Anser的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Anser

Anser

社区产品经理

IP属地：北京

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300粉丝

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0勋章

2023-12-26

感恩节休市了～

感恩节休市了～

感恩节休市了～

2020-07-02

思摩尔能复制中烟上市的辉煌吗？$思摩尔国际(06969)$$中烟香港(06055)$对电子烟产业会有什么影响？

2021-07-27

2021-07-28

牛市信仰？

市场大跌时，莫做股市里的“投降派”

2023-03-21

$第一共和银行(FRC)$ 利空出尽，跌无可跌

2020-07-07

2020.07.07 复盘笔记 by 江无焱

年轻人的第一次套牢，离解套不远了！ 2020-07-07 成本现价浮动收益小米集团-W(01810) 17.444 14.780 -15.27% $小米集团-W(01810)$

2020.07.07 复盘笔记 by 江无焱

2022-06-06

$滴滴(DIDI)$牛回速归

2023-09-26

TigerGPT staging

2022-06-06

$BOSS直聘(BZ)$ 放开放开

2020-09-08

今晚迎接瀑布

2023-03-17

$第一共和银行(FRC)$ 赚小钱，丢大肉

2020-07-07

【悬赏600虎币】你持有的第一只股票是什么？聊聊你和它的故事吧

想听听大家初进股市时的故事，A股、港美不限哈～本人之前玩过两年A股，在港美股这一块算是纯新手小白，虎币不多，有故事的我尽量都给哈，截止本周五（7.10）晚21:30美股开盘～先说我自己的：第一只A股股票是$京东方A(000725)$，因为以前看新闻听说过是做国产面板的，有国家和地方扶持而且竞争力不断增强，管理层还高位增持，最关键的是：股价（绝对值）便宜，一手只要几百块钱😂 5.69买完马上就上了6块，谁知道开心没多久，就遇上了中美毛衣摩擦A股转熊，之后两年加仓摊薄成本，解套清仓还小赚一点～第一只港股是$小米集团-W(01810)$，因为是雷校董学弟，自己和朋友们生活中使用很多小米产品。当时没赶上打新，在股价从22回落之后抢在17.4进了场，原以为是抄底，谁知道是接刀子，之后跌跌不休直到现在还没解套，幸好买得不多，装死也无所谓，希望雷校董能早日实现让我们翻倍赚回来的承诺吧😅模拟盘哈哈哈

【悬赏600虎币】你持有的第一只股票是什么？聊聊你和它的故事吧

2022-07-06

优质资产上车机会？

2022-06-10

$恒生指数(HSI)$继续看多

@许亚鑫:A50震荡上行节奏不变，聚焦今夜CPI数据！

2022-06-07

$中国10年期国债收益率(CN10Y.BOND)$走着

2022-04-26

$MET.HK 20220530 142.50 CALL$ 指望这个了

2021-05-20

$贝壳(BEKE)$盘前-10%，大家可以用钱投票支持一波「难而正确的事」了

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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III）的特殊条件将于今年6月23日结束。此外，欧洲央行上调未来3年通胀预期，同时下调今明两年经济增速预期。欧洲央行预计2022年GDP增长率为2.8%，2023年为2.1%，2024年为2.1%；预计2022年通胀率为6.8%，2023年将降至3.5%，2024年降至2.1%。欧洲央行利率决议公布后，交易员上调欧洲央行加息押注，预计12月前将累计加息150个基点。货币市场加大了对欧洲央行加息的押注，预计到年底前累计加息140个基点，包括9月初前加息的75个基点。许导认为，随着全球第三大经济体(欧元区)货币政策准备要转向，必然会带来资产价格的重估。欧元区计划在7月份开启加息，就有点像今年3月份美联储开启加息一样，区别在于，欧元区目前的基准利率水平为-0.5%，而美联储在开启加息之前，基准利率是0-0.25%。就像我在语音里面所讲的那样，既然欧洲央行选择了6月份按兵不动，那么未来的通胀数据，就会引发市场炒作欧洲央行7月份到底是要加息25个基点，还是加息50个基点。而欧洲央行与美联储息差的拐点，应该就是今年的9月份。随着整个金融市场对于俄乌冲突的脱敏，市场正聚焦在由俄乌冲突所引发的一系列连锁反应，比如说能源危机，粮食危机。通胀压力的大小，左右了央行的货币政策，比如日本央行由于毫无通胀压力，采取了无限量的宽松购买国债的策略，美元/日元的汇率水平已经攀升至2002年以来的新高134.55；还比如欧洲央行面临通胀压力，也准备开始和美联储一样，减少购债，然后开启加息的过程。随着欧洲央行和美联储的息差过了9月份这个时间节点，大概率是","listText":"隔夜，北京时间19点45分，欧洲央行公布利率决议，维持三大关键利率不变，符合市场预期。欧洲央行表示，根据最新评估，欧洲央行决定采取进一步措施，使货币政策正常化；决定自2022年7月1日起资产购买计划的净资产购买，预计适用于第三轮长期定向再融资操作（TLTRO III）的特殊条件将于今年6月23日结束。此外，欧洲央行上调未来3年通胀预期，同时下调今明两年经济增速预期。欧洲央行预计2022年GDP增长率为2.8%，2023年为2.1%，2024年为2.1%；预计2022年通胀率为6.8%，2023年将降至3.5%，2024年降至2.1%。欧洲央行利率决议公布后，交易员上调欧洲央行加息押注，预计12月前将累计加息150个基点。货币市场加大了对欧洲央行加息的押注，预计到年底前累计加息140个基点，包括9月初前加息的75个基点。许导认为，随着全球第三大经济体(欧元区)货币政策准备要转向，必然会带来资产价格的重估。欧元区计划在7月份开启加息，就有点像今年3月份美联储开启加息一样，区别在于，欧元区目前的基准利率水平为-0.5%，而美联储在开启加息之前，基准利率是0-0.25%。就像我在语音里面所讲的那样，既然欧洲央行选择了6月份按兵不动，那么未来的通胀数据，就会引发市场炒作欧洲央行7月份到底是要加息25个基点，还是加息50个基点。而欧洲央行与美联储息差的拐点，应该就是今年的9月份。随着整个金融市场对于俄乌冲突的脱敏，市场正聚焦在由俄乌冲突所引发的一系列连锁反应，比如说能源危机，粮食危机。通胀压力的大小，左右了央行的货币政策，比如日本央行由于毫无通胀压力，采取了无限量的宽松购买国债的策略，美元/日元的汇率水平已经攀升至2002年以来的新高134.55；还比如欧洲央行面临通胀压力，也准备开始和美联储一样，减少购债，然后开启加息的过程。随着欧洲央行和美联储的息差过了9月份这个时间节点，大概率是","text":"隔夜，北京时间19点45分，欧洲央行公布利率决议，维持三大关键利率不变，符合市场预期。欧洲央行表示，根据最新评估，欧洲央行决定采取进一步措施，使货币政策正常化；决定自2022年7月1日起资产购买计划的净资产购买，预计适用于第三轮长期定向再融资操作（TLTRO III）的特殊条件将于今年6月23日结束。此外，欧洲央行上调未来3年通胀预期，同时下调今明两年经济增速预期。欧洲央行预计2022年GDP增长率为2.8%，2023年为2.1%，2024年为2.1%；预计2022年通胀率为6.8%，2023年将降至3.5%，2024年降至2.1%。欧洲央行利率决议公布后，交易员上调欧洲央行加息押注，预计12月前将累计加息150个基点。货币市场加大了对欧洲央行加息的押注，预计到年底前累计加息140个基点，包括9月初前加息的75个基点。许导认为，随着全球第三大经济体(欧元区)货币政策准备要转向，必然会带来资产价格的重估。欧元区计划在7月份开启加息，就有点像今年3月份美联储开启加息一样，区别在于，欧元区目前的基准利率水平为-0.5%，而美联储在开启加息之前，基准利率是0-0.25%。就像我在语音里面所讲的那样，既然欧洲央行选择了6月份按兵不动，那么未来的通胀数据，就会引发市场炒作欧洲央行7月份到底是要加息25个基点，还是加息50个基点。而欧洲央行与美联储息差的拐点，应该就是今年的9月份。随着整个金融市场对于俄乌冲突的脱敏，市场正聚焦在由俄乌冲突所引发的一系列连锁反应，比如说能源危机，粮食危机。通胀压力的大小，左右了央行的货币政策，比如日本央行由于毫无通胀压力，采取了无限量的宽松购买国债的策略，美元/日元的汇率水平已经攀升至2002年以来的新高134.55；还比如欧洲央行面临通胀压力，也准备开始和美联储一样，减少购债，然后开启加息的过程。随着欧洲央行和美联储的息差过了9月份这个时间节点，大概率是","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfef206e1579dae756d92ee6ef7f022b","width":"835","height":"515"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bb9928d77a91fe18944431b81d371e8","width":"654","height":"410"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddddcdf321844863d9a1729330d183e8","width":"676","height":"460"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680144116","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617473786,"gmtCreate":1654590442747,"gmtModify":1704859813941,"author":{"id":"3492748977889419","authorId":"3492748977889419","name":"Anser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f50fe2635b2303cd4d32e8f851077a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492748977889419","authorIdStr":"3492748977889419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">$BOSS直聘(BZ)$</a>&nbsp;<v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 放开放开","text":"$BOSS直聘(BZ)$ 放开放开","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617581474","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2989,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617512540,"gmtCreate":1654504870481,"gmtModify":1704859544608,"author":{"id":"3492748977889419","authorId":"3492748977889419","name":"Anser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f50fe2635b2303cd4d32e8f851077a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492748977889419","authorIdStr":"3492748977889419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$滴滴(DIDI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>牛回&nbsp;速归","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$滴滴(DIDI)$</a><v-v 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指望这个了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618145024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":801092149,"gmtCreate":1627470911081,"gmtModify":1627470911081,"author":{"id":"3492748977889419","authorId":"3492748977889419","name":"Anser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f50fe2635b2303cd4d32e8f851077a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492748977889419","authorIdStr":"3492748977889419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"牛市信仰？","listText":"牛市信仰？","text":"牛市信仰？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801092149","repostId":"1155005642","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155005642","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627470041,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155005642?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 19:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场大跌时，莫做股市里的“投降派”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155005642","media":"苏宁金融研究院","summary":"人们不愿慢慢变富。","content":"<p>作者：薛洪言</p>\n<p>这两天股市持续大跌，市场加速分化，价值股继续杀跌，平安股价正从60元跌向50元。与此同时，科创、军工等板块则表现出超强的抗跌性，甚至不跌反涨，越来越多的投资者加速转换阵营，反过来进一步加速市场分化。</p>\n<p>在这种情况下，价值投资策略大幅跑输市场，趋势投资开始备受青睐。很多投资者一边批判价值投资，一边将价值股割肉卖出，转战芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股。如某位读者所说，「现在投资芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股，买了就能赚钱，平安、万科等价格再低又如何，时间成本耗不起」。</p>\n<p>一句「时间成本耗不起」，便成为追涨杀跌的最好理由。价值投资之难，就难在这里，正如巴菲特的经典总结，「人们不愿慢慢变富」。</p>\n<p><b>可投资者满心期待立马赚钱时，买涨卖跌，换来换去，甘做股市中的「投降派」，恰恰又赚不到钱。</b></p>\n<p>霍华德·马克斯曾提出股市「三阶段」论，无论熊市还是牛市，其演绎过程都会经历三个阶段。</p>\n<p>以牛市为例，在牛市第一阶段，股票低估，市场一片悲观，只有少数人敢于买入并持有。到了第二阶段，基本面出现好转，越来越多的人买入，股价回归合理水平，价值回归时出现了明显的赚钱效应，让市场愈发乐观；于是，就进入第三阶段，市场对未来的预期越来越好，「**点不是梦、**点是牛市起点」等言论主导市场，诱发越来越多的人买入，股市急涨，加速赶顶，直至物极必反，熊市降临。</p>\n<p>熊市三阶段刚好相反，第一阶段，股价高位回落，只有少数人坚定逃离，多数人视下跌为抄底机会；到了第二阶段，基本面开始恶化，越来越多的人卖出，股价从高估跌至合理水平，但下跌带来的亏钱效应，让市场愈发悲观；接着进入第三阶段，市场预期越来越差，任何消息都被解读为坏消息，越来越多的人开始割肉卖出，股市步入恐慌下跌时期，加速寻底，直至物极必反，牛市降临。</p>\n<p><b>股市中的「投降派」，主要发生在第一阶段和第三阶段。</b></p>\n<p>在熊市第三阶段和牛市第一阶段，「投降派」的表现是股票拿不住，越跌越心慌，最后因恐慌而清空持仓。当这些人纷纷卖出股票后，剩下的多是坚定持有者，卖方力量枯竭，慢慢就跌不动了，熊市第三阶段转变成牛市第一阶段。此时，「投降派」刚刚割肉卖出，坚定远离市场，也会错失牛市第一阶段的低估买入机会。</p>\n<p>在牛市第三阶段和熊市第一阶段，「投降派」的表现是高位买入，前期镇定观望，对牛市行情视而不见，现在发现周围很多人都赚到了钱，觉得不能打败市场就加入市场，于是放弃抵抗、追高买入。当这些人纷纷追高买入后，市场买方力量开始枯竭，慢慢就涨不动了，牛市第三阶段开始转变为熊市第一阶段。此时，「投降派」仍沉浸在牛市赚钱效应中，坚定看好股市，把下跌视作抄底机会，越跌越买，仓位越来越重，直至深度套牢。</p>\n<p>可见，<b>股市里的「投降派」总是卖在低点、买在高点。道理很好懂，但落到投资实践中，很多人依旧会陷入这种怪圈。</b></p>\n<p>回到当前A股市场，科创、军工是否已到牛市第三阶段还不好说，相比历史表现，当前市盈率水平虽不低估，但仍较为合理。不过，市场中一大批价值股，估值水平确已跌至历史低点。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/750c6bd3d77f2257d8defc9fc4121a4f\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>根据霍华德的三阶段论，熊市走到第三阶段，越来越多的持有人卖出，卖方力量日益枯竭，股价随时可能触底回升。这个时候，若转换阵营，恐成了股市里的「投降派」。</p>\n<p>很多人将「别人贪婪我恐惧，别人恐惧我贪婪」奉为圭臬，但在市场大跌之时，有多少人还敢于贪婪地买入呢？</p>","source":"lsy1568689437122","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市场大跌时，莫做股市里的“投降派”</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场大跌时，莫做股市里的“投降派”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-28 19:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yqe388wR1xtXcKoa8cKp1w><strong>苏宁金融研究院</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：薛洪言\n这两天股市持续大跌，市场加速分化，价值股继续杀跌，平安股价正从60元跌向50元。与此同时，科创、军工等板块则表现出超强的抗跌性，甚至不跌反涨，越来越多的投资者加速转换阵营，反过来进一步加速市场分化。\n在这种情况下，价值投资策略大幅跑输市场，趋势投资开始备受青睐。很多投资者一边批判价值投资，一边将价值股割肉卖出，转战芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股。如某位读者所说，「现在投资芯片、军工、...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yqe388wR1xtXcKoa8cKp1w\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a97a16afe8e75d415a74db18ceb0a4c","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yqe388wR1xtXcKoa8cKp1w","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155005642","content_text":"作者：薛洪言\n这两天股市持续大跌，市场加速分化，价值股继续杀跌，平安股价正从60元跌向50元。与此同时，科创、军工等板块则表现出超强的抗跌性，甚至不跌反涨，越来越多的投资者加速转换阵营，反过来进一步加速市场分化。\n在这种情况下，价值投资策略大幅跑输市场，趋势投资开始备受青睐。很多投资者一边批判价值投资，一边将价值股割肉卖出，转战芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股。如某位读者所说，「现在投资芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股，买了就能赚钱，平安、万科等价格再低又如何，时间成本耗不起」。\n一句「时间成本耗不起」，便成为追涨杀跌的最好理由。价值投资之难，就难在这里，正如巴菲特的经典总结，「人们不愿慢慢变富」。\n可投资者满心期待立马赚钱时，买涨卖跌，换来换去，甘做股市中的「投降派」，恰恰又赚不到钱。\n霍华德·马克斯曾提出股市「三阶段」论，无论熊市还是牛市，其演绎过程都会经历三个阶段。\n以牛市为例，在牛市第一阶段，股票低估，市场一片悲观，只有少数人敢于买入并持有。到了第二阶段，基本面出现好转，越来越多的人买入，股价回归合理水平，价值回归时出现了明显的赚钱效应，让市场愈发乐观；于是，就进入第三阶段，市场对未来的预期越来越好，「**点不是梦、**点是牛市起点」等言论主导市场，诱发越来越多的人买入，股市急涨，加速赶顶，直至物极必反，熊市降临。\n熊市三阶段刚好相反，第一阶段，股价高位回落，只有少数人坚定逃离，多数人视下跌为抄底机会；到了第二阶段，基本面开始恶化，越来越多的人卖出，股价从高估跌至合理水平，但下跌带来的亏钱效应，让市场愈发悲观；接着进入第三阶段，市场预期越来越差，任何消息都被解读为坏消息，越来越多的人开始割肉卖出，股市步入恐慌下跌时期，加速寻底，直至物极必反，牛市降临。\n股市中的「投降派」，主要发生在第一阶段和第三阶段。\n在熊市第三阶段和牛市第一阶段，「投降派」的表现是股票拿不住，越跌越心慌，最后因恐慌而清空持仓。当这些人纷纷卖出股票后，剩下的多是坚定持有者，卖方力量枯竭，慢慢就跌不动了，熊市第三阶段转变成牛市第一阶段。此时，「投降派」刚刚割肉卖出，坚定远离市场，也会错失牛市第一阶段的低估买入机会。\n在牛市第三阶段和熊市第一阶段，「投降派」的表现是高位买入，前期镇定观望，对牛市行情视而不见，现在发现周围很多人都赚到了钱，觉得不能打败市场就加入市场，于是放弃抵抗、追高买入。当这些人纷纷追高买入后，市场买方力量开始枯竭，慢慢就涨不动了，牛市第三阶段开始转变为熊市第一阶段。此时，「投降派」仍沉浸在牛市赚钱效应中，坚定看好股市，把下跌视作抄底机会，越跌越买，仓位越来越重，直至深度套牢。\n可见，股市里的「投降派」总是卖在低点、买在高点。道理很好懂，但落到投资实践中，很多人依旧会陷入这种怪圈。\n回到当前A股市场，科创、军工是否已到牛市第三阶段还不好说，相比历史表现，当前市盈率水平虽不低估，但仍较为合理。不过，市场中一大批价值股，估值水平确已跌至历史低点。\n\n根据霍华德的三阶段论，熊市走到第三阶段，越来越多的持有人卖出，卖方力量日益枯竭，股价随时可能触底回升。这个时候，若转换阵营，恐成了股市里的「投降派」。\n很多人将「别人贪婪我恐惧，别人恐惧我贪婪」奉为圭臬，但在市场大跌之时，有多少人还敢于贪婪地买入呢？","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809541821,"gmtCreate":1627382166663,"gmtModify":1627384640122,"author":{"id":"3492748977889419","authorId":"3492748977889419","name":"Anser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f50fe2635b2303cd4d32e8f851077a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492748977889419","authorIdStr":"3492748977889419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"又一季帝都大雨，又一时股市大跌，上一轮改革中押对方向成功逆袭的融创已离场、恒大在爆雷，而看得见的手再次挥向教育、房企、赴美中概……此时此地灰犀牛与黑天鹅共舞，没有比此刻更适合重读戴老板四年前这篇文章的了。投资人们的脑海中也应再次响起那句振聋发聩的发问：「赌国运成功的人，有曾被亏待过吗？」<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03333\">$中国恒大(03333)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">$新东方(EDU)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">$好未来(TAL)$</a>","listText":"又一季帝都大雨，又一时股市大跌，上一轮改革中押对方向成功逆袭的融创已离场、恒大在爆雷，而看得见的手再次挥向教育、房企、赴美中概……此时此地灰犀牛与黑天鹅共舞，没有比此刻更适合重读戴老板四年前这篇文章的了。投资人们的脑海中也应再次响起那句振聋发聩的发问：「赌国运成功的人，有曾被亏待过吗？」<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03333\">$中国恒大(03333)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">$新东方(EDU)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">$好未来(TAL)$</a>","text":"又一季帝都大雨，又一时股市大跌，上一轮改革中押对方向成功逆袭的融创已离场、恒大在爆雷，而看得见的手再次挥向教育、房企、赴美中概……此时此地灰犀牛与黑天鹅共舞，没有比此刻更适合重读戴老板四年前这篇文章的了。投资人们的脑海中也应再次响起那句振聋发聩的发问：「赌国运成功的人，有曾被亏待过吗？」$中国恒大(03333)$$新东方(EDU)$$好未来(TAL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809541821","isVote":1,"tweetType":3,"object":{"tweetId":"809541821","title":"世间已无明斯基","poster":"http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/3wyMy93vCLJMJicxBDPfic0iaiaqeWCTqGK4uuBTZlUoh3TY6mFpFd60W9z2MeHtT0s8pTkuWIQgo8tGA7driazJRBg/0","shareLink":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/DRboBWYJhrOwDLp2aLur4g"},"viewCount":5303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":130053564,"gmtCreate":1621498176558,"gmtModify":1621498176558,"author":{"id":"3492748977889419","authorId":"3492748977889419","name":"Anser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f50fe2635b2303cd4d32e8f851077a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492748977889419","authorIdStr":"3492748977889419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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17:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"新氧2020年Q4营收4.25亿元，同比增18.6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157923333","media":"钛媒体","summary":"3月22日，互联网医美服务平台新氧科技发布截至2020年12月31日第四季度及全年未经审计财务业绩。财报数据显示，2020年第四季度，新氧科技总收入4.25亿元，同比增长18.6%，创公司上市以来单季","content":"<p>3月22日，互联网医美服务平台<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SY\">新氧</a>科技发布截至2020年12月31日第四季度及全年未经审计财务业绩。</p><p>财报数据显示，2020年第四季度，新氧科技总收入4.25亿元，同比增长18.6%，创公司上市以来单季度收入新高。毛利率85.0%，在去年同期83.7%的基础上实现增长。非美国通用会计准则净利润6220万元人民币。</p><p>第四季度，新氧移动端的平均月活跃用户（“ MAU”）达到890万，较2019年同期的370万增长142.3%。新氧科技董事长兼CEO金星表示，第四季度，用户数的增长主要得益于不断丰富的平台内容以及VR看店和视频面诊等创新服务的推出。</p><p>同期，新氧科技平台上的付费医疗机构数量为4746家，较2019年同期的3378家增长40.5％；预约服务的付费用户总数为194769，新氧平台促成的医美服务交易总额为9.693亿元。</p><p>2020年全年，新氧科技总收入12.95亿元，同比增长12.4%。2020年四个季度平均月活跃用户量同比增速均超过100%。</p><p>2020年，新氧研发投入及人员开支2.3亿元，占总收入比重约18%，同比增长超过29%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1275be58a82b1efdea79ff9f105af90\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" 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class=\"title\">\n新氧2020年Q4营收4.25亿元，同比增18.6%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-22 17:34 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tmtpost.com/nictation/5112225.html><strong>钛媒体</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3月22日，互联网医美服务平台新氧科技发布截至2020年12月31日第四季度及全年未经审计财务业绩。财报数据显示，2020年第四季度，新氧科技总收入4.25亿元，同比增长18.6%，创公司上市以来单季度收入新高。毛利率85.0%，在去年同期83.7%的基础上实现增长。非美国通用会计准则净利润6220万元人民币。第四季度，新氧移动端的平均月活跃用户（“ MAU”）达到890万，较2019年同期的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tmtpost.com/nictation/5112225.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4f2c33fdf09817295d6b7567a2792f","relate_stocks":{"SY":"新氧"},"source_url":"https://www.tmtpost.com/nictation/5112225.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157923333","content_text":"3月22日，互联网医美服务平台新氧科技发布截至2020年12月31日第四季度及全年未经审计财务业绩。财报数据显示，2020年第四季度，新氧科技总收入4.25亿元，同比增长18.6%，创公司上市以来单季度收入新高。毛利率85.0%，在去年同期83.7%的基础上实现增长。非美国通用会计准则净利润6220万元人民币。第四季度，新氧移动端的平均月活跃用户（“ 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19:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场大跌时，莫做股市里的“投降派”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155005642","media":"苏宁金融研究院","summary":"人们不愿慢慢变富。","content":"<p>作者：薛洪言</p>\n<p>这两天股市持续大跌，市场加速分化，价值股继续杀跌，平安股价正从60元跌向50元。与此同时，科创、军工等板块则表现出超强的抗跌性，甚至不跌反涨，越来越多的投资者加速转换阵营，反过来进一步加速市场分化。</p>\n<p>在这种情况下，价值投资策略大幅跑输市场，趋势投资开始备受青睐。很多投资者一边批判价值投资，一边将价值股割肉卖出，转战芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股。如某位读者所说，「现在投资芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股，买了就能赚钱，平安、万科等价格再低又如何，时间成本耗不起」。</p>\n<p>一句「时间成本耗不起」，便成为追涨杀跌的最好理由。价值投资之难，就难在这里，正如巴菲特的经典总结，「人们不愿慢慢变富」。</p>\n<p><b>可投资者满心期待立马赚钱时，买涨卖跌，换来换去，甘做股市中的「投降派」，恰恰又赚不到钱。</b></p>\n<p>霍华德·马克斯曾提出股市「三阶段」论，无论熊市还是牛市，其演绎过程都会经历三个阶段。</p>\n<p>以牛市为例，在牛市第一阶段，股票低估，市场一片悲观，只有少数人敢于买入并持有。到了第二阶段，基本面出现好转，越来越多的人买入，股价回归合理水平，价值回归时出现了明显的赚钱效应，让市场愈发乐观；于是，就进入第三阶段，市场对未来的预期越来越好，「**点不是梦、**点是牛市起点」等言论主导市场，诱发越来越多的人买入，股市急涨，加速赶顶，直至物极必反，熊市降临。</p>\n<p>熊市三阶段刚好相反，第一阶段，股价高位回落，只有少数人坚定逃离，多数人视下跌为抄底机会；到了第二阶段，基本面开始恶化，越来越多的人卖出，股价从高估跌至合理水平，但下跌带来的亏钱效应，让市场愈发悲观；接着进入第三阶段，市场预期越来越差，任何消息都被解读为坏消息，越来越多的人开始割肉卖出，股市步入恐慌下跌时期，加速寻底，直至物极必反，牛市降临。</p>\n<p><b>股市中的「投降派」，主要发生在第一阶段和第三阶段。</b></p>\n<p>在熊市第三阶段和牛市第一阶段，「投降派」的表现是股票拿不住，越跌越心慌，最后因恐慌而清空持仓。当这些人纷纷卖出股票后，剩下的多是坚定持有者，卖方力量枯竭，慢慢就跌不动了，熊市第三阶段转变成牛市第一阶段。此时，「投降派」刚刚割肉卖出，坚定远离市场，也会错失牛市第一阶段的低估买入机会。</p>\n<p>在牛市第三阶段和熊市第一阶段，「投降派」的表现是高位买入，前期镇定观望，对牛市行情视而不见，现在发现周围很多人都赚到了钱，觉得不能打败市场就加入市场，于是放弃抵抗、追高买入。当这些人纷纷追高买入后，市场买方力量开始枯竭，慢慢就涨不动了，牛市第三阶段开始转变为熊市第一阶段。此时，「投降派」仍沉浸在牛市赚钱效应中，坚定看好股市，把下跌视作抄底机会，越跌越买，仓位越来越重，直至深度套牢。</p>\n<p>可见，<b>股市里的「投降派」总是卖在低点、买在高点。道理很好懂，但落到投资实践中，很多人依旧会陷入这种怪圈。</b></p>\n<p>回到当前A股市场，科创、军工是否已到牛市第三阶段还不好说，相比历史表现，当前市盈率水平虽不低估，但仍较为合理。不过，市场中一大批价值股，估值水平确已跌至历史低点。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/750c6bd3d77f2257d8defc9fc4121a4f\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>根据霍华德的三阶段论，熊市走到第三阶段，越来越多的持有人卖出，卖方力量日益枯竭，股价随时可能触底回升。这个时候，若转换阵营，恐成了股市里的「投降派」。</p>\n<p>很多人将「别人贪婪我恐惧，别人恐惧我贪婪」奉为圭臬，但在市场大跌之时，有多少人还敢于贪婪地买入呢？</p>","source":"lsy1568689437122","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市场大跌时，莫做股市里的“投降派”</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场大跌时，莫做股市里的“投降派”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-28 19:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yqe388wR1xtXcKoa8cKp1w><strong>苏宁金融研究院</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：薛洪言\n这两天股市持续大跌，市场加速分化，价值股继续杀跌，平安股价正从60元跌向50元。与此同时，科创、军工等板块则表现出超强的抗跌性，甚至不跌反涨，越来越多的投资者加速转换阵营，反过来进一步加速市场分化。\n在这种情况下，价值投资策略大幅跑输市场，趋势投资开始备受青睐。很多投资者一边批判价值投资，一边将价值股割肉卖出，转战芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股。如某位读者所说，「现在投资芯片、军工、...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yqe388wR1xtXcKoa8cKp1w\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a97a16afe8e75d415a74db18ceb0a4c","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yqe388wR1xtXcKoa8cKp1w","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155005642","content_text":"作者：薛洪言\n这两天股市持续大跌，市场加速分化，价值股继续杀跌，平安股价正从60元跌向50元。与此同时，科创、军工等板块则表现出超强的抗跌性，甚至不跌反涨，越来越多的投资者加速转换阵营，反过来进一步加速市场分化。\n在这种情况下，价值投资策略大幅跑输市场，趋势投资开始备受青睐。很多投资者一边批判价值投资，一边将价值股割肉卖出，转战芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股。如某位读者所说，「现在投资芯片、军工、新能源等赛道股，买了就能赚钱，平安、万科等价格再低又如何，时间成本耗不起」。\n一句「时间成本耗不起」，便成为追涨杀跌的最好理由。价值投资之难，就难在这里，正如巴菲特的经典总结，「人们不愿慢慢变富」。\n可投资者满心期待立马赚钱时，买涨卖跌，换来换去，甘做股市中的「投降派」，恰恰又赚不到钱。\n霍华德·马克斯曾提出股市「三阶段」论，无论熊市还是牛市，其演绎过程都会经历三个阶段。\n以牛市为例，在牛市第一阶段，股票低估，市场一片悲观，只有少数人敢于买入并持有。到了第二阶段，基本面出现好转，越来越多的人买入，股价回归合理水平，价值回归时出现了明显的赚钱效应，让市场愈发乐观；于是，就进入第三阶段，市场对未来的预期越来越好，「**点不是梦、**点是牛市起点」等言论主导市场，诱发越来越多的人买入，股市急涨，加速赶顶，直至物极必反，熊市降临。\n熊市三阶段刚好相反，第一阶段，股价高位回落，只有少数人坚定逃离，多数人视下跌为抄底机会；到了第二阶段，基本面开始恶化，越来越多的人卖出，股价从高估跌至合理水平，但下跌带来的亏钱效应，让市场愈发悲观；接着进入第三阶段，市场预期越来越差，任何消息都被解读为坏消息，越来越多的人开始割肉卖出，股市步入恐慌下跌时期，加速寻底，直至物极必反，牛市降临。\n股市中的「投降派」，主要发生在第一阶段和第三阶段。\n在熊市第三阶段和牛市第一阶段，「投降派」的表现是股票拿不住，越跌越心慌，最后因恐慌而清空持仓。当这些人纷纷卖出股票后，剩下的多是坚定持有者，卖方力量枯竭，慢慢就跌不动了，熊市第三阶段转变成牛市第一阶段。此时，「投降派」刚刚割肉卖出，坚定远离市场，也会错失牛市第一阶段的低估买入机会。\n在牛市第三阶段和熊市第一阶段，「投降派」的表现是高位买入，前期镇定观望，对牛市行情视而不见，现在发现周围很多人都赚到了钱，觉得不能打败市场就加入市场，于是放弃抵抗、追高买入。当这些人纷纷追高买入后，市场买方力量开始枯竭，慢慢就涨不动了，牛市第三阶段开始转变为熊市第一阶段。此时，「投降派」仍沉浸在牛市赚钱效应中，坚定看好股市，把下跌视作抄底机会，越跌越买，仓位越来越重，直至深度套牢。\n可见，股市里的「投降派」总是卖在低点、买在高点。道理很好懂，但落到投资实践中，很多人依旧会陷入这种怪圈。\n回到当前A股市场，科创、军工是否已到牛市第三阶段还不好说，相比历史表现，当前市盈率水平虽不低估，但仍较为合理。不过，市场中一大批价值股，估值水平确已跌至历史低点。\n\n根据霍华德的三阶段论，熊市走到第三阶段，越来越多的持有人卖出，卖方力量日益枯竭，股价随时可能触底回升。这个时候，若转换阵营，恐成了股市里的「投降派」。\n很多人将「别人贪婪我恐惧，别人恐惧我贪婪」奉为圭臬，但在市场大跌之时，有多少人还敢于贪婪地买入呢？","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650568354,"gmtCreate":1679383218278,"gmtModify":1679383220619,"author":{"id":"3492748977889419","authorId":"3492748977889419","name":"Anser","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f50fe2635b2303cd4d32e8f851077a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492748977889419","authorIdStr":"3492748977889419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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