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䀚鸠

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23主题

0勋章

10-18

$闽东红集团(ORIS)$ 错过时间了

10-01

$HomesToLife(HTLM)$

2023-12-17

$FUTU 20240105 51.0 CALL$

2023-12-17

$FUTU 20240105 51.0 CALL$

2022-12-29

$普普文化(CPOP)$

2022-10-30

厉害

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-09-29

厉害

@元气资本:量化基金AQR创始人谈高通胀下的投资：什么正常，什么不正常

2022-08-11

$亚马逊(AMZN)$包括马里布、蒙大拿大街以及圣塔莫尼卡等地区，这样的自助结账设备是Amazon One服务的一部分，允许客户通过机器扫描掌纹进行付款。

2022-08-10

$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$CPI数据为美联储将在9月以多激进的步伐加息提供线索；金价周二上涨，受助于美元走软，盘中一度涨破1800美元；油价交投于90关口，盘中走势拉锯，因对经济放缓可能削减需求的担忧与经由乌克兰的俄罗斯至欧洲Druzhba的输油管道暂停部分石油出口的消息共同影响市场。

2021-11-29

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@JasonLee: 美股财经|疫情黑天鹅如何解读？道指虽然跌倒支撑但是还未企稳，为什么UVXY 爆涨 SQQQ 却没涨多少？航空股怎么办？

2021-11-29

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@左股票右期权:这是本系列的第三节，说说基本面和技术面的结合，属于概述性质的，将来有时间可以一一给大家展开来讲解，希望对大家有帮助。$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ $京东健康(06618)$

2021-11-25

厉害

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-23

厉害

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-21

厉害

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-23

厉害

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-12

新年大顺身体健康

2021-01-03

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@扑克投资家:别去赌场了，你永远赢不了“凯利公式”

2020-12-19

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@野牛11号_urzu11:初来乍到，请多关照。本视频首发b站当日（Dec 04）后$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$开盘上涨21%，现已回调11%，希望视频中的内容可以帮助您更好的解析这家公司。NOT FINANCIAL ADVICEThis video is not intended as, and shall not be understood or constructed as, financial advice. The information contained in this video is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.

2020-12-15

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@阿尔法工场:自动驾驶激光雷达的颠覆者--Luminar（一）

2020-11-28

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@扑克投资家:A股30年疯狂往事

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分析师）Rita 随着人们对“趋势”（Trend）的追随再次狂热，根据HFR的数据，即使在7月的市场反弹误导了很多做空的趁势派（Trend-follower）之后，做空策略今年的回报率依然为12.3%。这已经超过了其他所有主要对冲基金策略的表现，与之相比，整个行业的平均损失为4.1%。一些分析家甚至说，趁势派应该感谢8月份股市的上涨。 但关于趋势跟踪基金的表现，最有趣的是最近收益的分散性。 根据FT Alphaville的文件，在截至7月底的一年里，Campbell、Systematica和Aspect Capital分别上涨了26.9%、22.9%和29.1%。Roy Niederhoffer的旗舰基金截至6月底的回报率为44.5%。与此同时，Man AHL的趋势跟踪基金基本处于平均水平，而Fort的基金则出现下滑。 通常情况下，趋势跟踪对冲基金的不同表现可以归结为他们所在市场的表现，使用多少杠杆以及他们对时间框架的把控。在2020年初的剧烈波动中，短期趋势跟踪表现良好，但从那时起，长期趋势跟踪似乎表现更好。 然而，Clifford Asness旗下的的AQR&nbsp;Capital Management（简称“AQR”）在最近发布的一份报告中提出了另一个有趣的原因，报告称，当跟随趋势的回报糟糕时，一些“趁势派”会干脆放弃他们的投资。 AQR资本管理公司总部位于美国康涅狄格州格林威治，是全球最大的量化对冲基金之一，Cliff Asness、David G. Kabiller和John M. Liew创立于1998年，目前资产管理规模超过2260亿美元。AQR为机构客户和财务顾问提供各种定量驱动的另类投资和传统投资工具，雇员数量达到693人，在波士顿、芝加哥、洛杉矶、伦敦和悉尼设立办公室。 来源：AQR AQR持有基金及其表","listText":"\"AQR目前资产管理规模超过2260亿美元。\" 分析师）Rita 随着人们对“趋势”（Trend）的追随再次狂热，根据HFR的数据，即使在7月的市场反弹误导了很多做空的趁势派（Trend-follower）之后，做空策略今年的回报率依然为12.3%。这已经超过了其他所有主要对冲基金策略的表现，与之相比，整个行业的平均损失为4.1%。一些分析家甚至说，趁势派应该感谢8月份股市的上涨。 但关于趋势跟踪基金的表现，最有趣的是最近收益的分散性。 根据FT Alphaville的文件，在截至7月底的一年里，Campbell、Systematica和Aspect Capital分别上涨了26.9%、22.9%和29.1%。Roy Niederhoffer的旗舰基金截至6月底的回报率为44.5%。与此同时，Man AHL的趋势跟踪基金基本处于平均水平，而Fort的基金则出现下滑。 通常情况下，趋势跟踪对冲基金的不同表现可以归结为他们所在市场的表现，使用多少杠杆以及他们对时间框架的把控。在2020年初的剧烈波动中，短期趋势跟踪表现良好，但从那时起，长期趋势跟踪似乎表现更好。 然而，Clifford Asness旗下的的AQR&nbsp;Capital Management（简称“AQR”）在最近发布的一份报告中提出了另一个有趣的原因，报告称，当跟随趋势的回报糟糕时，一些“趁势派”会干脆放弃他们的投资。 AQR资本管理公司总部位于美国康涅狄格州格林威治，是全球最大的量化对冲基金之一，Cliff Asness、David G. Kabiller和John M. Liew创立于1998年，目前资产管理规模超过2260亿美元。AQR为机构客户和财务顾问提供各种定量驱动的另类投资和传统投资工具，雇员数量达到693人，在波士顿、芝加哥、洛杉矶、伦敦和悉尼设立办公室。 来源：AQR AQR持有基金及其表","text":"\"AQR目前资产管理规模超过2260亿美元。\" 分析师）Rita 随着人们对“趋势”（Trend）的追随再次狂热，根据HFR的数据，即使在7月的市场反弹误导了很多做空的趁势派（Trend-follower）之后，做空策略今年的回报率依然为12.3%。这已经超过了其他所有主要对冲基金策略的表现，与之相比，整个行业的平均损失为4.1%。一些分析家甚至说，趁势派应该感谢8月份股市的上涨。 但关于趋势跟踪基金的表现，最有趣的是最近收益的分散性。 根据FT Alphaville的文件，在截至7月底的一年里，Campbell、Systematica和Aspect Capital分别上涨了26.9%、22.9%和29.1%。Roy Niederhoffer的旗舰基金截至6月底的回报率为44.5%。与此同时，Man AHL的趋势跟踪基金基本处于平均水平，而Fort的基金则出现下滑。 通常情况下，趋势跟踪对冲基金的不同表现可以归结为他们所在市场的表现，使用多少杠杆以及他们对时间框架的把控。在2020年初的剧烈波动中，短期趋势跟踪表现良好，但从那时起，长期趋势跟踪似乎表现更好。 然而，Clifford Asness旗下的的AQR Capital Management（简称“AQR”）在最近发布的一份报告中提出了另一个有趣的原因，报告称，当跟随趋势的回报糟糕时，一些“趁势派”会干脆放弃他们的投资。 AQR资本管理公司总部位于美国康涅狄格州格林威治，是全球最大的量化对冲基金之一，Cliff Asness、David G. Kabiller和John M. Liew创立于1998年，目前资产管理规模超过2260亿美元。AQR为机构客户和财务顾问提供各种定量驱动的另类投资和传统投资工具，雇员数量达到693人，在波士顿、芝加哥、洛杉矶、伦敦和悉尼设立办公室。 来源：AQR 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| 一站式解析时代背景 企业文化 横向基本面","htmlText":"\n \n \n  初来乍到，请多关照。本视频首发b站当日（Dec 04）后<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>开盘上涨21%，现已回调11%， 希望视频中的内容可以帮助您更好的解析这家公司。NOT FINANCIAL ADVICEThis video is not intended as, and shall not be understood or constructed as, financial advice. The information contained in this video is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.&nbsp;\n \n","listText":"初来乍到，请多关照。本视频首发b站当日（Dec 04）后<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>开盘上涨21%，现已回调11%， 希望视频中的内容可以帮助您更好的解析这家公司。NOT FINANCIAL ADVICEThis video is not intended as, and shall not be understood or constructed as, financial advice. The information contained in this video is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.&nbsp;","text":"初来乍到，请多关照。本视频首发b站当日（Dec 04）后$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$开盘上涨21%，现已回调11%， 希望视频中的内容可以帮助您更好的解析这家公司。NOT FINANCIAL ADVICEThis video is not intended as, and shall not be understood or constructed as, financial advice. The information contained in this video is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5a59324228ddfbeaf2877a70eac1d15","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397998803","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"151f9a06b90542fd821cb1d15c2a1e64","tweetId":"397998803","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/6d712588vodtransuse1254107296/953fca8f5285890810784403279/v.f30.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5a59324228ddfbeaf2877a70eac1d15"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":394800994,"gmtCreate":1607983079418,"gmtModify":1703850441874,"author":{"id":"3551151041580079","authorId":"3551151041580079","name":"䀚鸠","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7766a219d8559ef004bca4abd022ddb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551151041580079","authorIdStr":"3551151041580079"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/394800994","repostId":"394914158","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":394914158,"gmtCreate":1607923062074,"gmtModify":1703850070224,"author":{"id":"3502176745308642","authorId":"3502176745308642","name":"阿尔法工场","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c1e2784f547ee3820545b047bf31adf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502176745308642","authorIdStr":"3502176745308642"},"themes":[],"title":"自动驾驶激光雷达的颠覆者--Luminar（一）","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAZR\">$Luminar Technologies, Inc.(LAZR)$</a>&nbsp; 汽车激光雷达这个180多亿美元的市场，以Luminar当前技术和市场垄断性优势，足够成长起一家千亿市值的公司。 汽车自动驾驶一直雷声大雨点小，生活中实际看到的不多，但是随着自动驾驶出租车在北京和深圳运行，大众可以越来越多的接触到自动驾驶。随着特斯拉FSD的测试版发布，是个大的突破性进展，自动驾驶离实际使用越来越近了。2021年应当是自动驾驶进入大众生活的元年。汽车制动驾驶离不开激光雷达，虽然Musk说不用激光雷达，那是因为激光雷达贵，如果激光雷达能够达到1000美元或是500美元，我相信会Musk也会用激光雷达的。除了Musk之外，几乎所有的汽车厂商的自动驾驶都在测试激光雷达。今年上市的激光雷达企业有Velodyne、Luminar，快要上市的Aeva，激光雷达市场由于巨大的潜力，成为资本的宠儿，2020年也是激光雷达兴起的元年。今天我们谈谈自动驾驶激光雷达的行业颠覆者---Luminar（LAZR.US），我们不是指激光雷达行业，而是专指自动驾驶的激光雷达行业，这个是激光雷达行业最大的市场，可以养出激光雷达市场最大的鱼。在开始讲之前，先确定几个共识：1、根据线数的不同，激光雷达又具体分为2D、2.5D（1，4，8线）和3D（16，32，64线）三类产品，自动驾驶要3D，至少16线以上，一般64线以上，最新要求100线以上，或是对应的分辨率。固态的更多会是分辨率，Luminar已经达到300线。2、按照目前全球主要汽车制造商的预估，1000美元以下是L4自动驾驶的激光雷达规模化采购的价格目标，而L2+、L3的价格目标在500美元以下。3、激光雷达要想成为“车规”级产品，必须要同时满足","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAZR\">$Luminar Technologies, Inc.(LAZR)$</a>&nbsp; 汽车激光雷达这个180多亿美元的市场，以Luminar当前技术和市场垄断性优势，足够成长起一家千亿市值的公司。 汽车自动驾驶一直雷声大雨点小，生活中实际看到的不多，但是随着自动驾驶出租车在北京和深圳运行，大众可以越来越多的接触到自动驾驶。随着特斯拉FSD的测试版发布，是个大的突破性进展，自动驾驶离实际使用越来越近了。2021年应当是自动驾驶进入大众生活的元年。汽车制动驾驶离不开激光雷达，虽然Musk说不用激光雷达，那是因为激光雷达贵，如果激光雷达能够达到1000美元或是500美元，我相信会Musk也会用激光雷达的。除了Musk之外，几乎所有的汽车厂商的自动驾驶都在测试激光雷达。今年上市的激光雷达企业有Velodyne、Luminar，快要上市的Aeva，激光雷达市场由于巨大的潜力，成为资本的宠儿，2020年也是激光雷达兴起的元年。今天我们谈谈自动驾驶激光雷达的行业颠覆者---Luminar（LAZR.US），我们不是指激光雷达行业，而是专指自动驾驶的激光雷达行业，这个是激光雷达行业最大的市场，可以养出激光雷达市场最大的鱼。在开始讲之前，先确定几个共识：1、根据线数的不同，激光雷达又具体分为2D、2.5D（1，4，8线）和3D（16，32，64线）三类产品，自动驾驶要3D，至少16线以上，一般64线以上，最新要求100线以上，或是对应的分辨率。固态的更多会是分辨率，Luminar已经达到300线。2、按照目前全球主要汽车制造商的预估，1000美元以下是L4自动驾驶的激光雷达规模化采购的价格目标，而L2+、L3的价格目标在500美元以下。3、激光雷达要想成为“车规”级产品，必须要同时满足","text":"$Luminar Technologies, Inc.(LAZR)$ 汽车激光雷达这个180多亿美元的市场，以Luminar当前技术和市场垄断性优势，足够成长起一家千亿市值的公司。 汽车自动驾驶一直雷声大雨点小，生活中实际看到的不多，但是随着自动驾驶出租车在北京和深圳运行，大众可以越来越多的接触到自动驾驶。随着特斯拉FSD的测试版发布，是个大的突破性进展，自动驾驶离实际使用越来越近了。2021年应当是自动驾驶进入大众生活的元年。汽车制动驾驶离不开激光雷达，虽然Musk说不用激光雷达，那是因为激光雷达贵，如果激光雷达能够达到1000美元或是500美元，我相信会Musk也会用激光雷达的。除了Musk之外，几乎所有的汽车厂商的自动驾驶都在测试激光雷达。今年上市的激光雷达企业有Velodyne、Luminar，快要上市的Aeva，激光雷达市场由于巨大的潜力，成为资本的宠儿，2020年也是激光雷达兴起的元年。今天我们谈谈自动驾驶激光雷达的行业颠覆者---Luminar（LAZR.US），我们不是指激光雷达行业，而是专指自动驾驶的激光雷达行业，这个是激光雷达行业最大的市场，可以养出激光雷达市场最大的鱼。在开始讲之前，先确定几个共识：1、根据线数的不同，激光雷达又具体分为2D、2.5D（1，4，8线）和3D（16，32，64线）三类产品，自动驾驶要3D，至少16线以上，一般64线以上，最新要求100线以上，或是对应的分辨率。固态的更多会是分辨率，Luminar已经达到300线。2、按照目前全球主要汽车制造商的预估，1000美元以下是L4自动驾驶的激光雷达规模化采购的价格目标，而L2+、L3的价格目标在500美元以下。3、激光雷达要想成为“车规”级产品，必须要同时满足","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd45227d6f0db0ec37128faeccf10059","width":"641","height":"360"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/394914158","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391856119,"gmtCreate":1606572712531,"gmtModify":1703843665240,"author":{"id":"3551151041580079","authorId":"3551151041580079","name":"䀚鸠","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7766a219d8559ef004bca4abd022ddb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551151041580079","authorIdStr":"3551151041580079"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391856119","repostId":"393757994","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":393757994,"gmtCreate":1606395140351,"gmtModify":1703842975299,"author":{"id":"3524105581449289","authorId":"3524105581449289","name":"扑克投资家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca993284400c72bf022739f5328f46cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3524105581449289","authorIdStr":"3524105581449289"},"themes":[],"title":"A股30年疯狂往事","htmlText":"作 者 | 削橙子 来&nbsp;源&nbsp;|&nbsp;格隆汇 导读 1990年12月1日，深圳证券交易所正式鸣锣开市；12月19日，上海交易证券所迎来敲钟时刻，从无到有，从小到大，由弱到强。中国资本市场的市值从23亿到现在的约80万亿元，上市公司数量从8家增至4000余家，投资者开户人数达1.6亿人……三十年间，A股缔造了一座里程碑。 三十年，世事变幻；三十年，沧海桑田。车轮滚滚向前，市场在不断更变。站至这个节点，回望中国股市30年的曲折历程，纵然有万般不尽人意，但万物皆有规律可循。为此，格隆汇倾心推出#A股三十年#系列，让我们一起回顾中国股市的起落浮沉，在不断求索中，一路兼程、无惧风雨。 18世纪初，英国掀起由南海公司引起的购买股票热潮。适逢经济繁荣，政府债主、税收优惠、垄断贸易特许经营的绩优股题材，再配合自编自导“发现金矿”故事的预期，南海公司的股票价格扶摇直上，6个月涨幅高达700%。 投资者趋之若鹜，当时半数以上的参、众议员都加入了抢购队伍，甚至英国国王也投资了10万英镑。在牛市旗手的带动下，一时之间，所有股票都成了投机对象，上到国王下到家庭妇女，人们完全丧失了理智，连智商140的牛顿也没能抵住诱惑，卷入了漩涡当中。 1720年，南海泡沫破灭，时任英格兰皇家造币厂厂长的牛顿割肉离场，亏损2万英镑，相当于他在皇家铸币厂十年的工资收入。 有人说，上帝创造了世界，而牛顿发现了上帝创造世界的方法。但即便智者如牛顿，照样“一入股市深似海”，光荣地成了人类韭菜史上的一员。 如今，A股即将迎来成立30周年，我们抚摸着那些已经泛黄的老照片，一如感受当年股市炮火的余温，回顾A股这三十年间的故事。正是： 一将成名万古枯，不破楼兰终不还。黄沙百战穿金甲，春风不度玉门关。 无知，无畏，无路可退（1990） 1988年4月，深圳特区证券公司开业，经营股票挂牌交易，当时交易的唯一的股票","listText":"作 者 | 削橙子 来&nbsp;源&nbsp;|&nbsp;格隆汇 导读 1990年12月1日，深圳证券交易所正式鸣锣开市；12月19日，上海交易证券所迎来敲钟时刻，从无到有，从小到大，由弱到强。中国资本市场的市值从23亿到现在的约80万亿元，上市公司数量从8家增至4000余家，投资者开户人数达1.6亿人……三十年间，A股缔造了一座里程碑。 三十年，世事变幻；三十年，沧海桑田。车轮滚滚向前，市场在不断更变。站至这个节点，回望中国股市30年的曲折历程，纵然有万般不尽人意，但万物皆有规律可循。为此，格隆汇倾心推出#A股三十年#系列，让我们一起回顾中国股市的起落浮沉，在不断求索中，一路兼程、无惧风雨。 18世纪初，英国掀起由南海公司引起的购买股票热潮。适逢经济繁荣，政府债主、税收优惠、垄断贸易特许经营的绩优股题材，再配合自编自导“发现金矿”故事的预期，南海公司的股票价格扶摇直上，6个月涨幅高达700%。 投资者趋之若鹜，当时半数以上的参、众议员都加入了抢购队伍，甚至英国国王也投资了10万英镑。在牛市旗手的带动下，一时之间，所有股票都成了投机对象，上到国王下到家庭妇女，人们完全丧失了理智，连智商140的牛顿也没能抵住诱惑，卷入了漩涡当中。 1720年，南海泡沫破灭，时任英格兰皇家造币厂厂长的牛顿割肉离场，亏损2万英镑，相当于他在皇家铸币厂十年的工资收入。 有人说，上帝创造了世界，而牛顿发现了上帝创造世界的方法。但即便智者如牛顿，照样“一入股市深似海”，光荣地成了人类韭菜史上的一员。 如今，A股即将迎来成立30周年，我们抚摸着那些已经泛黄的老照片，一如感受当年股市炮火的余温，回顾A股这三十年间的故事。正是： 一将成名万古枯，不破楼兰终不还。黄沙百战穿金甲，春风不度玉门关。 无知，无畏，无路可退（1990） 1988年4月，深圳特区证券公司开业，经营股票挂牌交易，当时交易的唯一的股票","text":"作 者 | 削橙子 来 源 | 格隆汇 导读 1990年12月1日，深圳证券交易所正式鸣锣开市；12月19日，上海交易证券所迎来敲钟时刻，从无到有，从小到大，由弱到强。中国资本市场的市值从23亿到现在的约80万亿元，上市公司数量从8家增至4000余家，投资者开户人数达1.6亿人……三十年间，A股缔造了一座里程碑。 三十年，世事变幻；三十年，沧海桑田。车轮滚滚向前，市场在不断更变。站至这个节点，回望中国股市30年的曲折历程，纵然有万般不尽人意，但万物皆有规律可循。为此，格隆汇倾心推出#A股三十年#系列，让我们一起回顾中国股市的起落浮沉，在不断求索中，一路兼程、无惧风雨。 18世纪初，英国掀起由南海公司引起的购买股票热潮。适逢经济繁荣，政府债主、税收优惠、垄断贸易特许经营的绩优股题材，再配合自编自导“发现金矿”故事的预期，南海公司的股票价格扶摇直上，6个月涨幅高达700%。 投资者趋之若鹜，当时半数以上的参、众议员都加入了抢购队伍，甚至英国国王也投资了10万英镑。在牛市旗手的带动下，一时之间，所有股票都成了投机对象，上到国王下到家庭妇女，人们完全丧失了理智，连智商140的牛顿也没能抵住诱惑，卷入了漩涡当中。 1720年，南海泡沫破灭，时任英格兰皇家造币厂厂长的牛顿割肉离场，亏损2万英镑，相当于他在皇家铸币厂十年的工资收入。 有人说，上帝创造了世界，而牛顿发现了上帝创造世界的方法。但即便智者如牛顿，照样“一入股市深似海”，光荣地成了人类韭菜史上的一员。 如今，A股即将迎来成立30周年，我们抚摸着那些已经泛黄的老照片，一如感受当年股市炮火的余温，回顾A股这三十年间的故事。正是： 一将成名万古枯，不破楼兰终不还。黄沙百战穿金甲，春风不度玉门关。 无知，无畏，无路可退（1990） 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者&nbsp;|&nbsp;量子学派 来&nbsp;源&nbsp;| 量子学派 正文 赌徒迷信的是运气&nbsp; 赌场相信的是数学&nbsp; 赌王何鸿燊接手葡京赌场时，业务蒸蒸日上，但理性的赌王仍然忐忑，请教“赌神”叶汉：“如果这些赌客总是输，长此以往，他们不来了怎么办？”叶汉笑道：“一次赌徒，一世赌徒，他们担心的是赌场不在怎么办。” 叶汉说的只是心理层面，现代赌场程序方面的设计，比叶汉当年要缜密得多，赌场集中了概率、级数、极限方面的数学经验。一个普通赌徒，只要长久赌下去，最终一定会血本无归，所谓的各种致胜绝技，除了电影里的周星星，现实里的周星驰都不信。 赌徒永远不明白，与自己对赌的不是运气，也不是庄家，他们是在与狄利克雷、伯努利、高斯、纳什、凯利这样的大师对决数学，赢的胜率能有多大 看得到的是概率 看不见的是陷阱 我们先说一个最简单的赌博游戏：赌运气猜硬币。 规则是这样的，掷硬币，正面赢反面输，赢了可以拿走一倍的钱，输了会赔掉本金，你玩不玩？你可能觉得，唉，这游戏不错，公平！恰好运气也不错，第一把赢了100元！你高兴坏了，这时候庄家跟你说，你看你也赢了这么多，我呢，辛辛苦苦搭个场子，最后什么都没捞着，要不这样，你赢了，就给我留下2％，就算是救济救济老哥，给捧捧场！你一听，2％，才这么点，拿去吧，不差钱！好了，这事就这么定下来了。 然而你做梦都想不到的是：就是这小小的2％，最后却让你输得倾家荡产、家破人亡。 这小小的2个点的赢的概率貌似不起眼，但配上“大数法则”，就成为了赌场赚钱的利器！“大数法则”是数学家伯努利提出来的，说的是假设n(a)是n次独立重复实验中发生a的次数，p是每次实验发生a的概率，当n足够大的时候，对任意正数ε，有lim{[|(n(a)/n)| p] 庄家赚的钱最终只跟玩家下注大小有关！这也就是我们常说的“流水”，只要玩家不停地玩，庄家就会不停地赚","listText":"作 者&nbsp;|&nbsp;量子学派 来&nbsp;源&nbsp;| 量子学派 正文 赌徒迷信的是运气&nbsp; 赌场相信的是数学&nbsp; 赌王何鸿燊接手葡京赌场时，业务蒸蒸日上，但理性的赌王仍然忐忑，请教“赌神”叶汉：“如果这些赌客总是输，长此以往，他们不来了怎么办？”叶汉笑道：“一次赌徒，一世赌徒，他们担心的是赌场不在怎么办。” 叶汉说的只是心理层面，现代赌场程序方面的设计，比叶汉当年要缜密得多，赌场集中了概率、级数、极限方面的数学经验。一个普通赌徒，只要长久赌下去，最终一定会血本无归，所谓的各种致胜绝技，除了电影里的周星星，现实里的周星驰都不信。 赌徒永远不明白，与自己对赌的不是运气，也不是庄家，他们是在与狄利克雷、伯努利、高斯、纳什、凯利这样的大师对决数学，赢的胜率能有多大 看得到的是概率 看不见的是陷阱 我们先说一个最简单的赌博游戏：赌运气猜硬币。 规则是这样的，掷硬币，正面赢反面输，赢了可以拿走一倍的钱，输了会赔掉本金，你玩不玩？你可能觉得，唉，这游戏不错，公平！恰好运气也不错，第一把赢了100元！你高兴坏了，这时候庄家跟你说，你看你也赢了这么多，我呢，辛辛苦苦搭个场子，最后什么都没捞着，要不这样，你赢了，就给我留下2％，就算是救济救济老哥，给捧捧场！你一听，2％，才这么点，拿去吧，不差钱！好了，这事就这么定下来了。 然而你做梦都想不到的是：就是这小小的2％，最后却让你输得倾家荡产、家破人亡。 这小小的2个点的赢的概率貌似不起眼，但配上“大数法则”，就成为了赌场赚钱的利器！“大数法则”是数学家伯努利提出来的，说的是假设n(a)是n次独立重复实验中发生a的次数，p是每次实验发生a的概率，当n足够大的时候，对任意正数ε，有lim{[|(n(a)/n)| p] 庄家赚的钱最终只跟玩家下注大小有关！这也就是我们常说的“流水”，只要玩家不停地玩，庄家就会不停地赚","text":"作 者 | 量子学派 来 源 | 量子学派 正文 赌徒迷信的是运气 赌场相信的是数学 赌王何鸿燊接手葡京赌场时，业务蒸蒸日上，但理性的赌王仍然忐忑，请教“赌神”叶汉：“如果这些赌客总是输，长此以往，他们不来了怎么办？”叶汉笑道：“一次赌徒，一世赌徒，他们担心的是赌场不在怎么办。” 叶汉说的只是心理层面，现代赌场程序方面的设计，比叶汉当年要缜密得多，赌场集中了概率、级数、极限方面的数学经验。一个普通赌徒，只要长久赌下去，最终一定会血本无归，所谓的各种致胜绝技，除了电影里的周星星，现实里的周星驰都不信。 赌徒永远不明白，与自己对赌的不是运气，也不是庄家，他们是在与狄利克雷、伯努利、高斯、纳什、凯利这样的大师对决数学，赢的胜率能有多大 看得到的是概率 看不见的是陷阱 我们先说一个最简单的赌博游戏：赌运气猜硬币。 规则是这样的，掷硬币，正面赢反面输，赢了可以拿走一倍的钱，输了会赔掉本金，你玩不玩？你可能觉得，唉，这游戏不错，公平！恰好运气也不错，第一把赢了100元！你高兴坏了，这时候庄家跟你说，你看你也赢了这么多，我呢，辛辛苦苦搭个场子，最后什么都没捞着，要不这样，你赢了，就给我留下2％，就算是救济救济老哥，给捧捧场！你一听，2％，才这么点，拿去吧，不差钱！好了，这事就这么定下来了。 然而你做梦都想不到的是：就是这小小的2％，最后却让你输得倾家荡产、家破人亡。 这小小的2个点的赢的概率貌似不起眼，但配上“大数法则”，就成为了赌场赚钱的利器！“大数法则”是数学家伯努利提出来的，说的是假设n(a)是n次独立重复实验中发生a的次数，p是每次实验发生a的概率，当n足够大的时候，对任意正数ε，有lim{[|(n(a)/n)| p] 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAZR\">$Luminar Technologies, Inc.(LAZR)$</a>&nbsp; 汽车激光雷达这个180多亿美元的市场，以Luminar当前技术和市场垄断性优势，足够成长起一家千亿市值的公司。 汽车自动驾驶一直雷声大雨点小，生活中实际看到的不多，但是随着自动驾驶出租车在北京和深圳运行，大众可以越来越多的接触到自动驾驶。随着特斯拉FSD的测试版发布，是个大的突破性进展，自动驾驶离实际使用越来越近了。2021年应当是自动驾驶进入大众生活的元年。汽车制动驾驶离不开激光雷达，虽然Musk说不用激光雷达，那是因为激光雷达贵，如果激光雷达能够达到1000美元或是500美元，我相信会Musk也会用激光雷达的。除了Musk之外，几乎所有的汽车厂商的自动驾驶都在测试激光雷达。今年上市的激光雷达企业有Velodyne、Luminar，快要上市的Aeva，激光雷达市场由于巨大的潜力，成为资本的宠儿，2020年也是激光雷达兴起的元年。今天我们谈谈自动驾驶激光雷达的行业颠覆者---Luminar（LAZR.US），我们不是指激光雷达行业，而是专指自动驾驶的激光雷达行业，这个是激光雷达行业最大的市场，可以养出激光雷达市场最大的鱼。在开始讲之前，先确定几个共识：1、根据线数的不同，激光雷达又具体分为2D、2.5D（1，4，8线）和3D（16，32，64线）三类产品，自动驾驶要3D，至少16线以上，一般64线以上，最新要求100线以上，或是对应的分辨率。固态的更多会是分辨率，Luminar已经达到300线。2、按照目前全球主要汽车制造商的预估，1000美元以下是L4自动驾驶的激光雷达规模化采购的价格目标，而L2+、L3的价格目标在500美元以下。3、激光雷达要想成为“车规”级产品，必须要同时满足","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAZR\">$Luminar Technologies, Inc.(LAZR)$</a>&nbsp; 汽车激光雷达这个180多亿美元的市场，以Luminar当前技术和市场垄断性优势，足够成长起一家千亿市值的公司。 汽车自动驾驶一直雷声大雨点小，生活中实际看到的不多，但是随着自动驾驶出租车在北京和深圳运行，大众可以越来越多的接触到自动驾驶。随着特斯拉FSD的测试版发布，是个大的突破性进展，自动驾驶离实际使用越来越近了。2021年应当是自动驾驶进入大众生活的元年。汽车制动驾驶离不开激光雷达，虽然Musk说不用激光雷达，那是因为激光雷达贵，如果激光雷达能够达到1000美元或是500美元，我相信会Musk也会用激光雷达的。除了Musk之外，几乎所有的汽车厂商的自动驾驶都在测试激光雷达。今年上市的激光雷达企业有Velodyne、Luminar，快要上市的Aeva，激光雷达市场由于巨大的潜力，成为资本的宠儿，2020年也是激光雷达兴起的元年。今天我们谈谈自动驾驶激光雷达的行业颠覆者---Luminar（LAZR.US），我们不是指激光雷达行业，而是专指自动驾驶的激光雷达行业，这个是激光雷达行业最大的市场，可以养出激光雷达市场最大的鱼。在开始讲之前，先确定几个共识：1、根据线数的不同，激光雷达又具体分为2D、2.5D（1，4，8线）和3D（16，32，64线）三类产品，自动驾驶要3D，至少16线以上，一般64线以上，最新要求100线以上，或是对应的分辨率。固态的更多会是分辨率，Luminar已经达到300线。2、按照目前全球主要汽车制造商的预估，1000美元以下是L4自动驾驶的激光雷达规模化采购的价格目标，而L2+、L3的价格目标在500美元以下。3、激光雷达要想成为“车规”级产品，必须要同时满足","text":"$Luminar Technologies, Inc.(LAZR)$ 汽车激光雷达这个180多亿美元的市场，以Luminar当前技术和市场垄断性优势，足够成长起一家千亿市值的公司。 汽车自动驾驶一直雷声大雨点小，生活中实际看到的不多，但是随着自动驾驶出租车在北京和深圳运行，大众可以越来越多的接触到自动驾驶。随着特斯拉FSD的测试版发布，是个大的突破性进展，自动驾驶离实际使用越来越近了。2021年应当是自动驾驶进入大众生活的元年。汽车制动驾驶离不开激光雷达，虽然Musk说不用激光雷达，那是因为激光雷达贵，如果激光雷达能够达到1000美元或是500美元，我相信会Musk也会用激光雷达的。除了Musk之外，几乎所有的汽车厂商的自动驾驶都在测试激光雷达。今年上市的激光雷达企业有Velodyne、Luminar，快要上市的Aeva，激光雷达市场由于巨大的潜力，成为资本的宠儿，2020年也是激光雷达兴起的元年。今天我们谈谈自动驾驶激光雷达的行业颠覆者---Luminar（LAZR.US），我们不是指激光雷达行业，而是专指自动驾驶的激光雷达行业，这个是激光雷达行业最大的市场，可以养出激光雷达市场最大的鱼。在开始讲之前，先确定几个共识：1、根据线数的不同，激光雷达又具体分为2D、2.5D（1，4，8线）和3D（16，32，64线）三类产品，自动驾驶要3D，至少16线以上，一般64线以上，最新要求100线以上，或是对应的分辨率。固态的更多会是分辨率，Luminar已经达到300线。2、按照目前全球主要汽车制造商的预估，1000美元以下是L4自动驾驶的激光雷达规模化采购的价格目标，而L2+、L3的价格目标在500美元以下。3、激光雷达要想成为“车规”级产品，必须要同时满足","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd45227d6f0db0ec37128faeccf10059","width":"641","height":"360"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/394914158","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600865258,"gmtCreate":1638139763748,"gmtModify":1638139763748,"author":{"id":"3551151041580079","authorId":"3551151041580079","name":"䀚鸠","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7766a219d8559ef004bca4abd022ddb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551151041580079","authorIdStr":"3551151041580079"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600865258","repostId":"874581255","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":874581255,"gmtCreate":1637801559736,"gmtModify":1637821710793,"author":{"id":"3580101537589413","authorId":"3580101537589413","name":"左股票右期权","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9611e8b7fb58df6a2c9bf9689071c9b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580101537589413","authorIdStr":"3580101537589413"},"themes":[],"title":"基本面和技术面结合-每天赚1%有可能吗?说说技术分析和基本面分析哪个靠谱","htmlText":"\n \n \n  这是本系列的第三节，说说基本面和技术面的结合，属于概述性质的，将来有时间可以一一给大家展开来讲解，希望对大家有帮助。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">$京东健康(06618)$</a>&nbsp;\n \n","listText":"这是本系列的第三节，说说基本面和技术面的结合，属于概述性质的，将来有时间可以一一给大家展开来讲解，希望对大家有帮助。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">$京东健康(06618)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"这是本系列的第三节，说说基本面和技术面的结合，属于概述性质的，将来有时间可以一一给大家展开来讲解，希望对大家有帮助。$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ $京东健康(06618)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9100e73f84aea466c2f2ec6f6b6d6ccf","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874581255","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"73eb09e1632745ca8094941d6bfba5bc","tweetId":"874581255","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/50e8335b387702291937682570/ehPEGkDCHQsA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9100e73f84aea466c2f2ec6f6b6d6ccf"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2971,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397472492,"gmtCreate":1608328967516,"gmtModify":1703852515442,"author":{"id":"3551151041580079","authorId":"3551151041580079","name":"䀚鸠","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7766a219d8559ef004bca4abd022ddb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551151041580079","authorIdStr":"3551151041580079"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397472492","repostId":"397998803","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":397998803,"gmtCreate":1608142846802,"gmtModify":1703851445440,"author":{"id":"3571066134255480","authorId":"3571066134255480","name":"野牛11号_urzu11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efb0d1e1e790d241d88f6268045003f1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571066134255480","authorIdStr":"3571066134255480"},"themes":[],"title":"全方位起底美国最神秘的科技公司 | 一站式解析时代背景 企业文化 横向基本面","htmlText":"\n \n \n  初来乍到，请多关照。本视频首发b站当日（Dec 04）后<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>开盘上涨21%，现已回调11%， 希望视频中的内容可以帮助您更好的解析这家公司。NOT FINANCIAL ADVICEThis video is not intended as, and shall not be understood or constructed as, financial advice. The information contained in this video is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.&nbsp;\n \n","listText":"初来乍到，请多关照。本视频首发b站当日（Dec 04）后<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>开盘上涨21%，现已回调11%， 希望视频中的内容可以帮助您更好的解析这家公司。NOT FINANCIAL ADVICEThis video is not intended as, and shall not be understood or constructed as, financial advice. The information contained in this video is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.&nbsp;","text":"初来乍到，请多关照。本视频首发b站当日（Dec 04）后$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$开盘上涨21%，现已回调11%， 希望视频中的内容可以帮助您更好的解析这家公司。NOT FINANCIAL ADVICEThis video is not intended as, and shall not be understood or constructed as, financial advice. The information contained in this video is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual 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者 | 削橙子 来&nbsp;源&nbsp;|&nbsp;格隆汇 导读 1990年12月1日，深圳证券交易所正式鸣锣开市；12月19日，上海交易证券所迎来敲钟时刻，从无到有，从小到大，由弱到强。中国资本市场的市值从23亿到现在的约80万亿元，上市公司数量从8家增至4000余家，投资者开户人数达1.6亿人……三十年间，A股缔造了一座里程碑。 三十年，世事变幻；三十年，沧海桑田。车轮滚滚向前，市场在不断更变。站至这个节点，回望中国股市30年的曲折历程，纵然有万般不尽人意，但万物皆有规律可循。为此，格隆汇倾心推出#A股三十年#系列，让我们一起回顾中国股市的起落浮沉，在不断求索中，一路兼程、无惧风雨。 18世纪初，英国掀起由南海公司引起的购买股票热潮。适逢经济繁荣，政府债主、税收优惠、垄断贸易特许经营的绩优股题材，再配合自编自导“发现金矿”故事的预期，南海公司的股票价格扶摇直上，6个月涨幅高达700%。 投资者趋之若鹜，当时半数以上的参、众议员都加入了抢购队伍，甚至英国国王也投资了10万英镑。在牛市旗手的带动下，一时之间，所有股票都成了投机对象，上到国王下到家庭妇女，人们完全丧失了理智，连智商140的牛顿也没能抵住诱惑，卷入了漩涡当中。 1720年，南海泡沫破灭，时任英格兰皇家造币厂厂长的牛顿割肉离场，亏损2万英镑，相当于他在皇家铸币厂十年的工资收入。 有人说，上帝创造了世界，而牛顿发现了上帝创造世界的方法。但即便智者如牛顿，照样“一入股市深似海”，光荣地成了人类韭菜史上的一员。 如今，A股即将迎来成立30周年，我们抚摸着那些已经泛黄的老照片，一如感受当年股市炮火的余温，回顾A股这三十年间的故事。正是： 一将成名万古枯，不破楼兰终不还。黄沙百战穿金甲，春风不度玉门关。 无知，无畏，无路可退（1990） 1988年4月，深圳特区证券公司开业，经营股票挂牌交易，当时交易的唯一的股票","listText":"作 者 | 削橙子 来&nbsp;源&nbsp;|&nbsp;格隆汇 导读 1990年12月1日，深圳证券交易所正式鸣锣开市；12月19日，上海交易证券所迎来敲钟时刻，从无到有，从小到大，由弱到强。中国资本市场的市值从23亿到现在的约80万亿元，上市公司数量从8家增至4000余家，投资者开户人数达1.6亿人……三十年间，A股缔造了一座里程碑。 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