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andykiller
2021-04-04
关于天齐锂业的几点拙见
$天齐锂业(SZ002466)$ $赣锋锂业(SZ002460)$ 看了很多帖子大家褒贬不一,我也来说说自己的看法,不存在荐股哈~天齐目前的困境主要存在于三个方面,那我就从三个方面表达一下自己的看法:第一个问题肯定是债务问题:短中长共计30亿美金左右,这块债务的形成原因主要是天齐举债进行战略收购有关第二个问题是产能问题:鸡蛋一直在涨钱,家里的鸡如果下不出蛋也是看着市场干着急第三个问题是中澳关系问题:如果中澳关系恶化,那天齐买的东西会不会不好使,或者说会不会作废债务问题:形成原因是天齐老蒋励志要将天齐锂业打造成为以锂为核心的新能源材料国际领导者,所以自天齐被老蒋收购以后于2010年上市,2013年和2018年高杠杆,高溢价举债收购了泰利森和智利SQM(泰利森拥有的格林布什锂矿,是目前世界上正在开采的储量最大、品质最好的锂辉石矿山,现有锂精矿产能134万吨/年,规划产能194万吨/年;SQM开采的智利阿塔卡玛盐湖,拥有世界上最大的卤水储量和运营中的最高品位卤水资源(表1)。二者合计供应了全球约40%的锂。)得益于这两次战略级收购天齐锂业得以跻身全球领先、产业链完整的锂业公司:锂权益储量约1600万吨(折算为碳酸锂当量)、锂精矿产能134万吨/年,规划产能194万吨/年;碳酸锂、氢氧化锂等锂化工产品超过6.7万吨,规划产能超过11万吨/年。这里我觉得有必要单独说一下,很多网友说天齐锂业的矿大部分都在澳洲,需要更正的是全世界范围内虽然锂的储存量很多,但最优质的矿却在澳洲,这里的最优质是指开采效率最高,储存量最大。所以如果想成为以锂为核心的新能源材料国际领导者,注定锂矿资源要在澳洲。完成这两个重大收购后天齐得以飞速发展,但是由于锂价的走低和H股的上市失败导致天齐陷入债务困境。其实H股的上市失败也是因为锂价走低导致H股估值太低导致的。所以两个原因可以合并为一个,锂价走低澳洲部分的分红不
关于天齐锂业的几点拙见
andykiller
2021-03-19
$拼多多(PDD)$
社区团购应该在不断蚕食拼多多的市场,美团,兴盛更多用户都是拼多多的用户,社区团购主力营收切入的也是农业市场,黄峥这时候去研究基础科学,应该是打了一段时间之后发现在流通领域打的太胶着,他之前能获胜的主要原因也是因为现金补贴和流量运营,与其继续重复还不如去更高维度打他们,跟当年美国跟苏联打着打着,苏联去搞星际争霸了情景类似,不过依然是未知数,再加上对手们也有钱,唯一不同的我觉得黄峥在竞争策略上更胜一筹,但胜负除了脑力还得靠体力,剩下的就只能交给时间了。短期看空,长期看涨,一旦突破涨空临界点,迎来的就是无限天空了[真香] 不管怎么说,对于躬身去做基础研究而不是单纯为了财富和地位厮杀的企业家我是绝对尊重,对于主动退位让贤,抛去首富地位我更是高山仰止[666] [比心]
andykiller
2021-03-13
$百度(BIDU)$
天台见,兄弟们
andykiller
05-17
$Faraday Future(FFIE)$
找回账户来一看,成本97
andykiller
2021-05-13
$高途(GOTU)$
打击有这么大么?
andykiller
2021-05-17
$腾讯音乐(TME)$
漂亮
andykiller
2021-03-17
$拼多多(PDD)$
游戏化的模式必然会带来大量用户,但是有谁对游戏有那么高的忠诚度呢?
andykiller
2021-03-08
$百度(BIDU)$
千亿市值还是合理的
andykiller
2021-04-23
$RLX科技(RLX)$
胳膊拗不过大腿,谁也不好使
andykiller
2021-03-10
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
这个也太恐怖了
andykiller
2023-03-30
$Faraday Future(FFIE)$
玩呢?
andykiller
2021-05-18
$腾讯音乐(TME)$
15.5是你的底裤么?
andykiller
2021-05-13
$腾讯音乐(TME)$
垃圾
andykiller
2021-03-10
$一起教育科技(YQ)$
今天的表现应该是主场啊,怎么变客场了
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ </a> 找回账户来一看,成本97","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ </a> 找回账户来一看,成本97","text":"$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 找回账户来一看,成本97","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/306703617876288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4152449096929562","authorId":"4152449096929562","name":"WEIWEI 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玩呢?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/659415433","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":194145938,"gmtCreate":1621349804224,"gmtModify":1621349804224,"author":{"id":"3569710562677818","authorId":"3569710562677818","name":"andykiller","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b1195c5a4516db3ed81b7f98578fa75","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569710562677818","authorIdStr":"3569710562677818"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$腾讯音乐(TME)$</a>15.5是你的底裤么?","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$腾讯音乐(TME)$</a>漂亮","text":"$腾讯音乐(TME)$漂亮","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195372742","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":191396144,"gmtCreate":1620842714488,"gmtModify":1620842714488,"author":{"id":"3569710562677818","authorId":"3569710562677818","name":"andykiller","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b1195c5a4516db3ed81b7f98578fa75","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569710562677818","authorIdStr":"3569710562677818"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$</a>打击有这么大么?","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$腾讯音乐(TME)$</a>垃圾","text":"$腾讯音乐(TME)$垃圾","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191306285","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372088836,"gmtCreate":1619158178025,"gmtModify":1619158178025,"author":{"id":"3569710562677818","authorId":"3569710562677818","name":"andykiller","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b1195c5a4516db3ed81b7f98578fa75","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569710562677818","authorIdStr":"3569710562677818"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX科技(RLX)$</a>胳膊拗不过大腿,谁也不好使","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX科技(RLX)$</a>胳膊拗不过大腿,谁也不好使","text":"$RLX科技(RLX)$胳膊拗不过大腿,谁也不好使","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372088836","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":340774007,"gmtCreate":1617500483409,"gmtModify":1617507728017,"author":{"id":"3569710562677818","authorId":"3569710562677818","name":"andykiller","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b1195c5a4516db3ed81b7f98578fa75","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569710562677818","authorIdStr":"3569710562677818"},"themes":[],"title":"关于天齐锂业的几点拙见","htmlText":"$天齐锂业(SZ002466)$ $赣锋锂业(SZ002460)$ 看了很多帖子大家褒贬不一,我也来说说自己的看法,不存在荐股哈~天齐目前的困境主要存在于三个方面,那我就从三个方面表达一下自己的看法:第一个问题肯定是债务问题:短中长共计30亿美金左右,这块债务的形成原因主要是天齐举债进行战略收购有关第二个问题是产能问题:鸡蛋一直在涨钱,家里的鸡如果下不出蛋也是看着市场干着急第三个问题是中澳关系问题:如果中澳关系恶化,那天齐买的东西会不会不好使,或者说会不会作废债务问题:形成原因是天齐老蒋励志要将天齐锂业打造成为以锂为核心的新能源材料国际领导者,所以自天齐被老蒋收购以后于2010年上市,2013年和2018年高杠杆,高溢价举债收购了泰利森和智利SQM(泰利森拥有的格林布什锂矿,是目前世界上正在开采的储量最大、品质最好的锂辉石矿山,现有锂精矿产能134万吨/年,规划产能194万吨/年;SQM开采的智利阿塔卡玛盐湖,拥有世界上最大的卤水储量和运营中的最高品位卤水资源(表1)。二者合计供应了全球约40%的锂。)得益于这两次战略级收购天齐锂业得以跻身全球领先、产业链完整的锂业公司:锂权益储量约1600万吨(折算为碳酸锂当量)、锂精矿产能134万吨/年,规划产能194万吨/年;碳酸锂、氢氧化锂等锂化工产品超过6.7万吨,规划产能超过11万吨/年。这里我觉得有必要单独说一下,很多网友说天齐锂业的矿大部分都在澳洲,需要更正的是全世界范围内虽然锂的储存量很多,但最优质的矿却在澳洲,这里的最优质是指开采效率最高,储存量最大。所以如果想成为以锂为核心的新能源材料国际领导者,注定锂矿资源要在澳洲。完成这两个重大收购后天齐得以飞速发展,但是由于锂价的走低和H股的上市失败导致天齐陷入债务困境。其实H股的上市失败也是因为锂价走低导致H股估值太低导致的。所以两个原因可以合并为一个,锂价走低澳洲部分的分红不","listText":"$天齐锂业(SZ002466)$ $赣锋锂业(SZ002460)$ 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