伊祁放勋的个人主页 - 老虎社区

伊祁放勋

伊祁放勋

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IP属地：浙江

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17:07

Replying to @小博炒美股:他如果跑到缅a 来，会更厉害。资金大鳄在这边更是为所欲为。//@小博炒美股:巴菲特不过比纳指回报率高一点点而已，有本事去大A玩那才是真神

12-12

坚定看好美股。

@小虎AV:Tom Lee 2025年美股最新预测来了，在去年12月一片看衰的预测中，Tom Lee坚定看好24年美股，每个阶段预测的大趋势还是比较准的~2025年展望： $标普500(.SPX)$ 2025年中期会达到7000点，而后调整到年底6600点（就算是跌到6600，也比现在高出10%），Tom Lee称之所以会发生这种情况，是因为历史表明，连续涨20%的概率是很小的，而且特朗普的关税还是个未知数。对于2025年，他看好小盘股 $罗素2000指数ETF(IWM)$ 、金融股 $金融ETF(XLF)$ 和比特币 $比特币(BTC.USD.CC)$ ，给出目标价25万美元。（相关预测图贴在评论区）现在标普6100点着实有点超出了华尔街的预期，12月已经过半，大家觉得最后两周还有机会创新高吗？明年看好哪些板块的潜力？评论区留下你的观点和预测，一起赢取虎币奖励！

12-10

鞭策自己

@smallnew小牛:散户为什么容易亏钱？七大原因都在这儿了！

12-06

Replying to @买股票的打铁匠:要是硬脱钩的话，你觉得估值多少合适？//@买股票的打铁匠:哪里//@伊祁放勋:中概股有脱钩的风险，我看到一篇文章说。

12-06

我选择PLTR，MSTR真是一个科技公司吗？

12-05

这几个股，买了三个。

12-05

中概股有脱钩的风险，我看到一篇文章说。

11-21

学习

@期权小班长:苟过年底，来年再涨

11-21

$小马智行(PONY)$ 要是还是中美蜜月期该多好？

11-12

还是比特币涨上天，比较早一点实现。

10-31

这个策略假设被行权了，怎么弄？需要保证金吗？

10-31

谷歌真是扶不起啊，最高到182，半夜跌到174。

10-31

Replying to @老乡见老乡:人家原文说的是卖出看跌期权。//@老乡见老乡:“使用反向期权：例如，当投资者卖出看涨期权时，标的价格大幅上涨，可以考虑买入一个看跌期权（Put），以防止进一步的上涨带来的更大亏损”，这段话矛盾啊😵‍💫

10-25

@空军大队长

@小虎活动:【有奖活动】看图猜一只科技股

10-21

准备持有到2030年，不知道可行不？

10-16

从某个公众号看来的，“ 给大家看一下，远月看涨合约下跌速度。上证50etf，下个月的一个看涨合约，日内73.3%+。熔断式下跌。”。我在想今天要不要出掉我剩下的沪深300基金。

10-12

$台积电(TSM)$ 不知不觉快一万亿，想起我591的call，直接归零。

10-11

很厉害的作者

@FrankAllin:A股和港股的Meme化：盛宴or屠宰场？

10-03

$美国延期国债ETF-Vanguard(EDV)$ 为啥今天又跌了？有人来介绍分析这个股吗？

10-01

卡片大作战

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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成熟的交易者已经学会克服这一点。因为有准备的错误，是交易中不可或缺的一部分，只要当麻烦一出现就切断联系，才是对自己最好的保护，看作给自己再一次机会，而不是一忍再忍期望事情出现神奇转机。 ▌数钱 交易没有完结，没有做出卖出平仓动作之前，不应该过多倾注注意力在已经取得的浮盈上。只要交易在进行中，不确定性随时都存在，然而过于频繁的关注细节，只会加深恐惧，不断质疑已经形成的\"正确\"。 “数钱”恶习通常是那些还不习惯盈利滋味的交易者。每一笔交易都应该有一个入市点和两个出市点，即止损和目标。止损是为了保护，目标是为了获利。 成熟交易者会坚持规则，把每一笔交易的命运放在他们的交易策略上，而不是在他们自己的贪婪或恐惧上。过于\"聪明\"，其实只是不明智，缺乏根据的下意识过快反应。 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昨日重现？ 近期美股有些许平淡，修复了8月的大跌后，波动收敛。市场的焦点转向了中国资产，对应的是港股、A股和中概股近两周的大幅波动。 9月23日，人行发布了一系列超预期的政策刺激，压抑已久的低迷市场情绪瞬间被点燃。短短6个交易日，上证指数单边爆涨27%，深成指暴涨42%；港股恒生指数也在9个交易日大涨27.37%。美股市场的中概股紧随其后走高。 A股更是在节后首个交易日创造了近3.5万亿的单日成交额，刷新了历史记录。 短视频和自媒体的宣传下，牛市的呼声四起，新股民蜂拥开户，甚至街边卖菜的大妈也开始讨论股市。 这让我想起了9年前那个炙热的下午，那个疯狂的大牛市。 那时我刚工作不久，手头不多的几万块钱在股市里短短时间内翻了倍，令我自信满满，觉得自己俨然已成股神。于是，我利用信用卡套出30多万，在高位加仓。 结果自然是惨痛不堪回首。 如今，仿佛昨日重现，水牛又一次向我们袭来。 但我却不再年轻了。 时间改变了很多，水牛可能还是那头水牛，但当年满怀热情的年轻人，在经历了市场的浩劫后，无一不是遍体鳞伤。 而今天的年轻人，在这股狂热中冲入市场，恐怕最终的结局也并不会有什么不同。 什么是Meme股？ Meme股的概念来源于美股市场，也可翻译为“网红股”，来源于2021年著名的“散户大战华尔街”事件。最有名的也是meme股的鼻祖就是“Game Stop（游戏驿站）”。 Meme\"源自互联网文化，代表那些通过模仿和复制在人群中迅速传播的内容，通常带有幽默或讽刺的性质。在中文里表达类似意思的就是“梗”。 “Meme股”是受社交媒体影响广泛传播和炒作的股票，类似于网络迷因的病毒式传播特性。Meme的概念，后续也引申到币圈，出现了“meme币”。 在股票市场中，Meme股呈现出以下特点： 1. 通过网络社交媒体，进行病毒式的","listText":"有段时间没更新了，最近杂事太多，今天蹭个热点，聊聊最近火热的A股和港股。 昨日重现？ 近期美股有些许平淡，修复了8月的大跌后，波动收敛。市场的焦点转向了中国资产，对应的是港股、A股和中概股近两周的大幅波动。 9月23日，人行发布了一系列超预期的政策刺激，压抑已久的低迷市场情绪瞬间被点燃。短短6个交易日，上证指数单边爆涨27%，深成指暴涨42%；港股恒生指数也在9个交易日大涨27.37%。美股市场的中概股紧随其后走高。 A股更是在节后首个交易日创造了近3.5万亿的单日成交额，刷新了历史记录。 短视频和自媒体的宣传下，牛市的呼声四起，新股民蜂拥开户，甚至街边卖菜的大妈也开始讨论股市。 这让我想起了9年前那个炙热的下午，那个疯狂的大牛市。 那时我刚工作不久，手头不多的几万块钱在股市里短短时间内翻了倍，令我自信满满，觉得自己俨然已成股神。于是，我利用信用卡套出30多万，在高位加仓。 结果自然是惨痛不堪回首。 如今，仿佛昨日重现，水牛又一次向我们袭来。 但我却不再年轻了。 时间改变了很多，水牛可能还是那头水牛，但当年满怀热情的年轻人，在经历了市场的浩劫后，无一不是遍体鳞伤。 而今天的年轻人，在这股狂热中冲入市场，恐怕最终的结局也并不会有什么不同。 什么是Meme股？ Meme股的概念来源于美股市场，也可翻译为“网红股”，来源于2021年著名的“散户大战华尔街”事件。最有名的也是meme股的鼻祖就是“Game Stop（游戏驿站）”。 Meme\"源自互联网文化，代表那些通过模仿和复制在人群中迅速传播的内容，通常带有幽默或讽刺的性质。在中文里表达类似意思的就是“梗”。 “Meme股”是受社交媒体影响广泛传播和炒作的股票，类似于网络迷因的病毒式传播特性。Meme的概念，后续也引申到币圈，出现了“meme币”。 在股票市场中，Meme股呈现出以下特点： 1. 通过网络社交媒体，进行病毒式的","text":"有段时间没更新了，最近杂事太多，今天蹭个热点，聊聊最近火热的A股和港股。 昨日重现？ 近期美股有些许平淡，修复了8月的大跌后，波动收敛。市场的焦点转向了中国资产，对应的是港股、A股和中概股近两周的大幅波动。 9月23日，人行发布了一系列超预期的政策刺激，压抑已久的低迷市场情绪瞬间被点燃。短短6个交易日，上证指数单边爆涨27%，深成指暴涨42%；港股恒生指数也在9个交易日大涨27.37%。美股市场的中概股紧随其后走高。 A股更是在节后首个交易日创造了近3.5万亿的单日成交额，刷新了历史记录。 短视频和自媒体的宣传下，牛市的呼声四起，新股民蜂拥开户，甚至街边卖菜的大妈也开始讨论股市。 这让我想起了9年前那个炙热的下午，那个疯狂的大牛市。 那时我刚工作不久，手头不多的几万块钱在股市里短短时间内翻了倍，令我自信满满，觉得自己俨然已成股神。于是，我利用信用卡套出30多万，在高位加仓。 结果自然是惨痛不堪回首。 如今，仿佛昨日重现，水牛又一次向我们袭来。 但我却不再年轻了。 时间改变了很多，水牛可能还是那头水牛，但当年满怀热情的年轻人，在经历了市场的浩劫后，无一不是遍体鳞伤。 而今天的年轻人，在这股狂热中冲入市场，恐怕最终的结局也并不会有什么不同。 什么是Meme股？ Meme股的概念来源于美股市场，也可翻译为“网红股”，来源于2021年著名的“散户大战华尔街”事件。最有名的也是meme股的鼻祖就是“Game Stop（游戏驿站）”。 Meme\"源自互联网文化，代表那些通过模仿和复制在人群中迅速传播的内容，通常带有幽默或讽刺的性质。在中文里表达类似意思的就是“梗”。 “Meme股”是受社交媒体影响广泛传播和炒作的股票，类似于网络迷因的病毒式传播特性。Meme的概念，后续也引申到币圈，出现了“meme币”。 在股票市场中，Meme股呈现出以下特点： 1. 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垂直价差，明天学习下？这个有做什么作用？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/330632947962048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4099470509812690","authorId":"4099470509812690","name":"一只没有耳朵一只没有尾巴","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4099470509812690","authorIdStr":"4099470509812690"},"content":"你要是知道每条腿的作用，组合起来你也应该知道。你要是不知道每条腿的作用，那还是先学单腿期权吧。","text":"你要是知道每条腿的作用，组合起来你也应该知道。你要是不知道每条腿的作用，那还是先学单腿期权吧。","html":"你要是知道每条腿的作用，组合起来你也应该知道。你要是不知道每条腿的作用，那还是先学单腿期权吧。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":353932939686016,"gmtCreate":1727417455383,"gmtModify":1727417457374,"author":{"id":"4180570450198092","authorId":"4180570450198092","name":"伊祁放勋","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcde5c8d7b81678ff86243f080e14c7a","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4180570450198092","authorIdStr":"4180570450198092"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我看dy上有人说，想要协议平仓，不然有头有脸的人物这几年做空的钱都要亏进去了。","listText":"我看dy上有人说，想要协议平仓，不然有头有脸的人物这几年做空的钱都要亏进去了。","text":"我看dy上有人说，想要协议平仓，不然有头有脸的人物这几年做空的钱都要亏进去了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353932939686016","repostId":"1149052692","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1149052692","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1727405985,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149052692?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-09-27 10:59","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"沪市部分股票恢复正常，仍有部分股票尚无法成交","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149052692","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"本所关注到，今日开盘后本所股票竞价交易出现成交确认缓慢的异常。本所已在第一时间关注到相关情况，正在就相关原因进行排查。请广大投资者及时关注本所相关公告。如您遇到任何问题或者存在疑问，请迅速联系您指定交易的证券公司获得帮助。特此公告。上海证券交易所2024年9月27日","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>9月27日，继早盘上交所交易系统宕机恢复之后，9月27日午盘开市后，有投资者反映，股票无法成交。对此，多位券商人士告诉记者，目前部分沪市股票恢复了正常，也就是部分股票能成交，部分尚不能成交，可能仍有拥堵现象，需要逐步释放。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56d0b2199d98f01c84421435d731e5e8\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>今日上午不少投资者反馈券商交易出现延迟问题。对此，相关人士表示，目前我们了解的情况，好像其他券商也有这样的问题，目前正在排查原因。目前公司正在根据客户反应的（开户）证券公司进行排查，还不能确定是哪一方的问题，目前在紧急处理了。</p><p>此外，上交所交易系统出现延迟现象。据获悉，目前交易所和券商正在紧急排查和修复中。</p><p>有证券公司从业人员告诉记者，目前上交所交易系统已经崩溃，所有的单子都在后台，可能来不及处理，等处理完以后，系统会挨个报单的。</p><p>随后，上交所公告：本所关注到，今日开盘后本所股票竞价交易出现成交确认缓慢的异常。本所已在第一时间关注到相关情况，正在就相关原因进行排查。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f86bd931a586aff9f1a5d984d420d63\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1546\" tg-height=\"570\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>沪市部分股票恢复正常，仍有部分股票尚无法成交</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n沪市部分股票恢复正常，仍有部分股票尚无法成交\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-09-27 10:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>9月27日，继早盘上交所交易系统宕机恢复之后，9月27日午盘开市后，有投资者反映，股票无法成交。对此，多位券商人士告诉记者，目前部分沪市股票恢复了正常，也就是部分股票能成交，部分尚不能成交，可能仍有拥堵现象，需要逐步释放。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56d0b2199d98f01c84421435d731e5e8\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>今日上午不少投资者反馈券商交易出现延迟问题。对此，相关人士表示，目前我们了解的情况，好像其他券商也有这样的问题，目前正在排查原因。目前公司正在根据客户反应的（开户）证券公司进行排查，还不能确定是哪一方的问题，目前在紧急处理了。</p><p>此外，上交所交易系统出现延迟现象。据获悉，目前交易所和券商正在紧急排查和修复中。</p><p>有证券公司从业人员告诉记者，目前上交所交易系统已经崩溃，所有的单子都在后台，可能来不及处理，等处理完以后，系统会挨个报单的。</p><p>随后，上交所公告：本所关注到，今日开盘后本所股票竞价交易出现成交确认缓慢的异常。本所已在第一时间关注到相关情况，正在就相关原因进行排查。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f86bd931a586aff9f1a5d984d420d63\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1546\" tg-height=\"570\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149052692","content_text":"9月27日，继早盘上交所交易系统宕机恢复之后，9月27日午盘开市后，有投资者反映，股票无法成交。对此，多位券商人士告诉记者，目前部分沪市股票恢复了正常，也就是部分股票能成交，部分尚不能成交，可能仍有拥堵现象，需要逐步释放。今日上午不少投资者反馈券商交易出现延迟问题。对此，相关人士表示，目前我们了解的情况，好像其他券商也有这样的问题，目前正在排查原因。目前公司正在根据客户反应的（开户）证券公司进行排查，还不能确定是哪一方的问题，目前在紧急处理了。此外，上交所交易系统出现延迟现象。据获悉，目前交易所和券商正在紧急排查和修复中。有证券公司从业人员告诉记者，目前上交所交易系统已经崩溃，所有的单子都在后台，可能来不及处理，等处理完以后，系统会挨个报单的。随后，上交所公告：本所关注到，今日开盘后本所股票竞价交易出现成交确认缓慢的异常。本所已在第一时间关注到相关情况，正在就相关原因进行排查。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373038189949416,"gmtCreate":1732119388408,"gmtModify":1732119390274,"author":{"id":"4180570450198092","authorId":"4180570450198092","name":"伊祁放勋","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcde5c8d7b81678ff86243f080e14c7a","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4180570450198092","authorIdStr":"4180570450198092"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTC.USD.CC\">$比特币(BTC.USD.CC)$</a> ，给出目标价25万美元。（相关预测图贴在评论区）现在标普6100点着实有点超出了华尔街的预期，12月已经过半，大家觉得最后两周还有机会创新高吗？明年看好哪些板块的潜力？评论区留下你的观点和预测，一起赢取虎币奖励！","text":"Tom Lee 2025年美股最新预测来了，在去年12月一片看衰的预测中，Tom Lee坚定看好24年美股，每个阶段预测的大趋势还是比较准的~2025年展望： $标普500(.SPX)$ 2025年中期会达到7000点，而后调整到年底6600点（就算是跌到6600，也比现在高出10%），Tom Lee称之所以会发生这种情况，是因为历史表明，连续涨20%的概率是很小的，而且特朗普的关税还是个未知数。对于2025年，他看好小盘股 $罗素2000指数ETF(IWM)$ 、金融股 $金融ETF(XLF)$ 和比特币 $比特币(BTC.USD.CC)$ 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成熟的交易者已经学会克服这一点。因为有准备的错误，是交易中不可或缺的一部分，只要当麻烦一出现就切断联系，才是对自己最好的保护，看作给自己再一次机会，而不是一忍再忍期望事情出现神奇转机。 ▌数钱 交易没有完结，没有做出卖出平仓动作之前，不应该过多倾注注意力在已经取得的浮盈上。只要交易在进行中，不确定性随时都存在，然而过于频繁的关注细节，只会加深恐惧，不断质疑已经形成的\"正确\"。 “数钱”恶习通常是那些还不习惯盈利滋味的交易者。每一笔交易都应该有一个入市点和两个出市点，即止损和目标。止损是为了保护，目标是为了获利。 成熟交易者会坚持规则，把每一笔交易的命运放在他们的交易策略上，而不是在他们自己的贪婪或恐惧上。过于\"聪明\"，其实只是不明智，缺乏根据的下意识过快反应。 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财报总体来说不错，不过按往年年底惯例，股价会来回震荡，然后等1月爆发。没上车的可以等回调，上车的可以做双卖薅130～160震荡区间的羊毛。从周三的期权开仓明细可以看出，看跌期权放量非常明显，除了我半夜转发的看跌12月140以外，开仓量第二大的看跌组合是买本周到期140put卖本周到期130put。以今天刚开盘表现来说，看跌140这个策略不能算错。但错就错在群众购买热情太高了，区区5%跌幅给买涨了起来。跟短期策略相比我更看重的是长期策略。可能也有人注意到了昨晚有大量的远期看跌期权开仓，方向是卖出：卖出 $NVDA 20250516 145.0 PUT$ ，成交量4525手卖出 $NVDA 20250919 145.0 PUT$ ，成交量1020手卖出 $NVDA 20250815 145.0 PUT$ ，成交量2319手结合已发布财报来看，卖出平价sell 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