美股反弹背后：量化基金关闭空仓，要再涨100天？_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

美股反弹背后：量化基金关闭空仓，要再涨100天？

华尔街见闻2022-08-18

量化基金“迅速而冷静地”转变立场，以迅雷之势抓住了“非常熊的市场”机会。在经历有史以来最糟糕的上半年之后，美股在下半年开启了反弹模式。自7月以来，纳斯达克综指上涨了近17%，标普500指数上涨了近13%。美股反弹的背后，凸显了投资者悲观情绪的逐渐消散，此前大规模做空美股的量化基金迅速关闭空仓，然后转为做多。对此，野村的策略师Charlie McElligott表示，量化基金“迅速而冷静地”转变立场...

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乖兔兔宝宝
·2022-08-20
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按捺
·2022-08-19
瞎忽悠
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文件专输助手
·2022-08-19
美利坚人类的希望
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iAm22
·2022-08-19
我说了美利坚的机构有胆有担当国外在美的机构也一样，挪威亏1700亿也没说割肉清仓啥的，和其他机构一样而是干，慢慢买！不像大A，不管公募私募都在看谁跑得快！[开心] $特斯拉(TSLA)$$苹果(AAPL)$$腾讯控股(00700)$$英伟达(NVDA)$$Twitter(TWTR)$
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- 不吃一只小虎:
  大A不光比谁跑的快，还比谁没底线
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点点的小爸爸
·2022-08-19
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Kolanovic表示，涨势已经触及市场的大部分角落。过去50天，标普500指数成分股中约有88%的交易价格高于平均水平，该比例远远高于6月中旬的2%。Kolanovic说：“强劲的参与度表明这次反弹是持久的，也是市场尾部风险消退的另一个表现。”“追求低波动的基金将增加整体风险敞口，尤其是股票。”基金经理则更加乐观。美国银行策略师Michael Hartnett本月对投资组合经理进行民意调查后表示，他们“不再像世界末日一样悲观”。美联储激进加息下，美股能支持多久？这在一定程度上取决于美联储接下来的加息幅度。美联储官员曾警告称，将会继续加息并可能将利率维持在交易员预期的上方。另外，通胀加剧和经济衰退也可能继续冲击市场。这也解释了为什么此次美股上涨不是由传统的基金经理和多空股票对冲基金引领，而是由量化基金驱动。巴克莱美国现金股票交易主管Mike Lewis表示：“你会看到一些人做空。”桥水基金认为，当前美股处在一个长期、广泛的滞胀环境中，美股显然还没为一个低增长的环境做好准备。该机构认为，要将通胀降至美联储的目标水平，其货币政策的力度必须大到将美国经济推入衰退。这对市场的意义不言而喻。摩根士丹利则认为，很多美股上市公司表现好恰恰是由于高通胀带来的高收益，而随着通胀下行，很多公司的利润也将下行，其表现将逊于市场预期。该行的Mike Wilson团队表示：“下一轮美股下跌可能要等到9月，届时我们的负经营杠杆理论将更多地反映在盈利预测中。然而，由于美股估值过高，我们认为涨势最好的部分已经结束。”","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":687293432,"gmtCreate":1660993276328,"gmtModify":1660993665414,"author":{"id":"4096717876919280","authorId":"4096717876919280","name":"乖兔兔宝宝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/298a4afda1dc05d168dd5762efcdd9be","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"(•̀⌄•́)","listText":"(•̀⌄•́)","text":"(•̀⌄•́)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/687293432","repostId":1148070609,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":687853068,"gmtCreate":1660883583955,"gmtModify":1660885384404,"author":{"id":"3571787402392083","authorId":"3571787402392083","name":"按捺","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/106bdd2ab7b0800d9949e20ea3819eac","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"瞎忽悠","listText":"瞎忽悠","text":"瞎忽悠","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/687853068","repostId":1148070609,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":687850763,"gmtCreate":1660882563656,"gmtModify":1660882563656,"author":{"id":"3554726406412305","authorId":"3554726406412305","name":"文件专输助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5f43c42373a84dfbcb412784a76f788","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"美利坚 人类的希望","listText":"美利坚 人类的希望","text":"美利坚 人类的希望","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/687850763","repostId":1148070609,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":687850515,"gmtCreate":1660882432439,"gmtModify":1660885116173,"author":{"id":"127367578255012","authorId":"127367578255012","name":"iAm22","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c911514cff6758784e9ec02839cd3c8","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"我说了 &nbsp;美利坚的机构有胆 &nbsp;有担当 &nbsp; 国外在美的机构也一样，挪威亏1700亿也没说割肉清仓啥的，和其他机构一样而是干，慢慢买！不像大A，不管公募私募都在看谁跑得快！[开心]&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a> &nbsp;","listText":"我说了 &nbsp;美利坚的机构有胆 &nbsp;有担当 &nbsp; 国外在美的机构也一样，挪威亏1700亿也没说割肉清仓啥的，和其他机构一样而是干，慢慢买！不像大A，不管公募私募都在看谁跑得快！[开心]&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a> &nbsp;","text":"我说了 美利坚的机构有胆 有担当 国外在美的机构也一样，挪威亏1700亿也没说割肉清仓啥的，和其他机构一样而是干，慢慢买！不像大A，不管公募私募都在看谁跑得快！[开心] $特斯拉(TSLA)$$苹果(AAPL)$$腾讯控股(00700)$$英伟达(NVDA)$$Twitter(TWTR)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/687850515","repostId":1148070609,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7608594,"gmtCreate":1660894793301,"gmtModify":1660894797161,"authorId":3476620393409201,"author":{"id":3476620393409201,"authorId":3476620393409201,"name":"不吃一只小虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbe1ffba4e5e1d0e5e847c24f9b86b60","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":687850515,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"大A不光比谁跑的快，还比谁没底线","text":"大A不光比谁跑的快，还比谁没底线","html":"大A不光比谁跑的快，还比谁没底线"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":687888897,"gmtCreate":1660874296024,"gmtModify":1660874296024,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03a7c4a48ae975b463927daa173b62c3","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/646756f1284a5a6480ed02cc4fa7d1d2","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"(•̀⌄•́)","listText":"(•̀⌄•́)","text":"(•̀⌄•́)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/687888897","repostId":1148070609,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":20,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":5,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}