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刀哥拉丝
2023-03-28
今日回国后意气风发的杰克马表示:ChatGPT这一类技术已经对教育带来挑战,但是ChatGPT这一类技术只是AI时代的开始,要用人工智能去解决问题,而不是被人工智能所控制,虽然人的体力、脑力比不过机器,但机器只有“芯“,而人有“心”。他说,工业时代是知识驱动,知识的在大模型领域,以百度、腾讯、阿里、华为为代表的国内科技巨头均已布局多年。其中百度早在2019年3月发布预训练模型ERNIE 1.0,2023年3月推出了文心一言(ERNIE Bot)。2021年4月,华为发布盘古大模型。2022年4月,腾讯对外披露混元大模型。2022年9月,阿里发布通义大模型系列。腾讯百度我看好,不过阿里这些年搞事情狠逆风,收购的企业也是一家接着一家夭折,难谈乐观。手中还有230美刀成本的阿里巴巴,且看看什么时候能回本吧?
刀哥拉丝
07-17
$拼多多(PDD)$
PDD 的核心逻辑是国内消费品相关的制造业产能长期全面过剩,在这个逻辑未出现拐点前,其基础逻辑不会变化,股价趋势还是要向上的
刀哥拉丝
07-11
$游戏驿站(GME)$
今年通过做空游戏驿站短期内轻松翻倍,验证了做空赚钱速度是做多三倍的股市定理。做空㺯股可以做可以说。做空A股只能做不能说,否则会被骂死
刀哥拉丝
08-02
$亚马逊(AMZN)$
神tm一样的增长,阿里五年利润下跌50%,亚马逊五年利润增长200%,美国电商亚马逊一家独秀,哪像这里京东来了,多多来,抖音快手小红书
刀哥拉丝
08-14
$腾讯控股(00700)$
每次下跌都是机会,腾讯跟其他互联网公司都不一样,护城河太深了。买买买,兄弟们跟上,今天这么绿就是买入的机会
刀哥拉丝
08-16
$小米集团-W(01810)$
走性价比路线,是一个好的方向吗?走性价比路线的企业,利润薄如纸,这么薄的利润如何支撑庞大的研发费用?小米的雷总已经开始意识到这个问题,AI需要庞大的研发费用,没有持续巨大的利润,烧钱做AI,能长久不?
刀哥拉丝
07-31
$英伟达(NVDA)$
明显英伟达的产品供不应求,部分需求只能往amd转移,英伟达还是有很大利润提升空间的
刀哥拉丝
08-06
$英伟达(NVDA)$
下限80对应2万亿,上限120对应3万亿,100对应2.5万亿,感觉要企稳,开启振荡市啦
刀哥拉丝
08-15
$超微电脑(SMCI)$
到拆股前应该会先上1400,然后拆股后继续涨,剧本就是这么个剧本,时间就真说不准了
刀哥拉丝
08-05
$英伟达(NVDA)$
对于英伟达的涨跌,也不评论什么。。天道轮回,股价涨跌,都是资金说了算。。在超级资本面前,我们都只是跟随大浪淘沙的小水滴。跌就跌吧,迟早会长
刀哥拉丝
08-08
$拼多多(PDD)$
钱是卖家的货款,你拼多多手伸到别人口袋去就是小偷,而且扣款从来都没有规则没有原因的,无理由仅退款,无理由扣款
刀哥拉丝
08-01
$新东方(EDU)$
俞敏洪的毅力超出常人,他会想法证明新东方或东方甄选没有董宇辉照样可以很好。我相信老俞,新东方冲冲冲
刀哥拉丝
07-29
$腾讯控股(00700)$
腾讯可能赚钱太容易了,属于卖方市场,做产品不用心。就我经常玩的王者,经常随意大改,不考虑玩家理解的连贯性,出的活动五花八门,毫无价值。总的来说,他们就没有虔诚之心,一种懒洋洋很随意的态度。微信的登录验证体系也是如此。这样下去迟早完蛋
刀哥拉丝
2023-05-06
技术面上来看,短线应该是在筑底,中线给人的感觉还不是很好,如果对这个标的感兴趣,还可以让子弹飞一会
刀哥拉丝
09-09
$英特尔(INTC)$
台积电的专家在接受台湾节目采访的时候说英特尔18a的专家水平比台积电高,然后到你这就是弱了。你可以说英特尔的博士不愿意三班倒,但是你说人家菜,那就是你啥也不懂了
刀哥拉丝
08-15
$英伟达(NVDA)$
英伟达最大的问题反而就是客户太集中了,大客户就那么几个,大客户不会看着卖铲子的一家独大吃完它们利索的 况且这些大客户还都是科技巨头,长期看英伟达很难保持现在初期的利润率
刀哥拉丝
08-12
$台积电(TSM)$
请教一下,如果台积电给我们开放先进制程的芯片,我们能否山寨英伟达?就是这个不可山寨,是制裁造成的,还是纯技术造成的,谢谢了,感觉台积电还是很有实力的
刀哥拉丝
08-05
$微软(MSFT)$
目前有业绩下降的预期,但是还没有流动性崩盘,这个标志是股债汇都暴跌。去年4月有过很短暂的,我买过85左右的20年美债 等,22年有过比较长时间?历史上出现过很多次,国内2014年有过。不要说了历史上大的危机,比如2011年欧债危机,2008年。这些都是我经历过的。都是经济预期衰退,部分重要资产面临绝对迅速危机,引发金融恐慌.,包括股市。
刀哥拉丝
08-02
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
特斯拉的fsd,意思是完全自动驾驶,然后出事故了怎么还让司机担责呀?那什么叫完全自动呢?其实就是不成熟
刀哥拉丝
07-24
$腾讯控股(00700)$
彼得.林奇说:“每当股市大跌,我对未来忧虑之时,我就会回忆过去历史上发生过40次股市大跌这一事实,来安抚自己那颗有些恐惧的心,我告诉自己,股市大跌其实是好事,让我们又一次好机会以很低的价格买入那些很优秀公司的股票。”连世界级别的投资大师面对股市大跌都需要安抚自己那颗恐惧的心,我尔等何人?最近身体状态不佳,都是这行情给闹的 ,今天为自己选了个按摩椅,也算是安抚下自己那颗有些惶恐的心吧 ,毕竟健康才是唯一,账户里浮盈浮亏都只是个数字而已。永远要相常识,没有永远上涨的股票,也没有永远下跌的股市!所以劝朋友们最近少看盘,多出去走走,把股市放下吧,因为生活不仅仅只有股市,还有诗和远方
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所有电车我都不看好,但特斯拉略胜一筹,开车本来风险系数就高,再加上技术不成熟导致的就提高风险概率,不看好电车,但是不妨碍我做多特斯拉","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8c5d0da6f147e7d1bdf23ceae3c94a7","width":"651","height":"383"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342581739180272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":342580746875120,"gmtCreate":1724659438600,"gmtModify":1724659444112,"author":{"id":"9000000000000314","authorId":"9000000000000314","name":"刀哥拉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e51a63f0a1a13425ecd08fb8583607a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000314","authorIdStr":"9000000000000314"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>b站想扭亏,砍补贴了, up主想盈利必须接广告或者带货。 现在100w播放就200-300块收益。 油管上30min视频,500w播放的 能拿到rmb 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8w。,真的难","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ca660d6b7581432e338fbd643adb34a","width":"524","height":"499"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342580746875120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":341347969814872,"gmtCreate":1724349548188,"gmtModify":1724349553241,"author":{"id":"9000000000000314","authorId":"9000000000000314","name":"刀哥拉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e51a63f0a1a13425ecd08fb8583607a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000314","authorIdStr":"9000000000000314"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <v-v 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二季报出差不多了,有几个业绩比快手能打的?粗茶淡饭的日子,大家还没习惯。快手大有前途,可以一直持有,能买就要买","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/029bd9608773b884bcb31e230d552f6e","width":"500","height":"500"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341346896437592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":766,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":341345932534104,"gmtCreate":1724349050804,"gmtModify":1724349055592,"author":{"id":"9000000000000314","authorId":"9000000000000314","name":"刀哥拉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e51a63f0a1a13425ecd08fb8583607a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000314","authorIdStr":"9000000000000314"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>冒昧的问一下上海那边大多数人对国产不感冒,但是上海又是高消费人群集聚低地,尊界能否在上海站稳一席之地,我感觉上海是蔚来卖的最好的地方","listText":"<a 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持有腾讯,未来十年闭眼赚钱,也如巴菲特所言,可以睡觉挣钱,腾讯牛逼,兄弟们买买买","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5515542427894fc98a99126eab1e8eef","width":"524","height":"499"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341344379171056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":340293080068144,"gmtCreate":1724087156450,"gmtModify":1724087160770,"author":{"id":"9000000000000314","authorId":"9000000000000314","name":"刀哥拉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e51a63f0a1a13425ecd08fb8583607a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000314","authorIdStr":"9000000000000314"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>台积电这地方以严苛的工作环境著称,不但经常周末加班,甚至半夜紧急召回员工。台湾地区管理层以强硬风格著称,员工稍有失误可能面临严厉处罚甚至解雇。然而,这种管理模式在美国水土不服。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>台积电这地方以严苛的工作环境著称,不但经常周末加班,甚至半夜紧急召回员工。台湾地区管理层以强硬风格著称,员工稍有失误可能面临严厉处罚甚至解雇。然而,这种管理模式在美国水土不服。","text":"$台积电(TSM)$ 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data-views=\"0\"></v-v>我觉得现阶段对于阿里来说,收入利润都不是最关键的,重要的是的用户体验和GMV,当前竞争格局下,还追求收入和利润,阿里才是真的危险。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>我觉得现阶段对于阿里来说,收入利润都不是最关键的,重要的是的用户体验和GMV,当前竞争格局下,还追求收入和利润,阿里才是真的危险。","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 我觉得现阶段对于阿里来说,收入利润都不是最关键的,重要的是的用户体验和GMV,当前竞争格局下,还追求收入和利润,阿里才是真的危险。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5074b9ab8b04b4519a4d2a4b301ec4aa","width":"524","height":"499"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340291478425776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":659618587,"gmtCreate":1680007762049,"gmtModify":1680010111950,"author":{"id":"9000000000000314","authorId":"9000000000000314","name":"刀哥拉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e51a63f0a1a13425ecd08fb8583607a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000314","authorIdStr":"9000000000000314"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"今日回国后意气风发的杰克马表示:ChatGPT这一类技术已经对教育带来挑战,但是ChatGPT这一类技术只是AI时代的开始,要用人工智能去解决问题,而不是被人工智能所控制,虽然人的体力、脑力比不过机器,但机器只有“芯“,而人有“心”。他说,工业时代是知识驱动,知识的在大模型领域,以百度、腾讯、阿里、华为为代表的国内科技巨头均已布局多年。其中百度早在2019年3月发布预训练模型ERNIE 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神tm一样的增长,阿里五年利润下跌50%,亚马逊五年利润增长200%,美国电商亚马逊一家独秀,哪像这里京东来了,多多来,抖音快手小红书","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2074ab078f14f12cb82cdef735d53ed","width":"600","height":"471"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334111240073216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":338350964981936,"gmtCreate":1723615143754,"gmtModify":1723615149267,"author":{"id":"9000000000000314","authorId":"9000000000000314","name":"刀哥拉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e51a63f0a1a13425ecd08fb8583607a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000314","authorIdStr":"9000000000000314"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>每次下跌都是机会,腾讯跟其他互联网公司都不一样,护城河太深了。买买买,兄弟们跟上,今天这么绿就是买入的机会","listText":"<a 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台积电的专家在接受台湾节目采访的时候说英特尔18a的专家水平比台积电高,然后到你这就是弱了。你可以说英特尔的博士不愿意三班倒,但是你说人家菜,那就是你啥也不懂了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3dbf4537edcb7bd5f8227b24c1d30ea","width":"500","height":"500"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347476974940296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":338747229769904,"gmtCreate":1723709875071,"gmtModify":1723709947702,"author":{"id":"9000000000000314","authorId":"9000000000000314","name":"刀哥拉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e51a63f0a1a13425ecd08fb8583607a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000314","authorIdStr":"9000000000000314"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>英伟达最大的问题反而就是客户太集中了,大客户就那么几个,大客户不会看着卖铲子的一家独大吃完它们利索的 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等,22年有过比较长时间?历史上出现过很多次,国内2014年有过。不要说了历史上大的危机,比如2011年欧债危机,2008年。这些都是我经历过的。都是经济预期衰退,部分重要资产面临绝对迅速危机,引发金融恐慌.,包括股市。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d75618308aeb0417130898027240c68","width":"500","height":"756"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/335140445757608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1936,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334113004478464,"gmtCreate":1722603484229,"gmtModify":1722603487964,"author":{"id":"9000000000000314","authorId":"9000000000000314","name":"刀哥拉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e51a63f0a1a13425ecd08fb8583607a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000314","authorIdStr":"9000000000000314"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <v-v 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特斯拉的fsd,意思是完全自动驾驶,然后出事故了怎么还让司机担责呀?那什么叫完全自动呢?其实就是不成熟","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f12ef73a907753369521a8be36891b96","width":"600","height":"446"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334113004478464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":330981630935040,"gmtCreate":1721830023225,"gmtModify":1721830025689,"author":{"id":"9000000000000314","authorId":"9000000000000314","name":"刀哥拉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e51a63f0a1a13425ecd08fb8583607a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000314","authorIdStr":"9000000000000314"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> <v-v 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