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银河系第一帅哥
2020-05-21
大多数人是不炒股的,但是瑞幸低价却能使这些人受益。从利益角度来看叫好没问题。
@教子教孙别玩A股:
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
国人还有把瑞幸咖啡当成民族英雄的,不知道那是一些什么人,一个把中概股害惨拖下水的垃圾,还有人支持它?丢人丢到国际了,损害的是全中国人的诚信!
银河系第一帅哥
2020-05-02
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
下周三抄底了。看来2700点以下加仓,2800点以上清仓沪深300ETF的交易策略确实不错
银河系第一帅哥
2020-04-21
$WTI原油2005(CL2005)$
现在这个行情,我缺的是油么?我缺的是油轮。
银河系第一帅哥
2020-04-03
川建国让美联储先建好多仓,然后通过言论操纵市场,这样美联储就有更多救市的钱
油市“大乌龙”!特朗普减产“谎言”被戳穿
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-23
$SP500指数主连(ESmain)$
暴涨暴跌是熊市的特点,为什么熊市会暴涨,是因为空头要止盈平仓。试想一下,如果做多,1元的资产涨到2元,止盈之后赚1元,手头有2元,但是之后要花2元再买入,手中筹码不变。但是做空,1元跌到0.5元,止盈赚0.5元,手头有1.5元,之后继续做空每份只需花0.5元,手中筹码就变成3份。因此空头止盈可以增加手中筹码。然而空头不傻,如果平仓太慢,韭菜就会跟风,资产价格上涨,甚至让韭菜得利,增大平仓成本。所以空头会集中在短时间内平仓,让韭菜反应不及。但也会快速拉高资产价格。但比起慢平仓,成本还是低。那么熊市暴涨有哪些特征呢?首先,会出现一柱擎天式的暴涨,这是因为空头为了快速止盈,不惜通过市价单的方式平仓,快速吃掉卖单。限价单买入时,设定价格比当前价格低,因此即使上涨,也是波动式上涨。而一柱擎天明显就是通过市价买入。一个理智清醒的人在什么情况下要这么做呢?大家想一想就知道了
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-18
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
原油价格跌破1元/升。
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-18
原油价格跌破1元/升
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-18
$白银主连(SImain)$
哪个国家货币贬值去哪个国家旅游就很划算。白银下跌适合穿越游。大清一两银子37.3克,按照现在白银这个价格换算是110元。想穿越的现在赶紧换白银
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-18
$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$
暴涨暴跌是熊市的特点,为什么熊市会暴涨,是因为空头要止盈平仓。试想一下,如果做多,1元的资产涨到2元,止盈之后赚1元,手头有2元,但是之后要花2元再买入,手中筹码不变。但是做空,1元跌到0.5元,止盈赚0.5元,手头有1.5元,之后继续做空每份只需花0.5元,手中筹码就变成3份。因此空头止盈可以增加手中筹码。然而空头不傻,如果平仓太慢,韭菜就会跟风,资产价格上涨,甚至让韭菜得利,增大平仓成本。所以空头会集中在短时间内平仓,让韭菜反应不及。但也会快速拉高资产价格。但比起慢平仓,成本还是低。
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-17
$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$
这奇葩程度堪比15年的大A
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-13
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
牛市不做空,熊市不做多。多空无信仰,赚钱有目的。
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-12
$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$
现在美股走势真的特别像2015年的A股。看来不是体制的问题,涨得越高,跌得越惨。15年A股翻了一倍然后跌成狗了。现在美股在川建国上台后也翻了一倍。
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-12
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
世界卫生组织宣布,新型冠状病毒爆发是世界大流行(pandemic)病。只有看到英文原文才知道恐怖。注意,流行病在英语里是epidemic。而pandemic上次使用是一个世纪前的西班牙大流感(pandemic influenza)
银河系第一帅哥
2020-03-12
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
在模拟盘上过过瘾
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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[捂脸]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":923559424,"gmtCreate":1585890015168,"gmtModify":1704359562247,"author":{"id":"3546335143570944","authorId":"3546335143570944","name":"银河系第一帅哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb5a10103732405627bfbc181f8661e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546335143570944","idStr":"3546335143570944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"川建国让美联储先建好多仓,然后通过言论操纵市场,这样美联储就有更多救市的钱","listText":"川建国让美联储先建好多仓,然后通过言论操纵市场,这样美联储就有更多救市的钱","text":"川建国让美联储先建好多仓,然后通过言论操纵市场,这样美联储就有更多救市的钱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/923559424","repostId":"1125944572","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125944572","pubTimestamp":1585876435,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125944572?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-04-03 09:13","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"油市“大乌龙”!特朗普减产“谎言”被戳穿","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125944572","media":"金十数据 ","summary":"北京时间周五(4月3日)上午06:40左右,美国总统特朗普再次表示,沙特和俄罗斯或将减产1000万桶/日以上,希望俄罗斯和沙特达成协议并很快宣布,“俄罗斯和沙特两者都想达成协议”,而他希望它们很快宣布","content":"<p>北京时间周五(4月3日)上午06:40左右,<b><span>美国总统特朗普再次表示,沙特和俄罗斯或将减产1000万桶/日以上,希望俄罗斯和沙特达成协议并很快宣布,“俄罗斯和沙特两者都想达成协议”,而他希望它们很快宣布达成至多减产1500万桶/日的协议。</span></b></p><p>但油价没有出现昨晚的惊人反应,WTI原油反而短线小幅走低。截止09:30,据路透报价,布伦特原油期货跌破29美元/桶,日内跌逾3%。特朗普的讲话已经引发市场的怀疑。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d78fa6fecae9b06d356f9721cc8772cd\" /></p><p><b><span>特朗普被指“夸大其词”</span></b></p><p>特朗普周四与沙特王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼(MBS)通电话后表示,他预计沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯将削减石油产量约1000万桶,原油价格应声暴涨。但后来特朗普的说法引起了市场的质疑,各方认为特朗普称减产1000万桶-1500万桶的话明显“夸大其词”,而且他没有具体说明其所指的是不是日减产量。</p><p>如果按照特朗普的说法每天减产1000万桶石油,相当于要俄罗斯和沙特削减将近45%的产量,这将是史无前例的。市场对此也深表怀疑。Rystad Energy石油市场负责人Bjornar Tonhaugen 称:</p><blockquote>“沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯不会单枪匹马砍掉其国家石油产量的一半(500万桶/日),但我们相信各方将同意继续讨论和监督市场情况。”</blockquote><p>一位了解特朗普政府与沙特谈话内容的人士透露,政府内部对于特朗普的说法也有不少困惑,“他说的数字可能并不可靠”。据悉特朗普政府对油价问题有不同意见,总统说他乐于看到汽油价格走低,但国务卿蓬佩奥和其他人却敦促沙特削减产量,这种分歧削弱了美国政府在油价问题上的影响力。白宫拒绝对此事置评。</p><p>不过,特朗普的确没说已达成减产协议。油价因此上演疯狂“过山车”走势,布油一度暴涨近50%,随后大幅回落。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/582f3e0f6beb00ecc2acb1aded344020\" /></p><p><b><span>原油市场“乌龙”时间线:谁在撒谎?</span></b></p><p>以下时间为北京时间:</p><blockquote>•周四22:20左右,沙特通讯社称沙特王储与美国总统特朗普就油市问题进行了电话通话,原油开始暴涨。</blockquote><blockquote>•周四22:32,特朗普表示,刚刚与我的朋友沙特阿拉伯王储MBS交谈过,王储已与俄罗斯总统普京谈过,我期待并希望他们将削减大约1000万桶产量,甚至更多,如果真的如此,这将对石油和天然气行业大有裨益!随后他又补充写道:减产规模最高可达1500万桶,对每个人来说都是个好消息!</blockquote><blockquote>•周四22:38,布伦特原油期货涨幅快速扩大至46%,突破36美元/桶。</blockquote><blockquote>•周四22:42左右,克里姆林宫发言人佩斯科夫表示,普京尚未与沙特王储通电话。</blockquote><blockquote>•周四23:30左右,国际油价大幅回落,布伦特原油期货涨幅收窄至14%,跌破30美元/桶。</blockquote><blockquote>•周四23:38左右,欧佩克代表表示,俄罗斯和沙特尚未就任何减产规模达成协议,但已经呼吁产油国开展会议以“最终达成”同意减产的目的,沙特希望非OPEC+的产油国也能加入会议。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五00:58左右,美国政府高级官员表示,美国不知道沙特和俄罗斯削减石油供应计划的细节。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五01:30左右,沙特官员表示,特朗普关于减产1000万桶/日及以上幅度的言论是夸张的说法。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五01:30左右,俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克表示,与其削减供应,俄罗斯更愿意等待需求回归,“我们希望全球需求将在几个月内回归”。俄罗斯还表示,2020年的预算计划是基于20美元/桶的油价。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五01:50左右,沙特官员表示,当前最好的场景是减产600万桶/日,不确定特朗普是如何得到此前那些数据。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五02:20左右,美国德州铁路委员会委员Ryan Sitton表示,和俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克讨论了全球减产1000万桶/日,将很快和沙特能源部长通话。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五02:30,WTI 5月原油期货收涨5.01美元,涨幅24.67%,报25.32美元/桶,创历史最大单日百分比涨幅。布伦特原油上涨17.8%,或4.40美元,收于29.14美元/桶。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/319d26def0d62dcaf50b4e01f746163d\" /></p><p><b><span>沙特开出条件,加拿大持开放态度</span></b></p><p>目前比较明确的是,<b><span>沙特已经表示,如果其他大型石油生产国,包括美国,加拿大、巴西等不属于OPEC+的一些大型石油生产国加入减产,沙特也会准备减产。据道琼斯,若其他产油国加入合作,沙特考虑将石油产量降至900万桶/日以下。</span></b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c75a2895f5f0d8c11fb88a89070c0c15\" /></p><p>此前欧佩克都曾邀请过加拿大和巴西参加会议,但被拒绝。最新消息称,<b><span>加拿大阿尔伯塔省对潜在的全球减产协议持开放态度。</span></b>该省省长康尼(Jason Kenney)表示,该省愿意加入任何可能的全球协议以减少原油生产过剩。加拿大是世界第四大石油生产国,每天生产约480万桶石油,其中大部分在阿尔伯塔省。自2019年1月以来,阿尔伯塔省一直限制其石油生产。康尼在采访中说:</p><blockquote>“我们当然会考虑,但实际上沙特和俄罗斯才是问题所在,而不是加拿大。如果我们看到在全球范围内减少产量的努力,我们将愿意采取进一步的措施。当前的价格环境是不可持续的,并且可能对北美的能源生产造成严重破坏。我希望冷静的头脑占上风。”</blockquote><p>然而,悲催的是,市场普遍预期,即使各国达成减产协议,仍然不足以抵消需求破坏带来的供过于求。</p><p><b>今日原油市场料仍难平静。</b>金十数据昨日报道,按照计划,特朗普定于周五与美国石油生产商和炼油厂的高管们开会磋商。一位行业领袖表示,特朗普可能会对石油产量过剩发表评论。据其中两位知情人士,特朗普和高管们将讨论对石油行业的潜在援助,包括对从沙特阿拉伯进口到美国的石油征收关税,以及放弃一项要求使用美国船只在美国各港口之间运输包括石油在内货物的法律——《琼斯法》。</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>油市“大乌龙”!特朗普减产“谎言”被戳穿</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n油市“大乌龙”!特朗普减产“谎言”被戳穿\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-04-03 09:13 北京时间 <a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58535><strong>金十数据 </strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京时间周五(4月3日)上午06:40左右,美国总统特朗普再次表示,沙特和俄罗斯或将减产1000万桶/日以上,希望俄罗斯和沙特达成协议并很快宣布,“俄罗斯和沙特两者都想达成协议”,而他希望它们很快宣布达成至多减产1500万桶/日的协议。但油价没有出现昨晚的惊人反应,WTI原油反而短线小幅走低。截止09:30,据路透报价,布伦特原油期货跌破29美元/桶,日内跌逾3%。特朗普的讲话已经引发市场的怀疑。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58535\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/720d5354cfa93d5aeab189c8c11fca6b","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58535","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125944572","content_text":"北京时间周五(4月3日)上午06:40左右,美国总统特朗普再次表示,沙特和俄罗斯或将减产1000万桶/日以上,希望俄罗斯和沙特达成协议并很快宣布,“俄罗斯和沙特两者都想达成协议”,而他希望它们很快宣布达成至多减产1500万桶/日的协议。但油价没有出现昨晚的惊人反应,WTI原油反而短线小幅走低。截止09:30,据路透报价,布伦特原油期货跌破29美元/桶,日内跌逾3%。特朗普的讲话已经引发市场的怀疑。特朗普被指“夸大其词”特朗普周四与沙特王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼(MBS)通电话后表示,他预计沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯将削减石油产量约1000万桶,原油价格应声暴涨。但后来特朗普的说法引起了市场的质疑,各方认为特朗普称减产1000万桶-1500万桶的话明显“夸大其词”,而且他没有具体说明其所指的是不是日减产量。如果按照特朗普的说法每天减产1000万桶石油,相当于要俄罗斯和沙特削减将近45%的产量,这将是史无前例的。市场对此也深表怀疑。Rystad Energy石油市场负责人Bjornar Tonhaugen 称:“沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯不会单枪匹马砍掉其国家石油产量的一半(500万桶/日),但我们相信各方将同意继续讨论和监督市场情况。”一位了解特朗普政府与沙特谈话内容的人士透露,政府内部对于特朗普的说法也有不少困惑,“他说的数字可能并不可靠”。据悉特朗普政府对油价问题有不同意见,总统说他乐于看到汽油价格走低,但国务卿蓬佩奥和其他人却敦促沙特削减产量,这种分歧削弱了美国政府在油价问题上的影响力。白宫拒绝对此事置评。不过,特朗普的确没说已达成减产协议。油价因此上演疯狂“过山车”走势,布油一度暴涨近50%,随后大幅回落。原油市场“乌龙”时间线:谁在撒谎?以下时间为北京时间:•周四22:20左右,沙特通讯社称沙特王储与美国总统特朗普就油市问题进行了电话通话,原油开始暴涨。•周四22:32,特朗普表示,刚刚与我的朋友沙特阿拉伯王储MBS交谈过,王储已与俄罗斯总统普京谈过,我期待并希望他们将削减大约1000万桶产量,甚至更多,如果真的如此,这将对石油和天然气行业大有裨益!随后他又补充写道:减产规模最高可达1500万桶,对每个人来说都是个好消息!•周四22:38,布伦特原油期货涨幅快速扩大至46%,突破36美元/桶。•周四22:42左右,克里姆林宫发言人佩斯科夫表示,普京尚未与沙特王储通电话。•周四23:30左右,国际油价大幅回落,布伦特原油期货涨幅收窄至14%,跌破30美元/桶。•周四23:38左右,欧佩克代表表示,俄罗斯和沙特尚未就任何减产规模达成协议,但已经呼吁产油国开展会议以“最终达成”同意减产的目的,沙特希望非OPEC+的产油国也能加入会议。•周五00:58左右,美国政府高级官员表示,美国不知道沙特和俄罗斯削减石油供应计划的细节。•周五01:30左右,沙特官员表示,特朗普关于减产1000万桶/日及以上幅度的言论是夸张的说法。•周五01:30左右,俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克表示,与其削减供应,俄罗斯更愿意等待需求回归,“我们希望全球需求将在几个月内回归”。俄罗斯还表示,2020年的预算计划是基于20美元/桶的油价。•周五01:50左右,沙特官员表示,当前最好的场景是减产600万桶/日,不确定特朗普是如何得到此前那些数据。•周五02:20左右,美国德州铁路委员会委员Ryan Sitton表示,和俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克讨论了全球减产1000万桶/日,将很快和沙特能源部长通话。•周五02:30,WTI 5月原油期货收涨5.01美元,涨幅24.67%,报25.32美元/桶,创历史最大单日百分比涨幅。布伦特原油上涨17.8%,或4.40美元,收于29.14美元/桶。沙特开出条件,加拿大持开放态度目前比较明确的是,沙特已经表示,如果其他大型石油生产国,包括美国,加拿大、巴西等不属于OPEC+的一些大型石油生产国加入减产,沙特也会准备减产。据道琼斯,若其他产油国加入合作,沙特考虑将石油产量降至900万桶/日以下。此前欧佩克都曾邀请过加拿大和巴西参加会议,但被拒绝。最新消息称,加拿大阿尔伯塔省对潜在的全球减产协议持开放态度。该省省长康尼(Jason Kenney)表示,该省愿意加入任何可能的全球协议以减少原油生产过剩。加拿大是世界第四大石油生产国,每天生产约480万桶石油,其中大部分在阿尔伯塔省。自2019年1月以来,阿尔伯塔省一直限制其石油生产。康尼在采访中说:“我们当然会考虑,但实际上沙特和俄罗斯才是问题所在,而不是加拿大。如果我们看到在全球范围内减少产量的努力,我们将愿意采取进一步的措施。当前的价格环境是不可持续的,并且可能对北美的能源生产造成严重破坏。我希望冷静的头脑占上风。”然而,悲催的是,市场普遍预期,即使各国达成减产协议,仍然不足以抵消需求破坏带来的供过于求。今日原油市场料仍难平静。金十数据昨日报道,按照计划,特朗普定于周五与美国石油生产商和炼油厂的高管们开会磋商。一位行业领袖表示,特朗普可能会对石油产量过剩发表评论。据其中两位知情人士,特朗普和高管们将讨论对石油行业的潜在援助,包括对从沙特阿拉伯进口到美国的石油征收关税,以及放弃一项要求使用美国船只在美国各港口之间运输包括石油在内货物的法律——《琼斯法》。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":920152732,"gmtCreate":1584965844726,"gmtModify":1704356296289,"author":{"id":"3546335143570944","authorId":"3546335143570944","name":"银河系第一帅哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb5a10103732405627bfbc181f8661e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546335143570944","idStr":"3546335143570944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连(ESmain)$</a>暴涨暴跌是熊市的特点,为什么熊市会暴涨,是因为空头要止盈平仓。试想一下,如果做多,1元的资产涨到2元,止盈之后赚1元,手头有2元,但是之后要花2元再买入,手中筹码不变。但是做空,1元跌到0.5元,止盈赚0.5元,手头有1.5元,之后继续做空每份只需花0.5元,手中筹码就变成3份。因此空头止盈可以增加手中筹码。然而空头不傻,如果平仓太慢,韭菜就会跟风,资产价格上涨,甚至让韭菜得利,增大平仓成本。所以空头会集中在短时间内平仓,让韭菜反应不及。但也会快速拉高资产价格。但比起慢平仓,成本还是低。那么熊市暴涨有哪些特征呢?首先,会出现一柱擎天式的暴涨,这是因为空头为了快速止盈,不惜通过市价单的方式平仓,快速吃掉卖单。限价单买入时,设定价格比当前价格低,因此即使上涨,也是波动式上涨。而一柱擎天明显就是通过市价买入。一个理智清醒的人在什么情况下要这么做呢?大家想一想就知道了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连(ESmain)$</a>暴涨暴跌是熊市的特点,为什么熊市会暴涨,是因为空头要止盈平仓。试想一下,如果做多,1元的资产涨到2元,止盈之后赚1元,手头有2元,但是之后要花2元再买入,手中筹码不变。但是做空,1元跌到0.5元,止盈赚0.5元,手头有1.5元,之后继续做空每份只需花0.5元,手中筹码就变成3份。因此空头止盈可以增加手中筹码。然而空头不傻,如果平仓太慢,韭菜就会跟风,资产价格上涨,甚至让韭菜得利,增大平仓成本。所以空头会集中在短时间内平仓,让韭菜反应不及。但也会快速拉高资产价格。但比起慢平仓,成本还是低。那么熊市暴涨有哪些特征呢?首先,会出现一柱擎天式的暴涨,这是因为空头为了快速止盈,不惜通过市价单的方式平仓,快速吃掉卖单。限价单买入时,设定价格比当前价格低,因此即使上涨,也是波动式上涨。而一柱擎天明显就是通过市价买入。一个理智清醒的人在什么情况下要这么做呢?大家想一想就知道了","text":"$SP500指数主连(ESmain)$暴涨暴跌是熊市的特点,为什么熊市会暴涨,是因为空头要止盈平仓。试想一下,如果做多,1元的资产涨到2元,止盈之后赚1元,手头有2元,但是之后要花2元再买入,手中筹码不变。但是做空,1元跌到0.5元,止盈赚0.5元,手头有1.5元,之后继续做空每份只需花0.5元,手中筹码就变成3份。因此空头止盈可以增加手中筹码。然而空头不傻,如果平仓太慢,韭菜就会跟风,资产价格上涨,甚至让韭菜得利,增大平仓成本。所以空头会集中在短时间内平仓,让韭菜反应不及。但也会快速拉高资产价格。但比起慢平仓,成本还是低。那么熊市暴涨有哪些特征呢?首先,会出现一柱擎天式的暴涨,这是因为空头为了快速止盈,不惜通过市价单的方式平仓,快速吃掉卖单。限价单买入时,设定价格比当前价格低,因此即使上涨,也是波动式上涨。而一柱擎天明显就是通过市价买入。一个理智清醒的人在什么情况下要这么做呢?大家想一想就知道了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/920152732","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3480912889050798","authorId":"3480912889050798","name":"随便咯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3480912889050798","idStr":"3480912889050798"},"content":"不对啊,空头手上握那样多股票,万一下跌,它法币损失很大啊","text":"不对啊,空头手上握那样多股票,万一下跌,它法币损失很大啊","html":"不对啊,空头手上握那样多股票,万一下跌,它法币损失很大啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967337945,"gmtCreate":1584537154687,"gmtModify":1704354716699,"author":{"id":"3546335143570944","authorId":"3546335143570944","name":"银河系第一帅哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb5a10103732405627bfbc181f8661e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546335143570944","idStr":"3546335143570944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$</a>现在美股走势真的特别像2015年的A股。看来不是体制的问题,涨得越高,跌得越惨。15年A股翻了一倍然后跌成狗了。现在美股在川建国上台后也翻了一倍。","text":"$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$现在美股走势真的特别像2015年的A股。看来不是体制的问题,涨得越高,跌得越惨。15年A股翻了一倍然后跌成狗了。现在美股在川建国上台后也翻了一倍。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/965674796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":965819900,"gmtCreate":1583946935800,"gmtModify":1704351739613,"author":{"id":"3546335143570944","authorId":"3546335143570944","name":"银河系第一帅哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb5a10103732405627bfbc181f8661e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546335143570944","idStr":"3546335143570944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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influenza)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/965819900","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":965834988,"gmtCreate":1583946361144,"gmtModify":1704351734142,"author":{"id":"3546335143570944","authorId":"3546335143570944","name":"银河系第一帅哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb5a10103732405627bfbc181f8661e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546335143570944","idStr":"3546335143570944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>在模拟盘上过过瘾","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连(SImain)$</a>哪个国家货币贬值去哪个国家旅游就很划算。白银下跌适合穿越游。大清一两银子37.3克,按照现在白银这个价格换算是110元。想穿越的现在赶紧换白银","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连(SImain)$</a>哪个国家货币贬值去哪个国家旅游就很划算。白银下跌适合穿越游。大清一两银子37.3克,按照现在白银这个价格换算是110元。想穿越的现在赶紧换白银","text":"$白银主连(SImain)$哪个国家货币贬值去哪个国家旅游就很划算。白银下跌适合穿越游。大清一两银子37.3克,按照现在白银这个价格换算是110元。想穿越的现在赶紧换白银","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967339717","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":965819900,"gmtCreate":1583946935800,"gmtModify":1704351739613,"author":{"id":"3546335143570944","authorId":"3546335143570944","name":"银河系第一帅哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb5a10103732405627bfbc181f8661e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546335143570944","idStr":"3546335143570944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>世界卫生组织宣布,新型冠状病毒爆发是世界大流行(pandemic)病。只有看到英文原文才知道恐怖。注意,流行病在英语里是epidemic。而pandemic上次使用是一个世纪前的西班牙大流感(pandemic influenza)","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>世界卫生组织宣布,新型冠状病毒爆发是世界大流行(pandemic)病。只有看到英文原文才知道恐怖。注意,流行病在英语里是epidemic。而pandemic上次使用是一个世纪前的西班牙大流感(pandemic influenza)","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$世界卫生组织宣布,新型冠状病毒爆发是世界大流行(pandemic)病。只有看到英文原文才知道恐怖。注意,流行病在英语里是epidemic。而pandemic上次使用是一个世纪前的西班牙大流感(pandemic influenza)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/965819900","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":959727298,"gmtCreate":1590035244514,"gmtModify":1704191566556,"author":{"id":"3546335143570944","authorId":"3546335143570944","name":"银河系第一帅哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb5a10103732405627bfbc181f8661e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546335143570944","idStr":"3546335143570944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"大多数人是不炒股的,但是瑞幸低价却能使这些人受益。从利益角度来看叫好没问题。","listText":"大多数人是不炒股的,但是瑞幸低价却能使这些人受益。从利益角度来看叫好没问题。","text":"大多数人是不炒股的,但是瑞幸低价却能使这些人受益。从利益角度来看叫好没问题。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/959727298","repostId":"959795407","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":959795407,"gmtCreate":1590002321709,"gmtModify":1704191491997,"author":{"id":"3546595488179311","authorId":"3546595488179311","name":"教子教孙别玩A股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb68c22e82b41f8e49977f6491e890fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546595488179311","idStr":"3546595488179311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$</a>国人还有把瑞幸咖啡当成民族英雄的,不知道那是一些什么人,一个把中概股害惨拖下水的垃圾,还有人支持它?丢人丢到国际了,损害的是全中国人的诚信!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$</a>国人还有把瑞幸咖啡当成民族英雄的,不知道那是一些什么人,一个把中概股害惨拖下水的垃圾,还有人支持它?丢人丢到国际了,损害的是全中国人的诚信!","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$国人还有把瑞幸咖啡当成民族英雄的,不知道那是一些什么人,一个把中概股害惨拖下水的垃圾,还有人支持它?丢人丢到国际了,损害的是全中国人的诚信!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/959795407","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":923559424,"gmtCreate":1585890015168,"gmtModify":1704359562247,"author":{"id":"3546335143570944","authorId":"3546335143570944","name":"银河系第一帅哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb5a10103732405627bfbc181f8661e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546335143570944","idStr":"3546335143570944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"川建国让美联储先建好多仓,然后通过言论操纵市场,这样美联储就有更多救市的钱","listText":"川建国让美联储先建好多仓,然后通过言论操纵市场,这样美联储就有更多救市的钱","text":"川建国让美联储先建好多仓,然后通过言论操纵市场,这样美联储就有更多救市的钱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/923559424","repostId":"1125944572","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125944572","pubTimestamp":1585876435,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125944572?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-04-03 09:13","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"油市“大乌龙”!特朗普减产“谎言”被戳穿","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125944572","media":"金十数据 ","summary":"北京时间周五(4月3日)上午06:40左右,美国总统特朗普再次表示,沙特和俄罗斯或将减产1000万桶/日以上,希望俄罗斯和沙特达成协议并很快宣布,“俄罗斯和沙特两者都想达成协议”,而他希望它们很快宣布","content":"<p>北京时间周五(4月3日)上午06:40左右,<b><span>美国总统特朗普再次表示,沙特和俄罗斯或将减产1000万桶/日以上,希望俄罗斯和沙特达成协议并很快宣布,“俄罗斯和沙特两者都想达成协议”,而他希望它们很快宣布达成至多减产1500万桶/日的协议。</span></b></p><p>但油价没有出现昨晚的惊人反应,WTI原油反而短线小幅走低。截止09:30,据路透报价,布伦特原油期货跌破29美元/桶,日内跌逾3%。特朗普的讲话已经引发市场的怀疑。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d78fa6fecae9b06d356f9721cc8772cd\" /></p><p><b><span>特朗普被指“夸大其词”</span></b></p><p>特朗普周四与沙特王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼(MBS)通电话后表示,他预计沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯将削减石油产量约1000万桶,原油价格应声暴涨。但后来特朗普的说法引起了市场的质疑,各方认为特朗普称减产1000万桶-1500万桶的话明显“夸大其词”,而且他没有具体说明其所指的是不是日减产量。</p><p>如果按照特朗普的说法每天减产1000万桶石油,相当于要俄罗斯和沙特削减将近45%的产量,这将是史无前例的。市场对此也深表怀疑。Rystad Energy石油市场负责人Bjornar Tonhaugen 称:</p><blockquote>“沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯不会单枪匹马砍掉其国家石油产量的一半(500万桶/日),但我们相信各方将同意继续讨论和监督市场情况。”</blockquote><p>一位了解特朗普政府与沙特谈话内容的人士透露,政府内部对于特朗普的说法也有不少困惑,“他说的数字可能并不可靠”。据悉特朗普政府对油价问题有不同意见,总统说他乐于看到汽油价格走低,但国务卿蓬佩奥和其他人却敦促沙特削减产量,这种分歧削弱了美国政府在油价问题上的影响力。白宫拒绝对此事置评。</p><p>不过,特朗普的确没说已达成减产协议。油价因此上演疯狂“过山车”走势,布油一度暴涨近50%,随后大幅回落。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/582f3e0f6beb00ecc2acb1aded344020\" /></p><p><b><span>原油市场“乌龙”时间线:谁在撒谎?</span></b></p><p>以下时间为北京时间:</p><blockquote>•周四22:20左右,沙特通讯社称沙特王储与美国总统特朗普就油市问题进行了电话通话,原油开始暴涨。</blockquote><blockquote>•周四22:32,特朗普表示,刚刚与我的朋友沙特阿拉伯王储MBS交谈过,王储已与俄罗斯总统普京谈过,我期待并希望他们将削减大约1000万桶产量,甚至更多,如果真的如此,这将对石油和天然气行业大有裨益!随后他又补充写道:减产规模最高可达1500万桶,对每个人来说都是个好消息!</blockquote><blockquote>•周四22:38,布伦特原油期货涨幅快速扩大至46%,突破36美元/桶。</blockquote><blockquote>•周四22:42左右,克里姆林宫发言人佩斯科夫表示,普京尚未与沙特王储通电话。</blockquote><blockquote>•周四23:30左右,国际油价大幅回落,布伦特原油期货涨幅收窄至14%,跌破30美元/桶。</blockquote><blockquote>•周四23:38左右,欧佩克代表表示,俄罗斯和沙特尚未就任何减产规模达成协议,但已经呼吁产油国开展会议以“最终达成”同意减产的目的,沙特希望非OPEC+的产油国也能加入会议。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五00:58左右,美国政府高级官员表示,美国不知道沙特和俄罗斯削减石油供应计划的细节。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五01:30左右,沙特官员表示,特朗普关于减产1000万桶/日及以上幅度的言论是夸张的说法。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五01:30左右,俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克表示,与其削减供应,俄罗斯更愿意等待需求回归,“我们希望全球需求将在几个月内回归”。俄罗斯还表示,2020年的预算计划是基于20美元/桶的油价。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五01:50左右,沙特官员表示,当前最好的场景是减产600万桶/日,不确定特朗普是如何得到此前那些数据。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五02:20左右,美国德州铁路委员会委员Ryan Sitton表示,和俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克讨论了全球减产1000万桶/日,将很快和沙特能源部长通话。</blockquote><blockquote>•周五02:30,WTI 5月原油期货收涨5.01美元,涨幅24.67%,报25.32美元/桶,创历史最大单日百分比涨幅。布伦特原油上涨17.8%,或4.40美元,收于29.14美元/桶。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/319d26def0d62dcaf50b4e01f746163d\" /></p><p><b><span>沙特开出条件,加拿大持开放态度</span></b></p><p>目前比较明确的是,<b><span>沙特已经表示,如果其他大型石油生产国,包括美国,加拿大、巴西等不属于OPEC+的一些大型石油生产国加入减产,沙特也会准备减产。据道琼斯,若其他产油国加入合作,沙特考虑将石油产量降至900万桶/日以下。</span></b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c75a2895f5f0d8c11fb88a89070c0c15\" /></p><p>此前欧佩克都曾邀请过加拿大和巴西参加会议,但被拒绝。最新消息称,<b><span>加拿大阿尔伯塔省对潜在的全球减产协议持开放态度。</span></b>该省省长康尼(Jason Kenney)表示,该省愿意加入任何可能的全球协议以减少原油生产过剩。加拿大是世界第四大石油生产国,每天生产约480万桶石油,其中大部分在阿尔伯塔省。自2019年1月以来,阿尔伯塔省一直限制其石油生产。康尼在采访中说:</p><blockquote>“我们当然会考虑,但实际上沙特和俄罗斯才是问题所在,而不是加拿大。如果我们看到在全球范围内减少产量的努力,我们将愿意采取进一步的措施。当前的价格环境是不可持续的,并且可能对北美的能源生产造成严重破坏。我希望冷静的头脑占上风。”</blockquote><p>然而,悲催的是,市场普遍预期,即使各国达成减产协议,仍然不足以抵消需求破坏带来的供过于求。</p><p><b>今日原油市场料仍难平静。</b>金十数据昨日报道,按照计划,特朗普定于周五与美国石油生产商和炼油厂的高管们开会磋商。一位行业领袖表示,特朗普可能会对石油产量过剩发表评论。据其中两位知情人士,特朗普和高管们将讨论对石油行业的潜在援助,包括对从沙特阿拉伯进口到美国的石油征收关税,以及放弃一项要求使用美国船只在美国各港口之间运输包括石油在内货物的法律——《琼斯法》。</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>油市“大乌龙”!特朗普减产“谎言”被戳穿</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n油市“大乌龙”!特朗普减产“谎言”被戳穿\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-04-03 09:13 北京时间 <a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58535><strong>金十数据 </strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京时间周五(4月3日)上午06:40左右,美国总统特朗普再次表示,沙特和俄罗斯或将减产1000万桶/日以上,希望俄罗斯和沙特达成协议并很快宣布,“俄罗斯和沙特两者都想达成协议”,而他希望它们很快宣布达成至多减产1500万桶/日的协议。但油价没有出现昨晚的惊人反应,WTI原油反而短线小幅走低。截止09:30,据路透报价,布伦特原油期货跌破29美元/桶,日内跌逾3%。特朗普的讲话已经引发市场的怀疑。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58535\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/720d5354cfa93d5aeab189c8c11fca6b","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58535","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125944572","content_text":"北京时间周五(4月3日)上午06:40左右,美国总统特朗普再次表示,沙特和俄罗斯或将减产1000万桶/日以上,希望俄罗斯和沙特达成协议并很快宣布,“俄罗斯和沙特两者都想达成协议”,而他希望它们很快宣布达成至多减产1500万桶/日的协议。但油价没有出现昨晚的惊人反应,WTI原油反而短线小幅走低。截止09:30,据路透报价,布伦特原油期货跌破29美元/桶,日内跌逾3%。特朗普的讲话已经引发市场的怀疑。特朗普被指“夸大其词”特朗普周四与沙特王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼(MBS)通电话后表示,他预计沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯将削减石油产量约1000万桶,原油价格应声暴涨。但后来特朗普的说法引起了市场的质疑,各方认为特朗普称减产1000万桶-1500万桶的话明显“夸大其词”,而且他没有具体说明其所指的是不是日减产量。如果按照特朗普的说法每天减产1000万桶石油,相当于要俄罗斯和沙特削减将近45%的产量,这将是史无前例的。市场对此也深表怀疑。Rystad Energy石油市场负责人Bjornar Tonhaugen 称:“沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯不会单枪匹马砍掉其国家石油产量的一半(500万桶/日),但我们相信各方将同意继续讨论和监督市场情况。”一位了解特朗普政府与沙特谈话内容的人士透露,政府内部对于特朗普的说法也有不少困惑,“他说的数字可能并不可靠”。据悉特朗普政府对油价问题有不同意见,总统说他乐于看到汽油价格走低,但国务卿蓬佩奥和其他人却敦促沙特削减产量,这种分歧削弱了美国政府在油价问题上的影响力。白宫拒绝对此事置评。不过,特朗普的确没说已达成减产协议。油价因此上演疯狂“过山车”走势,布油一度暴涨近50%,随后大幅回落。原油市场“乌龙”时间线:谁在撒谎?以下时间为北京时间:•周四22:20左右,沙特通讯社称沙特王储与美国总统特朗普就油市问题进行了电话通话,原油开始暴涨。•周四22:32,特朗普表示,刚刚与我的朋友沙特阿拉伯王储MBS交谈过,王储已与俄罗斯总统普京谈过,我期待并希望他们将削减大约1000万桶产量,甚至更多,如果真的如此,这将对石油和天然气行业大有裨益!随后他又补充写道:减产规模最高可达1500万桶,对每个人来说都是个好消息!•周四22:38,布伦特原油期货涨幅快速扩大至46%,突破36美元/桶。•周四22:42左右,克里姆林宫发言人佩斯科夫表示,普京尚未与沙特王储通电话。•周四23:30左右,国际油价大幅回落,布伦特原油期货涨幅收窄至14%,跌破30美元/桶。•周四23:38左右,欧佩克代表表示,俄罗斯和沙特尚未就任何减产规模达成协议,但已经呼吁产油国开展会议以“最终达成”同意减产的目的,沙特希望非OPEC+的产油国也能加入会议。•周五00:58左右,美国政府高级官员表示,美国不知道沙特和俄罗斯削减石油供应计划的细节。•周五01:30左右,沙特官员表示,特朗普关于减产1000万桶/日及以上幅度的言论是夸张的说法。•周五01:30左右,俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克表示,与其削减供应,俄罗斯更愿意等待需求回归,“我们希望全球需求将在几个月内回归”。俄罗斯还表示,2020年的预算计划是基于20美元/桶的油价。•周五01:50左右,沙特官员表示,当前最好的场景是减产600万桶/日,不确定特朗普是如何得到此前那些数据。•周五02:20左右,美国德州铁路委员会委员Ryan Sitton表示,和俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克讨论了全球减产1000万桶/日,将很快和沙特能源部长通话。•周五02:30,WTI 5月原油期货收涨5.01美元,涨幅24.67%,报25.32美元/桶,创历史最大单日百分比涨幅。布伦特原油上涨17.8%,或4.40美元,收于29.14美元/桶。沙特开出条件,加拿大持开放态度目前比较明确的是,沙特已经表示,如果其他大型石油生产国,包括美国,加拿大、巴西等不属于OPEC+的一些大型石油生产国加入减产,沙特也会准备减产。据道琼斯,若其他产油国加入合作,沙特考虑将石油产量降至900万桶/日以下。此前欧佩克都曾邀请过加拿大和巴西参加会议,但被拒绝。最新消息称,加拿大阿尔伯塔省对潜在的全球减产协议持开放态度。该省省长康尼(Jason Kenney)表示,该省愿意加入任何可能的全球协议以减少原油生产过剩。加拿大是世界第四大石油生产国,每天生产约480万桶石油,其中大部分在阿尔伯塔省。自2019年1月以来,阿尔伯塔省一直限制其石油生产。康尼在采访中说:“我们当然会考虑,但实际上沙特和俄罗斯才是问题所在,而不是加拿大。如果我们看到在全球范围内减少产量的努力,我们将愿意采取进一步的措施。当前的价格环境是不可持续的,并且可能对北美的能源生产造成严重破坏。我希望冷静的头脑占上风。”然而,悲催的是,市场普遍预期,即使各国达成减产协议,仍然不足以抵消需求破坏带来的供过于求。今日原油市场料仍难平静。金十数据昨日报道,按照计划,特朗普定于周五与美国石油生产商和炼油厂的高管们开会磋商。一位行业领袖表示,特朗普可能会对石油产量过剩发表评论。据其中两位知情人士,特朗普和高管们将讨论对石油行业的潜在援助,包括对从沙特阿拉伯进口到美国的石油征收关税,以及放弃一项要求使用美国船只在美国各港口之间运输包括石油在内货物的法律——《琼斯法》。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967337945,"gmtCreate":1584537154687,"gmtModify":1704354716699,"author":{"id":"3546335143570944","authorId":"3546335143570944","name":"银河系第一帅哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb5a10103732405627bfbc181f8661e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546335143570944","idStr":"3546335143570944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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