燕子头的个人主页 - 老虎社区

燕子头

燕子头

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：山东

22关注

1粉丝

7主题

0勋章

2021-07-15

$蔚来(NIO)$，下不下车啊？

2021-07-02

$滴滴(DIDI)$看好你，你争气点

2021-06-03

中签率只能求上天保佑了

时代天使今起招股，一手入场费约34948.66港元

2021-07-14

$蔚来(NIO)$，草率的决定带来的后果

2021-06-06

$康基医疗(09997)$，看到推荐的跟了，没达到预期

2021-06-03

以后也去参与一下

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-14

$医脉通(02192)$小挣

2021-06-12

$BOSS直聘(BZ)$，小赚一笔

2021-06-10

$正一科技(MOSY)$，第一次买美股，有点不给力

2021-06-03

$中芯国际(00981)$，小赚都开心

2021-06-17

中公教育准备上车

2021-05-31

看好

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-20

$Creatd Inc(CRTD)$，我这心态直接不行

2021-07-07

$康诺亚-B(02162)$，希望大涨

2021-07-05

不至于啊

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-02

$滴滴(DIDI)$，买了点试试

2021-06-07

这支票到底怎么样？

2021-06-06

价值投资未来的趋势

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-06

打新了

【打新速递】BOSS直聘：确定发行价区间17至19美元

2021-06-05

数据惊人

非农数据不及预期，美股是不是又能大涨一波了？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"开盘：美股全线低开，大型科技股及中概股普跌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165245102","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月8日（周四），道琼斯指数开盘下跌384.79点，跌幅1.11%，报34297.00点；标普500指数开盘下跌56.80点，跌幅1.30%，报4301.40点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌245.7点，","content":"<p>7月8日（周四），道琼斯指数开盘下跌384.79点，跌幅1.11%，报34297.00点；标普500指数开盘下跌56.80点，跌幅1.30%，报4301.40点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌245.7点，跌幅1.68%，报14419.3点。</p>\n<p>恐慌指数VIX跌超20%，报19.5。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4af212d950c0bfd5ec616aa077aa4a1\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360数科</a>开跌超27%，此前因违规收集使用个人信息整改未达标下架核心产品360借条APP。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>开盘跌超6%，近四个交易日已累跌约36%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bbf62e183701b6cf3cd1f76cac6d186\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌3%。此前，市场监管总局督促电商平台企业核查处理买卖虚假检测报告行为，已要求淘宝、拼多多等平台企业依法履行平台主体责任，对在平台上销售虚假检验检测报告的网店立即进行处置。</p>\n<p>中概股多数延续昨日跌势，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LU\">陆金所</a>跌超15%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>均跌超5%。</p>\n<p>美股大型科技股齐跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>跌1.6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌A</a>跌1.5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌1.2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>跌1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>跌约0.5%。</p>\n<p>在线游戏企业解决方案公司GAN涨10.3%，公司将全年收入指引提高至 1.25 亿至 1.35 亿美元。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OSTK\">Overstock.com</a>涨2.84%，此前获投行Needham给予买入评级，称其营收和利润率都有上升潜力。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>开盘：美股全线低开，大型科技股及中概股普跌</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n开盘：美股全线低开，大型科技股及中概股普跌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-08 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>7月8日（周四），道琼斯指数开盘下跌384.79点，跌幅1.11%，报34297.00点；标普500指数开盘下跌56.80点，跌幅1.30%，报4301.40点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌245.7点，跌幅1.68%，报14419.3点。</p>\n<p>恐慌指数VIX跌超20%，报19.5。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4af212d950c0bfd5ec616aa077aa4a1\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360数科</a>开跌超27%，此前因违规收集使用个人信息整改未达标下架核心产品360借条APP。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>开盘跌超6%，近四个交易日已累跌约36%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bbf62e183701b6cf3cd1f76cac6d186\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌3%。此前，市场监管总局督促电商平台企业核查处理买卖虚假检测报告行为，已要求淘宝、拼多多等平台企业依法履行平台主体责任，对在平台上销售虚假检验检测报告的网店立即进行处置。</p>\n<p>中概股多数延续昨日跌势，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LU\">陆金所</a>跌超15%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>均跌超5%。</p>\n<p>美股大型科技股齐跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>跌1.6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌A</a>跌1.5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌1.2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>跌1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>跌约0.5%。</p>\n<p>在线游戏企业解决方案公司GAN涨10.3%，公司将全年收入指引提高至 1.25 亿至 1.35 亿美元。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OSTK\">Overstock.com</a>涨2.84%，此前获投行Needham给予买入评级，称其营收和利润率都有上升潜力。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165245102","content_text":"7月8日（周四），道琼斯指数开盘下跌384.79点，跌幅1.11%，报34297.00点；标普500指数开盘下跌56.80点，跌幅1.30%，报4301.40点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌245.7点，跌幅1.68%，报14419.3点。\n恐慌指数VIX跌超20%，报19.5。\n\n360数科开跌超27%，此前因违规收集使用个人信息整改未达标下架核心产品360借条APP。\n滴滴开盘跌超6%，近四个交易日已累跌约36%。\n\n拼多多跌超5%，阿里巴巴跌超4%，京东跌3%。此前，市场监管总局督促电商平台企业核查处理买卖虚假检测报告行为，已要求淘宝、拼多多等平台企业依法履行平台主体责任，对在平台上销售虚假检验检测报告的网店立即进行处置。\n中概股多数延续昨日跌势，陆金所跌超15%，新东方跌超10%，蔚来、小鹏汽车均跌超5%。\n美股大型科技股齐跌，Facebook跌1.6%，谷歌A跌1.5%，亚马逊跌1.2%，苹果跌1%，微软、奈飞跌约0.5%。\n在线游戏企业解决方案公司GAN涨10.3%，公司将全年收入指引提高至 1.25 亿至 1.35 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：总收益1275%的背后，我总结了一套投资公式","htmlText":"疫情初见苗头的时候，他果断抛售资产，退出年流水超千万的公司，并且反手做空了道琼斯、纳斯达克、还有ASX200…接下来，他凭借超高收益率逐步走进大家的视线。对待投资，他到底有什么与众不同的视角与经历呢？ 欢迎大家和虎妞一起了解<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3516096698306373\">@石头Stone</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3516096698306373\">@石头Stone</a> 就像我的名字石头一样，我是个平凡又普通的人，也没有太高学历，大学本科毕业，专业IT。目前是自由投资人，步入中年，疫情之前会找些实体行业，跟大家一样，疫情也改变了我的生活。 T：聊聊您的投资背景吧，何时开始对这个领域产生兴趣的？ 记不太清楚具体哪一年了（大概2006年左右？），那时候我还小，对于投资更是完全没有概念，甚至整个人生规划也没想过一丁点跟投资有关的事情。 那一年，我爸爸的好友给我讲从小要做理财，先从定投基金做起。我也不知道当时怎么想的，出于信任，跟叔叔签了合同，从此之后生活费的1/2变成了定投。 2008年A股大跌，我也没有太多概念，依旧定投，基金账户几乎不看。直到2009年，那时候特别想换电脑，手里面没钱，心想定投了这么久，怎么也会有收获了吧？打开账户一看，不但没赚钱，还亏损。 我这人就喜欢琢磨，我在看为什么会出现亏损，于是把当事签的定投合同仔细读了一遍，发现是股票型基金，是跟股市挂钩的，我也不知道怎么查询这个基金的持仓股，在完全没概念的情况下，我申请赎回。但是基金赎回还需要扣除费用，总之不但没赚钱还倒贴了不少。 后来我不甘心，就开始尝试下了个股票交易软件，起初用虚拟盘试试水，后来就把那笔定投的钱存进去了，也不多，当时赎回了只有1万多人民币。","listText":"疫情初见苗头的时候，他果断抛售资产，退出年流水超千万的公司，并且反手做空了道琼斯、纳斯达克、还有ASX200…接下来，他凭借超高收益率逐步走进大家的视线。对待投资，他到底有什么与众不同的视角与经历呢？ 欢迎大家和虎妞一起了解<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3516096698306373\">@石头Stone</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3516096698306373\">@石头Stone</a> 就像我的名字石头一样，我是个平凡又普通的人，也没有太高学历，大学本科毕业，专业IT。目前是自由投资人，步入中年，疫情之前会找些实体行业，跟大家一样，疫情也改变了我的生活。 T：聊聊您的投资背景吧，何时开始对这个领域产生兴趣的？ 记不太清楚具体哪一年了（大概2006年左右？），那时候我还小，对于投资更是完全没有概念，甚至整个人生规划也没想过一丁点跟投资有关的事情。 那一年，我爸爸的好友给我讲从小要做理财，先从定投基金做起。我也不知道当时怎么想的，出于信任，跟叔叔签了合同，从此之后生活费的1/2变成了定投。 2008年A股大跌，我也没有太多概念，依旧定投，基金账户几乎不看。直到2009年，那时候特别想换电脑，手里面没钱，心想定投了这么久，怎么也会有收获了吧？打开账户一看，不但没赚钱，还亏损。 我这人就喜欢琢磨，我在看为什么会出现亏损，于是把当事签的定投合同仔细读了一遍，发现是股票型基金，是跟股市挂钩的，我也不知道怎么查询这个基金的持仓股，在完全没概念的情况下，我申请赎回。但是基金赎回还需要扣除费用，总之不但没赚钱还倒贴了不少。 后来我不甘心，就开始尝试下了个股票交易软件，起初用虚拟盘试试水，后来就把那笔定投的钱存进去了，也不多，当时赎回了只有1万多人民币。","text":"疫情初见苗头的时候，他果断抛售资产，退出年流水超千万的公司，并且反手做空了道琼斯、纳斯达克、还有ASX200…接下来，他凭借超高收益率逐步走进大家的视线。对待投资，他到底有什么与众不同的视角与经历呢？ 欢迎大家和虎妞一起了解@石头Stone @石头Stone 就像我的名字石头一样，我是个平凡又普通的人，也没有太高学历，大学本科毕业，专业IT。目前是自由投资人，步入中年，疫情之前会找些实体行业，跟大家一样，疫情也改变了我的生活。 T：聊聊您的投资背景吧，何时开始对这个领域产生兴趣的？ 记不太清楚具体哪一年了（大概2006年左右？），那时候我还小，对于投资更是完全没有概念，甚至整个人生规划也没想过一丁点跟投资有关的事情。 那一年，我爸爸的好友给我讲从小要做理财，先从定投基金做起。我也不知道当时怎么想的，出于信任，跟叔叔签了合同，从此之后生活费的1/2变成了定投。 2008年A股大跌，我也没有太多概念，依旧定投，基金账户几乎不看。直到2009年，那时候特别想换电脑，手里面没钱，心想定投了这么久，怎么也会有收获了吧？打开账户一看，不但没赚钱，还亏损。 我这人就喜欢琢磨，我在看为什么会出现亏损，于是把当事签的定投合同仔细读了一遍，发现是股票型基金，是跟股市挂钩的，我也不知道怎么查询这个基金的持仓股，在完全没概念的情况下，我申请赎回。但是基金赎回还需要扣除费用，总之不但没赚钱还倒贴了不少。 后来我不甘心，就开始尝试下了个股票交易软件，起初用虚拟盘试试水，后来就把那笔定投的钱存进去了，也不多，当时赎回了只有1万多人民币。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c914c1d6e014ded300e566d4af4d086f","width":"1004","height":"769"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43b86c28268004d4a9caa1554f64545b","width":"1080","height":"360"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2a5426c56a4f2026afffc6b75961818","width":"2448","height":"3264"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140207014","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":140895281,"gmtCreate":1625644607343,"gmtModify":1625644607343,"author":{"id":"3581207018549195","authorId":"3581207018549195","name":"燕子头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f6e60523888e16296228530fb274551","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581207018549195","authorIdStr":"3581207018549195"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02162\">$康诺亚-B(02162)$</a>，希望大涨","listText":"<a 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14:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>7月3日，滴滴副总裁李敏回应相关传闻称，看到网上有人恶意造谣说“滴滴在海外上市，把数据打包交给美国”。和众多在海外上市的中国企业一样，滴滴国内用户的数据都存放在国内服务器，绝无可能把数据交给美国。另外，相关恶意造谣者虽然已经主动删帖，但我们坚决起诉维权。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35f418fe806117984f7bac0657d6f7b4\" tg-width=\"1315\" tg-height=\"511\" 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B：数字化转型加速</b></p>\n<p>建议重点关注的领域包括：数字化基础设施、软件SaaS、产业互联网和软件开发外包、AIoT和智能汽车、半导体、互联网等。</p>\n<p>具体公司包括：A股：中国联通、金山办公、深信服、恒玄科技、海康威视、工业富联、亿联网络、和而泰等。</p>\n<p><b>周期产业：周期景气延续，成长未来可期</b></p>\n<p>全球需求复苏进程仍在持续，叠加供应端长期增产潜力不足，大宗商品高景气度有望延续。</p>\n<p>在此背景下，我们推荐两条投资主线：</p>\n<p>1）低估值、兼具成长属性的周期龙头，推荐紫金矿业、洛阳钼业、赣锋锂业、宝钢股份、万华化学、宝丰能源、恒力石化、中国海洋石油、陕西煤业等；</p>\n<p>2）碳中和、材料国产替代战略下，推荐新材料板块已初具规模的龙头公司抚顺特钢、国瓷材料、雅克科技、硅宝科技等。</p>\n<p><b>银行业：内外部变量共振，兼具相对和绝对</b></p>\n<p>2021年下半年宏观金融条件料将稳定，银行基本面将保持修复，预计上市银行全年营收和净利润增速7.5%/8.1%。</p>\n<p>个股组合双主线：1）优质银行：招商银行、平安银行；2）修复银行：兴业银行、光大银行、南京银行、江苏银行。</p>\n<p><b>非银：选择“差异化”成长龙头</b></p>\n<p>建议精选具备“差异化”能力、公司治理完善的成长龙头。重点推荐：</p>\n<p>①港交所（商业模式壁垒最高、直接受益于股权大时代）、②友邦保险（拥有高端客户心智资源）、③中银航空租赁（全球第五大经营性飞机租赁公司）、④中金公司（资源禀赋与资本市场国际化机构化方向契合）、⑤华泰证券（数字化战略清晰）、⑥中国平安（具有银行账户优势、向中高端转型）、⑦中国太保（以负债优势补足服务短板、机制改善中）、⑧中国财险（车险综改最大受益者）。</p>\n<p><b>基础设施与房地产：投资高景气，服务再升级</b></p>\n<p>目前基建和房地产开发的较高景气度，难掩长景气周期的制约和调控因素的存在。但部分房地产公司可以凭借运营能力和组织架构调整突破盈利能力困局。</p>\n<p>推荐组合：万科A、龙湖集团、远大住工、东珠生态、华新水泥、旗滨集团、世茂服务、绿城服务、长江电力、川投能源、顺丰控股和中国国航。</p>\n<p><b>医疗健康产业：疫情后时代的强势复苏</b></p>\n<p>从2021年初开始，生物医药板块进入分化调整期，抱团度较高的高估值龙头个股开始逐渐分化，医药投资进入了百花齐放的新时期。</p>\n<p>建议关注：1）研发管线丰富的龙头药企恒瑞医药、复星医药等；2）直接受益创新审评和进口替代的国产中高端医疗器械龙头迈瑞医疗、大博医疗、安图生物和消费级医疗器械三诺生物等；3）“卖水者”逻辑下的药明康德、泰格医药、凯莱英、九洲药业、泰坦科技和山东药玻等；4）医疗服务及商业药店领域的爱尔眼科、上海医药、老百姓、益丰药房、大参林和一心堂等；5）精准医疗大发展下的金域医学、艾德生物、华大基因等；6）疫苗产业链上的智飞生物、康希诺、康泰生物、华兰生物等；7）消费升级趋势下的大健康消费龙头企业云南白药、片仔癀等。</p>\n<p><b>&nbsp;汽车：智能化浪潮来临，关注格局重塑者</b></p>\n<p>未来5年替换周期的到来将为行业带来有效的需求增量，汽车行业正在智能电动的变革浪潮中迎来重启。</p>\n<p>重点关注：1）具有优秀产品定义能力和全栈自研能力的乘用车企业，如比亚迪、长城汽车、长安汽车等；2）符合智能化趋势、具备全球替代能力的优质中国零部件企业，如德赛西威、华阳集团、拓普集团、华域汽车、耐世特、伯特利、阿尔特等；3）产品不断进化升级的细分市场龙头：福耀玻璃、敏实集团、潍柴动力、中国重汽、八方股份、雅迪控股、小牛电动等。</p>\n<p><b>新能源汽车：全球景气共振向上，优质供给价值凸显</b></p>\n<p>中长期看，汽车电动化、智能化趋势不可逆转，我们判断2025年中国、欧洲的新能源汽车渗透率有望超过20%。</p>\n<p>推荐具备全球竞争力的新能源汽车供应链优质企业，尤其是特斯拉、大众MEB、LG化学、宁德时代供应链等。</p>\n<p>推荐具备全球竞争力的供应链优质企业：1）电池环节的宁德时代、比亚迪（A+H）、亿纬锂能、欣旺达、鹏辉能源、亿华通等；锂电材料的恩捷股份、德方纳米、璞泰来、新宙邦等；2）上游设备及锂资源：赣锋锂业、杭可科技、先导智能等；3）热管理供应链：三花智控（热管理）、银轮股份（热管理）、拓普集团。</p>\n<p><b>全球IDC：布局国内一线数据中心IDC资产</b></p>\n<p>考虑成长性因素调整后，目前国内IDC资产的性价比已较为突出，当前位置建议积极配置一线行业龙头，重点推荐万国数据、秦淮数据、数据港、世纪互联等。</p>\n<p><b>长线股池更新</b></p>\n<p>北向重仓前20股的最新名单已更新，本周股池还是没有变化，详情如下：</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cb9bd20d6b3fb65aadae9a99e6f93db\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"1770\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e94d411fefbe5cf83e83e6c147031010\" tg-width=\"810\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1623458388770","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中信证券：下半年淡化周期思维，布局“中道成长”</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中信证券：下半年淡化周期思维，布局“中道成长”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-12 08:37 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/vj5YP8FyBLrEA3ILKm4NkA><strong> 微思策略</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A股市场：帆起逐浪高\nA股下半年将进入慢涨“三部曲”中的共振上行期，且四季度空间更大。\n预计下半年A股净流入资金规模将达到2200亿元，其中人民币升值预期下，外资流入或继续超预期。\n配置上，建议淡化周期思维，三季度聚焦成长，四季度增配消费。\n主题策略：布局中道成长，隐形冠军之争\n随着估值体系从DCF向PEG切换，业绩增长弹性较大、估值相对较低的“中道成长”将更具投资价值，以创业板、中证500为代表...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/vj5YP8FyBLrEA3ILKm4NkA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718d9d0cee89dacb8ae3664167fe24e6","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/vj5YP8FyBLrEA3ILKm4NkA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105299932","content_text":"A股市场：帆起逐浪高\nA股下半年将进入慢涨“三部曲”中的共振上行期，且四季度空间更大。\n预计下半年A股净流入资金规模将达到2200亿元，其中人民币升值预期下，外资流入或继续超预期。\n配置上，建议淡化周期思维，三季度聚焦成长，四季度增配消费。\n主题策略：布局中道成长，隐形冠军之争\n随着估值体系从DCF向PEG切换，业绩增长弹性较大、估值相对较低的“中道成长”将更具投资价值，以创业板、中证500为代表。\n在此背景下，赛道景气上行的能源安全主题、国防机弹主题、数字人民币主题等方向上的隐形冠军有望成为下半年首选品种。重点关注以下个股：\n\n 消费产业：新品类、新品牌、新渠道\n建议积极持续配置化妆品、医美、免税、运动服饰、新型烟草等品类爆发机会，即好赛道。\n2021年下半年消费产业推荐组合：美团-W、拼多多、华熙生物、贵州茅台、五粮液、欧派家居、首旅酒店、蒙牛乳业、华润啤酒、中国中免、思摩尔国际、晨光文具、海大集团、安踏体育、稳健医疗、视源股份、丸美股份、绝味食品、唯品会、中宠股份。\n科技产业：从To C到To B：数字化转型加速\n建议重点关注的领域包括：数字化基础设施、软件SaaS、产业互联网和软件开发外包、AIoT和智能汽车、半导体、互联网等。\n具体公司包括：A股：中国联通、金山办公、深信服、恒玄科技、海康威视、工业富联、亿联网络、和而泰等。\n周期产业：周期景气延续，成长未来可期\n全球需求复苏进程仍在持续，叠加供应端长期增产潜力不足，大宗商品高景气度有望延续。\n在此背景下，我们推荐两条投资主线：\n1）低估值、兼具成长属性的周期龙头，推荐紫金矿业、洛阳钼业、赣锋锂业、宝钢股份、万华化学、宝丰能源、恒力石化、中国海洋石油、陕西煤业等；\n2）碳中和、材料国产替代战略下，推荐新材料板块已初具规模的龙头公司抚顺特钢、国瓷材料、雅克科技、硅宝科技等。\n银行业：内外部变量共振，兼具相对和绝对\n2021年下半年宏观金融条件料将稳定，银行基本面将保持修复，预计上市银行全年营收和净利润增速7.5%/8.1%。\n个股组合双主线：1）优质银行：招商银行、平安银行；2）修复银行：兴业银行、光大银行、南京银行、江苏银行。\n非银：选择“差异化”成长龙头\n建议精选具备“差异化”能力、公司治理完善的成长龙头。重点推荐：\n①港交所（商业模式壁垒最高、直接受益于股权大时代）、②友邦保险（拥有高端客户心智资源）、③中银航空租赁（全球第五大经营性飞机租赁公司）、④中金公司（资源禀赋与资本市场国际化机构化方向契合）、⑤华泰证券（数字化战略清晰）、⑥中国平安（具有银行账户优势、向中高端转型）、⑦中国太保（以负债优势补足服务短板、机制改善中）、⑧中国财险（车险综改最大受益者）。\n基础设施与房地产：投资高景气，服务再升级\n目前基建和房地产开发的较高景气度，难掩长景气周期的制约和调控因素的存在。但部分房地产公司可以凭借运营能力和组织架构调整突破盈利能力困局。\n推荐组合：万科A、龙湖集团、远大住工、东珠生态、华新水泥、旗滨集团、世茂服务、绿城服务、长江电力、川投能源、顺丰控股和中国国航。\n医疗健康产业：疫情后时代的强势复苏\n从2021年初开始，生物医药板块进入分化调整期，抱团度较高的高估值龙头个股开始逐渐分化，医药投资进入了百花齐放的新时期。\n建议关注：1）研发管线丰富的龙头药企恒瑞医药、复星医药等；2）直接受益创新审评和进口替代的国产中高端医疗器械龙头迈瑞医疗、大博医疗、安图生物和消费级医疗器械三诺生物等；3）“卖水者”逻辑下的药明康德、泰格医药、凯莱英、九洲药业、泰坦科技和山东药玻等；4）医疗服务及商业药店领域的爱尔眼科、上海医药、老百姓、益丰药房、大参林和一心堂等；5）精准医疗大发展下的金域医学、艾德生物、华大基因等；6）疫苗产业链上的智飞生物、康希诺、康泰生物、华兰生物等；7）消费升级趋势下的大健康消费龙头企业云南白药、片仔癀等。\n 汽车：智能化浪潮来临，关注格局重塑者\n未来5年替换周期的到来将为行业带来有效的需求增量，汽车行业正在智能电动的变革浪潮中迎来重启。\n重点关注：1）具有优秀产品定义能力和全栈自研能力的乘用车企业，如比亚迪、长城汽车、长安汽车等；2）符合智能化趋势、具备全球替代能力的优质中国零部件企业，如德赛西威、华阳集团、拓普集团、华域汽车、耐世特、伯特利、阿尔特等；3）产品不断进化升级的细分市场龙头：福耀玻璃、敏实集团、潍柴动力、中国重汽、八方股份、雅迪控股、小牛电动等。\n新能源汽车：全球景气共振向上，优质供给价值凸显\n中长期看，汽车电动化、智能化趋势不可逆转，我们判断2025年中国、欧洲的新能源汽车渗透率有望超过20%。\n推荐具备全球竞争力的新能源汽车供应链优质企业，尤其是特斯拉、大众MEB、LG化学、宁德时代供应链等。\n推荐具备全球竞争力的供应链优质企业：1）电池环节的宁德时代、比亚迪（A+H）、亿纬锂能、欣旺达、鹏辉能源、亿华通等；锂电材料的恩捷股份、德方纳米、璞泰来、新宙邦等；2）上游设备及锂资源：赣锋锂业、杭可科技、先导智能等；3）热管理供应链：三花智控（热管理）、银轮股份（热管理）、拓普集团。\n全球IDC：布局国内一线数据中心IDC资产\n考虑成长性因素调整后，目前国内IDC资产的性价比已较为突出，当前位置建议积极配置一线行业龙头，重点推荐万国数据、秦淮数据、数据港、世纪互联等。\n长线股池更新\n北向重仓前20股的最新名单已更新，本周股池还是没有变化，详情如下：","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":188560133,"gmtCreate":1623455262822,"gmtModify":1623455262822,"author":{"id":"3581207018549195","authorId":"3581207018549195","name":"燕子头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f6e60523888e16296228530fb274551","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581207018549195","authorIdStr":"3581207018549195"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>，下不下车啊？","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$，下不下车啊？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6291338c3fb75c0903d90ab91d980431","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147387366","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3542832134766434","authorId":"3542832134766434","name":"云彤","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3542832134766434","idStr":"3542832134766434"},"content":"我也想問這個問題？[笑哭][笑哭][捂脸][捂脸]","text":"我也想問這個問題？[笑哭][笑哭][捂脸][捂脸]","html":"我也想問這個問題？[笑哭][笑哭][捂脸][捂脸]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":156661507,"gmtCreate":1625218780809,"gmtModify":1625218780809,"author":{"id":"3581207018549195","authorId":"3581207018549195","name":"燕子头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f6e60523888e16296228530fb274551","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581207018549195","idStr":"3581207018549195"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$滴滴(DIDI)$</a>看好你，你争气点","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$滴滴(DIDI)$</a>看好你，你争气点","text":"$滴滴(DIDI)$看好你，你争气点","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f12257ea3680db96e3812a30312eb4","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156661507","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3550611855201946","authorId":"3550611855201946","name":"路飞是我的伙伴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79db4085dd9f7550e8b62b7406ad472f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3550611855201946","idStr":"3550611855201946"},"content":"怎么弄得这么高的价格？？","text":"怎么弄得这么高的价格？？","html":"怎么弄得这么高的价格？？"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":111604116,"gmtCreate":1622677743535,"gmtModify":1622677743535,"author":{"id":"3581207018549195","authorId":"3581207018549195","name":"燕子头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f6e60523888e16296228530fb274551","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581207018549195","idStr":"3581207018549195"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"中签率只能求上天保佑了","listText":"中签率只能求上天保佑了","text":"中签率只能求上天保佑了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111604116","repostId":"1193695784","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193695784","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622673021,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193695784?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 06:30","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"时代天使今起招股，一手入场费约34948.66港元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193695784","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月3日早间，时代天使发布公告，公司将于2021年6月3日-6月8日招股，公司拟全球发售1682.96万股，其中香港公开发售168.3万股，国际发售1514.66万股。发售价每股147港元-173港元","content":"<p>6月3日早间，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06699\">时代天使</a>发布公告，公司将于2021年6月3日-6月8日招股，公司拟全球发售1682.96万股，其中香港公开发售168.3万股，国际发售1514.66万股。发售价每股147港元-173港元，每手200股，股票代码06699，预期于2021年6月16日上市，保荐人为高盛以及中金。</p><p><b>老虎预计11:30开放时代天使打新【</b><a href=\"https://www-web.itiger.com/mi/ipo/index/hk/listing\" target=\"_blank\"><b>申购入口</b></a><b>】</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/399b2b64367bd00b768416b0a8b96d6d\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>申购阶梯：</b></p><p>每手200股，入场费34948.66港元。</p><p>乙组门槛为3万股，申购所需资金约5242299.63港元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/663671a11e152d16cfd1ab50649fd2ee\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>公司是中国领先的隐形矫治解决方案提供商。根据灼识咨询报告，中国的隐形矫治解决方案市场高度集中，按2020年的达成案例计量，前两大市场参与者的市场占有率总计为82.4%。据同一份资料显示，公司于同年的市场份额为约41.0%。</p><p>于业绩纪录期，公司服务的牙科医生人数由2018年的约1.15万名增至2019年的约1.58万名，并进一步增至2020年的1.99万名。公司的达成案例由2018年的约7.77万个增至2019年的约12.01万个，并进一步增至2020年的13.76万个。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19f74e48d67ffa613b4b079573ac981\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>公司主要通过提供隐形矫治解决方案服务及较少量的其他服务产生收入。财务资料显示，于2018年、2019年及2020年，公司的收入分别为人民币4.89亿元(单位下同)、6.46亿元及8.17亿元，净利润分别为5820万元、6770万元及1.51亿元，净利润率分别为11.9%、10.5%及18.5%，及公司的经调整EBITDA(非国际财务报告准则计量)分别为1.29亿元、1.75亿元及2.97亿元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0e2bc33b5f923fc93eeed6faa8c3aa7\" tg-width=\"687\" tg-height=\"705\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>假设发售价为每股股份160港元(即指示性发售价范围的中位数)，并假设超额配股权未获行使，公司预计全球发售所得款项净额将约为25.13亿港元。</p><p>其中，约39 .9%用于为无锡市创美基地的建设提供资金;约18 .3%用于提升公司的研发能力以及为内部和合作研发项目提供资金;约10 .8%用于开发灵活及可扩展的智能信息技术系统以精简及全面数字化公司运营的所有方面，并部署数据中间平台;约10 .5%用于扩大公司的内部销售团队，并为销售人员提供培训课程以提高销售效能和效率。</p><p>此外，约9 .6%用于为各种营销及品牌推广活动提供资金，以扩大用户基础并提升品牌形象;约6 .2%用于优化公司的医学服务，方式为通过增设七处区域示范中心提高线下医学服务的触达，同时定期为牙科医生提供针对公司解决方案应用的线下培训，以及与中国国内知名高等教育机构合作，通过联合计划培养医学人才;及约4 .7%用作营运资本及其他一般企业用途。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23394b5bdacff7733a7a94e8a316a4c8\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"9552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>时代天使今起招股，一手入场费约34948.66港元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n时代天使今起招股，一手入场费约34948.66港元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-03 06:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>6月3日早间，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06699\">时代天使</a>发布公告，公司将于2021年6月3日-6月8日招股，公司拟全球发售1682.96万股，其中香港公开发售168.3万股，国际发售1514.66万股。发售价每股147港元-173港元，每手200股，股票代码06699，预期于2021年6月16日上市，保荐人为高盛以及中金。</p><p><b>老虎预计11:30开放时代天使打新【</b><a href=\"https://www-web.itiger.com/mi/ipo/index/hk/listing\" target=\"_blank\"><b>申购入口</b></a><b>】</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/399b2b64367bd00b768416b0a8b96d6d\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>申购阶梯：</b></p><p>每手200股，入场费34948.66港元。</p><p>乙组门槛为3万股，申购所需资金约5242299.63港元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/663671a11e152d16cfd1ab50649fd2ee\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>公司是中国领先的隐形矫治解决方案提供商。根据灼识咨询报告，中国的隐形矫治解决方案市场高度集中，按2020年的达成案例计量，前两大市场参与者的市场占有率总计为82.4%。据同一份资料显示，公司于同年的市场份额为约41.0%。</p><p>于业绩纪录期，公司服务的牙科医生人数由2018年的约1.15万名增至2019年的约1.58万名，并进一步增至2020年的1.99万名。公司的达成案例由2018年的约7.77万个增至2019年的约12.01万个，并进一步增至2020年的13.76万个。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19f74e48d67ffa613b4b079573ac981\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>公司主要通过提供隐形矫治解决方案服务及较少量的其他服务产生收入。财务资料显示，于2018年、2019年及2020年，公司的收入分别为人民币4.89亿元(单位下同)、6.46亿元及8.17亿元，净利润分别为5820万元、6770万元及1.51亿元，净利润率分别为11.9%、10.5%及18.5%，及公司的经调整EBITDA(非国际财务报告准则计量)分别为1.29亿元、1.75亿元及2.97亿元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0e2bc33b5f923fc93eeed6faa8c3aa7\" tg-width=\"687\" tg-height=\"705\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>假设发售价为每股股份160港元(即指示性发售价范围的中位数)，并假设超额配股权未获行使，公司预计全球发售所得款项净额将约为25.13亿港元。</p><p>其中，约39 .9%用于为无锡市创美基地的建设提供资金;约18 .3%用于提升公司的研发能力以及为内部和合作研发项目提供资金;约10 .8%用于开发灵活及可扩展的智能信息技术系统以精简及全面数字化公司运营的所有方面，并部署数据中间平台;约10 .5%用于扩大公司的内部销售团队，并为销售人员提供培训课程以提高销售效能和效率。</p><p>此外，约9 .6%用于为各种营销及品牌推广活动提供资金，以扩大用户基础并提升品牌形象;约6 .2%用于优化公司的医学服务，方式为通过增设七处区域示范中心提高线下医学服务的触达，同时定期为牙科医生提供针对公司解决方案应用的线下培训，以及与中国国内知名高等教育机构合作，通过联合计划培养医学人才;及约4 .7%用作营运资本及其他一般企业用途。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23394b5bdacff7733a7a94e8a316a4c8\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"9552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b69e234a63c2c0a69ccede7b0faaa18","relate_stocks":{"06699":"时代天使"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193695784","content_text":"6月3日早间，时代天使发布公告，公司将于2021年6月3日-6月8日招股，公司拟全球发售1682.96万股，其中香港公开发售168.3万股，国际发售1514.66万股。发售价每股147港元-173港元，每手200股，股票代码06699，预期于2021年6月16日上市，保荐人为高盛以及中金。老虎预计11:30开放时代天使打新【申购入口】申购阶梯：每手200股，入场费34948.66港元。乙组门槛为3万股，申购所需资金约5242299.63港元。公司是中国领先的隐形矫治解决方案提供商。根据灼识咨询报告，中国的隐形矫治解决方案市场高度集中，按2020年的达成案例计量，前两大市场参与者的市场占有率总计为82.4%。据同一份资料显示，公司于同年的市场份额为约41.0%。于业绩纪录期，公司服务的牙科医生人数由2018年的约1.15万名增至2019年的约1.58万名，并进一步增至2020年的1.99万名。公司的达成案例由2018年的约7.77万个增至2019年的约12.01万个，并进一步增至2020年的13.76万个。公司主要通过提供隐形矫治解决方案服务及较少量的其他服务产生收入。财务资料显示，于2018年、2019年及2020年，公司的收入分别为人民币4.89亿元(单位下同)、6.46亿元及8.17亿元，净利润分别为5820万元、6770万元及1.51亿元，净利润率分别为11.9%、10.5%及18.5%，及公司的经调整EBITDA(非国际财务报告准则计量)分别为1.29亿元、1.75亿元及2.97亿元。假设发售价为每股股份160港元(即指示性发售价范围的中位数)，并假设超额配股权未获行使，公司预计全球发售所得款项净额将约为25.13亿港元。其中，约39 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05:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"【打新速递】BOSS直聘：确定发行价区间17至19美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2141072144","media":"新浪科技","summary":"北京时间6月5日消息，在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）更新了招股书。招股书显示，BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市，代码BZ。此次IPO由高盛、摩根士丹利、瑞银、华兴担任主承销商","content":"<p>北京时间6月5日消息，在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）更新了招股书。招股书显示，BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市，代码BZ。此次IPO由<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>、华兴担任主承销商。</p><p>老虎开放BOSS直聘打新【<a href=\"https://www-web.itiger.com/mi/ipo/index/us/listing\" target=\"_blank\">申购入口</a>】<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b0b94ec2401da9518d134cc2a250cc5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">招股书显示，公司预计将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份（ADS），价格区间为每股ADS 17-19美元，募资约10亿美元，估值超过80亿美元。依照惯例，BOSS直聘还赋予IPO承销商最多720万股ADS超额配售权。</p><p>公司本次募资将用于加大在求职招聘科技基础设施与研究上的投入，升级人工<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>等有关招聘服务的技术能力；增加对新产品、新服务的投入，服务更多地区与类型用户等方面。</p><p>与很多科技公司类似，BOSS直聘将实施“同股不同权”的AB股结构，即A类股票投票权为1：1，B类股票投票权为1：15。预计本轮募资完成后，创始人、董事长兼CEO赵鹏将占股17.6%，拥有76.2%投票权。</p><p>招股书显示，本次公开发行意向投资者包括UBS AM， GIC， Mubadala， Sequoia， Tiger Global。</p><p>知名投资机构入场，意味着全球资本市场和投资人对高速增长的中国人才服务市场、对广大的中国中小企业服务市场、对BOSS直聘这一新招聘平台和“移动+智能匹配+直聊”构成的直聘模式的高度看好。</p><p>纳斯达克目前已成为全球创新、科技公司的上市首选。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YJ\">云集</a>包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>等在内的各大科技公司，也囊括了美国的ZipRecruiter，以色列的Fiverr等全球一系列志在改变传统招聘低效体验的新一代招聘企业。</p><p>BOSS直聘在招股书中指出，长期以来，中小企业与广大长尾求职者未能享受到妥善的求职招聘服务。该公司具有开创性的直聘模式，提升了企业招聘与个人求职效率。直聘模式以移动端为核心、以智能匹配为基础、让求职者与企业端用户进行线上直聊。</p><p>中小企业是吸纳就业的主要渠道。在中小企业分布分散、品牌力弱、招人预算低的背景下，直聘模式为中小企业主提供了可主动与求职者沟通、即时反馈、低成本乃至零成本的招聘服务，为解决中小企业招聘这一社会难题提供了切实有效的方案。招股书数据显示，截至2021年3月31日，BOSS直聘服务的企业用户中，82.6%为中小企业。</p><p>在求职者端，在用户隐私信息保护被愈发重视的今天，BOSS直聘支持求职者选择性地对企业端用户隐藏信息；经求职者确认许可后，企业端用户才能访问求职者联系方式和完整简历。</p><p>招股书显示，2021年3月，BOSS直聘月活跃用户数（MAU）达3060万。2020年平均MAU为1980万，较2019年平均MAU同比上涨73.2%。</p><p>截至2021年3月31日，BOSS直聘共服务8580万认证求职者，包括白领用户、金领用户、大学生及蓝领用户；BOSS直聘共拥有1300万认证企业端用户，服务630万家认证企业。</p><p>据CIC（灼识咨询）预测，受数字新经济业态发展、创新创业政策利好、企业人才竞争加剧等因素驱动，中国线上招聘市场规模预计将由2020年的551亿元增至2025年的2234亿元，年复合增长率为32.3%。</p>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>【打新速递】BOSS直聘：确定发行价区间17至19美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n【打新速递】BOSS直聘：确定发行价区间17至19美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 05:52 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2021-06-05/detail-ikqciyzi7793066.d.html?vt=4><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京时间6月5日消息，在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）更新了招股书。招股书显示，BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市，代码BZ。此次IPO由高盛、摩根士丹利、瑞银、华兴担任主承销商。老虎开放BOSS直聘打新【申购入口】招股书显示，公司预计将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份（ADS），价格区间为每股ADS 17-19美元，募资约10亿美元，估值超过80亿美元。依照惯例，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2021-06-05/detail-ikqciyzi7793066.d.html?vt=4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd78ac59f6290a0422d0583923acf509","relate_stocks":{"BZ":"BOSS直聘"},"source_url":"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2021-06-05/detail-ikqciyzi7793066.d.html?vt=4","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2141072144","content_text":"北京时间6月5日消息，在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）更新了招股书。招股书显示，BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市，代码BZ。此次IPO由高盛、摩根士丹利、瑞银、华兴担任主承销商。老虎开放BOSS直聘打新【申购入口】招股书显示，公司预计将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份（ADS），价格区间为每股ADS 17-19美元，募资约10亿美元，估值超过80亿美元。依照惯例，BOSS直聘还赋予IPO承销商最多720万股ADS超额配售权。公司本次募资将用于加大在求职招聘科技基础设施与研究上的投入，升级人工智能等有关招聘服务的技术能力；增加对新产品、新服务的投入，服务更多地区与类型用户等方面。与很多科技公司类似，BOSS直聘将实施“同股不同权”的AB股结构，即A类股票投票权为1：1，B类股票投票权为1：15。预计本轮募资完成后，创始人、董事长兼CEO赵鹏将占股17.6%，拥有76.2%投票权。招股书显示，本次公开发行意向投资者包括UBS AM， GIC， Mubadala， Sequoia， Tiger Global。知名投资机构入场，意味着全球资本市场和投资人对高速增长的中国人才服务市场、对广大的中国中小企业服务市场、对BOSS直聘这一新招聘平台和“移动+智能匹配+直聊”构成的直聘模式的高度看好。纳斯达克目前已成为全球创新、科技公司的上市首选。云集包括苹果、微软、谷歌、亚马逊等在内的各大科技公司，也囊括了美国的ZipRecruiter，以色列的Fiverr等全球一系列志在改变传统招聘低效体验的新一代招聘企业。BOSS直聘在招股书中指出，长期以来，中小企业与广大长尾求职者未能享受到妥善的求职招聘服务。该公司具有开创性的直聘模式，提升了企业招聘与个人求职效率。直聘模式以移动端为核心、以智能匹配为基础、让求职者与企业端用户进行线上直聊。中小企业是吸纳就业的主要渠道。在中小企业分布分散、品牌力弱、招人预算低的背景下，直聘模式为中小企业主提供了可主动与求职者沟通、即时反馈、低成本乃至零成本的招聘服务，为解决中小企业招聘这一社会难题提供了切实有效的方案。招股书数据显示，截至2021年3月31日，BOSS直聘服务的企业用户中，82.6%为中小企业。在求职者端，在用户隐私信息保护被愈发重视的今天，BOSS直聘支持求职者选择性地对企业端用户隐藏信息；经求职者确认许可后，企业端用户才能访问求职者联系方式和完整简历。招股书显示，2021年3月，BOSS直聘月活跃用户数（MAU）达3060万。2020年平均MAU为1980万，较2019年平均MAU同比上涨73.2%。截至2021年3月31日，BOSS直聘共服务8580万认证求职者，包括白领用户、金领用户、大学生及蓝领用户；BOSS直聘共拥有1300万认证企业端用户，服务630万家认证企业。据CIC（灼识咨询）预测，受数字新经济业态发展、创新创业政策利好、企业人才竞争加剧等因素驱动，中国线上招聘市场规模预计将由2020年的551亿元增至2025年的2234亿元，年复合增长率为32.3%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":112378971,"gmtCreate":1622853612393,"gmtModify":1622853612393,"author":{"id":"3581207018549195","authorId":"3581207018549195","name":"燕子头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f6e60523888e16296228530fb274551","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581207018549195","idStr":"3581207018549195"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"数据惊人","listText":"数据惊人","text":"数据惊人","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112378971","repostId":"1172584244","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172584244","pubTimestamp":1622814507,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1172584244?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 21:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"非农数据不及预期，美股是不是又能大涨一波了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172584244","media":"格隆汇","summary":"流动性收紧的拐点并不远。","content":"<p>6月4日晚间，美联储公布了备受关注的就业数据。</p>\n<p>数据显示，<b>美国5月非农就业人数增加55.9万，预估为增加67.4万，前值为增加26.6万；5月失业率为5.8%，创去年3月以来新低，预估为5.9%，前值为6.1%</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef60174471f6fb8c05c07ca862ef9b30\" tg-width=\"692\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>受此消息刺激，美股三大指数今日集体高开，纳指涨幅居前，开盘后一路走高。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37b446e2b2cf893f29011047fd94371c\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n<p>5月就业数据不及预期，让市场倍感意外的同时，极大地缓了一口气，投资者担忧的美联储缩减计划又可以往后延一延了。</p>\n<p><b>1、经济超预期复苏，失业率大幅改善</b></p>\n<p>过去几个月间，鲍威尔、耶伦多次放风和美股的来回试探，都说明了一个问题：<b>当下市场在交易的是美联储收紧流动性窗口期的远近</b>。</p>\n<p>而美联储的态度也已经明牌，始终将其政策框架锚定在两个点——<b>经济复苏、就业</b>。在这两个数据没回到疫情前水平之前，宽松的货币环境突然收窄的可能性极小。</p>\n<p>所以表现出来的情况就很有意思，<b>经济就业数据出来之前，市场先跌为敬</b>，投资者都怕意外发生，继而演变成一场“囚徒”之间的博弈，因此提前规避风险。如果出炉的数据很好看，美股继续往下跌，一旦不及预期，资金又会急急忙忙吃回头草。</p>\n<p>6月2日公布的美联储褐皮书显示，<b>过去两个月美国经济温和扩张，增速环比小幅增长</b>。三分之二的地区在报告期内就业数量和工资增长温和，其中食品服务、酒店和零售业的就业增长最为强劲。</p>\n<p>昨晚公布的就业数据证实了这一说法，“小非农”ADP就业人数新增97.8万人，大超市场预期，创去年6月以来的近一年最快增幅；64点的ISM服务业指数也略超预期，并且刷新1997年以来的纪录。</p>\n<p>同时，上周美国首次申请失业救济的人数降至38.5万，低于一些经济学家预期的39.3万，也低于此前一周的前值40.6万人。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a967880cffaee2dadeff49b76902207a\" tg-width=\"692\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>非农就业数据虽然爆冷，但整体上较上期好了不少，并且失业率方面略好于预期。</p>\n<p>根据美国CDC的数据，当前全美接种至少一剂疫苗的人数为1.69亿，18岁~65岁的劳动力人口中63%完成接种。随着疫苗的快速铺开，各地区的封锁逐渐放开，比如纽约市长日前就宣布将于7月1日全面开放纽约市，这些措施将带动经济的进一步复苏。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd353210d2de27e53197b6f8ca4e45bd\" tg-width=\"692\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>多数美联储委员的乐观预期是，伴随全美学校于秋季全面恢复课堂教学，各州政府在疫情期间的额外失业补助于9月前陆续到期，<b>夏季的美国就业市场将迎来显著提振</b>。</p>\n<p>参考疫情前数据，若要失业率和劳动参与率都回到正常水平的话，还有超过800万的就业缺口，<b>按照目前的修复速度，大概还需要10个月的时间</b>。</p>\n<p>在此之前，难言加息。</p>\n<p><b>2、通胀加剧，流动性拐点什么时候来？</b></p>\n<p>Sell in May的5月魔咒没有在美股上演，但美股依然跑输其他主要市场，不说最近暴涨的越南股市，标普500甚至大幅跑输上证指数。<b>对投资者来说，通胀和货币政策变化的担忧依然是悬在头上的“两朵乌云”</b>。</p>\n<p>4月份美国的CPI数据大超预期，4.2%的增长公布的时候吓坏了一大批人，股市应声大跌，美股三大指数均跌2~3个点。</p>\n<p>美联储褐皮书指出，5月来其国内的总体价格压力进一步增加。销售价格温和上涨，投入成本上涨较快，而印度、越南等制造业国家的疫情反扑导致供应链中断，进一步加剧了成本压力。此外，4月份的PPI数据同比增长6.2%，工业端的压力预计将逐步传导至消费端。</p>\n<p>不过，随着1.9万亿美元财政刺激后的消费从高峰回落，供需缺口有望缩窄，对通胀的压力也有所缓解。需求侧继续释放，5月份美国的订单积压指数从55.7升至61.1，但增速环比放慢；供给侧正在修复，库存指数则从49.1回升到水平线上的51.5。</p>\n<p>总的来说，<b>通胀的压力仍将存在，短期内看不到明显好转的迹象</b>。</p>\n<p>我们知道，造成通胀恶化的根本原因是美元流动性的泛滥，拜登的疫情纾困法案和基建计划更是雪上加霜。</p>\n<p>近期美联的逆回购交易量暴涨，<b>5月27日的4850亿美元创下历史记录，周四的资金规模为至4790亿美元，仍然处在相当高的水平</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b05453e91a77eb3931efa7fa52a0ad3\" tg-width=\"692\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这个事需要结合市场利率来看，因为流动性泛滥的原因，联邦基金利率在过去几个月来持续下降至最低0.05%，众多金融机构担心出现负利率的情况，因此<b>通过和美联储的隔夜逆回购锁定利率下限，而对美联储来说相当于回收了一部分流动性</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e742223fa8e78f7cba445cb08d1d986\" tg-width=\"692\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>基本可以断定，在通胀压力和经济复苏超预期的背景下，收紧流动性大概率会提前。</p>\n<p>现在美联储已经有些“小动作了”。日前，美联储宣布准备出脱购买的部分资产——在去年疫情最严重时期为了稳定信贷市场而买入的公司债。就在昨天，纽约联储表示将于6月7日开始逐步出售二级市场企业信贷便利（SMCCF）工具中的企业债，将从出售ETF开始。</p>\n<p><b>流动性收紧的拐点，不远了。</b></p>\n<p><b>3、结语</b></p>\n<p>持续震荡中的美股，说明市场的预期正在寻找共识，而6月很有可能成为决定未来一段时间内政策和市场走向的关键岔路口——<b>6月10日公布CPI数据，紧接着6月15~16日召开FOMC会议，届时将会对缩减购债规模做讨论。</b></p>\n<p>预测走向从来都不怎么靠谱，尤其是在拐点处以及疫情导致非线性变化的事件中，包括众多经济学家在内的专家预期往往出现较大的偏差，但我们可以分析各种可能情况下的影响：</p>\n<p>非农数据不及预期，已经给市场缓了口气。<b>如果通胀也有所缓解，购债计划将继续后延，那么市场会迎来新一轮喘息窗口；反之，如果通胀意外大超预期，迫使美联储不得不采取行动的话，市场则将迎来新一轮恐慌，毕竟现在就提示减量是明显早于预期的。</b></p>\n<p>总而言之，加息的大方向要看经济就业的修复进度，拐点在缩减购债的决议上，市场经过5月非农数据的预期修正，会相对乐观许多。但通胀压力下不排除美联储做一些技术性微调，比如上调隔夜逆回购利率和超额准备金利率。</p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>非农数据不及预期，美股是不是又能大涨一波了？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n非农数据不及预期，美股是不是又能大涨一波了？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-04 21:48 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/468913><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>6月4日晚间，美联储公布了备受关注的就业数据。\n数据显示，美国5月非农就业人数增加55.9万，预估为增加67.4万，前值为增加26.6万；5月失业率为5.8%，创去年3月以来新低，预估为5.9%，前值为6.1%。\n\n受此消息刺激，美股三大指数今日集体高开，纳指涨幅居前，开盘后一路走高。\n\n5月就业数据不及预期，让市场倍感意外的同时，极大地缓了一口气，投资者担忧的美联储缩减计划又可以往后延一延了。\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/468913\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2578fef036607345dce47cc401e172a3","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/468913","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"1172584244","content_text":"6月4日晚间，美联储公布了备受关注的就业数据。\n数据显示，美国5月非农就业人数增加55.9万，预估为增加67.4万，前值为增加26.6万；5月失业率为5.8%，创去年3月以来新低，预估为5.9%，前值为6.1%。\n\n受此消息刺激，美股三大指数今日集体高开，纳指涨幅居前，开盘后一路走高。\n\n5月就业数据不及预期，让市场倍感意外的同时，极大地缓了一口气，投资者担忧的美联储缩减计划又可以往后延一延了。\n1、经济超预期复苏，失业率大幅改善\n过去几个月间，鲍威尔、耶伦多次放风和美股的来回试探，都说明了一个问题：当下市场在交易的是美联储收紧流动性窗口期的远近。\n而美联储的态度也已经明牌，始终将其政策框架锚定在两个点——经济复苏、就业。在这两个数据没回到疫情前水平之前，宽松的货币环境突然收窄的可能性极小。\n所以表现出来的情况就很有意思，经济就业数据出来之前，市场先跌为敬，投资者都怕意外发生，继而演变成一场“囚徒”之间的博弈，因此提前规避风险。如果出炉的数据很好看，美股继续往下跌，一旦不及预期，资金又会急急忙忙吃回头草。\n6月2日公布的美联储褐皮书显示，过去两个月美国经济温和扩张，增速环比小幅增长。三分之二的地区在报告期内就业数量和工资增长温和，其中食品服务、酒店和零售业的就业增长最为强劲。\n昨晚公布的就业数据证实了这一说法，“小非农”ADP就业人数新增97.8万人，大超市场预期，创去年6月以来的近一年最快增幅；64点的ISM服务业指数也略超预期，并且刷新1997年以来的纪录。\n同时，上周美国首次申请失业救济的人数降至38.5万，低于一些经济学家预期的39.3万，也低于此前一周的前值40.6万人。\n\n非农就业数据虽然爆冷，但整体上较上期好了不少，并且失业率方面略好于预期。\n根据美国CDC的数据，当前全美接种至少一剂疫苗的人数为1.69亿，18岁~65岁的劳动力人口中63%完成接种。随着疫苗的快速铺开，各地区的封锁逐渐放开，比如纽约市长日前就宣布将于7月1日全面开放纽约市，这些措施将带动经济的进一步复苏。\n\n多数美联储委员的乐观预期是，伴随全美学校于秋季全面恢复课堂教学，各州政府在疫情期间的额外失业补助于9月前陆续到期，夏季的美国就业市场将迎来显著提振。\n参考疫情前数据，若要失业率和劳动参与率都回到正常水平的话，还有超过800万的就业缺口，按照目前的修复速度，大概还需要10个月的时间。\n在此之前，难言加息。\n2、通胀加剧，流动性拐点什么时候来？\nSell in May的5月魔咒没有在美股上演，但美股依然跑输其他主要市场，不说最近暴涨的越南股市，标普500甚至大幅跑输上证指数。对投资者来说，通胀和货币政策变化的担忧依然是悬在头上的“两朵乌云”。\n4月份美国的CPI数据大超预期，4.2%的增长公布的时候吓坏了一大批人，股市应声大跌，美股三大指数均跌2~3个点。\n美联储褐皮书指出，5月来其国内的总体价格压力进一步增加。销售价格温和上涨，投入成本上涨较快，而印度、越南等制造业国家的疫情反扑导致供应链中断，进一步加剧了成本压力。此外，4月份的PPI数据同比增长6.2%，工业端的压力预计将逐步传导至消费端。\n不过，随着1.9万亿美元财政刺激后的消费从高峰回落，供需缺口有望缩窄，对通胀的压力也有所缓解。需求侧继续释放，5月份美国的订单积压指数从55.7升至61.1，但增速环比放慢；供给侧正在修复，库存指数则从49.1回升到水平线上的51.5。\n总的来说，通胀的压力仍将存在，短期内看不到明显好转的迹象。\n我们知道，造成通胀恶化的根本原因是美元流动性的泛滥，拜登的疫情纾困法案和基建计划更是雪上加霜。\n近期美联的逆回购交易量暴涨，5月27日的4850亿美元创下历史记录，周四的资金规模为至4790亿美元，仍然处在相当高的水平。\n\n这个事需要结合市场利率来看，因为流动性泛滥的原因，联邦基金利率在过去几个月来持续下降至最低0.05%，众多金融机构担心出现负利率的情况，因此通过和美联储的隔夜逆回购锁定利率下限，而对美联储来说相当于回收了一部分流动性。\n\n基本可以断定，在通胀压力和经济复苏超预期的背景下，收紧流动性大概率会提前。\n现在美联储已经有些“小动作了”。日前，美联储宣布准备出脱购买的部分资产——在去年疫情最严重时期为了稳定信贷市场而买入的公司债。就在昨天，纽约联储表示将于6月7日开始逐步出售二级市场企业信贷便利（SMCCF）工具中的企业债，将从出售ETF开始。\n流动性收紧的拐点，不远了。\n3、结语\n持续震荡中的美股，说明市场的预期正在寻找共识，而6月很有可能成为决定未来一段时间内政策和市场走向的关键岔路口——6月10日公布CPI数据，紧接着6月15~16日召开FOMC会议，届时将会对缩减购债规模做讨论。\n预测走向从来都不怎么靠谱，尤其是在拐点处以及疫情导致非线性变化的事件中，包括众多经济学家在内的专家预期往往出现较大的偏差，但我们可以分析各种可能情况下的影响：\n非农数据不及预期，已经给市场缓了口气。如果通胀也有所缓解，购债计划将继续后延，那么市场会迎来新一轮喘息窗口；反之，如果通胀意外大超预期，迫使美联储不得不采取行动的话，市场则将迎来新一轮恐慌，毕竟现在就提示减量是明显早于预期的。\n总而言之，加息的大方向要看经济就业的修复进度，拐点在缩减购债的决议上，市场经过5月非农数据的预期修正，会相对乐观许多。但通胀压力下不排除美联储做一些技术性微调，比如上调隔夜逆回购利率和超额准备金利率。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}