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小糖姐
2021-04-07
什么时候买uvxy
抱歉,原内容已删除
小糖姐
2021-02-26
本来就是流通性支撑的牛市,只要一旦收缩,立刻离场。a好像更是,最近基金股跌幅蛮大的。
@Ivan_甘灿荣:这时候要注意做好避险,我推荐三个策略
小糖姐
2020-07-18
$微美全息(WIMI)$
为什么不能做空
小糖姐
2020-05-14
$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$
美股第二轮开始了,第一目标20000
小糖姐
2020-05-11
$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$
为了硬撑一手道指跌,害我原油超级反弹没抢到。现在心里还悬吊吊的
小糖姐
2020-05-08
$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$
道指今天冲高,应该要回落了
小糖姐
2020-04-12
$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$
买了道指跌瑟瑟发抖
小糖姐
2020-04-06
$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$
就我一人买的空吗
小糖姐
2020-04-06
$布油现金主连(BZmain)$
有没有人告诉我几点开会
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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首先,长期关注我的朋友应该知道,我反复强调过今年的两个重要时间点,2月和8月,无论哪个月份,只要标普500指数收盘价跌穿20日均线就要做对冲或者离场的准备。这是风险收益率的衡量问题,当下的跌穿20日线后风险明显高于收益,所以请做好风险考量,这时候宁愿等指数反弹上去创新高再重新投入,也比盲目持仓要好得多。 什么是美债收益率,这个直播时再解释,总之现在全市场都在盯着这个数据。只要这个数据继续升高,美股的压力就越大,反之美股就反弹甚至继续新高。所以美股指的短期方向就根据这个收益率来判断即可。当然简单点就用20日均线作为评估依据,这个是我认为最简单而高效的评估方式。 美债收益率代表着无风险利率,无风险利率升高会影响股票估值。譬如说,一个公司年净利润率10%,在无风险利率为零的市场,那它的估值就会按10%的利润率来评估,但在无风险利率为3%的市场,那它的估值就会按10%-3%=7%的利润率来评估,从估值角度,后者比前者的估值少30%,那股价肯定会有影响的。 当下市场,是市场担忧通胀,预期美联储政策会转向所导致的应激反应。但当前根本未看到有任何政策层面上的转向,所以下跌幅度目前比较难评估。 所以当下策略层面的考虑更为重要。 首先仍有持仓股票的朋友,适当减仓。 第二,如果坚持长期看涨的朋友,请尽量持有传统道指类的股票,新科技类股票暂回避,逻辑在年度前瞻帖子里说过,疫情修复后的道纳比价修复。 第三,打算做空的朋友,请使用期权,例如SPX的看跌期权或者股指期货期权等。说不定周末1.9万亿方案投票通过后,市场有所反弹,期权方式损失确定收益易放大。 最后,喜欢做对","listText":"美股这两天大涨大跌,相信很多朋友不知道如何处理。3月4日晚8点,我有场直播讲座和大家聊聊美股指的相关情况,届时会有针对通胀率,美债利率和美股关系的更详尽的解读。现在先给大家聊聊当下紧急的情况。 首先,长期关注我的朋友应该知道,我反复强调过今年的两个重要时间点,2月和8月,无论哪个月份,只要标普500指数收盘价跌穿20日均线就要做对冲或者离场的准备。这是风险收益率的衡量问题,当下的跌穿20日线后风险明显高于收益,所以请做好风险考量,这时候宁愿等指数反弹上去创新高再重新投入,也比盲目持仓要好得多。 什么是美债收益率,这个直播时再解释,总之现在全市场都在盯着这个数据。只要这个数据继续升高,美股的压力就越大,反之美股就反弹甚至继续新高。所以美股指的短期方向就根据这个收益率来判断即可。当然简单点就用20日均线作为评估依据,这个是我认为最简单而高效的评估方式。 美债收益率代表着无风险利率,无风险利率升高会影响股票估值。譬如说,一个公司年净利润率10%,在无风险利率为零的市场,那它的估值就会按10%的利润率来评估,但在无风险利率为3%的市场,那它的估值就会按10%-3%=7%的利润率来评估,从估值角度,后者比前者的估值少30%,那股价肯定会有影响的。 当下市场,是市场担忧通胀,预期美联储政策会转向所导致的应激反应。但当前根本未看到有任何政策层面上的转向,所以下跌幅度目前比较难评估。 所以当下策略层面的考虑更为重要。 首先仍有持仓股票的朋友,适当减仓。 第二,如果坚持长期看涨的朋友,请尽量持有传统道指类的股票,新科技类股票暂回避,逻辑在年度前瞻帖子里说过,疫情修复后的道纳比价修复。 第三,打算做空的朋友,请使用期权,例如SPX的看跌期权或者股指期货期权等。说不定周末1.9万亿方案投票通过后,市场有所反弹,期权方式损失确定收益易放大。 最后,喜欢做对","text":"美股这两天大涨大跌,相信很多朋友不知道如何处理。3月4日晚8点,我有场直播讲座和大家聊聊美股指的相关情况,届时会有针对通胀率,美债利率和美股关系的更详尽的解读。现在先给大家聊聊当下紧急的情况。 首先,长期关注我的朋友应该知道,我反复强调过今年的两个重要时间点,2月和8月,无论哪个月份,只要标普500指数收盘价跌穿20日均线就要做对冲或者离场的准备。这是风险收益率的衡量问题,当下的跌穿20日线后风险明显高于收益,所以请做好风险考量,这时候宁愿等指数反弹上去创新高再重新投入,也比盲目持仓要好得多。 什么是美债收益率,这个直播时再解释,总之现在全市场都在盯着这个数据。只要这个数据继续升高,美股的压力就越大,反之美股就反弹甚至继续新高。所以美股指的短期方向就根据这个收益率来判断即可。当然简单点就用20日均线作为评估依据,这个是我认为最简单而高效的评估方式。 美债收益率代表着无风险利率,无风险利率升高会影响股票估值。譬如说,一个公司年净利润率10%,在无风险利率为零的市场,那它的估值就会按10%的利润率来评估,但在无风险利率为3%的市场,那它的估值就会按10%-3%=7%的利润率来评估,从估值角度,后者比前者的估值少30%,那股价肯定会有影响的。 当下市场,是市场担忧通胀,预期美联储政策会转向所导致的应激反应。但当前根本未看到有任何政策层面上的转向,所以下跌幅度目前比较难评估。 所以当下策略层面的考虑更为重要。 首先仍有持仓股票的朋友,适当减仓。 第二,如果坚持长期看涨的朋友,请尽量持有传统道指类的股票,新科技类股票暂回避,逻辑在年度前瞻帖子里说过,疫情修复后的道纳比价修复。 第三,打算做空的朋友,请使用期权,例如SPX的看跌期权或者股指期货期权等。说不定周末1.9万亿方案投票通过后,市场有所反弹,期权方式损失确定收益易放大。 最后,喜欢做对","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd734dfde270e96a7e2f384139ab2a67","width":"532","height":"377"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a1075e8f1cd7232dc72d01e04da174a","width":"1080","height":"1920"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc2aa71789a2cfcf865e5d47a2c104e9","width":"1269","height":"854"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368676367","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}