wadehot的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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0勋章

2021-01-11

$中芯国际(00981)$亏也是你涨也是你紧跟步伐

2020-04-06

$诺诚健华-B(09969)$卖了又买进来了。

2020-03-27

$诺诚健华-B(09969)$拿着吧再看看

2020-03-13

$心动公司(02400)$还是能刀口舔一下的

2020-03-07

逻辑清晰

@w奔波儿霸:以期货的角度理解股票

2020-02-20

2020.02.20 复盘笔记 by wadehot

港股光伏产业上还有机会保利协鑫能源和福莱特玻璃手机超薄玻璃也有机会洛阳玻璃维生素B2港股没有在大a买兄弟科技。

2020.02.20 复盘笔记 by wadehot

2020-02-19

$福莱特玻璃(06865)$还可以

2020-02-19

2020.02.19 复盘笔记 by wadehot

昨晚特斯拉股票逆势大涨对锂电还是利好芯片观望一下。农业昨天有资金增持港股中粮肉食赣锋锂业有机会$特斯拉(TSLA)$

2020.02.19 复盘笔记 by wadehot

2020-02-18

$FRIENDTIMES(06820)$今天一早进看好网游

2020-02-14

$富力地产(02777)$今天开盘进场

2020-02-14

$富力地产(02777)$$嘉里建设(00683)$还是可以

2020-02-13

$小米集团-W(01810)$开发布会涨幅也不大啊

2020-02-13

$中芯国际(00981)$节奏很重要

2020-02-12

流动资金差太多。

蔚来回应延迟发工资：员工可以选择拿股票

2020-02-12

是好公司就不怕遇冷让字节跳动这时候来港股看看

疫情打乱港股IPO复苏步伐，159公司上市申请没有进展

2020-02-12

$福莱特玻璃(06865)$再次踏中节奏

2020-02-10

$阿里健康(00241)$比较稳定

2020-02-09

$心动公司(02400)$逻辑没毛病持续看好游戏和在线教育

2019-11-14

明天谁也阻止不了我买阿里的票。美元换了港币做准备、还领了50港元的券，最后把7天的免佣卡都用上了。一定要薅完最后一根羊毛。$阿里巴巴(09988)$

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期货比股票多了一个时间维度。 在期货上，可以做空近期、做多远期，股票则没有这种能力，不管近中远期都反应在一个价格上。这导致股票的价格变化更复杂，近期、中期、远期信息缠绕在一起，共同影响股票价格。 做股票投资的，很多都只关注估值和大方向；做期货投资的不仅要关注方向，更要注重拐点。方向对，拐点没判断准，会被杀得很惨。 因此做期货投资的专业性更强，逻辑更清晰；股市的混子和傻子比较多，牛市里傻子更能赚钱。 期货价格分析与企业价值分析，很多是关联的。 举个例子，螺纹2005合约是3441，铁矿2005合约价格是650，根据这个差价，5月份螺纹企业是没有太多利润的。 而螺纹2009合约是3526，比5月贵85，铁矿2009合约价格是621，比5月便宜29，9月的差价显著扩大，螺纹企业就会有不错的利润。 这是期货市场的预期：近月利润差，远月利润好。 单看螺纹钢的话，目前远月价格高于近月，远月升水，表明市场处于乐观预期之中。这与过去几年不同，过去几年大多数时候是远月价格低于近月，远月贴水，表明市场处于悲观预期之中。 从这些情况都能看出来，目前期货市场对远月的螺纹和螺纹利润很有信心。 近月差，远月好，那螺纹企业的股价到底该涨还是该跌？这就有点左右为难了。 其实如果能推出个茅台期货，对于茅台股价的分析，会有很好的指导意义。毕竟期货市场的分析能力要强于股市。 类似的问题还有，病毒发生后，短期内超市、零食、方便面面条面包企业的利润受益、股价上涨，航空旅游的利润受损，股价下跌。这是近月逻辑在体现。 那什么时候或什么因素触发下，远月逻辑才会体现，航空旅游的股价涨回来？ 这要再举个例子：三个男**丝同时追求一个美女。 **丝A的做法是，拿出存款或刷信用卡，为美女准备浪漫之夜，千","listText":"期货与股票的一个主要区别是，期货是有交割日期的，以月为单位，每个月的价格都是独立分项，股票则是连续交易，没有时间分项。 期货比股票多了一个时间维度。 在期货上，可以做空近期、做多远期，股票则没有这种能力，不管近中远期都反应在一个价格上。这导致股票的价格变化更复杂，近期、中期、远期信息缠绕在一起，共同影响股票价格。 做股票投资的，很多都只关注估值和大方向；做期货投资的不仅要关注方向，更要注重拐点。方向对，拐点没判断准，会被杀得很惨。 因此做期货投资的专业性更强，逻辑更清晰；股市的混子和傻子比较多，牛市里傻子更能赚钱。 期货价格分析与企业价值分析，很多是关联的。 举个例子，螺纹2005合约是3441，铁矿2005合约价格是650，根据这个差价，5月份螺纹企业是没有太多利润的。 而螺纹2009合约是3526，比5月贵85，铁矿2009合约价格是621，比5月便宜29，9月的差价显著扩大，螺纹企业就会有不错的利润。 这是期货市场的预期：近月利润差，远月利润好。 单看螺纹钢的话，目前远月价格高于近月，远月升水，表明市场处于乐观预期之中。这与过去几年不同，过去几年大多数时候是远月价格低于近月，远月贴水，表明市场处于悲观预期之中。 从这些情况都能看出来，目前期货市场对远月的螺纹和螺纹利润很有信心。 近月差，远月好，那螺纹企业的股价到底该涨还是该跌？这就有点左右为难了。 其实如果能推出个茅台期货，对于茅台股价的分析，会有很好的指导意义。毕竟期货市场的分析能力要强于股市。 类似的问题还有，病毒发生后，短期内超市、零食、方便面面条面包企业的利润受益、股价上涨，航空旅游的利润受损，股价下跌。这是近月逻辑在体现。 那什么时候或什么因素触发下，远月逻辑才会体现，航空旅游的股价涨回来？ 这要再举个例子：三个男**丝同时追求一个美女。 **丝A的做法是，拿出存款或刷信用卡，为美女准备浪漫之夜，千","text":"期货与股票的一个主要区别是，期货是有交割日期的，以月为单位，每个月的价格都是独立分项，股票则是连续交易，没有时间分项。 期货比股票多了一个时间维度。 在期货上，可以做空近期、做多远期，股票则没有这种能力，不管近中远期都反应在一个价格上。这导致股票的价格变化更复杂，近期、中期、远期信息缠绕在一起，共同影响股票价格。 做股票投资的，很多都只关注估值和大方向；做期货投资的不仅要关注方向，更要注重拐点。方向对，拐点没判断准，会被杀得很惨。 因此做期货投资的专业性更强，逻辑更清晰；股市的混子和傻子比较多，牛市里傻子更能赚钱。 期货价格分析与企业价值分析，很多是关联的。 举个例子，螺纹2005合约是3441，铁矿2005合约价格是650，根据这个差价，5月份螺纹企业是没有太多利润的。 而螺纹2009合约是3526，比5月贵85，铁矿2009合约价格是621，比5月便宜29，9月的差价显著扩大，螺纹企业就会有不错的利润。 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21:14","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"蔚来回应延迟发工资：员工可以选择拿股票","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171799829","media":"cnbeta","summary":"今日，蔚来$(NIO)$创始人兼CEO李斌向员工发出开工信，称今天大部分同事都开始正式恢复工作，鼓励员工从心态和行动上尽快进入工作状态。此外，有媒体报道，蔚来将延迟发放1月工资。\n\n对此，蔚来回复称，","content":"<p>今日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>创始人兼CEO李斌向员工发出开工信，称今天大部分同事都开始正式恢复工作，鼓励员工从心态和行动上尽快进入工作状态。此外，有媒体报道，蔚来将延迟发放1月工资。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f63494fac7fc6a7441b9c8c95d548ff3\"></p>\n<p>对此，蔚来回复称，该通知为2月7号发出，因为此前蔚来发薪日是8号。延迟发放日期是因为疫情导致复工时间推迟，由此带来企业经营管理节奏变化。十三薪发放规则改变，是一个灵活的薪酬计划，员工可以在相应金额内选择拿工资或者是拿公司的股票。</p>\n<p>今年1月，蔚来品牌整体交付量达1598台，1月蔚来有效工作日日均交付数达100台，同比提升22.0%，总量同比下降11.5%。其中智能电动全能SUV ES6交付1493台，智能电动旗舰SUV ES8交付105台。自2018年6月开始交付以来，全品牌累计交付33511台。</p>\n<p>截至2020年1月31日，蔚来在全国开设83家门店，其中包括22家蔚来中心和61家蔚来空间，销售网络已经覆盖全国59座城市。</p>\n<p>此前，蔚来用户信托基金设立500万元人民币专项基金，用于抗疫行动。</p>\n<p>开工信原文如下：</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c2a0b9f32f71e7c9e32b69edf08b998\"></p>","source":"lsy1573635078903","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>蔚来回应延迟发工资：员工可以选择拿股票</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ 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#494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n蔚来回应延迟发工资：员工可以选择拿股票\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-02-12 21:14 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0914818.shtml><strong>cnbeta</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>今日，蔚来$(NIO)$创始人兼CEO李斌向员工发出开工信，称今天大部分同事都开始正式恢复工作，鼓励员工从心态和行动上尽快进入工作状态。此外，有媒体报道，蔚来将延迟发放1月工资。\n\n对此，蔚来回复称，该通知为2月7号发出，因为此前蔚来发薪日是8号。延迟发放日期是因为疫情导致复工时间推迟，由此带来企业经营管理节奏变化。十三薪发放规则改变，是一个灵活的薪酬计划，员工可以在相应金额内选择拿工资或者是拿...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0914818.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feebf0ff4401232c3ecc332f566f18e0","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0914818.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171799829","content_text":"今日，蔚来$(NIO)$创始人兼CEO李斌向员工发出开工信，称今天大部分同事都开始正式恢复工作，鼓励员工从心态和行动上尽快进入工作状态。此外，有媒体报道，蔚来将延迟发放1月工资。\n\n对此，蔚来回复称，该通知为2月7号发出，因为此前蔚来发薪日是8号。延迟发放日期是因为疫情导致复工时间推迟，由此带来企业经营管理节奏变化。十三薪发放规则改变，是一个灵活的薪酬计划，员工可以在相应金额内选择拿工资或者是拿公司的股票。\n今年1月，蔚来品牌整体交付量达1598台，1月蔚来有效工作日日均交付数达100台，同比提升22.0%，总量同比下降11.5%。其中智能电动全能SUV ES6交付1493台，智能电动旗舰SUV ES8交付105台。自2018年6月开始交付以来，全品牌累计交付33511台。\n截至2020年1月31日，蔚来在全国开设83家门店，其中包括22家蔚来中心和61家蔚来空间，销售网络已经覆盖全国59座城市。\n此前，蔚来用户信托基金设立500万元人民币专项基金，用于抗疫行动。\n开工信原文如下：","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":914798686,"gmtCreate":1581481819345,"gmtModify":1704344279618,"author":{"id":"3528342008331359","authorId":"3528342008331359","name":"wadehot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38a07918cf758492b3774ea94f6a552e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"是好公司就不怕遇冷 让字节跳动这时候来港股看看","listText":"是好公司就不怕遇冷 让字节跳动这时候来港股看看","text":"是好公司就不怕遇冷 让字节跳动这时候来港股看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/914798686","repostId":"2010789515","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2010789515","pubTimestamp":1581463000,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2010789515?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-02-12 07:16","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"疫情打乱港股IPO复苏步伐，159公司上市申请没有进展","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2010789515","media":"丫丫港股圈","summary":"2020年春节伊始，一场突如其来的新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情打乱了香港IPO市场的复苏步伐。\n数据显示，目前一共133家公司赴港上市申请正在处理中，还有159家公司上市申请没有进展，而受到新冠病毒疫情","content":"<p>2020年春节伊始，一场突如其来的新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情打乱了香港IPO市场的复苏步伐。</p>\n<p>数据显示，目前一共133家公司赴港上市申请正在处理中，还有159家公司上市申请没有进展，而受到新冠病毒疫情影响，不少公司选择推迟上市计划。</p>\n<p>信永中和香港管理合伙人卢华基表示，“IPO市场受到疫情的影响，是因为IPO需要大量现场工作，团队需要进行很多现场访谈工作，我们预计大约至少有30%的上市申请将受到影响。”</p>\n<p>对于卢华基而言，这场疫情完全打乱了他的工作计划。他坦言，由于新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情持续，无论从股票估值、卖股票的时间窗口来说都不太理想。</p>\n<p>刚刚过去的2019年，香港IPO市场经历了不平凡的一年，冷暖交织。</p>\n<p>去年8月，整个港交所大厅都是静悄悄的，仅有1家企业挂牌上市，与此前数家公司同日敲钟上市的盛况相比，不禁让人唏嘘。</p>\n<p>然而，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>的回归迅速扭转了颓势。去年11月26日， 阿里巴巴在港交所上市大获成功，上市首日股价逆势大涨6.59%，为港股IPO市场注入了一剂强心针。受其积极影响，去年12月港交所共有26宗新股发行，今年1月亦有20宗IPO。</p>\n<p>这让卢华基在内的IPO金融业人士一度以为IPO的“春天”要回来了，他所在的审计公司收入的三分之一都来自于IPO项目。</p>\n<p>但在疫情的影响下，IPO市场却急速降温。数据显示，2月初仅3家公司招股，分别是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02263\">富石金融</a>（2263.HK）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06813\">大喜屋集团</a>（8428.HK）、奥达控股（9929.HK），且这三家公司都为细价股，拟集资总额合计4.7亿港元。</p>\n<p>耀才证券执行董事兼行政总裁许绎彬表示，由于吸取了2003年SARS的教训，所以投资者对疫情有一定阴影，从而影响投资者认购IPO的意欲，导致原本有意欲在港上市的公司，亦相继押后其上市计划，所以目前港股IPO业务显著冷清。</p>\n<p>华泰国际董事、 保荐人刘涛江向记者表示，“零售或餐饮类赴港上市公司会受到较大影响，我们工作也多多少少受到一些影响，港府最新政策，内地人员过香港将接受14天强制检疫，从2月8日凌晨生效，而我们有一些客户都是内地，我们需要出差去内地做尽调，但目前只能延后。有些公司上市申请如果未能在规定时间内（半年期限）完成招股，公司则需要追加一两个季度审计表，从而延长时间表，而且成本也会有所增加。”</p>\n<p>港府2月3日公布的最新数据显示，香港2019全年GDP收缩1.2%，为近十年来首次出现负增长。安联高级经济学家FRANÇOISE HUANG表示：“虽然2019年第四季度表现稍微比我们的预期要好（从第三季度倒退0.4%），但我们预计在贸易纠纷、社会冲突及疫情等三重打击下，香港2020第一季度的经济衰退将进一步深化，第一季度GDP将由增长0.6%变为收缩1.4%。</p>\n<p><span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03908\">中金公司</a></span>首席策略分析师王汉锋认为，本地疫情对市场的影响可能经历三个阶段，港股可能处于第二阶段后半段。目前港股恒生国企指数、<span>恒生指数</span>从局部高点回调已经分别达到11.1%、9.8%，在基准情形下可能处于调整后半段或接近短期调整尾声。目前A股和港股估值具备吸引力，特别是港股。“在基本情形下，我们认为疫情的影响可能是短期的，并对中期市场维持积极看法，结构上，消费升级和产业升级仍是看好的大趋势。”</p>\n<p>同时，前海开源基金管理公司执行总经理杨德龙表示，从估值水平来看，港股在全球主要市场中已处于洼地，“疫情可能短期造成港股的波动，但待疫情稳定后，港股的反弹力度有望加大，股价的下跌实际上给投资者提供了买入优质股票的机会。”</p>","source":"highlight_sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>疫情打乱港股IPO复苏步伐，159公司上市申请没有进展</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n疫情打乱港股IPO复苏步伐，159公司上市申请没有进展\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-02-12 07:16 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggipo/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0616111.shtml><strong>丫丫港股圈</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2020年春节伊始，一场突如其来的新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情打乱了香港IPO市场的复苏步伐。\n数据显示，目前一共133家公司赴港上市申请正在处理中，还有159家公司上市申请没有进展，而受到新冠病毒疫情影响，不少公司选择推迟上市计划。\n信永中和香港管理合伙人卢华基表示，“IPO市场受到疫情的影响，是因为IPO需要大量现场工作，团队需要进行很多现场访谈工作，我们预计大约至少有30%的上市申请将受到影响...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggipo/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0616111.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0486fb6d3cb13bbfbc8ff3a5db6c839a","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggipo/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0616111.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2010789515","content_text":"2020年春节伊始，一场突如其来的新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情打乱了香港IPO市场的复苏步伐。\n数据显示，目前一共133家公司赴港上市申请正在处理中，还有159家公司上市申请没有进展，而受到新冠病毒疫情影响，不少公司选择推迟上市计划。\n信永中和香港管理合伙人卢华基表示，“IPO市场受到疫情的影响，是因为IPO需要大量现场工作，团队需要进行很多现场访谈工作，我们预计大约至少有30%的上市申请将受到影响。”\n对于卢华基而言，这场疫情完全打乱了他的工作计划。他坦言，由于新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情持续，无论从股票估值、卖股票的时间窗口来说都不太理想。\n刚刚过去的2019年，香港IPO市场经历了不平凡的一年，冷暖交织。\n去年8月，整个港交所大厅都是静悄悄的，仅有1家企业挂牌上市，与此前数家公司同日敲钟上市的盛况相比，不禁让人唏嘘。\n然而，阿里巴巴的回归迅速扭转了颓势。去年11月26日， 阿里巴巴在港交所上市大获成功，上市首日股价逆势大涨6.59%，为港股IPO市场注入了一剂强心针。受其积极影响，去年12月港交所共有26宗新股发行，今年1月亦有20宗IPO。\n这让卢华基在内的IPO金融业人士一度以为IPO的“春天”要回来了，他所在的审计公司收入的三分之一都来自于IPO项目。\n但在疫情的影响下，IPO市场却急速降温。数据显示，2月初仅3家公司招股，分别是富石金融（2263.HK）、大喜屋集团（8428.HK）、奥达控股（9929.HK），且这三家公司都为细价股，拟集资总额合计4.7亿港元。\n耀才证券执行董事兼行政总裁许绎彬表示，由于吸取了2003年SARS的教训，所以投资者对疫情有一定阴影，从而影响投资者认购IPO的意欲，导致原本有意欲在港上市的公司，亦相继押后其上市计划，所以目前港股IPO业务显著冷清。\n华泰国际董事、 保荐人刘涛江向记者表示，“零售或餐饮类赴港上市公司会受到较大影响，我们工作也多多少少受到一些影响，港府最新政策，内地人员过香港将接受14天强制检疫，从2月8日凌晨生效，而我们有一些客户都是内地，我们需要出差去内地做尽调，但目前只能延后。有些公司上市申请如果未能在规定时间内（半年期限）完成招股，公司则需要追加一两个季度审计表，从而延长时间表，而且成本也会有所增加。”\n港府2月3日公布的最新数据显示，香港2019全年GDP收缩1.2%，为近十年来首次出现负增长。安联高级经济学家FRANÇOISE 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期货比股票多了一个时间维度。 在期货上，可以做空近期、做多远期，股票则没有这种能力，不管近中远期都反应在一个价格上。这导致股票的价格变化更复杂，近期、中期、远期信息缠绕在一起，共同影响股票价格。 做股票投资的，很多都只关注估值和大方向；做期货投资的不仅要关注方向，更要注重拐点。方向对，拐点没判断准，会被杀得很惨。 因此做期货投资的专业性更强，逻辑更清晰；股市的混子和傻子比较多，牛市里傻子更能赚钱。 期货价格分析与企业价值分析，很多是关联的。 举个例子，螺纹2005合约是3441，铁矿2005合约价格是650，根据这个差价，5月份螺纹企业是没有太多利润的。 而螺纹2009合约是3526，比5月贵85，铁矿2009合约价格是621，比5月便宜29，9月的差价显著扩大，螺纹企业就会有不错的利润。 这是期货市场的预期：近月利润差，远月利润好。 单看螺纹钢的话，目前远月价格高于近月，远月升水，表明市场处于乐观预期之中。这与过去几年不同，过去几年大多数时候是远月价格低于近月，远月贴水，表明市场处于悲观预期之中。 从这些情况都能看出来，目前期货市场对远月的螺纹和螺纹利润很有信心。 近月差，远月好，那螺纹企业的股价到底该涨还是该跌？这就有点左右为难了。 其实如果能推出个茅台期货，对于茅台股价的分析，会有很好的指导意义。毕竟期货市场的分析能力要强于股市。 类似的问题还有，病毒发生后，短期内超市、零食、方便面面条面包企业的利润受益、股价上涨，航空旅游的利润受损，股价下跌。这是近月逻辑在体现。 那什么时候或什么因素触发下，远月逻辑才会体现，航空旅游的股价涨回来？ 这要再举个例子：三个男**丝同时追求一个美女。 **丝A的做法是，拿出存款或刷信用卡，为美女准备浪漫之夜，千","listText":"期货与股票的一个主要区别是，期货是有交割日期的，以月为单位，每个月的价格都是独立分项，股票则是连续交易，没有时间分项。 期货比股票多了一个时间维度。 在期货上，可以做空近期、做多远期，股票则没有这种能力，不管近中远期都反应在一个价格上。这导致股票的价格变化更复杂，近期、中期、远期信息缠绕在一起，共同影响股票价格。 做股票投资的，很多都只关注估值和大方向；做期货投资的不仅要关注方向，更要注重拐点。方向对，拐点没判断准，会被杀得很惨。 因此做期货投资的专业性更强，逻辑更清晰；股市的混子和傻子比较多，牛市里傻子更能赚钱。 期货价格分析与企业价值分析，很多是关联的。 举个例子，螺纹2005合约是3441，铁矿2005合约价格是650，根据这个差价，5月份螺纹企业是没有太多利润的。 而螺纹2009合约是3526，比5月贵85，铁矿2009合约价格是621，比5月便宜29，9月的差价显著扩大，螺纹企业就会有不错的利润。 这是期货市场的预期：近月利润差，远月利润好。 单看螺纹钢的话，目前远月价格高于近月，远月升水，表明市场处于乐观预期之中。这与过去几年不同，过去几年大多数时候是远月价格低于近月，远月贴水，表明市场处于悲观预期之中。 从这些情况都能看出来，目前期货市场对远月的螺纹和螺纹利润很有信心。 近月差，远月好，那螺纹企业的股价到底该涨还是该跌？这就有点左右为难了。 其实如果能推出个茅台期货，对于茅台股价的分析，会有很好的指导意义。毕竟期货市场的分析能力要强于股市。 类似的问题还有，病毒发生后，短期内超市、零食、方便面面条面包企业的利润受益、股价上涨，航空旅游的利润受损，股价下跌。这是近月逻辑在体现。 那什么时候或什么因素触发下，远月逻辑才会体现，航空旅游的股价涨回来？ 这要再举个例子：三个男**丝同时追求一个美女。 **丝A的做法是，拿出存款或刷信用卡，为美女准备浪漫之夜，千","text":"期货与股票的一个主要区别是，期货是有交割日期的，以月为单位，每个月的价格都是独立分项，股票则是连续交易，没有时间分项。 期货比股票多了一个时间维度。 在期货上，可以做空近期、做多远期，股票则没有这种能力，不管近中远期都反应在一个价格上。这导致股票的价格变化更复杂，近期、中期、远期信息缠绕在一起，共同影响股票价格。 做股票投资的，很多都只关注估值和大方向；做期货投资的不仅要关注方向，更要注重拐点。方向对，拐点没判断准，会被杀得很惨。 因此做期货投资的专业性更强，逻辑更清晰；股市的混子和傻子比较多，牛市里傻子更能赚钱。 期货价格分析与企业价值分析，很多是关联的。 举个例子，螺纹2005合约是3441，铁矿2005合约价格是650，根据这个差价，5月份螺纹企业是没有太多利润的。 而螺纹2009合约是3526，比5月贵85，铁矿2009合约价格是621，比5月便宜29，9月的差价显著扩大，螺纹企业就会有不错的利润。 这是期货市场的预期：近月利润差，远月利润好。 单看螺纹钢的话，目前远月价格高于近月，远月升水，表明市场处于乐观预期之中。这与过去几年不同，过去几年大多数时候是远月价格低于近月，远月贴水，表明市场处于悲观预期之中。 从这些情况都能看出来，目前期货市场对远月的螺纹和螺纹利润很有信心。 近月差，远月好，那螺纹企业的股价到底该涨还是该跌？这就有点左右为难了。 其实如果能推出个茅台期货，对于茅台股价的分析，会有很好的指导意义。毕竟期货市场的分析能力要强于股市。 类似的问题还有，病毒发生后，短期内超市、零食、方便面面条面包企业的利润受益、股价上涨，航空旅游的利润受损，股价下跌。这是近月逻辑在体现。 那什么时候或什么因素触发下，远月逻辑才会体现，航空旅游的股价涨回来？ 这要再举个例子：三个男**丝同时追求一个美女。 **丝A的做法是，拿出存款或刷信用卡，为美女准备浪漫之夜，千","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/981120823","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":914752638,"gmtCreate":1581516129224,"gmtModify":1704344369050,"author":{"id":"3528342008331359","authorId":"3528342008331359","name":"wadehot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38a07918cf758492b3774ea94f6a552e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"流动资金差太多。","listText":"流动资金差太多。","text":"流动资金差太多。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/914752638","repostId":"1171799829","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1171799829","pubTimestamp":1581513273,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171799829?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-02-12 21:14","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"蔚来回应延迟发工资：员工可以选择拿股票","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171799829","media":"cnbeta","summary":"今日，蔚来$(NIO)$创始人兼CEO李斌向员工发出开工信，称今天大部分同事都开始正式恢复工作，鼓励员工从心态和行动上尽快进入工作状态。此外，有媒体报道，蔚来将延迟发放1月工资。\n\n对此，蔚来回复称，","content":"<p>今日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>创始人兼CEO李斌向员工发出开工信，称今天大部分同事都开始正式恢复工作，鼓励员工从心态和行动上尽快进入工作状态。此外，有媒体报道，蔚来将延迟发放1月工资。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f63494fac7fc6a7441b9c8c95d548ff3\"></p>\n<p>对此，蔚来回复称，该通知为2月7号发出，因为此前蔚来发薪日是8号。延迟发放日期是因为疫情导致复工时间推迟，由此带来企业经营管理节奏变化。十三薪发放规则改变，是一个灵活的薪酬计划，员工可以在相应金额内选择拿工资或者是拿公司的股票。</p>\n<p>今年1月，蔚来品牌整体交付量达1598台，1月蔚来有效工作日日均交付数达100台，同比提升22.0%，总量同比下降11.5%。其中智能电动全能SUV ES6交付1493台，智能电动旗舰SUV ES8交付105台。自2018年6月开始交付以来，全品牌累计交付33511台。</p>\n<p>截至2020年1月31日，蔚来在全国开设83家门店，其中包括22家蔚来中心和61家蔚来空间，销售网络已经覆盖全国59座城市。</p>\n<p>此前，蔚来用户信托基金设立500万元人民币专项基金，用于抗疫行动。</p>\n<p>开工信原文如下：</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c2a0b9f32f71e7c9e32b69edf08b998\"></p>","source":"lsy1573635078903","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>蔚来回应延迟发工资：员工可以选择拿股票</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ 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#494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n蔚来回应延迟发工资：员工可以选择拿股票\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-02-12 21:14 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0914818.shtml><strong>cnbeta</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>今日，蔚来$(NIO)$创始人兼CEO李斌向员工发出开工信，称今天大部分同事都开始正式恢复工作，鼓励员工从心态和行动上尽快进入工作状态。此外，有媒体报道，蔚来将延迟发放1月工资。\n\n对此，蔚来回复称，该通知为2月7号发出，因为此前蔚来发薪日是8号。延迟发放日期是因为疫情导致复工时间推迟，由此带来企业经营管理节奏变化。十三薪发放规则改变，是一个灵活的薪酬计划，员工可以在相应金额内选择拿工资或者是拿...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0914818.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feebf0ff4401232c3ecc332f566f18e0","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0914818.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171799829","content_text":"今日，蔚来$(NIO)$创始人兼CEO李斌向员工发出开工信，称今天大部分同事都开始正式恢复工作，鼓励员工从心态和行动上尽快进入工作状态。此外，有媒体报道，蔚来将延迟发放1月工资。\n\n对此，蔚来回复称，该通知为2月7号发出，因为此前蔚来发薪日是8号。延迟发放日期是因为疫情导致复工时间推迟，由此带来企业经营管理节奏变化。十三薪发放规则改变，是一个灵活的薪酬计划，员工可以在相应金额内选择拿工资或者是拿公司的股票。\n今年1月，蔚来品牌整体交付量达1598台，1月蔚来有效工作日日均交付数达100台，同比提升22.0%，总量同比下降11.5%。其中智能电动全能SUV ES6交付1493台，智能电动旗舰SUV ES8交付105台。自2018年6月开始交付以来，全品牌累计交付33511台。\n截至2020年1月31日，蔚来在全国开设83家门店，其中包括22家蔚来中心和61家蔚来空间，销售网络已经覆盖全国59座城市。\n此前，蔚来用户信托基金设立500万元人民币专项基金，用于抗疫行动。\n开工信原文如下：","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":914798686,"gmtCreate":1581481819345,"gmtModify":1704344279618,"author":{"id":"3528342008331359","authorId":"3528342008331359","name":"wadehot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38a07918cf758492b3774ea94f6a552e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"是好公司就不怕遇冷 让字节跳动这时候来港股看看","listText":"是好公司就不怕遇冷 让字节跳动这时候来港股看看","text":"是好公司就不怕遇冷 让字节跳动这时候来港股看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/914798686","repostId":"2010789515","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2010789515","pubTimestamp":1581463000,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2010789515?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-02-12 07:16","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"疫情打乱港股IPO复苏步伐，159公司上市申请没有进展","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2010789515","media":"丫丫港股圈","summary":"2020年春节伊始，一场突如其来的新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情打乱了香港IPO市场的复苏步伐。\n数据显示，目前一共133家公司赴港上市申请正在处理中，还有159家公司上市申请没有进展，而受到新冠病毒疫情","content":"<p>2020年春节伊始，一场突如其来的新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情打乱了香港IPO市场的复苏步伐。</p>\n<p>数据显示，目前一共133家公司赴港上市申请正在处理中，还有159家公司上市申请没有进展，而受到新冠病毒疫情影响，不少公司选择推迟上市计划。</p>\n<p>信永中和香港管理合伙人卢华基表示，“IPO市场受到疫情的影响，是因为IPO需要大量现场工作，团队需要进行很多现场访谈工作，我们预计大约至少有30%的上市申请将受到影响。”</p>\n<p>对于卢华基而言，这场疫情完全打乱了他的工作计划。他坦言，由于新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情持续，无论从股票估值、卖股票的时间窗口来说都不太理想。</p>\n<p>刚刚过去的2019年，香港IPO市场经历了不平凡的一年，冷暖交织。</p>\n<p>去年8月，整个港交所大厅都是静悄悄的，仅有1家企业挂牌上市，与此前数家公司同日敲钟上市的盛况相比，不禁让人唏嘘。</p>\n<p>然而，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>的回归迅速扭转了颓势。去年11月26日， 阿里巴巴在港交所上市大获成功，上市首日股价逆势大涨6.59%，为港股IPO市场注入了一剂强心针。受其积极影响，去年12月港交所共有26宗新股发行，今年1月亦有20宗IPO。</p>\n<p>这让卢华基在内的IPO金融业人士一度以为IPO的“春天”要回来了，他所在的审计公司收入的三分之一都来自于IPO项目。</p>\n<p>但在疫情的影响下，IPO市场却急速降温。数据显示，2月初仅3家公司招股，分别是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02263\">富石金融</a>（2263.HK）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06813\">大喜屋集团</a>（8428.HK）、奥达控股（9929.HK），且这三家公司都为细价股，拟集资总额合计4.7亿港元。</p>\n<p>耀才证券执行董事兼行政总裁许绎彬表示，由于吸取了2003年SARS的教训，所以投资者对疫情有一定阴影，从而影响投资者认购IPO的意欲，导致原本有意欲在港上市的公司，亦相继押后其上市计划，所以目前港股IPO业务显著冷清。</p>\n<p>华泰国际董事、 保荐人刘涛江向记者表示，“零售或餐饮类赴港上市公司会受到较大影响，我们工作也多多少少受到一些影响，港府最新政策，内地人员过香港将接受14天强制检疫，从2月8日凌晨生效，而我们有一些客户都是内地，我们需要出差去内地做尽调，但目前只能延后。有些公司上市申请如果未能在规定时间内（半年期限）完成招股，公司则需要追加一两个季度审计表，从而延长时间表，而且成本也会有所增加。”</p>\n<p>港府2月3日公布的最新数据显示，香港2019全年GDP收缩1.2%，为近十年来首次出现负增长。安联高级经济学家FRANÇOISE HUANG表示：“虽然2019年第四季度表现稍微比我们的预期要好（从第三季度倒退0.4%），但我们预计在贸易纠纷、社会冲突及疫情等三重打击下，香港2020第一季度的经济衰退将进一步深化，第一季度GDP将由增长0.6%变为收缩1.4%。</p>\n<p><span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03908\">中金公司</a></span>首席策略分析师王汉锋认为，本地疫情对市场的影响可能经历三个阶段，港股可能处于第二阶段后半段。目前港股恒生国企指数、<span>恒生指数</span>从局部高点回调已经分别达到11.1%、9.8%，在基准情形下可能处于调整后半段或接近短期调整尾声。目前A股和港股估值具备吸引力，特别是港股。“在基本情形下，我们认为疫情的影响可能是短期的，并对中期市场维持积极看法，结构上，消费升级和产业升级仍是看好的大趋势。”</p>\n<p>同时，前海开源基金管理公司执行总经理杨德龙表示，从估值水平来看，港股在全球主要市场中已处于洼地，“疫情可能短期造成港股的波动，但待疫情稳定后，港股的反弹力度有望加大，股价的下跌实际上给投资者提供了买入优质股票的机会。”</p>","source":"highlight_sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>疫情打乱港股IPO复苏步伐，159公司上市申请没有进展</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n疫情打乱港股IPO复苏步伐，159公司上市申请没有进展\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-02-12 07:16 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggipo/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0616111.shtml><strong>丫丫港股圈</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2020年春节伊始，一场突如其来的新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情打乱了香港IPO市场的复苏步伐。\n数据显示，目前一共133家公司赴港上市申请正在处理中，还有159家公司上市申请没有进展，而受到新冠病毒疫情影响，不少公司选择推迟上市计划。\n信永中和香港管理合伙人卢华基表示，“IPO市场受到疫情的影响，是因为IPO需要大量现场工作，团队需要进行很多现场访谈工作，我们预计大约至少有30%的上市申请将受到影响...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggipo/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0616111.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0486fb6d3cb13bbfbc8ff3a5db6c839a","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggipo/2020-02-12/doc-iimxxstf0616111.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2010789515","content_text":"2020年春节伊始，一场突如其来的新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情打乱了香港IPO市场的复苏步伐。\n数据显示，目前一共133家公司赴港上市申请正在处理中，还有159家公司上市申请没有进展，而受到新冠病毒疫情影响，不少公司选择推迟上市计划。\n信永中和香港管理合伙人卢华基表示，“IPO市场受到疫情的影响，是因为IPO需要大量现场工作，团队需要进行很多现场访谈工作，我们预计大约至少有30%的上市申请将受到影响。”\n对于卢华基而言，这场疫情完全打乱了他的工作计划。他坦言，由于新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情持续，无论从股票估值、卖股票的时间窗口来说都不太理想。\n刚刚过去的2019年，香港IPO市场经历了不平凡的一年，冷暖交织。\n去年8月，整个港交所大厅都是静悄悄的，仅有1家企业挂牌上市，与此前数家公司同日敲钟上市的盛况相比，不禁让人唏嘘。\n然而，阿里巴巴的回归迅速扭转了颓势。去年11月26日， 阿里巴巴在港交所上市大获成功，上市首日股价逆势大涨6.59%，为港股IPO市场注入了一剂强心针。受其积极影响，去年12月港交所共有26宗新股发行，今年1月亦有20宗IPO。\n这让卢华基在内的IPO金融业人士一度以为IPO的“春天”要回来了，他所在的审计公司收入的三分之一都来自于IPO项目。\n但在疫情的影响下，IPO市场却急速降温。数据显示，2月初仅3家公司招股，分别是富石金融（2263.HK）、大喜屋集团（8428.HK）、奥达控股（9929.HK），且这三家公司都为细价股，拟集资总额合计4.7亿港元。\n耀才证券执行董事兼行政总裁许绎彬表示，由于吸取了2003年SARS的教训，所以投资者对疫情有一定阴影，从而影响投资者认购IPO的意欲，导致原本有意欲在港上市的公司，亦相继押后其上市计划，所以目前港股IPO业务显著冷清。\n华泰国际董事、 保荐人刘涛江向记者表示，“零售或餐饮类赴港上市公司会受到较大影响，我们工作也多多少少受到一些影响，港府最新政策，内地人员过香港将接受14天强制检疫，从2月8日凌晨生效，而我们有一些客户都是内地，我们需要出差去内地做尽调，但目前只能延后。有些公司上市申请如果未能在规定时间内（半年期限）完成招股，公司则需要追加一两个季度审计表，从而延长时间表，而且成本也会有所增加。”\n港府2月3日公布的最新数据显示，香港2019全年GDP收缩1.2%，为近十年来首次出现负增长。安联高级经济学家FRANÇOISE HUANG表示：“虽然2019年第四季度表现稍微比我们的预期要好（从第三季度倒退0.4%），但我们预计在贸易纠纷、社会冲突及疫情等三重打击下，香港2020第一季度的经济衰退将进一步深化，第一季度GDP将由增长0.6%变为收缩1.4%。\n中金公司首席策略分析师王汉锋认为，本地疫情对市场的影响可能经历三个阶段，港股可能处于第二阶段后半段。目前港股恒生国企指数、恒生指数从局部高点回调已经分别达到11.1%、9.8%，在基准情形下可能处于调整后半段或接近短期调整尾声。目前A股和港股估值具备吸引力，特别是港股。“在基本情形下，我们认为疫情的影响可能是短期的，并对中期市场维持积极看法，结构上，消费升级和产业升级仍是看好的大趋势。”\n同时，前海开源基金管理公司执行总经理杨德龙表示，从估值水平来看，港股在全球主要市场中已处于洼地，“疫情可能短期造成港股的波动，但待疫情稳定后，港股的反弹力度有望加大，股价的下跌实际上给投资者提供了买入优质股票的机会。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}