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小飞侠来喽
菜鸟期权玩家,随便玩玩
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小飞侠来喽
10:36
$蜜雪集团(02097)$
无惧 315 打压股价,打算 300 捞两手,大家觉得可以不?支持雪王,雪王万岁!
小飞侠来喽
03-14 00:16
我平仓了
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
,又涨了,又跌了,又割肉了,到底啥时候是个头呢?
小飞侠来喽
03-14 00:16
我平仓了
$英特尔(INTC)$
,平仓了,小赚了一点点🤏就跑路了,哈哈
小飞侠来喽
03-14 00:15
我开仓了
$英特尔(INTC)$
,英特尔最需要的是成本控制,换了新任 ceo 似乎并不能解决这个问题
小飞侠来喽
03-14 00:15
我开仓了
$英特尔(INTC)$
,看空英特尔,即便新一任 ceo 上台了,帮助也很小哈哈,毕竟是最懂中国市场的 ceo,但是英特尔在中国的话语权已经很小了,收入占比也不高
小飞侠来喽
03-13 12:48
我平仓了
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
,要熬住啊,特斯拉的空头们,一定要坚持住
小飞侠来喽
03-13 12:47
我平仓了
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
,非常糟糕的体验。特斯拉的波动太大了。持有特斯拉的空头都很难受吧
小飞侠来喽
03-13 12:47
我开仓了
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
,坚定看空特斯拉,机器人和自动驾驶的泡沫终将会破灭的
小飞侠来喽
03-13 12:46
我平仓了
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
,随便玩两把,等你涨到 260 再加空🈳🤓哈哈
小飞侠来喽
03-13 12:46
我开仓了
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
,小撸了一把特斯拉,就这样吧,必胜哈哈
小飞侠来喽
03-13 12:45
我平仓了
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
,坚定看空特斯拉,一定会跌的,一定哦吗哈哈
小飞侠来喽
03-13 12:45
我开仓了
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
,撸了一把特斯拉,马一龙真的太菜了吧,渣男啊
小飞侠来喽
03-13 12:44
我开仓了
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
,精神错乱了,瞎买瞎卖,给老虎贡献佣金了……
小飞侠来喽
03-13 07:33
我平仓了
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
,瞎折腾,又买又卖的,感觉我有点精神错乱了哈哈
小飞侠来喽
03-12
我平仓了
$英伟达(NVDA)$
,最后一把达子了,可惜割肉割在解放前咯
小飞侠来喽
03-12
我开仓了
$英伟达(NVDA)$
,短短两个月跌了这么多,真的过分了哈哈
小飞侠来喽
03-12
我开仓了
$英伟达(NVDA)$
,大家觉得英伟达是不是美国的核心资产呢?我真的挺看好的
小飞侠来喽
03-12
我开仓了
$英伟达(NVDA)$
,达子真的是有点吓人了,大家还是悠着点吧,别太激进了
小飞侠来喽
03-12
我平仓了
$英伟达(NVDA)$
,大家觉得达子未来怎么样?从高点回落了挺多了的呢
小飞侠来喽
03-12
我开仓了
$英伟达(NVDA)$
,我还是比较看好达子未来的发展的,等一波大涨吧
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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,又涨了,又跌了,又割肉了,到底啥时候是个头呢?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/413201221324856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":413201982911024,"gmtCreate":1741911363315,"gmtModify":1742044987412,"author":{"id":"4182603153346322","authorId":"4182603153346322","name":"小飞侠来喽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbc53a5cca9ea504008c1df9068355f0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182603153346322","authorIdStr":"4182603153346322"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a>,平仓了,小赚了一点点🤏就跑路了,哈哈","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a>,平仓了,小赚了一点点🤏就跑路了,哈哈","text":"我平仓了$英特尔(INTC)$ ,平仓了,小赚了一点点🤏就跑路了,哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/413201982911024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":413202202206384,"gmtCreate":1741911345308,"gmtModify":1742045104227,"author":{"id":"4182603153346322","authorId":"4182603153346322","name":"小飞侠来喽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbc53a5cca9ea504008c1df9068355f0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182603153346322","authorIdStr":"4182603153346322"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a>,英特尔最需要的是成本控制,换了新任 ceo 似乎并不能解决这个问题","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a>,英特尔最需要的是成本控制,换了新任 ceo 似乎并不能解决这个问题","text":"我开仓了$英特尔(INTC)$ ,英特尔最需要的是成本控制,换了新任 ceo 似乎并不能解决这个问题","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/413202202206384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":413202699866536,"gmtCreate":1741911309520,"gmtModify":1742045018465,"author":{"id":"4182603153346322","authorId":"4182603153346322","name":"小飞侠来喽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbc53a5cca9ea504008c1df9068355f0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182603153346322","authorIdStr":"4182603153346322"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a>,看空英特尔,即便新一任 ceo 上台了,帮助也很小哈哈,毕竟是最懂中国市场的 ceo,但是英特尔在中国的话语权已经很小了,收入占比也不高","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a>,看空英特尔,即便新一任 ceo 上台了,帮助也很小哈哈,毕竟是最懂中国市场的 ceo,但是英特尔在中国的话语权已经很小了,收入占比也不高","text":"我开仓了$英特尔(INTC)$ ,看空英特尔,即便新一任 ceo 上台了,帮助也很小哈哈,毕竟是最懂中国市场的 ceo,但是英特尔在中国的话语权已经很小了,收入占比也不高","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/413202699866536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000628","authorId":"9000000000000628","name":"权力的游戏厅","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/067cda6133365badca6b51d9248d2066","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000628","authorIdStr":"9000000000000628"},"content":"英特尔的日子确实不太好过","text":"英特尔的日子确实不太好过","html":"英特尔的日子确实不太好过"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":413031666921704,"gmtCreate":1741870098021,"gmtModify":1742045303862,"author":{"id":"4182603153346322","authorId":"4182603153346322","name":"小飞侠来喽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbc53a5cca9ea504008c1df9068355f0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182603153346322","authorIdStr":"4182603153346322"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>,要熬住啊,特斯拉的空头们,一定要坚持住","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>,要熬住啊,特斯拉的空头们,一定要坚持住","text":"我平仓了$特斯拉(TSLA)$ ,要熬住啊,特斯拉的空头们,一定要坚持住","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/413031666921704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":413032672940216,"gmtCreate":1741870066664,"gmtModify":1742045127477,"author":{"id":"4182603153346322","authorId":"4182603153346322","name":"小飞侠来喽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbc53a5cca9ea504008c1df9068355f0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182603153346322","authorIdStr":"4182603153346322"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>,非常糟糕的体验。特斯拉的波动太大了。持有特斯拉的空头都很难受吧","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>,非常糟糕的体验。特斯拉的波动太大了。持有特斯拉的空头都很难受吧","text":"我平仓了$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 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“如果能放下成见仔细的去看蔚来目前的业务框架跟企业愿景,这就是盛世之下才能有的星辰大海一般的浪漫梦想;以及管理层对愿景的坚持,让我看到这不是像儿童一样的幻想,而是成年人的追求。只要蔚来一直保持初心,那么最终就只有两种结局,要么成为伟大的一流民族车企,要么在伟大之前资金、资源耗尽而折戟。你们那些推崇项羽不肯过江东的,为什么就不能睁眼看看现实中的英雄主义呢?你们说华为伟大的,大部分人十几年前知道华为在哪么?为什么就不能接受另一个成长中的有远大梦想的中国企业呢?” 正如这位有才的网友所说,蔚来的结局无非有二 - 成为伟大的一流民族车企,亦或是资金耗尽折戟沉沙,而我现在担心的,是蔚来正在向后者的方向慢慢悠悠的走去。 好了,现在开喷。 1.长期愿景 vs 短期执行。长期主义是我们欣赏蔚来的源动力,但这绝不上短期执行拉跨的借口。成立10年,到现在月交付在2万徘徊,已经记不清有多少种交不上车的理由了,疫情、产能、轮毂,最近还冒出什么上海的证件登记?长期主义不是企业经营乱象的遮羞布。 2.战略制定的理想 vs 现实。在一个拥有无穷资金、无限时间的理想世界,全部自研、海外重资产投入等宏大愿景没问题。但是,在真实世界,企业结合有限的资金与人力资源,结合宏观环境制定切实可行的战略才是正道。举三个例子: 1) 欧洲战略: 管理层在国内立足未稳的情况下大举进入欧洲,而是要把牛屋+换电站的重资产模式搬过去,我就想请问 - 有没有考虑过欧洲的人力成本和各种审批的繁文缛节,有没有考虑地缘政治对于车企","text":"最近蔚来+乐道交付诸事不顺,资本市场表现低迷,想必关心蔚来的车友们都比较郁闷。此文不是落井下石,而是希望分享从一个局外人视角对蔚来近年来问题的思考。 首先叠个甲,本人蔚来死忠粉,所谓忠言逆耳,如果喷的有不对之处,接受一切批评指正。 2年前,在b站某个关于蔚来的视频里读到这样一条网友评论,深以为然,收藏至今 : “如果能放下成见仔细的去看蔚来目前的业务框架跟企业愿景,这就是盛世之下才能有的星辰大海一般的浪漫梦想;以及管理层对愿景的坚持,让我看到这不是像儿童一样的幻想,而是成年人的追求。只要蔚来一直保持初心,那么最终就只有两种结局,要么成为伟大的一流民族车企,要么在伟大之前资金、资源耗尽而折戟。你们那些推崇项羽不肯过江东的,为什么就不能睁眼看看现实中的英雄主义呢?你们说华为伟大的,大部分人十几年前知道华为在哪么?为什么就不能接受另一个成长中的有远大梦想的中国企业呢?” 正如这位有才的网友所说,蔚来的结局无非有二 - 成为伟大的一流民族车企,亦或是资金耗尽折戟沉沙,而我现在担心的,是蔚来正在向后者的方向慢慢悠悠的走去。 好了,现在开喷。 1.长期愿景 vs 短期执行。长期主义是我们欣赏蔚来的源动力,但这绝不上短期执行拉跨的借口。成立10年,到现在月交付在2万徘徊,已经记不清有多少种交不上车的理由了,疫情、产能、轮毂,最近还冒出什么上海的证件登记?长期主义不是企业经营乱象的遮羞布。 2.战略制定的理想 vs 现实。在一个拥有无穷资金、无限时间的理想世界,全部自研、海外重资产投入等宏大愿景没问题。但是,在真实世界,企业结合有限的资金与人力资源,结合宏观环境制定切实可行的战略才是正道。举三个例子: 1) 欧洲战略: 管理层在国内立足未稳的情况下大举进入欧洲,而是要把牛屋+换电站的重资产模式搬过去,我就想请问 - 有没有考虑过欧洲的人力成本和各种审批的繁文缛节,有没有考虑地缘政治对于车企","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":20,"commentSize":29,"repostSize":12,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370535879426128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":21752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3518983480179242","authorId":"3518983480179242","name":"forcec","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/752def79475c77ddbeaceabf192b8c5d","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3518983480179242","authorIdStr":"3518983480179242"},"content":"这样理性的蔚来粉多一点,可能蔚来也不至于到今天。整体说得挺好,但还是没有说到根本。在我看来,根本是四点: 1、高端纯电是个很小的市场,是不是未来?至少在今天看不到。如果作为起手势很好,接es8推出es6,这一步都很好,结果没有走下去,继续推出20多万的es5,这纯电战略就成了夹生饭。es8走增程,推20-30万的es5走量,这两条路,蔚来一条也不想走。 2、乐道是步臭棋,只见过低打高推子品牌,没见过高打低推子品牌,乐道也是死路。至于萤火虫,脑子搭错筋。 3、换电。最搞笑的商业模式。投资巨大、运营成本巨高、严重制约车身发展,得到的收益极低。所谓换电快只针对1台车而言,算上排队和去换电站的时间,毫无效率优势。储能更是一句笑话,晚上充电不是相当于储能?换电的电池折旧更是未来巨大的包袱。换电哪怕有一丁点好处,全世界能只有蔚来一家选择? 4、全栈自研看上去很牛,实际上搞了一堆车,没有一项核心技术。如果不能实现高阶自驾,蔚来的所有研发都基本等于0。 5、品牌。bba确实在萎缩,但是胜者并不是蔚来,不管你多么瞧不起,真正实现高端汽车国产品牌替代的依次是:问界、理想、极氪,蔚来连前三都排不上。蔚来实际的均价早已跌破30万,这里面超过一半还都是租电,真的要说自己是高端,可能小米都比蔚来有资格。 问题太多,余不一一。有人说蔚来也不是一点成绩也没有,这句话客观上也算对。但是如果你放在第一批新能源汽车的先发者,烧了近1000亿资金创业企业,目前渗透率已经达到50%的中国新能源市场。蔚来这个成绩单,离及格差太远。更要命的是,无论老板还是粉丝,都还在以学霸自居。","text":"这样理性的蔚来粉多一点,可能蔚来也不至于到今天。整体说得挺好,但还是没有说到根本。在我看来,根本是四点: 1、高端纯电是个很小的市场,是不是未来?至少在今天看不到。如果作为起手势很好,接es8推出es6,这一步都很好,结果没有走下去,继续推出20多万的es5,这纯电战略就成了夹生饭。es8走增程,推20-30万的es5走量,这两条路,蔚来一条也不想走。 2、乐道是步臭棋,只见过低打高推子品牌,没见过高打低推子品牌,乐道也是死路。至于萤火虫,脑子搭错筋。 3、换电。最搞笑的商业模式。投资巨大、运营成本巨高、严重制约车身发展,得到的收益极低。所谓换电快只针对1台车而言,算上排队和去换电站的时间,毫无效率优势。储能更是一句笑话,晚上充电不是相当于储能?换电的电池折旧更是未来巨大的包袱。换电哪怕有一丁点好处,全世界能只有蔚来一家选择? 4、全栈自研看上去很牛,实际上搞了一堆车,没有一项核心技术。如果不能实现高阶自驾,蔚来的所有研发都基本等于0。 5、品牌。bba确实在萎缩,但是胜者并不是蔚来,不管你多么瞧不起,真正实现高端汽车国产品牌替代的依次是:问界、理想、极氪,蔚来连前三都排不上。蔚来实际的均价早已跌破30万,这里面超过一半还都是租电,真的要说自己是高端,可能小米都比蔚来有资格。 问题太多,余不一一。有人说蔚来也不是一点成绩也没有,这句话客观上也算对。但是如果你放在第一批新能源汽车的先发者,烧了近1000亿资金创业企业,目前渗透率已经达到50%的中国新能源市场。蔚来这个成绩单,离及格差太远。更要命的是,无论老板还是粉丝,都还在以学霸自居。","html":"这样理性的蔚来粉多一点,可能蔚来也不至于到今天。整体说得挺好,但还是没有说到根本。在我看来,根本是四点: 1、高端纯电是个很小的市场,是不是未来?至少在今天看不到。如果作为起手势很好,接es8推出es6,这一步都很好,结果没有走下去,继续推出20多万的es5,这纯电战略就成了夹生饭。es8走增程,推20-30万的es5走量,这两条路,蔚来一条也不想走。 2、乐道是步臭棋,只见过低打高推子品牌,没见过高打低推子品牌,乐道也是死路。至于萤火虫,脑子搭错筋。 3、换电。最搞笑的商业模式。投资巨大、运营成本巨高、严重制约车身发展,得到的收益极低。所谓换电快只针对1台车而言,算上排队和去换电站的时间,毫无效率优势。储能更是一句笑话,晚上充电不是相当于储能?换电的电池折旧更是未来巨大的包袱。换电哪怕有一丁点好处,全世界能只有蔚来一家选择? 4、全栈自研看上去很牛,实际上搞了一堆车,没有一项核心技术。如果不能实现高阶自驾,蔚来的所有研发都基本等于0。 5、品牌。bba确实在萎缩,但是胜者并不是蔚来,不管你多么瞧不起,真正实现高端汽车国产品牌替代的依次是:问界、理想、极氪,蔚来连前三都排不上。蔚来实际的均价早已跌破30万,这里面超过一半还都是租电,真的要说自己是高端,可能小米都比蔚来有资格。 问题太多,余不一一。有人说蔚来也不是一点成绩也没有,这句话客观上也算对。但是如果你放在第一批新能源汽车的先发者,烧了近1000亿资金创业企业,目前渗透率已经达到50%的中国新能源市场。蔚来这个成绩单,离及格差太远。更要命的是,无论老板还是粉丝,都还在以学霸自居。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356187215519984,"gmtCreate":1727969297529,"gmtModify":1730904933949,"author":{"id":"4182603153346322","authorId":"4182603153346322","name":"小飞侠来喽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbc53a5cca9ea504008c1df9068355f0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182603153346322","authorIdStr":"4182603153346322"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ZK 20241018 22.5 CALL\">$ZK 20241018 22.5 CALL$ </a>,减少风险,最近涨太猛了","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ZK 20241018 22.5 CALL\">$ZK 20241018 22.5 CALL$ </a>,减少风险,最近涨太猛了","text":"我平仓了$ZK 20241018 22.5 CALL$ ,减少风险,最近涨太猛了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356187215519984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375514286272912,"gmtCreate":1732681815422,"gmtModify":1732707590968,"author":{"id":"4182603153346322","authorId":"4182603153346322","name":"小飞侠来喽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbc53a5cca9ea504008c1df9068355f0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182603153346322","authorIdStr":"4182603153346322"},"themes":[],"title":"小马智行上市,强烈看好","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PONY\">$小马智行(PONY)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSAI\">$禾赛(HSAI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02498\">$速腾聚创(02498)$</a> 今天早上收到经纪的消息,小马智行将于北京时间今晚上市,吓了我一跳。futu和老虎的讨论区,大家都在抱怨小马套路真多,一会儿增加发行股数,一会儿传言uber认购2000万美元,一会儿又无限期延迟发行进度。直到今早突然看到CERT的文件,应该是稳了。 可惜我没有及时操作老虎认购,九点就截止了。今晚上市后,如果开盘涨幅较小,我考虑择机再买入,长期看好中国自动驾驶的前景。主要有以下原因: 1、估值面:和文远知行相比估值较低、亏损较少 按11月26日的美股收盘价,文远知行的市值(包含IPO之后的增发)约为52亿美元,小马智行按IPO发行区间中间价12美元、发行后(包含IPO之后的增发)3.5亿股计算,市值约为42亿美元,估值和同行相比留有较大的空间。 从财务数据方面看,2024年1-6月份,文远知行收入为1.5亿元,同比下滑20%,其中大部分收入来自于向基石投资者博世预装的L2套件,2024年上半年仅卖出3台无人驾驶小巴,营业利润亏损6.11亿元人民币。 而小马智行的数据则好看很多,2024年1-6月份,小马智行收入为2470万美元,折合人民币约1.79亿元人民币,同比增长100%,其中大部分收入来自于无人驾驶出租车和中国外运合作的无人驾驶卡车的运营收入,营业利润亏损7,171.8万美元,折合人民币5.2亿元。 由上可知,和同行文远知行相比,小马智行的收入相对更多,亏损","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PONY\">$小马智行(PONY)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSAI\">$禾赛(HSAI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02498\">$速腾聚创(02498)$</a> 今天早上收到经纪的消息,小马智行将于北京时间今晚上市,吓了我一跳。futu和老虎的讨论区,大家都在抱怨小马套路真多,一会儿增加发行股数,一会儿传言uber认购2000万美元,一会儿又无限期延迟发行进度。直到今早突然看到CERT的文件,应该是稳了。 可惜我没有及时操作老虎认购,九点就截止了。今晚上市后,如果开盘涨幅较小,我考虑择机再买入,长期看好中国自动驾驶的前景。主要有以下原因: 1、估值面:和文远知行相比估值较低、亏损较少 按11月26日的美股收盘价,文远知行的市值(包含IPO之后的增发)约为52亿美元,小马智行按IPO发行区间中间价12美元、发行后(包含IPO之后的增发)3.5亿股计算,市值约为42亿美元,估值和同行相比留有较大的空间。 从财务数据方面看,2024年1-6月份,文远知行收入为1.5亿元,同比下滑20%,其中大部分收入来自于向基石投资者博世预装的L2套件,2024年上半年仅卖出3台无人驾驶小巴,营业利润亏损6.11亿元人民币。 而小马智行的数据则好看很多,2024年1-6月份,小马智行收入为2470万美元,折合人民币约1.79亿元人民币,同比增长100%,其中大部分收入来自于无人驾驶出租车和中国外运合作的无人驾驶卡车的运营收入,营业利润亏损7,171.8万美元,折合人民币5.2亿元。 由上可知,和同行文远知行相比,小马智行的收入相对更多,亏损","text":"$小马智行(PONY)$ $禾赛(HSAI)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $速腾聚创(02498)$ 今天早上收到经纪的消息,小马智行将于北京时间今晚上市,吓了我一跳。futu和老虎的讨论区,大家都在抱怨小马套路真多,一会儿增加发行股数,一会儿传言uber认购2000万美元,一会儿又无限期延迟发行进度。直到今早突然看到CERT的文件,应该是稳了。 可惜我没有及时操作老虎认购,九点就截止了。今晚上市后,如果开盘涨幅较小,我考虑择机再买入,长期看好中国自动驾驶的前景。主要有以下原因: 1、估值面:和文远知行相比估值较低、亏损较少 按11月26日的美股收盘价,文远知行的市值(包含IPO之后的增发)约为52亿美元,小马智行按IPO发行区间中间价12美元、发行后(包含IPO之后的增发)3.5亿股计算,市值约为42亿美元,估值和同行相比留有较大的空间。 从财务数据方面看,2024年1-6月份,文远知行收入为1.5亿元,同比下滑20%,其中大部分收入来自于向基石投资者博世预装的L2套件,2024年上半年仅卖出3台无人驾驶小巴,营业利润亏损6.11亿元人民币。 而小马智行的数据则好看很多,2024年1-6月份,小马智行收入为2470万美元,折合人民币约1.79亿元人民币,同比增长100%,其中大部分收入来自于无人驾驶出租车和中国外运合作的无人驾驶卡车的运营收入,营业利润亏损7,171.8万美元,折合人民币5.2亿元。 由上可知,和同行文远知行相比,小马智行的收入相对更多,亏损","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375514286272912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"21347731130544","authorIdStr":"21347731130544"},"content":"今晚看单车变摩托还是奥迪变奥拓","text":"今晚看单车变摩托还是奥迪变奥拓","html":"今晚看单车变摩托还是奥迪变奥拓"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":413202699866536,"gmtCreate":1741911309520,"gmtModify":1742045018465,"author":{"id":"4182603153346322","authorId":"4182603153346322","name":"小飞侠来喽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbc53a5cca9ea504008c1df9068355f0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182603153346322","authorIdStr":"4182603153346322"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a>,看空英特尔,即便新一任 ceo 上台了,帮助也很小哈哈,毕竟是最懂中国市场的 ceo,但是英特尔在中国的话语权已经很小了,收入占比也不高","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a>,看空英特尔,即便新一任 ceo 上台了,帮助也很小哈哈,毕竟是最懂中国市场的 ceo,但是英特尔在中国的话语权已经很小了,收入占比也不高","text":"我开仓了$英特尔(INTC)$ ,看空英特尔,即便新一任 ceo 上台了,帮助也很小哈哈,毕竟是最懂中国市场的 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>,非常糟糕的体验。特斯拉的波动太大了。持有特斯拉的空头都很难受吧","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>,非常糟糕的体验。特斯拉的波动太大了。持有特斯拉的空头都很难受吧","text":"我平仓了$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 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在亚利桑那州,提前投票的选民中,56%的人支持哈里斯,44%的人支持特朗普,哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在北卡罗来纳州,提前投票的选民中,55%的人支持哈里斯,43%的人支持特朗普,哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在佐治亚州,提前投票的选民中,55%的人支持哈里斯,45%的人支持特朗普,哈里斯领先特朗普10个百分点。这些数据非常重要,因为这三个州都是关键的摇摆州。在美国,一共有七个摇摆州,它们能够决定总统大选的结果。在此前的民调中,哈里斯和特朗普在七个摇摆州里面整体打成了平手,特朗普仅在内华达州明显领先于哈里斯。另外四个摇摆州中,宾州有19张选举人票,是摇摆州中票数最多的。在过去五届总统选举中,民主党人四次拿下了宾州,只有2016年特朗普赢得了宾州,并最终赢得了美国大选。 昨晚NBC新闻还更新了提前投票的数据,显示哈里斯大幅度领先,尤其是在宾州也是大幅度领先川普。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ </a> 昨晚最新消息,哈里斯在三个摇摆州民调都大幅领先川普10%以上: 在亚利桑那州,提前投票的选民中,56%的人支持哈里斯,44%的人支持特朗普,哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在北卡罗来纳州,提前投票的选民中,55%的人支持哈里斯,43%的人支持特朗普,哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在佐治亚州,提前投票的选民中,55%的人支持哈里斯,45%的人支持特朗普,哈里斯领先特朗普10个百分点。这些数据非常重要,因为这三个州都是关键的摇摆州。在美国,一共有七个摇摆州,它们能够决定总统大选的结果。在此前的民调中,哈里斯和特朗普在七个摇摆州里面整体打成了平手,特朗普仅在内华达州明显领先于哈里斯。另外四个摇摆州中,宾州有19张选举人票,是摇摆州中票数最多的。在过去五届总统选举中,民主党人四次拿下了宾州,只有2016年特朗普赢得了宾州,并最终赢得了美国大选。 昨晚NBC新闻还更新了提前投票的数据,显示哈里斯大幅度领先,尤其是在宾州也是大幅度领先川普。","text":"$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ 昨晚最新消息,哈里斯在三个摇摆州民调都大幅领先川普10%以上: 在亚利桑那州,提前投票的选民中,56%的人支持哈里斯,44%的人支持特朗普,哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在北卡罗来纳州,提前投票的选民中,55%的人支持哈里斯,43%的人支持特朗普,哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在佐治亚州,提前投票的选民中,55%的人支持哈里斯,45%的人支持特朗普,哈里斯领先特朗普10个百分点。这些数据非常重要,因为这三个州都是关键的摇摆州。在美国,一共有七个摇摆州,它们能够决定总统大选的结果。在此前的民调中,哈里斯和特朗普在七个摇摆州里面整体打成了平手,特朗普仅在内华达州明显领先于哈里斯。另外四个摇摆州中,宾州有19张选举人票,是摇摆州中票数最多的。在过去五届总统选举中,民主党人四次拿下了宾州,只有2016年特朗普赢得了宾州,并最终赢得了美国大选。 昨晚NBC新闻还更新了提前投票的数据,显示哈里斯大幅度领先,尤其是在宾州也是大幅度领先川普。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9db6327f3a5c7e01bbfecf0c5adbed7","width":"831","height":"891"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366025539830000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4005,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4164250913188572","authorId":"4164250913188572","name":"郭6688","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4164250913188572","authorIdStr":"4164250913188572"},"content":"2020年大选,在宾州邮寄选票中,拜登得了199万票,特朗普得了59万票,拜登领先特朗普140万票。而在大选当日现场投票中,拜登得了大约141万票,而特朗普得了273万票,特朗普领先拜登132万票。邮寄选票加上选举日现场投票,最终拜登以8万票险胜宾州。具体数据可以看附图中得宾州选举官方数据。 而到今天为止的最新数据,宾州邮寄选票140万票,注册民主党人投票是58.4%,而共和党人投票31.2%,中立人士投票10.4%。不计中立人士的话,民主党人只领先共和党人38万票。距离大选还有8天,最终邮寄选票总数会接近200万票。民主党领先比例正在逐日缩小,所以最后预计邮寄票只领先共和党不超过60万票。","text":"2020年大选,在宾州邮寄选票中,拜登得了199万票,特朗普得了59万票,拜登领先特朗普140万票。而在大选当日现场投票中,拜登得了大约141万票,而特朗普得了273万票,特朗普领先拜登132万票。邮寄选票加上选举日现场投票,最终拜登以8万票险胜宾州。具体数据可以看附图中得宾州选举官方数据。 而到今天为止的最新数据,宾州邮寄选票140万票,注册民主党人投票是58.4%,而共和党人投票31.2%,中立人士投票10.4%。不计中立人士的话,民主党人只领先共和党人38万票。距离大选还有8天,最终邮寄选票总数会接近200万票。民主党领先比例正在逐日缩小,所以最后预计邮寄票只领先共和党不超过60万票。","html":"2020年大选,在宾州邮寄选票中,拜登得了199万票,特朗普得了59万票,拜登领先特朗普140万票。而在大选当日现场投票中,拜登得了大约141万票,而特朗普得了273万票,特朗普领先拜登132万票。邮寄选票加上选举日现场投票,最终拜登以8万票险胜宾州。具体数据可以看附图中得宾州选举官方数据。 而到今天为止的最新数据,宾州邮寄选票140万票,注册民主党人投票是58.4%,而共和党人投票31.2%,中立人士投票10.4%。不计中立人士的话,民主党人只领先共和党人38万票。距离大选还有8天,最终邮寄选票总数会接近200万票。民主党领先比例正在逐日缩小,所以最后预计邮寄票只领先共和党不超过60万票。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372783226335360,"gmtCreate":1732021053579,"gmtModify":1734504695555,"author":{"id":"4182603153346322","authorId":"4182603153346322","name":"小飞侠来喽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbc53a5cca9ea504008c1df9068355f0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4182603153346322","authorIdStr":"4182603153346322"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ </a>,小鹏不错,三季报不但收入暴增,亏损减少,四季度的预期也拉满了,月销三万,太猛了😲","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ </a>,小鹏不错,三季报不但收入暴增,亏损减少,四季度的预期也拉满了,月销三万,太猛了😲","text":"我平仓了$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ ,小鹏不错,三季报不但收入暴增,亏损减少,四季度的预期也拉满了,月销三万,太猛了😲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372783226335360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566182621966224","authorId":"3566182621966224","name":"Wendy2020","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a016ced580f4978af5acffff86714612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566182621966224","authorIdStr":"3566182621966224"},"content":"那为啥平仓了","text":"那为啥平仓了","html":"那为啥平仓了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}