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Lex
2020-03-23
别想波音了,我们来聊聊航空股
$波音(BA)$
这两天讨论的人很多了,波音的业绩数据烂成什么样,大家有目共睹,想抄底的人无非是在赌美国政府不会任其消失。波音当然是不会消失的,但是并不代表不会破产重组,
$通用电气(GE)$
前车之鉴,本来应该由大股东买单的局,小散们就别挤着去刷卡了。与其抄底波音,不如我们来审视一下与波音唇齿相依的航空股我主要看了
$美国航空(AAL)$
$达美航空(DAL)$
$联合大陆航空(UAL)$
$西南航空(LUV)$
$阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司(ALK)$
几个航空公司,我比较懒不想花功夫在处理图表上,感兴趣的话大家自己去查数据就好,我只表达一下我的观点:航空股机会: 航空公司是受疫情影响最严重的板块,同时也是最超卖的股票 航空出行是美国人刚需,需求反弹迅速 航空公司的现金流很好 航空公司主要成本之一油价将会较长时间的出于历史较低水平 同样的,风险: 航空公
别想波音了,我们来聊聊航空股
Lex
2018-08-31
据说现在还并不是游戏行业的至暗时刻 未经证实。 $网易(NTES)$ $Tencent(00700)$
Lex
2018-06-22
这家公司女老板我认识的
$Aptinyx Inc.(APTX)$ 这个公司主要业务是生物制药,主要方向是大脑和神经方面的,不过老板很有野心的,最终目标是研制出能够极大程度延长人类寿命的药剂。 公司上一代主打产品是一款胶囊制剂,不过在临床期因为副作用不明确而停止试验了,没有到最终量产阶段所以也没有正式名,药房那边都只有代号 APTX 4869。 公司女老板叫Dr. Sherry,个子不高,看起来冷冷的,不怎么说话的,我们比较熟的一般会叫她小哀。
这家公司女老板我认识的
Lex
2018-07-03
虽然现在有点马后炮了
$赫尔曼米勒(MLHR)$ 赫曼米勒一直是美国很多公司办公椅标配,众所周知近几个月美国失业率低至3.8%,是有史以来最佳就业状态,而赫曼米勒上季财报因业绩不佳股价大跌10个点,并调低了本季营收预期,这其中存在较大的价值被低估的可能。 这就是我财报前埋伏做多的逻辑,成本大概 33.50
虽然现在有点马后炮了
Lex
2019-08-17
$通用电气(GE)$
百足之虫 死而不僵做空报告完整的看过,内容翔实细节充分有理有据,GE财务有大问题几乎可以说是板上钉钉的事了。然而毕竟是百年老店根基深厚,诸多资本牵绕其中盘根错节,跌不下去的原因可能正如报告所比:安然。美国金融业今日回忆起这两个字怕是仍要心有余悸脊背发凉,多米诺倒下的时候谁都不敢说一定全身而退,于是连各路做空出身的大佬都纷纷挺身相助,170多页的报告几乎只把股价打下去了半天,真叫一个众志成城。7月底4万美金下注10月8.0PUT的大佬不出意外该也见好平仓了,8倍收益落袋也没必要继续当全民公敌,只是这遮丑布一撕下来,朝哪发展就很难说了,真金白银顶出来的时间是否够GE转圜,各位看官且看后事如何
Lex
2018-12-27
$500彩票网(WBAI)$ 互彩目前有很多根本性问题搞不定,开放遥遥无期,这只股未来基本面堪忧。 最可能的结果就是维持阴跌现状,每隔两年到世界杯奥运会时蹭一轮热度涨一波割一波韭菜,然后再阴跌两年; 另外目前最大股东紫光是国资背景,如果玩的骚一点可以先让股票长期保持阴跌,到足够低的时候宣布私有化然后想办法回A股上市,再炒作一轮互彩政策松动割国内韭菜
Lex
2018-07-02
请教一下各位多头哥哥们
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 多少钱止盈比较合适啊? 我成本296左右
请教一下各位多头哥哥们
Lex
2018-11-21
$京东(JD)$ 701那位大哥求你别刷了,都一年多之前的破事了,不管是好是坏也早都已经price in了,就你这时效还搞的跟自己捡了宝别人都不知道一样的。 再说了,看你账号发的内容,除了无脑黑京东之外就再没一条别的了,你说你这跟JD雇的水军有什么区别啊,莫非你也是当年701计划参与者后来JD欠薪没发你不成?
Lex
2017-09-18
史上最惨iPhone,未发货已降价
$苹果(AAPL)$ iPhone 8首批还没发货,港行的港币报价已经低于官网报价,这在整个iPhone的发售史上从未出现过,短期谨慎看空$苹果(AAPL)$ ,中长期看iPhone X产能和销量的消息了
史上最惨iPhone,未发货已降价
Lex
2019-01-11
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 原来B站玩家画风是这样的 [捂脸][捂脸]
Lex
2017-11-01
感谢巴巴
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 感谢阿里大半年来持续稳定的增长,正是因为88始终占了一半以上的仓位,我才敢在遇到高风险的机会时浪上几把,虽然88并没有贡献最多的盈利,但始终是个定心丸。不过没有不散的筵席,88近几个月来几次起落虽总能回到高位,但毕竟过了最高速增长的阶段,我也打算在明日财报前止盈下车了,不是不看好,这一路走来已足够美好,祝88明日财报后大涨,祝继续持有的兄弟们发财!后会有期!
感谢巴巴
Lex
2020-04-08
看了
$爱奇艺(IQ)$
的做空报告最大的感觉是现在的做空机构都这么好做了吗?就两页纸还不带证据就敢来做空了,还有没有点职业操守啊,莫非还囤着第二弹?个人对于财务审计方面的问题有些不了解,假如用户在小米电视上付费观看了来自爱奇艺的付费内容,那么爱奇艺账上做一笔用户付费的营业收入,再做一笔给小米的推广费营业费用,那么这种行为在审计上有什么问题吗?算是虚增收入甚至财务欺诈吗?另外一个细节是浑水跳出来摸鱼,说这份报告他们有帮忙收集证据,呃,那你倒是以浑水的名义发出来啊,找个成立不到一年的愣头青发布报告是怕做空不成发而坏了自己名声吗?
Lex
2018-06-30
不用慌
$优信(UXIN)$ 这股就是庄家还没启动呢,优信这种天生一副乱民相的中概是不会安安稳稳平平淡淡过日子的,破发了反倒是个上车的好机会。
不用慌
Lex
2017-11-17
做网易末日期权的赚到吐了吧
$网易(NTES)$有人出来炫耀一下吗,我把膝盖给你
做网易末日期权的赚到吐了吧
Lex
2017-10-24
iPhone X 这个出货量是怎么个水平?
$苹果(AAPL)$ 据郑州海关,截至23日,该关共监管iPhoneX合计86.49万台,出境60.00万台,内销26.49万台。
iPhone X 这个出货量是怎么个水平?
Lex
2017-10-15
苹果可以安全空到2018Q1了吧
就算iPhone 8现在卖的这么惨,苹果股价还是能站回155上,很重要的原因就是后面还有个iPhone X撑着投资者的信心。然后今天媒体从郑州海关获悉,10 月 14 日郑州海关监管首批 4.65 万台苹果新品手机 iPhone X 从郑州新郑综合保税区发货,分别从新郑国际机场和上海浦东国际机场运往荷兰和阿联酋。发布会到现在一个多月憋出来4万多部iPhone X,我往乐观一点算今年都未必能出货到50万部吧,2017的业绩没什么好说的了吧$苹果(AAPL)$
苹果可以安全空到2018Q1了吧
Lex
2018-07-04
Google早已不是当年不作恶的Google
$谷歌(GOOG)$ $谷歌A(GOOGL)$ 不知年初那场烧垮$Facebook(FB)$ 的隐私大火对Google影响如何? Google 公司已承认,其 Gmail 用户的私人电邮有可能被第三方开发者读取,且读取者不仅是机器,还包括真实的人。使用这些第三方应用的用户,有可能会在不知不觉间授权这些应用读取自己的电邮内容。此前,华尔街日报曾于周一发布报导指,Google 公司一年前曾表示停止以提供个性化广告为目的让其电脑通过扫描 Gmail 用户的电邮来获取信息,但现在发现 Google 仍在允许数以百计的第三方软件开发者扫描大量 Gmail 用户收件箱――因为这些用户注册了基于电子邮件的各类服务,包括提供购物价格比较、自动旅行日程安排等工具。
Google早已不是当年不作恶的Google
Lex
2018-05-05
$网易(NTES)$ 游戏行业不确定性很高,但是网易这只票其实还是有比较明显的周期性的。 得益于网易在游戏领域的研发与创新能力,其未来继续产出高质量游戏的可能性仍然极高。 纵观网易股价波动,与主力游戏表现关联性非常大,阴阳师成为现象级手游时,股价突破新高,阴阳师数据下滑后股价随之下滑,王者荣耀独占鳌头时股价跌至中期低点;随后网易吃鸡系列手游雄起,股价再次突破新高达到历史巅峰,然后腾讯系吃鸡游戏翻盘上位,网易股价再次回落,近期股价持续低迷主要由于当前主力游戏第五人格表现不佳,主力游戏市场占有率处于空窗状态,加上近期网易文艺板块身陷多事之秋,电商板块疑似进入瓶颈期,看起来没有一个很好的增长点刺激投资者。 考虑到网易内部各个游戏工作室独立运作的方式,未来半年内有较大概率再出现象级手游,如此股价可期回升至320左右,目前245左右股价已经是一年内低点,下跌空间有限,中期看多。
Lex
2020-04-14
$跟谁学(GSX)$
跟谁学:你们别嫌我跌得少,你看4月2号3号瑞幸,4月7号爱奇艺,4月8号好未来…,但凡有兄弟被做空的时候哪天我没跟着跌一波?
Lex
2018-07-03
$人人网(RENN)$ 蚂蚁金服近日斥资近1亿美元投资了社交投资网站**,交易将于近期完成交割。陈一舟旗下人人公司在此次交易中有大幅减持,但仍保留了少量**的股权。据知情人士透露,此轮融资中**的估值约为4到5亿美元。 陈老板真是投得一手好资,人人网的壳子还留着干嘛啊?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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你做空你也会发财,除非你是因为职位无法做空😂"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256084,"gmtCreate":1535719670834,"gmtModify":1704772039087,"author":{"id":"7437452733931699","authorId":"7437452733931699","name":"Lex","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/4ee2ee44f49b3252eed2089776911075","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"7437452733931699","authorIdStr":"7437452733931699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"据说现在还并不是游戏行业的至暗时刻 未经证实。 $网易(NTES)$ $Tencent(00700)$","listText":"据说现在还并不是游戏行业的至暗时刻 未经证实。 $网易(NTES)$ $Tencent(00700)$","text":"据说现在还并不是游戏行业的至暗时刻 未经证实。 $网易(NTES)$ $Tencent(00700)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a68857de987562fd52d2fafd716c247d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":29,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256084","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"7437452733931699","authorId":"7437452733931699","name":"Lex","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/4ee2ee44f49b3252eed2089776911075","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"7437452733931699","authorIdStr":"7437452733931699"},"content":"如果传闻属实,就需要好好思考一下当下政府的治理思路了。最近一系列涉税法规操作对影视,创投,游戏行业进行了精准打击,那么这些行业是否有共同点?政府这样做的目的是什么?是否有其他类似行业也面临同样的风险?","text":"如果传闻属实,就需要好好思考一下当下政府的治理思路了。最近一系列涉税法规操作对影视,创投,游戏行业进行了精准打击,那么这些行业是否有共同点?政府这样做的目的是什么?是否有其他类似行业也面临同样的风险?","html":"如果传闻属实,就需要好好思考一下当下政府的治理思路了。最近一系列涉税法规操作对影视,创投,游戏行业进行了精准打击,那么这些行业是否有共同点?政府这样做的目的是什么?是否有其他类似行业也面临同样的风险?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":920885427,"gmtCreate":1584973763969,"gmtModify":1704356395709,"author":{"id":"7437452733931699","authorId":"7437452733931699","name":"Lex","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/4ee2ee44f49b3252eed2089776911075","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"7437452733931699","idStr":"7437452733931699"},"themes":[],"title":"别想波音了,我们来聊聊航空股","htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GE\">$通用电气(GE)$</a> 前车之鉴,本来应该由大股东买单的局,小散们就别挤着去刷卡了。与其抄底波音,不如我们来审视一下与波音唇齿相依的航空股我主要看了 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$美国航空(AAL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$达美航空(DAL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$联合大陆航空(UAL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$西南航空(LUV)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALK\">$阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司(ALK)$</a> 几个航空公司,我比较懒不想花功夫在处理图表上,感兴趣的话大家自己去查数据就好,我只表达一下我的观点:航空股机会: 航空公司是受疫情影响最严重的板块,同时也是最超卖的股票 航空出行是美国人刚需,需求反弹迅速 航空公司的现金流很好 航空公司主要成本之一油价将会较长时间的出于历史较低水平 同样的,风险: 航空公","text":"$波音(BA)$ 这两天讨论的人很多了,波音的业绩数据烂成什么样,大家有目共睹,想抄底的人无非是在赌美国政府不会任其消失。波音当然是不会消失的,但是并不代表不会破产重组,$通用电气(GE)$ 前车之鉴,本来应该由大股东买单的局,小散们就别挤着去刷卡了。与其抄底波音,不如我们来审视一下与波音唇齿相依的航空股我主要看了 $美国航空(AAL)$ $达美航空(DAL)$ $联合大陆航空(UAL)$ $西南航空(LUV)$ $阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司(ALK)$ 几个航空公司,我比较懒不想花功夫在处理图表上,感兴趣的话大家自己去查数据就好,我只表达一下我的观点:航空股机会: 航空公司是受疫情影响最严重的板块,同时也是最超卖的股票 航空出行是美国人刚需,需求反弹迅速 航空公司的现金流很好 航空公司主要成本之一油价将会较长时间的出于历史较低水平 同样的,风险: 航空公","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":81,"commentSize":62,"repostSize":19,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/920885427","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3537124501421979","authorId":"3537124501421979","name":"小胡子大肚子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07f60c7dc8d00bc2268de04e24205171","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3537124501421979","idStr":"3537124501421979"},"content":"纠正一个小错误 从ev/ebitda的ratio里 看不出负债率。你看到的是企业价值乘数 可以判断有没有高估和低估。如果你研究达美的负债率 可以看看 财报里debt /asset 之类的数据 它目前短期负债20亿 cunrrent asset只有8亿, 存在一定的风险。","text":"纠正一个小错误 从ev/ebitda的ratio里 看不出负债率。你看到的是企业价值乘数 可以判断有没有高估和低估。如果你研究达美的负债率 可以看看 财报里debt /asset 之类的数据 它目前短期负债20亿 cunrrent asset只有8亿, 存在一定的风险。","html":"纠正一个小错误 从ev/ebitda的ratio里 看不出负债率。你看到的是企业价值乘数 可以判断有没有高估和低估。如果你研究达美的负债率 可以看看 财报里debt /asset 之类的数据 它目前短期负债20亿 cunrrent asset只有8亿, 存在一定的风险。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256084,"gmtCreate":1535719670834,"gmtModify":1704772039087,"author":{"id":"7437452733931699","authorId":"7437452733931699","name":"Lex","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/4ee2ee44f49b3252eed2089776911075","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"7437452733931699","idStr":"7437452733931699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"据说现在还并不是游戏行业的至暗时刻 未经证实。 $网易(NTES)$ $Tencent(00700)$","listText":"据说现在还并不是游戏行业的至暗时刻 未经证实。 $网易(NTES)$ $Tencent(00700)$","text":"据说现在还并不是游戏行业的至暗时刻 未经证实。 $网易(NTES)$ $Tencent(00700)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a68857de987562fd52d2fafd716c247d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":29,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256084","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"7437452733931699","authorId":"7437452733931699","name":"Lex","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/4ee2ee44f49b3252eed2089776911075","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"7437452733931699","idStr":"7437452733931699"},"content":"如果传闻属实,就需要好好思考一下当下政府的治理思路了。最近一系列涉税法规操作对影视,创投,游戏行业进行了精准打击,那么这些行业是否有共同点?政府这样做的目的是什么?是否有其他类似行业也面临同样的风险?","text":"如果传闻属实,就需要好好思考一下当下政府的治理思路了。最近一系列涉税法规操作对影视,创投,游戏行业进行了精准打击,那么这些行业是否有共同点?政府这样做的目的是什么?是否有其他类似行业也面临同样的风险?","html":"如果传闻属实,就需要好好思考一下当下政府的治理思路了。最近一系列涉税法规操作对影视,创投,游戏行业进行了精准打击,那么这些行业是否有共同点?政府这样做的目的是什么?是否有其他类似行业也面临同样的风险?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":207480,"gmtCreate":1529610636369,"gmtModify":1704895355764,"author":{"id":"7437452733931699","authorId":"7437452733931699","name":"Lex","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/4ee2ee44f49b3252eed2089776911075","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"7437452733931699","idStr":"7437452733931699"},"themes":[],"title":"这家公司女老板我认识的","htmlText":"$Aptinyx 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Sherry,个子不高,看起来冷冷的,不怎么说话的,我们比较熟的一般会叫她小哀。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":25,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/207480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3481633642441925","authorId":"3481633642441925","name":"老生煎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/71dce0f4b15b6007800d493234daaae3","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3481633642441925","idStr":"3481633642441925"},"content":"我能吐槽 aptx4869和dr sherry嘛(◔◡◔)","text":"我能吐槽 aptx4869和dr sherry嘛(◔◡◔)","html":"我能吐槽 aptx4869和dr 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这股就是庄家还没启动呢,优信这种天生一副乱民相的中概是不会安安稳稳平平淡淡过日子的,破发了反倒是个上车的好机会。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/211479","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1058,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":116950,"gmtCreate":1510930529195,"gmtModify":1704883982406,"author":{"id":"7437452733931699","authorId":"7437452733931699","name":"Lex","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/4ee2ee44f49b3252eed2089776911075","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"7437452733931699","idStr":"7437452733931699"},"themes":[],"title":"做网易末日期权的赚到吐了吧","htmlText":"$网易(NTES)$有人出来炫耀一下吗,我把膝盖给你","listText":"$网易(NTES)$有人出来炫耀一下吗,我把膝盖给你","text":"$网易(NTES)$有人出来炫耀一下吗,我把膝盖给你","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f32d96617b8e9b544b996233a067343"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116950","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":105351,"gmtCreate":1508851325446,"gmtModify":1704882560874,"author":{"id":"7437452733931699","authorId":"7437452733931699","name":"Lex","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/4ee2ee44f49b3252eed2089776911075","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"7437452733931699","idStr":"7437452733931699"},"themes":[],"title":"iPhone 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