rocke的个人主页 - 老虎社区

rocke

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IP属地：湖北

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2021-07-29

真的是搞笑，社保才几个钱？一个人一个月才几百块，平均到每天才十几块，他送餐一天多少单？估值为零就是屁话！

美团暴跌背后：如果给外卖小哥全都交社保，估值将直接归零

2021-05-19

$恒生指数(HSI)$香港真爽，什么鸟节都休息

2021-04-22

$逸仙电商(YSG)$加油！我还在19.75挂着呢[流泪]

2021-04-01

$逸仙电商(YSG)$今天敢不敢来个十个点

2021-03-26

$微美全息(WIMI)$暴涨的前夕，和去年的蔚来很像的操作

2021-03-24

$逸仙电商(YSG)$这公司内部是出问题了吗？这么死命的跌？

2021-03-15

下个美妆拼dd

完美日记财报背后是隐忧？还是机会？

2021-03-09

$游戏驿站(GME)$逼空大战又开始了吗？[贱笑]

2021-03-09

$道琼斯(.DJI)$全球股市在恐慌什么?担心要打仗了吗？看不懂啊

2021-03-02

$道琼斯(.DJI)$美股开始跟大A股的涨幅走了[捂脸]

2021-02-05

$快手-W(01024)$价格这么整的?精准操盘啊

2021-01-29

$游戏驿站(GME)$疯狂还会继续，这是一场散户的复仇战。

2021-01-28

$游戏驿站(GME)$全世界都跑来抄这个股了[捂脸]

2021-01-27

$游戏驿站(GME)$看戏[微笑]

2020-10-19

$微美全息(WIMI)$目标市值100亿[得意]

2020-07-22

$美国航空(AAL)$老在兜底就没意思了，还等你9.9见呢[笑哭]

2020-07-10

$美国航空(AAL)$加油跌[财迷]

2020-06-16

$蔚来(NIO)$好多人晒盈利100%，200%的，我这种+80%的都不敢拿出来晒了[捂脸]

2020-06-09

$蔚来(NIO)$你这今天是要冲7块的节奏吗[捂脸]

2020-06-03

$蔚来(NIO)$前盘涨这么多不是好事[无语]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-29 12:36 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021072912461179d979e8&s=b><strong>前瞻网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>周一，美团股价遭血洗，深层次原因众说纷纭，但表面上，最直接的原因无疑是七部门出台政策，要求其提高外卖骑手待遇。据环球老虎财经计算，如果要给所有外卖骑手交社保，可能让美团估值直接归零。在7月26日七部门联合发布的《关于落实网络餐饮平台责任切实维护外卖送餐员权益的指导意见》中，明确提到，“平台及第三方合作单位为建立劳动关系的外卖送餐员参加社会保险，支持其他外卖送餐员参加社会保险”。报道称，今年5月政府...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021072912461179d979e8&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58c571cf0b4357240a7b67c1db539b4a","relate_stocks":{"QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","03690":"美团-W"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021072912461179d979e8&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2155977927","content_text":"周一，美团股价遭血洗，深层次原因众说纷纭，但表面上，最直接的原因无疑是七部门出台政策，要求其提高外卖骑手待遇。据环球老虎财经计算，如果要给所有外卖骑手交社保，可能让美团估值直接归零。在7月26日七部门联合发布的《关于落实网络餐饮平台责任切实维护外卖送餐员权益的指导意见》中，明确提到，“平台及第三方合作单位为建立劳动关系的外卖送餐员参加社会保险，支持其他外卖送餐员参加社会保险”。报道称，今年5月政府巡视组人员进驻美团时，美团透露的数据是，平台共有约470万骑手，绝大部分为劳务派遣。综合多方说法，这470万人之中，只有属于北京美团总部的员工才有社保，所有骑手，包括美团旗下的三快到家以及其他劳务派遣公司的骑手都没有。粗略按照最低劳动合同薪酬标准计算，美团如果为所有骑手办理社保，每月在用人方面的成本将提高30亿左右，1年下来达到400亿。考虑到从劳务派遣向正式劳动合同转变过程中带来的大量可变成本，报道指出，美团多支付的成本将在400-600亿。2020年全年，美团支付的骑手成本是486亿元，总收入为1148亿元。如果骑手成本提高600亿，那么几乎将全部抵消，估值也将无从谈起。值得一提的是，2020年，尽管支付给骑手的成本提高，但每单支付成本从16.38元降到了14.59元，外卖小哥的单均收入是被压了的。前瞻经济学人APP资讯组","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":197096443,"gmtCreate":1621408392982,"gmtModify":1621408392982,"author":{"id":"3533855092572409","authorId":"3533855092572409","name":"rocke","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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22:23","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"完美日记财报背后 是隐忧？还是机会？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2119993933","media":"中国网财经","summary":"完美日记母公司逸仙电商于近日发布了上市后的第一份财报。逆势增长完美日记在解释财报业绩时表示：一、疫情对于全球美妆行业的影响。但在这样的大背景下，完美日记在去年第四季度销售额首次突破20亿，这还是难能可贵的。根据完美日记IPO招股书上披露，17到19年，用户复购率从8.1%提升至41.5%，消费者忠诚度和黏性逐年提升。未来完美日记的表现如何，股价是否进一步上升空间，这都有待市场考验。","content":"<div>\n<p>完美日记母公司逸仙电商于近日发布了上市后的第一份财报。报告出来后，市场上便有人质疑“全年亏损26.8亿元”，甚至得出“国货品牌未来无望”的结论。实际上，这20多亿元中，绝大部份是股权激励费用，这笔费用与实际经营活动没有关系。非美国通用会计准则下(Non-GAAP)，逸仙电商2020第四季度的亏损2亿左右，全年亏损应为7.88亿元。类似的现象普遍存在于高估值上市企业，像当年小米，美团等，都有大额股权...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103132229397b6ec3bb&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>完美日记财报背后 是隐忧？还是机会？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103132229397b6ec3bb&s=b><strong>中国网财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>完美日记母公司逸仙电商于近日发布了上市后的第一份财报。报告出来后，市场上便有人质疑“全年亏损26.8亿元”，甚至得出“国货品牌未来无望”的结论。实际上，这20多亿元中，绝大部份是股权激励费用，这笔费用与实际经营活动没有关系。非美国通用会计准则下(Non-GAAP)，逸仙电商2020第四季度的亏损2亿左右，全年亏损应为7.88亿元。类似的现象普遍存在于高估值上市企业，像当年小米，美团等，都有大额股权...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103132229397b6ec3bb&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6696a7804fc125e32c38f848d97c02f7","relate_stocks":{"YSG":"逸仙电商"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103132229397b6ec3bb&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2119993933","content_text":"完美日记母公司逸仙电商于近日发布了上市后的第一份财报。报告出来后，市场上便有人质疑“全年亏损26.8亿元”，甚至得出“国货品牌未来无望”的结论。实际上，这20多亿元中，绝大部份是股权激励费用，这笔费用与实际经营活动没有关系。非美国通用会计准则下(Non-GAAP)，逸仙电商2020第四季度的亏损2亿左右，全年亏损应为7.88亿元。类似的现象普遍存在于高估值上市企业，像当年小米，美团等，都有大额股权激励费用。但完美日记以“烧钱”换发展空间，是否可行？亏损扩大？逆势增长完美日记在解释财报业绩时表示：一、疫情对于全球美妆行业的影响。二、2020年是公司重点战略投入期，在线下、研发及品牌升级等方面均进行了重点投入。三、新品牌矩阵尚未进入收获期。去年，受疫情影响，海外美妆产品巨头业绩纷纷跳水：欧莱雅的营收、利润遭遇近5年来的首次下降；雅诗兰黛销售额同比缩水超百亿人民币；爱茉莉太平洋和花王的化妆品业务也出现近3年来销售额的首次负增长……疫情阴霾下的美妆行业在近年内难以恢复至既往的增长水平。但在这样的大背景下，完美日记在去年第四季度销售额首次突破20亿，这还是难能可贵的。完美日记在崛起过程中把握住渠道和营销红利风口。但在此之后更具挑战的是，如何保证后续成长的可持续性。对此，中金公司认为，逸仙后续成长是否具备可持续性的关键在于：公司是否形成核心能力的沉淀，以及其能力能否外延复制。换句话说，逸仙电商是否具备能够持续应对流量风口的变化，实现自我变革发展的运营能力？品牌成功的可复制经验回顾完美日记的渠道布局历程，它总是能牢牢把握媒体和渠道的红利期：2017年4月进入京东；2017年8月进入天猫；2017年9进入小红书；2018年4月进入唯品会；2018年下半年开启私域运营；2019年1月开设线下店……可以说，完美日记是持续踩中并把握流量红利。除了完美日记外，逸仙电商旗下还有小奥汀、完子心选等品牌，这两个品牌都以亮眼的成绩，证明了品牌打法的可复制性——去年双十一，小奥汀呈现爆发式增长，是去年同期的30倍；完子心选首次参加双十一总成交额就突破3000万。多品牌的成功，也印证了完美日记成功运营并打造品牌的可复制、可延展性。与此同时，逸仙电商也在进一步补齐一直被诟病的短板——研发不足。四季报显示，逸仙电商研发费用较上年同期同比增长91%，单季研发费用已超过上年总和。虽然与百年国际美妆集团相比，这笔费用少得可怜。但从增长的幅度也能看出完美日记加大研发投入、摆脱“网红”属性的决心。大牌平替？客单价提升挖掘流量只是第一步，实现流量变现才是终极考验。此前完美日记曾被称为“大牌平替”“大牌同厂”，利润率被压缩，盈利能力也饱受质疑。根据完美日记IPO招股书上披露，17到19年，用户复购率从8.1%提升至41.5%，消费者忠诚度和黏性逐年提升。此次Q4财报未披露复购率相关数据，但我们以营业收入与消费者规模的比值来看客单价及用户忠诚度时，发现完美日记的“年平均人次消费额”在第四季度提升了30多个点，到136元/人次。这意味着消费者在完美日记的平均消费有显著提升。虽然亏损扩大，但中金公司、中信证券、美银证券等专业投资机构都看好完美日记的发展前景和企业增长潜力。几家机构分别作出了企业将于2022-2023年扭亏为盈的预计，给出23.3-26.5 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