Leon8985的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Leon8985

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2022-06-20

$Las Vegas Sands(LVS)$under observation

2022-06-14

$Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ waiting for some more

2022-06-13

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ why drop back again

2022-06-10

$Farmmi, Inc.(FAMI)$ losing money only

2022-06-07

$Las Vegas Sands(LVS)$ waiting for ul

2022-06-06

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I am waiting

2022-06-05

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ wait first

2022-06-04

$Micron Technology(MU)$waiting to enter

2022-06-03

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$coming uo

2022-06-02

Great article

@石头:市场大溃败？！无限QE是什么，缩表后会怎么样？

2022-06-02

Waiting to happen

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-06-02

Good article

@期权小班长:SNAP：压垮市场的最后一根稻草？呃，也许不是最后一根？

2022-06-01

$Tupperware(TUP)$ got chances to up again

2022-05-26

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$lower and lower

2022-05-25

$GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.(GFS)$ strong and steady

2022-05-24

$Haidilao International Hldg Ltd(HDALF)$ OTC can buy using Tigr?

2022-05-24

$Haidilao International Hldg Ltd(HDALF)$ OTC can buy?

2022-05-22

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ waiting waiting

2022-05-19

$Biomerica(BMRA)$ Still not bad

2022-05-09

Good info

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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enter","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a37c71ba66dfc92e65a54232295e805f","width":"1080","height":"3501"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617656737","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617875695,"gmtCreate":1654216486521,"gmtModify":1704859132378,"author":{"id":"3582607615363022","authorId":"3582607615363022","name":"Leon8985","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582607615363022","idStr":"3582607615363022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>coming uo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>coming uo","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$coming uo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/866d5e52cf0632de87b2935c1c761195","width":"1080","height":"3501"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617875695","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617114410,"gmtCreate":1654123000931,"gmtModify":1704858859701,"author":{"id":"3582607615363022","authorId":"3582607615363022","name":"Leon8985","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582607615363022","idStr":"3582607615363022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article","listText":"Great article","text":"Great article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617114410","repostId":"614141477","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":614141477,"gmtCreate":1653460400800,"gmtModify":1653516873655,"author":{"id":"3516096698306373","authorId":"3516096698306373","name":"石头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8477922e6df4928f290cca5cd50ce873","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3516096698306373","idStr":"3516096698306373"},"themes":[],"title":"市场大溃败？！无限QE是什么，缩表后会怎么样？","htmlText":"前言大家好，我是石头。原本这篇文章是要发表于2021年8月30日的，后来写完后就被我丢到了草稿箱中忘记了。最近有朋友跟我探讨有关缩表的事情，而且极为焦虑。近期市场大盘整体走势震荡起伏，非常难以推测。于是突然想起之前好像写过类似的稿子。那今天捞一下这篇稿子，希望可以给大家带来帮助。近期市场（2021年8月）逐渐平稳，似乎一切也回归了正常。然而我选择抽回了大量资金，因为有些事情还没有想通，在没考虑明白之前，显然贸然出手并不是好的选择，无论何时何种情况，敬畏市场都是非常有必要的。投资市场上总会有源源不断的钱，股灾或者行业灾难好似成为了年代久远的产物。好了伤疤忘了疼或者韭菜割了一茬又一茬，这些话都成为了饭后的调侃，但是曾经在市场中拼搏，损失惨重的投资人又还能被人们记起来几位呢？比如2021年3月爆仓的老虎基金，比如蔚来2019年最惨的人……这些例子还有很多，我们可以在老虎社区中找到数不胜数资产被腰斩或者爆仓的帖子，然而大多数人对此都会选择遗忘，而我希望时不时的把这些事情拿出来，以用来对市场保持敬畏。就比如现在风平浪静的市场，当市场屡创新高，苹果破2.5万亿的时候，我越发感觉到恐高，最近也在考虑要不要从二级股票市场中换出来，重归老本行去投资小初创公司，有些公司初期可能就需要1-2百万，如果“万一”成长起来还你10几倍没有任何问题。（当然选择不好，就血本无归）括号里的话，很少有人会告诉你的，就像不少人说期权可以短期赚上几倍甚至十几倍，但是他们几乎都不会说“弄不好就血本无归。”想到了一段话，摘抄出来与大家共勉（建议多读几遍，我手打下来用以加深印象）： 如果人们投资的理由是赚钱，那么在谋求咨询时，他们是想让别人告诉自己如何去赚钱。这种想法含有一些天真的成分。在自己业务的各个方面，商人都会去寻求专业建议，但他们并不指望有人告诉他们如何获利。如何赚钱属于他们自己的职责范围。当那些非商业人士想依","listText":"前言大家好，我是石头。原本这篇文章是要发表于2021年8月30日的，后来写完后就被我丢到了草稿箱中忘记了。最近有朋友跟我探讨有关缩表的事情，而且极为焦虑。近期市场大盘整体走势震荡起伏，非常难以推测。于是突然想起之前好像写过类似的稿子。那今天捞一下这篇稿子，希望可以给大家带来帮助。近期市场（2021年8月）逐渐平稳，似乎一切也回归了正常。然而我选择抽回了大量资金，因为有些事情还没有想通，在没考虑明白之前，显然贸然出手并不是好的选择，无论何时何种情况，敬畏市场都是非常有必要的。投资市场上总会有源源不断的钱，股灾或者行业灾难好似成为了年代久远的产物。好了伤疤忘了疼或者韭菜割了一茬又一茬，这些话都成为了饭后的调侃，但是曾经在市场中拼搏，损失惨重的投资人又还能被人们记起来几位呢？比如2021年3月爆仓的老虎基金，比如蔚来2019年最惨的人……这些例子还有很多，我们可以在老虎社区中找到数不胜数资产被腰斩或者爆仓的帖子，然而大多数人对此都会选择遗忘，而我希望时不时的把这些事情拿出来，以用来对市场保持敬畏。就比如现在风平浪静的市场，当市场屡创新高，苹果破2.5万亿的时候，我越发感觉到恐高，最近也在考虑要不要从二级股票市场中换出来，重归老本行去投资小初创公司，有些公司初期可能就需要1-2百万，如果“万一”成长起来还你10几倍没有任何问题。（当然选择不好，就血本无归）括号里的话，很少有人会告诉你的，就像不少人说期权可以短期赚上几倍甚至十几倍，但是他们几乎都不会说“弄不好就血本无归。”想到了一段话，摘抄出来与大家共勉（建议多读几遍，我手打下来用以加深印象）： 如果人们投资的理由是赚钱，那么在谋求咨询时，他们是想让别人告诉自己如何去赚钱。这种想法含有一些天真的成分。在自己业务的各个方面，商人都会去寻求专业建议，但他们并不指望有人告诉他们如何获利。如何赚钱属于他们自己的职责范围。当那些非商业人士想依","text":"前言大家好，我是石头。原本这篇文章是要发表于2021年8月30日的，后来写完后就被我丢到了草稿箱中忘记了。最近有朋友跟我探讨有关缩表的事情，而且极为焦虑。近期市场大盘整体走势震荡起伏，非常难以推测。于是突然想起之前好像写过类似的稿子。那今天捞一下这篇稿子，希望可以给大家带来帮助。近期市场（2021年8月）逐渐平稳，似乎一切也回归了正常。然而我选择抽回了大量资金，因为有些事情还没有想通，在没考虑明白之前，显然贸然出手并不是好的选择，无论何时何种情况，敬畏市场都是非常有必要的。投资市场上总会有源源不断的钱，股灾或者行业灾难好似成为了年代久远的产物。好了伤疤忘了疼或者韭菜割了一茬又一茬，这些话都成为了饭后的调侃，但是曾经在市场中拼搏，损失惨重的投资人又还能被人们记起来几位呢？比如2021年3月爆仓的老虎基金，比如蔚来2019年最惨的人……这些例子还有很多，我们可以在老虎社区中找到数不胜数资产被腰斩或者爆仓的帖子，然而大多数人对此都会选择遗忘，而我希望时不时的把这些事情拿出来，以用来对市场保持敬畏。就比如现在风平浪静的市场，当市场屡创新高，苹果破2.5万亿的时候，我越发感觉到恐高，最近也在考虑要不要从二级股票市场中换出来，重归老本行去投资小初创公司，有些公司初期可能就需要1-2百万，如果“万一”成长起来还你10几倍没有任何问题。（当然选择不好，就血本无归）括号里的话，很少有人会告诉你的，就像不少人说期权可以短期赚上几倍甚至十几倍，但是他们几乎都不会说“弄不好就血本无归。”想到了一段话，摘抄出来与大家共勉（建议多读几遍，我手打下来用以加深印象）： 如果人们投资的理由是赚钱，那么在谋求咨询时，他们是想让别人告诉自己如何去赚钱。这种想法含有一些天真的成分。在自己业务的各个方面，商人都会去寻求专业建议，但他们并不指望有人告诉他们如何获利。如何赚钱属于他们自己的职责范围。当那些非商业人士想依","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2876dbe906608b689a46e3e7714acf0","width":"632","height":"691"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99abec372cb53322305a1d0ec100de96","width":"632","height":"891"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68049b455a034145c6153d44e351455a","width":"632","height":"238"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/614141477","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":915,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617114594,"gmtCreate":1654122970720,"gmtModify":1704858859529,"author":{"id":"3582607615363022","authorId":"3582607615363022","name":"Leon8985","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582607615363022","idStr":"3582607615363022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting to happen","listText":"Waiting to happen","text":"Waiting to happen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617114594","repostId":"614069179","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617114271,"gmtCreate":1654122929495,"gmtModify":1704858859353,"author":{"id":"3582607615363022","authorId":"3582607615363022","name":"Leon8985","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582607615363022","idStr":"3582607615363022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article&nbsp;","listText":"Good article&nbsp;","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617114271","repostId":"614341014","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":614341014,"gmtCreate":1653400740082,"gmtModify":1653425969008,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","idStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"SNAP：压垮市场的最后一根稻草？呃，也许不是最后一根？","htmlText":"今天早上，大概全部硅谷公司、华尔街的老板以及美股多头都想做掉SNAP的CEO，谁能想到一家小公司的盈利预警会有这么大的威力？ Snap警告称，第二季度营收和EBITDA将低于一个多月前发布的指导区间的低端。在一份监管文件中，该公司表示，“宏观经济环境恶化的程度和速度超过了预期。” 消息公布后FB超跌9%，谷歌跌4%，甚至连不想关的苹果特斯拉英伟达都纷纷下跌1%～2%。市场之所以如此恐慌，不光因为SNAP在二季度尚未结束就一副自我放弃的样子进行盈利预警，而且预示着这家以广告为主要收入来源的社交平台，无法在接下来的一个月中针对广告进行营收补偿。 因为大企业广告投放通常都是长期订单，稳定合作，所以广告营收也能够进行稳定预测。你们仔细考虑一下这个细节，CEO言之凿凿认为无法达到下限了是为什么？ 恐怕不光是流动性广告订单递减，更重要的是这意味着一直进行投放的长期订单被撤销了。也就是说，大型消费企业认为投放广告也无法带来销量，或者为了平衡开支，不得不砍掉品牌广告的预算。 无论是那种情况都体现了购买力衰退，以及通货膨胀带给企业的成本管理伤害。 所以才会有了盘后普跌，一个百亿小公司的盈警宣布，把万亿千亿市值的大公司股价带跌。 那么我们不得不想一个最重要的问题，SNAP是本季度第一家跳出来宣告盈利预警的公司，但它会是唯一一家这样做的公司吗？ 虽然答案很明显了，这个问题可以再想想，我觉得应该不会明天就立刻出现第二家宣告的公司。我们都可以结合手中的仓位考虑一下这个风险。 今天市场上也有好消息，与SNAP形成鲜明对比的是发布财报的两家公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBY\">$百思买(BBY)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a> 。前者BBY的财报显示Q1营收同比下降8.5%，净利润同比下降4","listText":"今天早上，大概全部硅谷公司、华尔街的老板以及美股多头都想做掉SNAP的CEO，谁能想到一家小公司的盈利预警会有这么大的威力？ Snap警告称，第二季度营收和EBITDA将低于一个多月前发布的指导区间的低端。在一份监管文件中，该公司表示，“宏观经济环境恶化的程度和速度超过了预期。” 消息公布后FB超跌9%，谷歌跌4%，甚至连不想关的苹果特斯拉英伟达都纷纷下跌1%～2%。市场之所以如此恐慌，不光因为SNAP在二季度尚未结束就一副自我放弃的样子进行盈利预警，而且预示着这家以广告为主要收入来源的社交平台，无法在接下来的一个月中针对广告进行营收补偿。 因为大企业广告投放通常都是长期订单，稳定合作，所以广告营收也能够进行稳定预测。你们仔细考虑一下这个细节，CEO言之凿凿认为无法达到下限了是为什么？ 恐怕不光是流动性广告订单递减，更重要的是这意味着一直进行投放的长期订单被撤销了。也就是说，大型消费企业认为投放广告也无法带来销量，或者为了平衡开支，不得不砍掉品牌广告的预算。 无论是那种情况都体现了购买力衰退，以及通货膨胀带给企业的成本管理伤害。 所以才会有了盘后普跌，一个百亿小公司的盈警宣布，把万亿千亿市值的大公司股价带跌。 那么我们不得不想一个最重要的问题，SNAP是本季度第一家跳出来宣告盈利预警的公司，但它会是唯一一家这样做的公司吗？ 虽然答案很明显了，这个问题可以再想想，我觉得应该不会明天就立刻出现第二家宣告的公司。我们都可以结合手中的仓位考虑一下这个风险。 今天市场上也有好消息，与SNAP形成鲜明对比的是发布财报的两家公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBY\">$百思买(BBY)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a> 。前者BBY的财报显示Q1营收同比下降8.5%，净利润同比下降4","text":"今天早上，大概全部硅谷公司、华尔街的老板以及美股多头都想做掉SNAP的CEO，谁能想到一家小公司的盈利预警会有这么大的威力？ Snap警告称，第二季度营收和EBITDA将低于一个多月前发布的指导区间的低端。在一份监管文件中，该公司表示，“宏观经济环境恶化的程度和速度超过了预期。” 消息公布后FB超跌9%，谷歌跌4%，甚至连不想关的苹果特斯拉英伟达都纷纷下跌1%～2%。市场之所以如此恐慌，不光因为SNAP在二季度尚未结束就一副自我放弃的样子进行盈利预警，而且预示着这家以广告为主要收入来源的社交平台，无法在接下来的一个月中针对广告进行营收补偿。 因为大企业广告投放通常都是长期订单，稳定合作，所以广告营收也能够进行稳定预测。你们仔细考虑一下这个细节，CEO言之凿凿认为无法达到下限了是为什么？ 恐怕不光是流动性广告订单递减，更重要的是这意味着一直进行投放的长期订单被撤销了。也就是说，大型消费企业认为投放广告也无法带来销量，或者为了平衡开支，不得不砍掉品牌广告的预算。 无论是那种情况都体现了购买力衰退，以及通货膨胀带给企业的成本管理伤害。 所以才会有了盘后普跌，一个百亿小公司的盈警宣布，把万亿千亿市值的大公司股价带跌。 那么我们不得不想一个最重要的问题，SNAP是本季度第一家跳出来宣告盈利预警的公司，但它会是唯一一家这样做的公司吗？ 虽然答案很明显了，这个问题可以再想想，我觉得应该不会明天就立刻出现第二家宣告的公司。我们都可以结合手中的仓位考虑一下这个风险。 今天市场上也有好消息，与SNAP形成鲜明对比的是发布财报的两家公司$百思买(BBY)$ 和$Zoom(ZM)$ 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article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617114410","repostId":"614141477","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":614141477,"gmtCreate":1653460400800,"gmtModify":1653516873655,"author":{"id":"3516096698306373","authorId":"3516096698306373","name":"石头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8477922e6df4928f290cca5cd50ce873","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3516096698306373","idStr":"3516096698306373"},"themes":[],"title":"市场大溃败？！无限QE是什么，缩表后会怎么样？","htmlText":"前言大家好，我是石头。原本这篇文章是要发表于2021年8月30日的，后来写完后就被我丢到了草稿箱中忘记了。最近有朋友跟我探讨有关缩表的事情，而且极为焦虑。近期市场大盘整体走势震荡起伏，非常难以推测。于是突然想起之前好像写过类似的稿子。那今天捞一下这篇稿子，希望可以给大家带来帮助。近期市场（2021年8月）逐渐平稳，似乎一切也回归了正常。然而我选择抽回了大量资金，因为有些事情还没有想通，在没考虑明白之前，显然贸然出手并不是好的选择，无论何时何种情况，敬畏市场都是非常有必要的。投资市场上总会有源源不断的钱，股灾或者行业灾难好似成为了年代久远的产物。好了伤疤忘了疼或者韭菜割了一茬又一茬，这些话都成为了饭后的调侃，但是曾经在市场中拼搏，损失惨重的投资人又还能被人们记起来几位呢？比如2021年3月爆仓的老虎基金，比如蔚来2019年最惨的人……这些例子还有很多，我们可以在老虎社区中找到数不胜数资产被腰斩或者爆仓的帖子，然而大多数人对此都会选择遗忘，而我希望时不时的把这些事情拿出来，以用来对市场保持敬畏。就比如现在风平浪静的市场，当市场屡创新高，苹果破2.5万亿的时候，我越发感觉到恐高，最近也在考虑要不要从二级股票市场中换出来，重归老本行去投资小初创公司，有些公司初期可能就需要1-2百万，如果“万一”成长起来还你10几倍没有任何问题。（当然选择不好，就血本无归）括号里的话，很少有人会告诉你的，就像不少人说期权可以短期赚上几倍甚至十几倍，但是他们几乎都不会说“弄不好就血本无归。”想到了一段话，摘抄出来与大家共勉（建议多读几遍，我手打下来用以加深印象）： 如果人们投资的理由是赚钱，那么在谋求咨询时，他们是想让别人告诉自己如何去赚钱。这种想法含有一些天真的成分。在自己业务的各个方面，商人都会去寻求专业建议，但他们并不指望有人告诉他们如何获利。如何赚钱属于他们自己的职责范围。当那些非商业人士想依","listText":"前言大家好，我是石头。原本这篇文章是要发表于2021年8月30日的，后来写完后就被我丢到了草稿箱中忘记了。最近有朋友跟我探讨有关缩表的事情，而且极为焦虑。近期市场大盘整体走势震荡起伏，非常难以推测。于是突然想起之前好像写过类似的稿子。那今天捞一下这篇稿子，希望可以给大家带来帮助。近期市场（2021年8月）逐渐平稳，似乎一切也回归了正常。然而我选择抽回了大量资金，因为有些事情还没有想通，在没考虑明白之前，显然贸然出手并不是好的选择，无论何时何种情况，敬畏市场都是非常有必要的。投资市场上总会有源源不断的钱，股灾或者行业灾难好似成为了年代久远的产物。好了伤疤忘了疼或者韭菜割了一茬又一茬，这些话都成为了饭后的调侃，但是曾经在市场中拼搏，损失惨重的投资人又还能被人们记起来几位呢？比如2021年3月爆仓的老虎基金，比如蔚来2019年最惨的人……这些例子还有很多，我们可以在老虎社区中找到数不胜数资产被腰斩或者爆仓的帖子，然而大多数人对此都会选择遗忘，而我希望时不时的把这些事情拿出来，以用来对市场保持敬畏。就比如现在风平浪静的市场，当市场屡创新高，苹果破2.5万亿的时候，我越发感觉到恐高，最近也在考虑要不要从二级股票市场中换出来，重归老本行去投资小初创公司，有些公司初期可能就需要1-2百万，如果“万一”成长起来还你10几倍没有任何问题。（当然选择不好，就血本无归）括号里的话，很少有人会告诉你的，就像不少人说期权可以短期赚上几倍甚至十几倍，但是他们几乎都不会说“弄不好就血本无归。”想到了一段话，摘抄出来与大家共勉（建议多读几遍，我手打下来用以加深印象）： 如果人们投资的理由是赚钱，那么在谋求咨询时，他们是想让别人告诉自己如何去赚钱。这种想法含有一些天真的成分。在自己业务的各个方面，商人都会去寻求专业建议，但他们并不指望有人告诉他们如何获利。如何赚钱属于他们自己的职责范围。当那些非商业人士想依","text":"前言大家好，我是石头。原本这篇文章是要发表于2021年8月30日的，后来写完后就被我丢到了草稿箱中忘记了。最近有朋友跟我探讨有关缩表的事情，而且极为焦虑。近期市场大盘整体走势震荡起伏，非常难以推测。于是突然想起之前好像写过类似的稿子。那今天捞一下这篇稿子，希望可以给大家带来帮助。近期市场（2021年8月）逐渐平稳，似乎一切也回归了正常。然而我选择抽回了大量资金，因为有些事情还没有想通，在没考虑明白之前，显然贸然出手并不是好的选择，无论何时何种情况，敬畏市场都是非常有必要的。投资市场上总会有源源不断的钱，股灾或者行业灾难好似成为了年代久远的产物。好了伤疤忘了疼或者韭菜割了一茬又一茬，这些话都成为了饭后的调侃，但是曾经在市场中拼搏，损失惨重的投资人又还能被人们记起来几位呢？比如2021年3月爆仓的老虎基金，比如蔚来2019年最惨的人……这些例子还有很多，我们可以在老虎社区中找到数不胜数资产被腰斩或者爆仓的帖子，然而大多数人对此都会选择遗忘，而我希望时不时的把这些事情拿出来，以用来对市场保持敬畏。就比如现在风平浪静的市场，当市场屡创新高，苹果破2.5万亿的时候，我越发感觉到恐高，最近也在考虑要不要从二级股票市场中换出来，重归老本行去投资小初创公司，有些公司初期可能就需要1-2百万，如果“万一”成长起来还你10几倍没有任何问题。（当然选择不好，就血本无归）括号里的话，很少有人会告诉你的，就像不少人说期权可以短期赚上几倍甚至十几倍，但是他们几乎都不会说“弄不好就血本无归。”想到了一段话，摘抄出来与大家共勉（建议多读几遍，我手打下来用以加深印象）： 如果人们投资的理由是赚钱，那么在谋求咨询时，他们是想让别人告诉自己如何去赚钱。这种想法含有一些天真的成分。在自己业务的各个方面，商人都会去寻求专业建议，但他们并不指望有人告诉他们如何获利。如何赚钱属于他们自己的职责范围。当那些非商业人士想依","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2876dbe906608b689a46e3e7714acf0","width":"632","height":"691"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99abec372cb53322305a1d0ec100de96","width":"632","height":"891"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68049b455a034145c6153d44e351455a","width":"632","height":"238"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/614141477","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":915,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617114594,"gmtCreate":1654122970720,"gmtModify":1704858859529,"author":{"id":"3582607615363022","authorId":"3582607615363022","name":"Leon8985","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582607615363022","idStr":"3582607615363022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting to happen","listText":"Waiting to happen","text":"Waiting to happen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617114594","repostId":"614069179","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617114271,"gmtCreate":1654122929495,"gmtModify":1704858859353,"author":{"id":"3582607615363022","authorId":"3582607615363022","name":"Leon8985","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582607615363022","idStr":"3582607615363022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article&nbsp;","listText":"Good article&nbsp;","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617114271","repostId":"614341014","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":614341014,"gmtCreate":1653400740082,"gmtModify":1653425969008,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","idStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"SNAP：压垮市场的最后一根稻草？呃，也许不是最后一根？","htmlText":"今天早上，大概全部硅谷公司、华尔街的老板以及美股多头都想做掉SNAP的CEO，谁能想到一家小公司的盈利预警会有这么大的威力？ Snap警告称，第二季度营收和EBITDA将低于一个多月前发布的指导区间的低端。在一份监管文件中，该公司表示，“宏观经济环境恶化的程度和速度超过了预期。” 消息公布后FB超跌9%，谷歌跌4%，甚至连不想关的苹果特斯拉英伟达都纷纷下跌1%～2%。市场之所以如此恐慌，不光因为SNAP在二季度尚未结束就一副自我放弃的样子进行盈利预警，而且预示着这家以广告为主要收入来源的社交平台，无法在接下来的一个月中针对广告进行营收补偿。 因为大企业广告投放通常都是长期订单，稳定合作，所以广告营收也能够进行稳定预测。你们仔细考虑一下这个细节，CEO言之凿凿认为无法达到下限了是为什么？ 恐怕不光是流动性广告订单递减，更重要的是这意味着一直进行投放的长期订单被撤销了。也就是说，大型消费企业认为投放广告也无法带来销量，或者为了平衡开支，不得不砍掉品牌广告的预算。 无论是那种情况都体现了购买力衰退，以及通货膨胀带给企业的成本管理伤害。 所以才会有了盘后普跌，一个百亿小公司的盈警宣布，把万亿千亿市值的大公司股价带跌。 那么我们不得不想一个最重要的问题，SNAP是本季度第一家跳出来宣告盈利预警的公司，但它会是唯一一家这样做的公司吗？ 虽然答案很明显了，这个问题可以再想想，我觉得应该不会明天就立刻出现第二家宣告的公司。我们都可以结合手中的仓位考虑一下这个风险。 今天市场上也有好消息，与SNAP形成鲜明对比的是发布财报的两家公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBY\">$百思买(BBY)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a> 。前者BBY的财报显示Q1营收同比下降8.5%，净利润同比下降4","listText":"今天早上，大概全部硅谷公司、华尔街的老板以及美股多头都想做掉SNAP的CEO，谁能想到一家小公司的盈利预警会有这么大的威力？ Snap警告称，第二季度营收和EBITDA将低于一个多月前发布的指导区间的低端。在一份监管文件中，该公司表示，“宏观经济环境恶化的程度和速度超过了预期。” 消息公布后FB超跌9%，谷歌跌4%，甚至连不想关的苹果特斯拉英伟达都纷纷下跌1%～2%。市场之所以如此恐慌，不光因为SNAP在二季度尚未结束就一副自我放弃的样子进行盈利预警，而且预示着这家以广告为主要收入来源的社交平台，无法在接下来的一个月中针对广告进行营收补偿。 因为大企业广告投放通常都是长期订单，稳定合作，所以广告营收也能够进行稳定预测。你们仔细考虑一下这个细节，CEO言之凿凿认为无法达到下限了是为什么？ 恐怕不光是流动性广告订单递减，更重要的是这意味着一直进行投放的长期订单被撤销了。也就是说，大型消费企业认为投放广告也无法带来销量，或者为了平衡开支，不得不砍掉品牌广告的预算。 无论是那种情况都体现了购买力衰退，以及通货膨胀带给企业的成本管理伤害。 所以才会有了盘后普跌，一个百亿小公司的盈警宣布，把万亿千亿市值的大公司股价带跌。 那么我们不得不想一个最重要的问题，SNAP是本季度第一家跳出来宣告盈利预警的公司，但它会是唯一一家这样做的公司吗？ 虽然答案很明显了，这个问题可以再想想，我觉得应该不会明天就立刻出现第二家宣告的公司。我们都可以结合手中的仓位考虑一下这个风险。 今天市场上也有好消息，与SNAP形成鲜明对比的是发布财报的两家公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBY\">$百思买(BBY)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a> 。前者BBY的财报显示Q1营收同比下降8.5%，净利润同比下降4","text":"今天早上，大概全部硅谷公司、华尔街的老板以及美股多头都想做掉SNAP的CEO，谁能想到一家小公司的盈利预警会有这么大的威力？ Snap警告称，第二季度营收和EBITDA将低于一个多月前发布的指导区间的低端。在一份监管文件中，该公司表示，“宏观经济环境恶化的程度和速度超过了预期。” 消息公布后FB超跌9%，谷歌跌4%，甚至连不想关的苹果特斯拉英伟达都纷纷下跌1%～2%。市场之所以如此恐慌，不光因为SNAP在二季度尚未结束就一副自我放弃的样子进行盈利预警，而且预示着这家以广告为主要收入来源的社交平台，无法在接下来的一个月中针对广告进行营收补偿。 因为大企业广告投放通常都是长期订单，稳定合作，所以广告营收也能够进行稳定预测。你们仔细考虑一下这个细节，CEO言之凿凿认为无法达到下限了是为什么？ 恐怕不光是流动性广告订单递减，更重要的是这意味着一直进行投放的长期订单被撤销了。也就是说，大型消费企业认为投放广告也无法带来销量，或者为了平衡开支，不得不砍掉品牌广告的预算。 无论是那种情况都体现了购买力衰退，以及通货膨胀带给企业的成本管理伤害。 所以才会有了盘后普跌，一个百亿小公司的盈警宣布，把万亿千亿市值的大公司股价带跌。 那么我们不得不想一个最重要的问题，SNAP是本季度第一家跳出来宣告盈利预警的公司，但它会是唯一一家这样做的公司吗？ 虽然答案很明显了，这个问题可以再想想，我觉得应该不会明天就立刻出现第二家宣告的公司。我们都可以结合手中的仓位考虑一下这个风险。 今天市场上也有好消息，与SNAP形成鲜明对比的是发布财报的两家公司$百思买(BBY)$ 和$Zoom(ZM)$ 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