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yang86038589
tgryq0513
IP属地:北京
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yang86038589
2023-10-21
$达达集团(DADA)$
压榨骑手的平台,迟早倒闭,试目以待吧
yang86038589
2022-07-05
$NQ100指数主连 2209(NQmain)$
承上启下的一个月,绝望的一个月,惊心动魄的一个月
yang86038589
2022-06-14
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
你加息吧,我死给你看[笑哭]
yang86038589
2022-01-28
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
唉,白花花银子就这样没了,大家还好吗,次高点下来百分之126没了,
yang86038589
2022-01-28
$英伟达(NVDA)$
坚定看到350的还好吗,坚持住啊,神会保佑你们的,阿门
yang86038589
2022-01-28
$苹果(AAPL)$
别坚持了,那么辛苦,下来休息吧,大势不可违啊,别太害人了,差不多得了,也对,市值太高,得慢慢出货,让别的先跌
yang86038589
2022-01-27
$苹果(AAPL)$
快上车,马上3万亿
yang86038589
2022-01-27
$英伟达(NVDA)$
快上车,马上创新高
yang86038589
2022-01-25
$英伟达(NVDA)$
你们看的350的,400的出来走两圈,现在连250都不到,150的可能性还挺大的,也不看看都涨成什么样了
yang86038589
2022-01-25
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
明天有强反弹,本周下半场以看涨为主
yang86038589
2022-01-24
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
大神们出来发功了
yang86038589
2022-01-22
$苹果(AAPL)$
你就这么硬,没跌多少啊,等你补跌才是底啊
yang86038589
2022-01-19
200美元不是梦
油价涨涨涨!高盛100美元目标价近在眼前,还能涨多久?
yang86038589
2021-12-20
$道琼斯指数主连 2203(YMmain)$
明天有反弹
yang86038589
2021-12-18
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
我滴乖乖从第二高点下来了百分之116,牛p啊,大家还好吧
yang86038589
2021-12-17
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
[开心]
yang86038589
2021-12-17
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
谁说的年底前可以稳稳滴上16500的,估计14450应该没问题[开心]
yang86038589
2021-10-20
$WTI原油主连 2112(CLmain)$
顶就是92附近
yang86038589
2021-10-14
$WTI原油主连 2111(CLmain)$
不要坚持了,慢慢下来,因为我要空你了[开心]
yang86038589
2021-09-15
$天然气主连 2110(NGmain)$
开始空,空它没商量
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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压榨骑手的平台,迟早倒闭,试目以待吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/232925393154120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000221","authorId":"9000000000000221","name":"小时候可帅了00","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82edc4968feb7c0c481f5ad38d9a498b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000221","authorIdStr":"9000000000000221"},"content":"这对达达股票算是一个比较大的利好,财务数据会变好","text":"这对达达股票算是一个比较大的利好,财务数据会变好","html":"这对达达股票算是一个比较大的利好,财务数据会变好"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":681221283,"gmtCreate":1657018768645,"gmtModify":1704866286180,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>你加息吧,我死给你看[笑哭] ","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$你加息吧,我死给你看[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680424816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639263094,"gmtCreate":1643308846242,"gmtModify":1643308846242,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>唉,白花花银子就这样没了,大家还好吗,次高点下来百分之126没了,","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>坚定看到350的还好吗,坚持住啊,神会保佑你们的,阿门","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$坚定看到350的还好吗,坚持住啊,神会保佑你们的,阿门","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639269544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639287608,"gmtCreate":1643306438826,"gmtModify":1643306438826,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>别坚持了,那么辛苦,下来休息吧,大势不可违啊,别太害人了,差不多得了,也对,市值太高,得慢慢出货,让别的先跌","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>别坚持了,那么辛苦,下来休息吧,大势不可违啊,别太害人了,差不多得了,也对,市值太高,得慢慢出货,让别的先跌","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$别坚持了,那么辛苦,下来休息吧,大势不可违啊,别太害人了,差不多得了,也对,市值太高,得慢慢出货,让别的先跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639287608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639299040,"gmtCreate":1643294772849,"gmtModify":1643294772849,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>快上车,马上3万亿","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>快上车,马上3万亿","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$快上车,马上3万亿","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639299040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1971,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639290415,"gmtCreate":1643294732837,"gmtModify":1643294732837,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>快上车,马上创新高","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>快上车,马上创新高","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$快上车,马上创新高","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639290415","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3526986275820903","authorId":"3526986275820903","name":"Qiaoshui","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3526986275820903","authorIdStr":"3526986275820903"},"content":"emmm... 这就尴尬了。。","text":"emmm... 这就尴尬了。。","html":"emmm... 这就尴尬了。。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639922609,"gmtCreate":1643125121079,"gmtModify":1643125121079,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>你们看的350的,400的出来走两圈,现在连250都不到,150的可能性还挺大的,也不看看都涨成什么样了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>你们看的350的,400的出来走两圈,现在连250都不到,150的可能性还挺大的,也不看看都涨成什么样了","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$你们看的350的,400的出来走两圈,现在连250都不到,150的可能性还挺大的,也不看看都涨成什么样了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639922609","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"232529750880900","authorId":"232529750880900","name":"21克拉粉钻","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aeb8fbbaee3546b4c601204e83215502","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"232529750880900","authorIdStr":"232529750880900"},"content":"股票预测是徒劳的、否则预知一日富可敌国、只能说守株待兔撞上了、但价值投资不在意短期波动、帐户里股份也不少一股、着眼是长远价值、是陪公司一起慢慢成长的、跌到一定幅度补仓、成本就下来了、可以说是稳赚不陪的生意","text":"股票预测是徒劳的、否则预知一日富可敌国、只能说守株待兔撞上了、但价值投资不在意短期波动、帐户里股份也不少一股、着眼是长远价值、是陪公司一起慢慢成长的、跌到一定幅度补仓、成本就下来了、可以说是稳赚不陪的生意","html":"股票预测是徒劳的、否则预知一日富可敌国、只能说守株待兔撞上了、但价值投资不在意短期波动、帐户里股份也不少一股、着眼是长远价值、是陪公司一起慢慢成长的、跌到一定幅度补仓、成本就下来了、可以说是稳赚不陪的生意"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639932060,"gmtCreate":1643114696894,"gmtModify":1643114696894,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>明天有强反弹,本周下半场以看涨为主","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>明天有强反弹,本周下半场以看涨为主","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 明天有强反弹,本周下半场以看涨为主","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639932060","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630719986,"gmtCreate":1643038668179,"gmtModify":1643038668179,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>大神们出来发功了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>大神们出来发功了","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 大神们出来发功了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630719986","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1093,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630874829,"gmtCreate":1642787927529,"gmtModify":1642787927529,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>你就这么硬,没跌多少啊,等你补跌才是底啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>你就这么硬,没跌多少啊,等你补跌才是底啊","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$你就这么硬,没跌多少啊,等你补跌才是底啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630874829","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697748165,"gmtCreate":1642605037512,"gmtModify":1642605037512,"author":{"id":"3500455646467202","authorId":"3500455646467202","name":"yang86038589","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32ab0f5fe2a2bf91f9ccc8fab4caf9d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3500455646467202","authorIdStr":"3500455646467202"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"200美元不是梦","listText":"200美元不是梦","text":"200美元不是梦","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697748165","repostId":"1168801485","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168801485","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业,总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1642551111,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168801485?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-19 08:11","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"油价涨涨涨!高盛100美元目标价近在眼前,还能涨多久?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168801485","media":"Wind万得","summary":"国际油价在去年末沉寂了几个月之后,新年涨势凌厉,1月18日亚市早盘,布伦特原油一度冲破87美元/桶,刷新2014年高点,高盛此前预测油价年内能上100美元/桶,目前来看,目标越来越近了。1月18日,布","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>国际油价在去年末沉寂了几个月之后,新年涨势凌厉,1月18日亚市早盘,布伦特原油一度冲破87美元/桶,刷新2014年高点,高盛此前预测油价年内能上100美元/桶,目前来看,目标越来越近了。</blockquote><p>1月18日,布油开盘直接上攻,直接突破87美元/桶,盘中触及88.13美元/桶。纽约原油同样直线上涨,突破84美元/桶,一度升至85.16美元/桶。双双刷新近期盘中新高。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c97b4583e88e9eefad8578e639157a8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1435\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>消息面上,近日美国能源信息署发布的数据显示,尽管美国炼油厂开工率骤降,但是美国原油库存已降至2018年10月以来最低水平,且降幅超预期;而需求疲弱导致汽油库存大幅上升。同时,美国石油战略储备继续减少,馏分油库存继续增加,库存远低于过去五年同期水平。</p><p>另一方面,据外媒援引消息人士,市场认为俄罗斯军事干预乌克兰的可能性越来越大(俄罗斯和乌克兰的美元债券一直受到打击)。俄罗斯的直接入侵将会对全球原油供应产生重大影响,俄罗斯是世界上最大的产油国之一,每天生产1100多万桶石油(占全球日供应量的10%以上)。</p><p>2021年国际油价表现在过去十年中最好,<b>整体大涨的背景下,多数机构组织对今年的油价也抱有乐观态度</b>。</p><p>欧佩克在2021年12月发布的月度石油市场报告中认为,现在世界各国能够更好地应对新冠肺炎疫情及其相关挑战,奥密克戎变异毒株的影响预计将是温和而短暂的,发达经济体和新兴经济体的经济前景稳定。</p><p><b>高盛</b>大宗商品研究全球主管杰夫•柯里(Jeff Currie)近期表示,该行“极度看涨”大宗商品,并认为可能出现长达10年的超级周期。高盛表示,对布伦特原油第一季的目标价为每桶85美元,但这是在伊朗产量将在今年晚些时候恢复的假设下。然而现在看起来这越来越不可能。如果伊朗没有恢复出口,<b>今年可能会看到油价达到每桶100美元。</b></p><p><b>摩根大通则大胆预测今年油价可能飙升至每桶125美元,2023年将升至每桶150美</b>元。他们表示市场日益认识到全球供应方面的投资不足,另外OPEC+产油国投资不足和疫情后石油需求上升的共同作用可能会导致潜在的能源危机。</p><p>国内<b>兴业证券认为,油价突破90美元/桶、冲击100美元/桶的时点可能早于他们此前预期的2023年,在年内发生的可能性正在增大。</b>具体逻辑表现为:</p><p>(1)目前全球向清洁能源转型并且致力于在2050年达到碳中和,这使得本轮商品价格大涨但资本投资维持低迷成为一种可能,这是一个新能源和旧能源价格共同大涨的时代。(2)在目前全球原油库存低位下,商品市场对突发性供给短缺应对能力很低。如果出现突发性的供给短缺,2022年这一基准判断有较大上行风险,而目前这一风险正在逐步变为现实。</p><p>与之相反,美国能源情报署在2021年12月发布的短期能源展望中就新冠病毒变异毒株对石油市场的影响表示担忧,预计2022年欧佩克与非欧佩克产油国、美国和其他国家的产量增速将超过全球石油消费的增速。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n油价涨涨涨!高盛100美元目标价近在眼前,还能涨多久?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-19 08:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>国际油价在去年末沉寂了几个月之后,新年涨势凌厉,1月18日亚市早盘,布伦特原油一度冲破87美元/桶,刷新2014年高点,高盛此前预测油价年内能上100美元/桶,目前来看,目标越来越近了。</blockquote><p>1月18日,布油开盘直接上攻,直接突破87美元/桶,盘中触及88.13美元/桶。纽约原油同样直线上涨,突破84美元/桶,一度升至85.16美元/桶。双双刷新近期盘中新高。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c97b4583e88e9eefad8578e639157a8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1435\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>消息面上,近日美国能源信息署发布的数据显示,尽管美国炼油厂开工率骤降,但是美国原油库存已降至2018年10月以来最低水平,且降幅超预期;而需求疲弱导致汽油库存大幅上升。同时,美国石油战略储备继续减少,馏分油库存继续增加,库存远低于过去五年同期水平。</p><p>另一方面,据外媒援引消息人士,市场认为俄罗斯军事干预乌克兰的可能性越来越大(俄罗斯和乌克兰的美元债券一直受到打击)。俄罗斯的直接入侵将会对全球原油供应产生重大影响,俄罗斯是世界上最大的产油国之一,每天生产1100多万桶石油(占全球日供应量的10%以上)。</p><p>2021年国际油价表现在过去十年中最好,<b>整体大涨的背景下,多数机构组织对今年的油价也抱有乐观态度</b>。</p><p>欧佩克在2021年12月发布的月度石油市场报告中认为,现在世界各国能够更好地应对新冠肺炎疫情及其相关挑战,奥密克戎变异毒株的影响预计将是温和而短暂的,发达经济体和新兴经济体的经济前景稳定。</p><p><b>高盛</b>大宗商品研究全球主管杰夫•柯里(Jeff Currie)近期表示,该行“极度看涨”大宗商品,并认为可能出现长达10年的超级周期。高盛表示,对布伦特原油第一季的目标价为每桶85美元,但这是在伊朗产量将在今年晚些时候恢复的假设下。然而现在看起来这越来越不可能。如果伊朗没有恢复出口,<b>今年可能会看到油价达到每桶100美元。</b></p><p><b>摩根大通则大胆预测今年油价可能飙升至每桶125美元,2023年将升至每桶150美</b>元。他们表示市场日益认识到全球供应方面的投资不足,另外OPEC+产油国投资不足和疫情后石油需求上升的共同作用可能会导致潜在的能源危机。</p><p>国内<b>兴业证券认为,油价突破90美元/桶、冲击100美元/桶的时点可能早于他们此前预期的2023年,在年内发生的可能性正在增大。</b>具体逻辑表现为:</p><p>(1)目前全球向清洁能源转型并且致力于在2050年达到碳中和,这使得本轮商品价格大涨但资本投资维持低迷成为一种可能,这是一个新能源和旧能源价格共同大涨的时代。(2)在目前全球原油库存低位下,商品市场对突发性供给短缺应对能力很低。如果出现突发性的供给短缺,2022年这一基准判断有较大上行风险,而目前这一风险正在逐步变为现实。</p><p>与之相反,美国能源情报署在2021年12月发布的短期能源展望中就新冠病毒变异毒株对石油市场的影响表示担忧,预计2022年欧佩克与非欧佩克产油国、美国和其他国家的产量增速将超过全球石油消费的增速。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac577c715685efdf6ae57f336b4a98bc","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168801485","content_text":"国际油价在去年末沉寂了几个月之后,新年涨势凌厉,1月18日亚市早盘,布伦特原油一度冲破87美元/桶,刷新2014年高点,高盛此前预测油价年内能上100美元/桶,目前来看,目标越来越近了。1月18日,布油开盘直接上攻,直接突破87美元/桶,盘中触及88.13美元/桶。纽约原油同样直线上涨,突破84美元/桶,一度升至85.16美元/桶。双双刷新近期盘中新高。消息面上,近日美国能源信息署发布的数据显示,尽管美国炼油厂开工率骤降,但是美国原油库存已降至2018年10月以来最低水平,且降幅超预期;而需求疲弱导致汽油库存大幅上升。同时,美国石油战略储备继续减少,馏分油库存继续增加,库存远低于过去五年同期水平。另一方面,据外媒援引消息人士,市场认为俄罗斯军事干预乌克兰的可能性越来越大(俄罗斯和乌克兰的美元债券一直受到打击)。俄罗斯的直接入侵将会对全球原油供应产生重大影响,俄罗斯是世界上最大的产油国之一,每天生产1100多万桶石油(占全球日供应量的10%以上)。2021年国际油价表现在过去十年中最好,整体大涨的背景下,多数机构组织对今年的油价也抱有乐观态度。欧佩克在2021年12月发布的月度石油市场报告中认为,现在世界各国能够更好地应对新冠肺炎疫情及其相关挑战,奥密克戎变异毒株的影响预计将是温和而短暂的,发达经济体和新兴经济体的经济前景稳定。高盛大宗商品研究全球主管杰夫•柯里(Jeff 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