稳健君的个人主页 - 老虎社区

稳健君

稳健君

知行合一

IP属地：福建

73关注

170粉丝

3主题

0勋章

09-27

$BABA1 20241220 120.0 CALL$ $哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ $纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$ $拼多多(PDD)$ 太魔幻了，拿了半年亏70%已经躺平了，三天四倍！！！

05-17

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 这不是meme，老贾当当做个人商业ip这个事情就估值至少十个亿，已经在接洽投资人了！

05-03

$蔚来(NIO)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $小米集团-W(01810)$ $哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ $拼多多(PDD)$ 回来了

04-12

木头姐真是特斯拉的坚定信仰者

木头姐最新访谈：英伟达“卖早了”没什么，新买的Coinbase涨得更好

04-12

不错👍

@小虎访谈:【小虎访谈】苏州韭菜盒子：特斯拉曾一天内让我账户翻倍！

2021-03-16

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$$百度(BIDU)$$蔚来(NIO)$我就是那个从八倍到爆仓的稳健君，少帅老师分析的很到位！我是个互联网创业者，我最大的错误是用做生意的思维来做股票，创业讲究在对的时机ALL IN讲究人定天胜，但投资股票不是做生意，要敬畏市场先生，尊重趋势。认真看了每一个评论，感谢各位虎友关注

@少帅Pro:是什么，让一个人不到一年，从8倍收益到亏损80%？

2021-03-11

$百度(BIDU)$$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$$蔚来(NIO)$从八倍的收益率到现在本金亏损百分之80%，我是如何凭运气赚的钱靠实力全亏了[生气] 我是19年开的户期间因为创业一直没有入金，到了2020年下半年发觉是进场的机会了，于是开始找各种渠道入金。一开始操作比较保守因为经历过中国股市的暴锤，所以给自己取的名字叫“稳健君”（现在看来真是打自己脸）获得八倍收益主要得益于小鹏汽车、百度、哔哩哔哩、蔚来、拼多多，一开始我只做正股获得了50%左右的收益，后面因为长期看好哔哩哔哩、百度、拼多多于是就用了券商的杠杆来做，大概是1.7倍左右的杠杆，然后获得了150%左右的收益，接下来的故事就是开启了坐火箭的模式，我总是关注帖子里那些动辄翻了10倍20倍的牛人，想研究他们是如何做到的。答案是：期权。在十一月份看到百度要起飞的迹象，于是把正股全部换成了看涨期权，也许是运气好百度真的开始起飞了，手中的看涨期权一个晚上就是100%的收益，当时感觉简直就是来股市捡钱来着。从此走向了一条不归路，我不再做正股，期权做久了感觉正股的收益太小了，于是全仓期权！这为我接下来的“覆灭”埋下了伏笔，春节后纳斯达克指数一路下跌，而我却没有做任何风险防范，选择了极为激进的模式，一路跌一路买看涨期权，当时的脑子里想的是美股是长牛肯定会反弹的，再看期权价格这么便宜于是就买买买买，纳斯达克一跌我就买，越跌越买，结果就是手中的期权越来越多亏损越来越大！ 3月8号纳斯达克继续暴跌

2021-03-10

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$股票是好股票，观望是最正确的姿势

2021-03-10

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$我去，又是老套路，反弹后再跌一跌

2021-03-10

$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$ 美债收益率高了

2021-03-10

$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$ 别装了

2021-03-09

$百度(BIDU)$最后的出逃机会

2021-03-09

$百度(BIDU)$又来了盘前骗炮

2021-03-09

$百度(BIDU)$跑了跑了，留下的发财

2021-03-09

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$跑了跑了

2021-03-09

$百度(BIDU)$不与趋势作对了

2021-03-08

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$$百度(BIDU)$$蔚来(NIO)$我发现跟我同期只做期权的最近都不发声了，想必跟我一样难受吧[捂脸] 当初赚的多爽现在回撤的就有多狠。这个学费我觉得交的很值，时刻要保持风险意识

2021-03-04

$百度(BIDU)$现在骂陈友谅还有人赞嘛[得意]

2021-03-01

b站的护城河是快手没有的

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-01

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$来了来了熟悉的哔哩又来了

百度、哔哩哔哩临近香港二次上市上市聆讯

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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太魔幻了，拿了半年亏70%已经躺平了，三天四倍！！！","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cbde7e2f0789437f1cfbc5ff49d34e9","width":"1044","height":"1682"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353979436073200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3543476537030968","authorId":"3543476537030968","name":"zhyf916","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3543476537030968","authorIdStr":"3543476537030968"},"content":"买了多少个？期权就是高风险高收益，暴利，但风险又极高，钱打水漂也常有","text":"买了多少个？期权就是高风险高收益，暴利，但风险又极高，钱打水漂也常有","html":"买了多少个？期权就是高风险高收益，暴利，但风险又极高，钱打水漂也常有"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":306800380506128,"gmtCreate":1715937005231,"gmtModify":1715937006658,"author":{"id":"3445338441498553","authorId":"3445338441498553","name":"稳健君","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b333532bd9aece5da9159e7bf8ae18f4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3445338441498553","authorIdStr":"3445338441498553"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$&nbsp;</a> 回来了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$&nbsp;</a> 回来了","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $小米集团-W(01810)$ $哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ $拼多多(PDD)$ 回来了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ac13103e2954c71b9f6dcf2dd1a2260","width":"981","height":"1637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301922998837520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3493078634162771","authorId":"3493078634162771","name":"我要做镰刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6365846faba6b598ce7c03c4b7c652b0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3493078634162771","authorIdStr":"3493078634162771"},"content":"菜鸟想咨询个问题: 这个call你赚了，但你没有财力以低价从券商手中行权，只能赚权力金，如果到期时，call也没卖掉，怎么办？","text":"菜鸟想咨询个问题: 这个call你赚了，但你没有财力以低价从券商手中行权，只能赚权力金，如果到期时，call也没卖掉，怎么办？","html":"菜鸟想咨询个问题: 这个call你赚了，但你没有财力以低价从券商手中行权，只能赚权力金，如果到期时，call也没卖掉，怎么办？"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":294469465862344,"gmtCreate":1712905092847,"gmtModify":1712905094624,"author":{"id":"3445338441498553","authorId":"3445338441498553","name":"稳健君","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b333532bd9aece5da9159e7bf8ae18f4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3445338441498553","authorIdStr":"3445338441498553"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"木头姐真是特斯拉的坚定信仰者","listText":"木头姐真是特斯拉的坚定信仰者","text":"木头姐真是特斯拉的坚定信仰者","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/294469465862344","repostId":"2426225269","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2426225269","pubTimestamp":1712894973,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2426225269?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-04-12 12:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"木头姐最新访谈：英伟达“卖早了”没什么，新买的Coinbase涨得更好","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2426225269","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"木头姐表示，虽然英伟达在本轮AI竞赛中处于领先地位，但要证明其定价合理，还需要找到更多能够证明AI正在加速企业收入增长的证据。我们预计英伟达的年回报率很好，但跌破了我们15%的最低门槛。我们过早抛售了英伟达股票，但这些资金转投了Coinbase，后者在过去一年的涨幅超过了英伟达。Figure AI将成为这一领域的参与者。特斯拉已经从其汽车中移除了一些英伟达芯片。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>木头姐表示，虽然英伟达在本轮AI竞赛中处于领先地位，但要证明其定价合理，还需要找到更多能够证明AI正在加速企业收入增长的证据。她仍看好特斯拉的长期前景，主要基于其在自动驾驶和人形机器人领域的领先地位。</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_2014948575\">木头姐精彩观点：</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>我们认为，到2030年，<strong>自动驾驶出租车的整个生态系统将创造8万亿至10万亿美元的收入</strong>，像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>这样的平台提供商将获得其中的一半。</p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>在AI竞赛中处于领先地位，但要证明其定价合理，我们需要看到更多证据表明AI正在加速企业的收入增长。</p></li><li><p>企业管理层仍在努力理解AI对自身的意义。这需要时间......<strong>（AI）工具对许多员工来说并没用。ChatGPT只用了两个月就达到了1亿月活跃用户，活跃用户最高达到2亿，但现在降到了1.8亿左右。</strong>我原本预计会远远超过这个数字。</p></li><li><p>(还有哪些因素可能拖累英伟达的增长?)中国正在努力开发自己的芯片，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>等云服务提供商也是如此。特斯拉也在设计自己的芯片，因为它们对自动驾驶至关重要。特斯拉已经从其汽车中移除了一些英伟达芯片。</p></li><li><p>我们预计英伟达的年回报率很好，但跌破了我们15%的最低门槛。我们过早抛售了英伟达股票，<strong>但这些资金转投了Coinbase，后者在过去一年的涨幅超过了英伟达。</strong></p></li><li><p>(看好哪些与AI相关的投资?)<strong>在AI领域，关键是专有数据。</strong></p></li><li><p>我们将看到劳动力增长放缓，但不会下降。（AI）技术可能会在短期内取代一些工作岗位，但很多被抛在后面的人将承担监督技术的责任。从长远来看，就业岗位的数量将继续增加。</p></li><li><p>今天我们对AI有了更好的认识，但<strong>政府不应该扮演裁判的角色。</strong>美国国会有一场运动，旨在放缓监管行动，让市场发挥作用。</p></li><li><p>去年，亚马逊将其配送中心的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>数量增加了一倍，达到100万个，这一数字可能会在明年左右超过该公司的人类员工。Figure AI将成为这一领域的参与者。</p></li><li><p>至少从1998年开始，当利率上升时，黄金的购买力就会下降。但自2022年美联储开始加息以来，这种关联已经被打破。由于世界其他地区争相寻求避险，黄金正在突破。这意味着全球经济疲软。</p></li><li><p>不同技术之间的融合，尤其会推动产量爆炸式增长和成本下降......电动汽车是机器人技术、储能和AI的结合。我们认为，<strong>电动汽车的价格将在五年内降至2万至2.5万美元的范围。</strong></p></li></ul><p>木头姐、ARK Invest首席执行官Cathie Wood可能是特斯拉在华尔街的“粉头”，特斯拉股价今年下跌31%之际，她仍然坚定增加持仓。</p><p>Wood最近接受了《巴伦周刊》的采访，讨论了特斯拉、英伟达和其他AI概念股，以及ARK的未来。</p><p><strong>她表示看好特斯拉的长期前景，主要基于其在自动驾驶和人形机器人领域的领先地位。</strong></p><p>相较之下， Wood对英伟达的热情就没那么高了。这只股票在过去一年里上涨了两倍多，而Wood名下的旗舰基金ARK Innovation在2023年初抛售了它。 </p><p>Wood最近警告称，英伟达股价涨得太快，她还将其比作曾经的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">思科</a>，思科曾在互联网泡沫时期因网络硬件需求飙升股价暴涨，但后来在竞争对手进入市场后暴跌。</p><p>在最新的采访中，她指出，谷歌、亚马逊、微软、特斯拉等竞争对手纷纷亲自下场研发芯片，这将拖累英伟达未来收入增长。</p><p><strong>Wood认为，虽然英伟达在本轮AI竞赛中处于领先地位，但要证明其定价合理，还需要找到更多能够证明AI正在加速企业收入增长的证据。</strong>她看好AI领域专有数据的投资。</p><p>Wood还表示，当前的全球经济环境与20世纪80年代初类似，美元走强，新兴市场经济承压并开始降息，这些都是全球经济疲软的信号。另外，黄金突破了与美元的关联，出现了历史性突破，这也反映出全球经济前景并不明朗。</p><p>另外，Wood预计，电动汽车作为机器人技术、储能和AI的结合，价格将在五年内降至2万至2.5万美元的范围。</p><p>在经历异常艰难的2022年后，ARK Innovation在去年大幅反弹，累计涨幅达到72%，超过了纳斯达克综合指数45%的涨幅。但今年以来，随着美国通胀卷土重来，降息预期骤降，今年截至4月10日，该基金已下跌10%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbd115042c1ebb703ad0797907480b08\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"637\"/></p><blockquote><p><strong>以下是编辑后的采访内容：</strong></p></blockquote><p><strong>主持人：今年特斯拉股价下跌了30%。是什么让你保持乐观?</strong></p><p>Wood：特斯拉正在通过自动驾驶开展世界上最大的AI项目，它拥有比任何其他公司都多的真实世界驾驶数据。我们认为，到2030年，自动驾驶出租车的整个生态系统将创造8万亿至10万亿美元的收入，像特斯拉这样的平台提供商将获得其中的一半。</p><p>通过Optimus人形机器人项目，特斯拉也将成为人形机器人领域的领导者之一。汽车工厂的许多工作需要灵活处理螺栓和螺母，而机器人目前还无法做到这一点。但当它们准备就绪时，人形机器人可以帮助汽车工厂更快地扩大规模。</p><p><strong>主持人：在英伟达股价在过去六个月大幅上涨之前卖出，是否是你错失的机会?</strong></p><p>Wood：<strong>我们预计英伟达的年回报率很好，但跌破了我们15%的最低门槛。我们过早抛售了英伟达股票，但这些资金转投了Coinbase，后者在过去一年的涨幅超过了英伟达。</strong></p><p>从硬件的角度来看，英伟达在AI竞赛中处于领先地位。但要证明其定价合理，我们需要看到更多证据表明AI正在加速企业的收入增长。</p><p>在编码领域，生产力的提高是巨大的。但我们没有看到一些大公司的收入增长加速，而许多人原本预计这些公司会首先显示出AI应用的成果，比如Salesforce.com、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>，甚至是Autodesk。</p><p><strong>主持人：为什么会这样?</strong></p><p>Wood：企业管理层仍在努力理解AI对自身的意义。公司不希望不同部门在没有规模经济的情况下购买各种工具。为了以最有效的方式利用AI，他们需要将分散在各个部门的数据集中到一个地方，进行清理，并详尽地梳理工作流程。这需要时间。</p><p>企业也意识到，这些（AI）工具对许多员工来并没用。ChatGPT只用了两个月就达到了1亿月活跃用户，活跃用户最高达到2亿，但现在降到了1.8亿左右。我原本预计会远远超过这个数字。</p><p>我们仍在努力理解AI世界的价值将在哪里显现，因为其中很多正被开源模型商品化。这对那些想以订阅形式提供专业服务的公司构成了竞争，包括OpenAI。如果这些服务被免费纳入，这种商业模式可能会消失。</p><p><strong>主持人：还有哪些因素可能拖累英伟达的增长?</strong></p><p>Wood：中国正在努力开发自己的芯片，谷歌、亚马逊和微软等云服务提供商也是如此。特斯拉也在设计自己的芯片，因为它们对自动驾驶至关重要。特斯拉已经从其汽车中移除了一些英伟达芯片。</p><p>在芯片短缺期间，许多公司从英伟达二次或三次订货，试图获得足够的供应，从而提前了大量芯片需求。这种周期性动态可能会在未来几个月内得到缓解。埃隆·马斯克最近表示，他已经不再为获得芯片而烦恼。</p><p><strong>主持人：你看好哪些与AI相关的投资?</strong></p><p>Wood：在AI领域，关键是专有数据。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PATH\">UiPath</a>拥有全球所有主要公司工作流程的专有数据，正致力于找到各种任务的最高效工作流程。同样，得益于多年来与政府的合作，Palantir可以利用这些数据开发出提高政府部门效率的模式。</p><p>PagerDuty正在使用AI来发现数据中心出现的问题。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a>将在其数字市场中享受大量生产力提升和新服务。而Roblox的生态系统正在爆发式增长，因为AI在其平台上创造了新游戏。</p><p><strong>主持人：AI将如何影响经济和劳动力市场?</strong></p><p>Wood：我们将看到劳动力增长放缓，但不会下降。技术可能会在短期内取代一些工作岗位，但很多被抛在后面的人将承担监督技术的责任。从长远来看，就业岗位的数量将继续增加。</p><p>人们常常无法想象新技术将创造出什么样的新工作。例如，我们知道，如果改进提示计算机的方式，我们会得到更好的答案。因此，&#34;提示工程&#34;正在成为一个以前不存在的新工作。</p><p>在过去的重大技术变革中，由于生产力提高，工作时间以更快的速度减少。拖拉机提高了农场的生产力，人们不再需要孩子在那里工作，他们能够外出在工厂找到有报酬的工作。</p><p>这一次也会发生同样的事情。例如，由于自动驾驶，充当孩子&#34;出租车司机&#34;的父母将从这些责任中解放出来。节省下来的时间可以用于有偿工作，也可以用于休闲。</p><p><strong>主持人：公众的反对和监管会威胁到AI的发展吗?</strong></p><p>Wood：现在监管AI就像在20世纪90年代初监管互联网——我们甚至不知道它将会变成什么样子。今天我们对AI有了更好的认识，但政府不应该扮演裁判的角色。美国国会有一场运动，旨在放缓监管行动，让市场发挥作用。</p><p>如今，每个国家都希望成为创新中心。当美国联邦航空管理局限制无人机在美国的飞行区域时，亚马逊等公司正前往其他国家开展业务。美国政府已经意识到这一点，我们现在看到更多支持创新的法规出台。</p><p><strong>主持人：ARK Venture Fund中哪些私营公司最让你兴奋?</strong></p><p>Wood：我们投资组合中的第一批公司之一是MosaicML，这是一家软件公司，通过组织数据和使用大型语言模型帮助企业为AI时代做好准备。Databricks以我们支付价格的6倍收购了它，现在Databricks是我们投资组合中最大的持股之一。</p><p>Figure AI专注于人形机器人，其客户包括亚马逊和梅赛德斯。去年，亚马逊将其配送中心的机器人数量增加了一倍，达到100万个，这一数字可能会在明年左右超过该公司的人类员工。Figure AI将成为这一领域的参与者。</p><p>在多组学领域(结合不同类型生物数据的研究)，Freenome正在开发一种血液检测，通过识别脱落到血液中的息肉，帮助医生在第一阶段甚至更早期诊断癌症。</p><p><strong>主持人：什么可能会绊倒美股牛市?</strong></p><p>Wood：当今世界非常像20世纪80年代初：美元相对于许多其他货币变得强势，许多新兴市场开始降息，因为它们的经济正在承受痛苦。我们看到世界其他地区出现严重疲软的迹象，这将以某种形式冲击美国。</p><p>至少从1998年开始，当利率上升时，黄金的购买力就会下降。但自2022年美联储开始加息以来，这种关联已经被打破。由于世界其他地区争相寻求安全，黄金正在突破。这意味着全球经济疲软。</p><p>自去年夏天以来，我们看到市场在通胀是否会降低以及今年美联储将降息多少次的问题上摇摆不定。我们现在将看到另一次重新评估。最新的就业报告显示，几乎所有新增就业都是兼职，而全职就业实际上出现下降。</p><p><strong>主持人：未来几年，新技术将把全球经济带向何方?</strong></p><p>Wood：所有技术都是通缩性的，价格最终应该会下降。不同技术之间的融合，尤其会推动产量爆炸式增长和成本下降。这将是我们在未来几年将看到的一个大惊喜。</p><p>例如，电动汽车是机器人技术、储能和AI的结合。中国的小米刚刚发布了一款售价不到3万美元的新车型。我们认为，电动汽车的价格将在五年内降至2万至2.5万美元的范围。</p><p><strong>主持人：你对ARK有什么更长远的计划?</strong></p><p>Wood：我们的基础业务是公开市场上的颠覆性创新ETF和单独管理的账户。我们正在将风险投资大众化。我们的风险基金在Titan和Sofi平台上可用，任何拥有500美元的人都可以获得SpaceX或Discord的一部分，这些公司此前只对合格投资者开放。</p><p>我们今年推出了ARKB(ARK 21Shares比特币ETF)，但这只是我们希望在未来几年提供的广泛数字资产产品的开始。我们还希望在全球范围内构建所有产品。去年9月，我们收购了欧洲主题指数ETF专家Rize，这使我们能够在整个欧洲分销基金。我们将很快在那里推出三只基金。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>木头姐最新访谈：英伟达“卖早了”没什么，新买的Coinbase涨得更好</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n木头姐最新访谈：英伟达“卖早了”没什么，新买的Coinbase涨得更好\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-04-12 12:09 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3712563><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>木头姐表示，虽然英伟达在本轮AI竞赛中处于领先地位，但要证明其定价合理，还需要找到更多能够证明AI正在加速企业收入增长的证据。她仍看好特斯拉的长期前景，主要基于其在自动驾驶和人形机器人领域的领先地位。木头姐精彩观点：我们认为，到2030年，自动驾驶出租车的整个生态系统将创造8万亿至10万亿美元的收入，像特斯拉这样的平台提供商将获得其中的一半。英伟达在AI竞赛中处于领先地位，但要证明其定价合理，我们...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3712563\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb3bd059764d086db431f2a7e6f91526","relate_stocks":{"IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IE00BMPRXR70.SGD":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc SGD-H","BK4141":"半导体产品","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - 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AI将成为这一领域的参与者。至少从1998年开始，当利率上升时，黄金的购买力就会下降。但自2022年美联储开始加息以来，这种关联已经被打破。由于世界其他地区争相寻求避险，黄金正在突破。这意味着全球经济疲软。不同技术之间的融合，尤其会推动产量爆炸式增长和成本下降......电动汽车是机器人技术、储能和AI的结合。我们认为，电动汽车的价格将在五年内降至2万至2.5万美元的范围。木头姐、ARK Invest首席执行官Cathie Wood可能是特斯拉在华尔街的“粉头”，特斯拉股价今年下跌31%之际，她仍然坚定增加持仓。Wood最近接受了《巴伦周刊》的采访，讨论了特斯拉、英伟达和其他AI概念股，以及ARK的未来。她表示看好特斯拉的长期前景，主要基于其在自动驾驶和人形机器人领域的领先地位。相较之下， Wood对英伟达的热情就没那么高了。这只股票在过去一年里上涨了两倍多，而Wood名下的旗舰基金ARK Innovation在2023年初抛售了它。 Wood最近警告称，英伟达股价涨得太快，她还将其比作曾经的思科，思科曾在互联网泡沫时期因网络硬件需求飙升股价暴涨，但后来在竞争对手进入市场后暴跌。在最新的采访中，她指出，谷歌、亚马逊、微软、特斯拉等竞争对手纷纷亲自下场研发芯片，这将拖累英伟达未来收入增长。Wood认为，虽然英伟达在本轮AI竞赛中处于领先地位，但要证明其定价合理，还需要找到更多能够证明AI正在加速企业收入增长的证据。她看好AI领域专有数据的投资。Wood还表示，当前的全球经济环境与20世纪80年代初类似，美元走强，新兴市场经济承压并开始降息，这些都是全球经济疲软的信号。另外，黄金突破了与美元的关联，出现了历史性突破，这也反映出全球经济前景并不明朗。另外，Wood预计，电动汽车作为机器人技术、储能和AI的结合，价格将在五年内降至2万至2.5万美元的范围。在经历异常艰难的2022年后，ARK Innovation在去年大幅反弹，累计涨幅达到72%，超过了纳斯达克综合指数45%的涨幅。但今年以来，随着美国通胀卷土重来，降息预期骤降，今年截至4月10日，该基金已下跌10%。以下是编辑后的采访内容：主持人：今年特斯拉股价下跌了30%。是什么让你保持乐观?Wood：特斯拉正在通过自动驾驶开展世界上最大的AI项目，它拥有比任何其他公司都多的真实世界驾驶数据。我们认为，到2030年，自动驾驶出租车的整个生态系统将创造8万亿至10万亿美元的收入，像特斯拉这样的平台提供商将获得其中的一半。通过Optimus人形机器人项目，特斯拉也将成为人形机器人领域的领导者之一。汽车工厂的许多工作需要灵活处理螺栓和螺母，而机器人目前还无法做到这一点。但当它们准备就绪时，人形机器人可以帮助汽车工厂更快地扩大规模。主持人：在英伟达股价在过去六个月大幅上涨之前卖出，是否是你错失的机会?Wood：我们预计英伟达的年回报率很好，但跌破了我们15%的最低门槛。我们过早抛售了英伟达股票，但这些资金转投了Coinbase，后者在过去一年的涨幅超过了英伟达。从硬件的角度来看，英伟达在AI竞赛中处于领先地位。但要证明其定价合理，我们需要看到更多证据表明AI正在加速企业的收入增长。在编码领域，生产力的提高是巨大的。但我们没有看到一些大公司的收入增长加速，而许多人原本预计这些公司会首先显示出AI应用的成果，比如Salesforce.com、Adobe，甚至是Autodesk。主持人：为什么会这样?Wood：企业管理层仍在努力理解AI对自身的意义。公司不希望不同部门在没有规模经济的情况下购买各种工具。为了以最有效的方式利用AI，他们需要将分散在各个部门的数据集中到一个地方，进行清理，并详尽地梳理工作流程。这需要时间。企业也意识到，这些（AI）工具对许多员工来并没用。ChatGPT只用了两个月就达到了1亿月活跃用户，活跃用户最高达到2亿，但现在降到了1.8亿左右。我原本预计会远远超过这个数字。我们仍在努力理解AI世界的价值将在哪里显现，因为其中很多正被开源模型商品化。这对那些想以订阅形式提供专业服务的公司构成了竞争，包括OpenAI。如果这些服务被免费纳入，这种商业模式可能会消失。主持人：还有哪些因素可能拖累英伟达的增长?Wood：中国正在努力开发自己的芯片，谷歌、亚马逊和微软等云服务提供商也是如此。特斯拉也在设计自己的芯片，因为它们对自动驾驶至关重要。特斯拉已经从其汽车中移除了一些英伟达芯片。在芯片短缺期间，许多公司从英伟达二次或三次订货，试图获得足够的供应，从而提前了大量芯片需求。这种周期性动态可能会在未来几个月内得到缓解。埃隆·马斯克最近表示，他已经不再为获得芯片而烦恼。主持人：你看好哪些与AI相关的投资?Wood：在AI领域，关键是专有数据。UiPath拥有全球所有主要公司工作流程的专有数据，正致力于找到各种任务的最高效工作流程。同样，得益于多年来与政府的合作，Palantir可以利用这些数据开发出提高政府部门效率的模式。PagerDuty正在使用AI来发现数据中心出现的问题。Block将在其数字市场中享受大量生产力提升和新服务。而Roblox的生态系统正在爆发式增长，因为AI在其平台上创造了新游戏。主持人：AI将如何影响经济和劳动力市场?Wood：我们将看到劳动力增长放缓，但不会下降。技术可能会在短期内取代一些工作岗位，但很多被抛在后面的人将承担监督技术的责任。从长远来看，就业岗位的数量将继续增加。人们常常无法想象新技术将创造出什么样的新工作。例如，我们知道，如果改进提示计算机的方式，我们会得到更好的答案。因此，\"提示工程\"正在成为一个以前不存在的新工作。在过去的重大技术变革中，由于生产力提高，工作时间以更快的速度减少。拖拉机提高了农场的生产力，人们不再需要孩子在那里工作，他们能够外出在工厂找到有报酬的工作。这一次也会发生同样的事情。例如，由于自动驾驶，充当孩子\"出租车司机\"的父母将从这些责任中解放出来。节省下来的时间可以用于有偿工作，也可以用于休闲。主持人：公众的反对和监管会威胁到AI的发展吗?Wood：现在监管AI就像在20世纪90年代初监管互联网——我们甚至不知道它将会变成什么样子。今天我们对AI有了更好的认识，但政府不应该扮演裁判的角色。美国国会有一场运动，旨在放缓监管行动，让市场发挥作用。如今，每个国家都希望成为创新中心。当美国联邦航空管理局限制无人机在美国的飞行区域时，亚马逊等公司正前往其他国家开展业务。美国政府已经意识到这一点，我们现在看到更多支持创新的法规出台。主持人：ARK Venture Fund中哪些私营公司最让你兴奋?Wood：我们投资组合中的第一批公司之一是MosaicML，这是一家软件公司，通过组织数据和使用大型语言模型帮助企业为AI时代做好准备。Databricks以我们支付价格的6倍收购了它，现在Databricks是我们投资组合中最大的持股之一。Figure AI专注于人形机器人，其客户包括亚马逊和梅赛德斯。去年，亚马逊将其配送中心的机器人数量增加了一倍，达到100万个，这一数字可能会在明年左右超过该公司的人类员工。Figure AI将成为这一领域的参与者。在多组学领域(结合不同类型生物数据的研究)，Freenome正在开发一种血液检测，通过识别脱落到血液中的息肉，帮助医生在第一阶段甚至更早期诊断癌症。主持人：什么可能会绊倒美股牛市?Wood：当今世界非常像20世纪80年代初：美元相对于许多其他货币变得强势，许多新兴市场开始降息，因为它们的经济正在承受痛苦。我们看到世界其他地区出现严重疲软的迹象，这将以某种形式冲击美国。至少从1998年开始，当利率上升时，黄金的购买力就会下降。但自2022年美联储开始加息以来，这种关联已经被打破。由于世界其他地区争相寻求安全，黄金正在突破。这意味着全球经济疲软。自去年夏天以来，我们看到市场在通胀是否会降低以及今年美联储将降息多少次的问题上摇摆不定。我们现在将看到另一次重新评估。最新的就业报告显示，几乎所有新增就业都是兼职，而全职就业实际上出现下降。主持人：未来几年，新技术将把全球经济带向何方?Wood：所有技术都是通缩性的，价格最终应该会下降。不同技术之间的融合，尤其会推动产量爆炸式增长和成本下降。这将是我们在未来几年将看到的一个大惊喜。例如，电动汽车是机器人技术、储能和AI的结合。中国的小米刚刚发布了一款售价不到3万美元的新车型。我们认为，电动汽车的价格将在五年内降至2万至2.5万美元的范围。主持人：你对ARK有什么更长远的计划?Wood：我们的基础业务是公开市场上的颠覆性创新ETF和单独管理的账户。我们正在将风险投资大众化。我们的风险基金在Titan和Sofi平台上可用，任何拥有500美元的人都可以获得SpaceX或Discord的一部分，这些公司此前只对合格投资者开放。我们今年推出了ARKB(ARK 21Shares比特币ETF)，但这只是我们希望在未来几年提供的广泛数字资产产品的开始。我们还希望在全球范围内构建所有产品。去年9月，我们收购了欧洲主题指数ETF专家Rize，这使我们能够在整个欧洲分销基金。我们将很快在那里推出三只基金。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":294445001744688,"gmtCreate":1712899184344,"gmtModify":1712899186171,"author":{"id":"3445338441498553","authorId":"3445338441498553","name":"稳健君","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b333532bd9aece5da9159e7bf8ae18f4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3445338441498553","authorIdStr":"3445338441498553"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不错👍","listText":"不错👍","text":"不错👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/294445001744688","repostId":"294363030454288","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":294363030454288,"gmtCreate":1712894246322,"gmtModify":1713009912413,"author":{"id":"37002306153600","authorId":"37002306153600","name":"小虎访谈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0f6fba0673df1de1c5c31bb2b4f6d4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"37002306153600","authorIdStr":"37002306153600"},"themes":[],"title":"【小虎访谈】苏州韭菜盒子：特斯拉曾一天内让我账户翻倍！","htmlText":"若FSD表现良好，特斯拉股价还会疯狂！各位虎友们好，本周要与大家分享的虎友是 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3488195803759145\">@苏州韭菜盒子</a> 。作为一名全职交易者，他自2016年开始与 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 结缘[握手]，并一直深入研究特斯拉股票。他与特斯拉有着许多印象深刻的故事，曾因特斯拉上过央视[你懂的]，也曾在一天内凭借特斯拉实现账户翻倍[财迷]。然而，今年特斯拉的回撤也给他带来了严重的损失[流泪]。他认为，特斯拉股价的走势关键取决于FSDv12的表现。如果FSD表现良好，特斯拉股价将会再次疯狂[看涨]。来吧虎友们，让我们一起来听听他的投资心得大分享吧[你懂的][你懂的]Q：老师好呀，好久没有访谈啦，再给新朋友简单自我介绍一下吧我是一名35岁的全职交易员，来自苏州。昵称是在最开始注册的时候就勇敢喊话：我是来自苏州的小韭菜，来割我啊，然后就一直沿用至今。我的个人闪光点在于我有着很强的想象力，擅长期权策略交易。Q：您为什么决定做全职投资人呢？您现在如何平衡投资和生活投资是从2017年至今，应该刚好7年了，不知道投资生活有没有7年之痒。全职是因为感觉自己喜欢并擅长做这件事。因为全职投资的原因，我现在已经养成了美东时间的作息，在晚上9点开始工作，第二天凌晨5点才睡，一般下午1、2点起床。做交易的生活很枯燥，压力很大，很容易在一段时间内陷入一个漩涡里。我喜欢用旅行和朋友聚会以及听音乐去丰富自己的精神世界，那样可以在一定程度上帮助自己避免迷失在交易的漩涡里。Q：和我们一起分享一下您和特斯拉的故事吧，您是什么时候开始做特斯拉，为什么到现在还在操作特斯拉呢？2016年因为看了特斯拉的发布会，从此迷上了特斯拉，从车主到车友俱乐部负责人。特斯拉改变了我","listText":"若FSD表现良好，特斯拉股价还会疯狂！各位虎友们好，本周要与大家分享的虎友是 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3488195803759145\">@苏州韭菜盒子</a> 。作为一名全职交易者，他自2016年开始与 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 结缘[握手]，并一直深入研究特斯拉股票。他与特斯拉有着许多印象深刻的故事，曾因特斯拉上过央视[你懂的]，也曾在一天内凭借特斯拉实现账户翻倍[财迷]。然而，今年特斯拉的回撤也给他带来了严重的损失[流泪]。他认为，特斯拉股价的走势关键取决于FSDv12的表现。如果FSD表现良好，特斯拉股价将会再次疯狂[看涨]。来吧虎友们，让我们一起来听听他的投资心得大分享吧[你懂的][你懂的]Q：老师好呀，好久没有访谈啦，再给新朋友简单自我介绍一下吧我是一名35岁的全职交易员，来自苏州。昵称是在最开始注册的时候就勇敢喊话：我是来自苏州的小韭菜，来割我啊，然后就一直沿用至今。我的个人闪光点在于我有着很强的想象力，擅长期权策略交易。Q：您为什么决定做全职投资人呢？您现在如何平衡投资和生活投资是从2017年至今，应该刚好7年了，不知道投资生活有没有7年之痒。全职是因为感觉自己喜欢并擅长做这件事。因为全职投资的原因，我现在已经养成了美东时间的作息，在晚上9点开始工作，第二天凌晨5点才睡，一般下午1、2点起床。做交易的生活很枯燥，压力很大，很容易在一段时间内陷入一个漩涡里。我喜欢用旅行和朋友聚会以及听音乐去丰富自己的精神世界，那样可以在一定程度上帮助自己避免迷失在交易的漩涡里。Q：和我们一起分享一下您和特斯拉的故事吧，您是什么时候开始做特斯拉，为什么到现在还在操作特斯拉呢？2016年因为看了特斯拉的发布会，从此迷上了特斯拉，从车主到车友俱乐部负责人。特斯拉改变了我","text":"若FSD表现良好，特斯拉股价还会疯狂！各位虎友们好，本周要与大家分享的虎友是 @苏州韭菜盒子 。作为一名全职交易者，他自2016年开始与 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 结缘[握手]，并一直深入研究特斯拉股票。他与特斯拉有着许多印象深刻的故事，曾因特斯拉上过央视[你懂的]，也曾在一天内凭借特斯拉实现账户翻倍[财迷]。然而，今年特斯拉的回撤也给他带来了严重的损失[流泪]。他认为，特斯拉股价的走势关键取决于FSDv12的表现。如果FSD表现良好，特斯拉股价将会再次疯狂[看涨]。来吧虎友们，让我们一起来听听他的投资心得大分享吧[你懂的][你懂的]Q：老师好呀，好久没有访谈啦，再给新朋友简单自我介绍一下吧我是一名35岁的全职交易员，来自苏州。昵称是在最开始注册的时候就勇敢喊话：我是来自苏州的小韭菜，来割我啊，然后就一直沿用至今。我的个人闪光点在于我有着很强的想象力，擅长期权策略交易。Q：您为什么决定做全职投资人呢？您现在如何平衡投资和生活投资是从2017年至今，应该刚好7年了，不知道投资生活有没有7年之痒。全职是因为感觉自己喜欢并擅长做这件事。因为全职投资的原因，我现在已经养成了美东时间的作息，在晚上9点开始工作，第二天凌晨5点才睡，一般下午1、2点起床。做交易的生活很枯燥，压力很大，很容易在一段时间内陷入一个漩涡里。我喜欢用旅行和朋友聚会以及听音乐去丰富自己的精神世界，那样可以在一定程度上帮助自己避免迷失在交易的漩涡里。Q：和我们一起分享一下您和特斯拉的故事吧，您是什么时候开始做特斯拉，为什么到现在还在操作特斯拉呢？2016年因为看了特斯拉的发布会，从此迷上了特斯拉，从车主到车友俱乐部负责人。特斯拉改变了我","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b082654b8758a296db127d87780844","width":"816","height":"943"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d470b2d21bb590a8770b8d7ef0295f9","width":"968","height":"547"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7855f8c07d8884754dd1a84289ed1d26","width":"1269","height":"518"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/294363030454288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":325849345,"gmtCreate":1615888907287,"gmtModify":1703494514262,"author":{"id":"3445338441498553","authorId":"3445338441498553","name":"稳健君","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b333532bd9aece5da9159e7bf8ae18f4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3445338441498553","authorIdStr":"3445338441498553"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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认真看了每一个评论，感谢各位虎友关注","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325849345","repostId":"325889867","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":325889867,"gmtCreate":1615885860859,"gmtModify":1724042095880,"author":{"id":"3461111818041475","authorId":"3461111818041475","name":"少帅Pro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22d11e2c326fbab8693d00a9f4a85d25","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461111818041475","authorIdStr":"3461111818041475"},"themes":[],"title":"是什么，让一个人不到一年，从8倍收益到亏损80%？","htmlText":"一、简述下这位老baby的过程看了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3445338441498553\">@稳健君</a>&nbsp;老baby分享的他的故事：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/321747601?invite=WIQAS\" target=\"_blank\">从8倍的收益率到现在本金亏损80%</a>。我简述下过程：这位朋友研究了论坛里“动辄翻了10倍20倍的牛人”，结果找到了致富答案：期权。于是，从2020年下半年开始，他开始买入<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a>&nbsp;、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>&nbsp;和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>&nbsp;的看涨期权。接着，百度起飞，“手中的期权一个晚上就是100%的收益，当时感觉简直就是来股市捡钱来着。从此走上了一条不归路，我不再做正股，期权做久了感觉正股的收益太小了，于是全仓期权！”于是，创造了不到一年，盈利8倍的神话。接下来的故事你们大概猜到了，纳指进入3月份后连续几个大跌，在3月8号，纳指又一个暴跌后，他清仓了手中的看涨期权，转为买入看跌期权，结果，3月9日纳指反弹了3.69%，最终他亏损了80%多。二、我来分析分析，背后的原因是什么？首先，我不认为他是一个笨蛋。相反，看了原帖和他回复别人的话后，我觉得这是一位聪明、谦逊的朋友。有人说问题出在全仓了期权，买正股安全，他自己也认为是期权仓位的控制问题，但我觉得也不全是这","listText":"一、简述下这位老baby的过程看了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3445338441498553\">@稳健君</a>&nbsp;老baby分享的他的故事：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/321747601?invite=WIQAS\" target=\"_blank\">从8倍的收益率到现在本金亏损80%</a>。我简述下过程：这位朋友研究了论坛里“动辄翻了10倍20倍的牛人”，结果找到了致富答案：期权。于是，从2020年下半年开始，他开始买入<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a>&nbsp;、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>&nbsp;和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>&nbsp;的看涨期权。接着，百度起飞，“手中的期权一个晚上就是100%的收益，当时感觉简直就是来股市捡钱来着。从此走上了一条不归路，我不再做正股，期权做久了感觉正股的收益太小了，于是全仓期权！”于是，创造了不到一年，盈利8倍的神话。接下来的故事你们大概猜到了，纳指进入3月份后连续几个大跌，在3月8号，纳指又一个暴跌后，他清仓了手中的看涨期权，转为买入看跌期权，结果，3月9日纳指反弹了3.69%，最终他亏损了80%多。二、我来分析分析，背后的原因是什么？首先，我不认为他是一个笨蛋。相反，看了原帖和他回复别人的话后，我觉得这是一位聪明、谦逊的朋友。有人说问题出在全仓了期权，买正股安全，他自己也认为是期权仓位的控制问题，但我觉得也不全是这","text":"一、简述下这位老baby的过程看了@稳健君 老baby分享的他的故事：从8倍的收益率到现在本金亏损80%。我简述下过程：这位朋友研究了论坛里“动辄翻了10倍20倍的牛人”，结果找到了致富答案：期权。于是，从2020年下半年开始，他开始买入$百度(BIDU)$ 、$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 和$蔚来(NIO)$ 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a11ce01a8b984f6556550c8dba00e7f","relate_stocks":{"BILI":"哔哩哔哩","BIDU":"百度","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103011654217e63ee6d&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2116397585","content_text":"【百度、哔哩哔哩临近香港二次上市上市聆讯】百度、哔哩哔哩临近香港二次上市上市聆讯。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3516137562547509","authorId":"3516137562547509","name":"Anthea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94c780433f908003dd105461d7b94358","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3516137562547509","authorIdStr":"3516137562547509"},"content":"大盘这亚子，总不至于开盘后花样滑冰……吧？","text":"大盘这亚子，总不至于开盘后花样滑冰……吧？","html":"大盘这亚子，总不至于开盘后花样滑冰……吧？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":321747601,"gmtCreate":1615473160403,"gmtModify":1703489574006,"author":{"id":"3445338441498553","authorId":"3445338441498553","name":"稳健君","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b333532bd9aece5da9159e7bf8ae18f4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3445338441498553","authorIdStr":"3445338441498553"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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答案是：期权。在十一月份看到百度要起飞的迹象，于是把正股全部换成了看涨期权，也许是运气好百度真的开始起飞了，手中的看涨期权一个晚上就是100%的收益，当时感觉简直就是来股市捡钱来着。从此走向了一条不归路，我不再做正股，期权做久了感觉正股的收益太小了，于是全仓期权！ 这为我接下来的“覆灭”埋下了伏笔，春节后纳斯达克指数一路下跌，而我却没有做任何风险防范，选择了极为激进的模式，一路跌一路买看涨期权，当时的脑子里想的是美股是长牛肯定会反弹的，再看期权价格这么便宜于是就买买买买，纳斯达克一跌我就买，越跌越买，结果就是手中的期权越来越多亏损越来越大！ 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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103011654217e63ee6d&s=b><strong>财通社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【百度、哔哩哔哩临近香港二次上市上市聆讯】百度、哔哩哔哩临近香港二次上市上市聆讯。</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103011654217e63ee6d&s=b\">Web 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