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大鹏66
2020-12-04
2020年,经历很多收获也很多。年初3-4月经历了账户大幅回撤,接近腰斩,主要原因是看到指数下跌,用2-3倍etf和期权做空,结果翻车了,后面专心优质股趋势投资,账户也大幅上扬,不仅填坑,还大幅新高。整体来讲,达到每年翻倍的预期。ps:19年也翻倍了,主要是打新加仓老虎翻倍。20年的业绩基础比19年更扎实,19年有一定运气,20年完全凭借持股和趋势慢慢熬上来,心态更加淡然,涨跌随意,按计划执行即可。20年最大体会:1.不懂不做,特别是期权和高杠杆etf是时间的敌人,看对不一定赚钱。2.专注优质龙头股即可,我的自选股基本都是中美最出色的科技公司,国内关注多一点。3.美股市场趋势性强,上不言顶。看到趋势半路上车也能收获不小,仓位控制即可。4.最大遗憾:蔚来在最低1块左右时,犹豫过,担心退市,最终没进。后面上涨时被振出来,还好特斯拉拿住了。21年预期:经历了20年爆涨,21年收益预期降低,保住成果最重要,暂时预期21年收益30-50%。万一趋势不再,可能会离场休息半年。大家交易顺利,一路向上!
大鹏66
2021-01-05
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
翻倍目标完成一半。。
大鹏66
2021-01-28
美国散户大战的几点思考
最近美国的散户和机构大战很是热闹,几大做空机构纷纷大亏认输。。GME和AMC两大热门股,也分别在短短十几天内,涨幅达到惊人的20倍和10倍。一场创历史的散户和机构博弈,关键是散户还胜利了。一场乱局里,少部分低位潜伏者获利巨大,多数追涨者赚个热闹,逆市做空者损失惨重。作为吃瓜看客,有那几点值得我们借鉴,今后可以少踩坑。一、不要与趋势做对。本轮机构最大的错误就是与趋势做对,机构的看法是预测某只股票要腰斩,做空。散户的论点是GME和AMC已经跌幅巨大,超跌,后面有补涨需求。 从概率上来讲,散户的赢面大,任何东西跌多了,就有价值,长高了,就有风险。经过2020年一年疫情的打击,很多股票已经跌了一年,后面再跌,空间也有限。所有这次我是站散户这边的。当很多人观点一致时,趋势就形成了。 二、只做多,不做空。巴菲特等多个投资大师早就告诫:尽量做多,不要做空。因为做多的上限无限,做空最多只能赚一倍,性价比明显做多的高。即使再看空一只股票,多头平仓即可。不要贪婪做空的利润,迟早有一天被教训。去年做空特斯拉的机构损失超过400亿美元,引以为戒。 三、做错时,第一时间止损。即使没有忍住手做空了,当局势不利于自己时,第一时间离场。不要幻想甚至加仓。投资保命第一,只要活着机会很多。。投资市场从来不缺机会。 四、股票期权只做买方,不做卖方。这次散户和机构大战的主战场是期权, 散户通过大量买将到期虚值期权,高杠杠做多GME,倒逼机构被动买入现货对冲,反而近一步刺激股票大涨,形成典型的逼仓行情。再次奉劝各位,股票期权卖方风险无限,收益有限。买方损失有限,要做只做买方,卖方是机构的事。从此可看出,衍生品是零和游戏,没有一定经验前,奉劝各位远离各种衍生品交易,那是高手干的事,而且期权交易买方天然是时间的敌人,拉长周期99%的人是亏钱的。 做投资要做时间的朋友,远离零和博弈
美国散户大战的几点思考
大鹏66
2021-01-22
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
跨过第二道坎,下个目标25-30
大鹏66
2020-12-08
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
在大涨前离场,后面只能追高。。能冲到80不。。
大鹏66
2020-12-30
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
这次能翻倍不。。ps:总收益持续新高。。比以前有进步了,以前一新高必定要大幅回撤,这两个月持续新高习惯了。。
大鹏66
2021-01-27
$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$
做啥amc,gme.AI不香吗?
大鹏66
2021-02-06
$声网(API)$
炫耀一下,追高进场的。。美股给力,涨起来就是爽快。。老虎,声网和迪拜股都吃到大肉。。可怜A股,同样策略还是亏的。。只能和机构为伍了。。
大鹏66
2020-12-30
$百度(BIDU)$
小度要奋起直追,不当老大很多年。。。
大鹏66
2020-12-08
$Snowflake(SNOW)$
能到500不?再刺激点到600。梦想要有,万一实现了呢。。
大鹏66
2020-01-02
2020继续保持
大鹏66
2021-01-01
2020完美收官,以创历史新高迎接2021.今年最大的收获:选股准确率大幅提升,持股时间变长,感受到持股的威力,心态更放松了。最大遗憾:低点的蔚来犹豫了,后面有机会进没有及时更换持仓。 教训:以后有好机会,多少都要进一点。。未来期望:2021不求暴利,稳健第一,出现危险,第一时间离场。休息半年都可以。 继续修炼持仓功力,争取能持有半年到一年。
大鹏66
2021-06-12
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
期待老虎带来第四次翻倍。。
大鹏66
2021-01-26
$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$
又吃到一块大肉。。
大鹏66
2020-12-08
$京东健康(06618)$
中的50股,少了点。。
大鹏66
2020-12-08
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
继续飘。。。
大鹏66
2021-06-12
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
这次能翻倍不。。
大鹏66
2020-12-04
2020/12/04 交易笔记 by 大鹏66
2020/12/04 成本 现价 浮动收益 Snowflake(SNOW) 275.76 339.60 23.15% 好股要守的住,财报利空,该跌不跌,可以看久一点。
2020/12/04 交易笔记 by 大鹏66
大鹏66
2021-02-16
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
真福票,在老虎上第三次翻倍了。。
大鹏66
2021-02-16
今年任务已经完成一半,今天迎财神,立下新的flag。争取未来3年10倍,2023年底见分晓,每年最低100%收益才能达标。。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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