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初来乍请多关

初来乍请多关

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初来乍请多关

2021-01-28

年轻

盘前异动：泡沫破了？逼空概念股全面哑火！

初来乍请多关

2020-12-09

$小米集团-W(01810)$你怎么看来一波呢

初来乍请多关

2020-12-08

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@奥特曼爱抄底:$理想汽车(LI)$$蔚来(NIO)$上个图，讨论一下

初来乍请多关

2020-12-08

加油

抱歉，原内容已删除

初来乍请多关

2020-12-07

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@少帅Pro:大麻股会使劲涨？翻倍只是起步价！

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2020-12-07

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@坡上之云阿龙:给大家讲个故事，看懂了自然就懂美股了

初来乍请多关

2020-12-04

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@趋势队长:$INTC 20210319 45.0 CALL(INTC)$intc反弹很强劲$英伟达(NVDA)$$AMD(AMD)$

初来乍请多关

2020-12-04

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@妮豆的大只哥哥:毕业快半年了，玩美股也大半年，充了1万美金，竟然才从美股赚到第一个100万人民币，这么好的行情实在浪费，不过终究达成了8月底立下的小目标。从8月底的7，8万刀到现在，真的经历了很多，9月初的暴跌，实在难受，而且踏空了了nio，还不如好好拿着nio不动呢，当然，也踏空了bili这涨暴涨。不过，最重要的是在这个市场活下去，才能与更多的机会相遇。$蔚来(NIO)$$拼多多(PDD)$$蔚来(NIO)$

初来乍请多关

2020-12-04

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@springboot:$特斯拉(TSLA)$最近没怎么来论坛发帖，主要在闷声挣大钱[开心] ，重仓持有了这4家电车股票，归功于特斯拉进sp500的重大利好，以及国产电车三宝无节操的大涨，过去一个月收益有点小刺激，208w刀，我会继续持有挣钱的，特斯拉下一个里程碑：12月内会触及到650的高位。$蔚来(NIO)$$理想汽车(LI)$$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$

初来乍请多关

2020-12-04

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@springboot:$特斯拉(TSLA)$最近没怎么来论坛发帖，主要在闷声挣大钱[开心] ，重仓持有了这4家电车股票，归功于特斯拉进sp500的重大利好，以及国产电车三宝无节操的大涨，过去一个月收益有点小刺激，208w刀，我会继续持有挣钱的，特斯拉下一个里程碑：12月内会触及到650的高位。$蔚来(NIO)$$理想汽车(LI)$$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$

初来乍请多关

2020-12-04

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@星辰大海的边界:击落“电动三傻”的会是什么？

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2020-12-04

涨吧！飞起来

初来乍请多关

2020-12-04

我来升升升！！！

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2020-12-04

$腾讯瑞银一四熊B.P(53615)$来比比惨：？？

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2020-12-02

伤心什么玩意

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2020-12-02

为了积分$海油汇丰一三购A.C(27664)$该怎么办呢？

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2020-11-26

$蛋壳公寓(DNK)$坐等空空空！

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2020-11-26

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@小虎访谈:【虎友访谈】新能源汽车的战役中，各是什么角色？

初来乍请多关

2020-11-24

一顿操作猛如虎，还不如狗！你就狗着别动 $Digital Power Corp(DPW)$

初来乍请多关

2020-11-22

$开心汽车(KXIN)$再来点我就跑了

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>跌超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>跌超8%。美国散户聚集的论坛WallStreetBets的服务器被Discord平台封杀，被迫转为私人服务。Discord称，封禁Wallstreetbets服务器的理由是“仇视性内容”，不是因为金融诈骗。Reddit的Wallstreetbets页面显示称，论坛“将会回来”。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a3489bf0828314b2ab795da5f9c5c45\" tg-width=\"372\" tg-height=\"743\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>中概造车新势力盘起下跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、蔚来跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d756a7b031738cc10b50b990f175f97c\" tg-width=\"364\" tg-height=\"190\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>大型科技股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>盘前倒跌3.2%，第一财季受iPhone销量提振营收突破千亿，净利润同比增29%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>盘前跌近2%，预期2021年将遭遇广告定位方面的明显阻力；亚马逊、微软均跌超1%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。</p><p>特殊目的收购公司Property Solutions Acquisition盘前涨36.5%，传法拉第未来最快周五宣布与该公司合并上市。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前异动：泡沫破了？逼空概念股全面哑火！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前异动：泡沫破了？逼空概念股全面哑火！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-28 17:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>周四美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫；WSB概念股大跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HAF.UK\">诺基亚</a>跌超16%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>跌超14%，莓跌超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>跌超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>跌超8%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。</blockquote><p>1月28日（周四）美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫，其中道指期货跌0.32%，纳指期货跌0.84%，标普500指数期货跌0.60%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2b7dd83800bb173d351522c74e3b177\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>“逼空概念股”盘前普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">诺基亚</a>跌超16%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>跌超14%，莓跌超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>跌超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>跌超8%。美国散户聚集的论坛WallStreetBets的服务器被Discord平台封杀，被迫转为私人服务。Discord称，封禁Wallstreetbets服务器的理由是“仇视性内容”，不是因为金融诈骗。Reddit的Wallstreetbets页面显示称，论坛“将会回来”。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a3489bf0828314b2ab795da5f9c5c45\" tg-width=\"372\" tg-height=\"743\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>中概造车新势力盘起下跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、蔚来跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d756a7b031738cc10b50b990f175f97c\" tg-width=\"364\" tg-height=\"190\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>大型科技股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>盘前倒跌3.2%，第一财季受iPhone销量提振营收突破千亿，净利润同比增29%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>盘前跌近2%，预期2021年将遭遇广告定位方面的明显阻力；亚马逊、微软均跌超1%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。</p><p>特殊目的收购公司Property Solutions Acquisition盘前涨36.5%，传法拉第未来最快周五宣布与该公司合并上市。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9153adf328cdbdfbb656ed3026a6175","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","BB":"黑莓","AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177264520","content_text":"周四美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫；WSB概念股大跌，诺基亚跌超16%，AMC院线跌超14%，莓跌超13%，Express跌超11%，游戏驿站跌超8%；特斯拉盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。1月28日（周四）美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫，其中道指期货跌0.32%，纳指期货跌0.84%，标普500指数期货跌0.60%。“逼空概念股”盘前普跌，诺基亚跌超16%，AMC院线跌超14%，莓跌超13%，Express跌超11%，游戏驿站跌超8%。美国散户聚集的论坛WallStreetBets的服务器被Discord平台封杀，被迫转为私人服务。Discord称，封禁Wallstreetbets服务器的理由是“仇视性内容”，不是因为金融诈骗。Reddit的Wallstreetbets页面显示称，论坛“将会回来”。中概造车新势力盘起下跌，小鹏汽车、蔚来跌超5%，理想汽车跌超4%。大型科技股普跌，苹果盘前倒跌3.2%，第一财季受iPhone销量提振营收突破千亿，净利润同比增29%；Facebook盘前跌近2%，预期2021年将遭遇广告定位方面的明显阻力；亚马逊、微软均跌超1%特斯拉盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。特殊目的收购公司Property Solutions 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACB\">$奥罗拉大麻公司(ACB)$</a>。也有翻译叫极光大麻，后面的这个翻译更好听一些。二，为什么买大麻公司？我来从年报，利润，市场，负债等基本面分析下……别逗了，怎么可能？我就是来投机的！对于投机的票，基本面根本不重要，最重要需要考虑的是，你能承受亏多少钱？对于这次的大麻股，你是否愿意冒着亏掉四分之三本金的风险来博得十倍的收益？三，投机的逻辑是？1，登哥上台，民主党要在美国推行大麻合法化。副总统贺锦丽亲自督办。大麻让一个人逃避现实压力的效果，比十个抖音都管用。2，疫情很久了，社交减少，丢掉工作，大家很压抑。既然疫苗出来了，疫情反转指日可待。人们的身心需要大大的放松，还有什么能比大麻更有效呢？四，为什么是ACB，不是其他大麻公司？这是一家全球化的大麻公司，实力雄厚，算是龙头之一。其次，它五月份刚收购了一家美国的大麻零售商来进军美国市场，这个动作给我们提供了很大的想象空间。这家叫Reliva的零售商全美有20000家实体店。而且还有网上销售！接个美团外卖，分分钟风靡美利坚。五，多少钱卖？我觉得啊，14元是起步价，14元以内是热身。这波回撤是把意志不坚定的人请下车。至于能到多少？上不封顶，就看你安全带系得牢不牢。六，其他大麻股，比如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLRY\">$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRON\">$Cronos Group Inc.(CRON)$</a>推荐吗？推荐。一支股票涨780%，另外一支涨880%，这两支没什么区别。你唯一需要担心的是，别车速过快，你别被震下来。七，抄送","listText":"一，最近重仓买入<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACB\">$奥罗拉大麻公司(ACB)$</a>。也有翻译叫极光大麻，后面的这个翻译更好听一些。二，为什么买大麻公司？我来从年报，利润，市场，负债等基本面分析下……别逗了，怎么可能？我就是来投机的！对于投机的票，基本面根本不重要，最重要需要考虑的是，你能承受亏多少钱？对于这次的大麻股，你是否愿意冒着亏掉四分之三本金的风险来博得十倍的收益？三，投机的逻辑是？1，登哥上台，民主党要在美国推行大麻合法化。副总统贺锦丽亲自督办。大麻让一个人逃避现实压力的效果，比十个抖音都管用。2，疫情很久了，社交减少，丢掉工作，大家很压抑。既然疫苗出来了，疫情反转指日可待。人们的身心需要大大的放松，还有什么能比大麻更有效呢？四，为什么是ACB，不是其他大麻公司？这是一家全球化的大麻公司，实力雄厚，算是龙头之一。其次，它五月份刚收购了一家美国的大麻零售商来进军美国市场，这个动作给我们提供了很大的想象空间。这家叫Reliva的零售商全美有20000家实体店。而且还有网上销售！接个美团外卖，分分钟风靡美利坚。五，多少钱卖？我觉得啊，14元是起步价，14元以内是热身。这波回撤是把意志不坚定的人请下车。至于能到多少？上不封顶，就看你安全带系得牢不牢。六，其他大麻股，比如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLRY\">$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRON\">$Cronos Group Inc.(CRON)$</a>推荐吗？推荐。一支股票涨780%，另外一支涨880%，这两支没什么区别。你唯一需要担心的是，别车速过快，你别被震下来。七，抄送","text":"一，最近重仓买入$奥罗拉大麻公司(ACB)$。也有翻译叫极光大麻，后面的这个翻译更好听一些。二，为什么买大麻公司？我来从年报，利润，市场，负债等基本面分析下……别逗了，怎么可能？我就是来投机的！对于投机的票，基本面根本不重要，最重要需要考虑的是，你能承受亏多少钱？对于这次的大麻股，你是否愿意冒着亏掉四分之三本金的风险来博得十倍的收益？三，投机的逻辑是？1，登哥上台，民主党要在美国推行大麻合法化。副总统贺锦丽亲自督办。大麻让一个人逃避现实压力的效果，比十个抖音都管用。2，疫情很久了，社交减少，丢掉工作，大家很压抑。既然疫苗出来了，疫情反转指日可待。人们的身心需要大大的放松，还有什么能比大麻更有效呢？四，为什么是ACB，不是其他大麻公司？这是一家全球化的大麻公司，实力雄厚，算是龙头之一。其次，它五月份刚收购了一家美国的大麻零售商来进军美国市场，这个动作给我们提供了很大的想象空间。这家叫Reliva的零售商全美有20000家实体店。而且还有网上销售！接个美团外卖，分分钟风靡美利坚。五，多少钱卖？我觉得啊，14元是起步价，14元以内是热身。这波回撤是把意志不坚定的人请下车。至于能到多少？上不封顶，就看你安全带系得牢不牢。六，其他大麻股，比如$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$$Cronos Group 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>","text":"毕业快半年了，玩美股也大半年，充了1万美金，竟然才从美股赚到第一个100万人民币，这么好的行情实在浪费，不过终究达成了8月底立下的小目标。从8月底的7，8万刀到现在，真的经历了很多，9月初的暴跌，实在难受，而且踏空了了nio，还不如好好拿着nio不动呢，当然，也踏空了bili这涨暴涨。不过，最重要的是在这个市场活下去，才能与更多的机会相遇。$蔚来(NIO)$$拼多多(PDD)$$蔚来(NIO)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d118ff47b2cb8ba1a36e469ff94f8561","width":"1170","height":"2532"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/399479435","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":396173637,"gmtCreate":1607078736029,"gmtModify":1703846285594,"author":{"id":"3556772359613566","authorId":"3556772359613566","name":"初来乍请多关","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca029474b436a51b5fa0e5e3554097f2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/396173637","repostId":"399743232","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":399743232,"gmtCreate":1606202511326,"gmtModify":1703841584717,"author":{"id":"30910413546816","authorId":"30910413546816","name":"springboot","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>最近没怎么来论坛发帖，主要在闷声挣大钱[开心]&nbsp;，重仓持有了这4家电车股票，归功于特斯拉进sp500的重大利好，以及国产电车三宝无节操的大涨，过去一个月收益有点小刺激，208w刀，我会继续持有挣钱的，特斯拉下一个里程碑：12月内会触及到650的高位。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>最近没怎么来论坛发帖，主要在闷声挣大钱[开心]&nbsp;，重仓持有了这4家电车股票，归功于特斯拉进sp500的重大利好，以及国产电车三宝无节操的大涨，过去一个月收益有点小刺激，208w刀，我会继续持有挣钱的，特斯拉下一个里程碑：12月内会触及到650的高位。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$最近没怎么来论坛发帖，主要在闷声挣大钱[开心] ，重仓持有了这4家电车股票，归功于特斯拉进sp500的重大利好，以及国产电车三宝无节操的大涨，过去一个月收益有点小刺激，208w刀，我会继续持有挣钱的，特斯拉下一个里程碑：12月内会触及到650的高位。$蔚来(NIO)$$理想汽车(LI)$$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a5cfdd34c2fec5b6f24d0834d06761","width":"1125","height":"762"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/399743232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":396170347,"gmtCreate":1607078273389,"gmtModify":1703846281608,"author":{"id":"3556772359613566","authorId":"3556772359613566","name":"初来乍请多关","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca029474b436a51b5fa0e5e3554097f2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/396170347","repostId":"391301777","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":391301777,"gmtCreate":1606480798293,"gmtModify":1703843287463,"author":{"id":"3489343241595303","authorId":"3489343241595303","name":"星辰大海的边界","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f26bb0d62a928fe2b51ec2e17face8a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"击落“电动三傻”的会是什么？","htmlText":"今年环球资本市场最闪亮的星，无疑是蔚来汽车为代表的中国电动车新势力。蔚来用1年30倍的涨幅宣告，中国永远不缺商业神话，李斌这个2019年最惨的人也可以翻身。 但同时，新势力的估值已经飙升到了一个恐怖的水平，蔚来汽车荣登美国散户交易榜第一名，网友将这三家新势力戏称为电动三傻。 下面这张图计算了各家车企的销量、市值、收入（为了考虑新势力的成长性，我们选取蔚来理想小鹏的2020年预测收入和销量，和其他车企的2019年数据进行对比）。 单车销售市值是一个公允衡量估值的指标，我们看到，小鹏、理想、蔚来的单车销售市值是大众汽车的180~400倍，是特斯拉的2.5~5倍！  凭啥？同样卖一辆车，电动车就比燃油车值钱几百倍，电动车小弟比老大值钱几倍。 当然，成长股投资者可以说，我们赌的是趋势，赌的是终局，现在的销量都只是小荷尖尖，这个逻辑貌似目前也没法证伪。 我也一直在反思，击落电动三傻离谱估值的会是什么。 结果很简单：竞争格局。 聚义厅在竞争格局很重要：从鸦片想到化妆股中举过一个精彩的例子： “根据剑桥大学的资料记载，1830年代渣甸洋行的鸦片贸易利润是百分之几百。而1850-1860年代，渣甸洋行自有鸦片贸易利润是15%，代理经销鸦片的利润是4%。一个有着极度上瘾特征，不消费就要眼泪鼻涕满地打滚的品类，在打通上下游产业链后的利润率只有这个水平，放到现在还不如卖鸭脖子的。” 当壁垒消失，竞争格局恶化后，连贩鸦片这样的暴利生意都会变得平庸，时间的力量就是这么伟大。 而对于汽车新势力的竞争格局，最大的问题就出在：汽车的换车周期太长了，传统势力有充足的时间做出反击，从而使得竞争变得无比红海。 很多人举苹果和诺基亚的例子，说明新势力会如何在电动车的战场上把老玩家打的丢盔弃甲。 但他们忽略了一个关键的差异：汽车的换车周期在10年左右，而手机的换机周期只有2年。 苹果干诺基亚，可以打闪电战","listText":"今年环球资本市场最闪亮的星，无疑是蔚来汽车为代表的中国电动车新势力。蔚来用1年30倍的涨幅宣告，中国永远不缺商业神话，李斌这个2019年最惨的人也可以翻身。 但同时，新势力的估值已经飙升到了一个恐怖的水平，蔚来汽车荣登美国散户交易榜第一名，网友将这三家新势力戏称为电动三傻。 下面这张图计算了各家车企的销量、市值、收入（为了考虑新势力的成长性，我们选取蔚来理想小鹏的2020年预测收入和销量，和其他车企的2019年数据进行对比）。 单车销售市值是一个公允衡量估值的指标，我们看到，小鹏、理想、蔚来的单车销售市值是大众汽车的180~400倍，是特斯拉的2.5~5倍！  凭啥？同样卖一辆车，电动车就比燃油车值钱几百倍，电动车小弟比老大值钱几倍。 当然，成长股投资者可以说，我们赌的是趋势，赌的是终局，现在的销量都只是小荷尖尖，这个逻辑貌似目前也没法证伪。 我也一直在反思，击落电动三傻离谱估值的会是什么。 结果很简单：竞争格局。 聚义厅在竞争格局很重要：从鸦片想到化妆股中举过一个精彩的例子： “根据剑桥大学的资料记载，1830年代渣甸洋行的鸦片贸易利润是百分之几百。而1850-1860年代，渣甸洋行自有鸦片贸易利润是15%，代理经销鸦片的利润是4%。一个有着极度上瘾特征，不消费就要眼泪鼻涕满地打滚的品类，在打通上下游产业链后的利润率只有这个水平，放到现在还不如卖鸭脖子的。” 当壁垒消失，竞争格局恶化后，连贩鸦片这样的暴利生意都会变得平庸，时间的力量就是这么伟大。 而对于汽车新势力的竞争格局，最大的问题就出在：汽车的换车周期太长了，传统势力有充足的时间做出反击，从而使得竞争变得无比红海。 很多人举苹果和诺基亚的例子，说明新势力会如何在电动车的战场上把老玩家打的丢盔弃甲。 但他们忽略了一个关键的差异：汽车的换车周期在10年左右，而手机的换机周期只有2年。 苹果干诺基亚，可以打闪电战","text":"今年环球资本市场最闪亮的星，无疑是蔚来汽车为代表的中国电动车新势力。蔚来用1年30倍的涨幅宣告，中国永远不缺商业神话，李斌这个2019年最惨的人也可以翻身。 但同时，新势力的估值已经飙升到了一个恐怖的水平，蔚来汽车荣登美国散户交易榜第一名，网友将这三家新势力戏称为电动三傻。 下面这张图计算了各家车企的销量、市值、收入（为了考虑新势力的成长性，我们选取蔚来理想小鹏的2020年预测收入和销量，和其他车企的2019年数据进行对比）。 单车销售市值是一个公允衡量估值的指标，我们看到，小鹏、理想、蔚来的单车销售市值是大众汽车的180~400倍，是特斯拉的2.5~5倍！ 凭啥？同样卖一辆车，电动车就比燃油车值钱几百倍，电动车小弟比老大值钱几倍。 当然，成长股投资者可以说，我们赌的是趋势，赌的是终局，现在的销量都只是小荷尖尖，这个逻辑貌似目前也没法证伪。 我也一直在反思，击落电动三傻离谱估值的会是什么。 结果很简单：竞争格局。 聚义厅在竞争格局很重要：从鸦片想到化妆股中举过一个精彩的例子： “根据剑桥大学的资料记载，1830年代渣甸洋行的鸦片贸易利润是百分之几百。而1850-1860年代，渣甸洋行自有鸦片贸易利润是15%，代理经销鸦片的利润是4%。一个有着极度上瘾特征，不消费就要眼泪鼻涕满地打滚的品类，在打通上下游产业链后的利润率只有这个水平，放到现在还不如卖鸭脖子的。” 当壁垒消失，竞争格局恶化后，连贩鸦片这样的暴利生意都会变得平庸，时间的力量就是这么伟大。 而对于汽车新势力的竞争格局，最大的问题就出在：汽车的换车周期太长了，传统势力有充足的时间做出反击，从而使得竞争变得无比红海。 很多人举苹果和诺基亚的例子，说明新势力会如何在电动车的战场上把老玩家打的丢盔弃甲。 但他们忽略了一个关键的差异：汽车的换车周期在10年左右，而手机的换机周期只有2年。 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虎妞今天请到的嘉宾很有趣，他将新能源汽车比喻成了抗日战争中的几方力量：假如燃油车是日军，特斯拉就是正面刚的国军，蔚来是按自己的节奏发展的八路军，理想类似没有番号的部队，小鹏很勇敢，着跟国军上一线（其实他更勇敢，曾杠杆加仓新能源，赚的盆丰钵满），他说“现在抗战才第一年，大家都还是队友，远远没到要互相竞争的份儿上” 来吧，看看今天大开脑洞的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3473736876919233\">@蔚来韭号员工</a> 经历了什么故事~ &nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TP/649\" target=\"_blank\">#老虎步行街#</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3473736876919233\">@蔚来韭号员工</a> 这个月即将年满32岁，在郫县某国企就职，2017年底进入股市，咸鱼一条没啥特长，自我定位小镇青年，平时就是爱看书，轻微社交恐惧。 T：昵称的由来可以聊聊吗？ 就是去年被蔚来套牢了，自嘲式取名。心想入市这么久终于赶上腰斩了也不容易。 T：什么契机下接触到炒股的？多久了？ 17年接触李笑来的一些理论，他算是我的启蒙师傅吧，顺便我也推荐一下他写的《韭菜的自我修养》，这个人毁誉参半，但牛人都有争议，平和看待吧。 我是直接进入美股，没有混过a股，就没有被a股的思想“污染”。平时会看看其他人的A股经历，就觉得那套思路害了不少人。感觉像笑傲江湖里，风青杨教育令狐冲，说你师傅教的什么玩意儿，好好一块练武奇才教成这样，还好你道行前，没走太偏。 T：怎么讲？您觉得美股、A股，各是什么思想呢？ 我具体没操作过A股，但从社区里的大众发言来看，庄家思维深入人心，动不动就出货，跑路。总怀疑一","listText":" 虎妞今天请到的嘉宾很有趣，他将新能源汽车比喻成了抗日战争中的几方力量：假如燃油车是日军，特斯拉就是正面刚的国军，蔚来是按自己的节奏发展的八路军，理想类似没有番号的部队，小鹏很勇敢，着跟国军上一线（其实他更勇敢，曾杠杆加仓新能源，赚的盆丰钵满），他说“现在抗战才第一年，大家都还是队友，远远没到要互相竞争的份儿上” 来吧，看看今天大开脑洞的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3473736876919233\">@蔚来韭号员工</a> 经历了什么故事~ &nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TP/649\" target=\"_blank\">#老虎步行街#</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3473736876919233\">@蔚来韭号员工</a> 这个月即将年满32岁，在郫县某国企就职，2017年底进入股市，咸鱼一条没啥特长，自我定位小镇青年，平时就是爱看书，轻微社交恐惧。 T：昵称的由来可以聊聊吗？ 就是去年被蔚来套牢了，自嘲式取名。心想入市这么久终于赶上腰斩了也不容易。 T：什么契机下接触到炒股的？多久了？ 17年接触李笑来的一些理论，他算是我的启蒙师傅吧，顺便我也推荐一下他写的《韭菜的自我修养》，这个人毁誉参半，但牛人都有争议，平和看待吧。 我是直接进入美股，没有混过a股，就没有被a股的思想“污染”。平时会看看其他人的A股经历，就觉得那套思路害了不少人。感觉像笑傲江湖里，风青杨教育令狐冲，说你师傅教的什么玩意儿，好好一块练武奇才教成这样，还好你道行前，没走太偏。 T：怎么讲？您觉得美股、A股，各是什么思想呢？ 我具体没操作过A股，但从社区里的大众发言来看，庄家思维深入人心，动不动就出货，跑路。总怀疑一","text":"虎妞今天请到的嘉宾很有趣，他将新能源汽车比喻成了抗日战争中的几方力量：假如燃油车是日军，特斯拉就是正面刚的国军，蔚来是按自己的节奏发展的八路军，理想类似没有番号的部队，小鹏很勇敢，着跟国军上一线（其实他更勇敢，曾杠杆加仓新能源，赚的盆丰钵满），他说“现在抗战才第一年，大家都还是队友，远远没到要互相竞争的份儿上” 来吧，看看今天大开脑洞的@蔚来韭号员工 经历了什么故事~ #老虎步行街# @蔚来韭号员工 这个月即将年满32岁，在郫县某国企就职，2017年底进入股市，咸鱼一条没啥特长，自我定位小镇青年，平时就是爱看书，轻微社交恐惧。 T：昵称的由来可以聊聊吗？ 就是去年被蔚来套牢了，自嘲式取名。心想入市这么久终于赶上腰斩了也不容易。 T：什么契机下接触到炒股的？多久了？ 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17:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘前异动：泡沫破了？逼空概念股全面哑火！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177264520","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周四美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫；WSB概念股大跌，诺基亚跌超16%，AMC院线跌超14%，莓跌超13%，Express跌超11%，游戏驿站跌超8%；特斯拉盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿","content":"<blockquote>周四美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫；WSB概念股大跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HAF.UK\">诺基亚</a>跌超16%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>跌超14%，莓跌超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>跌超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>跌超8%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。</blockquote><p>1月28日（周四）美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫，其中道指期货跌0.32%，纳指期货跌0.84%，标普500指数期货跌0.60%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2b7dd83800bb173d351522c74e3b177\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>“逼空概念股”盘前普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">诺基亚</a>跌超16%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>跌超14%，莓跌超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>跌超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>跌超8%。美国散户聚集的论坛WallStreetBets的服务器被Discord平台封杀，被迫转为私人服务。Discord称，封禁Wallstreetbets服务器的理由是“仇视性内容”，不是因为金融诈骗。Reddit的Wallstreetbets页面显示称，论坛“将会回来”。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a3489bf0828314b2ab795da5f9c5c45\" tg-width=\"372\" tg-height=\"743\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>中概造车新势力盘起下跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、蔚来跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d756a7b031738cc10b50b990f175f97c\" tg-width=\"364\" tg-height=\"190\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>大型科技股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>盘前倒跌3.2%，第一财季受iPhone销量提振营收突破千亿，净利润同比增29%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>盘前跌近2%，预期2021年将遭遇广告定位方面的明显阻力；亚马逊、微软均跌超1%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。</p><p>特殊目的收购公司Property Solutions Acquisition盘前涨36.5%，传法拉第未来最快周五宣布与该公司合并上市。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前异动：泡沫破了？逼空概念股全面哑火！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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class=\"title\">\n盘前异动：泡沫破了？逼空概念股全面哑火！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-28 17:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>周四美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫；WSB概念股大跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HAF.UK\">诺基亚</a>跌超16%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>跌超14%，莓跌超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>跌超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>跌超8%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。</blockquote><p>1月28日（周四）美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫，其中道指期货跌0.32%，纳指期货跌0.84%，标普500指数期货跌0.60%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2b7dd83800bb173d351522c74e3b177\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>“逼空概念股”盘前普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">诺基亚</a>跌超16%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>跌超14%，莓跌超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>跌超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>跌超8%。美国散户聚集的论坛WallStreetBets的服务器被Discord平台封杀，被迫转为私人服务。Discord称，封禁Wallstreetbets服务器的理由是“仇视性内容”，不是因为金融诈骗。Reddit的Wallstreetbets页面显示称，论坛“将会回来”。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a3489bf0828314b2ab795da5f9c5c45\" tg-width=\"372\" tg-height=\"743\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>中概造车新势力盘起下跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、蔚来跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d756a7b031738cc10b50b990f175f97c\" tg-width=\"364\" tg-height=\"190\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>大型科技股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>盘前倒跌3.2%，第一财季受iPhone销量提振营收突破千亿，净利润同比增29%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>盘前跌近2%，预期2021年将遭遇广告定位方面的明显阻力；亚马逊、微软均跌超1%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。</p><p>特殊目的收购公司Property Solutions Acquisition盘前涨36.5%，传法拉第未来最快周五宣布与该公司合并上市。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9153adf328cdbdfbb656ed3026a6175","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","BB":"黑莓","AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177264520","content_text":"周四美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫；WSB概念股大跌，诺基亚跌超16%，AMC院线跌超14%，莓跌超13%，Express跌超11%，游戏驿站跌超8%；特斯拉盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。1月28日（周四）美股盘前，三大指数期货集体下挫，其中道指期货跌0.32%，纳指期货跌0.84%，标普500指数期货跌0.60%。“逼空概念股”盘前普跌，诺基亚跌超16%，AMC院线跌超14%，莓跌超13%，Express跌超11%，游戏驿站跌超8%。美国散户聚集的论坛WallStreetBets的服务器被Discord平台封杀，被迫转为私人服务。Discord称，封禁Wallstreetbets服务器的理由是“仇视性内容”，不是因为金融诈骗。Reddit的Wallstreetbets页面显示称，论坛“将会回来”。中概造车新势力盘起下跌，小鹏汽车、蔚来跌超5%，理想汽车跌超4%。大型科技股普跌，苹果盘前倒跌3.2%，第一财季受iPhone销量提振营收突破千亿，净利润同比增29%；Facebook盘前跌近2%，预期2021年将遭遇广告定位方面的明显阻力；亚马逊、微软均跌超1%特斯拉盘前跌超6%，全年净利润扭亏为盈7.21亿美元，仍不及市场预期。特殊目的收购公司Property Solutions 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACB\">$奥罗拉大麻公司(ACB)$</a>。也有翻译叫极光大麻，后面的这个翻译更好听一些。二，为什么买大麻公司？我来从年报，利润，市场，负债等基本面分析下……别逗了，怎么可能？我就是来投机的！对于投机的票，基本面根本不重要，最重要需要考虑的是，你能承受亏多少钱？对于这次的大麻股，你是否愿意冒着亏掉四分之三本金的风险来博得十倍的收益？三，投机的逻辑是？1，登哥上台，民主党要在美国推行大麻合法化。副总统贺锦丽亲自督办。大麻让一个人逃避现实压力的效果，比十个抖音都管用。2，疫情很久了，社交减少，丢掉工作，大家很压抑。既然疫苗出来了，疫情反转指日可待。人们的身心需要大大的放松，还有什么能比大麻更有效呢？四，为什么是ACB，不是其他大麻公司？这是一家全球化的大麻公司，实力雄厚，算是龙头之一。其次，它五月份刚收购了一家美国的大麻零售商来进军美国市场，这个动作给我们提供了很大的想象空间。这家叫Reliva的零售商全美有20000家实体店。而且还有网上销售！接个美团外卖，分分钟风靡美利坚。五，多少钱卖？我觉得啊，14元是起步价，14元以内是热身。这波回撤是把意志不坚定的人请下车。至于能到多少？上不封顶，就看你安全带系得牢不牢。六，其他大麻股，比如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLRY\">$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRON\">$Cronos Group Inc.(CRON)$</a>推荐吗？推荐。一支股票涨780%，另外一支涨880%，这两支没什么区别。你唯一需要担心的是，别车速过快，你别被震下来。七，抄送","listText":"一，最近重仓买入<a target=\"_blank\" 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但同时，新势力的估值已经飙升到了一个恐怖的水平，蔚来汽车荣登美国散户交易榜第一名，网友将这三家新势力戏称为电动三傻。 下面这张图计算了各家车企的销量、市值、收入（为了考虑新势力的成长性，我们选取蔚来理想小鹏的2020年预测收入和销量，和其他车企的2019年数据进行对比）。 单车销售市值是一个公允衡量估值的指标，我们看到，小鹏、理想、蔚来的单车销售市值是大众汽车的180~400倍，是特斯拉的2.5~5倍！  凭啥？同样卖一辆车，电动车就比燃油车值钱几百倍，电动车小弟比老大值钱几倍。 当然，成长股投资者可以说，我们赌的是趋势，赌的是终局，现在的销量都只是小荷尖尖，这个逻辑貌似目前也没法证伪。 我也一直在反思，击落电动三傻离谱估值的会是什么。 结果很简单：竞争格局。 聚义厅在竞争格局很重要：从鸦片想到化妆股中举过一个精彩的例子： “根据剑桥大学的资料记载，1830年代渣甸洋行的鸦片贸易利润是百分之几百。而1850-1860年代，渣甸洋行自有鸦片贸易利润是15%，代理经销鸦片的利润是4%。一个有着极度上瘾特征，不消费就要眼泪鼻涕满地打滚的品类，在打通上下游产业链后的利润率只有这个水平，放到现在还不如卖鸭脖子的。” 当壁垒消失，竞争格局恶化后，连贩鸦片这样的暴利生意都会变得平庸，时间的力量就是这么伟大。 而对于汽车新势力的竞争格局，最大的问题就出在：汽车的换车周期太长了，传统势力有充足的时间做出反击，从而使得竞争变得无比红海。 很多人举苹果和诺基亚的例子，说明新势力会如何在电动车的战场上把老玩家打的丢盔弃甲。 但他们忽略了一个关键的差异：汽车的换车周期在10年左右，而手机的换机周期只有2年。 苹果干诺基亚，可以打闪电战","listText":"今年环球资本市场最闪亮的星，无疑是蔚来汽车为代表的中国电动车新势力。蔚来用1年30倍的涨幅宣告，中国永远不缺商业神话，李斌这个2019年最惨的人也可以翻身。 但同时，新势力的估值已经飙升到了一个恐怖的水平，蔚来汽车荣登美国散户交易榜第一名，网友将这三家新势力戏称为电动三傻。 下面这张图计算了各家车企的销量、市值、收入（为了考虑新势力的成长性，我们选取蔚来理想小鹏的2020年预测收入和销量，和其他车企的2019年数据进行对比）。 单车销售市值是一个公允衡量估值的指标，我们看到，小鹏、理想、蔚来的单车销售市值是大众汽车的180~400倍，是特斯拉的2.5~5倍！  凭啥？同样卖一辆车，电动车就比燃油车值钱几百倍，电动车小弟比老大值钱几倍。 当然，成长股投资者可以说，我们赌的是趋势，赌的是终局，现在的销量都只是小荷尖尖，这个逻辑貌似目前也没法证伪。 我也一直在反思，击落电动三傻离谱估值的会是什么。 结果很简单：竞争格局。 聚义厅在竞争格局很重要：从鸦片想到化妆股中举过一个精彩的例子： “根据剑桥大学的资料记载，1830年代渣甸洋行的鸦片贸易利润是百分之几百。而1850-1860年代，渣甸洋行自有鸦片贸易利润是15%，代理经销鸦片的利润是4%。一个有着极度上瘾特征，不消费就要眼泪鼻涕满地打滚的品类，在打通上下游产业链后的利润率只有这个水平，放到现在还不如卖鸭脖子的。” 当壁垒消失，竞争格局恶化后，连贩鸦片这样的暴利生意都会变得平庸，时间的力量就是这么伟大。 而对于汽车新势力的竞争格局，最大的问题就出在：汽车的换车周期太长了，传统势力有充足的时间做出反击，从而使得竞争变得无比红海。 很多人举苹果和诺基亚的例子，说明新势力会如何在电动车的战场上把老玩家打的丢盔弃甲。 但他们忽略了一个关键的差异：汽车的换车周期在10年左右，而手机的换机周期只有2年。 苹果干诺基亚，可以打闪电战","text":"今年环球资本市场最闪亮的星，无疑是蔚来汽车为代表的中国电动车新势力。蔚来用1年30倍的涨幅宣告，中国永远不缺商业神话，李斌这个2019年最惨的人也可以翻身。 但同时，新势力的估值已经飙升到了一个恐怖的水平，蔚来汽车荣登美国散户交易榜第一名，网友将这三家新势力戏称为电动三傻。 下面这张图计算了各家车企的销量、市值、收入（为了考虑新势力的成长性，我们选取蔚来理想小鹏的2020年预测收入和销量，和其他车企的2019年数据进行对比）。 单车销售市值是一个公允衡量估值的指标，我们看到，小鹏、理想、蔚来的单车销售市值是大众汽车的180~400倍，是特斯拉的2.5~5倍！ 凭啥？同样卖一辆车，电动车就比燃油车值钱几百倍，电动车小弟比老大值钱几倍。 当然，成长股投资者可以说，我们赌的是趋势，赌的是终局，现在的销量都只是小荷尖尖，这个逻辑貌似目前也没法证伪。 我也一直在反思，击落电动三傻离谱估值的会是什么。 结果很简单：竞争格局。 聚义厅在竞争格局很重要：从鸦片想到化妆股中举过一个精彩的例子： “根据剑桥大学的资料记载，1830年代渣甸洋行的鸦片贸易利润是百分之几百。而1850-1860年代，渣甸洋行自有鸦片贸易利润是15%，代理经销鸦片的利润是4%。一个有着极度上瘾特征，不消费就要眼泪鼻涕满地打滚的品类，在打通上下游产业链后的利润率只有这个水平，放到现在还不如卖鸭脖子的。” 当壁垒消失，竞争格局恶化后，连贩鸦片这样的暴利生意都会变得平庸，时间的力量就是这么伟大。 而对于汽车新势力的竞争格局，最大的问题就出在：汽车的换车周期太长了，传统势力有充足的时间做出反击，从而使得竞争变得无比红海。 很多人举苹果和诺基亚的例子，说明新势力会如何在电动车的战场上把老玩家打的丢盔弃甲。 但他们忽略了一个关键的差异：汽车的换车周期在10年左右，而手机的换机周期只有2年。 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