者的要决之一,是只对你有高度信心的投资对象进行冒险押注,并对这些对象进行充分的分散投资。\n明智的人在经历各种沉浮时都始终盯稳健的基本面;而轻浮的人跟着感觉走,做出情绪化的反应,对于热门的东西一拥而上,不热的时候又马上放弃。\n想要拥有很多优势,而又不暴露于不可接受的劣势之下,最稳妥的方式是做出一系列良好的、互不相关的押注,彼此平衡,相互补充。\n彼得·林奇\n股市波动的历史规律告诉我们,所有的大跌都会过去,股市永远会涨得更高。历史经验还表明,股市大跌其实是释放风险,创造投资的一次好机会,能以很低的价格买入那些很优秀的公司股票。但抄底并没有那么简单。与其去不断抄「底」,不断被套,不如等底部出现后再介入不迟。\n1987年美国股市大崩盘时,很多人由百万富翁沦为赤贫,精神崩溃甚至自杀。当时美国证券界超级巨星彼得·林奇管理着100多亿美元的麦哲伦基金,一天之内基金资产净值损失了18%,损失高达20亿美元。\n林奇和所有开放式基金经理一样,只有一个选择:抛售股票。为了应付非比寻常的巨额赎回,林奇不得不把股票都卖了。\n过了一年多,彼得·林奇回忆起来仍然感到害怕,「在那一时刻,我真的不能确定,到底是到了世界末日,还是我们即将陷入一场严重的经济大萧条,又或者是事情还没变得那么糟糕,仅仅只是华尔街即将完蛋?」\n之后彼得林奇继续经历过很多次股市大跌,但仍然取得了非常成功的绩效。\n第一,不要因恐慌而全部贱价抛出股票。如果你在股市暴跌中绝望地卖出股票,那么你的卖出价格往往会非常之低。1987年10月的行情让人感到惊恐不安,但没必要在这一天或第二天把股票抛出。\n当年11月份股市开始稳步上扬。到1988年6月,市场已经反弹了400多点,也就是说涨幅超过了23%。\n第二,对持有的好公司股票要有坚定的勇气。第三,要敢于低价买入好公司股票。暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。\n索罗斯\n世界经济史是一部基于假象和谎言的连续剧。要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。\n索罗斯1987年前认为日本股市泡沫巨大,放空日本股票,结果惨败,日本股市牛到了1989年。索罗斯在华尔街评论上鼓吹美国股市会坚挺,日本股市将会崩盘,而结果正好相反:美国股市崩盘了,日本股市却坚挺。\n1987年9月,索罗斯把几十亿美元的投资从东京转移到了华尔街。然而,首先出现大崩溃的不是日本证券市场,而恰恰是美国的华尔街。\n1987年10月19日,美国纽约道琼斯平均指数狂跌508点,创当时历史记录。在接下来的一个星期里,纽约股市一路下滑。而日本股市却相对坚挺。索罗斯决定抛售手中所持有的几个大的长期股票份额。\n其他的交易商捕捉到有关信息后,借机猛烈向下砸被抛售的股票,使期货的现金折扣降了20%。索罗斯在这场华尔街大崩溃中,损失了大约6.5亿到8亿美元。\n这场大崩溃使量子基金净资产跌落26.2%,远大于17%的美国股市的跌幅,索罗斯成了这场灾难的最大失败者。\n索罗斯当年的惨败原因归根结底是投机心理作祟,揣摩市场时机一意孤行的走到了巨额亏损的境地。\n错误并不可耻,可耻的是错误已经显而易见了还不去修正。承担风险,无可指责。但同时记住千万不能孤注一掷。对错都不重要,关键是弄错的时候你损失了多少,判断正确的时候又赚了多少。\n吉姆·罗杰斯:买其所值,卖其疯狂\n华尔街投资大师吉姆·罗杰斯曾指出,应该耐心等待好时机,赚了钱获利了结,然后等待下一次机会。如此,才可以战胜别人。\n市场走势时常会呈现长期的低迷不振,为了避免使资金陷入一潭死水的市场中,投资者应该等待能够改变市场走势的催化因素出现。买其所值,卖其疯狂。\n菲利普·费雪\n菲利普·费雪是现代投资理论的开路先锋之一,成长股投资策略之父,教父级的投资大师,华尔街极受尊重和推崇的投资家之一。\n要学会花很多时间来研究,并不急于买入。在一个连续下跌的市场环境中,不要过快地买入那些不熟悉的股票。\n1929年美国股市处在崩溃前的疯狂牛市中,但费雪发现美国许多产业前景不稳,股市有严重泡沫。\n1929年8月,他向银行高级主管提交了一份「25年来最严重的大空头市场将展开。」的报告。这可以说是费雪一生中最令人赞叹的股市预测,可惜的是费雪「看空做多」。\n他说:「我免不了被股市的魁力所惑。于是到处寻找一些还算便宜的股票,因为它们还没涨到位。」1929年10月美股突然崩溃,费雪也没有幸免于难,在股灾中他损失惨重,费雪亦血本无归。\n费雪开始明白,决定股票价格的主要因素,不是当年的P/E,而是未来几年的预期P/E。他说,若能培养自己的能力,在合理的上下限内确定某只股票未来几年可能的业绩,就能找到一把钥匙,不但能避免亏损,更能赚得厚利。\n比尔·米勒\n「我经常提醒我的分析师们,你们关于公司的信息100%代表了公司的过去,而股票的估值100%取决于未来。」\n米勒管理的Legg Mason价值型信托基金在1991—2005年这15年当中,连续战胜标准普尔500指数,创造了有史以来最辉煌的基金经理业绩记录,被誉为这个时代最成功的基金经理。然而,在短短一年时间里,这个荣誉就被他亲手毁掉了。\n在次贷危机中,很多原来非常优秀的公司股票连续大幅下跌,米勒认为投资者反应过度了,于是逆市买入。他本以为那次危机是一次大好的赚钱良机,结果危机却变成大萧条之后最惨重的大熊市。\n虽然过去15年来他逆向操作的投资决策事后都证明是正确的,但这次却栽得很惨。米勒的股票清单就像是这次危机中的「烈士榜」:AIG、贝尔斯登、房地美、花旗、华盛顿互助银行等。\n2008年,已经58岁的米勒接受采访时说:「从一开始我就没能恰当地估计到这场流动性危机的严重性」。\n尽管米勒以前经常从市场恐慌中赚钱,但他说,这次自己没想到危机会这么严重,基本面的问题如此之深,以至于曾贵为市场领头羊的优质上市公司居然统统倒下了。\n「我还是缺乏经验」,米勒说,「每一个买进股票的决定都是错的,真是太可怕了。」\n经验教训「任何超常发挥的投资组合,在某段时间内能成功,是因为具有价格错位的保险性。市场对这个未来数的估计是错的。我们通过比较市场,对此公司的估值以及我们自己对公司的估值,用多种要素组合的方法来找出价格错位。」\n二、股市暴跌,普通投资者怎么办?\n状况一:手中股票已经跌到成本区\n建议:在这种状况下,谨慎的投资者应该选择离场,比较激进的也要设置止损价,然后观察一两天再作出决定。不要盲目杀跌,也不要对自己买的股票有情绪,在这个时刻,头脑一定要清醒。\n状况二:手中股票已经出现亏损\n建议:这种亏损也需要分类对待,投资者可查看相关资料,如果手中股票属于基金重仓股,那么就不要盲目斩仓,甚至在大盘快速暴跌的情况下,可分批补仓,摊低成本,和基金死磕到底。(如遇熊市下跌过程中或股灾的时候,不适合用这条建议)\n而如果通过查看资料发现,该股票主力主要是由个别大户操纵的,这样的股票在市场持续不佳的情况下,投资者应该坚决出局,保住现金争取更大的主动性。因为这种股票的主力在大盘真正暴跌时一般不会护盘。\n另外,还有一些成交比较清淡的个股,没有明显主力介入的迹象,那么一定要设立止损价位,这种股票的性质主要以跟风为主,一旦跌破长期形成的平台,一定要坚决离场。\n状况三:手中一半是钱一半是股票\n建议:如果投资者这部分股票处于盈利状态,而市场趋势始终看不明朗,那么应将股票出掉,保留现金。毕竟市场中的机会很多,保留现金才能在市场中有更大的话语权。\n如果是手中这部分股票已经亏损,那么投资者应该选择市场在大幅下跌之后,并出现走稳趋向的时候,迅速补充自己手中的股票。而如果补仓后,该股当天涨幅较大,可当天做变相T+0,锁定一部分利润。\n状况四:手中都是钱想进场\n建议:如果是激进型的投资者,并有一定看盘能力的,可以根据市场情况抢反弹,但应以短线思维为主。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369697809,"gmtCreate":1614037709701,"gmtModify":1614037709701,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有人接飞刀吗?","listText":"有人接飞刀吗?","text":"有人接飞刀吗?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f27e75833bda8ccf75679d58ddf71e4","width":"1125","height":"2890"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369697809","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369823819,"gmtCreate":1614029033031,"gmtModify":1614029033031,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/VwpW0Ba_54mM83ZB4dAxsg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2782612e34d30da8eb62f99067ce3d95","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/VwpW0Ba_54mM83ZB4dAxsg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188956943","content_text":"这两天,我们湖畔云南分校筹办小分队正在昆明调研,走访当地农业、文旅、餐饮、零售等行业的中小创业者,了解他们对于企业家培训的具体需求,为量身定做培训课程做前期准备。这个时候,网上出现了一些不实传闻,给大家造成了不少困扰。对于这些谣传,昆明市西山区已经正式作出澄清,我们也正式声明:湖畔云南分校项目正在依法依规正常推进,网传的“占地1.9万亩”和“被叫停”都是谣言。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":367764020,"gmtCreate":1614972637860,"gmtModify":1703483847275,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/crawl/93/w550h343/20201211/eac8-keyancx9245383.jpg/w720fin.jpg\"/></div><p>财报显示,在第三季度,拼多多用户继续维持高速增长,已经达到7.2亿。三亿人都在用的APP,变成半数中国人都在用的APP,用户扩张速度,即便放眼全球也是数一数二的存在。</p><p>在笔者看来,拼多多能有如此高用户量,与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>的扶持密不可分。微信为拼多多提供巨大的流量入口,也为拼多多提供了方便的传播渠道,在此背景下,拼多多用户高速增长也是水到渠成。</p><p>值得一提的是,拼多多所获得的并不是僵尸用户,不仅用户总数有增长,月活用户数也有明显提升。按此趋势,一两个季度后,拼多多很可能在月活人数上反超阿里。</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/crawl/82/w550h332/20201211/2e14-keyancx9245440.jpg/w720fin.jpg\"/></div><p>而除了用户增加外,拼多多还在财报中带来了另外一个好消息,那就是上市后首次实现盈利。这也让拼多多股价大幅上涨,市值反超京东2000多亿。不过,拼多多也不能高兴得太早。事实上,阿里已经做好了充分准备,防范拼多多。</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/crawl/100/w550h350/20201211/f0e0-keyancx9245454.jpg/w720fin.jpg\"/></div><p>在今年双十一开始前,阿里推出了淘宝特价版,专门对标拼多多。而借助大额补贴优势加持,淘宝特价版活跃用户数很快突破1亿大关。另外,阿里在双十一之前也针对拼多多的物流系统进行打击,极兔快递被菜鸟驿站全面封杀。综合来看,阿里已经为拼多多设置了重重难关,拼多多的发展速度应该会有所放缓。</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/crawl/88/w550h338/20201211/a19a-keyancx9245501.jpg/w720fin.jpg\"/></div><p>当然,拼多多也不会任由阿里出手,乖乖挨打。新推出的多多买菜业务备受社会各界人士关注,在阿里还在围剿拼多多线上业务时,拼多多已经先人一步进入社区团购市场,这或许会成为拼多多用户新的增长点。</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/crawl/58/w550h308/20201211/e2fd-keyancx9245546.jpg/w720fin.jpg\"/></div><p>整体来看,无论是拼多多目前口碑如何,未来发展如何,必须要承认的是,拼多多是过去五年电商市场上的最大赢家。对此,你怎么看?</p><p>作者:互联网科技说</p><p>来源:雪球</p></body></html>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>超越京东,直逼阿里!中国电商界的“搅局者”,用户数量超7亿</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n超越京东,直逼阿里!中国电商界的“搅局者”,用户数量超7亿\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-12-11 08:43 北京时间 <a href=http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-12-11/doc-iiznctke5894121.shtml><strong>新浪财经综合</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>超越京东,直逼阿里!中国电商界的“搅局者”,用户数量超7亿在过去几年里,各大电商巨头不断挖掘三四线城市用户,市场规模变得越来越大。同时,电商界的“搅局者”——拼多多,也借势崛起。市场格局开始发生微妙变化,猫狗大战慢慢成为历史,三足鼎立正在成为新趋势。在近日发布的胡润中国500强民企中,拼多多凭借11140万亿的价值超越京东,直逼阿里。而根据拼多多发布的第三季度财报,虽然拼多多成立只有五年,但用户...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-12-11/doc-iiznctke5894121.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/420d3ceae2e67779099ecfc1a7b7e62a","relate_stocks":{"JD":"京东","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-12-11/doc-iiznctke5894121.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2090857392","content_text":"超越京东,直逼阿里!中国电商界的“搅局者”,用户数量超7亿在过去几年里,各大电商巨头不断挖掘三四线城市用户,市场规模变得越来越大。同时,电商界的“搅局者”——拼多多,也借势崛起。市场格局开始发生微妙变化,猫狗大战慢慢成为历史,三足鼎立正在成为新趋势。在近日发布的胡润中国500强民企中,拼多多凭借11140万亿的价值超越京东,直逼阿里。而根据拼多多发布的第三季度财报,虽然拼多多成立只有五年,但用户规模同样超越了京东。财报显示,在第三季度,拼多多用户继续维持高速增长,已经达到7.2亿。三亿人都在用的APP,变成半数中国人都在用的APP,用户扩张速度,即便放眼全球也是数一数二的存在。在笔者看来,拼多多能有如此高用户量,与腾讯的扶持密不可分。微信为拼多多提供巨大的流量入口,也为拼多多提供了方便的传播渠道,在此背景下,拼多多用户高速增长也是水到渠成。值得一提的是,拼多多所获得的并不是僵尸用户,不仅用户总数有增长,月活用户数也有明显提升。按此趋势,一两个季度后,拼多多很可能在月活人数上反超阿里。而除了用户增加外,拼多多还在财报中带来了另外一个好消息,那就是上市后首次实现盈利。这也让拼多多股价大幅上涨,市值反超京东2000多亿。不过,拼多多也不能高兴得太早。事实上,阿里已经做好了充分准备,防范拼多多。在今年双十一开始前,阿里推出了淘宝特价版,专门对标拼多多。而借助大额补贴优势加持,淘宝特价版活跃用户数很快突破1亿大关。另外,阿里在双十一之前也针对拼多多的物流系统进行打击,极兔快递被菜鸟驿站全面封杀。综合来看,阿里已经为拼多多设置了重重难关,拼多多的发展速度应该会有所放缓。当然,拼多多也不会任由阿里出手,乖乖挨打。新推出的多多买菜业务备受社会各界人士关注,在阿里还在围剿拼多多线上业务时,拼多多已经先人一步进入社区团购市场,这或许会成为拼多多用户新的增长点。整体来看,无论是拼多多目前口碑如何,未来发展如何,必须要承认的是,拼多多是过去五年电商市场上的最大赢家。对此,你怎么看?作者:互联网科技说来源:雪球","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101477764,"gmtCreate":1619938038358,"gmtModify":1619938038358,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"学到了。","listText":"学到了。","text":"学到了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101477764","repostId":"2132672645","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":346365160,"gmtCreate":1618000314550,"gmtModify":1618000314550,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"穿什么自己喜欢就好","listText":"穿什么自己喜欢就好","text":"穿什么自己喜欢就好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346365160","repostId":"2125712705","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":346365392,"gmtCreate":1618000164116,"gmtModify":1618000164116,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"学习了","listText":"学习了","text":"学习了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346365392","repostId":"2125721231","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359874174,"gmtCreate":1616387759498,"gmtModify":1616387759498,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"5%远远不够呀,继续继续","listText":"5%远远不够呀,继续继续","text":"5%远远不够呀,继续继续","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359874174","repostId":"2120149521","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350264537,"gmtCreate":1616214055429,"gmtModify":1616214055429,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LAZR加油💪","listText":"LAZR加油💪","text":"LAZR加油💪","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23afb4c2fa59d426324aa8e681aba783","width":"1125","height":"2890"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize"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21:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"巴菲特、达里奥、索罗斯等大师是如何应对股市下跌的?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114793986","media":"腾讯网","summary":"巴菲特表示当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现,要保持冷静,长期持有。\n格雷厄姆:第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。\n达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不","content":"<p>巴菲特表示当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现,要保持冷静,长期持有。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆:第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。</p>\n<p>达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功,要保持镇定,反向操作。</p>\n<p>彼得林奇称暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。</p>\n<p>索罗斯:要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。</p>\n<p>吉姆·罗杰斯:买其所值,卖其疯狂。</p>\n<p>如果股市暴跌,普通投资者应该怎么办?</p>\n<p><b>一、大师们如何应对大跌?</b></p>\n<p><b>巴菲特:保持冷静,长期持有</b></p>\n<p>在股神巴菲特看来,投资者在面对股市剧烈波动时,最好的方法应该是保持冷静,并坚守长期持有的投资原则。</p>\n<p>作为拥有长达五十多年投资生涯的股神,巴菲特曾在2016年的一次采访中告诫投资者:「当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现。如果一个投资者遇到股市下跌就忧心忡忡,然后想着等股市回升时就抛掉手中的股票,那么这种投资者最终不会获得理想汽车的回报。」</p>\n<p>一直以来,巴菲特都在强调长期投资是取得理想收益的重要因素。他认为,投资股市所获得的收益来自于长期持有优质公司的股票。如果投资者购买优质公司的股票,且持有这些股票10年、20年、30年之久,那么他们最终将会取得不错的回报。</p>\n<p>巴菲特曾在致股东的年度信中解释说,市场总是处于波动之中,因此对于每个投资者来说,无论投资经验深浅,最好的选择就是保持镇定。</p>\n<p>他写道:虽然通常情况下市场是理性的,但市场偶尔也会有疯狂之举。对于投资者而言,抓住机遇并不需要太多的智慧或经济学位。</p>\n<p>投资者需要的,仅仅是无视市场恐慌或狂热的能力,并将注意力集中在基本面上即可。另外,能在相当长的时期内保持无趣、甚至是愚蠢的意愿也十分重要。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆</p>\n<p>第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆是巴菲特的导师,证券分析之父,价值投资的鼻祖。1929年9月,道琼斯指数最高涨到381点,随后开始下跌。10月29日,道琼斯指数暴跌12%,这一天被形容为纽约交易所112年历史上「最糟糕的一天」,这就是历史上最著名的「黑色星期二」。</p>\n<p>1929年11月,道琼斯指数最低跌到198点,然后企稳反弹。到1930年3月,一度涨到286点,反弹幅度高达43%。于是许多投资者认为最坏的时期已经过去了,股市将要大反转。格雷厄姆也这样认为,于是他开始进场抄底。</p>\n<p>他抄的都是从价值评估上看非常便宜的好股票,为了取得更大的收益率,他还利用保证金进行杠杆操作。但股市反弹持续到4月份后又开始暴跌,道琼斯指数在1930年下跌33%,而格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达50.5%。</p>\n<p>至1932年7月,道琼斯指数达到最低点41点,从最高点381点算起,最大跌幅高达89%,而同期格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达78%,这场超级大熊市几乎让他倾家荡产。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆后来重新东山再起,写出投资圣经《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》,总结出一个永恒的价值投资基本原则:安全边际。</p>\n<p>安全第一,赢利第二。</p>\n<p>达里奥:保持镇定,反向操作</p>\n<p>和巴菲特一样,全球最大对冲基金桥水基金创始人达里奥也认为,投资者在面对股市下跌时不必惊慌,应该保持冷静。</p>\n<p>达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功。</p>\n<p>相反,在市场走跌时,投资者需要进行反向操作,即当你不再感到恐惧时,你可能需要卖出;当你感到恐惧时,你也许需要买进。</p>\n<p>目前,桥水基金已成为全球最大对冲基金公司,管理的资产规模高达1500亿美元。</p>\n<p>在《原则》一书中,达里奥分享了他在市场崩盘中学到的三件事情:第一,不应该离谱地过度自信,并放纵自己被情绪左右。无论我知道多少东西,无论我多么勤奋,我都不应该自信地做出绝对的断言。</p>\n<p>第二,我再次领会到研究历史的价值;第三,把握市场的时机相当困难。成为一个成功投资者的要决之一,是只对你有高度信心的投资对象进行冒险押注,并对这些对象进行充分的分散投资。</p>\n<p>明智的人在经历各种沉浮时都始终盯稳健的基本面;而轻浮的人跟着感觉走,做出情绪化的反应,对于热门的东西一拥而上,不热的时候又马上放弃。</p>\n<p>想要拥有很多优势,而又不暴露于不可接受的劣势之下,最稳妥的方式是做出一系列良好的、互不相关的押注,彼此平衡,相互补充。</p>\n<p>彼得·林奇</p>\n<p>股市波动的历史规律告诉我们,所有的大跌都会过去,股市永远会涨得更高。历史经验还表明,股市大跌其实是释放风险,创造投资的一次好机会,能以很低的价格买入那些很优秀的公司股票。但抄底并没有那么简单。与其去不断抄「底」,不断被套,不如等底部出现后再介入不迟。</p>\n<p>1987年美国股市大崩盘时,很多人由百万富翁沦为赤贫,精神崩溃甚至自杀。当时美国证券界超级巨星彼得·林奇管理着100多亿美元的麦哲伦基金,一天之内基金资产净值损失了18%,损失高达20亿美元。</p>\n<p>林奇和所有开放式基金经理一样,只有一个选择:抛售股票。为了应付非比寻常的巨额赎回,林奇不得不把股票都卖了。</p>\n<p>过了一年多,彼得·林奇回忆起来仍然感到害怕,「在那一时刻,我真的不能确定,到底是到了世界末日,还是我们即将陷入一场严重的经济大萧条,又或者是事情还没变得那么糟糕,仅仅只是华尔街即将完蛋?」</p>\n<p>之后彼得林奇继续经历过很多次股市大跌,但仍然取得了非常成功的绩效。</p>\n<p>第一,不要因恐慌而全部贱价抛出股票。如果你在股市暴跌中绝望地卖出股票,那么你的卖出价格往往会非常之低。1987年10月的行情让人感到惊恐不安,但没必要在这一天或第二天把股票抛出。</p>\n<p>当年11月份股市开始稳步上扬。到1988年6月,市场已经反弹了400多点,也就是说涨幅超过了23%。</p>\n<p>第二,对持有的好公司股票要有坚定的勇气。第三,要敢于低价买入好公司股票。暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。</p>\n<p>索罗斯</p>\n<p>世界经济史是一部基于假象和谎言的连续剧。要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。</p>\n<p>索罗斯1987年前认为日本股市泡沫巨大,放空日本股票,结果惨败,日本股市牛到了1989年。索罗斯在华尔街评论上鼓吹美国股市会坚挺,日本股市将会崩盘,而结果正好相反:美国股市崩盘了,日本股市却坚挺。</p>\n<p>1987年9月,索罗斯把几十亿美元的投资从东京转移到了华尔街。然而,首先出现大崩溃的不是日本证券市场,而恰恰是美国的华尔街。</p>\n<p>1987年10月19日,美国纽约道琼斯平均指数狂跌508点,创当时历史记录。在接下来的一个星期里,纽约股市一路下滑。而日本股市却相对坚挺。索罗斯决定抛售手中所持有的几个大的长期股票份额。</p>\n<p>其他的交易商捕捉到有关信息后,借机猛烈向下砸被抛售的股票,使期货的现金折扣降了20%。索罗斯在这场华尔街大崩溃中,损失了大约6.5亿到8亿美元。</p>\n<p>这场大崩溃使量子基金净资产跌落26.2%,远大于17%的美国股市的跌幅,索罗斯成了这场灾难的最大失败者。</p>\n<p>索罗斯当年的惨败原因归根结底是投机心理作祟,揣摩市场时机一意孤行的走到了巨额亏损的境地。</p>\n<p>错误并不可耻,可耻的是错误已经显而易见了还不去修正。承担风险,无可指责。但同时记住千万不能孤注一掷。对错都不重要,关键是弄错的时候你损失了多少,判断正确的时候又赚了多少。</p>\n<p>吉姆·罗杰斯:买其所值,卖其疯狂</p>\n<p>华尔街投资大师吉姆·罗杰斯曾指出,应该耐心等待好时机,赚了钱获利了结,然后等待下一次机会。如此,才可以战胜别人。</p>\n<p>市场走势时常会呈现长期的低迷不振,为了避免使资金陷入一潭死水的市场中,投资者应该等待能够改变市场走势的催化因素出现。买其所值,卖其疯狂。</p>\n<p>菲利普·费雪</p>\n<p>菲利普·费雪是现代投资理论的开路先锋之一,成长股投资策略之父,教父级的投资大师,华尔街极受尊重和推崇的投资家之一。</p>\n<p>要学会花很多时间来研究,并不急于买入。在一个连续下跌的市场环境中,不要过快地买入那些不熟悉的股票。</p>\n<p>1929年美国股市处在崩溃前的疯狂牛市中,但费雪发现美国许多产业前景不稳,股市有严重泡沫。</p>\n<p>1929年8月,他向银行高级主管提交了一份「25年来最严重的大空头市场将展开。」的报告。这可以说是费雪一生中最令人赞叹的股市预测,可惜的是费雪「看空做多」。</p>\n<p>他说:「我免不了被股市的魁力所惑。于是到处寻找一些还算便宜的股票,因为它们还没涨到位。」1929年10月美股突然崩溃,费雪也没有幸免于难,在股灾中他损失惨重,费雪亦血本无归。</p>\n<p>费雪开始明白,决定股票价格的主要因素,不是当年的P/E,而是未来几年的预期P/E。他说,若能培养自己的能力,在合理的上下限内确定某只股票未来几年可能的业绩,就能找到一把钥匙,不但能避免亏损,更能赚得厚利。</p>\n<p>比尔·米勒</p>\n<p>「我经常提醒我的分析师们,你们关于公司的信息100%代表了公司的过去,而股票的估值100%取决于未来。」</p>\n<p>米勒管理的Legg Mason价值型信托基金在1991—2005年这15年当中,连续战胜标准普尔500指数,创造了有史以来最辉煌的基金经理业绩记录,被誉为这个时代最成功的基金经理。然而,在短短一年时间里,这个荣誉就被他亲手毁掉了。</p>\n<p>在次贷危机中,很多原来非常优秀的公司股票连续大幅下跌,米勒认为投资者反应过度了,于是逆市买入。他本以为那次危机是一次大好的赚钱良机,结果危机却变成大萧条之后最惨重的大熊市。</p>\n<p>虽然过去15年来他逆向操作的投资决策事后都证明是正确的,但这次却栽得很惨。米勒的股票清单就像是这次危机中的「烈士榜」:AIG、贝尔斯登、房地美、花旗、华盛顿互助银行等。</p>\n<p>2008年,已经58岁的米勒接受采访时说:「从一开始我就没能恰当地估计到这场流动性危机的严重性」。</p>\n<p>尽管米勒以前经常从市场恐慌中赚钱,但他说,这次自己没想到危机会这么严重,基本面的问题如此之深,以至于曾贵为市场领头羊的优质上市公司居然统统倒下了。</p>\n<p>「我还是缺乏经验」,米勒说,「每一个买进股票的决定都是错的,真是太可怕了。」</p>\n<p>经验教训「任何超常发挥的投资组合,在某段时间内能成功,是因为具有价格错位的保险性。市场对这个未来数的估计是错的。我们通过比较市场,对此公司的估值以及我们自己对公司的估值,用多种要素组合的方法来找出价格错位。」</p>\n<p><b>二、股市暴跌,普通投资者怎么办?</b></p>\n<p>状况一:手中股票已经跌到成本区</p>\n<p>建议:在这种状况下,谨慎的投资者应该选择离场,比较激进的也要设置止损价,然后观察一两天再作出决定。不要盲目杀跌,也不要对自己买的股票有情绪,在这个时刻,头脑一定要清醒。</p>\n<p>状况二:手中股票已经出现亏损</p>\n<p>建议:这种亏损也需要分类对待,投资者可查看相关资料,如果手中股票属于基金重仓股,那么就不要盲目斩仓,甚至在大盘快速暴跌的情况下,可分批补仓,摊低成本,和基金死磕到底。(如遇熊市下跌过程中或股灾的时候,不适合用这条建议)</p>\n<p>而如果通过查看资料发现,该股票主力主要是由个别大户操纵的,这样的股票在市场持续不佳的情况下,投资者应该坚决出局,保住现金争取更大的主动性。因为这种股票的主力在大盘真正暴跌时一般不会护盘。</p>\n<p>另外,还有一些成交比较清淡的个股,没有明显主力介入的迹象,那么一定要设立止损价位,这种股票的性质主要以跟风为主,一旦跌破长期形成的平台,一定要坚决离场。</p>\n<p>状况三:手中一半是钱一半是股票</p>\n<p>建议:如果投资者这部分股票处于盈利状态,而市场趋势始终看不明朗,那么应将股票出掉,保留现金。毕竟市场中的机会很多,保留现金才能在市场中有更大的话语权。</p>\n<p>如果是手中这部分股票已经亏损,那么投资者应该选择市场在大幅下跌之后,并出现走稳趋向的时候,迅速补充自己手中的股票。而如果补仓后,该股当天涨幅较大,可当天做变相T+0,锁定一部分利润。</p>\n<p>状况四:手中都是钱想进场</p>\n<p>建议:如果是激进型的投资者,并有一定看盘能力的,可以根据市场情况抢反弹,但应以短线思维为主。</p>","source":"lsy1571985465872","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n巴菲特、达里奥、索罗斯等大师是如何应对股市下跌的?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-23 21:49 北京时间 <a href=https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210223A0ADX600><strong>腾讯网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>巴菲特表示当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现,要保持冷静,长期持有。\n格雷厄姆:第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。\n达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功,要保持镇定,反向操作。\n彼得林奇称暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。\n索罗斯:要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210223A0ADX600\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9beffeecb928009bf6287e307899ffe3","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210223A0ADX600","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114793986","content_text":"巴菲特表示当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现,要保持冷静,长期持有。\n格雷厄姆:第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。\n达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功,要保持镇定,反向操作。\n彼得林奇称暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。\n索罗斯:要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。\n吉姆·罗杰斯:买其所值,卖其疯狂。\n如果股市暴跌,普通投资者应该怎么办?\n一、大师们如何应对大跌?\n巴菲特:保持冷静,长期持有\n在股神巴菲特看来,投资者在面对股市剧烈波动时,最好的方法应该是保持冷静,并坚守长期持有的投资原则。\n作为拥有长达五十多年投资生涯的股神,巴菲特曾在2016年的一次采访中告诫投资者:「当股市走跌时,不要密切关注股市表现。如果一个投资者遇到股市下跌就忧心忡忡,然后想着等股市回升时就抛掉手中的股票,那么这种投资者最终不会获得理想汽车的回报。」\n一直以来,巴菲特都在强调长期投资是取得理想收益的重要因素。他认为,投资股市所获得的收益来自于长期持有优质公司的股票。如果投资者购买优质公司的股票,且持有这些股票10年、20年、30年之久,那么他们最终将会取得不错的回报。\n巴菲特曾在致股东的年度信中解释说,市场总是处于波动之中,因此对于每个投资者来说,无论投资经验深浅,最好的选择就是保持镇定。\n他写道:虽然通常情况下市场是理性的,但市场偶尔也会有疯狂之举。对于投资者而言,抓住机遇并不需要太多的智慧或经济学位。\n投资者需要的,仅仅是无视市场恐慌或狂热的能力,并将注意力集中在基本面上即可。另外,能在相当长的时期内保持无趣、甚至是愚蠢的意愿也十分重要。\n格雷厄姆\n第一,永远不要亏损;第二,永远不要忘记第一条。\n格雷厄姆是巴菲特的导师,证券分析之父,价值投资的鼻祖。1929年9月,道琼斯指数最高涨到381点,随后开始下跌。10月29日,道琼斯指数暴跌12%,这一天被形容为纽约交易所112年历史上「最糟糕的一天」,这就是历史上最著名的「黑色星期二」。\n1929年11月,道琼斯指数最低跌到198点,然后企稳反弹。到1930年3月,一度涨到286点,反弹幅度高达43%。于是许多投资者认为最坏的时期已经过去了,股市将要大反转。格雷厄姆也这样认为,于是他开始进场抄底。\n他抄的都是从价值评估上看非常便宜的好股票,为了取得更大的收益率,他还利用保证金进行杠杆操作。但股市反弹持续到4月份后又开始暴跌,道琼斯指数在1930年下跌33%,而格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达50.5%。\n至1932年7月,道琼斯指数达到最低点41点,从最高点381点算起,最大跌幅高达89%,而同期格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达78%,这场超级大熊市几乎让他倾家荡产。\n格雷厄姆后来重新东山再起,写出投资圣经《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》,总结出一个永恒的价值投资基本原则:安全边际。\n安全第一,赢利第二。\n达里奥:保持镇定,反向操作\n和巴菲特一样,全球最大对冲基金桥水基金创始人达里奥也认为,投资者在面对股市下跌时不必惊慌,应该保持冷静。\n达里奥表示,投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定,但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略,因为这样做并不会取得成功。\n相反,在市场走跌时,投资者需要进行反向操作,即当你不再感到恐惧时,你可能需要卖出;当你感到恐惧时,你也许需要买进。\n目前,桥水基金已成为全球最大对冲基金公司,管理的资产规模高达1500亿美元。\n在《原则》一书中,达里奥分享了他在市场崩盘中学到的三件事情:第一,不应该离谱地过度自信,并放纵自己被情绪左右。无论我知道多少东西,无论我多么勤奋,我都不应该自信地做出绝对的断言。\n第二,我再次领会到研究历史的价值;第三,把握市场的时机相当困难。成为一个成功投资者的要决之一,是只对你有高度信心的投资对象进行冒险押注,并对这些对象进行充分的分散投资。\n明智的人在经历各种沉浮时都始终盯稳健的基本面;而轻浮的人跟着感觉走,做出情绪化的反应,对于热门的东西一拥而上,不热的时候又马上放弃。\n想要拥有很多优势,而又不暴露于不可接受的劣势之下,最稳妥的方式是做出一系列良好的、互不相关的押注,彼此平衡,相互补充。\n彼得·林奇\n股市波动的历史规律告诉我们,所有的大跌都会过去,股市永远会涨得更高。历史经验还表明,股市大跌其实是释放风险,创造投资的一次好机会,能以很低的价格买入那些很优秀的公司股票。但抄底并没有那么简单。与其去不断抄「底」,不断被套,不如等底部出现后再介入不迟。\n1987年美国股市大崩盘时,很多人由百万富翁沦为赤贫,精神崩溃甚至自杀。当时美国证券界超级巨星彼得·林奇管理着100多亿美元的麦哲伦基金,一天之内基金资产净值损失了18%,损失高达20亿美元。\n林奇和所有开放式基金经理一样,只有一个选择:抛售股票。为了应付非比寻常的巨额赎回,林奇不得不把股票都卖了。\n过了一年多,彼得·林奇回忆起来仍然感到害怕,「在那一时刻,我真的不能确定,到底是到了世界末日,还是我们即将陷入一场严重的经济大萧条,又或者是事情还没变得那么糟糕,仅仅只是华尔街即将完蛋?」\n之后彼得林奇继续经历过很多次股市大跌,但仍然取得了非常成功的绩效。\n第一,不要因恐慌而全部贱价抛出股票。如果你在股市暴跌中绝望地卖出股票,那么你的卖出价格往往会非常之低。1987年10月的行情让人感到惊恐不安,但没必要在这一天或第二天把股票抛出。\n当年11月份股市开始稳步上扬。到1988年6月,市场已经反弹了400多点,也就是说涨幅超过了23%。\n第二,对持有的好公司股票要有坚定的勇气。第三,要敢于低价买入好公司股票。暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会:巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。\n索罗斯\n世界经济史是一部基于假象和谎言的连续剧。要获得财富,做法就是认清其假象,投入其中,然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。\n索罗斯1987年前认为日本股市泡沫巨大,放空日本股票,结果惨败,日本股市牛到了1989年。索罗斯在华尔街评论上鼓吹美国股市会坚挺,日本股市将会崩盘,而结果正好相反:美国股市崩盘了,日本股市却坚挺。\n1987年9月,索罗斯把几十亿美元的投资从东京转移到了华尔街。然而,首先出现大崩溃的不是日本证券市场,而恰恰是美国的华尔街。\n1987年10月19日,美国纽约道琼斯平均指数狂跌508点,创当时历史记录。在接下来的一个星期里,纽约股市一路下滑。而日本股市却相对坚挺。索罗斯决定抛售手中所持有的几个大的长期股票份额。\n其他的交易商捕捉到有关信息后,借机猛烈向下砸被抛售的股票,使期货的现金折扣降了20%。索罗斯在这场华尔街大崩溃中,损失了大约6.5亿到8亿美元。\n这场大崩溃使量子基金净资产跌落26.2%,远大于17%的美国股市的跌幅,索罗斯成了这场灾难的最大失败者。\n索罗斯当年的惨败原因归根结底是投机心理作祟,揣摩市场时机一意孤行的走到了巨额亏损的境地。\n错误并不可耻,可耻的是错误已经显而易见了还不去修正。承担风险,无可指责。但同时记住千万不能孤注一掷。对错都不重要,关键是弄错的时候你损失了多少,判断正确的时候又赚了多少。\n吉姆·罗杰斯:买其所值,卖其疯狂\n华尔街投资大师吉姆·罗杰斯曾指出,应该耐心等待好时机,赚了钱获利了结,然后等待下一次机会。如此,才可以战胜别人。\n市场走势时常会呈现长期的低迷不振,为了避免使资金陷入一潭死水的市场中,投资者应该等待能够改变市场走势的催化因素出现。买其所值,卖其疯狂。\n菲利普·费雪\n菲利普·费雪是现代投资理论的开路先锋之一,成长股投资策略之父,教父级的投资大师,华尔街极受尊重和推崇的投资家之一。\n要学会花很多时间来研究,并不急于买入。在一个连续下跌的市场环境中,不要过快地买入那些不熟悉的股票。\n1929年美国股市处在崩溃前的疯狂牛市中,但费雪发现美国许多产业前景不稳,股市有严重泡沫。\n1929年8月,他向银行高级主管提交了一份「25年来最严重的大空头市场将展开。」的报告。这可以说是费雪一生中最令人赞叹的股市预测,可惜的是费雪「看空做多」。\n他说:「我免不了被股市的魁力所惑。于是到处寻找一些还算便宜的股票,因为它们还没涨到位。」1929年10月美股突然崩溃,费雪也没有幸免于难,在股灾中他损失惨重,费雪亦血本无归。\n费雪开始明白,决定股票价格的主要因素,不是当年的P/E,而是未来几年的预期P/E。他说,若能培养自己的能力,在合理的上下限内确定某只股票未来几年可能的业绩,就能找到一把钥匙,不但能避免亏损,更能赚得厚利。\n比尔·米勒\n「我经常提醒我的分析师们,你们关于公司的信息100%代表了公司的过去,而股票的估值100%取决于未来。」\n米勒管理的Legg Mason价值型信托基金在1991—2005年这15年当中,连续战胜标准普尔500指数,创造了有史以来最辉煌的基金经理业绩记录,被誉为这个时代最成功的基金经理。然而,在短短一年时间里,这个荣誉就被他亲手毁掉了。\n在次贷危机中,很多原来非常优秀的公司股票连续大幅下跌,米勒认为投资者反应过度了,于是逆市买入。他本以为那次危机是一次大好的赚钱良机,结果危机却变成大萧条之后最惨重的大熊市。\n虽然过去15年来他逆向操作的投资决策事后都证明是正确的,但这次却栽得很惨。米勒的股票清单就像是这次危机中的「烈士榜」:AIG、贝尔斯登、房地美、花旗、华盛顿互助银行等。\n2008年,已经58岁的米勒接受采访时说:「从一开始我就没能恰当地估计到这场流动性危机的严重性」。\n尽管米勒以前经常从市场恐慌中赚钱,但他说,这次自己没想到危机会这么严重,基本面的问题如此之深,以至于曾贵为市场领头羊的优质上市公司居然统统倒下了。\n「我还是缺乏经验」,米勒说,「每一个买进股票的决定都是错的,真是太可怕了。」\n经验教训「任何超常发挥的投资组合,在某段时间内能成功,是因为具有价格错位的保险性。市场对这个未来数的估计是错的。我们通过比较市场,对此公司的估值以及我们自己对公司的估值,用多种要素组合的方法来找出价格错位。」\n二、股市暴跌,普通投资者怎么办?\n状况一:手中股票已经跌到成本区\n建议:在这种状况下,谨慎的投资者应该选择离场,比较激进的也要设置止损价,然后观察一两天再作出决定。不要盲目杀跌,也不要对自己买的股票有情绪,在这个时刻,头脑一定要清醒。\n状况二:手中股票已经出现亏损\n建议:这种亏损也需要分类对待,投资者可查看相关资料,如果手中股票属于基金重仓股,那么就不要盲目斩仓,甚至在大盘快速暴跌的情况下,可分批补仓,摊低成本,和基金死磕到底。(如遇熊市下跌过程中或股灾的时候,不适合用这条建议)\n而如果通过查看资料发现,该股票主力主要是由个别大户操纵的,这样的股票在市场持续不佳的情况下,投资者应该坚决出局,保住现金争取更大的主动性。因为这种股票的主力在大盘真正暴跌时一般不会护盘。\n另外,还有一些成交比较清淡的个股,没有明显主力介入的迹象,那么一定要设立止损价位,这种股票的性质主要以跟风为主,一旦跌破长期形成的平台,一定要坚决离场。\n状况三:手中一半是钱一半是股票\n建议:如果投资者这部分股票处于盈利状态,而市场趋势始终看不明朗,那么应将股票出掉,保留现金。毕竟市场中的机会很多,保留现金才能在市场中有更大的话语权。\n如果是手中这部分股票已经亏损,那么投资者应该选择市场在大幅下跌之后,并出现走稳趋向的时候,迅速补充自己手中的股票。而如果补仓后,该股当天涨幅较大,可当天做变相T+0,锁定一部分利润。\n状况四:手中都是钱想进场\n建议:如果是激进型的投资者,并有一定看盘能力的,可以根据市场情况抢反弹,但应以短线思维为主。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369697809,"gmtCreate":1614037709701,"gmtModify":1614037709701,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有人接飞刀吗?","listText":"有人接飞刀吗?","text":"有人接飞刀吗?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f27e75833bda8ccf75679d58ddf71e4","width":"1125","height":"2890"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369697809","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":386411023,"gmtCreate":1613237205262,"gmtModify":1613237205262,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386411023","repostId":"386951701","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":386951701,"gmtCreate":1613129483503,"gmtModify":1613142415064,"author":{"id":"3505175992816849","authorId":"3505175992816849","name":"小贝导演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b2d014b4fa5c9fc7eef14677fed5aca","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3505175992816849","authorIdStr":"3505175992816849"},"themes":[],"title":"【今天不聊股市,聊点骚操作】装修房子不花钱?买完新车就出租?","htmlText":"大家好,我是小贝导演,毛票股最近压了9个,目前7个都中了,<a 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[呆住] [呆住] ","listText":"很喜欢ABNB,从打新开始关注却一直没能拥有—爱恨交加啊[呆住] [呆住] [呆住] ","text":"很喜欢ABNB,从打新开始关注却一直没能拥有—爱恨交加啊[呆住] [呆住] [呆住]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11b0abe4811cc809a541d37b2b39ce9c","width":"1125","height":"2620"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386437134","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":383932147,"gmtCreate":1612828239889,"gmtModify":1703765516960,"author":{"id":"3569466830444391","authorId":"3569466830444391","name":"沙漠雨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b94cee2f960ad17530b86478535bae4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569466830444391","authorIdStr":"3569466830444391"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX科技(RLX)$</a>就是中签率太低","listText":"<a 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