飛呀的个人主页 - 老虎社区

飛呀

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IP属地：广东

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7主题

0勋章

2022-06-23

那还是回到农耕时代吧[喷血]

美联储为何不敢救美股？

2022-04-05

每天都在衰退，美国人民生活在水深火热之中，期待俄罗斯人民早日解放全美

外媒头条 | 调查显示美经济衰退最可能明年开始

2022-03-31

低调了低调了

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-24

国内韭菜就喜欢看这种新闻，实际情况是？

外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退

2021-12-16

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$阿里巴巴又出事了，建议大家先回避吧。声明：本人没有做空！

2021-12-01

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$上当了，卧槽。。。巨亏

2021-09-02

$Ferroglobe PLC(GSM)$推票是违法的

2021-08-05

$富途控股(FUTU)$又追高了。。。每天挨锤子

2021-08-03

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$我想问一下，这个公司是游戏公司吗？？？你们为什么要砸小破站？？？

2021-07-07

$小米集团-W(01810)$这么多刷屏碎股的？？什么情况

2021-06-26

$每日优鲜(MF)$越晚开盘，越少抛盘，会玩

2021-05-21

$贝壳(BEKE)$很多人憎恨中介，觉得他们刻意制造信息差牟利，这话没错。

2021-04-29

$中远海控(01919)$今晚披露一季报，明天拉高出货，逻辑清晰，事实成立

2021-04-25

b站跌停？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-25

淘宝划线促销价是否也应该罚款啊？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-19

$小米集团-W(01810)$媒体36氪真不是东西，随便放出来消息，割了2次韭菜，真会玩啊

2021-03-18

$涂鸦智能(TUYA)$35了兄弟们，搞起来

2021-03-12

$涂鸦智能(TUYA)$据说18号敲钟，祝大家好运

2021-03-11

$游戏驿站(GME)$ 举报杀猪盘，还我血汗钱

2021-03-11

$游戏驿站(GME)$ 杀猪盘又开始了

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>图：美国家庭和非盈利组织净资产变化（来源：美联储）</span></p><p>考虑到2季度美股跌的比1季度更凶，2季度该项缩水还会继续加大。</p><p>此前市场一直认为由于美股与养老金深度绑定，美联储有&#34;看跌期权&#34;，不会放任美股下跌。但随着通胀上升、劳动力市场紧俏，美股上涨的副作用已经显现，美联储放弃&#34;看跌期权&#34;也另有深意。</p><p><b>美股涨太多，都没人愿意干活了？</b></p><p>根据美联储数据显示，美国富人的资产中比例最大的部分为公司股票、共同基金，而中产财富主要集中于股票、基金和养老金当中。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c6fff708501e31bfde5fcbf666ef1ed\" tg-width=\"1098\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>而美国的养老金与美股&#34;深度绑定&#34;，养老金中超过60%的比例配置在权益市场。</p><p>美股的长牛吸引了更大比例的养老金入市，为养老金带来了丰厚的回报。但问题也随之而来，当养老金赚的&#34;太多了&#34;，这可能让更多人，尤其是中产阶级摸到了&#34;财务自由&#34;门槛、或者说&#34;养老无忧&#34;。</p><p>而这也会降低居民参与劳动的意愿。从美国的劳动参与率和股市的走势来看，20多年来，在&#34;科技互联网&#34;高速发展的红利之下，美股涨幅巨大，尤其以纳斯达克为首，20年间最大涨幅超过十倍。股票投资、养老金快速增值带来的巨大财富增值效应也令美国的劳动参与率显著下滑。从2000年的67%降至目前的62%附近。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7ae51f632b488b5e3ae2fefd15f0b22\" tg-width=\"1107\" tg-height=\"755\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>需要注意的是，劳动参与率统计的是愿意参与劳动的人口（包括就业和在找工作的失业人数）相对适龄劳动人口（16-64岁人口）的比例。该数值主要反应适龄劳动力的工作意愿，受人口结构变化、尤其是人口老龄化的影响并不显著。</p><p>可以看出，<b>由于财富增值效应显著，近20年来，尤其是08年金融危机后，全球&#34;大放水&#34;导致美股加速上涨，劳动参与率也快速下滑，意味着这一轮财富增值令更多的人选择不工作或提前退休。</b></p><p>这就加剧了近期美国劳动力市场紧俏的局面，加速了美国薪资的增长，为通胀进一步上升&#34;添砖加瓦&#34;。</p><p>另外，从长期数据来看，这种趋势除了降低了美国居民的劳动意愿，也扭曲了经济数据的参考意义。美国的经济增速从2000年前的5%左右，降至疫情前2%左右水平，但失业率低点却更低了。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8b6cf636e99116ca7a0ff2f039e030\" tg-width=\"1109\" tg-height=\"756\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>在由供需不平衡引发的通胀上行时期，这种变化就令劳动力市场的供求关系更加紧俏，从而更易于涨薪，进而形成&#34;薪资-物价&#34;螺旋式上升循环。</p><p><b>给美股降温，也是在</b>&#34;<b>帮助</b>&#34;<b>劳动力加速返岗</b></p><p>由于美股过去20年的财富效应令越来越多的人选择不工作，在当前大通胀、劳动力供给短缺的背景下，美联储如果在行使「看跌期权」保卫美国居民养老金利益，可能会反而加剧劳动力远离劳动力市场的趋势。</p><p>从美国的劳动参与率与非劳动者比例（1-劳动参与率）来看，除了新冠疫情的特殊影响外，2018年及2022年的美股下跌，都造成了二者阶段性走阔——劳动人口增加、非劳动人口减少。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be719aaba590412cc9c8f6b0b1b4071\" tg-width=\"1110\" tg-height=\"752\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>这很可能说明，股市下跌的确推动了劳动力返回劳动力市场。</p><p><b>因此，本轮美联储不仅不敢让美股走强，甚至还需要借助美股下跌的力量来&#34;帮助&#34;劳动力加速返岗，以改善劳动力供给不足的困境。</b></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1646046088746","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储为何不敢救美股？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储为何不敢救美股？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-22 22:34 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/urRTjpdQp6P3QNKued-zAg><strong>见闻VIP会员</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>长期以来美股的持续、较快上涨，令美国劳动参与率持续降低，降幅较为明显。显示出包括股票投资、养老金在内的资产增值，令越来越多的美国劳动力离开劳动力市场，或财务自由，或压力减轻提前退休。目前美股暴跌，虽令美股居民资产缩水，但也有好处——\"帮助\"劳动力加速返回劳动力市场。这有助于扭转劳动力离开劳动力市场的趋势，帮助改善劳动力供给短缺；而如果维护美股，则可能加剧劳动力供给短缺。这可能也是美联储不敢救美股的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/urRTjpdQp6P3QNKued-zAg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c7529fdbb41cb6b3c19bcb2904f4970","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/urRTjpdQp6P3QNKued-zAg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122450899","content_text":"长期以来美股的持续、较快上涨，令美国劳动参与率持续降低，降幅较为明显。显示出包括股票投资、养老金在内的资产增值，令越来越多的美国劳动力离开劳动力市场，或财务自由，或压力减轻提前退休。目前美股暴跌，虽令美股居民资产缩水，但也有好处——\"帮助\"劳动力加速返回劳动力市场。这有助于扭转劳动力离开劳动力市场的趋势，帮助改善劳动力供给短缺；而如果维护美股，则可能加剧劳动力供给短缺。这可能也是美联储不敢救美股的原因之一。美股一直涨也是有副作用的？在6月份美国CPI数据创40年新高，加息预期升温后，美股再度大幅跳水，截至6月17日，标普500、道指、纳指年内跌幅分别达到22.90%、17.75%和30.98%。纳斯达克自本轮高点最大回撤幅度达到35%，已经超过了2020年新冠疫情时期的最大回撤。而且，与彼时不同，美联储已不可能再\"大放水\"救市了，美股的下行周期似乎仍未结束。见闻VIP此前提到，由于美国家庭资产与养老金深度\"绑定\"，美股暴跌令美国家庭财富缩水。根据美联储数据显示，一季度房地产等资产价格上涨，但公司股票带来的权益类资产缩水较为严重。图：美国家庭和非盈利组织净资产变化（来源：美联储）考虑到2季度美股跌的比1季度更凶，2季度该项缩水还会继续加大。此前市场一直认为由于美股与养老金深度绑定，美联储有\"看跌期权\"，不会放任美股下跌。但随着通胀上升、劳动力市场紧俏，美股上涨的副作用已经显现，美联储放弃\"看跌期权\"也另有深意。美股涨太多，都没人愿意干活了？根据美联储数据显示，美国富人的资产中比例最大的部分为公司股票、共同基金，而中产财富主要集中于股票、基金和养老金当中。而美国的养老金与美股\"深度绑定\"，养老金中超过60%的比例配置在权益市场。美股的长牛吸引了更大比例的养老金入市，为养老金带来了丰厚的回报。但问题也随之而来，当养老金赚的\"太多了\"，这可能让更多人，尤其是中产阶级摸到了\"财务自由\"门槛、或者说\"养老无忧\"。而这也会降低居民参与劳动的意愿。从美国的劳动参与率和股市的走势来看，20多年来，在\"科技互联网\"高速发展的红利之下，美股涨幅巨大，尤其以纳斯达克为首，20年间最大涨幅超过十倍。股票投资、养老金快速增值带来的巨大财富增值效应也令美国的劳动参与率显著下滑。从2000年的67%降至目前的62%附近。需要注意的是，劳动参与率统计的是愿意参与劳动的人口（包括就业和在找工作的失业人数）相对适龄劳动人口（16-64岁人口）的比例。该数值主要反应适龄劳动力的工作意愿，受人口结构变化、尤其是人口老龄化的影响并不显著。可以看出，由于财富增值效应显著，近20年来，尤其是08年金融危机后，全球\"大放水\"导致美股加速上涨，劳动参与率也快速下滑，意味着这一轮财富增值令更多的人选择不工作或提前退休。这就加剧了近期美国劳动力市场紧俏的局面，加速了美国薪资的增长，为通胀进一步上升\"添砖加瓦\"。另外，从长期数据来看，这种趋势除了降低了美国居民的劳动意愿，也扭曲了经济数据的参考意义。美国的经济增速从2000年前的5%左右，降至疫情前2%左右水平，但失业率低点却更低了。在由供需不平衡引发的通胀上行时期，这种变化就令劳动力市场的供求关系更加紧俏，从而更易于涨薪，进而形成\"薪资-物价\"螺旋式上升循环。给美股降温，也是在\"帮助\"劳动力加速返岗由于美股过去20年的财富效应令越来越多的人选择不工作，在当前大通胀、劳动力供给短缺的背景下，美联储如果在行使「看跌期权」保卫美国居民养老金利益，可能会反而加剧劳动力远离劳动力市场的趋势。从美国的劳动参与率与非劳动者比例（1-劳动参与率）来看，除了新冠疫情的特殊影响外，2018年及2022年的美股下跌，都造成了二者阶段性走阔——劳动人口增加、非劳动人口减少。这很可能说明，股市下跌的确推动了劳动力返回劳动力市场。因此，本轮美联储不仅不敢让美股走强，甚至还需要借助美股下跌的力量来\"帮助\"劳动力加速返岗，以改善劳动力供给不足的困境。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":619122824,"gmtCreate":1649124206900,"gmtModify":1649125188850,"author":{"id":"3560377687384197","authorId":"3560377687384197","name":"飛呀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560377687384197","authorIdStr":"3560377687384197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"每天都在衰退，美国人民生活在水深火热之中，期待俄罗斯人民早日解放全美","listText":"每天都在衰退，美国人民生活在水深火热之中，期待俄罗斯人民早日解放全美","text":"每天都在衰退，美国人民生活在水深火热之中，期待俄罗斯人民早日解放全美","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619122824","repostId":"2225883307","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2225883307","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1649108129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2225883307?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-05 05:35","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条 | 调查显示美经济衰退最可能明年开始","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225883307","media":"市场资讯","summary":"　　根据Markets Live对525人进行的周调查，美国最有可能在2023年陷入衰退，银行股预计将跑输大盘。　　当被问及下一次经济衰退何时开始时，只有15%的受访者认为会在今年。接近一半的受访者预计美国明年出现经济衰退。另有21%的人认为2024年可能发生，16%的人认为2025年或之后。对于美国经济衰退的可能时间，专业人士和散户投资者似乎达成了基本共识。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：</b></p><blockquote><b>1、美国经济衰退最可能明年开始 超10%受访者看好俄债</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>：美国劳动力市场的供应紧张达到二战以来最严重水平</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>3、网红变最大股东 暗示要重塑社交媒体的马斯克入股推特</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>4、美国煤炭价格自2008年以来首次突破每吨100美元</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>5、德国将把俄罗斯天然气的德国子公司国有化以保障天然气供应</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>：全球镍市可能面临供应短缺和需求破坏</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d504a6e88cdd3d4d2cecf54bf4c3ec4\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>美国经济衰退最可能明年开始 超10%受访者看好俄债</b></p><p>根据Markets Live对525人进行的周调查，美国最有可能在2023年陷入衰退，银行股预计将跑输大盘。</p><p>当被问及下一次经济衰退何时开始时，只有15%的受访者认为会在今年。接近一半的受访者预计美国明年出现经济衰退。另有21%的人认为2024年可能发生，16%的人认为2025年或之后。</p><p>受访者中金融专业人士占比是散户的两倍多。五分之三的受访者来自美国或加拿大。对于美国经济衰退的可能时间，专业人士和散户投资者似乎达成了基本共识。金融专业人士和散户的界分由受访者自己决定。</p><p>略超一半的受访者认为，2-10年期收益率曲线的倒挂最有可能是经济衰退信号。只有12%的受访者认同美联储主席鲍威尔的观点，相信18个月后3个月期收益率水平与目前3个月期收益率之差才是经济衰退风险相关指标。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c9adfc8ee9bcd9f18bda52000738a32\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>高盛：美国劳动力市场的供应紧张达到二战以来最严重水平</b></p><p>高盛集团表示，美国就业市场的供应从来没有像现在这样紧张，随着美联储采取措施遏制通胀，经济风险上升。</p><p>高盛经济学家编制了一项衡量美国劳动力状况的指标，称与其他指标相比，该指标能够更好追踪薪资涨幅（这是通胀压力的关键）。他们将就业人数和职位空缺数相加以估算劳动力需求。至于供应，他们计算的是在职和求职人数之和。</p><p>高盛首席经济学家Jan Hatzius周一发表报告称，数据显示劳动力需求比供应多出530万，无论是从绝对值还是相对值来看，就业市场都达到了二战后最紧俏的水平。</p><p>Hatzius写道，未来几个月可能出现的持续强劲就业增长大部分将来自目前不在劳动力市场的人，这将有助于缓解这种供需失衡。</p><p>“然而坏消息是这种增长可能还不够，” Hatzius写道。 “为了将薪资压力降低到至少与美联储通胀目标大致一致的水平，我们估计劳动力供需缺口至少需要缩小一半。”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/035113ee1a5f4ac2f48a34bab4aa5ce5\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>网红变最大股东 暗示要重塑社交媒体的马斯克入股推特</b></p><p>马斯克买下推特公司9.2%的股份，成为这个平台最大的股东。就在一周前，他曾暗示自己可能会重塑社交媒体行业。</p><p>周一提交的监管文件披露了马斯克的交易后，推特股价一度飙升30%，创下四年多来最大盘中涨幅。</p><p>马斯克一直是推特上最火的网红之一，也经常在该平台上遇到麻烦。作为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>首席执行官，他目前正在设法摆脱2018年与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）达成的对他发布有关这家电动车制造商的推文进行限制的协议。</p><p>上述交易将是推特新任首席执行官Parag Agrawal接替去年11月意外辞职的Jack Dorsey以来面临的又一重大考验。Agrawal承诺强化责任感、提高决策速度并改善产品执行。公司设下了雄心勃勃的增长目标，其中包括年收入上升到75亿美元，及在2023年底前日活跃用户增加到3.15亿等。</p><p>“看起来伊隆的目光转向了推特，” Wedbush分析师Dan Ives在研究报告中表示，这些股权可能会导致“更积极的主人翁角色”。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e90dcca3fd8118c1d7884975a663d72\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>美国煤炭价格自2008年以来首次突破每吨100美元</b></p><p>美国煤炭价格13年来首次突破每吨100美元，因为俄乌冲突以及全球能源危机推动了对化石燃料的需求。</p><p>根据周一发布的政府数据，阿巴拉契亚中部煤炭价格上周飙升9%至每吨106.15美元，为2008年末以来的最高水平。伊利诺伊盆地煤炭价格上涨至109.55美元，是2005年有记录以来首次突破每吨100美元。</p><p>煤炭价格上涨之际，美国消费者已经面临四十年来最高通胀。更高的煤炭价格意味着美国消费者的电费开支可能增加。与此同时，食品、住房和汽车的成本已经飙升，推动消费者价格通胀达到1981年以来的最高同比涨幅。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaba804ac0366a7f88a5c90098e6205a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>德国将把俄罗斯天然气的德国子公司国有化以保障天然气供应</b></p><p>德国将把俄罗斯天然气工业公司在德国的一家子公司暂时国有化，以保障天然气供应安全。</p><p>德国经济部长Robert Habeck在柏林告诉记者，Gazprom Germania GmbH将处于德国能源监管机构的托管之下，直至9月30日。Gazprom Germania是一家天然气储存公司，也是能源供应商Wingas GmbH的所有者。Habeck说，俄气公司在未经政府批准的情况下擅自退出这家德国子公司，违反了德国法律。</p><p>俄气公司在欧洲的子公司正面临压力，因为客户和商业伙伴拒绝与他们做生意，使得其中一些子公司可能难以为继。Gazprom Germania旗下的Astora子公司在下萨克森州北部的Rehden经营着德国最大的天然气储存设施，对德国能源安全至关重要。</p><p>“联邦政府正在采取必要措施，确保德国的供应安全，”Habeck在周一的声明中表示。“这也意味着我们不允许德国的能源基础设施受制于克里姆林宫的恣意妄为。”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1202d52255e07f76ab6caa495be6080e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>美国银行：全球镍市可能面临供应短缺和需求破坏</b></p><p>美国银行分析师Michael Widmer等人在一份报告中称，被历史性轧空行情和俄乌冲突搅乱的全球镍市场可能面临电池级镍供应短缺的局面，而需求也将遭到破坏。</p><p>Widmer表示，经历了多年的供过于求之后，镍市场已显著收紧，原因是供需增长错位，供应增长主要是不锈钢用的二级非精炼镍，而需求增长主要是电池级的一级精炼镍。市场供应紧张的结果是库存稳步下降、LME出现溢价和价格上涨。</p><p>自2月24日俄乌冲突爆发以来，LME镍价截至周一上涨36%，因为俄罗斯拥有全球约17%的电池级镍产能。在此期间发生轧空行情，镍价曾在两天内上涨了两倍多。</p><p>报告称，镍市“令人不安的状况”意味着供应商需要更加重视电池级镍的生产，而需求破坏将影响电动汽车制造商和不锈钢厂。</p></body></html>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条 | 调查显示美经济衰退最可能明年开始</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条 | 调查显示美经济衰退最可能明年开始\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-05 05:35 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-04-05/doc-imcwiwss9957423.shtml><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、美国经济衰退最可能明年开始 超10%受访者看好俄债2、高盛：美国劳动力市场的供应紧张达到二战以来最严重水平3、网红变最大股东 暗示要重塑社交媒体的马斯克入股推特4、美国煤炭价格自2008年以来首次突破每吨100美元5、德国将把俄罗斯天然气的德国子公司国有化以保障天然气供应6、美国银行：全球镍市可能面临供应短缺和需求破坏美国经济衰退最可能明年开始 超...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-04-05/doc-imcwiwss9957423.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d504a6e88cdd3d4d2cecf54bf4c3ec4","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","UGAZ":"三倍做多天然气ETN(VelocityShares)","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UNG":"美国天然气基金","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 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Live对525人进行的周调查，美国最有可能在2023年陷入衰退，银行股预计将跑输大盘。当被问及下一次经济衰退何时开始时，只有15%的受访者认为会在今年。接近一半的受访者预计美国明年出现经济衰退。另有21%的人认为2024年可能发生，16%的人认为2025年或之后。受访者中金融专业人士占比是散户的两倍多。五分之三的受访者来自美国或加拿大。对于美国经济衰退的可能时间，专业人士和散户投资者似乎达成了基本共识。金融专业人士和散户的界分由受访者自己决定。略超一半的受访者认为，2-10年期收益率曲线的倒挂最有可能是经济衰退信号。只有12%的受访者认同美联储主席鲍威尔的观点，相信18个月后3个月期收益率水平与目前3个月期收益率之差才是经济衰退风险相关指标。高盛：美国劳动力市场的供应紧张达到二战以来最严重水平高盛集团表示，美国就业市场的供应从来没有像现在这样紧张，随着美联储采取措施遏制通胀，经济风险上升。高盛经济学家编制了一项衡量美国劳动力状况的指标，称与其他指标相比，该指标能够更好追踪薪资涨幅（这是通胀压力的关键）。他们将就业人数和职位空缺数相加以估算劳动力需求。至于供应，他们计算的是在职和求职人数之和。高盛首席经济学家Jan Hatzius周一发表报告称，数据显示劳动力需求比供应多出530万，无论是从绝对值还是相对值来看，就业市场都达到了二战后最紧俏的水平。Hatzius写道，未来几个月可能出现的持续强劲就业增长大部分将来自目前不在劳动力市场的人，这将有助于缓解这种供需失衡。“然而坏消息是这种增长可能还不够，” Hatzius写道。 “为了将薪资压力降低到至少与美联储通胀目标大致一致的水平，我们估计劳动力供需缺口至少需要缩小一半。”网红变最大股东 暗示要重塑社交媒体的马斯克入股推特马斯克买下推特公司9.2%的股份，成为这个平台最大的股东。就在一周前，他曾暗示自己可能会重塑社交媒体行业。周一提交的监管文件披露了马斯克的交易后，推特股价一度飙升30%，创下四年多来最大盘中涨幅。马斯克一直是推特上最火的网红之一，也经常在该平台上遇到麻烦。作为特斯拉首席执行官，他目前正在设法摆脱2018年与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）达成的对他发布有关这家电动车制造商的推文进行限制的协议。上述交易将是推特新任首席执行官Parag Agrawal接替去年11月意外辞职的Jack Dorsey以来面临的又一重大考验。Agrawal承诺强化责任感、提高决策速度并改善产品执行。公司设下了雄心勃勃的增长目标，其中包括年收入上升到75亿美元，及在2023年底前日活跃用户增加到3.15亿等。“看起来伊隆的目光转向了推特，” Wedbush分析师Dan Ives在研究报告中表示，这些股权可能会导致“更积极的主人翁角色”。美国煤炭价格自2008年以来首次突破每吨100美元美国煤炭价格13年来首次突破每吨100美元，因为俄乌冲突以及全球能源危机推动了对化石燃料的需求。根据周一发布的政府数据，阿巴拉契亚中部煤炭价格上周飙升9%至每吨106.15美元，为2008年末以来的最高水平。伊利诺伊盆地煤炭价格上涨至109.55美元，是2005年有记录以来首次突破每吨100美元。煤炭价格上涨之际，美国消费者已经面临四十年来最高通胀。更高的煤炭价格意味着美国消费者的电费开支可能增加。与此同时，食品、住房和汽车的成本已经飙升，推动消费者价格通胀达到1981年以来的最高同比涨幅。德国将把俄罗斯天然气的德国子公司国有化以保障天然气供应德国将把俄罗斯天然气工业公司在德国的一家子公司暂时国有化，以保障天然气供应安全。德国经济部长Robert Habeck在柏林告诉记者，Gazprom Germania GmbH将处于德国能源监管机构的托管之下，直至9月30日。Gazprom Germania是一家天然气储存公司，也是能源供应商Wingas GmbH的所有者。Habeck说，俄气公司在未经政府批准的情况下擅自退出这家德国子公司，违反了德国法律。俄气公司在欧洲的子公司正面临压力，因为客户和商业伙伴拒绝与他们做生意，使得其中一些子公司可能难以为继。Gazprom Germania旗下的Astora子公司在下萨克森州北部的Rehden经营着德国最大的天然气储存设施，对德国能源安全至关重要。“联邦政府正在采取必要措施，确保德国的供应安全，”Habeck在周一的声明中表示。“这也意味着我们不允许德国的能源基础设施受制于克里姆林宫的恣意妄为。”美国银行：全球镍市可能面临供应短缺和需求破坏美国银行分析师Michael Widmer等人在一份报告中称，被历史性轧空行情和俄乌冲突搅乱的全球镍市场可能面临电池级镍供应短缺的局面，而需求也将遭到破坏。Widmer表示，经历了多年的供过于求之后，镍市场已显著收紧，原因是供需增长错位，供应增长主要是不锈钢用的二级非精炼镍，而需求增长主要是电池级的一级精炼镍。市场供应紧张的结果是库存稳步下降、LME出现溢价和价格上涨。自2月24日俄乌冲突爆发以来，LME镍价截至周一上涨36%，因为俄罗斯拥有全球约17%的电池级镍产能。在此期间发生轧空行情，镍价曾在两天内上涨了两倍多。报告称，镍市“令人不安的状况”意味着供应商需要更加重视电池级镍的生产，而需求破坏将影响电动汽车制造商和不锈钢厂。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":610277972,"gmtCreate":1648657101921,"gmtModify":1648657101921,"author":{"id":"3560377687384197","authorId":"3560377687384197","name":"飛呀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560377687384197","authorIdStr":"3560377687384197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"低调了低调了","listText":"低调了低调了","text":"低调了低调了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/610277972","repostId":"1146682157","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698399142,"gmtCreate":1640300996100,"gmtModify":1640300996100,"author":{"id":"3560377687384197","authorId":"3560377687384197","name":"飛呀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560377687384197","authorIdStr":"3560377687384197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"国内韭菜就喜欢看这种新闻，实际情况是？","listText":"国内韭菜就喜欢看这种新闻，实际情况是？","text":"国内韭菜就喜欢看这种新闻，实际情况是？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698399142","repostId":"2193614027","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2193614027","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640300623,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2193614027?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 07:03","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2193614027","media":"新浪美股","summary":"美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。　　美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。","content":"<p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>1、美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">默沙东</a>公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>3、英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>4、美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>5、萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>6、通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9537031f9733064edb283fb8f9c6a0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高</b></p>\n<p>美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。</p>\n<p>美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，调整通胀因素后，11月份商品和服务购买额增幅与10月的0.7%基本持平。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。</p>\n<p>受供应链遇阻的消息影响，许多美国人今年开始假期购物的时间早于往年，一定程度上解释了前一个月消费支出增长强劲的原因。</p>\n<p>但消费者也面临着数十年来最猛烈的通胀。消费者在超市和加油站的购买力变弱，可用于购买非必需消费品的钱减少了。而且omicron变异株也可能遏制服务支出的反弹。</p>\n<p>美联储青睐的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数（PCE）较前月增长0.6%，同比增长5.7%，创下1982年以来最高水平。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a86ad7d405d41f26eaf4efacca793d2\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群</b></p>\n<p>默沙东的Covid-19口服药获得美国监管机构批准，在omicron变异株导致病例激增之际，为高风险患者提供了另一种居家治疗选择。</p>\n<p>在默沙东的molnupiravir获得紧急使用授权之前，美国周三已经批准了辉瑞公司的新冠口服药Paxlovid。它们带来新的希望，以免感染病例激增压垮美国的医院系统。</p>\n<p>默沙东与Ridgeback Biotherapeutics LP共同开发的molnupiravir用于治疗18岁及以上年龄有重症风险的非住院Covid患者。一项研究表明，它使轻中度成年人的住院或死亡风险降低了30%。</p>\n<p>Molnupiravir的工作原理是在遗传物质中引入错误，最终阻止病毒复制，但可能会影响正在生长的人类细胞。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47825ae9cb248adf0684313ca0fcd911\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株</b></p>\n<p>英国政府表示，新冠病毒变异毒株omicron似乎比迄今为止的其他毒株严重性更低，但传染力更强。英国单日新增病例再创纪录，逼近12万例。</p>\n<p>英国卫生安全局（HSA）周四表示，omicron的感染者住院的可能性比德尔塔感染者低50-70%，急诊可能性也低31-45%。</p>\n<p>然而，HSA的数据显示，加强针虽然能够增强保护，但对omicron保护力消退的速度比对德尔塔更快，第三剂接种的10周后降低了15-25%。</p>\n<p>该机构还警告说，由于omicron变异株传染性高，仍然有可能出现大量重症患者，从而令医疗体系不堪重负。</p>\n<p>英国单日新增新冠病例连续第二天创纪录 与月初时相比增加一倍以上。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50a628b9ea053ca28dd813c14d90b043\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位</b></p>\n<p>美国上周首次申请失业救济人数几无变动，表明随着劳动力市场继续复苏，裁员人数处于历史低位。</p>\n<p>美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，截至12月18日当周首次申领失业救济人数报20.5万人，与前值持平。经济学家预期中值为20.5万人。</p>\n<p>截至12月11日当周持续申领失业金人数降至186万。</p>\n<p>该报告凸显了近几个月岗位流失数量较低的情况，雇主侧重于吸引和留住工人，以跟上消费者需求的步伐。申请量总体上与疫情前的水平一致，反映了美国劳动力市场吃紧。</p>\n<p>随着劳动力市场的改善，申领失业金人数持续走低，最近几周由于在假日季调整原始数据引发一些波动，情况尤其是如此。申请人数在截至12月4日当周触及了52年低点18.8万人。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/358ab600ca8986e711edbb28f92d581b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞</b></p>\n<p>美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。</p>\n<p>萨默斯表示，美联储迟迟未发现通胀风险，在应对通胀问题上反应过慢可能导致经济大幅滑坡。</p>\n<p>“如果我们可以在过热的情况下可持续地管理经济，那的确棒极了，但1970年代我们得到了教训，即经济过热不仅带来高通胀，而且通胀还会不断上升，”萨默斯说。 “这就是为什么我担心我们已经到了在不触发衰退情况下难以降低通胀的地步”。</p>\n<p>美国的通胀率已经达到里根以来的最高水平，许多人开始更接近萨默斯的观点。美联储本月转向转向鹰派，计划比9月份时预期的水平更快收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p><b>通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险</b></p>\n<p>一位准确预测了今年债市通胀预期上升的交易员称，美国通胀率势将因经济增长而进一步上升，并可能在2022年一季度超出大多数分析师的预期。</p>\n<p>Bank of Ireland Group Plc在柏林的通胀交易台负责人Semin Soher Power预测，明年一季度美国消费者价格指数（CPI）同比涨幅将超过7%，高于11月的6.8%，也高于分析师对一季度6.3%的预估中值。</p>\n<p>她于周四接受采访时表示，通胀压力“现在更多是由经济增长带来的”，而不单纯是能源价格上涨或经济重启的结果。她表示，市场和央行都在意识到这一点，迹象之一是美联储不再用“暂时性”来描述通胀压力。</p>\n<p>对于美联储转鹰，市场提高了加息次数预测，不过对较长期内加息幅度的预期还是低于美联储点阵图显示的预测中值。交易员们似乎相信央行政策将有助于控制通胀，反映市场通胀预期的盈亏平衡通胀率在近几周回落。</p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-24 07:03 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-24/doc-ikyamrmz0841670.shtml><strong>新浪美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高\n\n\n2、默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群\n\n\n3、英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株\n\n\n4、美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位\n\n\n5、萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞\n\n\n6、通胀交易员认为...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-24/doc-ikyamrmz0841670.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d43f47ff4637f33c2675f14c1cc937","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-24/doc-ikyamrmz0841670.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2193614027","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高\n\n\n2、默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群\n\n\n3、英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株\n\n\n4、美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位\n\n\n5、萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞\n\n\n6、通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险\n\n\n美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高\n美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。\n美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，调整通胀因素后，11月份商品和服务购买额增幅与10月的0.7%基本持平。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。\n受供应链遇阻的消息影响，许多美国人今年开始假期购物的时间早于往年，一定程度上解释了前一个月消费支出增长强劲的原因。\n但消费者也面临着数十年来最猛烈的通胀。消费者在超市和加油站的购买力变弱，可用于购买非必需消费品的钱减少了。而且omicron变异株也可能遏制服务支出的反弹。\n美联储青睐的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数（PCE）较前月增长0.6%，同比增长5.7%，创下1982年以来最高水平。\n\n默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群\n默沙东的Covid-19口服药获得美国监管机构批准，在omicron变异株导致病例激增之际，为高风险患者提供了另一种居家治疗选择。\n在默沙东的molnupiravir获得紧急使用授权之前，美国周三已经批准了辉瑞公司的新冠口服药Paxlovid。它们带来新的希望，以免感染病例激增压垮美国的医院系统。\n默沙东与Ridgeback Biotherapeutics LP共同开发的molnupiravir用于治疗18岁及以上年龄有重症风险的非住院Covid患者。一项研究表明，它使轻中度成年人的住院或死亡风险降低了30%。\nMolnupiravir的工作原理是在遗传物质中引入错误，最终阻止病毒复制，但可能会影响正在生长的人类细胞。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。\n\n英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株\n英国政府表示，新冠病毒变异毒株omicron似乎比迄今为止的其他毒株严重性更低，但传染力更强。英国单日新增病例再创纪录，逼近12万例。\n英国卫生安全局（HSA）周四表示，omicron的感染者住院的可能性比德尔塔感染者低50-70%，急诊可能性也低31-45%。\n然而，HSA的数据显示，加强针虽然能够增强保护，但对omicron保护力消退的速度比对德尔塔更快，第三剂接种的10周后降低了15-25%。\n该机构还警告说，由于omicron变异株传染性高，仍然有可能出现大量重症患者，从而令医疗体系不堪重负。\n英国单日新增新冠病例连续第二天创纪录 与月初时相比增加一倍以上。\n\n美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位\n美国上周首次申请失业救济人数几无变动，表明随着劳动力市场继续复苏，裁员人数处于历史低位。\n美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，截至12月18日当周首次申领失业救济人数报20.5万人，与前值持平。经济学家预期中值为20.5万人。\n截至12月11日当周持续申领失业金人数降至186万。\n该报告凸显了近几个月岗位流失数量较低的情况，雇主侧重于吸引和留住工人，以跟上消费者需求的步伐。申请量总体上与疫情前的水平一致，反映了美国劳动力市场吃紧。\n随着劳动力市场的改善，申领失业金人数持续走低，最近几周由于在假日季调整原始数据引发一些波动，情况尤其是如此。申请人数在截至12月4日当周触及了52年低点18.8万人。\n\n萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞\n美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。\n萨默斯表示，美联储迟迟未发现通胀风险，在应对通胀问题上反应过慢可能导致经济大幅滑坡。\n“如果我们可以在过热的情况下可持续地管理经济，那的确棒极了，但1970年代我们得到了教训，即经济过热不仅带来高通胀，而且通胀还会不断上升，”萨默斯说。 “这就是为什么我担心我们已经到了在不触发衰退情况下难以降低通胀的地步”。\n美国的通胀率已经达到里根以来的最高水平，许多人开始更接近萨默斯的观点。美联储本月转向转向鹰派，计划比9月份时预期的水平更快收紧货币政策。\n通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险\n一位准确预测了今年债市通胀预期上升的交易员称，美国通胀率势将因经济增长而进一步上升，并可能在2022年一季度超出大多数分析师的预期。\nBank of Ireland Group Plc在柏林的通胀交易台负责人Semin Soher 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07:03","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2193614027","media":"新浪美股","summary":"美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。　　美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。","content":"<p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>1、美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">默沙东</a>公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>3、英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>4、美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>5、萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>6、通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9537031f9733064edb283fb8f9c6a0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高</b></p>\n<p>美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。</p>\n<p>美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，调整通胀因素后，11月份商品和服务购买额增幅与10月的0.7%基本持平。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。</p>\n<p>受供应链遇阻的消息影响，许多美国人今年开始假期购物的时间早于往年，一定程度上解释了前一个月消费支出增长强劲的原因。</p>\n<p>但消费者也面临着数十年来最猛烈的通胀。消费者在超市和加油站的购买力变弱，可用于购买非必需消费品的钱减少了。而且omicron变异株也可能遏制服务支出的反弹。</p>\n<p>美联储青睐的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数（PCE）较前月增长0.6%，同比增长5.7%，创下1982年以来最高水平。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a86ad7d405d41f26eaf4efacca793d2\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群</b></p>\n<p>默沙东的Covid-19口服药获得美国监管机构批准，在omicron变异株导致病例激增之际，为高风险患者提供了另一种居家治疗选择。</p>\n<p>在默沙东的molnupiravir获得紧急使用授权之前，美国周三已经批准了辉瑞公司的新冠口服药Paxlovid。它们带来新的希望，以免感染病例激增压垮美国的医院系统。</p>\n<p>默沙东与Ridgeback Biotherapeutics LP共同开发的molnupiravir用于治疗18岁及以上年龄有重症风险的非住院Covid患者。一项研究表明，它使轻中度成年人的住院或死亡风险降低了30%。</p>\n<p>Molnupiravir的工作原理是在遗传物质中引入错误，最终阻止病毒复制，但可能会影响正在生长的人类细胞。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47825ae9cb248adf0684313ca0fcd911\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株</b></p>\n<p>英国政府表示，新冠病毒变异毒株omicron似乎比迄今为止的其他毒株严重性更低，但传染力更强。英国单日新增病例再创纪录，逼近12万例。</p>\n<p>英国卫生安全局（HSA）周四表示，omicron的感染者住院的可能性比德尔塔感染者低50-70%，急诊可能性也低31-45%。</p>\n<p>然而，HSA的数据显示，加强针虽然能够增强保护，但对omicron保护力消退的速度比对德尔塔更快，第三剂接种的10周后降低了15-25%。</p>\n<p>该机构还警告说，由于omicron变异株传染性高，仍然有可能出现大量重症患者，从而令医疗体系不堪重负。</p>\n<p>英国单日新增新冠病例连续第二天创纪录 与月初时相比增加一倍以上。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50a628b9ea053ca28dd813c14d90b043\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位</b></p>\n<p>美国上周首次申请失业救济人数几无变动，表明随着劳动力市场继续复苏，裁员人数处于历史低位。</p>\n<p>美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，截至12月18日当周首次申领失业救济人数报20.5万人，与前值持平。经济学家预期中值为20.5万人。</p>\n<p>截至12月11日当周持续申领失业金人数降至186万。</p>\n<p>该报告凸显了近几个月岗位流失数量较低的情况，雇主侧重于吸引和留住工人，以跟上消费者需求的步伐。申请量总体上与疫情前的水平一致，反映了美国劳动力市场吃紧。</p>\n<p>随着劳动力市场的改善，申领失业金人数持续走低，最近几周由于在假日季调整原始数据引发一些波动，情况尤其是如此。申请人数在截至12月4日当周触及了52年低点18.8万人。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/358ab600ca8986e711edbb28f92d581b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞</b></p>\n<p>美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。</p>\n<p>萨默斯表示，美联储迟迟未发现通胀风险，在应对通胀问题上反应过慢可能导致经济大幅滑坡。</p>\n<p>“如果我们可以在过热的情况下可持续地管理经济，那的确棒极了，但1970年代我们得到了教训，即经济过热不仅带来高通胀，而且通胀还会不断上升，”萨默斯说。 “这就是为什么我担心我们已经到了在不触发衰退情况下难以降低通胀的地步”。</p>\n<p>美国的通胀率已经达到里根以来的最高水平，许多人开始更接近萨默斯的观点。美联储本月转向转向鹰派，计划比9月份时预期的水平更快收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p><b>通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险</b></p>\n<p>一位准确预测了今年债市通胀预期上升的交易员称，美国通胀率势将因经济增长而进一步上升，并可能在2022年一季度超出大多数分析师的预期。</p>\n<p>Bank of Ireland Group Plc在柏林的通胀交易台负责人Semin Soher Power预测，明年一季度美国消费者价格指数（CPI）同比涨幅将超过7%，高于11月的6.8%，也高于分析师对一季度6.3%的预估中值。</p>\n<p>她于周四接受采访时表示，通胀压力“现在更多是由经济增长带来的”，而不单纯是能源价格上涨或经济重启的结果。她表示，市场和央行都在意识到这一点，迹象之一是美联储不再用“暂时性”来描述通胀压力。</p>\n<p>对于美联储转鹰，市场提高了加息次数预测，不过对较长期内加息幅度的预期还是低于美联储点阵图显示的预测中值。交易员们似乎相信央行政策将有助于控制通胀，反映市场通胀预期的盈亏平衡通胀率在近几周回落。</p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-24 07:03 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-24/doc-ikyamrmz0841670.shtml><strong>新浪美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高\n\n\n2、默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群\n\n\n3、英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株\n\n\n4、美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位\n\n\n5、萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞\n\n\n6、通胀交易员认为...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-24/doc-ikyamrmz0841670.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d43f47ff4637f33c2675f14c1cc937","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-24/doc-ikyamrmz0841670.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2193614027","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高\n\n\n2、默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群\n\n\n3、英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株\n\n\n4、美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位\n\n\n5、萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞\n\n\n6、通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险\n\n\n美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高\n美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。\n美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，调整通胀因素后，11月份商品和服务购买额增幅与10月的0.7%基本持平。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。\n受供应链遇阻的消息影响，许多美国人今年开始假期购物的时间早于往年，一定程度上解释了前一个月消费支出增长强劲的原因。\n但消费者也面临着数十年来最猛烈的通胀。消费者在超市和加油站的购买力变弱，可用于购买非必需消费品的钱减少了。而且omicron变异株也可能遏制服务支出的反弹。\n美联储青睐的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数（PCE）较前月增长0.6%，同比增长5.7%，创下1982年以来最高水平。\n\n默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群\n默沙东的Covid-19口服药获得美国监管机构批准，在omicron变异株导致病例激增之际，为高风险患者提供了另一种居家治疗选择。\n在默沙东的molnupiravir获得紧急使用授权之前，美国周三已经批准了辉瑞公司的新冠口服药Paxlovid。它们带来新的希望，以免感染病例激增压垮美国的医院系统。\n默沙东与Ridgeback Biotherapeutics LP共同开发的molnupiravir用于治疗18岁及以上年龄有重症风险的非住院Covid患者。一项研究表明，它使轻中度成年人的住院或死亡风险降低了30%。\nMolnupiravir的工作原理是在遗传物质中引入错误，最终阻止病毒复制，但可能会影响正在生长的人类细胞。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。\n\n英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株\n英国政府表示，新冠病毒变异毒株omicron似乎比迄今为止的其他毒株严重性更低，但传染力更强。英国单日新增病例再创纪录，逼近12万例。\n英国卫生安全局（HSA）周四表示，omicron的感染者住院的可能性比德尔塔感染者低50-70%，急诊可能性也低31-45%。\n然而，HSA的数据显示，加强针虽然能够增强保护，但对omicron保护力消退的速度比对德尔塔更快，第三剂接种的10周后降低了15-25%。\n该机构还警告说，由于omicron变异株传染性高，仍然有可能出现大量重症患者，从而令医疗体系不堪重负。\n英国单日新增新冠病例连续第二天创纪录 与月初时相比增加一倍以上。\n\n美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位\n美国上周首次申请失业救济人数几无变动，表明随着劳动力市场继续复苏，裁员人数处于历史低位。\n美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，截至12月18日当周首次申领失业救济人数报20.5万人，与前值持平。经济学家预期中值为20.5万人。\n截至12月11日当周持续申领失业金人数降至186万。\n该报告凸显了近几个月岗位流失数量较低的情况，雇主侧重于吸引和留住工人，以跟上消费者需求的步伐。申请量总体上与疫情前的水平一致，反映了美国劳动力市场吃紧。\n随着劳动力市场的改善，申领失业金人数持续走低，最近几周由于在假日季调整原始数据引发一些波动，情况尤其是如此。申请人数在截至12月4日当周触及了52年低点18.8万人。\n\n萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞\n美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。\n萨默斯表示，美联储迟迟未发现通胀风险，在应对通胀问题上反应过慢可能导致经济大幅滑坡。\n“如果我们可以在过热的情况下可持续地管理经济，那的确棒极了，但1970年代我们得到了教训，即经济过热不仅带来高通胀，而且通胀还会不断上升，”萨默斯说。 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