炒股敢死队的个人主页 - 老虎社区

炒股敢死队

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炒股敢死队

2020-12-21

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$牛逼，又开始了

炒股敢死队

2020-12-08

$大豆主连(ZSmain)$ 抓了个大顶

炒股敢死队

2020-11-29

$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 明天继续涨，你们懂的

炒股敢死队

2020-11-24

$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 全部看空原油被暴打

炒股敢死队

2020-11-24

$大豆主连(ZSmain)$ 快下来

炒股敢死队

2020-11-19

$大豆主连(ZSmain)$ 见顶了

炒股敢死队

2020-10-30

$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$ A股这些人太牛逼了，完全没有主见

炒股敢死队

2020-10-26

$道琼斯(.DJI)$别跌了，你一跌，A股哪些家伙全要跑。

炒股敢死队

2020-10-22

$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$来怀恋一下

炒股敢死队

2020-07-24

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ 这个时候就是看谁更坚挺，加油

炒股敢死队

2020-07-10

$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 磨你妹，磨磨磨

炒股敢死队

2020-07-06

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ 牛来了？

炒股敢死队

2020-06-26

$美国航空(AAL)$散户被洗完了，进点底仓了

炒股敢死队

2020-06-22

你信他的

抱歉，原内容已删除

炒股敢死队

2020-06-11

差不多了，收割了

抱歉，原内容已删除

炒股敢死队

2020-06-02

又不是没发生过，真的严重早就拿枪干了

美国乱成一锅粥，股市为啥还在涨？

炒股敢死队

2020-06-01

$雷神(RTN)$咋个停牌了，大家知道为什么吗？

炒股敢死队

2020-05-14

$皇家加勒比邮轮(RCL)$暴涨爆跌，不可怕，可怕是阴跌，不把你们洗出来怎么会拉。

炒股敢死队

2020-05-02

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$从技术上来说，如果没站稳，会二次探底了。

炒股敢死队

2020-04-30

$白银主连(SImain)$涨起来

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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16:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国乱成一锅粥，股市为啥还在涨？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178958338","media":"巴伦周刊","summary":"华尔街在看待股价时过滤掉了大部分新闻，股市更关注的是上市公司未来的盈利情况。\n5月25日美国阵亡将士纪念日当天，明尼苏达州非裔男子乔治·弗洛伊德(George Floyd)因涉嫌使用假币被警察逮捕，警","content":"<p><span>华尔街在看待股价时过滤掉了大部分新闻，股市更关注的是上市公司未来的盈利情况。</span></p>\n<p><span>5月25日美国阵亡将士纪念日当天，明尼苏达州非裔男子乔治·弗洛伊德(George Floyd)因涉嫌使用假币被警察逮捕，警察在此期间的暴力执法行为导致弗洛伊德不幸窒息身亡，之后美国多个城市爆发反对种族歧视的示威活动。</span></p>\n<p><span>在接下来的几天里，示威活动愈演愈烈，美国多地出现暴乱。美国总统特朗普上周末称，他正在派遣“上千名全副武装的士兵、军事人员和执法人员来阻止骚乱、抢劫、破坏、袭击和肆意破坏财产的行为。”特朗普在白宫玫瑰园发表讲话还表示，华盛顿将从傍晚7点开始实施宵禁。特朗普周一（6月1日）和几个州的州长进行了视频通话，他呼吁各州加大力度平息暴乱。据CBS News报道，特朗普说：“你们必须获得控制权，如果无法控制局面你们就是在浪费时间。”据美联社报道，特朗普对州长们说：“你们大多数人都太软弱，必须逮捕暴徒。”</span></p>\n<p><span>在美国国内乱成一锅粥之际，美国股市的反应却很平淡。6月1日，道指收盘上涨0.36%，收于25475.02点；标普500指数上涨0.38%，收于3055.73点；纳指上涨0.66点，收于9552.05点。这是为什么？</span></p>\n<p>股市与社会动荡“脱节”现象很常见</p>\n<p><span>其实从历史上来看，美国股市对社会动荡“无动于衷”这种现象并不少见。以1963年肯尼迪(JFK)总统遇刺、1965年阿拉巴马州塞尔玛（Selma）的民权游行、1967年华盛顿发生的大规模反越战示威(Vietnam)、1968年马丁-路德·金（Dr. King）遇刺和1992年因殴打非裔男子罗德尼·金(Rodney King)而被捕的白人警察最终被无罪释放引发的洛杉矶暴乱为例，在上述任何事件发生后的几个月里，美国股市的波动性都没有明显上升。实际上，</span><span><b>标普500指数在这些事件发生的当年都累计上涨，不包括股息的年涨幅在4%到20%之间。</b></span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4826ce8f07dbea9755aa44e8470950d1\" tg-width=\"338\" tg-height=\"421\"></p>\n<p><span>投资研究公司New Constructs首席执行官大卫·特雷纳(David Trainer)周一在研报中写道：“社会动荡对股市的长期影响其实很小”。</span></p>\n<p><span>金融服务公司Edward Jones的内拉·理查森(Nela Richardson)称，股市一直更关注美联储和联邦政府为经济提供的前所未见的支持措施的效果，“而不是美国目前面临的短期挑战，无论是经济方面的挑战（例如二季度GDP下滑）还是政治方面的挑战（例如大选年美国国内的两极分化）。”</span></p>\n<p><span>从一个方面来说，股市缺乏反应的现象并不令人意外：</span><span><b>华尔街在看待股价时过滤掉了大部分新闻，股市更关注的是上市公司未来的盈利情况。</b></span></p>\n<p><span>此外，一些人认为疫情给经济造成的最严重打击已经结束，5月份美国消费者信心的反弹就反映了这一点。世界大企业联合会公布的数据显示，5月份消费者信心指数从4月份修正后的85.7上升至86.6。</span></p>\n<p><span>虽然数据升幅不大，没有达到一些经济学家的预期，但消费者信心反弹似乎标志着经济重启的第一个里程碑，给人们带来了一些希望，让人们认为消费者支出的回升速度要比之前担心的快一些，有利于推动美国经济复苏。</span></p>\n<p><span><b>股市或难以进一步上涨</b></span></p>\n<p><span>但美国的疫情形势依然严峻，在美国重启经济之后就已经出现了新增感染病例。</span><span><b>一些分析师认为，此次暴乱可能会导致疫情再次升级，进而破坏美国为重启经济所做的努力，并可能导致更多人失业，进一步加剧社会矛盾。</b></span></p>\n<p><span>加皇银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管卡尔·瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)周一称，一些人担心“大规模集会可能引发疫情二次暴发，如果出现这样的情况，经济重启将暂停。”</span></p>\n<p><span>尽管最近几周股市没有受到表现糟糕的失业数据太大影响，但理查森表示应关注本周四公布的最新首次申请失业救济人数。她说：“如果有迹象显示暂时失业现象开始变成长期失业的话，那么股市可能会受到影响。”</span></p>\n<p><span>Fundstrat执行合伙人托马斯·李(Thomas Lee)在周一发电子邮件中说：“全国范围内的抗议活动实际上等于取消了居家隔离令”，</span><span><b>感染率可能上升是一个新的风险因素，就算股市目前仍在上涨，这也是投资者应该考虑到的一个风险。</b></span></p>\n<p><span>Avatrade首席市场分析师纳伊姆·阿斯拉姆(Naeem Aslam)在周一发布的研报中说：“我们认为持续不断的抗议和骚乱确实对美国金融市场构成了威胁，因为这会削弱本已疲弱的投资者信心。”</span></p>\n<p><span>奥本海默(Oppenheimer)首席投资策略师约翰·斯托尔茨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLS\">福斯</a>(John Stoltzfus)说：“投资者需要权衡上述所有因素，以及未来公布的经济数据，来判断股市下一步将走向何方。此外，投资者还要关注接下的大选动态。”</span></p>\n<p><span>在美国总统大选临近之际，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>证券(UBS Securities)日本地区首席投资官青木(Daiju Aoki)指出：“疫情和暴乱导致特朗普的支持率下降，拜登赢得美国总统大选的可能性越来越大，但是围绕这一点以及拜登将选择谁担任副总统还存在诸多不确定性。就算拜登获胜，美国和中国之间的技术之争也可能影响股市。虽然</span><span><b>我们认为美国股市或许从目前水平进一步走高变得越来越困难，</b></span><span>但与此同时，我们也预计股市不会出现大幅下跌，标普500指数未来可能会呈现区间波动。”</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国乱成一锅粥，股市为啥还在涨？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国乱成一锅粥，股市为啥还在涨？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1063202233\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd0fd02e1b0644cdbe57505e702dacab);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">巴伦周刊 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-06-02 16:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><span>华尔街在看待股价时过滤掉了大部分新闻，股市更关注的是上市公司未来的盈利情况。</span></p>\n<p><span>5月25日美国阵亡将士纪念日当天，明尼苏达州非裔男子乔治·弗洛伊德(George Floyd)因涉嫌使用假币被警察逮捕，警察在此期间的暴力执法行为导致弗洛伊德不幸窒息身亡，之后美国多个城市爆发反对种族歧视的示威活动。</span></p>\n<p><span>在接下来的几天里，示威活动愈演愈烈，美国多地出现暴乱。美国总统特朗普上周末称，他正在派遣“上千名全副武装的士兵、军事人员和执法人员来阻止骚乱、抢劫、破坏、袭击和肆意破坏财产的行为。”特朗普在白宫玫瑰园发表讲话还表示，华盛顿将从傍晚7点开始实施宵禁。特朗普周一（6月1日）和几个州的州长进行了视频通话，他呼吁各州加大力度平息暴乱。据CBS News报道，特朗普说：“你们必须获得控制权，如果无法控制局面你们就是在浪费时间。”据美联社报道，特朗普对州长们说：“你们大多数人都太软弱，必须逮捕暴徒。”</span></p>\n<p><span>在美国国内乱成一锅粥之际，美国股市的反应却很平淡。6月1日，道指收盘上涨0.36%，收于25475.02点；标普500指数上涨0.38%，收于3055.73点；纳指上涨0.66点，收于9552.05点。这是为什么？</span></p>\n<p>股市与社会动荡“脱节”现象很常见</p>\n<p><span>其实从历史上来看，美国股市对社会动荡“无动于衷”这种现象并不少见。以1963年肯尼迪(JFK)总统遇刺、1965年阿拉巴马州塞尔玛（Selma）的民权游行、1967年华盛顿发生的大规模反越战示威(Vietnam)、1968年马丁-路德·金（Dr. King）遇刺和1992年因殴打非裔男子罗德尼·金(Rodney King)而被捕的白人警察最终被无罪释放引发的洛杉矶暴乱为例，在上述任何事件发生后的几个月里，美国股市的波动性都没有明显上升。实际上，</span><span><b>标普500指数在这些事件发生的当年都累计上涨，不包括股息的年涨幅在4%到20%之间。</b></span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4826ce8f07dbea9755aa44e8470950d1\" tg-width=\"338\" tg-height=\"421\"></p>\n<p><span>投资研究公司New Constructs首席执行官大卫·特雷纳(David Trainer)周一在研报中写道：“社会动荡对股市的长期影响其实很小”。</span></p>\n<p><span>金融服务公司Edward Jones的内拉·理查森(Nela Richardson)称，股市一直更关注美联储和联邦政府为经济提供的前所未见的支持措施的效果，“而不是美国目前面临的短期挑战，无论是经济方面的挑战（例如二季度GDP下滑）还是政治方面的挑战（例如大选年美国国内的两极分化）。”</span></p>\n<p><span>从一个方面来说，股市缺乏反应的现象并不令人意外：</span><span><b>华尔街在看待股价时过滤掉了大部分新闻，股市更关注的是上市公司未来的盈利情况。</b></span></p>\n<p><span>此外，一些人认为疫情给经济造成的最严重打击已经结束，5月份美国消费者信心的反弹就反映了这一点。世界大企业联合会公布的数据显示，5月份消费者信心指数从4月份修正后的85.7上升至86.6。</span></p>\n<p><span>虽然数据升幅不大，没有达到一些经济学家的预期，但消费者信心反弹似乎标志着经济重启的第一个里程碑，给人们带来了一些希望，让人们认为消费者支出的回升速度要比之前担心的快一些，有利于推动美国经济复苏。</span></p>\n<p><span><b>股市或难以进一步上涨</b></span></p>\n<p><span>但美国的疫情形势依然严峻，在美国重启经济之后就已经出现了新增感染病例。</span><span><b>一些分析师认为，此次暴乱可能会导致疫情再次升级，进而破坏美国为重启经济所做的努力，并可能导致更多人失业，进一步加剧社会矛盾。</b></span></p>\n<p><span>加皇银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管卡尔·瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)周一称，一些人担心“大规模集会可能引发疫情二次暴发，如果出现这样的情况，经济重启将暂停。”</span></p>\n<p><span>尽管最近几周股市没有受到表现糟糕的失业数据太大影响，但理查森表示应关注本周四公布的最新首次申请失业救济人数。她说：“如果有迹象显示暂时失业现象开始变成长期失业的话，那么股市可能会受到影响。”</span></p>\n<p><span>Fundstrat执行合伙人托马斯·李(Thomas Lee)在周一发电子邮件中说：“全国范围内的抗议活动实际上等于取消了居家隔离令”，</span><span><b>感染率可能上升是一个新的风险因素，就算股市目前仍在上涨，这也是投资者应该考虑到的一个风险。</b></span></p>\n<p><span>Avatrade首席市场分析师纳伊姆·阿斯拉姆(Naeem Aslam)在周一发布的研报中说：“我们认为持续不断的抗议和骚乱确实对美国金融市场构成了威胁，因为这会削弱本已疲弱的投资者信心。”</span></p>\n<p><span>奥本海默(Oppenheimer)首席投资策略师约翰·斯托尔茨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLS\">福斯</a>(John Stoltzfus)说：“投资者需要权衡上述所有因素，以及未来公布的经济数据，来判断股市下一步将走向何方。此外，投资者还要关注接下的大选动态。”</span></p>\n<p><span>在美国总统大选临近之际，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>证券(UBS Securities)日本地区首席投资官青木(Daiju Aoki)指出：“疫情和暴乱导致特朗普的支持率下降，拜登赢得美国总统大选的可能性越来越大，但是围绕这一点以及拜登将选择谁担任副总统还存在诸多不确定性。就算拜登获胜，美国和中国之间的技术之争也可能影响股市。虽然</span><span><b>我们认为美国股市或许从目前水平进一步走高变得越来越困难，</b></span><span>但与此同时，我们也预计股市不会出现大幅下跌，标普500指数未来可能会呈现区间波动。”</span></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8effccd1ec9cd7dcf99c09781659ff15","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178958338","content_text":"华尔街在看待股价时过滤掉了大部分新闻，股市更关注的是上市公司未来的盈利情况。\n5月25日美国阵亡将士纪念日当天，明尼苏达州非裔男子乔治·弗洛伊德(George Floyd)因涉嫌使用假币被警察逮捕，警察在此期间的暴力执法行为导致弗洛伊德不幸窒息身亡，之后美国多个城市爆发反对种族歧视的示威活动。\n在接下来的几天里，示威活动愈演愈烈，美国多地出现暴乱。美国总统特朗普上周末称，他正在派遣“上千名全副武装的士兵、军事人员和执法人员来阻止骚乱、抢劫、破坏、袭击和肆意破坏财产的行为。”特朗普在白宫玫瑰园发表讲话还表示，华盛顿将从傍晚7点开始实施宵禁。特朗普周一（6月1日）和几个州的州长进行了视频通话，他呼吁各州加大力度平息暴乱。据CBS News报道，特朗普说：“你们必须获得控制权，如果无法控制局面你们就是在浪费时间。”据美联社报道，特朗普对州长们说：“你们大多数人都太软弱，必须逮捕暴徒。”\n在美国国内乱成一锅粥之际，美国股市的反应却很平淡。6月1日，道指收盘上涨0.36%，收于25475.02点；标普500指数上涨0.38%，收于3055.73点；纳指上涨0.66点，收于9552.05点。这是为什么？\n股市与社会动荡“脱节”现象很常见\n其实从历史上来看，美国股市对社会动荡“无动于衷”这种现象并不少见。以1963年肯尼迪(JFK)总统遇刺、1965年阿拉巴马州塞尔玛（Selma）的民权游行、1967年华盛顿发生的大规模反越战示威(Vietnam)、1968年马丁-路德·金（Dr. King）遇刺和1992年因殴打非裔男子罗德尼·金(Rodney King)而被捕的白人警察最终被无罪释放引发的洛杉矶暴乱为例，在上述任何事件发生后的几个月里，美国股市的波动性都没有明显上升。实际上，标普500指数在这些事件发生的当年都累计上涨，不包括股息的年涨幅在4%到20%之间。\n\n投资研究公司New Constructs首席执行官大卫·特雷纳(David Trainer)周一在研报中写道：“社会动荡对股市的长期影响其实很小”。\n金融服务公司Edward Jones的内拉·理查森(Nela Richardson)称，股市一直更关注美联储和联邦政府为经济提供的前所未见的支持措施的效果，“而不是美国目前面临的短期挑战，无论是经济方面的挑战（例如二季度GDP下滑）还是政治方面的挑战（例如大选年美国国内的两极分化）。”\n从一个方面来说，股市缺乏反应的现象并不令人意外：华尔街在看待股价时过滤掉了大部分新闻，股市更关注的是上市公司未来的盈利情况。\n此外，一些人认为疫情给经济造成的最严重打击已经结束，5月份美国消费者信心的反弹就反映了这一点。世界大企业联合会公布的数据显示，5月份消费者信心指数从4月份修正后的85.7上升至86.6。\n虽然数据升幅不大，没有达到一些经济学家的预期，但消费者信心反弹似乎标志着经济重启的第一个里程碑，给人们带来了一些希望，让人们认为消费者支出的回升速度要比之前担心的快一些，有利于推动美国经济复苏。\n股市或难以进一步上涨\n但美国的疫情形势依然严峻，在美国重启经济之后就已经出现了新增感染病例。一些分析师认为，此次暴乱可能会导致疫情再次升级，进而破坏美国为重启经济所做的努力，并可能导致更多人失业，进一步加剧社会矛盾。\n加皇银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管卡尔·瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)周一称，一些人担心“大规模集会可能引发疫情二次暴发，如果出现这样的情况，经济重启将暂停。”\n尽管最近几周股市没有受到表现糟糕的失业数据太大影响，但理查森表示应关注本周四公布的最新首次申请失业救济人数。她说：“如果有迹象显示暂时失业现象开始变成长期失业的话，那么股市可能会受到影响。”\nFundstrat执行合伙人托马斯·李(Thomas Lee)在周一发电子邮件中说：“全国范围内的抗议活动实际上等于取消了居家隔离令”，感染率可能上升是一个新的风险因素，就算股市目前仍在上涨，这也是投资者应该考虑到的一个风险。\nAvatrade首席市场分析师纳伊姆·阿斯拉姆(Naeem Aslam)在周一发布的研报中说：“我们认为持续不断的抗议和骚乱确实对美国金融市场构成了威胁，因为这会削弱本已疲弱的投资者信心。”\n奥本海默(Oppenheimer)首席投资策略师约翰·斯托尔茨福斯(John Stoltzfus)说：“投资者需要权衡上述所有因素，以及未来公布的经济数据，来判断股市下一步将走向何方。此外，投资者还要关注接下的大选动态。”\n在美国总统大选临近之际，瑞银证券(UBS Securities)日本地区首席投资官青木(Daiju Aoki)指出：“疫情和暴乱导致特朗普的支持率下降，拜登赢得美国总统大选的可能性越来越大，但是围绕这一点以及拜登将选择谁担任副总统还存在诸多不确定性。就算拜登获胜，美国和中国之间的技术之争也可能影响股市。虽然我们认为美国股市或许从目前水平进一步走高变得越来越困难，但与此同时，我们也预计股市不会出现大幅下跌，标普500指数未来可能会呈现区间波动。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":951463573,"gmtCreate":1591020162092,"gmtModify":1704194082950,"author":{"id":"3533783482043157","authorId":"3533783482043157","name":"炒股敢死队","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3533783482043157","idStr":"3533783482043157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RTN\">$雷神(RTN)$</a>咋个停牌了，大家知道为什么吗？","listText":"<a 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磨你妹，磨磨磨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/943109534","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":952376477,"gmtCreate":1591884077299,"gmtModify":1704197432839,"author":{"id":"3533783482043157","authorId":"3533783482043157","name":"炒股敢死队","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3533783482043157","authorIdStr":"3533783482043157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"差不多了，收割了","listText":"差不多了，收割了","text":"差不多了，收割了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/952376477","repostId":"1131815738","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131815738","pubTimestamp":1591799545,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131815738?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-06-10 22:32","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股“高烧”，高盛警告：6月下旬可能是市场转折点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131815738","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"导读：散户一季度开立的新账户数量创了新高。在标普500表现最佳的10只股票中，有6只受到散户青睐。这些票近期的日均成交量比去年高出约20倍，有些个股换手是去年的几十倍。但专业投资者中很少有真正看多的，","content":"<blockquote><i><span>导读：散户一季度开立的新账户数量创了新高。在标普500表现最佳的10只股票中，有6只受到散户青睐。这些票近期的日均成交量比去年高出约20倍，有些个股换手是去年的几十倍。但专业投资者中很少有真正看多的，由于大量衍生品将在6月下旬到期，届时市场可能发生变化。</span></i></blockquote><p><span>当股市涨得又快又猛的时候，总会有越来越多的散户争先恐后地入场追涨。当下的美国股市同样如此。</span></p><p><span>越来越多的证据表明，散户买盘已经成为那些曾大幅贬值的股票近期价格猛涨的关键推手。</span></p><p><span>新英格兰投资和退休集团助理投资顾问John Ham认为，在近期价格飞涨的股票中，有一些纯粹是买盘推动。狂热的买单对个股交易影响巨大，尤其是航空股、游轮股以及低价股。</span></p><p><span>被誉为“新债王”的冈德拉克（Jeffrey Gundlach）表示，自去年末在线券商开始提供零佣金交易以来，新的散户交易帐户随之激增。而机构资金并没有真正地参与这轮股市反弹。</span></p><p><span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>的调研结果也显示，虽然现在市场情绪较此前大幅改善，但专业投资者中很少有真正看多的人。相比之下，年轻的散户在个股交易方面非常活跃，其活跃程度是2000年科技泡沫以来最高的。</span></p><p><span>根据在线交易网站Robinhood的数据，过去一个月，罗素3000指数中最受欢迎的10只股票自5月初以来平均涨幅高达93%，是标普500指数同期涨幅的9倍。</span></p><p><span>同期，标准普尔500指数表现最佳的10只股票中有6只出现在Robinhood用户最感兴趣的公司名单中。</span></p><p><span>当地媒体援引券商的信息报道称，在很多情况下，近日股价飙升的股票正是那些散户兴趣大增的公司。</span></p><p><span>比如，自5月8日以来，联合航空股价接近翻倍，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>股价累计涨了一倍，同期Invesco Mortgage Capital股价涨了一倍半，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAVE\">Spirit Airlines</a>股价涨幅接近一倍半。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTZ\">赫兹</a>等涨幅也在七成左右。</span></p><p><span><b>01、个股成交激增</b></span></p><p><span>虽然有不少华尔街精英已经警告美股涨得有点不可思议，但散户们充耳不闻。热衷炒短线的股民对疫情爆发后价格暴跌的股票非常着迷：航空、游轮运营商、汽车经销商和能源公司的股票，最受青睐的个股有联合航空、美国航空、挪威游轮等。</span></p><p><span>这些被视为“傻钱”的散户在零佣金和美股3月那波历史性抛售潮的刺激下急不可耐地入市，一季度开立的新交易账户数量已经多到创出了历史最高纪录。</span></p><p><span>与此同时，受散户青睐的股票近期成交量飙升，日均成交有时能达到去年的30倍。最受欢迎的10家公司的日均成交量平均比去年高出约20倍。而这10只股票在2月19日至3月23日期间平均跌幅达70%，是标普500指数跌幅的两倍。</span></p><p><span>比如，挪威游轮平均每日的成交量比去年狂飙了37倍，达到7300万股。</span></p><p><span>媒体援引统计数据称，那些通常被炒短线的股票近期换手量大幅上升。</span></p><p><span>美国航空过去一个月的换手平均每天高达1.01亿股，是去年均值的23倍。该公司股票总量为4.23亿股，其中有4.17亿股流通股。粗略地说，这意味着该公司每一只流通股平均每四天就被交易一次。</span></p><p><span><b>02、散户领跑</b></span></p><p><span>虽然一个散户的资金量可能远远小于机构，但不要忽视“鱼群效应”，足够多数量的散户能够带给市场的资金量非常庞大，能对个股产生一定的影响力，尤其是那些流通股数量相对较少、盘面不大的股票。</span></p><p><span>TD Ameritrade首席市场策略师JJ Kinahan表示，虽然有些人可能会阴阳怪气地说这些散户疯了，但事实证明，他们买的股票确实涨得好。</span></p><blockquote><span>过去几个月，散户一直有点超前。</span></blockquote><p><span>至于背后的原因，JJ Kinahan认为，与专业人士相比，散户对经济好转的乐观情绪可能要高得多。</span></p><p><span>换句话说，散户们之前是在押注一些跌得最狠的股票有可能是疫情过去之后恢复最快的——显然，他们赌赢了。</span></p><p><span>从某种程度上说，这有点像是索罗斯一直宣扬的“反身性”理论：预期左右行为，行为影响资产，继而让预期成为现实。</span></p><p><span><b>03、市场可能在6月下旬发生变化</b></span></p><p><span>高盛认为，本轮美股大涨的驱动性因素还是经济重启。</span></p><p><span>就目前来看，重启的状况好于预期。随着欧美重启经济，新冠疫情大规模二次爆发的状况并没有发生。这将在短期内进一步推高市场，使得最近的涨势得以延续。</span></p><p><span>但高盛警告称，虽然现在市场情绪较此前大幅改善，但是专业投资者中很少有真正看多的人。</span></p><p><span>而在散户方面，年轻的散户投资者在个股交易方面非常活跃，&nbsp;散户交易者的活跃程度是2000年科技泡沫以来最高。</span></p><p><span>高盛称目前支持美股上涨的仓位配置非常复杂，资金流动将在未来几周对市场起到支撑作用。</span></p><p><span>美股市场中，大量的衍生品合约将在6月19日到期，尚未平仓的合约规模非常巨大（标普指数及ETF合约总规模可能高达2万亿美元）。考虑到2季度美股的涨势（2季度涨了24%），届时市场可能出现大规模的获利了结。</span></p><p><span>随着大量衍生品在6月下旬到期获利了结，市场可能将在6月下旬发生变化。</span></p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股“高烧”，高盛警告：6月下旬可能是市场转折点</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股“高烧”，高盛警告：6月下旬可能是市场转折点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-06-10 22:32 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/jvr5PpHH8WhmsU8sgU5cCQ><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>导读：散户一季度开立的新账户数量创了新高。在标普500表现最佳的10只股票中，有6只受到散户青睐。这些票近期的日均成交量比去年高出约20倍，有些个股换手是去年的几十倍。但专业投资者中很少有真正看多的，由于大量衍生品将在6月下旬到期，届时市场可能发生变化。当股市涨得又快又猛的时候，总会有越来越多的散户争先恐后地入场追涨。当下的美国股市同样如此。越来越多的证据表明，散户买盘已经成为那些曾大幅贬值的股票...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/jvr5PpHH8WhmsU8sgU5cCQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/jvr5PpHH8WhmsU8sgU5cCQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1131815738","content_text":"导读：散户一季度开立的新账户数量创了新高。在标普500表现最佳的10只股票中，有6只受到散户青睐。这些票近期的日均成交量比去年高出约20倍，有些个股换手是去年的几十倍。但专业投资者中很少有真正看多的，由于大量衍生品将在6月下旬到期，届时市场可能发生变化。当股市涨得又快又猛的时候，总会有越来越多的散户争先恐后地入场追涨。当下的美国股市同样如此。越来越多的证据表明，散户买盘已经成为那些曾大幅贬值的股票近期价格猛涨的关键推手。新英格兰投资和退休集团助理投资顾问John Ham认为，在近期价格飞涨的股票中，有一些纯粹是买盘推动。狂热的买单对个股交易影响巨大，尤其是航空股、游轮股以及低价股。被誉为“新债王”的冈德拉克（Jeffrey Gundlach）表示，自去年末在线券商开始提供零佣金交易以来，新的散户交易帐户随之激增。而机构资金并没有真正地参与这轮股市反弹。高盛的调研结果也显示，虽然现在市场情绪较此前大幅改善，但专业投资者中很少有真正看多的人。相比之下，年轻的散户在个股交易方面非常活跃，其活跃程度是2000年科技泡沫以来最高的。根据在线交易网站Robinhood的数据，过去一个月，罗素3000指数中最受欢迎的10只股票自5月初以来平均涨幅高达93%，是标普500指数同期涨幅的9倍。同期，标准普尔500指数表现最佳的10只股票中有6只出现在Robinhood用户最感兴趣的公司名单中。当地媒体援引券商的信息报道称，在很多情况下，近日股价飙升的股票正是那些散户兴趣大增的公司。比如，自5月8日以来，联合航空股价接近翻倍，美国航空股价累计涨了一倍，同期Invesco Mortgage Capital股价涨了一倍半，Spirit Airlines股价涨幅接近一倍半。波音、达美航空、赫兹等涨幅也在七成左右。01、个股成交激增虽然有不少华尔街精英已经警告美股涨得有点不可思议，但散户们充耳不闻。热衷炒短线的股民对疫情爆发后价格暴跌的股票非常着迷：航空、游轮运营商、汽车经销商和能源公司的股票，最受青睐的个股有联合航空、美国航空、挪威游轮等。这些被视为“傻钱”的散户在零佣金和美股3月那波历史性抛售潮的刺激下急不可耐地入市，一季度开立的新交易账户数量已经多到创出了历史最高纪录。与此同时，受散户青睐的股票近期成交量飙升，日均成交有时能达到去年的30倍。最受欢迎的10家公司的日均成交量平均比去年高出约20倍。而这10只股票在2月19日至3月23日期间平均跌幅达70%，是标普500指数跌幅的两倍。比如，挪威游轮平均每日的成交量比去年狂飙了37倍，达到7300万股。媒体援引统计数据称，那些通常被炒短线的股票近期换手量大幅上升。美国航空过去一个月的换手平均每天高达1.01亿股，是去年均值的23倍。该公司股票总量为4.23亿股，其中有4.17亿股流通股。粗略地说，这意味着该公司每一只流通股平均每四天就被交易一次。02、散户领跑虽然一个散户的资金量可能远远小于机构，但不要忽视“鱼群效应”，足够多数量的散户能够带给市场的资金量非常庞大，能对个股产生一定的影响力，尤其是那些流通股数量相对较少、盘面不大的股票。TD Ameritrade首席市场策略师JJ Kinahan表示，虽然有些人可能会阴阳怪气地说这些散户疯了，但事实证明，他们买的股票确实涨得好。过去几个月，散户一直有点超前。至于背后的原因，JJ Kinahan认为，与专业人士相比，散户对经济好转的乐观情绪可能要高得多。换句话说，散户们之前是在押注一些跌得最狠的股票有可能是疫情过去之后恢复最快的——显然，他们赌赢了。从某种程度上说，这有点像是索罗斯一直宣扬的“反身性”理论：预期左右行为，行为影响资产，继而让预期成为现实。03、市场可能在6月下旬发生变化高盛认为，本轮美股大涨的驱动性因素还是经济重启。就目前来看，重启的状况好于预期。随着欧美重启经济，新冠疫情大规模二次爆发的状况并没有发生。这将在短期内进一步推高市场，使得最近的涨势得以延续。但高盛警告称，虽然现在市场情绪较此前大幅改善，但是专业投资者中很少有真正看多的人。而在散户方面，年轻的散户投资者在个股交易方面非常活跃， 散户交易者的活跃程度是2000年科技泡沫以来最高。高盛称目前支持美股上涨的仓位配置非常复杂，资金流动将在未来几周对市场起到支撑作用。美股市场中，大量的衍生品合约将在6月19日到期，尚未平仓的合约规模非常巨大（标普指数及ETF合约总规模可能高达2万亿美元）。考虑到2季度美股的涨势（2季度涨了24%），届时市场可能出现大规模的获利了结。随着大量衍生品在6月下旬到期获利了结，市场可能将在6月下旬发生变化。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":924501245,"gmtCreate":1588382058087,"gmtModify":1704367606781,"author":{"id":"3533783482043157","authorId":"3533783482043157","name":"炒股敢死队","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3533783482043157","authorIdStr":"3533783482043157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>从技术上来说，如果没站稳，会二次探底了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>从技术上来说，如果没站稳，会二次探底了。","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$从技术上来说，如果没站稳，会二次探底了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/924501245","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}