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散户死于盯盘
2023-09-07
讲的太好啦,学习啦。//
@期权小班长
:听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
//
@期权小班长
:
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。
@期权小班长:听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
//
@期权小班长
:
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。等到期之后再换下一个日期,根据当时的价格动态调整行权价。如果真的暴涨被行权,那持有的股票就会被行权卖出。不过,我看了一下老虎期权这个可怜的成交
散户死于盯盘
2023-07-03
$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$
为什么这个票比 didiy 活跃
散户死于盯盘
2023-05-31
$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$
交学费咯
散户死于盯盘
2022-12-07
$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$
有资金在抄预期了?
散户死于盯盘
2022-10-10
$恒生科技指数主连 2210(HTImain)$
裂开的一天
散户死于盯盘
2022-10-05
$小米集团-W(01810)$
100
散户死于盯盘
2022-09-26
$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$
Tired
散户死于盯盘
2022-09-23
$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$
压力好大,粉单跟着大盘走
散户死于盯盘
2022-09-13
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
散户死于盯盘
2022-09-02
[呆住]
股价逆风承压,小米握有触底反弹的王牌吗?
散户死于盯盘
2022-08-26
噗
监管部门对满帮、货拉拉、滴滴、快狗打车进行提醒式约谈
散户死于盯盘
2022-08-24
$富途控股(FUTU)$
Tired
散户死于盯盘
2022-08-10
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
跟基本面已经没关系了,中概都一个鸟样
散户死于盯盘
2022-07-29
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
挂3.5
散户死于盯盘
2022-07-27
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
在跌一跌,破3 all in
散户死于盯盘
2022-07-25
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
感觉还得在跌一跌,山顶站岗一年了
散户死于盯盘
2022-07-21
$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$
今天就这样了[笑哭]
散户死于盯盘
2022-07-20
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
感觉凉了呀
散户死于盯盘
2022-07-19
$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$
熟悉的配方,大家谨慎
散户死于盯盘
2022-07-15
这是小菜啊,满汉全席呢
滴滴支付被央行营管部罚款427万
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>:听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。","listText":"讲的太好啦,学习啦。//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>:听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。","text":"讲的太好啦,学习啦。//@期权小班长:听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 $老虎证券(TIGR)$ //@期权小班长: $老虎证券(TIGR)$ 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a3017e7c41e75b08e4afb5e72d6d39","width":"704","height":"1396"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/217384864305392","repostId":"217373452185688","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":217373452185688,"gmtCreate":1694092763947,"gmtModify":1694092888357,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。等到期之后再换下一个日期,根据当时的价格动态调整行权价。如果真的暴涨被行权,那持有的股票就会被行权卖出。不过,我看了一下老虎期权这个可怜的成交","listText":"听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。等到期之后再换下一个日期,根据当时的价格动态调整行权价。如果真的暴涨被行权,那持有的股票就会被行权卖出。不过,我看了一下老虎期权这个可怜的成交","text":"听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 $老虎证券(TIGR)$ //@期权小班长: $老虎证券(TIGR)$ 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。等到期之后再换下一个日期,根据当时的价格动态调整行权价。如果真的暴涨被行权,那持有的股票就会被行权卖出。不过,我看了一下老虎期权这个可怜的成交","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a3017e7c41e75b08e4afb5e72d6d39","width":"704","height":"1396"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/217373452185688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"65140849825808","authorId":"65140849825808","name":"感觉错过好几个亿","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c317b5ab739b05d1ed60eeee40312915","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"65140849825808","authorIdStr":"65140849825808"},"content":"说单低买还是观望啊?现在可以入吗","text":"说单低买还是观望啊?现在可以入吗","html":"说单低买还是观望啊?现在可以入吗"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193959977328872,"gmtCreate":1688392390689,"gmtModify":1688392394160,"author":{"id":"3492990299854685","authorId":"3492990299854685","name":"散户死于盯盘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80ba5368a47db53a05c508769d2d2e11","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492990299854685","authorIdStr":"3492990299854685"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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交学费咯","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c44e69fbf1f272047548c7e99fb98ab","width":"2796","height":"1290"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182364105732136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"203105757513414","authorId":"203105757513414","name":"昵称567","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87061f98cee6875ec1599d4c24bee99f","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"203105757513414","authorIdStr":"203105757513414"},"content":"卖是因为不知道他跌多深,心里没底;买是因为怕他继续涨,没坐上车。","text":"卖是因为不知道他跌多深,心里没底;买是因为怕他继续涨,没坐上车。","html":"卖是因为不知道他跌多深,心里没底;买是因为怕他继续涨,没坐上车。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":629120417,"gmtCreate":1670343917039,"gmtModify":1670343917987,"author":{"id":"3492990299854685","authorId":"3492990299854685","name":"散户死于盯盘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80ba5368a47db53a05c508769d2d2e11","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492990299854685","authorIdStr":"3492990299854685"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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","text":"[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/669323534","repostId":"2263811473","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2263811473","pubTimestamp":1661926983,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2263811473?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-31 14:23","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"股价逆风承压,小米握有触底反弹的王牌吗?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263811473","media":"钛媒体","summary":"小米产品可能会增加其全球市场份额。尽管与这些声明相关的因素和风险很多,但我相信,这些性能、改进和创新将有助于小米在科技市场的发展。这可能意味着小米的产品已低于账面价值,但仍被视为可销售产品。小米的库存减值为13亿日元,增长至24亿日元,即库存减值增长88%。2022年8月,小米宣布将采用自主研发的自主驾驶技术,并计划在第一阶段投资33亿日元。小米的显著成就小米在22年第二季度取得了许多成就。","content":"<html><body><article><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20220831142415932v201lq67sym5bmx\"/><p>图片来源@<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000681\">视觉中国</a></p><p>文|财经君</p><p>目前,小米面临着短期的逆风,这与业内公司面临的情况类似,自然也导致该公司收入同比下降。但我认为,由于高通胀率、消费者支出疲软、高<span>利率</span>等原因,这些只是小米公司面临的短期阻力。我认为现在这个时间点是投资小米的合适时机,原因如下:</p><p>通过产品的优化,提升品牌形象。</p><p>重要的物联网服务和海外增长。</p><p>通过自主驾驶技术向<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>电动汽车市场扩张。</p><p>小米产品可能会增加其全球市场份额。</p><p>有望提高其盈利能力和利润率。</p><p>尽管与这些声明相关的因素和风险很多,但我相信,这些性能、改进和创新将有助于小米在科技市场的发展。假设市场状况在未来几个月(如果不是几年)将有所缓解,以及考虑到小米的股价价格已接近去年的最低点,我认为现在是购买小米股票的合适时机。<strong>小米面临不少复杂问题</strong></p><p>与世界上大多数公司类似,小米公司现在面临一些复杂问题。宏观经济逆风等复杂因素导致全球<span>通货膨胀</span>和外汇波动,这些不利因素将显著影响小米的销售和增长率,特别是在过去几个季度他们一直在进行的物联网海外市场扩张(我将在下一节中详细讨论)。以下是小米在物联网和海外市场面临的一些挑战:<strong>小米物联网海外市场面临的挑战</strong></p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20220831142421675v201gxvxmlbblbi\"/><p>根据Drewry的数据,2019-2020年,世界集装箱指数每40英尺集装箱的成本约为2000美元(大流行前成本)。然而,目前的运输成本约为每40英尺6000-9000美元,这意味着运费增加了200-350%。根据小米第二季度的业绩,它也提及到这个成本对该公司的影响:</p><p>“因海外市场的物联网和生活方式产品收入受到全球通货膨胀和其他宏观经济因素的影响,因为对滑板车和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>吸尘器等非必需物品的需求逐年下降。”——来自于小米第二季度业绩</p><p>高物流成本可能是由新冠肺炎引起的通货膨胀和世界各地影响原油价格的地缘政治问题造成的,预计在未来几个月内会增加。除了高昂的物流成本外,Airstar Digital Technology副总裁、首席财务官兼首席执行官Alain Lam也表示,macro影响了海外市场:</p><p>“我们讨论的一些宏观因素,包括高通胀、高利率等,确实影响了我们海外市场许多用户的消费。因此,他们削减了一些可自由支配的电子支出,如机器人清洁器、滑板车等。”——来自于小米22年第二季度电话财报会议</p><p>高物流成本和宏观因素(影响消费者支出)影响了小米的海外市场扩张,这可以从公司收入的下降中看出:</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20220831142422896v201sepg137hyl8\"/><p>在该公司第二季度的业绩中,与去年相比,其海外市场的年环比业绩下降了22%,上半年业绩下降了12%。</p><p>然而,尽管小米面临这些不利因素,但我仍然认为,一旦宏观形势好转,机器人清洁器和滑板车等物联网生活方式产品的销量下降不会影响公司的长期业绩,因为它占公司收入的约48-49%。<strong>推高端化手机是否会影响小米的利润率?</strong></p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20220831142423875v201hbz113naom2\"/><p>在第二季度的电话财报会议上,小米提到,他们正在加大对其预盈利战略的投资,推出了高端化的手机,如小米MIX Fold 2、Redmi K50 Ultra、小米12S系列与小米耳机4 Pro和小米手表S1 Pro。<strong>小米毛利率</strong></p><p>我认为小米的预盈利策略是好的。由于近期的不利因素(我将在下文中提及),预计最大化的影响不会立即显现。不过,我相信,一旦全球经济稳定,消费者需求增加,物流成本降低,利润率就会提高。</p><p>然而,该公司的毛利率环比下降了3.21%(22年第一季度为17.33%,22年第二季度为16.77%),年环比下降2.81%(21年第一季度17.26%,22年二季度16.77%)。</p><p>由于中国第二大也是最重要的购物节618购物节以及美元走强,小米的毛利率有所下降。我认为,由于双11购物节、黑色星期五、圣诞节等事件,公司的毛利率将在下半年继续下降。<strong>与上半年相比,库存减值增加</strong></p><p>我想看的一件事是公司存货减值的增加。这可能意味着小米的产品已低于账面价值,但仍被视为可销售产品。小米的库存减值为13亿日元,增长至24亿日元,即库存减值增长88%。</p><p>小米已经从618电商购物节中清理了部分库存。然而,我认为该公司无法在2022年下半年将其全部撤除。小米管理层表示,这是由于海外消费减少和美元走强所致,但该公司表示这不是问题,可以采取充分措施予以解决。</p><p>小米将不得不在市场营销和广告活动上投入更多资金,以清理库存或将这些商品出售。<strong>增强竞争力——小米研发投资</strong></p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20220831142424845v2016recq7orqae\"/><p>除了智能手机和物联网生活方式产品,小米还希望在智能电视市场和人工智能机器人市场扩张。根据Preference Research,2021智能电动汽车驱动的价值约为12亿美元,预计2030年将达到约159.2亿美元,复合年增长率为33.28%。</p><p>2022年8月,小米宣布将采用自主研发的自主驾驶技术,并计划在第一阶段投资33亿日元。拥有500名世界级专业人员、140辆测试车辆和管理层的团队,目标是到2024年成为智能电动汽车行业的领导者。</p><p>到2024年底成为行业领导者,对小米这家公司来说是雄心勃勃的。尽管我看好小米在智能电动车市场扩张的想法,但我认为他们不一定能很快实现这一壮举。没有管理层的进一步更新和公告,我对这一变化持谨慎态度。</p><p>然而,如果他们真的想进入智能电动汽车市场,该公司将需要在研发方面投入更多资金,并在高成本设备上投入更多资金。在海外销售这些汽车(亚洲新兴国家的充电站不足)可能具有挑战性,尤其是在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA)主导美国智能电动汽车领域的情况下,这会阻碍或至少减缓小米在这些市场的扩张进程。</p><p>那小米能否维持这些投资&设备成本和维护?我想它还是有足够的现金支付。</p><p>该公司本季度支出38亿日元,同比增长23%,管理层表示,未来五年将支出1000亿日元。乐观点看,我相信他们的最大化战略将在2023年生效。</p><p>如果不是,可能从2024年开始,随着物联网服务的同比增长,小米将有充足的现金支持其研发投资。一个更好的全球经济也将提振其现金流,因为它将减少在物流上的支出,并将这些现金分配回投资。</p><p>近期,小米还发布了CyberOne,这是他们的仿人机器人,能够通过机械关节电机和全身算法实现两足运动平衡。它可以检测人类情绪,并使用该公司自主开发的音频和视觉算法重建真实世界的3D虚拟环境。</p><p>听起来这个产品的设计还是不错,但管理层也提到,对于这些人形机器人来说,成本太高了,因为它们还处于非常早期的阶段。</p><p>我也认为,在他们对如何降低成本做了充分研究之前,这种仿人机器人的成本仍将很高。根据MarketsAndMarkets的数据,拟人机器人市场在2022年的价值将达到15亿美元,这对于医疗保健部门来说是一个极好的机会,尤其是在医院,他们可以帮助提供食品和药品。</p><p>总的来说,考虑到小米正在制作一款具有自主开发功能的手机,我认为CyberOne的成本很高。</p><p>投资者应该考虑到这一点,如果小米在人形机器人市场能够取得成功,它可以为小米的收入组合增加更多,这意味着将有更多的现金,而更多的资金再投资于公司,再加上智能手机的增值,以及智能电动汽车的投资努力将会带来回报。<strong>小米的显著成就</strong></p><p>小米在22年第二季度取得了许多成就。2022年8月,该公司连续第四年入选《财富》500强,排名第266位,比前几年上升了72位。这份榜单的排名还是证明了小米在全球范围内得到了越来越多的认可。2022年7月,该公司入选福布斯中国2022年度最佳雇主。</p><p>同时,他们还成立了北京市自然科学基金会,这是小米的联合创新基金,以支持人工智能、数字信息和智能制造的基础研究。以下是小米的其他成就,投资者应该知道:</p><p>1、连接设备中每月活跃用户数量的增加</p><p>2022年6月,小米的全球MIUI(小米的移动操作系统)MAU(每月活跃用户)达到5.47亿,该公司在中国大陆的MIUI MAU连续七个季度增长,达到1.4亿。</p><p>2、不受全球智能手机行业出货量的影响</p><p>在小米22年第二季度的业绩中,该公司仍实现了季度增长,并成功地连续两个季度将其全球市场份额从21年第四季度的12.5%提高到22年第三季度的13.8%,而全球智能手机行业的出货量同比下降了9%。尽管如此,更多的出货量并不一定意味着更多的收入,因为智能手机市场的收入仍下降了40%。<strong>为何投资者应该关心小米?</strong></p><p>从估值方面开始,小米仍然保持着其在全球智能手机市场份额中的地位,占据了智能手机市场约13%的份额,而其年环比市场份额为16%。</p><p>由于智能手机收入下降28.5%,物联网和生活方式产品收入下降4.5%,互联网服务收入下降1%,小米的收入同比分别下降20%和4.34%,导致整体年环比下降20%(虽然我确实提到该公司季度环比下降,但我认为比较细分收入没有意义,因为今年第一季度不包括在小米收入组合中扮演重要角色的618购物节)。</p><p>小米的毛利润也同比下降了22%,原因是该公司努力清理库存减值(我们之前已经讨论过,小米还有很多库存需要清理),以及该公司加强了对618购物节的宣传,导致智能手机业务的毛利润同比下降8.7%,叠加美元升值带来的影响。</p><p>投资者需要密切关注这一点,因为2022年下半年的假日销售可能会进一步影响其毛利润增长,因为产品的大幅折扣。</p><p>从<span>资产负债表</span>来看,小米拥有282亿日元的现金和<span>现金等价物</span>(与前一年的320亿日元现金和现金等值物相比下降了12%),1800亿日元的<span>流动资产</span>和1070亿日元的<span>负债</span>,这使得我们的<span>流动比率</span>为1.70,这仍然是健康的。</p><p>然而,如果小米想清理库存,它将在营销上花费大量现金,并分配更多的广告预算。该公司保持着过去八个季度平均17%的毛利率,这意味着尽管有宏观因素、以及我前面提到的挑战,小米仍然保持着不错的盈利能力。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20220831142425736v20195zopcn48vi\"/><p>我通过Gordon增长法建立了一个5年DCF模型。因此,我的假设可以在下面找到,假设经济将在两年后稳定,复合年增长率为9%。我还假设该公司的息税折旧摊销前利润率会更好。</p><p>我使用了过去五年的息税折旧摊销前利润率。我对图中所示的基本情况的估计是我预计该股票五年内的价格,尽管我包括了熊市和牛市的情况(以及相关的股价和上涨),但唯一的区别是我用于熊市和牛市的永久增长率和贴现率比基本情况低/高0.5%。</p><p>然而,以下是熊市和牛市的备选方案:</p><p>替代熊市:在我的收入预测中,我预测2022年收入增长15%,2023年增长10%,接下来几年增长7.5%。一家公司一旦达到4500亿日元或660亿美元,就很难实现增长。如果我们预测该公司仍占据全球智能手机市场13-16%的市场份额,我认为收入增长将放缓。</p><p>我还认为,收入将不是由数量驱动,而是由价格驱动。小米正在推动利润最大化,价格自然会更高,如果公司仍在研发上拨款,使成本更便宜,那么COGS的成本就会更低。我还认为,随着小米推出大量物联网产品,物联网生活方式产品将在这个时候更加流行。</p><p>在熊市的情况下,我还假设该公司将保持至少5%,然后到2024年增加到6%,资本支出至少为2%,固定d&a为1%,五年预测的<span>净资产收益率</span>为-0.2%。</p><p>因此,在所有的假设下,我们有一个5年平均9%的<span>自由现金流</span>或3%的复合年增长率(2022年将有较少的现金,负22%,这是因为该公司正在投资多少钱,需要清理的库存量,美国升值,以及随之而来的相关地缘政治风险)。</p><p>为了得到离散现金流的P.V.,我们对FCF进行了贴现。运行这些数字后,我们得到了540亿日元的离散现金流的现值和1180亿日元的终值的现值。我们的E.V.为1720亿日元(永久增长率为0.5%)。</p><p>之后,我们再加上现金、投资、减去债务和负债,再加上510万股已发行股票,我们的隐含股价为58.4日元或8.51美元,仍有20%的上涨空间。</p><p>另一种牛市:对于牛市,我将使用类似的假设,除此之外,收入在2022年和2023年将增长15%,并在未来几年保持稳定的10%(我认为很难保持收入增长,但让我们假设小米在智能电动车领域成为行业领导者之一,特别是如果他们瞄准中产阶级,并在2024年拥有充足的电动车充电器,那么是有这种可能性)。</p><p>10%的部分收入还来自物联网服务和生活方式产品的增长。如果这些产品在海外市场上疯狂销售,那么假设当时的市场条件稳定,那么在5年内就可以实现10%的收入增长。</p><p>在牛市情况下,我还假设该公司从2024年起将保持6%至7%的息税折旧摊销前利润率。贴现率为9.5%(假设全球经济稳定,需求增加,物流成本恢复到大流行前每40英尺1750-2000美元的平均水平)。</p><p>然后,我们看到离散现金流的现值为760亿日元,终端价值的现值为2170亿日元,净现值为2930亿日元(永久增长率为1.5%)。</p><p>之后,我们再加上现金、投资、减去债务和负债,再加上510万股流通股,我们得到的隐含股价为82日元或12美元,与上图不远。</p><p>以及我对公司及其优势的透彻分析。我想将我的估值参考基本案例,并将该股票评级为买入,因为它目前的交易价格低于11美元的公允价值。在50%的安全边际下,如果您希望投资风险最小,我们将考虑5.51美元的理想价格。</p><p>无论如何,即使有30%的安全边际,该股的价格仍为7.72美元,比目前的价格低得多。我对熊市和牛市做出的替代假设存在风险,因此请自行承担风险进行交易。<strong>总结</strong></p><p>我认为小米正在采取措施,在一些市场上成为行业领导者,同时试图通过预盈利来改善其品牌形象。他们正在推动物联网服务和海外业务的显著增长,这可以为公司的地域收入组合增加更多。他们还在自己开发的技术、智能电动汽车市场和人形机器人市场上采取措施。</p><p>我认为,该股是盈利的,阻力是暂时的。我的估值表明,这只股票是买入的,有很好的上涨空间。总体而言,我通过对公司的基本面分析将该股票评级为买入。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>股价逆风承压,小米握有触底反弹的王牌吗?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n股价逆风承压,小米握有触底反弹的王牌吗?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-31 14:23 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20220831142428821f2e8b&s=b><strong>钛媒体</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>图片来源@视觉中国文|财经君目前,小米面临着短期的逆风,这与业内公司面临的情况类似,自然也导致该公司收入同比下降。但我认为,由于高通胀率、消费者支出疲软、高利率等原因,这些只是小米公司面临的短期阻力。我认为现在这个时间点是投资小米的合适时机,原因如下:通过产品的优化,提升品牌形象。重要的物联网服务和海外增长。通过自主驾驶技术向智能电动汽车市场扩张。小米产品可能会增加其全球市场份额。有望提高其盈利...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20220831142428821f2e8b&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","BK1607":"新IT概念","BK1193":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","01810":"小米集团-W","BK1523":"武汉本地概念股","BK1502":"双十一","BK1575":"同股不同权","BK1506":"5G概念","BK1589":"北水核心资产"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20220831142428821f2e8b&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2263811473","content_text":"图片来源@视觉中国文|财经君目前,小米面临着短期的逆风,这与业内公司面临的情况类似,自然也导致该公司收入同比下降。但我认为,由于高通胀率、消费者支出疲软、高利率等原因,这些只是小米公司面临的短期阻力。我认为现在这个时间点是投资小米的合适时机,原因如下:通过产品的优化,提升品牌形象。重要的物联网服务和海外增长。通过自主驾驶技术向智能电动汽车市场扩张。小米产品可能会增加其全球市场份额。有望提高其盈利能力和利润率。尽管与这些声明相关的因素和风险很多,但我相信,这些性能、改进和创新将有助于小米在科技市场的发展。假设市场状况在未来几个月(如果不是几年)将有所缓解,以及考虑到小米的股价价格已接近去年的最低点,我认为现在是购买小米股票的合适时机。小米面临不少复杂问题与世界上大多数公司类似,小米公司现在面临一些复杂问题。宏观经济逆风等复杂因素导致全球通货膨胀和外汇波动,这些不利因素将显著影响小米的销售和增长率,特别是在过去几个季度他们一直在进行的物联网海外市场扩张(我将在下一节中详细讨论)。以下是小米在物联网和海外市场面临的一些挑战:小米物联网海外市场面临的挑战根据Drewry的数据,2019-2020年,世界集装箱指数每40英尺集装箱的成本约为2000美元(大流行前成本)。然而,目前的运输成本约为每40英尺6000-9000美元,这意味着运费增加了200-350%。根据小米第二季度的业绩,它也提及到这个成本对该公司的影响:“因海外市场的物联网和生活方式产品收入受到全球通货膨胀和其他宏观经济因素的影响,因为对滑板车和机器人吸尘器等非必需物品的需求逐年下降。”——来自于小米第二季度业绩高物流成本可能是由新冠肺炎引起的通货膨胀和世界各地影响原油价格的地缘政治问题造成的,预计在未来几个月内会增加。除了高昂的物流成本外,Airstar Digital Technology副总裁、首席财务官兼首席执行官Alain Lam也表示,macro影响了海外市场:“我们讨论的一些宏观因素,包括高通胀、高利率等,确实影响了我们海外市场许多用户的消费。因此,他们削减了一些可自由支配的电子支出,如机器人清洁器、滑板车等。”——来自于小米22年第二季度电话财报会议高物流成本和宏观因素(影响消费者支出)影响了小米的海外市场扩张,这可以从公司收入的下降中看出:在该公司第二季度的业绩中,与去年相比,其海外市场的年环比业绩下降了22%,上半年业绩下降了12%。然而,尽管小米面临这些不利因素,但我仍然认为,一旦宏观形势好转,机器人清洁器和滑板车等物联网生活方式产品的销量下降不会影响公司的长期业绩,因为它占公司收入的约48-49%。推高端化手机是否会影响小米的利润率?在第二季度的电话财报会议上,小米提到,他们正在加大对其预盈利战略的投资,推出了高端化的手机,如小米MIX Fold 2、Redmi K50 Ultra、小米12S系列与小米耳机4 Pro和小米手表S1 Pro。小米毛利率我认为小米的预盈利策略是好的。由于近期的不利因素(我将在下文中提及),预计最大化的影响不会立即显现。不过,我相信,一旦全球经济稳定,消费者需求增加,物流成本降低,利润率就会提高。然而,该公司的毛利率环比下降了3.21%(22年第一季度为17.33%,22年第二季度为16.77%),年环比下降2.81%(21年第一季度17.26%,22年二季度16.77%)。由于中国第二大也是最重要的购物节618购物节以及美元走强,小米的毛利率有所下降。我认为,由于双11购物节、黑色星期五、圣诞节等事件,公司的毛利率将在下半年继续下降。与上半年相比,库存减值增加我想看的一件事是公司存货减值的增加。这可能意味着小米的产品已低于账面价值,但仍被视为可销售产品。小米的库存减值为13亿日元,增长至24亿日元,即库存减值增长88%。小米已经从618电商购物节中清理了部分库存。然而,我认为该公司无法在2022年下半年将其全部撤除。小米管理层表示,这是由于海外消费减少和美元走强所致,但该公司表示这不是问题,可以采取充分措施予以解决。小米将不得不在市场营销和广告活动上投入更多资金,以清理库存或将这些商品出售。增强竞争力——小米研发投资除了智能手机和物联网生活方式产品,小米还希望在智能电视市场和人工智能机器人市场扩张。根据Preference Research,2021智能电动汽车驱动的价值约为12亿美元,预计2030年将达到约159.2亿美元,复合年增长率为33.28%。2022年8月,小米宣布将采用自主研发的自主驾驶技术,并计划在第一阶段投资33亿日元。拥有500名世界级专业人员、140辆测试车辆和管理层的团队,目标是到2024年成为智能电动汽车行业的领导者。到2024年底成为行业领导者,对小米这家公司来说是雄心勃勃的。尽管我看好小米在智能电动车市场扩张的想法,但我认为他们不一定能很快实现这一壮举。没有管理层的进一步更新和公告,我对这一变化持谨慎态度。然而,如果他们真的想进入智能电动汽车市场,该公司将需要在研发方面投入更多资金,并在高成本设备上投入更多资金。在海外销售这些汽车(亚洲新兴国家的充电站不足)可能具有挑战性,尤其是在特斯拉(TSLA)主导美国智能电动汽车领域的情况下,这会阻碍或至少减缓小米在这些市场的扩张进程。那小米能否维持这些投资&设备成本和维护?我想它还是有足够的现金支付。该公司本季度支出38亿日元,同比增长23%,管理层表示,未来五年将支出1000亿日元。乐观点看,我相信他们的最大化战略将在2023年生效。如果不是,可能从2024年开始,随着物联网服务的同比增长,小米将有充足的现金支持其研发投资。一个更好的全球经济也将提振其现金流,因为它将减少在物流上的支出,并将这些现金分配回投资。近期,小米还发布了CyberOne,这是他们的仿人机器人,能够通过机械关节电机和全身算法实现两足运动平衡。它可以检测人类情绪,并使用该公司自主开发的音频和视觉算法重建真实世界的3D虚拟环境。听起来这个产品的设计还是不错,但管理层也提到,对于这些人形机器人来说,成本太高了,因为它们还处于非常早期的阶段。我也认为,在他们对如何降低成本做了充分研究之前,这种仿人机器人的成本仍将很高。根据MarketsAndMarkets的数据,拟人机器人市场在2022年的价值将达到15亿美元,这对于医疗保健部门来说是一个极好的机会,尤其是在医院,他们可以帮助提供食品和药品。总的来说,考虑到小米正在制作一款具有自主开发功能的手机,我认为CyberOne的成本很高。投资者应该考虑到这一点,如果小米在人形机器人市场能够取得成功,它可以为小米的收入组合增加更多,这意味着将有更多的现金,而更多的资金再投资于公司,再加上智能手机的增值,以及智能电动汽车的投资努力将会带来回报。小米的显著成就小米在22年第二季度取得了许多成就。2022年8月,该公司连续第四年入选《财富》500强,排名第266位,比前几年上升了72位。这份榜单的排名还是证明了小米在全球范围内得到了越来越多的认可。2022年7月,该公司入选福布斯中国2022年度最佳雇主。同时,他们还成立了北京市自然科学基金会,这是小米的联合创新基金,以支持人工智能、数字信息和智能制造的基础研究。以下是小米的其他成就,投资者应该知道:1、连接设备中每月活跃用户数量的增加2022年6月,小米的全球MIUI(小米的移动操作系统)MAU(每月活跃用户)达到5.47亿,该公司在中国大陆的MIUI MAU连续七个季度增长,达到1.4亿。2、不受全球智能手机行业出货量的影响在小米22年第二季度的业绩中,该公司仍实现了季度增长,并成功地连续两个季度将其全球市场份额从21年第四季度的12.5%提高到22年第三季度的13.8%,而全球智能手机行业的出货量同比下降了9%。尽管如此,更多的出货量并不一定意味着更多的收入,因为智能手机市场的收入仍下降了40%。为何投资者应该关心小米?从估值方面开始,小米仍然保持着其在全球智能手机市场份额中的地位,占据了智能手机市场约13%的份额,而其年环比市场份额为16%。由于智能手机收入下降28.5%,物联网和生活方式产品收入下降4.5%,互联网服务收入下降1%,小米的收入同比分别下降20%和4.34%,导致整体年环比下降20%(虽然我确实提到该公司季度环比下降,但我认为比较细分收入没有意义,因为今年第一季度不包括在小米收入组合中扮演重要角色的618购物节)。小米的毛利润也同比下降了22%,原因是该公司努力清理库存减值(我们之前已经讨论过,小米还有很多库存需要清理),以及该公司加强了对618购物节的宣传,导致智能手机业务的毛利润同比下降8.7%,叠加美元升值带来的影响。投资者需要密切关注这一点,因为2022年下半年的假日销售可能会进一步影响其毛利润增长,因为产品的大幅折扣。从资产负债表来看,小米拥有282亿日元的现金和现金等价物(与前一年的320亿日元现金和现金等值物相比下降了12%),1800亿日元的流动资产和1070亿日元的负债,这使得我们的流动比率为1.70,这仍然是健康的。然而,如果小米想清理库存,它将在营销上花费大量现金,并分配更多的广告预算。该公司保持着过去八个季度平均17%的毛利率,这意味着尽管有宏观因素、以及我前面提到的挑战,小米仍然保持着不错的盈利能力。我通过Gordon增长法建立了一个5年DCF模型。因此,我的假设可以在下面找到,假设经济将在两年后稳定,复合年增长率为9%。我还假设该公司的息税折旧摊销前利润率会更好。我使用了过去五年的息税折旧摊销前利润率。我对图中所示的基本情况的估计是我预计该股票五年内的价格,尽管我包括了熊市和牛市的情况(以及相关的股价和上涨),但唯一的区别是我用于熊市和牛市的永久增长率和贴现率比基本情况低/高0.5%。然而,以下是熊市和牛市的备选方案:替代熊市:在我的收入预测中,我预测2022年收入增长15%,2023年增长10%,接下来几年增长7.5%。一家公司一旦达到4500亿日元或660亿美元,就很难实现增长。如果我们预测该公司仍占据全球智能手机市场13-16%的市场份额,我认为收入增长将放缓。我还认为,收入将不是由数量驱动,而是由价格驱动。小米正在推动利润最大化,价格自然会更高,如果公司仍在研发上拨款,使成本更便宜,那么COGS的成本就会更低。我还认为,随着小米推出大量物联网产品,物联网生活方式产品将在这个时候更加流行。在熊市的情况下,我还假设该公司将保持至少5%,然后到2024年增加到6%,资本支出至少为2%,固定d&a为1%,五年预测的净资产收益率为-0.2%。因此,在所有的假设下,我们有一个5年平均9%的自由现金流或3%的复合年增长率(2022年将有较少的现金,负22%,这是因为该公司正在投资多少钱,需要清理的库存量,美国升值,以及随之而来的相关地缘政治风险)。为了得到离散现金流的P.V.,我们对FCF进行了贴现。运行这些数字后,我们得到了540亿日元的离散现金流的现值和1180亿日元的终值的现值。我们的E.V.为1720亿日元(永久增长率为0.5%)。之后,我们再加上现金、投资、减去债务和负债,再加上510万股已发行股票,我们的隐含股价为58.4日元或8.51美元,仍有20%的上涨空间。另一种牛市:对于牛市,我将使用类似的假设,除此之外,收入在2022年和2023年将增长15%,并在未来几年保持稳定的10%(我认为很难保持收入增长,但让我们假设小米在智能电动车领域成为行业领导者之一,特别是如果他们瞄准中产阶级,并在2024年拥有充足的电动车充电器,那么是有这种可能性)。10%的部分收入还来自物联网服务和生活方式产品的增长。如果这些产品在海外市场上疯狂销售,那么假设当时的市场条件稳定,那么在5年内就可以实现10%的收入增长。在牛市情况下,我还假设该公司从2024年起将保持6%至7%的息税折旧摊销前利润率。贴现率为9.5%(假设全球经济稳定,需求增加,物流成本恢复到大流行前每40英尺1750-2000美元的平均水平)。然后,我们看到离散现金流的现值为760亿日元,终端价值的现值为2170亿日元,净现值为2930亿日元(永久增长率为1.5%)。之后,我们再加上现金、投资、减去债务和负债,再加上510万股流通股,我们得到的隐含股价为82日元或12美元,与上图不远。以及我对公司及其优势的透彻分析。我想将我的估值参考基本案例,并将该股票评级为买入,因为它目前的交易价格低于11美元的公允价值。在50%的安全边际下,如果您希望投资风险最小,我们将考虑5.51美元的理想价格。无论如何,即使有30%的安全边际,该股的价格仍为7.72美元,比目前的价格低得多。我对熊市和牛市做出的替代假设存在风险,因此请自行承担风险进行交易。总结我认为小米正在采取措施,在一些市场上成为行业领导者,同时试图通过预盈利来改善其品牌形象。他们正在推动物联网服务和海外业务的显著增长,这可以为公司的地域收入组合增加更多。他们还在自己开发的技术、智能电动汽车市场和人形机器人市场上采取措施。我认为,该股是盈利的,阻力是暂时的。我的估值表明,这只股票是买入的,有很好的上涨空间。总体而言,我通过对公司的基本面分析将该股票评级为买入。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":660808614,"gmtCreate":1661509190042,"gmtModify":1661509190042,"author":{"id":"3492990299854685","authorId":"3492990299854685","name":"散户死于盯盘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80ba5368a47db53a05c508769d2d2e11","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492990299854685","authorIdStr":"3492990299854685"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"噗","listText":"噗","text":"噗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/660808614","repostId":"1153212450","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153212450","pubTimestamp":1661508126,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153212450?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-26 18:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"监管部门对满帮、货拉拉、滴滴、快狗打车进行提醒式约谈","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153212450","media":"交通运输部","summary":"近期4家货运平台公司按照约谈要求,整改部分事项取得阶段性成效。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>8月26日,交通运输新业态协同监管部际联席会议办公室对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YMM\">满帮</a>集团、货拉拉、滴滴货运、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02246\">快狗打车</a>4家互联网道路货运平台公司进行了提醒式约谈。</p><p>约谈指出,近期4家货运平台公司按照约谈要求,整改部分事项取得阶段性成效。但通过网民留言、明察暗访、群众来电来信等渠道发现,部分平台公司依然存在多重收费、压价竞争、运营不规范等问题,损害了货车司机合法权益。</p><p>约谈要求,一是要提高政治站位,切实落实企业主体责任,深入排查整治各平台公司存在的安全稳定风险隐患,及时做好防范化解,确保行业安全稳定。二是要严格落实交通运输新业态平台企业“阳光行动”有关要求,提高经营策略的公开透明度,切实保障货车司机的知情权。三是要立行立改,确保压价竞争、多重收费、违规经营等问题及时整改到位,切实维护公平公正的市场竞争环境。四是要畅通货车司机投诉举报渠道,及时协调解决货车司机反映的问题诉求,全力维护货车司机合法权益。</p><p>各平台公司表示,将按照约谈要求,举一反三,认真履行企业主体责任,扎实做好整改工作,严格落实“阳光行动”部署要求,降低货车司机经营负担,畅通货车司机投诉举报渠道,健全问题协调处理机制,切实保障货车司机合法权益,全力推动货运新业态规范健康持续发展。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1630550825588","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>监管部门对满帮、货拉拉、滴滴、快狗打车进行提醒式约谈</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n监管部门对满帮、货拉拉、滴滴、快狗打车进行提醒式约谈\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-26 18:02 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI3MDQwMDQ5NQ==&mid=2247576102&idx=1&sn=cacab718d7b6a45f111de732114a3e71&chksm=ead244a6dda5cdb052dafbd6cdbbe583c19d563aee6f965d9fdac1bbe22c69b1e0fa39dd506f#rd><strong>交通运输部</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>8月26日,交通运输新业态协同监管部际联席会议办公室对满帮集团、货拉拉、滴滴货运、快狗打车4家互联网道路货运平台公司进行了提醒式约谈。约谈指出,近期4家货运平台公司按照约谈要求,整改部分事项取得阶段性成效。但通过网民留言、明察暗访、群众来电来信等渠道发现,部分平台公司依然存在多重收费、压价竞争、运营不规范等问题,损害了货车司机合法权益。约谈要求,一是要提高政治站位,切实落实企业主体责任,深入排查...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI3MDQwMDQ5NQ==&mid=2247576102&idx=1&sn=cacab718d7b6a45f111de732114a3e71&chksm=ead244a6dda5cdb052dafbd6cdbbe583c19d563aee6f965d9fdac1bbe22c69b1e0fa39dd506f#rd\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba8d3cf09ea2b7adfee4a2057e1fd28a","relate_stocks":{"YMM":"满帮","DIDIY":"DiDi Global 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21:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"滴滴支付被央行营管部罚款427万","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2251453486","media":"澎湃新闻","summary":"北京滴滴支付技术有限公司及两位时任总经理收到央行罚单。 7月15日,中国人民银行营业管理部(北京)发布的处罚信息公示显示,北京滴滴支付技术有限公司因12类违法行为被警告,并处罚款427万元。作出行政处罚决定日期为7月8日。 另一位收到罚单的时任北京滴滴支付技术有限公司总经理、反洗钱领导小组组长焦阳,因对5类违法事实负有责任,被央行营业管理部警告,并处罚款20.6万元。","content":"<div>\n<p>北京滴滴支付技术有限公司及两位时任总经理收到央行罚单。\n 7月15日,中国人民银行营业管理部(北京)发布的处罚信息公示显示,北京滴滴支付技术有限公司因12类违法行为被警告,并处罚款427万元。作出行政处罚决定日期为7月8日。\n 滴滴支付涉及的12类违法行为包括了上传交易信息错误,未落实交易信息真实、完整、可追溯的要求;未严格落实客户身份实名制要求,未按规定开展法人开户意愿核实工作;未严格落实...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/bank/bank_hydt/2022-07-15/doc-imizmscv1738968.shtml?finpagefr=p_115\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n滴滴支付被央行营管部罚款427万\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-15 21:37 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/bank/bank_hydt/2022-07-15/doc-imizmscv1738968.shtml?finpagefr=p_115><strong>澎湃新闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京滴滴支付技术有限公司及两位时任总经理收到央行罚单。\n 7月15日,中国人民银行营业管理部(北京)发布的处罚信息公示显示,北京滴滴支付技术有限公司因12类违法行为被警告,并处罚款427万元。作出行政处罚决定日期为7月8日。\n 滴滴支付涉及的12类违法行为包括了上传交易信息错误,未落实交易信息真实、完整、可追溯的要求;未严格落实客户身份实名制要求,未按规定开展法人开户意愿核实工作;未严格落实...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/bank/bank_hydt/2022-07-15/doc-imizmscv1738968.shtml?finpagefr=p_115\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4022":"陆运","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4539":"次新股"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/bank/bank_hydt/2022-07-15/doc-imizmscv1738968.shtml?finpagefr=p_115","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2251453486","content_text":"北京滴滴支付技术有限公司及两位时任总经理收到央行罚单。\n 7月15日,中国人民银行营业管理部(北京)发布的处罚信息公示显示,北京滴滴支付技术有限公司因12类违法行为被警告,并处罚款427万元。作出行政处罚决定日期为7月8日。\n 滴滴支付涉及的12类违法行为包括了上传交易信息错误,未落实交易信息真实、完整、可追溯的要求;未严格落实客户身份实名制要求,未按规定开展法人开户意愿核实工作;未严格落实客户身份实名制要求,未按规定留存相关材料;违规设置收单结算账户;为金融企业或从事金融业务的企业开立支付账户;未对个人异常交易进行交易背景调查;违规进行非同名资金划转; 未及时报告重大风险事件;未按规定对支付服务协议格式条款进行备案;未按规定履行客户身份识别义务;侵害消费者金融信息依法得到保护的权利;利用格式合同条款作出对金融消费者不公平、不合理的规定。\n 北京滴滴支付技术有限公司由上海时园科技有限公司全资控股,后者为滴滴出行科技有限公司的全资子公司,2017年滴滴出行通过收购获得了这张支付牌照。\n 同时,时任北京滴滴支付技术有限公司总经理、反洗钱领导小组组长陈曦因对四类违法事实负有责任,被央行营业管理部警告,并处罚款17.4万元。这四项违法事实分别为:上传交易信息错误,未落实交易信息真实、完整、可追溯的要求;未严格落实客户身份实名制要求,未按规定开展法人开户意愿核实工作;未严格落实客户身份实名制要求,未按规定留存相关材料;未按规定履行客户身份识别义务。\n 另一位收到罚单的时任北京滴滴支付技术有限公司总经理、反洗钱领导小组组长焦阳,因对5类违法事实负有责任,被央行营业管理部警告,并处罚款20.6万元。这五项违法事实分别为:上传交易信息错误,未落实交易信息真实、完整、可追溯的要求;未严格落实客户身份实名制要求,未按规定开展法人开户意愿核实工作;未严格落实客户身份实名制要求,未按规定留存相关材料;未按规定履行客户身份识别义务;侵害消费者金融信息依法得到保护的权利。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:王婉莹","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":122433244,"gmtCreate":1624629596888,"gmtModify":1624629596888,"author":{"id":"3492990299854685","authorId":"3492990299854685","name":"散户死于盯盘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80ba5368a47db53a05c508769d2d2e11","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492990299854685","authorIdStr":"3492990299854685"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>这都能跳的…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>这都能跳的…","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$这都能跳的…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122433244","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3464294287504557","authorId":"3464294287504557","name":"老铁来了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2464e458a80641114f6239a95fd33b5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3464294287504557","authorIdStr":"3464294287504557"},"content":"周五嘛,杀期权。刚给了时间了,这会要给另外一拨人时间,不怕","text":"周五嘛,杀期权。刚给了时间了,这会要给另外一拨人时间,不怕","html":"周五嘛,杀期权。刚给了时间了,这会要给另外一拨人时间,不怕"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":182364105732136,"gmtCreate":1685531104485,"gmtModify":1685531106206,"author":{"id":"3492990299854685","authorId":"3492990299854685","name":"散户死于盯盘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80ba5368a47db53a05c508769d2d2e11","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492990299854685","authorIdStr":"3492990299854685"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ </a> 交学费咯","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ </a> 交学费咯","text":"$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ 交学费咯","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c44e69fbf1f272047548c7e99fb98ab","width":"2796","height":"1290"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182364105732136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"203105757513414","authorId":"203105757513414","name":"昵称567","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87061f98cee6875ec1599d4c24bee99f","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"203105757513414","authorIdStr":"203105757513414"},"content":"卖是因为不知道他跌多深,心里没底;买是因为怕他继续涨,没坐上车。","text":"卖是因为不知道他跌多深,心里没底;买是因为怕他继续涨,没坐上车。","html":"卖是因为不知道他跌多深,心里没底;买是因为怕他继续涨,没坐上车。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":217384864305392,"gmtCreate":1694096527432,"gmtModify":1694097454294,"author":{"id":"3492990299854685","authorId":"3492990299854685","name":"散户死于盯盘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80ba5368a47db53a05c508769d2d2e11","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492990299854685","authorIdStr":"3492990299854685"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"讲的太好啦,学习啦。//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>:听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。","listText":"讲的太好啦,学习啦。//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>:听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。","text":"讲的太好啦,学习啦。//@期权小班长:听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 $老虎证券(TIGR)$ //@期权小班长: $老虎证券(TIGR)$ 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a3017e7c41e75b08e4afb5e72d6d39","width":"704","height":"1396"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/217384864305392","repostId":"217373452185688","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":217373452185688,"gmtCreate":1694092763947,"gmtModify":1694092888357,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。等到期之后再换下一个日期,根据当时的价格动态调整行权价。如果真的暴涨被行权,那持有的股票就会被行权卖出。不过,我看了一下老虎期权这个可怜的成交","listText":"听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527667590215376\">@期权小班长</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。等到期之后再换下一个日期,根据当时的价格动态调整行权价。如果真的暴涨被行权,那持有的股票就会被行权卖出。不过,我看了一下老虎期权这个可怜的成交","text":"听说巫老板也做了sell put,那是我的主业,大家可以多关注我日常的sell put 分享 $老虎证券(TIGR)$ //@期权小班长: $老虎证券(TIGR)$ 看到群里有人发老虎ceo卖出股票,问了公司的人说是做了sell covered calls。作为一个资深期权卖方,借这个事件跟大家更多的科普一下sell covered calls,中文叫做卖出备兑看涨期权。其实就是巫老板持有大量老虎的股票,但是这些股票只要不卖出都只是纸面财富,于是他只能通过期权策略做一下增值管理,类似的股票管理计划我了解也不少公司高管会做,这样使得持有的股票能够给自己创造额外收益,改善生活。具体来说,巫老板持有大量的老虎股票,但不能卖,于是他卖call(看涨期权),卖出的看涨期权跟持有的正股形成了一个备兑组合,叫做sell covered calls,卖出备兑看涨期权。大家知道,期权卖方是赚取权利金的。巫老板就是通过卖期权让自己持有的大量老虎股票给自己赚权利金,只要期权在到期日不是真的被行权,他的股票都不会被真正的卖出,但可以一直靠卖call 赚额外收益。那么问题来了,卖call 两个关键点是选择到期日和行权价,行权价怎么选?行权了怎么办?从说明上看,巫老板是卖的深度价外期权,也就是卖call的行权价选择很高,比如老虎现在5块多,他选择了一个非常高的价格,短期肯定到不了的,以免股票真的被行权。等到期之后再换下一个日期,根据当时的价格动态调整行权价。如果真的暴涨被行权,那持有的股票就会被行权卖出。不过,我看了一下老虎期权这个可怜的成交","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a3017e7c41e75b08e4afb5e72d6d39","width":"704","height":"1396"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/217373452185688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"65140849825808","authorId":"65140849825808","name":"感觉错过好几个亿","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c317b5ab739b05d1ed60eeee40312915","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"65140849825808","authorIdStr":"65140849825808"},"content":"说单低买还是观望啊?现在可以入吗","text":"说单低买还是观望啊?现在可以入吗","html":"说单低买还是观望啊?现在可以入吗"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":637053361,"gmtCreate":1647832059354,"gmtModify":1647832059354,"author":{"id":"3492990299854685","authorId":"3492990299854685","name":"散户死于盯盘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80ba5368a47db53a05c508769d2d2e11","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492990299854685","authorIdStr":"3492990299854685"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1132547&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0><strong>AAFN</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美银证券发表报告,认为内地今年智能手机需求已经在今年第一季大致被吸纳,在经济放缓下,包括小米 在内的手机OEM生产商销售额将受损。该行将小米目标价由22.3元下调至19.8元,重申「跑输大市」评级。美银证券表示,即使小米在8月店舖数量增加,但该行估计其市场份额在7至8月下滑至约15%,预计小米在第四季的经营环境更艰难,毛利率有可能因小米进取地争取市场份额而收窄。另外,该行担忧小米若自行造车而非...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1132547&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6182bcfc4ac2ffb4c38f48068ce9d1c","relate_stocks":{"161027":"证券","01810":"小米集团-W"},"source_url":"http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1132547&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/51f6b9126f36f92bbf92982596066e5a","article_id":"2171226936","content_text":"美银证券发表报告,认为内地今年智能手机需求已经在今年第一季大致被吸纳,在经济放缓下,包括小米 在内的手机OEM生产商销售额将受损。该行将小米目标价由22.3元下调至19.8元,重申「跑输大市」评级。美银证券表示,即使小米在8月店舖数量增加,但该行估计其市场份额在7至8月下滑至约15%,预计小米在第四季的经营环境更艰难,毛利率有可能因小米进取地争取市场份额而收窄。另外,该行担忧小米若自行造车而非外判生产,将成为长远经营开支的负担。美银证券将小米明年和後年盈利预测分别下调5%和2%,又认为最近游戏行业被加强监管,有可能令其估值进一步下降。(na/da)~阿思达克财经新闻网址: 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