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麦麦卢
09-04
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
b 站作为自媒体长视频的重要平台,需要引入自建电商平台,做商业转化,明明有巨大的流量,却并没有商业转化。且这个电商平台要区分于其他,应该是爆款制造机,有点类似于早期的拼多多,但定位有区别,所以打法不同。至于游戏,眼光很重要,明明掌握着大量数据,还分析不出市场趋势,找不到可以合作/值得投资的目标,还是人的问题。
麦麦卢
2020-03-20
$索尼(SNE)$
次世代战役,1.机能 2.价格 3.独占和首发软件阵容。索尼大输了第一场,后面两场双方还在试探,价格大概率差不多,差价50刀以内,所以还是sony不占优,毕竟性能差太多,个人估计主机价格599。独占阵容,亚太sony占优,欧美巨硬持平。360ps3之后,有一次持平。
麦麦卢
2020-03-20
$优步(UBER)$
1.用户使用率下降50%左右 2.外卖业务本来靠收入餐厅费用,现在免了,所以营收不增加,成本增加,用户增加,特别说明,优步不是唯一外卖平台,更不是美团饿了吗。个人是观察何时做空,这拉升不正常。
麦麦卢
2020-03-20
$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$
我对空它越来越感兴趣了
麦麦卢
2020-03-12
$三倍做多原油ETN(UWT)$
今天建仓,目前仓位5%,逐渐建仓,预计两个月后缓慢获利,十倍回报不是做梦。同时紧盯重要蓝筹
麦麦卢
2020-03-10
$万达体育(WSG)$
2.5是我的期望
麦麦卢
2020-03-10
$迪士尼(DIS)$
估值合理多了,可以赶上疫情,看到60_80区间
麦麦卢
2020-03-09
$搜狗(SOGO)$
每逢美股大跌,总有妖股做秀
麦麦卢
2020-03-09
$蔚来(NIO)$
4.5清仓了,等2刀买回来
麦麦卢
2020-03-06
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
佩服庄家,看看能顶到什么时候
麦麦卢
2020-03-06
$阿斯麦(ASML)$
纯卖方市场的好公司,可惜,大选和疫情都不能让你下跌,等吧
麦麦卢
2020-02-07
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$
今天建仓,目标仓位的10%
麦麦卢
2020-01-31
$加拿大鹅(GOOS)$
个人认为大鹅的品牌定位比较尴尬,一个依赖于娱乐营销和口碑传播的高端品牌。在这个领域,有同样高端的传统奢侈品牌,有户外专业户外高端品牌,有新兴牌品和设计见长的设计师品牌。这让我想起了曾经的kappa。国际市场增长乏力,中国市场也逐渐不温不火。产品力有,但不独特。表弟在加拿大穿大鹅,个人穿始祖鸟,montbell。所以就是觉得安踏集团在收购后,有更多机会在高端市场。可惜赶上肺炎,节前早清仓了安踏,等风过了再说。
麦麦卢
2020-01-27
$蔚来(NIO)$
最近半年的销量肯定好不了,等半年后吧
麦麦卢
2020-01-27
$拼多多(PDD)$
参考Sars时期股市逻辑,以及现阶段进展。首先疫情还属于快速扩张阶段,因为政府瞒报,故意说好话安抚人心,造成人们没有任何防范意识,加上潜伏期长,结果是可能感染的流动人口超过500万。现在遍布全国。预计要到6,7月份天气热,病毒自身减慢传播➕自身免疫。这期间,非网络股,it股,难免错杀,因为商业必然受压,重点倒霉消费➕房产➕旅行等。看好b站,爱奇艺,腾讯,阿里,拼多多,医药股。且经过此次疫情,受到压抑的商业和股市会在下半年爆发。本人现在仓位2成,b站➕阿里➕拼多多,等待暴跌逐渐加仓,其他暴跌的也可考虑,下半年等着丰收。
麦麦卢
2020-01-21
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
在家宅的涨,在外浪的跌。虽然不确定这次疫情的影响范围,但是sars前车之鉴,短期杀跌一波难免。不过b站等居家型公司应该会立刻反弹吧,其他要观察了,准备做空。
麦麦卢
2020-01-17
$迪士尼(DIS)$
严密关注迪斯尼,如果下定决心与耐飞/苹果等死战到底的决心,那么有可能杀出一条血路,否则,就是赚点边角料,没前途,估值应下降,毕竟传统业务增长挑战巨大。
麦麦卢
2020-01-17
$ReWalk Robotics(RWLK)$
严重关注中,准备建仓
麦麦卢
2020-01-17
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$
昨天建仓,同时还有波音,趣店,清仓了蔚来,特斯拉。趣店是个败笔,庄家会玩。
麦麦卢
2020-01-16
$波音(BA)$
长线建仓波音,331$,继续观察
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$迪士尼(DIS)$</a>严密关注迪斯尼,如果下定决心与耐飞/苹果等死战到底的决心,那么有可能杀出一条血路,否则,就是赚点边角料,没前途,估值应下降,毕竟传统业务增长挑战巨大。","listText":"<a 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现金流,这三家里,t,y,i,爱奇艺最差,因为靠山不行,怎么办,只能智取,所有的以弱胜强,无不如此,更高投资成功率,更快的迭代速度,更新的内容,容易吗?不容易,可你别无选择,空间依然很大,看你取舍和投入了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":60,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/904656633","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"308523030064407","authorId":"308523030064407","name":"Benz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/90e6cc86db019c5c96dbcd882f2d281a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"308523030064407","authorIdStr":"308523030064407"},"content":"对于爱奇艺的页面设计,让人觉得很如适。","text":"对于爱奇艺的页面设计,让人觉得很如适。","html":"对于爱奇艺的页面设计,让人觉得很如适。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434227,"gmtCreate":1553004551192,"gmtModify":1704793678829,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 你们更相信谁能3年后,把电动车做大,可以多选? 1.特斯拉 2.比亚迪 3.吉利 4.恒大 5.蔚来 6.其他 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $比亚迪股份(01211)$ $吉利汽车(00175)$ $中国恒大(03333)$","listText":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 你们更相信谁能3年后,把电动车做大,可以多选? 1.特斯拉 2.比亚迪 3.吉利 4.恒大 5.蔚来 6.其他 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $比亚迪股份(01211)$ $吉利汽车(00175)$ $中国恒大(03333)$","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 你们更相信谁能3年后,把电动车做大,可以多选? 1.特斯拉 2.比亚迪 3.吉利 4.恒大 5.蔚来 6.其他 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $比亚迪股份(01211)$ $吉利汽车(00175)$ $中国恒大(03333)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":37,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434227","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3445831548099450","authorId":"3445831548099450","name":"那个我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571cecff25a322e56f7a962e96512978","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3445831548099450","authorIdStr":"3445831548099450"},"content":"各几大品牌太少了………后期所有燃油车企都会出,档次也是各有不同,有钱的买贵的,没钱的买便宜的…","text":"各几大品牌太少了………后期所有燃油车企都会出,档次也是各有不同,有钱的买贵的,没钱的买便宜的…","html":"各几大品牌太少了………后期所有燃油车企都会出,档次也是各有不同,有钱的买贵的,没钱的买便宜的…"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467830,"gmtCreate":1555081119310,"gmtModify":1704798038282,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ $虎牙(HUYA)$ $拼多多(PDD)$ $华米科技(HMI)$ $电子艺界(EA)$ $Take-Two Interactive Software(TTWO)$ $动视暴雪(ATVI)$ 嗯,现在低估的股票越来越少,除了建了仓的,只能持币待购。刚刚抛了$趣店(QD)$ $拍拍贷(PPDF)$ 达到了我的盈利目标,再涨也不是我的了,寻找等待下一波机会!","listText":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ $虎牙(HUYA)$ $拼多多(PDD)$ $华米科技(HMI)$ $电子艺界(EA)$ $Take-Two Interactive Software(TTWO)$ $动视暴雪(ATVI)$ 嗯,现在低估的股票越来越少,除了建了仓的,只能持币待购。刚刚抛了$趣店(QD)$ $拍拍贷(PPDF)$ 达到了我的盈利目标,再涨也不是我的了,寻找等待下一波机会!","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ $虎牙(HUYA)$ $拼多多(PDD)$ $华米科技(HMI)$ $电子艺界(EA)$ $Take-Two Interactive Software(TTWO)$ $动视暴雪(ATVI)$ 嗯,现在低估的股票越来越少,除了建了仓的,只能持币待购。刚刚抛了$趣店(QD)$ $拍拍贷(PPDF)$ 达到了我的盈利目标,再涨也不是我的了,寻找等待下一波机会!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":25,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467830","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3496175172765502","authorId":"3496175172765502","name":"人间有味是清欢123","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3496175172765502","authorIdStr":"3496175172765502"},"content":"非洲版的阿里巴巴哥们可以看看哦","text":"非洲版的阿里巴巴哥们可以看看哦","html":"非洲版的阿里巴巴哥们可以看看哦"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":411149,"gmtCreate":1551304089565,"gmtModify":1704790853590,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"title":"煮酒论股:动向和运动品牌的今生和来世","htmlText":"$中国动向(03818)$ 销售回复增长,盈利一直是动向做的比较好的,李宁连续多少年亏损,去年盈利。本季度利润减少因为投资哈哈,被套了吧,动向之前因为尝过甜头,所以每年都用账上的现金炒股,牛市当然赚了,去年科技股股灾,所以正常,毕竟不是主营业务导致的,不会持续。 服装行业的痛点是周期和库存。周期是指消费周期,也是指流行趋势,体育用品在08年以后下滑严重,那时候开始流行快时尚,现在快时尚下滑,体育用品恢复。 库存管理是因为批发模式导致的,快时尚就控制的很好。批发模式的好处是轻资产,但客户体验和压货过度就会慢慢把自己作死,品牌上升期还不明显,稳定以后就麻烦了,所以现在提倡零售化,混合制。 体育市场的未来在哪里?谁能脱颖而出? 才疏学浅,个人观点。 未来在于品牌差异化: 专业类和休闲类,高端和平价,专项和全品类,等等,这是内因。外因是国内消费者的审美和民族自信,国家的政策,以及事件驱动,比如2022亚运会,几点就是张家口冬奥会等国际大型赛事,近几年流行的马拉松和全民跑步。 同时也要做好后端供应链,财务等管理。所以最重要是什么?人才和企业制度。服装企业普遍是内资民企,前些年有家族化特征,非常不利于管理,也吸引不了人才,这几年有缓慢改善。 谁会胜出?安踏,李宁,动向。新品牌也有机会。安踏的狼性,野心,敢做。李宁的设计和品牌。动向的大局观。 题外话 1. 本人之前买了10万股,昨天跌到较低时,补了20万,现在的价格还赚了,继续持有。同时观察另外两家的机会,尤其是安踏,安踏收购的amer是绝对优质资产! 2. 国内运动品牌营销真的一般,哎,明明有更好的方式,就是循规蹈矩,不会突破创新。制度限制啊~ 3. 内部制度,文化的改变,人才的引进和使用,是真正改善国内整个服装界的根本,不和别的行业比,比国际快时尚公司就差很多,希望加速改进。","listText":"$中国动向(03818)$ 销售回复增长,盈利一直是动向做的比较好的,李宁连续多少年亏损,去年盈利。本季度利润减少因为投资哈哈,被套了吧,动向之前因为尝过甜头,所以每年都用账上的现金炒股,牛市当然赚了,去年科技股股灾,所以正常,毕竟不是主营业务导致的,不会持续。 服装行业的痛点是周期和库存。周期是指消费周期,也是指流行趋势,体育用品在08年以后下滑严重,那时候开始流行快时尚,现在快时尚下滑,体育用品恢复。 库存管理是因为批发模式导致的,快时尚就控制的很好。批发模式的好处是轻资产,但客户体验和压货过度就会慢慢把自己作死,品牌上升期还不明显,稳定以后就麻烦了,所以现在提倡零售化,混合制。 体育市场的未来在哪里?谁能脱颖而出? 才疏学浅,个人观点。 未来在于品牌差异化: 专业类和休闲类,高端和平价,专项和全品类,等等,这是内因。外因是国内消费者的审美和民族自信,国家的政策,以及事件驱动,比如2022亚运会,几点就是张家口冬奥会等国际大型赛事,近几年流行的马拉松和全民跑步。 同时也要做好后端供应链,财务等管理。所以最重要是什么?人才和企业制度。服装企业普遍是内资民企,前些年有家族化特征,非常不利于管理,也吸引不了人才,这几年有缓慢改善。 谁会胜出?安踏,李宁,动向。新品牌也有机会。安踏的狼性,野心,敢做。李宁的设计和品牌。动向的大局观。 题外话 1. 本人之前买了10万股,昨天跌到较低时,补了20万,现在的价格还赚了,继续持有。同时观察另外两家的机会,尤其是安踏,安踏收购的amer是绝对优质资产! 2. 国内运动品牌营销真的一般,哎,明明有更好的方式,就是循规蹈矩,不会突破创新。制度限制啊~ 3. 内部制度,文化的改变,人才的引进和使用,是真正改善国内整个服装界的根本,不和别的行业比,比国际快时尚公司就差很多,希望加速改进。","text":"$中国动向(03818)$ 销售回复增长,盈利一直是动向做的比较好的,李宁连续多少年亏损,去年盈利。本季度利润减少因为投资哈哈,被套了吧,动向之前因为尝过甜头,所以每年都用账上的现金炒股,牛市当然赚了,去年科技股股灾,所以正常,毕竟不是主营业务导致的,不会持续。 服装行业的痛点是周期和库存。周期是指消费周期,也是指流行趋势,体育用品在08年以后下滑严重,那时候开始流行快时尚,现在快时尚下滑,体育用品恢复。 库存管理是因为批发模式导致的,快时尚就控制的很好。批发模式的好处是轻资产,但客户体验和压货过度就会慢慢把自己作死,品牌上升期还不明显,稳定以后就麻烦了,所以现在提倡零售化,混合制。 体育市场的未来在哪里?谁能脱颖而出? 才疏学浅,个人观点。 未来在于品牌差异化: 专业类和休闲类,高端和平价,专项和全品类,等等,这是内因。外因是国内消费者的审美和民族自信,国家的政策,以及事件驱动,比如2022亚运会,几点就是张家口冬奥会等国际大型赛事,近几年流行的马拉松和全民跑步。 同时也要做好后端供应链,财务等管理。所以最重要是什么?人才和企业制度。服装企业普遍是内资民企,前些年有家族化特征,非常不利于管理,也吸引不了人才,这几年有缓慢改善。 谁会胜出?安踏,李宁,动向。新品牌也有机会。安踏的狼性,野心,敢做。李宁的设计和品牌。动向的大局观。 题外话 1. 本人之前买了10万股,昨天跌到较低时,补了20万,现在的价格还赚了,继续持有。同时观察另外两家的机会,尤其是安踏,安踏收购的amer是绝对优质资产! 2. 国内运动品牌营销真的一般,哎,明明有更好的方式,就是循规蹈矩,不会突破创新。制度限制啊~ 3. 内部制度,文化的改变,人才的引进和使用,是真正改善国内整个服装界的根本,不和别的行业比,比国际快时尚公司就差很多,希望加速改进。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/411149","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479156248791467","authorId":"3479156248791467","name":"复兴计划","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c10d2ba3aa6d31cda64398d07bf813cb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479156248791467","authorIdStr":"3479156248791467"},"content":"楼主对服装行业创业怎么看。觉得唯品会如何。","text":"楼主对服装行业创业怎么看。觉得唯品会如何。","html":"楼主对服装行业创业怎么看。觉得唯品会如何。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":400891,"gmtCreate":1550148172548,"gmtModify":1704789559475,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"title":"英伟达,我说你什么,你运气太好了!","htmlText":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 英伟达的本质是显卡商,ai不过是愿景,不是英伟达不想做ai,而是因为ai芯片的重要性,所有厂商都在发展自己的芯片,goggle, apple, amazon, microsoft, ibm, 国内不说了,一堆,还有大量初创企业,聚焦于场景,这些芯片大部分公开出售,与英伟达竞争,且看能耗比,还是性价比,英伟达都无优势,他的优势在于先发和通用。 说回游戏,游戏领域是过去两年的热点,尤其是手机领域,很多手机主打游戏功能,因为现在是移动游戏大爆发的时代,可这和nv有什么关系呢,还真有点,switch是tegra1代的定制版,3代都出了,这就是为什么switch性能这么弱了,因为成本和老任的顽固,这对于nv的收入提升微乎其微,盈利可以忽略不计,对amd类似。那主机游戏呢,主机游戏依然是国外最主要的游戏市场,给大家两个数字,gta5 pc版本销量占总销量11百分比,我应该没记错,销售收入呢,只占比3点多。好在游戏市场总体是增量市场,且更重要的是最近三年+,amd都不给力,nv独霸市场。nv通过不断挥动大刀,不断细分显卡,提升价格,提高收入,所以显卡部门成绩不错。最近的隐患也很明显,新显卡一般上市都是热销,可去年rtx上市却没有,这既是由于老显卡库存,经销商优先甩卖库存10系,也是由于新显卡的性能提升没有达到期望,提升有限,还伴随着花屏(我也是2080ti, 也花屏),新功能无明显作用有关。 所以,显卡市场,今年,nv依旧性能领先,毛利率领先,高端显卡但销量一般,不会热销,且10系显卡还有库存,还在清货。显卡中端市场双方还是有激烈竞争的,amd明显是不赚钱也要保住的呢,通过堆料来保证性能,降低了利润率。低端依旧领先,笔记本市场领先。其实本来vr对显卡是个巨大的推动作用,可惜,vr对显卡的需求像是一块巨石,nv推不动,只能慢慢来,结婚vr也慢了下来。 业绩显著下滑很","listText":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 英伟达的本质是显卡商,ai不过是愿景,不是英伟达不想做ai,而是因为ai芯片的重要性,所有厂商都在发展自己的芯片,goggle, apple, amazon, microsoft, ibm, 国内不说了,一堆,还有大量初创企业,聚焦于场景,这些芯片大部分公开出售,与英伟达竞争,且看能耗比,还是性价比,英伟达都无优势,他的优势在于先发和通用。 说回游戏,游戏领域是过去两年的热点,尤其是手机领域,很多手机主打游戏功能,因为现在是移动游戏大爆发的时代,可这和nv有什么关系呢,还真有点,switch是tegra1代的定制版,3代都出了,这就是为什么switch性能这么弱了,因为成本和老任的顽固,这对于nv的收入提升微乎其微,盈利可以忽略不计,对amd类似。那主机游戏呢,主机游戏依然是国外最主要的游戏市场,给大家两个数字,gta5 pc版本销量占总销量11百分比,我应该没记错,销售收入呢,只占比3点多。好在游戏市场总体是增量市场,且更重要的是最近三年+,amd都不给力,nv独霸市场。nv通过不断挥动大刀,不断细分显卡,提升价格,提高收入,所以显卡部门成绩不错。最近的隐患也很明显,新显卡一般上市都是热销,可去年rtx上市却没有,这既是由于老显卡库存,经销商优先甩卖库存10系,也是由于新显卡的性能提升没有达到期望,提升有限,还伴随着花屏(我也是2080ti, 也花屏),新功能无明显作用有关。 所以,显卡市场,今年,nv依旧性能领先,毛利率领先,高端显卡但销量一般,不会热销,且10系显卡还有库存,还在清货。显卡中端市场双方还是有激烈竞争的,amd明显是不赚钱也要保住的呢,通过堆料来保证性能,降低了利润率。低端依旧领先,笔记本市场领先。其实本来vr对显卡是个巨大的推动作用,可惜,vr对显卡的需求像是一块巨石,nv推不动,只能慢慢来,结婚vr也慢了下来。 业绩显著下滑很","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 英伟达的本质是显卡商,ai不过是愿景,不是英伟达不想做ai,而是因为ai芯片的重要性,所有厂商都在发展自己的芯片,goggle, apple, amazon, microsoft, ibm, 国内不说了,一堆,还有大量初创企业,聚焦于场景,这些芯片大部分公开出售,与英伟达竞争,且看能耗比,还是性价比,英伟达都无优势,他的优势在于先发和通用。 说回游戏,游戏领域是过去两年的热点,尤其是手机领域,很多手机主打游戏功能,因为现在是移动游戏大爆发的时代,可这和nv有什么关系呢,还真有点,switch是tegra1代的定制版,3代都出了,这就是为什么switch性能这么弱了,因为成本和老任的顽固,这对于nv的收入提升微乎其微,盈利可以忽略不计,对amd类似。那主机游戏呢,主机游戏依然是国外最主要的游戏市场,给大家两个数字,gta5 pc版本销量占总销量11百分比,我应该没记错,销售收入呢,只占比3点多。好在游戏市场总体是增量市场,且更重要的是最近三年+,amd都不给力,nv独霸市场。nv通过不断挥动大刀,不断细分显卡,提升价格,提高收入,所以显卡部门成绩不错。最近的隐患也很明显,新显卡一般上市都是热销,可去年rtx上市却没有,这既是由于老显卡库存,经销商优先甩卖库存10系,也是由于新显卡的性能提升没有达到期望,提升有限,还伴随着花屏(我也是2080ti, 也花屏),新功能无明显作用有关。 所以,显卡市场,今年,nv依旧性能领先,毛利率领先,高端显卡但销量一般,不会热销,且10系显卡还有库存,还在清货。显卡中端市场双方还是有激烈竞争的,amd明显是不赚钱也要保住的呢,通过堆料来保证性能,降低了利润率。低端依旧领先,笔记本市场领先。其实本来vr对显卡是个巨大的推动作用,可惜,vr对显卡的需求像是一块巨石,nv推不动,只能慢慢来,结婚vr也慢了下来。 业绩显著下滑很","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/400891","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"content":"上个学期考了90,以为这个学期不会差,临近考试,觉得这学期学的不好,就告诉父母,这次考不了90,只能60分,最后考完,得了65分,家长还表扬?!","text":"上个学期考了90,以为这个学期不会差,临近考试,觉得这学期学的不好,就告诉父母,这次考不了90,只能60分,最后考完,得了65分,家长还表扬?!","html":"上个学期考了90,以为这个学期不会差,临近考试,觉得这学期学的不好,就告诉父母,这次考不了90,只能60分,最后考完,得了65分,家长还表扬?!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467775,"gmtCreate":1555080393608,"gmtModify":1704798031520,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$趣头条(QTT)$最近在国内旅行,顺便做了个小调查,我个人是不用趣头条的,但是在国内各地,发现足疗店,水果店,大保健,宾馆,厂妹,都有相关工作人员从业者在用,很多人不差这点钱,但就是喜欢赚这点钱。趣头条的流量,理论上可以积聚,针对其适用人群,流量变现,推送广告,有其价值。趣头条应该利用财务手段,迅速减少亏损,毕竟今年是牛市的最后一段,抓紧融资,明年融资困难。","listText":"$趣头条(QTT)$最近在国内旅行,顺便做了个小调查,我个人是不用趣头条的,但是在国内各地,发现足疗店,水果店,大保健,宾馆,厂妹,都有相关工作人员从业者在用,很多人不差这点钱,但就是喜欢赚这点钱。趣头条的流量,理论上可以积聚,针对其适用人群,流量变现,推送广告,有其价值。趣头条应该利用财务手段,迅速减少亏损,毕竟今年是牛市的最后一段,抓紧融资,明年融资困难。","text":"$趣头条(QTT)$最近在国内旅行,顺便做了个小调查,我个人是不用趣头条的,但是在国内各地,发现足疗店,水果店,大保健,宾馆,厂妹,都有相关工作人员从业者在用,很多人不差这点钱,但就是喜欢赚这点钱。趣头条的流量,理论上可以积聚,针对其适用人群,流量变现,推送广告,有其价值。趣头条应该利用财务手段,迅速减少亏损,毕竟今年是牛市的最后一段,抓紧融资,明年融资困难。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467775","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"16180209980775","authorId":"16180209980775","name":"九格","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b7351b7dca167cbf31dfae7714bb158","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"16180209980775","authorIdStr":"16180209980775"},"content":"主要是针对这些人不太好变现吧","text":"主要是针对这些人不太好变现吧","html":"主要是针对这些人不太好变现吧"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391972,"gmtCreate":1548900272657,"gmtModify":1704788452214,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 苹果让我认识到,国内不缺购买力 华为让我认识到,国人会为情怀买单 ov让我认识到,4p营销多重要 三星让我认识到,众口铄金也会倒 小米呢,ds营销不可靠 小米起于微时,奉ds为中心,执着于性价比,殊不知,品牌向下易,向上难,错误估计市场变化,苹果亦打盹,致群雄逐鹿高端市场,而徒呼奈何。今欲立红米为砥柱,主攻低端,而小米向上,攫取高端,谬之千里,何以如此失智!当世之时,当令起高端品牌,高举高打,或有转机。 小米的机会在哪儿,在第三世界国家,然而早晚第三世界也会消费升级,所以早作打算,分而治之,才是长久之计。 总说alot,核心是ai,可是要十年才会成熟家用。在此之前,还是要做单品爆款,这方面国内依旧空间广阔,但是小米的财务运作模式决定了,产品卖得好,股票也不一定涨,因为资本关系。 结论,这是一只表现股票,预计年内收益15%,价值投资可以考虑,短线的资本收益率吗,看操作,我觉得没必要。","listText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 苹果让我认识到,国内不缺购买力 华为让我认识到,国人会为情怀买单 ov让我认识到,4p营销多重要 三星让我认识到,众口铄金也会倒 小米呢,ds营销不可靠 小米起于微时,奉ds为中心,执着于性价比,殊不知,品牌向下易,向上难,错误估计市场变化,苹果亦打盹,致群雄逐鹿高端市场,而徒呼奈何。今欲立红米为砥柱,主攻低端,而小米向上,攫取高端,谬之千里,何以如此失智!当世之时,当令起高端品牌,高举高打,或有转机。 小米的机会在哪儿,在第三世界国家,然而早晚第三世界也会消费升级,所以早作打算,分而治之,才是长久之计。 总说alot,核心是ai,可是要十年才会成熟家用。在此之前,还是要做单品爆款,这方面国内依旧空间广阔,但是小米的财务运作模式决定了,产品卖得好,股票也不一定涨,因为资本关系。 结论,这是一只表现股票,预计年内收益15%,价值投资可以考虑,短线的资本收益率吗,看操作,我觉得没必要。","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 苹果让我认识到,国内不缺购买力 华为让我认识到,国人会为情怀买单 ov让我认识到,4p营销多重要 三星让我认识到,众口铄金也会倒 小米呢,ds营销不可靠 小米起于微时,奉ds为中心,执着于性价比,殊不知,品牌向下易,向上难,错误估计市场变化,苹果亦打盹,致群雄逐鹿高端市场,而徒呼奈何。今欲立红米为砥柱,主攻低端,而小米向上,攫取高端,谬之千里,何以如此失智!当世之时,当令起高端品牌,高举高打,或有转机。 小米的机会在哪儿,在第三世界国家,然而早晚第三世界也会消费升级,所以早作打算,分而治之,才是长久之计。 总说alot,核心是ai,可是要十年才会成熟家用。在此之前,还是要做单品爆款,这方面国内依旧空间广阔,但是小米的财务运作模式决定了,产品卖得好,股票也不一定涨,因为资本关系。 结论,这是一只表现股票,预计年内收益15%,价值投资可以考虑,短线的资本收益率吗,看操作,我觉得没必要。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391972","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3493917062513791","authorId":"3493917062513791","name":"Amigo_Amiga","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b722422ba77bb8478f70f52160ae50d4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3493917062513791","authorIdStr":"3493917062513791"},"content":"肤浅……华为手机挺垃圾的,不喜欢……三星现在转攻手机零件,没倒,比以前更赚钱了……","text":"肤浅……华为手机挺垃圾的,不喜欢……三星现在转攻手机零件,没倒,比以前更赚钱了……","html":"肤浅……华为手机挺垃圾的,不喜欢……三星现在转攻手机零件,没倒,比以前更赚钱了……"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397765,"gmtCreate":1549686170403,"gmtModify":1704789175394,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$AMD(AMD)$ 新显卡没戏,性能驱动啥的不说了,落后nv一代,价格不低,无性价比优势,且由于堆料,成本高,利润率偏低,关键是高端显卡占比太少,基本nv占据。显卡市场还是看中端显卡,amd中端navi可惜接近年尾了,现在不用期待。 所以今年只能期待新cpu,性能和性价比如何,接近年中会走高一波,如果市场没崩盘的前提下。 结论,6月上市,月中大量铺货的话,这阶段是今年amd股市的分水岭。预计大概率走高,维持三个月领先上扬趋势。之后intel公布新构架新制程,10月新的战争开始了! amd的高估值,决定了这支股票的风险,谨慎!","listText":"$AMD(AMD)$ 新显卡没戏,性能驱动啥的不说了,落后nv一代,价格不低,无性价比优势,且由于堆料,成本高,利润率偏低,关键是高端显卡占比太少,基本nv占据。显卡市场还是看中端显卡,amd中端navi可惜接近年尾了,现在不用期待。 所以今年只能期待新cpu,性能和性价比如何,接近年中会走高一波,如果市场没崩盘的前提下。 结论,6月上市,月中大量铺货的话,这阶段是今年amd股市的分水岭。预计大概率走高,维持三个月领先上扬趋势。之后intel公布新构架新制程,10月新的战争开始了! amd的高估值,决定了这支股票的风险,谨慎!","text":"$AMD(AMD)$ 新显卡没戏,性能驱动啥的不说了,落后nv一代,价格不低,无性价比优势,且由于堆料,成本高,利润率偏低,关键是高端显卡占比太少,基本nv占据。显卡市场还是看中端显卡,amd中端navi可惜接近年尾了,现在不用期待。 所以今年只能期待新cpu,性能和性价比如何,接近年中会走高一波,如果市场没崩盘的前提下。 结论,6月上市,月中大量铺货的话,这阶段是今年amd股市的分水岭。预计大概率走高,维持三个月领先上扬趋势。之后intel公布新构架新制程,10月新的战争开始了! amd的高估值,决定了这支股票的风险,谨慎!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397765","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3435310542032743","authorId":"3435310542032743","name":"CindyY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d448dda69a831bbf10db05c4dc47653","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3435310542032743","authorIdStr":"3435310542032743"},"content":"7500万转换权证,换句话说流通股多了,稀释了点.. 关键看成长能否持续,一季度财报..","text":"7500万转换权证,换句话说流通股多了,稀释了点.. 关键看成长能否持续,一季度财报..","html":"7500万转换权证,换句话说流通股多了,稀释了点.. 关键看成长能否持续,一季度财报.."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":426528,"gmtCreate":1552487394912,"gmtModify":1704792692308,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$腾讯音乐(TME)$ 相对于拼多多和蔚来,腾讯音乐无疑更适应当前的资本环境,一个多疑而多变的氛围。寡头,美股对标,轻资产,产业链顺畅,消费趋势利好,较强的团队和靠山,盈利!就差一份还凑合的财报。腾讯音乐要想继续做大,预估未来需要深入艺人经纪,综艺节目制作等环节,打通音乐全产业链。","listText":"$腾讯音乐(TME)$ 相对于拼多多和蔚来,腾讯音乐无疑更适应当前的资本环境,一个多疑而多变的氛围。寡头,美股对标,轻资产,产业链顺畅,消费趋势利好,较强的团队和靠山,盈利!就差一份还凑合的财报。腾讯音乐要想继续做大,预估未来需要深入艺人经纪,综艺节目制作等环节,打通音乐全产业链。","text":"$腾讯音乐(TME)$ 相对于拼多多和蔚来,腾讯音乐无疑更适应当前的资本环境,一个多疑而多变的氛围。寡头,美股对标,轻资产,产业链顺畅,消费趋势利好,较强的团队和靠山,盈利!就差一份还凑合的财报。腾讯音乐要想继续做大,预估未来需要深入艺人经纪,综艺节目制作等环节,打通音乐全产业链。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/426528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3488762218848098","authorId":"3488762218848098","name":"卡文迪许","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2568d4b771a9ae597c600dc20938a5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3488762218848098","authorIdStr":"3488762218848098"},"content":"腾讯音乐值这么多吗[呆住]","text":"腾讯音乐值这么多吗[呆住]","html":"腾讯音乐值这么多吗[呆住]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":413329,"gmtCreate":1551447116217,"gmtModify":1704791125556,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$卡夫亨氏(KHC)$ 现在的市净率逆天啊,股价超跌太多,巴菲特说过,大多数股票之所以是好的投资,就是因为买入价低廉。亨氏虽然在健康饮食上发力太晚太慢,但毕竟也许并没有萎缩,只是增长乏力,还是有机会的,而且利用营销资源拿下健康饮食市场有机会,因为这个市场并没有巨头垄断。 巴菲特65买贵了,咱们33买入,不贵啊。","listText":"$卡夫亨氏(KHC)$ 现在的市净率逆天啊,股价超跌太多,巴菲特说过,大多数股票之所以是好的投资,就是因为买入价低廉。亨氏虽然在健康饮食上发力太晚太慢,但毕竟也许并没有萎缩,只是增长乏力,还是有机会的,而且利用营销资源拿下健康饮食市场有机会,因为这个市场并没有巨头垄断。 巴菲特65买贵了,咱们33买入,不贵啊。","text":"$卡夫亨氏(KHC)$ 现在的市净率逆天啊,股价超跌太多,巴菲特说过,大多数股票之所以是好的投资,就是因为买入价低廉。亨氏虽然在健康饮食上发力太晚太慢,但毕竟也许并没有萎缩,只是增长乏力,还是有机会的,而且利用营销资源拿下健康饮食市场有机会,因为这个市场并没有巨头垄断。 巴菲特65买贵了,咱们33买入,不贵啊。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/413329","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3044,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3462253791226515","authorId":"3462253791226515","name":"波音快点300","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3462253791226515","authorIdStr":"3462253791226515"},"content":"mcd营收一直在下降,确一直在涨,烟草衰退了几十年确一直在涨,其实根本没那么严重","text":"mcd营收一直在下降,确一直在涨,烟草衰退了几十年确一直在涨,其实根本没那么严重","html":"mcd营收一直在下降,确一直在涨,烟草衰退了几十年确一直在涨,其实根本没那么严重"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397878,"gmtCreate":1549802397984,"gmtModify":1704789190059,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"title":"高通 喜欢 or 讨厌?","htmlText":"$高通(QCOM)$ 高通招人讨厌吗,是的,媒体一向把高通形容为恶龙,华为成了抗龙勇士,额,不,是苹果,苹果毕竟交的多,也叫的痛。 但未来两年,你能摆脱高通吗,看最近的各种官司,商业进展,难?no, 是不能。5g还是他说了算,核心必要专利,他最多,没办法。 最新的费率也出来了,依旧很黑,2.5%往上,显然会比4g时代更高一些,因为会使用到人家2g/3g/4g/5g的所有专利,为了保持兼容性。未来6g?那不是我这辈子要考虑的。 这部分的销售只占三成,但毛利润高,而且会帮助高通拿下硬件的订单,捆绑销售。 所以,客观的说,高通有能力继续提高盈利,5g对高通很重要。不利因素短期是巨头之间的摩擦,长期是自研cpu/gpu优势荡然无存,不但落后苹果,甚至落后华为了,这个趋势不好,说明人才竞争上落后了,这也是因为这几年半导体行业发生了巨变,人才短缺造成的,不说创业的,国内各大公司都排着队在名校,硅谷挖人。当然核心通信专利有被超越的可能。 结论,高通未来几年依旧imba,依旧官司不断,依旧让很多厂家如鲠在喉,对手们会默默研发,积蓄专利组合。但现在还是乖乖交钱。核心cpugpu是个大麻烦,好在苹果和华为,三星都只给自己用,华为估计和专利授权有关,不能卖给第三方。其他竞争对手暂时不是对手。等5g上马,预计明年,才是高通大赚的时候。今年把官司了结,努力研发才是关键,缓慢起飞吧,现在确实便宜,但短线不看好,长线价值投资可以。","listText":"$高通(QCOM)$ 高通招人讨厌吗,是的,媒体一向把高通形容为恶龙,华为成了抗龙勇士,额,不,是苹果,苹果毕竟交的多,也叫的痛。 但未来两年,你能摆脱高通吗,看最近的各种官司,商业进展,难?no, 是不能。5g还是他说了算,核心必要专利,他最多,没办法。 最新的费率也出来了,依旧很黑,2.5%往上,显然会比4g时代更高一些,因为会使用到人家2g/3g/4g/5g的所有专利,为了保持兼容性。未来6g?那不是我这辈子要考虑的。 这部分的销售只占三成,但毛利润高,而且会帮助高通拿下硬件的订单,捆绑销售。 所以,客观的说,高通有能力继续提高盈利,5g对高通很重要。不利因素短期是巨头之间的摩擦,长期是自研cpu/gpu优势荡然无存,不但落后苹果,甚至落后华为了,这个趋势不好,说明人才竞争上落后了,这也是因为这几年半导体行业发生了巨变,人才短缺造成的,不说创业的,国内各大公司都排着队在名校,硅谷挖人。当然核心通信专利有被超越的可能。 结论,高通未来几年依旧imba,依旧官司不断,依旧让很多厂家如鲠在喉,对手们会默默研发,积蓄专利组合。但现在还是乖乖交钱。核心cpugpu是个大麻烦,好在苹果和华为,三星都只给自己用,华为估计和专利授权有关,不能卖给第三方。其他竞争对手暂时不是对手。等5g上马,预计明年,才是高通大赚的时候。今年把官司了结,努力研发才是关键,缓慢起飞吧,现在确实便宜,但短线不看好,长线价值投资可以。","text":"$高通(QCOM)$ 高通招人讨厌吗,是的,媒体一向把高通形容为恶龙,华为成了抗龙勇士,额,不,是苹果,苹果毕竟交的多,也叫的痛。 但未来两年,你能摆脱高通吗,看最近的各种官司,商业进展,难?no, 是不能。5g还是他说了算,核心必要专利,他最多,没办法。 最新的费率也出来了,依旧很黑,2.5%往上,显然会比4g时代更高一些,因为会使用到人家2g/3g/4g/5g的所有专利,为了保持兼容性。未来6g?那不是我这辈子要考虑的。 这部分的销售只占三成,但毛利润高,而且会帮助高通拿下硬件的订单,捆绑销售。 所以,客观的说,高通有能力继续提高盈利,5g对高通很重要。不利因素短期是巨头之间的摩擦,长期是自研cpu/gpu优势荡然无存,不但落后苹果,甚至落后华为了,这个趋势不好,说明人才竞争上落后了,这也是因为这几年半导体行业发生了巨变,人才短缺造成的,不说创业的,国内各大公司都排着队在名校,硅谷挖人。当然核心通信专利有被超越的可能。 结论,高通未来几年依旧imba,依旧官司不断,依旧让很多厂家如鲠在喉,对手们会默默研发,积蓄专利组合。但现在还是乖乖交钱。核心cpugpu是个大麻烦,好在苹果和华为,三星都只给自己用,华为估计和专利授权有关,不能卖给第三方。其他竞争对手暂时不是对手。等5g上马,预计明年,才是高通大赚的时候。今年把官司了结,努力研发才是关键,缓慢起飞吧,现在确实便宜,但短线不看好,长线价值投资可以。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397878","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"content":"好吧,写点更实在的,我认为下半年随着5g手机真正上市,才是入手的时机,5g网络明年才能部署到大规模商用,小范围测试不算,5g也不是给p民的,可以去看看任正非的采访,很实在。5g手机大规模上市的时候,就是。。。短线都是波动,可以抄,现在大环境不好,高通翻不了天。 现在看着是便宜,任何负面的判决,都会严重打击高通的股价,可能会影响到商业模式。","text":"好吧,写点更实在的,我认为下半年随着5g手机真正上市,才是入手的时机,5g网络明年才能部署到大规模商用,小范围测试不算,5g也不是给p民的,可以去看看任正非的采访,很实在。5g手机大规模上市的时候,就是。。。短线都是波动,可以抄,现在大环境不好,高通翻不了天。 现在看着是便宜,任何负面的判决,都会严重打击高通的股价,可能会影响到商业模式。","html":"好吧,写点更实在的,我认为下半年随着5g手机真正上市,才是入手的时机,5g网络明年才能部署到大规模商用,小范围测试不算,5g也不是给p民的,可以去看看任正非的采访,很实在。5g手机大规模上市的时候,就是。。。短线都是波动,可以抄,现在大环境不好,高通翻不了天。 现在看着是便宜,任何负面的判决,都会严重打击高通的股价,可能会影响到商业模式。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":388744,"gmtCreate":1548549004716,"gmtModify":1704788046650,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$Facebook(FB)$ fb难道非死不可? 信息滥用事件,会影响多长时间?普通用户还在用,商务广告减速增长,但品牌美誉度确实下滑了,核心是暂时没有完全替代的社交竞品,你的社交链无法轻易重建,更何况这是全球级别的社交链。 最近的公关攻势是个好开始,继续游说,减少罚款,减少曝光,认错表态。 移动平台短视频的潮流,你没早点抓住,油管也没抓住,lasso全靠模仿肯定不行,还是要差异化,选材,热门博主,艺人,看你了,成功率低于五成。 ai, vr变现还早,现在核心还是粘住用户时间,降低负面,调整广告。没有时长的活跃用户数,都是垃圾。 所以,关键的来了,股票会不断在50左右徘徊,直到财报一波利好,到60内,然后天价罚单导致下跌,第三季度开始,丑闻淡化,如果美国经济没有大萧条,开始缓慢走强,长期来看,值得持有,因为这公司和腾讯一样,又大又不要脸,如果适当多做点游戏就好了。","listText":"$Facebook(FB)$ fb难道非死不可? 信息滥用事件,会影响多长时间?普通用户还在用,商务广告减速增长,但品牌美誉度确实下滑了,核心是暂时没有完全替代的社交竞品,你的社交链无法轻易重建,更何况这是全球级别的社交链。 最近的公关攻势是个好开始,继续游说,减少罚款,减少曝光,认错表态。 移动平台短视频的潮流,你没早点抓住,油管也没抓住,lasso全靠模仿肯定不行,还是要差异化,选材,热门博主,艺人,看你了,成功率低于五成。 ai, vr变现还早,现在核心还是粘住用户时间,降低负面,调整广告。没有时长的活跃用户数,都是垃圾。 所以,关键的来了,股票会不断在50左右徘徊,直到财报一波利好,到60内,然后天价罚单导致下跌,第三季度开始,丑闻淡化,如果美国经济没有大萧条,开始缓慢走强,长期来看,值得持有,因为这公司和腾讯一样,又大又不要脸,如果适当多做点游戏就好了。","text":"$Facebook(FB)$ fb难道非死不可? 信息滥用事件,会影响多长时间?普通用户还在用,商务广告减速增长,但品牌美誉度确实下滑了,核心是暂时没有完全替代的社交竞品,你的社交链无法轻易重建,更何况这是全球级别的社交链。 最近的公关攻势是个好开始,继续游说,减少罚款,减少曝光,认错表态。 移动平台短视频的潮流,你没早点抓住,油管也没抓住,lasso全靠模仿肯定不行,还是要差异化,选材,热门博主,艺人,看你了,成功率低于五成。 ai, vr变现还早,现在核心还是粘住用户时间,降低负面,调整广告。没有时长的活跃用户数,都是垃圾。 所以,关键的来了,股票会不断在50左右徘徊,直到财报一波利好,到60内,然后天价罚单导致下跌,第三季度开始,丑闻淡化,如果美国经济没有大萧条,开始缓慢走强,长期来看,值得持有,因为这公司和腾讯一样,又大又不要脸,如果适当多做点游戏就好了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"content":"最近所有预计几乎都准确,为啥,看业务核心。接下来一段时间,我看空,本人不做空。核心就是用户增长缓慢,对手增速快。严重依赖移动端,而移动端优势减少。用户时长减少,对手增加。丑闻没结束,罚单还没到。收购是脸书最高的办法,但需要等丑闻结束,否则欧美舆论端麻烦更大。","text":"最近所有预计几乎都准确,为啥,看业务核心。接下来一段时间,我看空,本人不做空。核心就是用户增长缓慢,对手增速快。严重依赖移动端,而移动端优势减少。用户时长减少,对手增加。丑闻没结束,罚单还没到。收购是脸书最高的办法,但需要等丑闻结束,否则欧美舆论端麻烦更大。","html":"最近所有预计几乎都准确,为啥,看业务核心。接下来一段时间,我看空,本人不做空。核心就是用户增长缓慢,对手增速快。严重依赖移动端,而移动端优势减少。用户时长减少,对手增加。丑闻没结束,罚单还没到。收购是脸书最高的办法,但需要等丑闻结束,否则欧美舆论端麻烦更大。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":431172,"gmtCreate":1552699444989,"gmtModify":1704793285798,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$动视暴雪(ATVI)$ 暴雪最大的问题是变平庸了,人走了,文化也变了,吃老本,还能继续赚些,很难暴涨了。动视就看cod,风险在于过于依赖cod,扑街一次财报就完,好在对手ea一直在犯错,给自己机会。剩下的小游戏,收购之后一只稳定贡献现金流,就是没新作。总结,动视暴雪还能赚钱,但现阶段看不到高增长引爆点,只能勉力维持,需要追加投入创新了。","listText":"$动视暴雪(ATVI)$ 暴雪最大的问题是变平庸了,人走了,文化也变了,吃老本,还能继续赚些,很难暴涨了。动视就看cod,风险在于过于依赖cod,扑街一次财报就完,好在对手ea一直在犯错,给自己机会。剩下的小游戏,收购之后一只稳定贡献现金流,就是没新作。总结,动视暴雪还能赚钱,但现阶段看不到高增长引爆点,只能勉力维持,需要追加投入创新了。","text":"$动视暴雪(ATVI)$ 暴雪最大的问题是变平庸了,人走了,文化也变了,吃老本,还能继续赚些,很难暴涨了。动视就看cod,风险在于过于依赖cod,扑街一次财报就完,好在对手ea一直在犯错,给自己机会。剩下的小游戏,收购之后一只稳定贡献现金流,就是没新作。总结,动视暴雪还能赚钱,但现阶段看不到高增长引爆点,只能勉力维持,需要追加投入创新了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/431172","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"185051829723750","authorId":"185051829723750","name":"斯巴达克斯m","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b32c3166b803bb3ee3086ffee2f563c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"185051829723750","authorIdStr":"185051829723750"},"content":"觉得超跌了 估计呆反弹 半年内看到60左右 你怎么看?","text":"觉得超跌了 估计呆反弹 半年内看到60左右 你怎么看?","html":"觉得超跌了 估计呆反弹 半年内看到60左右 你怎么看?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":392023,"gmtCreate":1548905106423,"gmtModify":1704788459057,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 财报解读#老虎财报季# 核心业务,首先国内市场远未饱和,不是零和游戏。而京东受困于负面新闻,多品类发展。拼多多还在拼渠道下沉,产品质量顾不上。后两个也算互补,在腾讯下面继续输出。gkd 支付领先微信,但不是绝对,对方也在弥补差距,下一步估计在场景和事件营销下功夫,包括渠道下沉。 文娱太差,原因在于管理团队,找错了人,再说一次。这次税款时间,也算是梳理了一下,有助于合规化管理,关键还是找对管理层,从12,13年接触阿里文娱,这种不计回报,乱投医的投资方式,确实起到了千金买骨的作用,吸引了一起嘴炮混子,仔细查,没准下一个大疆的案例。 云的市场很大,规模经济明显。 未来方向:国际化,全国化,第三世界国家消费缓慢升级,底层技术投资不能停。 结论,逢低吸纳,值得相信,毕竟人口红利还没吃完,等吃完了,就要和🐺拼命了。","listText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 财报解读#老虎财报季# 核心业务,首先国内市场远未饱和,不是零和游戏。而京东受困于负面新闻,多品类发展。拼多多还在拼渠道下沉,产品质量顾不上。后两个也算互补,在腾讯下面继续输出。gkd 支付领先微信,但不是绝对,对方也在弥补差距,下一步估计在场景和事件营销下功夫,包括渠道下沉。 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结论,逢低吸纳,值得相信,毕竟人口红利还没吃完,等吃完了,就要和🐺拼命了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/392023","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274697199742","authorId":"3479274697199742","name":"TomCap","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9acc9bfb71476c497be167c25070468b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274697199742","authorIdStr":"3479274697199742"},"content":"文娱是真的完全亏本","text":"文娱是真的完全亏本","html":"文娱是真的完全亏本"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":903323904,"gmtCreate":1556815535808,"gmtModify":1704801332652,"author":{"id":"3464387590673481","authorId":"3464387590673481","name":"麦麦卢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0ce6565a8141c3694354989c3208a1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464387590673481","authorIdStr":"3464387590673481"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$新氧(SY)$ 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汽车行业的衰退,一般会影响各种渠道的广告投入,而此股股价。。。嗯。。。异常。优势也有,易车爱卡掉队后,汽车之家有点一骑绝尘,但是阅读体验并没有提升。稍后关注一下数据。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/458638","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3485930857084515","authorId":"3485930857084515","name":"一剑光寒十九洲","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3485930857084515","authorIdStr":"3485930857084515"},"content":"资产回报率挺高的 150亿市值 30亿的净利润 这股现在价格还算中性 100-120块钱算合理估值吧","text":"资产回报率挺高的 150亿市值 30亿的净利润 这股现在价格还算中性 100-120块钱算合理估值吧","html":"资产回报率挺高的 150亿市值 30亿的净利润 这股现在价格还算中性 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