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黄油手11
10-19
$腾讯控股(00700)$
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
微信巨大的用户群体,让淘宝接入微信支付以后,空间直接打开了。QuestMobile报告显示,9月淘宝开始逐步接入微信支付后,淘宝和微信的重叠用户单月增长2090万,从8.16亿提升到8.37亿,淘宝使用中调起微信的用户环比呈现明显增长。按照现在这个趋势,淘宝微信互通以后,按照之前的复合增长率测算,明年淘宝月活估计要增超过8000万,届时淘宝月活用户数要突破10亿。这对阿里巴巴以及腾讯控股都是利好,双重利好。中概互联的2个权重股,合兵一处了。都值得期待。
黄油手11
10-19
$腾讯控股(00700)$
第一次买腾讯是2021年8月25日,大概430港元,随后一年跌到低于200,越跌越买成了我这三年稳定不变的第一重仓股。现在仍然是430港元,但是3年里,腾讯又成长了很多,小程序、视频号、DNF、无畏契约……很多现金牛产品从小牛变大牛。现在的430要比3年前的430低估,所以现在430仍然是我的买入区间,只是个股集中度和更大安全边际的考虑不会再多增持了。
黄油手11
10-14
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
今晚将实现真正之止跌回升 预计本月到达30
黄油手11
10-14
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
跌穿weekly 头肩底形态 颈部 234 成巨大压力, 站稳223.4 可尝试博GAP Fill, 周五EMA250稍为反弹, 203左右 MA200 可耐心等候, 向下望没有太多空间 目前不建议Short
黄油手11
10-13
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
特斯拉大概率是10倍股。特斯拉在超级充电桩,储能,电动车,皮卡,重型卡车,自动驾驶技术,机器人,自动驾驶出租车等方面做得领先。它们叠加一起的智能机器人(包括 Cybercab),当今世界那个公司有能力与其竞争?英伟达,谷歌,苹果,微软尽管很大很优秀,但是不在同一个竞争轨道。
黄油手11
10-12
$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$
放心吧,慢牛。今天的叫预期管理,一下说出来,太激进,不利于稳定,要的是滔滔流水详细可以拜读下周易。
黄油手11
10-12
$英伟达(NVDA)$
这个月的财报期:其他AI软件是否变现!要看AI变现程度,空仓最好,或者做空!AI快2年了,变现很难就糟了!上个季度财报AI软件变现不怎么好!这个季度是决定性考验!加上现在市值那么高!
黄油手11
10-12
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
种草了Optimus机器人,女性梦想中的未来,做家务,做饭,带娃,任劳任怨,24小时无休!在特斯拉工作的朋友说,现在手部是11个自由度,人类是20多个,以后也会想往二十几个发展。特斯拉又证明了自己是一家科技公司而非一家车企,等着量产呀~利益披露:趁发布会下跌,已重新建仓
黄油手11
10-11
$小米集团-W(01810)$
小米的布局已经为小米未来市值打开了巨大的空间了,手机、iot、车都有巨大的市场空间,小米稳步提升市场份额,市值空间巨大,能上50、就能上100;能上100,就能上200的。未来1-3年是小米最关键的时期,一个锐变的阶段,一年内锐变成效显著、苗头明显,市值将会打开巨大的空间
黄油手11
10-11
$腾讯控股(00700)$
重阳节港股停牌一天,加上周末,相当于腾讯控股今天已提前进入静默期。今年第一次静默期前,腾讯股价310多,属于严重低估,进入静默期后股价涨幅不小。第二次进入静默期前,股价397,因为二季报未发布,市场分歧较大,股价一路跌破350。第三次静默期前,股价438.8,本周已下跌43,市场回归理性。这次静默期,股价可能会在398——468区间内
黄油手11
10-10
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
现在的特斯拉,是科技公司里搞品牌的,科技的成分并没有那么高了。相比互联网平台或者零售巨头,品牌的价值是更低的,因为商业模式比较差。可以比较最优秀的品牌 耐克爱马法拉利 之类的最近10年,相对于前者(MAG5 costco)的股价走势就可以看出来,差异还是很明显的。卖车靠品牌这事儿没什么疑问,车里唯一有技术领先的也就是FSD,我拍脑袋也就领先半年,还是在美国,在国内95%是落后的。你如果对这条判断不认同以你为准。Robotaxi 也是数年后的事儿,这也只是个品牌,他们有的,最终 别人都会有。别人没有的只是老马这个超级品牌。真的科技,特斯拉和老马还在追赶openAI。老马之前的成功都是找一个别人不做的领域,用他的判断力的和远见成功,而参加这种AI的军备竞赛,参赛者可不是以前 spaceX和 特斯拉的竞争对手那种菜鸡,而是世界上最优秀的企业家和科学家工程师们。品牌的估值是平台的2倍多,老马也是非常的贴心,可以让大家在美股找到炒A股的感觉。
黄油手11
10-10
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
早就说了是牛市 被套不用担心早晚上100 拿住才是最正确的
黄油手11
10-09
$超微电脑(SMCI)$
财报先出,10k后出。财报好,市场是拉还是不拉?套住的应该有机会解套了
黄油手11
10-09
$蔚来(NIO)$
李斌这哥们儿是目前中国新能源汽车公司当家人里格局最大的,新能源汽车是国家战略,长期看好和持有蔚来
黄油手11
10-08
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
目前的态势下基本不会清仓,阿里无论如何正常股价都应该在150以上
黄油手11
10-08
$蔚来(NIO)$
蔚来未来可期,充电站太方便了。真正让新能源和油车一样的便利快捷。本身车子设计和做工也都非常不错。虽然目前没有盈利,但是盈利是迟早的事
黄油手11
10-05
$腾讯控股(00700)$
周一港股恒生指数将会迎来暴力拉升,问我为什么知道,因为国庆节后 周二A股要开盘了,目前的热度人气旺盛是冲着涨停去的,绝对不会让港股砸盘泼冷水!而港股首当其冲会拉伸的一定是 科技 券商 还有腾讯控股这个低估值 安全 并且 影响点位最多的巨无霸,暂时我看周一恒生指数暴涨6%➕ 同步腾讯涨6%+等待周一 我们拭目以待!周一腾讯股价500以上见
黄油手11
10-04
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
$腾讯控股(00700)$
阿里虽然可能低估,但现在腹背受敌,既有来自拼多多、京东等传统电商的强力竞争,又有来自抖音、视频号、快手等直播电商的围剿,还有来自像美团小象超市这种新的及时送达的零售电商的觊觎,未来的增长充满不确定性。而至于你说的新能源汽车早已经是红海,竞争激烈、投入大、利润薄,卷到不能再卷了。唯有腾讯确定性最好,妥妥的地表最强。
黄油手11
10-04
$万科企业(02202)$
现在都有人开始慌了,觉得牛市后面房价要涨!开始想买房了啊!这么预期的话万科回20也是有可能的!嗯、对!就是这个节奏!
黄油手11
10-03
$美团-W(03690)$
在没有出三季报,股价基本反应了基本面,198以上的部分,都是估值的提升,需要后续的超额业绩来证明,从今天的走势,来看毫无疑问是恒生科技的龙头。既然舞曲还没停,就好好享受吧。
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这个月的财报期:其他AI软件是否变现!要看AI变现程度,空仓最好,或者做空!AI快2年了,变现很难就糟了!上个季度财报AI软件变现不怎么好!这个季度是决定性考验!加上现在市值那么高!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359196951433648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3472539425201372","authorId":"3472539425201372","name":"楠竹先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55d25305d2d90bf70f5bd39edd845328","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3472539425201372","authorIdStr":"3472539425201372"},"content":"有任何能变现的迹象吗?","text":"有任何能变现的迹象吗?","html":"有任何能变现的迹象吗?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359185663967392,"gmtCreate":1728699824208,"gmtModify":1728699827451,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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小米的布局已经为小米未来市值打开了巨大的空间了,手机、iot、车都有巨大的市场空间,小米稳步提升市场份额,市值空间巨大,能上50、就能上100;能上100,就能上200的。未来1-3年是小米最关键的时期,一个锐变的阶段,一年内锐变成效显著、苗头明显,市值将会打开巨大的空间","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/389e6442869c54fe47085f3e63dfce65","width":"305","height":"234"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358984421429680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":358975019725232,"gmtCreate":1728648258522,"gmtModify":1728648261750,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 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重阳节港股停牌一天,加上周末,相当于腾讯控股今天已提前进入静默期。今年第一次静默期前,腾讯股价310多,属于严重低估,进入静默期后股价涨幅不小。第二次进入静默期前,股价397,因为二季报未发布,市场分歧较大,股价一路跌破350。第三次静默期前,股价438.8,本周已下跌43,市场回归理性。这次静默期,股价可能会在398——468区间内","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358975019725232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":358579819073640,"gmtCreate":1728567568475,"gmtModify":1728567661712,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 现在的特斯拉,是科技公司里搞品牌的,科技的成分并没有那么高了。相比互联网平台或者零售巨头,品牌的价值是更低的,因为商业模式比较差。可以比较最优秀的品牌 耐克爱马法拉利 之类的最近10年,相对于前者(MAG5 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目前市场确实存在挑战,有国际环境,有竞争对手,有供应链和客户的。但做价值投资,你认为电商市场是否增长?是!你认为 pdd 是否管理落后了,甚至患上了大公司病?否。高管团队是否安于现状,死于安乐,缺乏危机意识?否!是否有重大政策风险,国际纠纷?否。 股票短期走势永远是人的信心,长期看公司运营团队。 如果估值合理,就具备投资价值。","text":"先说态度:对拼多多的判断,更多体现的是投资逻辑。 目前市场确实存在挑战,有国际环境,有竞争对手,有供应链和客户的。但做价值投资,你认为电商市场是否增长?是!你认为 pdd 是否管理落后了,甚至患上了大公司病?否。高管团队是否安于现状,死于安乐,缺乏危机意识?否!是否有重大政策风险,国际纠纷?否。 股票短期走势永远是人的信心,长期看公司运营团队。 如果估值合理,就具备投资价值。","html":"先说态度:对拼多多的判断,更多体现的是投资逻辑。 目前市场确实存在挑战,有国际环境,有竞争对手,有供应链和客户的。但做价值投资,你认为电商市场是否增长?是!你认为 pdd 是否管理落后了,甚至患上了大公司病?否。高管团队是否安于现状,死于安乐,缺乏危机意识?否!是否有重大政策风险,国际纠纷?否。 股票短期走势永远是人的信心,长期看公司运营团队。 如果估值合理,就具备投资价值。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":348653196181520,"gmtCreate":1726151840841,"gmtModify":1726153930605,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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现在不能做空,除非Rsi指标显示超过80.超买才能空。我只做多此股,这股拉起来分秒钟的事。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080b9984eb0c22bee877c4dbddffad8a","width":"206","height":"234"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348653196181520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":349002061455384,"gmtCreate":1726226250168,"gmtModify":1726226253431,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a> 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现在的理想汽车,交易量极低,涨起来很弱,跌起来很猛,信心严重不足,本来觉得19很低估,结果能在19震荡那么久,很神奇。端到端已经开始,投资的机构,还看不到未来么?最近蔚来和小鹏反而很猛,底部起来都快一半涨幅了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/349002061455384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2037,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":352588355326248,"gmtCreate":1727102490528,"gmtModify":1727102495054,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 可能会回踩一下,这两天就会出中国经济的利好政策,然后能到100,大家拿好了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 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小米最近的走势已经很显著的超过了恒生科技指数,算是走的特别强的个股,在美元降息、基本面稳扎稳打继续向上的背景下,继续持有小米,突破20是迟早的事情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbf433c5103f28bdd97b41e8a3e1ba80","width":"275","height":"221"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352181780656280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":351502601855128,"gmtCreate":1726837484078,"gmtModify":1726837490313,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 在别人恐惧的时候一定要贪婪 - 这盘洗得太厉害了。Q2财报给的预期的相对保守。看来Q3财报会有大惊喜!","listText":"<a 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<v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> PDD国内业务已经卷到头了,其他电商也跟着仅退货,没有增长空间了,到了天花板了,被政府盯上了。国外面临政策风险,800刀免税额随时会取消,其他打压措施随时可能出台,不打压PDD,亚马逊怎么活?PDD先回到92","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> PDD国内业务已经卷到头了,其他电商也跟着仅退货,没有增长空间了,到了天花板了,被政府盯上了。国外面临政策风险,800刀免税额随时会取消,其他打压措施随时可能出台,不打压PDD,亚马逊怎么活?PDD先回到92","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$ PDD国内业务已经卷到头了,其他电商也跟着仅退货,没有增长空间了,到了天花板了,被政府盯上了。国外面临政策风险,800刀免税额随时会取消,其他打压措施随时可能出台,不打压PDD,亚马逊怎么活?PDD先回到92","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351064240840856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350437901230232,"gmtCreate":1726576893990,"gmtModify":1726576895293,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 感觉1-2个季度,阿里的股票120左右,我一直觉得阿里的股票是被低估了,比拼多多盘子大","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 感觉1-2个季度,阿里的股票120左右,我一直觉得阿里的股票是被低估了,比拼多多盘子大","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 感觉1-2个季度,阿里的股票120左右,我一直觉得阿里的股票是被低估了,比拼多多盘子大","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350437901230232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":348992517218328,"gmtCreate":1726223920032,"gmtModify":1726223923371,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 谷歌现在是逢低就买入,未来肯定不止这个价。估值偏低了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 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data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 早就说了是牛市 被套不用担心早晚上100 拿住才是最正确的","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 早就说了是牛市 被套不用担心早晚上100 拿住才是最正确的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358559790977128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3541403488067812","authorId":"3541403488067812","name":"冰河之恋","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12799f9e84ddbe716d59f31b6cdde9cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3541403488067812","authorIdStr":"3541403488067812"},"content":"100有些离谱吧……虽然我也想它能上去[笑哭]","text":"100有些离谱吧……虽然我也想它能上去[笑哭]","html":"100有些离谱吧……虽然我也想它能上去[笑哭]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":354254664372224,"gmtCreate":1727518965936,"gmtModify":1727518967845,"author":{"id":"9000000000000293","authorId":"9000000000000293","name":"黄油手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000293","authorIdStr":"9000000000000293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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