kkH的个人主页 - 老虎社区

kkH

kkH

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IP属地：山东

45关注

23粉丝

3主题

0勋章

03-05

$蔚来(NIO)$ 确实创始人不争气

01-10

$蔚来(NIO)$ 太垃圾了草一点也不稳

2023-12-13

$高途(GOTU)$ 加油新东方可以你也不差！

2023-07-11

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 中国不缺韭菜

2023-06-01

真是** 醉了

蔚来汽车5月交付6155辆，环比下降7.6%

2023-03-31

$蔚来(NIO)$ 早日回到60

2023-03-29

$蔚来(NIO)$ 39美元还增发过不考虑股东的感受？

2023-03-01

$蔚来(NIO)$ 真是垃圾啊

2023-02-28

没问题啊

蔚来汽车能否抵御住“价格屠夫”特斯拉的大刀？

2023-01-17

哈哈哈哈

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-12-17

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 真是给中国人丢脸

2022-12-07

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 为梦想窒息了。。。

2022-11-22

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 额。。

2022-11-22

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ **

2022-07-22

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$。。

2022-07-19

$理想汽车(LI)$[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]

2022-07-19

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$[捂脸]

2022-07-13

$老虎证券(TIGR)$啥时候再到30

2022-07-05

$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$盘前可以交易吗

2022-06-29

$蔚来(NIO)$争口气啊

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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一点也不稳","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/261488180986088","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":251585066676384,"gmtCreate":1702459425693,"gmtModify":1702459426927,"author":{"id":"3546309551258603","authorId":"3546309551258603","name":"kkH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a24c2c7dd63024de53453d5d4ce208","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>加油 新东方可以 你也不差！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>加油 新东方可以 你也不差！","text":"$高途(GOTU)$ 加油 新东方可以 你也不差！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/251585066676384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":196817066803296,"gmtCreate":1689085962108,"gmtModify":1689087434994,"author":{"id":"3546309551258603","authorId":"3546309551258603","name":"kkH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a24c2c7dd63024de53453d5d4ce208","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a>中国不缺韭菜","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a>中国不缺韭菜","text":"$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 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醉了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182610719166568","repostId":"1104812006","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1104812006","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1685612361,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104812006?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-06-01 17:39","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"蔚来汽车5月交付6155辆，环比下降7.6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104812006","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月1日，蔚来汽车公布交付数据，5月交付6155辆，环比下降7.6%，包括2396辆智能电动SUV和3759辆智能电动轿车；2023年至今，蔚来汽车交付量为43854辆，同比增长15.8%；截至202","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>6月1日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车公布交付数据，5月交付6155辆，环比下降7.6%，包括2396辆智能电动SUV和3759辆智能电动轿车；2023年至今，蔚来汽车交付量为43854辆，同比增长15.8%；截至2023年5月31日，蔚来汽车累计交付量达333410辆。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27264a27aa21673fe02ec4b15e7dcc15\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"2771\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>蔚来汽车5月交付6155辆，环比下降7.6%</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车公布交付数据，5月交付6155辆，环比下降7.6%，包括2396辆智能电动SUV和3759辆智能电动轿车；2023年至今，蔚来汽车交付量为43854辆，同比增长15.8%；截至2023年5月31日，蔚来汽车累计交付量达333410辆。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27264a27aa21673fe02ec4b15e7dcc15\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"2771\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3b92523152bd36c422721756606e549","relate_stocks":{"BK6125":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","EVS.SI":"MSCI China Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility ETF-NikkoAM","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","09866":"蔚来-SW","BK4555":"新能源车","BK1588":"回港中概股","BK6511":"医疗保健服务概念","BK4588":"碎股","BK1119":"汽车制造商","5RE.SI":"智能","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A 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data-views=\"1\"></v-v>早日回到60","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 早日回到60","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/659449701","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":659235174,"gmtCreate":1680073298999,"gmtModify":1680073300751,"author":{"id":"3546309551258603","authorId":"3546309551258603","name":"kkH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a24c2c7dd63024de53453d5d4ce208","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$&nbsp;</a>39美元还增发过 不考虑股东的感受？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$&nbsp;</a>39美元还增发过 不考虑股东的感受？","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 39美元还增发过 不考虑股东的感受？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/659235174","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3462077538108273","authorId":"3462077538108273","name":"心太乱","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"我也再想增发那些股东现在啥心态，他们是不是一定认为蔚来未来会涨回来","text":"我也再想增发那些股东现在啥心态，他们是不是一定认为蔚来未来会涨回来","html":"我也再想增发那些股东现在啥心态，他们是不是一定认为蔚来未来会涨回来"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":624733155,"gmtCreate":1677682374377,"gmtModify":1677682727613,"author":{"id":"3546309551258603","authorId":"3546309551258603","name":"kkH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a24c2c7dd63024de53453d5d4ce208","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$&nbsp;</a>真是垃圾啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$&nbsp;</a>真是垃圾啊","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 真是垃圾啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/624733155","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":624542440,"gmtCreate":1677593354380,"gmtModify":1677593355912,"author":{"id":"3546309551258603","authorId":"3546309551258603","name":"kkH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a24c2c7dd63024de53453d5d4ce208","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没问题啊","listText":"没问题啊","text":"没问题啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/624542440","repostId":"1102036178","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1102036178","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"美股研究社，一个专注研究美股的平台，专业的美股投资人都在这。想了解美国股市行情、美股开户、美股资讯、美股公司；想获得一手美股重磅信息；想加入美股交流社群，敬请关注我们吧。","home_visible":0,"media_name":"美股研究社","id":"1074069735","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09c69c7ea1d4781a9de127f9b375dd6"},"pubTimestamp":1677585033,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102036178?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-28 19:50","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"蔚来汽车能否抵御住“价格屠夫”特斯拉的大刀？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102036178","media":"美股研究社","summary":"蔚来汽车在2022财年增长出现放缓，但在2023年有了一个良好的开端。最近，蔚来汽车的股价再次面临压力，在特斯拉今年1月下调汽车价格后，蔚来汽车的股价跌回了10美元。然而，我相信蔚来汽车有充分的理由在","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车在2022财年增长出现放缓，但在2023年有了一个良好的开端。</p><p>最近，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO.SI\">蔚来</a>汽车的股价再次面临压力，在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>今年1月下调汽车价格后，蔚来汽车的股价跌回了10美元。</p><p>然而，我相信蔚来汽车有充分的理由在2023财年实现强劲的交付增长，因为这家电动汽车公司的轿车产品线已经加强。</p><p>鉴于蔚来汽车最近的交付业绩受到1月份农历新年的影响，我认为蔚来汽车执行得很好。</p><p>供应链问题的缓解和新产品的推出可能会使2023财年成为蔚来汽车的丰年，考虑到蔚来汽车目前的股价不到预期营收的1.0倍，我相信现在的风险状况比去年第四季度要好得多!</p><p><b>01、介绍</b></p><p>蔚来汽车在今年第一个月交付了8506辆电动汽车，与去年同期相比下降了11.9%，该电动汽车制造商报告称，本月的交付量在国内三大电动汽车初创企业中排名第二。</p><p>1月份交付量最高的电动汽车公司是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>(NASDAQ:LI)，总计交付15141辆，但由于春节假期影响了生产和交付，理想汽车也出现了逐月下降。</p><p>小鹏(NYSE:XPEV)的电动汽车交付量同比降幅最大，仅向客户交付了5,218辆电动汽车。</p><p>尽管小鹏的交付增长最近比竞争对手的增长放缓得更多，但我相信小鹏在2023年也有很好的机会看到估值反弹。</p><p>我最近再次看好小鹏的一个关键原因，与该公司在2022年遭受的大幅估值下跌有关。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6998a3f7f0c72f08c3e2b3fc82a9c66b\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"197\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>整个行业交货放缓的原因是受到春节假期的影响，电动汽车的生产和销售受到季节性的打击。</p><p>通常情况下，春节的影响会持续到2月，因此投资者只会在3月看到生产完全恢复正常水平。</p><p>在蔚来汽车1月份的交付报告中，令人惊讶的是，轿车交付量继续飙升，而轿车交付量是过去6个月这家电动汽车初创企业增长的关键驱动力。</p><p>蔚来汽车在2022年对轿车市场进行了一场大胆而冒险的赌博，该公司将于2022年推出其首批两款轿车产品ET5和ET7。</p><p>蔚来汽车推出轿车主要是为了使其产品线多样化，并打入一个新的、但增长迅速的细分市场。</p><p>显然，由于客户需求强劲，蔚来汽车的交付量飙升。蔚来汽车1月份向客户交付了6,316辆电动轿车，与12月份相比下降了30%。</p><p>然而，轿车在蔚来汽车的总交付结构中继续变得更加重要：1月份，这家电动汽车初创企业的轿车交付份额为74.3%，高于六个月前的29.3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac716ef1532ed04ed75b43a83fd110f\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>02、特斯拉降价的影响</b></p><p>特斯拉在1月份宣布降价14%，以刺激需求，这家美国公司1月份的交付量增长强于预期。</p><p>显然，价格上涨并没有伤害到特斯拉……但它们可能会损害竞争对手，后者正面临越来越大的效仿压力。</p><p>然而，我认为现在就猜测特斯拉降价对蔚来汽车收入和交付潜力的影响还为时过早。</p><p>目前，农历新年和较短的2月份掩盖了蔚来汽车真实的生产和交付表现。到3月份左右，我们应该会知道特斯拉的价格政策对蔚来汽车的影响。</p><p><b>03、蔚来汽车现在可能是一只价值股</b></p><p>尽管蔚来汽车预计未来几年的收入基础将大幅增加，但由于增长放缓、需求疲软和供应链问题等一系列问题，投资者已经对电动汽车行业望而却步。但我们有理由满怀希望。</p><p>经济正在重新开放，这可能会在2023年释放被压抑的需求，并帮助像蔚来汽车这样拥有全新且不断增长的电动汽车产品组合的公司。</p><p>蔚来推出了ET5和ET7轿车以及ES7运动型多用途车等新产品，根据CNEVPost的数据，这些产品占到蔚来1月份交付量的86%。</p><p>由于蔚来汽车的三款最新电动汽车产品正在热销，目前的股价还不到预期营收的1.0倍，我认为蔚来汽车实际上可以被视为一只价值股。</p><p>未来四年，蔚来汽车的收入预计将以年均38%的速度增长。在2022财年至2026财年期间，蔚来汽车的收入预计将从74亿美元增长到269亿美元，这意味着总收入将增长264%。</p><p>考虑到经济正在重新开放，蔚来汽车将受益于被压抑需求的释放，我相信这家电动汽车制造商在2023年及以后可能会看到更强劲的增长。</p><p>根据蔚来汽车2024财年的预计营收为186亿美元，其市盈率仅为0.88 X。在我看来，考虑到蔚来汽车的营收增长率略低于40%，这是一个价值领域。</p><p>随着蔚来汽车股价回落至10美元左右，其股价比1.91 X的1年平均市盈率低54%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89b5f4dc19e331ed37f115af3da7657d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>与蔚来的电动汽车竞争对手相比，蔚来现在是投资者能买到的最便宜的电动汽车股票。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/384aaac89feb7bfcb0ad5ab2a6c51c7c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>尽管蔚来在工厂产量和交付量方面优于特斯拉，但相对于大多数美国电动汽车公司，蔚来的估值也被严重低估。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79ef135870db255fa9d58b304689edd8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p><b>04、风险</b></p><p>蔚来汽车面临的关键风险是，尽管国内经济总体重启，但交付增长可能继续放缓。</p><p>另一个潜在风险因素是近期行业降价带来的顶线定价压力，以及原材料成本上升带来的底线压力。</p><p>成本上升可能会压缩蔚来汽车的利润率，该公司已经面临压力。</p><p><b>05、最终的想法</b></p><p>与去年第四季度相比，我现在更加看好蔚来汽车。在这种情况下，蔚来汽车在1月份提交了一份强有力的交付卡。</p><p>在各种轿车产品的推动下，蔚来的营收强劲增长，目前的估值不到预期营收的1.0倍，对于蔚来这样的成长型股票来说，这是一笔便宜的交易。</p><p>经济重新开放的总体主题和被压抑需求的释放，可能成为蔚来汽车2023年(轿车)交付和收入增长的强大催化剂。</p><p>我还认为，蔚来汽车基于收入的低估值限制了下行趋势，因为大多数电动汽车公司，基于收入的估值因素要高得多!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>蔚来汽车能否抵御住“价格屠夫”特斯拉的大刀？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n蔚来汽车能否抵御住“价格屠夫”特斯拉的大刀？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09c69c7ea1d4781a9de127f9b375dd6);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">美股研究社 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-28 19:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车在2022财年增长出现放缓，但在2023年有了一个良好的开端。</p><p>最近，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO.SI\">蔚来</a>汽车的股价再次面临压力，在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>今年1月下调汽车价格后，蔚来汽车的股价跌回了10美元。</p><p>然而，我相信蔚来汽车有充分的理由在2023财年实现强劲的交付增长，因为这家电动汽车公司的轿车产品线已经加强。</p><p>鉴于蔚来汽车最近的交付业绩受到1月份农历新年的影响，我认为蔚来汽车执行得很好。</p><p>供应链问题的缓解和新产品的推出可能会使2023财年成为蔚来汽车的丰年，考虑到蔚来汽车目前的股价不到预期营收的1.0倍，我相信现在的风险状况比去年第四季度要好得多!</p><p><b>01、介绍</b></p><p>蔚来汽车在今年第一个月交付了8506辆电动汽车，与去年同期相比下降了11.9%，该电动汽车制造商报告称，本月的交付量在国内三大电动汽车初创企业中排名第二。</p><p>1月份交付量最高的电动汽车公司是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>(NASDAQ:LI)，总计交付15141辆，但由于春节假期影响了生产和交付，理想汽车也出现了逐月下降。</p><p>小鹏(NYSE:XPEV)的电动汽车交付量同比降幅最大，仅向客户交付了5,218辆电动汽车。</p><p>尽管小鹏的交付增长最近比竞争对手的增长放缓得更多，但我相信小鹏在2023年也有很好的机会看到估值反弹。</p><p>我最近再次看好小鹏的一个关键原因，与该公司在2022年遭受的大幅估值下跌有关。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6998a3f7f0c72f08c3e2b3fc82a9c66b\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"197\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>整个行业交货放缓的原因是受到春节假期的影响，电动汽车的生产和销售受到季节性的打击。</p><p>通常情况下，春节的影响会持续到2月，因此投资者只会在3月看到生产完全恢复正常水平。</p><p>在蔚来汽车1月份的交付报告中，令人惊讶的是，轿车交付量继续飙升，而轿车交付量是过去6个月这家电动汽车初创企业增长的关键驱动力。</p><p>蔚来汽车在2022年对轿车市场进行了一场大胆而冒险的赌博，该公司将于2022年推出其首批两款轿车产品ET5和ET7。</p><p>蔚来汽车推出轿车主要是为了使其产品线多样化，并打入一个新的、但增长迅速的细分市场。</p><p>显然，由于客户需求强劲，蔚来汽车的交付量飙升。蔚来汽车1月份向客户交付了6,316辆电动轿车，与12月份相比下降了30%。</p><p>然而，轿车在蔚来汽车的总交付结构中继续变得更加重要：1月份，这家电动汽车初创企业的轿车交付份额为74.3%，高于六个月前的29.3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac716ef1532ed04ed75b43a83fd110f\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>02、特斯拉降价的影响</b></p><p>特斯拉在1月份宣布降价14%，以刺激需求，这家美国公司1月份的交付量增长强于预期。</p><p>显然，价格上涨并没有伤害到特斯拉……但它们可能会损害竞争对手，后者正面临越来越大的效仿压力。</p><p>然而，我认为现在就猜测特斯拉降价对蔚来汽车收入和交付潜力的影响还为时过早。</p><p>目前，农历新年和较短的2月份掩盖了蔚来汽车真实的生产和交付表现。到3月份左右，我们应该会知道特斯拉的价格政策对蔚来汽车的影响。</p><p><b>03、蔚来汽车现在可能是一只价值股</b></p><p>尽管蔚来汽车预计未来几年的收入基础将大幅增加，但由于增长放缓、需求疲软和供应链问题等一系列问题，投资者已经对电动汽车行业望而却步。但我们有理由满怀希望。</p><p>经济正在重新开放，这可能会在2023年释放被压抑的需求，并帮助像蔚来汽车这样拥有全新且不断增长的电动汽车产品组合的公司。</p><p>蔚来推出了ET5和ET7轿车以及ES7运动型多用途车等新产品，根据CNEVPost的数据，这些产品占到蔚来1月份交付量的86%。</p><p>由于蔚来汽车的三款最新电动汽车产品正在热销，目前的股价还不到预期营收的1.0倍，我认为蔚来汽车实际上可以被视为一只价值股。</p><p>未来四年，蔚来汽车的收入预计将以年均38%的速度增长。在2022财年至2026财年期间，蔚来汽车的收入预计将从74亿美元增长到269亿美元，这意味着总收入将增长264%。</p><p>考虑到经济正在重新开放，蔚来汽车将受益于被压抑需求的释放，我相信这家电动汽车制造商在2023年及以后可能会看到更强劲的增长。</p><p>根据蔚来汽车2024财年的预计营收为186亿美元，其市盈率仅为0.88 X。在我看来，考虑到蔚来汽车的营收增长率略低于40%，这是一个价值领域。</p><p>随着蔚来汽车股价回落至10美元左右，其股价比1.91 X的1年平均市盈率低54%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89b5f4dc19e331ed37f115af3da7657d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>与蔚来的电动汽车竞争对手相比，蔚来现在是投资者能买到的最便宜的电动汽车股票。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/384aaac89feb7bfcb0ad5ab2a6c51c7c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>尽管蔚来在工厂产量和交付量方面优于特斯拉，但相对于大多数美国电动汽车公司，蔚来的估值也被严重低估。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79ef135870db255fa9d58b304689edd8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p><b>04、风险</b></p><p>蔚来汽车面临的关键风险是，尽管国内经济总体重启，但交付增长可能继续放缓。</p><p>另一个潜在风险因素是近期行业降价带来的顶线定价压力，以及原材料成本上升带来的底线压力。</p><p>成本上升可能会压缩蔚来汽车的利润率，该公司已经面临压力。</p><p><b>05、最终的想法</b></p><p>与去年第四季度相比，我现在更加看好蔚来汽车。在这种情况下，蔚来汽车在1月份提交了一份强有力的交付卡。</p><p>在各种轿车产品的推动下，蔚来的营收强劲增长，目前的估值不到预期营收的1.0倍，对于蔚来这样的成长型股票来说，这是一笔便宜的交易。</p><p>经济重新开放的总体主题和被压抑需求的释放，可能成为蔚来汽车2023年(轿车)交付和收入增长的强大催化剂。</p><p>我还认为，蔚来汽车基于收入的低估值限制了下行趋势，因为大多数电动汽车公司，基于收入的估值因素要高得多!</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f36b37eb8e9efe8641c7be55a7da26d","relate_stocks":{"LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","NIO":"蔚来","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","09866":"蔚来-SW","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102036178","content_text":"蔚来汽车在2022财年增长出现放缓，但在2023年有了一个良好的开端。最近，蔚来汽车的股价再次面临压力，在特斯拉今年1月下调汽车价格后，蔚来汽车的股价跌回了10美元。然而，我相信蔚来汽车有充分的理由在2023财年实现强劲的交付增长，因为这家电动汽车公司的轿车产品线已经加强。鉴于蔚来汽车最近的交付业绩受到1月份农历新年的影响，我认为蔚来汽车执行得很好。供应链问题的缓解和新产品的推出可能会使2023财年成为蔚来汽车的丰年，考虑到蔚来汽车目前的股价不到预期营收的1.0倍，我相信现在的风险状况比去年第四季度要好得多!01、介绍蔚来汽车在今年第一个月交付了8506辆电动汽车，与去年同期相比下降了11.9%，该电动汽车制造商报告称，本月的交付量在国内三大电动汽车初创企业中排名第二。1月份交付量最高的电动汽车公司是理想汽车(NASDAQ:LI)，总计交付15141辆，但由于春节假期影响了生产和交付，理想汽车也出现了逐月下降。小鹏(NYSE:XPEV)的电动汽车交付量同比降幅最大，仅向客户交付了5,218辆电动汽车。尽管小鹏的交付增长最近比竞争对手的增长放缓得更多，但我相信小鹏在2023年也有很好的机会看到估值反弹。我最近再次看好小鹏的一个关键原因，与该公司在2022年遭受的大幅估值下跌有关。整个行业交货放缓的原因是受到春节假期的影响，电动汽车的生产和销售受到季节性的打击。通常情况下，春节的影响会持续到2月，因此投资者只会在3月看到生产完全恢复正常水平。在蔚来汽车1月份的交付报告中，令人惊讶的是，轿车交付量继续飙升，而轿车交付量是过去6个月这家电动汽车初创企业增长的关键驱动力。蔚来汽车在2022年对轿车市场进行了一场大胆而冒险的赌博，该公司将于2022年推出其首批两款轿车产品ET5和ET7。蔚来汽车推出轿车主要是为了使其产品线多样化，并打入一个新的、但增长迅速的细分市场。显然，由于客户需求强劲，蔚来汽车的交付量飙升。蔚来汽车1月份向客户交付了6,316辆电动轿车，与12月份相比下降了30%。然而，轿车在蔚来汽车的总交付结构中继续变得更加重要：1月份，这家电动汽车初创企业的轿车交付份额为74.3%，高于六个月前的29.3%。02、特斯拉降价的影响特斯拉在1月份宣布降价14%，以刺激需求，这家美国公司1月份的交付量增长强于预期。显然，价格上涨并没有伤害到特斯拉……但它们可能会损害竞争对手，后者正面临越来越大的效仿压力。然而，我认为现在就猜测特斯拉降价对蔚来汽车收入和交付潜力的影响还为时过早。目前，农历新年和较短的2月份掩盖了蔚来汽车真实的生产和交付表现。到3月份左右，我们应该会知道特斯拉的价格政策对蔚来汽车的影响。03、蔚来汽车现在可能是一只价值股尽管蔚来汽车预计未来几年的收入基础将大幅增加，但由于增长放缓、需求疲软和供应链问题等一系列问题，投资者已经对电动汽车行业望而却步。但我们有理由满怀希望。经济正在重新开放，这可能会在2023年释放被压抑的需求，并帮助像蔚来汽车这样拥有全新且不断增长的电动汽车产品组合的公司。蔚来推出了ET5和ET7轿车以及ES7运动型多用途车等新产品，根据CNEVPost的数据，这些产品占到蔚来1月份交付量的86%。由于蔚来汽车的三款最新电动汽车产品正在热销，目前的股价还不到预期营收的1.0倍，我认为蔚来汽车实际上可以被视为一只价值股。未来四年，蔚来汽车的收入预计将以年均38%的速度增长。在2022财年至2026财年期间，蔚来汽车的收入预计将从74亿美元增长到269亿美元，这意味着总收入将增长264%。考虑到经济正在重新开放，蔚来汽车将受益于被压抑需求的释放，我相信这家电动汽车制造商在2023年及以后可能会看到更强劲的增长。根据蔚来汽车2024财年的预计营收为186亿美元，其市盈率仅为0.88 X。在我看来，考虑到蔚来汽车的营收增长率略低于40%，这是一个价值领域。随着蔚来汽车股价回落至10美元左右，其股价比1.91 X的1年平均市盈率低54%。Data by YCharts与蔚来的电动汽车竞争对手相比，蔚来现在是投资者能买到的最便宜的电动汽车股票。Data by YCharts尽管蔚来在工厂产量和交付量方面优于特斯拉，但相对于大多数美国电动汽车公司，蔚来的估值也被严重低估。Data 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