中单丛刃男刀的个人主页 - 老虎社区

中单丛刃男刀

中单丛刃男刀

无情中单

IP属地：海外

15关注

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3主题

0勋章

中单丛刃男刀

2023-06-06

$苹果(AAPL)$ 扯淡呢，啥破玩意儿，赶紧跌吧。

中单丛刃男刀

2022-12-02

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ 小鹏基本完了，除非短期内创始人脑子电路换掉，不然赶紧倒闭！

中单丛刃男刀

2022-07-22

$特斯拉(TSLA)$看跌！！

中单丛刃男刀

2021-09-21

$丰田汽车(TM)$我想空丰田。

中单丛刃男刀

2021-08-20

$蔚来(NIO)$这市场要不能杀掉散户，机构凭啥赚钱？

中单丛刃男刀

2021-08-17

有很多做金融或操作投资的人，从小好学生长老大去香港或者外国念书，然后比较顺利地进入工作。做项目经历的事情太少，反而喜欢会给自己要找一点不愉快，来报这种课程，其实如果是一个社会打工仔，可能不会像鲜花一样被气死。

抱歉，原内容已删除

中单丛刃男刀

2021-08-06

$蔚来(NIO)$我是嘎子，这里水深，我说一个数……30！淦！家人们全体起立！

中单丛刃男刀

2021-06-12

$蔚来(NIO)$男刀。

中单丛刃男刀

2021-05-13

$蔚来(NIO)$起飞好吗起飞

中单丛刃男刀

2020-11-08

？

特朗普刚刚发推：我赢得了这次选举，以很大的优势！

中单丛刃男刀

2020-04-22

$二倍做多彭博原油ETF(UCO)$菜鸟成功了。

中单丛刃男刀

2020-04-22

$二倍做多彭博原油ETF(UCO)$变身空军的菜鸟第一次起飞轰炸能成功吗？

中单丛刃男刀

2020-04-07

$波音(BA)$今日再站165信不信

中单丛刃男刀

2020-03-28

抱紧我可怜的小船长

抱歉，原内容已删除

中单丛刃男刀

2020-03-18

nb

抱歉，原内容已删除

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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特朗普刚刚发推：我赢得了这次选举，以很大的优势！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-11-08 00:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5f45dc22c59ee3a2d7822ba3bf66589\" tg-width=\"1163\" tg-height=\"247\"></p><p>据环球网报道，<b>刚刚，美国共和党总统候选人特朗普用全大写字母发推表示：“我赢得了这次选举，以很大的优势！”</b></p><p>另据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）报道，当地时间7日，<b>美国联邦选举委员会主席艾伦·温特劳布希表示，今年的选举“确实没有舞弊的证据”&nbsp;。</b></p><p>CNN报道称，艾伦·温特劳布当天早上接受采访时表示，希望美国人知道，今年的选举“确实没有作弊的证据”。她表示，全美各州和地方官员以及投票工作人员真的都在加紧行动。</p><p>“没有任何形式的选举舞弊的证据。也没有非法投票的证据。”&nbsp;温特劳布说道。</p><p>温特劳布还补充说：“目前确实没有证据表明有（选举）舞弊行为。所有投诉都没有附上任何舞弊的证据。”</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd5a3ba4057f43c447127d2fa7c90942","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190068919","content_text":"据环球网报道，刚刚，美国共和党总统候选人特朗普用全大写字母发推表示：“我赢得了这次选举，以很大的优势！”另据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）报道，当地时间7日，美国联邦选举委员会主席艾伦·温特劳布希表示，今年的选举“确实没有舞弊的证据” 。CNN报道称，艾伦·温特劳布当天早上接受采访时表示，希望美国人知道，今年的选举“确实没有作弊的证据”。她表示，全美各州和地方官员以及投票工作人员真的都在加紧行动。“没有任何形式的选举舞弊的证据。也没有非法投票的证据。” 温特劳布说道。温特劳布还补充说：“目前确实没有证据表明有（选举）舞弊行为。所有投诉都没有附上任何舞弊的证据。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":922854953,"gmtCreate":1587516715072,"gmtModify":1704364544727,"author":{"id":"3546926909188698","authorId":"3546926909188698","name":"中单丛刃男刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a42b883a67fa6121a178093ce084f63","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546926909188698","idStr":"3546926909188698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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08:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"德普妻子被曝婚内出轨马斯克，电梯亲热画面曝光(图)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2022184960","media":"新浪娱乐","summary":"艾梅柏与马斯克电梯亲热艾梅柏与马斯克电梯亲热艾梅柏与马斯克约翰尼·德普与艾梅柏·希尔德新浪娱乐讯 据外媒3月26日报道，约翰尼·德普与艾梅柏·希尔德的离婚官司有曝出新证据。艾梅柏被指在和德普的婚姻存续","content":"<p><img src=\"https://n.sinaimg.cn/ent/transform/302/w630h472/20200327/3788-irkazzv5931932.jpg\" /></p><h2>艾梅柏与马斯克电梯亲热</h2><p><img src=\"https://n.sinaimg.cn/ent/transform/302/w630h472/20200327/092f-irkazzv5931940.jpg\" /></p><h2>艾梅柏与马斯克电梯亲热</h2><p><img src=\"https://n.sinaimg.cn/ent/transform/302/w630h472/20200327/e4f5-irkazzv5931927.jpg\" /></p><h2>艾梅柏与马斯克</h2><p><img src=\"https://n.sinaimg.cn/ent/transform/717/w630h887/20200327/03b8-irkazzv5931949.jpg\" /></p><h2>约翰尼·德普与艾梅柏·希尔德</h2><p></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>娱乐讯 据外媒3月26日报道，约翰尼·德普与艾梅柏·希尔德的离婚官司有曝出新证据。艾梅柏被指在和德普的婚姻存续期间，就“出轨”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>的老板 Elon Musk，两人在德普洛杉矶住处的电梯内搂抱，看似十分亲热。</p><p>据悉， Elon Musk 早前曾澄清称自己和艾梅柏在一起的时候，她和德普已经分手。但德普称他俩2015年就在一起了，而自己和艾梅柏则在2016年5月的时候才离婚。法庭接下来会传唤Elon Musk，这是德普针对Amber Heard 索赔5000万美金诽谤案的一部分。另外，Elon Musk本人最近又要当爹了，女友是31岁的加拿大女歌手Grimes。</p>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>德普妻子被曝婚内出轨马斯克，电梯亲热画面曝光(图)</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gj/2020-03-27/detail-iimxxsth2010279.d.html?vt=4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://k.sinaimg.cn/n/tech/transform/667/w400h267/20200327/58e3-irkazzv6118068.jpg/w120h90l50t15b9.jpg","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gj/2020-03-27/detail-iimxxsth2010279.d.html?vt=4","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2022184960","content_text":"艾梅柏与马斯克电梯亲热艾梅柏与马斯克电梯亲热艾梅柏与马斯克约翰尼·德普与艾梅柏·希尔德新浪娱乐讯 据外媒3月26日报道，约翰尼·德普与艾梅柏·希尔德的离婚官司有曝出新证据。艾梅柏被指在和德普的婚姻存续期间，就“出轨”特斯拉的老板 Elon Musk，两人在德普洛杉矶住处的电梯内搂抱，看似十分亲热。据悉， Elon Musk 早前曾澄清称自己和艾梅柏在一起的时候，她和德普已经分手。但德普称他俩2015年就在一起了，而自己和艾梅柏则在2016年5月的时候才离婚。法庭接下来会传唤Elon Musk，这是德普针对Amber Heard 索赔5000万美金诽谤案的一部分。另外，Elon Musk本人最近又要当爹了，女友是31岁的加拿大女歌手Grimes。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967037188,"gmtCreate":1584491726144,"gmtModify":1704354435812,"author":{"id":"3546926909188698","authorId":"3546926909188698","name":"中单丛刃男刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a42b883a67fa6121a178093ce084f63","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546926909188698","authorIdStr":"3546926909188698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nb","listText":"nb","text":"nb","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967037188","repostId":"2019068998","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2019068998","pubTimestamp":1584347820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2019068998?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-16 16:37","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"沙特欲以25美元大打价格战！旅游禁令让航空燃料需求很受伤，机构警告油价或跌至20美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2019068998","media":"汇通网","summary":"原标题：沙特欲以25美元大打价格战！旅游禁令让航空燃料需求很受伤，机构警告油价或跌至20美元 上周五（3月13日）尽管因特朗普宣布进入国家紧急状态，且欲出台刺激计划，并增加了原油购买，油价因此大幅反弹","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>原标题：沙特欲以25美元大打价格战！旅游禁令让航空燃料需求很受伤，机构警告油价或跌至20美元</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 上周五（3月13日）尽管因特朗普宣布进入国家紧急状态，且欲出台刺激计划，并增加了原油购买，油价因此大幅反弹。但是因北京时间周一（3月16日）凌晨美联储紧急降息100个基点，令市场担忧情绪升温，油价目前已经回吐上一交易日所有涨幅，且</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">美原油</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">日内一度跌破30美元关口。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">同时美国对于欧洲的旅游禁令使得航空燃料需求受到打击，加剧了原油供应过剩的压力。同时沙特准备以25美元的价格来抢夺俄罗斯的市场份额。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">基于此，Rystad Energy警告称，警惕油价有跌至20美元的可能。</p><div><img img-size=\"800,479\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider2020316/479/w800h479/20200316/193d-iqyryku2899423.jpg\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">美国旅游禁令加剧了航空燃料需求疲软态势</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">随着公共卫生事件蔓延，美国宣布进入国家紧急状态，同时实施了对欧洲的旅游禁令，并在上周五将这一禁令扩大至英国和爱尔兰，这对航空燃料需求造成进一步的打击。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">Rystad Energy在一份有关全球石油和燃料需求的新报告中表示，由于疫情在全球范围内蔓延，各国实施旅行限制以及航空公司继续取消数千个航班，因此航空燃料需求将是受灾最严重的燃料部门。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">航空燃料需求将在2020年同比下降11％，而2019年的需求约为720万桶/日。Rystad Energy表示，全球空中交通量预计将同比下降16％。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">“美国总统特朗普宣布禁止在欧美之间进行航空旅行，这将进一步影响已经因疫情而遭受苦难的航空业。现在，许多陷入困境的航空公司将面临大幅度的成本削减，许多非盈利性的航线很可能会被关闭。”</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">Rystad Energy现在预计，与2019年相比，今年全球石油需求将下降60万桶/日，或0.6％。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">“考虑到意大利航空公司大规模取消航班，美国宣布的欧洲和美国之间的旅行禁令以及我们对该疫情扩散模式的模拟分析，与先前的估计相比，这是一个严重的降级。”</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">Rystad Energy：警惕油价有跌至20美元的可能</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">Rystad Energy预计，未来三个月全球石油供应将增加，因此油价可能跌至20美元的低位，才能使得全球市场实现平衡。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">OPEC+国家陆续提高产量，预计将使得原油产量增加150万桶/日至250万桶/日，这在短期来看属于他们的增产能力范围内。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">Rystad Energy上游研究主管Espen Erlingsen说：“没有OPEC+，全球石油市场就失去了监管机构，现在只有市场机制才能决定供需之间的平衡。”</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">Rystad Energy估计，2月全球液体需求减少了约400万桶/日，这主要是由公共卫生事件引起的。在接下来的几个月中，由于疫情的影响扩大，需求可能会减少200万至400万桶/日。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">Erlingsen说，供应成本曲线可以很好地衡量市场对各种情况的反应。Rystad Energy已更新了其对全球液体市场的短期边际成本（SRM）的估计。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">Rystad Energy估计，假设没有公共卫生事件的影响，到2020年6月，原油的总需求将约为1亿桶/日。</p><div><img img-size=\"730,394\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider2020316/324/w730h394/20200316/9fcd-iqyryku2899422.png\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\">如果OPEC+增加产量，供给曲线将向右移动。均衡价格从25美元/桶左右(OPEC不增加供应)下降至到增产150万桶/日下的19美元/桶，如果增产200万桶/日则均衡价格则会降至14美元/桶。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">该机构给出的最为悲观的预期是，如果公共卫生事件影响持续，如果6月份需求减少200万桶/日（总需求为9800万桶/日），则在OPEC +适度增长的情况下，均衡石油价格将从每桶约19美元跌至每桶约11美元。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">如果6月份需求减少400万桶/日（总需求9600万桶/日），则在OPEC +适度增长的情况下，均衡石油价格将跌至每桶9美元左右。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">不过该模型是基于理想状态下的结果，但是在实际操作中，由于存在很多其他因素，油价跌至这一价格的可能性不大。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">但Rystad Energy暗示，这意味着油价存在很大的空间，如果需求进一步下滑且OPEC+持续扩大产量，油价将触及20美元。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">沙特以25美元价格充斥石油市场，以抢夺俄罗斯市场份额</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">五个贸易消息人士称，沙特将会以低至25美元/.桶的价格充斥着市场，特别是针对欧洲和亚洲的大型俄罗斯炼油厂，沙特与莫斯科争夺市场份额的事件不断升级。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">消息人士称，沙特阿美告诉欧洲石油公司，它们将在4月份提供所有要求的额外产量。此前有消息称，沙特正在寻求亚洲买家进一步取代俄罗斯的原油。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">由于沙特临时租用了约31个超级油轮以获取额外的石油，其中包括对于俄罗斯原油需求较小的美国，这使得油轮价格飙升。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">自今年初以来，油价已下跌了一半，因为需求受到了公共卫生事件的打击，而且在俄罗斯和OPEC未能就减产达成新协议。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">俄罗斯拒绝支持新的更大规模的减产行动，称公共卫生事件的影响可能比预期的要严重得多，减产并不能实质性的提高油价，即便短时间出现反弹，但是最终都会跌去所有的涨幅。沙特对此采取了报复行动，即放开产量至创记录的水平。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">到目前为止，俄罗斯表示尽管感到沙特非同寻常的举动带来了压力，但他仍不打算重返谈判桌。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">俄罗斯能源部长亚历山大·诺瓦克（Alexander Novak）表示，俄罗斯迄今没有理由重返与OPEC+合作伙伴的讨论，并且可以在四月份将其石油产量温和增加20万桶/日。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">相比之下，沙特已承诺在4月将产量提高260万桶/日，阿联酋也加入了增产的阵营，并表示将很快增产100万桶/日。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">沙特已经大幅削减了其官方石油销售价格。贸易商称，以鹿特丹到岸价为基础，阿拉伯轻质原油和阿拉伯中型原油的售价为每桶25-28美元。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">上周五阿布扎比国家石油公司（ADNOC）还为其4月份的Murban原油提供了大幅折扣，这是其历史上首次宣布远期价格。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">根据Refinitiv Eikon的数据，以鹿特丹的到岸价计算，俄罗斯主要的混合乌拉尔原油的报价略高于每桶30美元。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">参与谈判的一家欧洲石油公司的交易员表示：“我们对我们获得的配额感到满意。四月份的请求已得到确认，我期待五月份价格能保持如此高的吸引力。”</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">消息人士称，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTA.UK\">道达尔</a>，BP，埃尼和SOCAR在内的欧洲炼油企业均已在4月份确认了沙特原油供应的额外预算。沙特开始致力于增加对俄罗斯乌拉尔原油传统买家的供应，因为该国正试图取代从欧洲到印度的全球炼油厂原料中的俄罗斯石油。</p><div><img img-size=\"1076,610\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider2020316/86/w1076h610/20200316/f6c4-iqyryku2899540.png\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\">北京时间16:08，</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">美原油</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">现报30.74美元，跌幅3.12%；</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">布伦特原油</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">现报32.25美元，跌幅4.73%。 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina_fut","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>沙特欲以25美元大打价格战！旅游禁令让航空燃料需求很受伤，机构警告油价或跌至20美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n沙特欲以25美元大打价格战！旅游禁令让航空燃料需求很受伤，机构警告油价或跌至20美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-03-16 16:37 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/hbfx/2020-03-16/doc-iimxyqwa0906664.shtml><strong>汇通网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题：沙特欲以25美元大打价格战！旅游禁令让航空燃料需求很受伤，机构警告油价或跌至20美元 上周五（3月13日）尽管因特朗普宣布进入国家紧急状态，且欲出台刺激计划，并增加了原油购买，油价因此大幅反弹。但是因北京时间周一（3月16日）凌晨美联储紧急降息100个基点，令市场担忧情绪升温，油价目前已经回吐上一交易日所有涨幅，且美原油日内一度跌破30美元关口。同时美国对于欧洲的旅游禁令使得航空燃料需求...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/hbfx/2020-03-16/doc-iimxyqwa0906664.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/411c6ea7e969aee81c7c240d3341abef","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/hbfx/2020-03-16/doc-iimxyqwa0906664.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2019068998","content_text":"原标题：沙特欲以25美元大打价格战！旅游禁令让航空燃料需求很受伤，机构警告油价或跌至20美元 上周五（3月13日）尽管因特朗普宣布进入国家紧急状态，且欲出台刺激计划，并增加了原油购买，油价因此大幅反弹。但是因北京时间周一（3月16日）凌晨美联储紧急降息100个基点，令市场担忧情绪升温，油价目前已经回吐上一交易日所有涨幅，且美原油日内一度跌破30美元关口。同时美国对于欧洲的旅游禁令使得航空燃料需求受到打击，加剧了原油供应过剩的压力。同时沙特准备以25美元的价格来抢夺俄罗斯的市场份额。基于此，Rystad Energy警告称，警惕油价有跌至20美元的可能。美国旅游禁令加剧了航空燃料需求疲软态势随着公共卫生事件蔓延，美国宣布进入国家紧急状态，同时实施了对欧洲的旅游禁令，并在上周五将这一禁令扩大至英国和爱尔兰，这对航空燃料需求造成进一步的打击。Rystad Energy在一份有关全球石油和燃料需求的新报告中表示，由于疫情在全球范围内蔓延，各国实施旅行限制以及航空公司继续取消数千个航班，因此航空燃料需求将是受灾最严重的燃料部门。航空燃料需求将在2020年同比下降11％，而2019年的需求约为720万桶/日。Rystad Energy表示，全球空中交通量预计将同比下降16％。“美国总统特朗普宣布禁止在欧美之间进行航空旅行，这将进一步影响已经因疫情而遭受苦难的航空业。现在，许多陷入困境的航空公司将面临大幅度的成本削减，许多非盈利性的航线很可能会被关闭。”Rystad Energy现在预计，与2019年相比，今年全球石油需求将下降60万桶/日，或0.6％。“考虑到意大利航空公司大规模取消航班，美国宣布的欧洲和美国之间的旅行禁令以及我们对该疫情扩散模式的模拟分析，与先前的估计相比，这是一个严重的降级。”Rystad Energy：警惕油价有跌至20美元的可能Rystad Energy预计，未来三个月全球石油供应将增加，因此油价可能跌至20美元的低位，才能使得全球市场实现平衡。OPEC+国家陆续提高产量，预计将使得原油产量增加150万桶/日至250万桶/日，这在短期来看属于他们的增产能力范围内。Rystad Energy上游研究主管Espen Erlingsen说：“没有OPEC+，全球石油市场就失去了监管机构，现在只有市场机制才能决定供需之间的平衡。”Rystad Energy估计，2月全球液体需求减少了约400万桶/日，这主要是由公共卫生事件引起的。在接下来的几个月中，由于疫情的影响扩大，需求可能会减少200万至400万桶/日。Erlingsen说，供应成本曲线可以很好地衡量市场对各种情况的反应。Rystad Energy已更新了其对全球液体市场的短期边际成本（SRM）的估计。Rystad Energy估计，假设没有公共卫生事件的影响，到2020年6月，原油的总需求将约为1亿桶/日。如果OPEC+增加产量，供给曲线将向右移动。均衡价格从25美元/桶左右(OPEC不增加供应)下降至到增产150万桶/日下的19美元/桶，如果增产200万桶/日则均衡价格则会降至14美元/桶。该机构给出的最为悲观的预期是，如果公共卫生事件影响持续，如果6月份需求减少200万桶/日（总需求为9800万桶/日），则在OPEC +适度增长的情况下，均衡石油价格将从每桶约19美元跌至每桶约11美元。如果6月份需求减少400万桶/日（总需求9600万桶/日），则在OPEC +适度增长的情况下，均衡石油价格将跌至每桶9美元左右。不过该模型是基于理想状态下的结果，但是在实际操作中，由于存在很多其他因素，油价跌至这一价格的可能性不大。但Rystad Energy暗示，这意味着油价存在很大的空间，如果需求进一步下滑且OPEC+持续扩大产量，油价将触及20美元。沙特以25美元价格充斥石油市场，以抢夺俄罗斯市场份额五个贸易消息人士称，沙特将会以低至25美元/.桶的价格充斥着市场，特别是针对欧洲和亚洲的大型俄罗斯炼油厂，沙特与莫斯科争夺市场份额的事件不断升级。消息人士称，沙特阿美告诉欧洲石油公司，它们将在4月份提供所有要求的额外产量。此前有消息称，沙特正在寻求亚洲买家进一步取代俄罗斯的原油。由于沙特临时租用了约31个超级油轮以获取额外的石油，其中包括对于俄罗斯原油需求较小的美国，这使得油轮价格飙升。自今年初以来，油价已下跌了一半，因为需求受到了公共卫生事件的打击，而且在俄罗斯和OPEC未能就减产达成新协议。俄罗斯拒绝支持新的更大规模的减产行动，称公共卫生事件的影响可能比预期的要严重得多，减产并不能实质性的提高油价，即便短时间出现反弹，但是最终都会跌去所有的涨幅。沙特对此采取了报复行动，即放开产量至创记录的水平。到目前为止，俄罗斯表示尽管感到沙特非同寻常的举动带来了压力，但他仍不打算重返谈判桌。俄罗斯能源部长亚历山大·诺瓦克（Alexander Novak）表示，俄罗斯迄今没有理由重返与OPEC+合作伙伴的讨论，并且可以在四月份将其石油产量温和增加20万桶/日。相比之下，沙特已承诺在4月将产量提高260万桶/日，阿联酋也加入了增产的阵营，并表示将很快增产100万桶/日。沙特已经大幅削减了其官方石油销售价格。贸易商称，以鹿特丹到岸价为基础，阿拉伯轻质原油和阿拉伯中型原油的售价为每桶25-28美元。上周五阿布扎比国家石油公司（ADNOC）还为其4月份的Murban原油提供了大幅折扣，这是其历史上首次宣布远期价格。根据Refinitiv Eikon的数据，以鹿特丹的到岸价计算，俄罗斯主要的混合乌拉尔原油的报价略高于每桶30美元。参与谈判的一家欧洲石油公司的交易员表示：“我们对我们获得的配额感到满意。四月份的请求已得到确认，我期待五月份价格能保持如此高的吸引力。”消息人士称，包括道达尔，BP，埃尼和SOCAR在内的欧洲炼油企业均已在4月份确认了沙特原油供应的额外预算。沙特开始致力于增加对俄罗斯乌拉尔原油传统买家的供应，因为该国正试图取代从欧洲到印度的全球炼油厂原料中的俄罗斯石油。北京时间16:08，美原油现报30.74美元，跌幅3.12%；布伦特原油现报32.25美元，跌幅4.73%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}