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股海渣渣
2022-09-17
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
几年后归零
股海渣渣
2022-07-20
祝他早日归零
抱歉,原内容已删除
股海渣渣
2022-07-05
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@小虎AV: 【企业内部人士开始大笔买入约10亿美元股票】在去年创纪录地抛售股票之后,企业高管和董事们又开始买入股票了,这是否表明企业内部人士更加乐观?高管买入活跃的有
$星巴克(SBUX)$
$百思买(BBY)$
$DISH Network Corporation(DISH)$
等公司
股海渣渣
2022-01-06
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
股海渣渣
2021-11-30
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@小米死多头:【转】背信弃义、花心烂情,以身试法……澳门新赌王“洗米华”,栽了!
股海渣渣
2021-11-21
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
股海渣渣
2021-11-12
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
股海渣渣
2021-11-10
$Big 5体育用品(BGFV)$
诈骗公司 大家小心,可能offering
股海渣渣
2021-04-19
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
股海渣渣
2021-04-08
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@杨晨YC:最近看好的SPAC
股海渣渣
2021-04-07
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@扑克投资家:高盛:“铜可以抄底了!”大宗商品牛市将持续多年
股海渣渣
2021-04-07
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@KISS海投君:FuboTV 深度研究报告
股海渣渣
2021-04-06
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
股海渣渣
2021-01-07
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@老鲁随笔:为什么中国人更适合炒美股?
股海渣渣
2020-12-29
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@小虎周报:爱彼迎:共享经济成功的最佳案例
股海渣渣
2020-11-25
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@投资小达人:亲近股市不如远离股市
股海渣渣
2020-11-24
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@锐问:专访美国多夫曼基金投资人:做空特斯拉,不看好蔚来
股海渣渣
2020-10-21
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@MidasMike:知行合一:Baillie Gifford如何实现长期主义
股海渣渣
2020-10-17
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@格隆汇:这只股,让冯柳亏的有点多
股海渣渣
2020-09-29
$Churchill Capital Corp III(CCXX)$
一动不动是王八
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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澳门司警局火速召开特别新闻发布会,连同周焯华在内的11人,因涉及不法经营赌博及清洗黑钱罪,全部逮捕拘留。全员认罪,承认在海外架设赌博平台及进行电投犯罪,但对其他调查拒绝合作。 周焯华,昔日横跨赌坛、娱乐圈的风云大佬,此时已沦为阶下囚。 01 现实版马仔上位史 1974年5月,何鸿粲名下第一个澳门博彩“新花园”开业12周年之际,一名男婴悄悄诞生在澳门台风季,他就是周焯华。从小叛逆,不学无术,初中没毕业就开始混迹街头。为了维持生计,他通过朋友介绍初涉香港赌场,当起了马仔,主要工作是放高利贷。别看他学历不高,但能言善道,几句话就把客人哄得相当开心,渐渐的,他成了赌场里的“红人”,一来二去,引起了赌场大佬尹国驹的注意。尹国驹,人送外号“崩牙驹”,掌管着澳门14k赌场中的借贷生杀大权。尹国驹,江湖人称“驹哥”,是当时黑帮界一个响当当的人物,鼎盛时期被称为澳门“地下拿督”。其势力庞大马仔遍地,与水房、新义安等各大黑帮纷争不断,曾以一己之力打退香港黑帮的进攻,一战封神。即便是娱乐圈顶流也不过和他平起平坐。1998年,他拿出1400万为自己树碑立传,拍了一部半自传体电影《濠江风云》。明星助阵,大咖云集,手下一众马仔全部充当群演。当时,周焯华“有幸”成了他众百仔中的一员。投靠大哥不久,周焯华25岁那年,大佬尹国驹因涉黑被捕入狱。树倒猢狲散,其手下的马仔们全部跑路。但周焯华和其他马仔不同,在众人急于和尹国驹撇清关系时,周焯华多次到监狱探望老大。探监时还不忘说说对未来的规划,让身在监狱的尹国驹对他另眼相看。 重情+韬略,尹老大觉得此人可委以重任,于是,手书推荐信一封,让周焯华带着信去找他的好友“东哥”。瘦死的骆驼比马大,“崩牙驹”用几个赌场和“东哥”做交易,给周焯华换来了三千万的投资款,让他去经","listText":"被称为何鸿燊接班人的澳门新晋赌王周焯华(绰号“洗米华”),被逮捕了。从“批捕”到“逮捕”只用了两天。 澳门司警局火速召开特别新闻发布会,连同周焯华在内的11人,因涉及不法经营赌博及清洗黑钱罪,全部逮捕拘留。全员认罪,承认在海外架设赌博平台及进行电投犯罪,但对其他调查拒绝合作。 周焯华,昔日横跨赌坛、娱乐圈的风云大佬,此时已沦为阶下囚。 01 现实版马仔上位史 1974年5月,何鸿粲名下第一个澳门博彩“新花园”开业12周年之际,一名男婴悄悄诞生在澳门台风季,他就是周焯华。从小叛逆,不学无术,初中没毕业就开始混迹街头。为了维持生计,他通过朋友介绍初涉香港赌场,当起了马仔,主要工作是放高利贷。别看他学历不高,但能言善道,几句话就把客人哄得相当开心,渐渐的,他成了赌场里的“红人”,一来二去,引起了赌场大佬尹国驹的注意。尹国驹,人送外号“崩牙驹”,掌管着澳门14k赌场中的借贷生杀大权。尹国驹,江湖人称“驹哥”,是当时黑帮界一个响当当的人物,鼎盛时期被称为澳门“地下拿督”。其势力庞大马仔遍地,与水房、新义安等各大黑帮纷争不断,曾以一己之力打退香港黑帮的进攻,一战封神。即便是娱乐圈顶流也不过和他平起平坐。1998年,他拿出1400万为自己树碑立传,拍了一部半自传体电影《濠江风云》。明星助阵,大咖云集,手下一众马仔全部充当群演。当时,周焯华“有幸”成了他众百仔中的一员。投靠大哥不久,周焯华25岁那年,大佬尹国驹因涉黑被捕入狱。树倒猢狲散,其手下的马仔们全部跑路。但周焯华和其他马仔不同,在众人急于和尹国驹撇清关系时,周焯华多次到监狱探望老大。探监时还不忘说说对未来的规划,让身在监狱的尹国驹对他另眼相看。 重情+韬略,尹老大觉得此人可委以重任,于是,手书推荐信一封,让周焯华带着信去找他的好友“东哥”。瘦死的骆驼比马大,“崩牙驹”用几个赌场和“东哥”做交易,给周焯华换来了三千万的投资款,让他去经","text":"被称为何鸿燊接班人的澳门新晋赌王周焯华(绰号“洗米华”),被逮捕了。从“批捕”到“逮捕”只用了两天。 澳门司警局火速召开特别新闻发布会,连同周焯华在内的11人,因涉及不法经营赌博及清洗黑钱罪,全部逮捕拘留。全员认罪,承认在海外架设赌博平台及进行电投犯罪,但对其他调查拒绝合作。 周焯华,昔日横跨赌坛、娱乐圈的风云大佬,此时已沦为阶下囚。 01 现实版马仔上位史 1974年5月,何鸿粲名下第一个澳门博彩“新花园”开业12周年之际,一名男婴悄悄诞生在澳门台风季,他就是周焯华。从小叛逆,不学无术,初中没毕业就开始混迹街头。为了维持生计,他通过朋友介绍初涉香港赌场,当起了马仔,主要工作是放高利贷。别看他学历不高,但能言善道,几句话就把客人哄得相当开心,渐渐的,他成了赌场里的“红人”,一来二去,引起了赌场大佬尹国驹的注意。尹国驹,人送外号“崩牙驹”,掌管着澳门14k赌场中的借贷生杀大权。尹国驹,江湖人称“驹哥”,是当时黑帮界一个响当当的人物,鼎盛时期被称为澳门“地下拿督”。其势力庞大马仔遍地,与水房、新义安等各大黑帮纷争不断,曾以一己之力打退香港黑帮的进攻,一战封神。即便是娱乐圈顶流也不过和他平起平坐。1998年,他拿出1400万为自己树碑立传,拍了一部半自传体电影《濠江风云》。明星助阵,大咖云集,手下一众马仔全部充当群演。当时,周焯华“有幸”成了他众百仔中的一员。投靠大哥不久,周焯华25岁那年,大佬尹国驹因涉黑被捕入狱。树倒猢狲散,其手下的马仔们全部跑路。但周焯华和其他马仔不同,在众人急于和尹国驹撇清关系时,周焯华多次到监狱探望老大。探监时还不忘说说对未来的规划,让身在监狱的尹国驹对他另眼相看。 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1. PSAC - Farady Future,法拉第未来。高端电动车领域还是竞争不激烈,法拉第有很多自己的独特性,130kwh性能 + 前卫造型+ 无重力后排座椅 + 后排大屏,整体产品力很强,这次融资10亿美金左右,现金储备够用,前期是在美国生产,产能1w,中期是在韩国代工,从23年开始,产能27w台每年,后期25年开始和吉利合作生产,产能10w-25w。未来业务可以中美欧都会有。累计投资20亿,目前整体估值50亿不贵。22年上半年会上市FF91,初始目标22年销量2400台左右。售价18w美金起。23年上市FF81,预测23年总销量38600台,这个车在高端的市场绝对是好卖的。 2.STIC-Barkbox,一家非常有创新能力的宠物零食公司,就是早期的chewy,随便搜一搜,网上的流量很多,很多都是买家自己分享的,买家整体评价好,目前市值22亿左右,P/S为6,不贵。 3.VACQ-Rocket lab,太空探索领军企业,累计发射103颗卫星左右,有自己的3d打印火箭发动机技术。目前总部位于美国LA,跟SPACEX一个地方,跟NASA也合作紧密,今年Q3有一个跟NASA合作的探月计划,未来两年会有探火星的计划。成长路径是发射距离越来越远,发射的数量越来越多,发射的火箭大小越来越大,甚至可以从运载火箭到载人火箭进行拓展。后劲比较大,真正爆发的时候应该在2024年左右。 一家是电动车公司,一家是宠物零食公司,一家是火箭公司,这三家公司,你喜欢哪家呢? $PSAC$ $STIC$ $VACQ$","listText":"最近重点在关注SPAC,总结一下自己看好的几个未完成的SPAC,当做笔记: 1. PSAC - Farady Future,法拉第未来。高端电动车领域还是竞争不激烈,法拉第有很多自己的独特性,130kwh性能 + 前卫造型+ 无重力后排座椅 + 后排大屏,整体产品力很强,这次融资10亿美金左右,现金储备够用,前期是在美国生产,产能1w,中期是在韩国代工,从23年开始,产能27w台每年,后期25年开始和吉利合作生产,产能10w-25w。未来业务可以中美欧都会有。累计投资20亿,目前整体估值50亿不贵。22年上半年会上市FF91,初始目标22年销量2400台左右。售价18w美金起。23年上市FF81,预测23年总销量38600台,这个车在高端的市场绝对是好卖的。 2.STIC-Barkbox,一家非常有创新能力的宠物零食公司,就是早期的chewy,随便搜一搜,网上的流量很多,很多都是买家自己分享的,买家整体评价好,目前市值22亿左右,P/S为6,不贵。 3.VACQ-Rocket lab,太空探索领军企业,累计发射103颗卫星左右,有自己的3d打印火箭发动机技术。目前总部位于美国LA,跟SPACEX一个地方,跟NASA也合作紧密,今年Q3有一个跟NASA合作的探月计划,未来两年会有探火星的计划。成长路径是发射距离越来越远,发射的数量越来越多,发射的火箭大小越来越大,甚至可以从运载火箭到载人火箭进行拓展。后劲比较大,真正爆发的时候应该在2024年左右。 一家是电动车公司,一家是宠物零食公司,一家是火箭公司,这三家公司,你喜欢哪家呢? $PSAC$ $STIC$ $VACQ$","text":"最近重点在关注SPAC,总结一下自己看好的几个未完成的SPAC,当做笔记: 1. PSAC - Farady Future,法拉第未来。高端电动车领域还是竞争不激烈,法拉第有很多自己的独特性,130kwh性能 + 前卫造型+ 无重力后排座椅 + 后排大屏,整体产品力很强,这次融资10亿美金左右,现金储备够用,前期是在美国生产,产能1w,中期是在韩国代工,从23年开始,产能27w台每年,后期25年开始和吉利合作生产,产能10w-25w。未来业务可以中美欧都会有。累计投资20亿,目前整体估值50亿不贵。22年上半年会上市FF91,初始目标22年销量2400台左右。售价18w美金起。23年上市FF81,预测23年总销量38600台,这个车在高端的市场绝对是好卖的。 2.STIC-Barkbox,一家非常有创新能力的宠物零食公司,就是早期的chewy,随便搜一搜,网上的流量很多,很多都是买家自己分享的,买家整体评价好,目前市值22亿左右,P/S为6,不贵。 3.VACQ-Rocket lab,太空探索领军企业,累计发射103颗卫星左右,有自己的3d打印火箭发动机技术。目前总部位于美国LA,跟SPACEX一个地方,跟NASA也合作紧密,今年Q3有一个跟NASA合作的探月计划,未来两年会有探火星的计划。成长路径是发射距离越来越远,发射的数量越来越多,发射的火箭大小越来越大,甚至可以从运载火箭到载人火箭进行拓展。后劲比较大,真正爆发的时候应该在2024年左右。 一家是电动车公司,一家是宠物零食公司,一家是火箭公司,这三家公司,你喜欢哪家呢? $PSAC$ $STIC$ $VACQ$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64a374257a1dd4b4a8d7ef3fd348d7a4","width":"1437","height":"772"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1212fcf3a753d78313d33160b887819c","width":"671","height":"495"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92baf6dc27ce8ae4854a23b3ea7396e3","width":"1200","height":"800"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341734409","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1943,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":341949613,"gmtCreate":1617774883332,"gmtModify":1617774883332,"author":{"id":"1392077993124","authorId":"1392077993124","name":"股海渣渣","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a8c29f7c4fd78b99e23ebb123f789efe","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"1392077993124","idStr":"1392077993124"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341949613","repostId":"343659756","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":343659756,"gmtCreate":1617710400000,"gmtModify":1617767093486,"author":{"id":"3524105581449289","authorId":"3524105581449289","name":"扑克投资家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca993284400c72bf022739f5328f46cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3524105581449289","idStr":"3524105581449289"},"themes":[],"title":"高盛:“铜可以抄底了!”大宗商品牛市将持续多年","htmlText":"作 者 | 曹泽熙 来 源 | 华尔街见闻 在华尔街大宗商品旗手高盛看来,当前该抄底的不只是石油,还有铜。 高盛大宗商品团队称,由于提价的动能持续,以及长期存在的供需不平衡,如今的大宗商品牛市将持续多年。 高盛认为,投资者很容易被一些短期因素蒙蔽双眼,当前铜价走低,只不过是遇到了“减速带”。例如今年一季度中期的铜,遇到了和去年四季度原油类似的问题——库存暂时升高。高盛认为,目前一些资金退场,和这一因素不无关系。 今年铜短缺将达到39万吨, 坚持未来12个月铜目标价10500美元 高盛称,最近金属价格的疲软,不过是季节性的——春节期间,中国对铜等金属的需求下降。但是,一季度的不佳表现,却可能是接下来铜价上涨的起点。 但是,高盛依然坚信,铜价会在短暂的下跌后上涨。高盛预计,今年全球铜的短缺将达到39万吨,并坚持未来3个月/6个月/12个月的铜目标价为9200美元/9800美元/10500美元。 在2月底突破9500美元关口后,LME期铜价格一路走低,目前已跌至9000美元下方。 绿色经济支撑铜的需求 高盛认为,在过去6个月表现亮眼的铜,未来有更大的提价空间:因为铜也是绿色产业不可或缺的金属之一,在全球主要经济体之中,绿色产业都是当前当之无愧的热门。 高盛预计,和绿色产业相关的铜需求今年将达到110万吨,按照该行的基本假设,2025年将达到300万吨,而到了2030年,将达到620万吨。 铜供给外,多重因素 或将助推全球铜价上涨 高盛认为,目前铜的市场正在进入一个持续数个季度的供给短缺时代,从今年二季度到年底,精炼铜会出现74万吨的短缺,而一季度时供给则多于需求,多出了35万吨。此外,持续和显著的库存去化,也将是助推铜价的重要因素。 高盛称,铜矿的供应端非常脆弱,任何一个大型铜矿哪怕只是短暂地暂停或者减少生产,都可能触发全球铜价的上涨。 铜","listText":"作 者 | 曹泽熙 来 源 | 华尔街见闻 在华尔街大宗商品旗手高盛看来,当前该抄底的不只是石油,还有铜。 高盛大宗商品团队称,由于提价的动能持续,以及长期存在的供需不平衡,如今的大宗商品牛市将持续多年。 高盛认为,投资者很容易被一些短期因素蒙蔽双眼,当前铜价走低,只不过是遇到了“减速带”。例如今年一季度中期的铜,遇到了和去年四季度原油类似的问题——库存暂时升高。高盛认为,目前一些资金退场,和这一因素不无关系。 今年铜短缺将达到39万吨, 坚持未来12个月铜目标价10500美元 高盛称,最近金属价格的疲软,不过是季节性的——春节期间,中国对铜等金属的需求下降。但是,一季度的不佳表现,却可能是接下来铜价上涨的起点。 但是,高盛依然坚信,铜价会在短暂的下跌后上涨。高盛预计,今年全球铜的短缺将达到39万吨,并坚持未来3个月/6个月/12个月的铜目标价为9200美元/9800美元/10500美元。 在2月底突破9500美元关口后,LME期铜价格一路走低,目前已跌至9000美元下方。 绿色经济支撑铜的需求 高盛认为,在过去6个月表现亮眼的铜,未来有更大的提价空间:因为铜也是绿色产业不可或缺的金属之一,在全球主要经济体之中,绿色产业都是当前当之无愧的热门。 高盛预计,和绿色产业相关的铜需求今年将达到110万吨,按照该行的基本假设,2025年将达到300万吨,而到了2030年,将达到620万吨。 铜供给外,多重因素 或将助推全球铜价上涨 高盛认为,目前铜的市场正在进入一个持续数个季度的供给短缺时代,从今年二季度到年底,精炼铜会出现74万吨的短缺,而一季度时供给则多于需求,多出了35万吨。此外,持续和显著的库存去化,也将是助推铜价的重要因素。 高盛称,铜矿的供应端非常脆弱,任何一个大型铜矿哪怕只是短暂地暂停或者减少生产,都可能触发全球铜价的上涨。 铜","text":"作 者 | 曹泽熙 来 源 | 华尔街见闻 在华尔街大宗商品旗手高盛看来,当前该抄底的不只是石油,还有铜。 高盛大宗商品团队称,由于提价的动能持续,以及长期存在的供需不平衡,如今的大宗商品牛市将持续多年。 高盛认为,投资者很容易被一些短期因素蒙蔽双眼,当前铜价走低,只不过是遇到了“减速带”。例如今年一季度中期的铜,遇到了和去年四季度原油类似的问题——库存暂时升高。高盛认为,目前一些资金退场,和这一因素不无关系。 今年铜短缺将达到39万吨, 坚持未来12个月铜目标价10500美元 高盛称,最近金属价格的疲软,不过是季节性的——春节期间,中国对铜等金属的需求下降。但是,一季度的不佳表现,却可能是接下来铜价上涨的起点。 但是,高盛依然坚信,铜价会在短暂的下跌后上涨。高盛预计,今年全球铜的短缺将达到39万吨,并坚持未来3个月/6个月/12个月的铜目标价为9200美元/9800美元/10500美元。 在2月底突破9500美元关口后,LME期铜价格一路走低,目前已跌至9000美元下方。 绿色经济支撑铜的需求 高盛认为,在过去6个月表现亮眼的铜,未来有更大的提价空间:因为铜也是绿色产业不可或缺的金属之一,在全球主要经济体之中,绿色产业都是当前当之无愧的热门。 高盛预计,和绿色产业相关的铜需求今年将达到110万吨,按照该行的基本假设,2025年将达到300万吨,而到了2030年,将达到620万吨。 铜供给外,多重因素 或将助推全球铜价上涨 高盛认为,目前铜的市场正在进入一个持续数个季度的供给短缺时代,从今年二季度到年底,精炼铜会出现74万吨的短缺,而一季度时供给则多于需求,多出了35万吨。此外,持续和显著的库存去化,也将是助推铜价的重要因素。 高盛称,铜矿的供应端非常脆弱,任何一个大型铜矿哪怕只是短暂地暂停或者减少生产,都可能触发全球铜价的上涨。 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深度研究报告","htmlText":"分享人:海投君 Alex, Swee(**: Swee找自由) 分享时间:2021年2月28日 文章整理:Luca 1.行业情况 FuboTV,主要业务是体育流媒体以及正在布局中的博彩业务。2020年付费电视提供商用户流失加剧。 1.1 付费电视发展整体情况 根据2021年3月4日美国研究机LRG(Leichtman Research Group,Inc.)的调查数据,约占95%市场份额的美国主流付费电视提供商(pay-TV,不包括流媒体VOD形态)损失惨重,在2020年付费电视用户减少了约512万人,流失率高达5.93%;相比之下2019年的净亏损约为479.5万人。从这一数据看,2020年付费电视提供商用户流失是放大了。其中,美国四大付费电视服务商(Comcast,AT&T,Charter,Dish)的用户流失情况情况几乎是2018年两倍。目前这些付费电视提供商目前约有8130万用户,其中前七大有线电视运营商有4390万用户,卫星电视服务商有大约2180万用户,主流电信运营商有790万用户,主流的网络电视服务商(CTV)付费电视服务有770万用户。 表为:2019-2020年美国各类付费电视用户变化情况 说明:因为数据公开度和一致性问题,这里的CTV服务商不包括Youtube TV,也不包括Philo。因为这两者都没有定期公开报告,其订户数统计口径也不一定是以家庭用户数为准。其中Youtube TV在2020年Q3披露有300万付费订户。 1.2各个付费电视渠道用户变化情况 LRG的主要调查结果显示: (1)卫星电视服务商在2020年减少了约344万名用户,流失率高达13.53%;而2019年则减少了约370万名用户。 (2)前七家有线电视运营商在2020年减少了约191.5万名视频用户,流失率为达4.18%,而2019年则减少了约1","listText":"分享人:海投君 Alex, Swee(**: Swee找自由) 分享时间:2021年2月28日 文章整理:Luca 1.行业情况 FuboTV,主要业务是体育流媒体以及正在布局中的博彩业务。2020年付费电视提供商用户流失加剧。 1.1 付费电视发展整体情况 根据2021年3月4日美国研究机LRG(Leichtman Research 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是共享经济中最具代表性的两家企业,他们的出现给出租车行业和酒店行业带来了革命性的变化,共享经济在重塑传统行业格局展现出了巨大影响力。 投资要点 共享经济鼻祖 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$爱彼迎(ABNB)$</a>是共享住宿领域的领导者,拥有5400万活跃订户和400万房东,总预订规模达到380亿美元,较2018年的294亿美元增长29%。爱彼迎的优势在于,它拥有强大的品牌效应,并通过免费渠道产生流量,获客成本低于同行。 后疫情时代,爱彼迎增长的确定性较高 1)三季度开始,国内旅行复苏逐渐弥补国际旅游疲软,近几个月来,家庭和短途旅行的人数明显增加;2)爱彼迎平台的价值来自于每增加一个房客,都可以引导变成房东,从而形成良性循环。这种品牌效应是其他潜在的竞争对手所不具备的。简而言之,作为一个在线平台,它也能够以最小的成本迅速扩大规模和品牌影响力;3)爱彼迎受益于轻资产模式以及IPO增加的丰富的现金储备。 共享住宿可挖掘空间大,营收、EBITDA料维持高增长 在线旅游整体增长放缓预示着在线旅游平台正在走向成熟。不过,作为另类住宿平台,爱彼","text":"爱彼迎的首个交易日收盘价为144.71美元,是IPO发行价68美元的两倍多,接下来的几天里股价短暂下跌至121.50美元的低点,随后又攀升至175美元的高位,最新市值926亿美元,这一估值是2022年预期营收的15倍,爱彼迎相对于传统在线旅游龙头Booking和Expedia有显著溢价。 全球范围来看,$优步(UBER)$ 和$爱彼迎(ABNB)$ 是共享经济中最具代表性的两家企业,他们的出现给出租车行业和酒店行业带来了革命性的变化,共享经济在重塑传统行业格局展现出了巨大影响力。 投资要点 共享经济鼻祖 $爱彼迎(ABNB)$是共享住宿领域的领导者,拥有5400万活跃订户和400万房东,总预订规模达到380亿美元,较2018年的294亿美元增长29%。爱彼迎的优势在于,它拥有强大的品牌效应,并通过免费渠道产生流量,获客成本低于同行。 后疫情时代,爱彼迎增长的确定性较高 1)三季度开始,国内旅行复苏逐渐弥补国际旅游疲软,近几个月来,家庭和短途旅行的人数明显增加;2)爱彼迎平台的价值来自于每增加一个房客,都可以引导变成房东,从而形成良性循环。这种品牌效应是其他潜在的竞争对手所不具备的。简而言之,作为一个在线平台,它也能够以最小的成本迅速扩大规模和品牌影响力;3)爱彼迎受益于轻资产模式以及IPO增加的丰富的现金储备。 共享住宿可挖掘空间大,营收、EBITDA料维持高增长 在线旅游整体增长放缓预示着在线旅游平台正在走向成熟。不过,作为另类住宿平台,爱彼","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34d9cb66ddb7c8a4f6423b19eb155b22","width":"1141","height":"660"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad82dc3e8a1269b19ba92d56ad27ee7","width":"1098","height":"649"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1cbf4b6f79d57785797d1b5c756f592","width":"1183","height":"816"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/339749033","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393172340,"gmtCreate":1606268530380,"gmtModify":1703842156249,"author":{"id":"1392077993124","authorId":"1392077993124","name":"股海渣渣","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a8c29f7c4fd78b99e23ebb123f789efe","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"1392077993124","idStr":"1392077993124"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393172340","repostId":"393186160","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":393186160,"gmtCreate":1606257878350,"gmtModify":1703842087415,"author":{"id":"3444504177139447","authorId":"3444504177139447","name":"投资小达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cace575a7391eddd10a8a0c6537aadf4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444504177139447","idStr":"3444504177139447"},"themes":[],"title":"亲近股市不如远离股市","htmlText":"有人跟我说,他现在看不清股市的方向,越学习、越看不懂股市,心里一点也不踏实。目前处于这种状态的投资者应该有很大一部分,很多人处于疑惑的状态,做股票没有安全感。就这个问题我想系统地聊一下,大多数投资者都是抱着赚大钱的想法来到这个市场。然而赚大钱的人应该是什么心态、怎么个思路呢?我认为赚大钱的人总能悄然远离市场。你想在股市真正赚到钱,而不只是账面上的数字,就应该经常离开这个市场。真正的交易高手,不进入场内, 而是一直游离在场外,——等待机会。他们绝大部分时间都是仔细观察市场,而不是交易。因为在市场上,股票的波动涨跌大多是主力资金的假象。大家也许不理解,举个例子来说,当蜗牛从屋底向屋顶爬时,它肯定是从下往上走。但在蜗牛的世界里,它应该没有上下概念,至少是分不清的,只觉得仍在平面上行走,因为一堵墙对一只小蜗牛来讲太大了,根本看不到墙的整体。而人的眼睛离墙有一定的距离,反而能看清蜗牛不是简单地在平面上前后、左右地行走,而是自下而上地行动。正如我们站在山顶方可看到山脉的走势一样。因此掌握了股市大趋势后,就应果断离开它,离得越远越好,看到它一年的趋势就离开一年,看到它两年的趋势就大胆地离开两年,以防止它的蛊惑。否则你身在股市中,本来是向上回升或向下下跌的趋势,你却像“蜗牛”的感觉一样,误认为是在横盘,或完全相反。你若每天身在股市中,距离市场太近,股市的任何风吹草动都会左右着你的行为。这样反而束缚了你良好的投资技巧,使你感到迷惑没有安全感而迷失方向,遭到市场的愚弄和欺骗。特别是我们定期关注的消息、新闻,这都是相对静态的东西,而一旦在开盘后看到的价格就是动态的了。这种状态与静态大不一样,本应该通过分析和研究去应对不可预见的情形,但一旦进入动态的市场,事先冷静的分析、作出的决策与结果往往又会不翼而飞。市场就像一个“医疗破坏者”,往往把你推向不可救药的地步。必须学会保持稳定性与计划性的水准,这样","listText":"有人跟我说,他现在看不清股市的方向,越学习、越看不懂股市,心里一点也不踏实。目前处于这种状态的投资者应该有很大一部分,很多人处于疑惑的状态,做股票没有安全感。就这个问题我想系统地聊一下,大多数投资者都是抱着赚大钱的想法来到这个市场。然而赚大钱的人应该是什么心态、怎么个思路呢?我认为赚大钱的人总能悄然远离市场。你想在股市真正赚到钱,而不只是账面上的数字,就应该经常离开这个市场。真正的交易高手,不进入场内, 而是一直游离在场外,——等待机会。他们绝大部分时间都是仔细观察市场,而不是交易。因为在市场上,股票的波动涨跌大多是主力资金的假象。大家也许不理解,举个例子来说,当蜗牛从屋底向屋顶爬时,它肯定是从下往上走。但在蜗牛的世界里,它应该没有上下概念,至少是分不清的,只觉得仍在平面上行走,因为一堵墙对一只小蜗牛来讲太大了,根本看不到墙的整体。而人的眼睛离墙有一定的距离,反而能看清蜗牛不是简单地在平面上前后、左右地行走,而是自下而上地行动。正如我们站在山顶方可看到山脉的走势一样。因此掌握了股市大趋势后,就应果断离开它,离得越远越好,看到它一年的趋势就离开一年,看到它两年的趋势就大胆地离开两年,以防止它的蛊惑。否则你身在股市中,本来是向上回升或向下下跌的趋势,你却像“蜗牛”的感觉一样,误认为是在横盘,或完全相反。你若每天身在股市中,距离市场太近,股市的任何风吹草动都会左右着你的行为。这样反而束缚了你良好的投资技巧,使你感到迷惑没有安全感而迷失方向,遭到市场的愚弄和欺骗。特别是我们定期关注的消息、新闻,这都是相对静态的东西,而一旦在开盘后看到的价格就是动态的了。这种状态与静态大不一样,本应该通过分析和研究去应对不可预见的情形,但一旦进入动态的市场,事先冷静的分析、作出的决策与结果往往又会不翼而飞。市场就像一个“医疗破坏者”,往往把你推向不可救药的地步。必须学会保持稳定性与计划性的水准,这样","text":"有人跟我说,他现在看不清股市的方向,越学习、越看不懂股市,心里一点也不踏实。目前处于这种状态的投资者应该有很大一部分,很多人处于疑惑的状态,做股票没有安全感。就这个问题我想系统地聊一下,大多数投资者都是抱着赚大钱的想法来到这个市场。然而赚大钱的人应该是什么心态、怎么个思路呢?我认为赚大钱的人总能悄然远离市场。你想在股市真正赚到钱,而不只是账面上的数字,就应该经常离开这个市场。真正的交易高手,不进入场内, 而是一直游离在场外,——等待机会。他们绝大部分时间都是仔细观察市场,而不是交易。因为在市场上,股票的波动涨跌大多是主力资金的假象。大家也许不理解,举个例子来说,当蜗牛从屋底向屋顶爬时,它肯定是从下往上走。但在蜗牛的世界里,它应该没有上下概念,至少是分不清的,只觉得仍在平面上行走,因为一堵墙对一只小蜗牛来讲太大了,根本看不到墙的整体。而人的眼睛离墙有一定的距离,反而能看清蜗牛不是简单地在平面上前后、左右地行走,而是自下而上地行动。正如我们站在山顶方可看到山脉的走势一样。因此掌握了股市大趋势后,就应果断离开它,离得越远越好,看到它一年的趋势就离开一年,看到它两年的趋势就大胆地离开两年,以防止它的蛊惑。否则你身在股市中,本来是向上回升或向下下跌的趋势,你却像“蜗牛”的感觉一样,误认为是在横盘,或完全相反。你若每天身在股市中,距离市场太近,股市的任何风吹草动都会左右着你的行为。这样反而束缚了你良好的投资技巧,使你感到迷惑没有安全感而迷失方向,遭到市场的愚弄和欺骗。特别是我们定期关注的消息、新闻,这都是相对静态的东西,而一旦在开盘后看到的价格就是动态的了。这种状态与静态大不一样,本应该通过分析和研究去应对不可预见的情形,但一旦进入动态的市场,事先冷静的分析、作出的决策与结果往往又会不翼而飞。市场就像一个“医疗破坏者”,往往把你推向不可救药的地步。必须学会保持稳定性与计划性的水准,这样","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393186160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393018864,"gmtCreate":1606210933458,"gmtModify":1703841658632,"author":{"id":"1392077993124","authorId":"1392077993124","name":"股海渣渣","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a8c29f7c4fd78b99e23ebb123f789efe","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"1392077993124","idStr":"1392077993124"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393018864","repostId":"399795507","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":399795507,"gmtCreate":1606186748709,"gmtModify":1703841491210,"author":{"id":"3520134464145345","authorId":"3520134464145345","name":"锐问","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af67035e05acd3d551a6474ea3df0455","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3520134464145345","idStr":"3520134464145345"},"themes":[],"title":"专访美国多夫曼基金投资人:做空特斯拉,不看好蔚来","htmlText":"作者 | 林波 编辑 | 周欣 多夫曼基金,于1999年创立。创始人约翰·多夫曼是美国深度价值投资的绝对权威大卫·德雷曼的两大弟子之一。过去20年(截至2020年第二季度的数据)内,多夫曼基金年化收益每年跑赢标普3%,自基金成立以来标普500指数的回报为214.13%,而多夫曼基金的回报为401.52%。 张景舒,是多夫曼基金董事总经理,麻省理工学院经济学博士,博士期间投资股票获利千万,被称为“麻省股神”,同时也是麻省脱口秀比赛的第一名。受《锐问》邀请,向投资者分享多夫曼基金投资思想和方法论,以及近期的投资故事。 一、多夫曼基金的特点 1、你在麻省读博的时候,被称为麻省股神。对你而言,投资意味着什么? 我专业是研究大宗商品的结构性市场。原来是想做经济学家的,但觉得经济学里很多理论,太依赖数学了。我认同巴菲特说的,大致的正确,好过精确的错误。 而且,当时在麻省理工接触了很多的企业家,感觉他们对世界的洞见和对产业的见解,比象牙塔里的经济学家,要深刻很多。 第一本影响我的,是“小巴菲特”塞思·卡拉曼写的一本书,叫《安全边际》,跟我的理念特别一致,比如逆向投资、逢低吸纳、人弃我取,贵出如粪土、贱取如珠玉。基于这样的背景,我开始研究投资。 投资,就像解谜,需要从不同角度和线索去挖掘信息,再把这些信息,组织成有逻辑的方式,这个投资逻辑可以是做多,可以是做空,过程很有意思。 当时做逆向投资也非常容易,比如15、16年,茅台才12倍的市盈率,格力和美的才7-8倍的市盈率,还都是高增长公司,有很多很好的机会。 2、2016年来到多夫曼基金。这家基金的工作状态和氛围是怎样的? 比较传统。老板经常跟我提及邓普顿(知名全球投资人,《纽约时报》评选为“20世纪全球十大顶尖基金经理人”)的工作方式。邓普顿原来是我们的有限合伙人,08年的时候去世了。去世以后,他基金的几千万美元全都捐给了慈善机构。 邓普","listText":"作者 | 林波 编辑 | 周欣 多夫曼基金,于1999年创立。创始人约翰·多夫曼是美国深度价值投资的绝对权威大卫·德雷曼的两大弟子之一。过去20年(截至2020年第二季度的数据)内,多夫曼基金年化收益每年跑赢标普3%,自基金成立以来标普500指数的回报为214.13%,而多夫曼基金的回报为401.52%。 张景舒,是多夫曼基金董事总经理,麻省理工学院经济学博士,博士期间投资股票获利千万,被称为“麻省股神”,同时也是麻省脱口秀比赛的第一名。受《锐问》邀请,向投资者分享多夫曼基金投资思想和方法论,以及近期的投资故事。 一、多夫曼基金的特点 1、你在麻省读博的时候,被称为麻省股神。对你而言,投资意味着什么? 我专业是研究大宗商品的结构性市场。原来是想做经济学家的,但觉得经济学里很多理论,太依赖数学了。我认同巴菲特说的,大致的正确,好过精确的错误。 而且,当时在麻省理工接触了很多的企业家,感觉他们对世界的洞见和对产业的见解,比象牙塔里的经济学家,要深刻很多。 第一本影响我的,是“小巴菲特”塞思·卡拉曼写的一本书,叫《安全边际》,跟我的理念特别一致,比如逆向投资、逢低吸纳、人弃我取,贵出如粪土、贱取如珠玉。基于这样的背景,我开始研究投资。 投资,就像解谜,需要从不同角度和线索去挖掘信息,再把这些信息,组织成有逻辑的方式,这个投资逻辑可以是做多,可以是做空,过程很有意思。 当时做逆向投资也非常容易,比如15、16年,茅台才12倍的市盈率,格力和美的才7-8倍的市盈率,还都是高增长公司,有很多很好的机会。 2、2016年来到多夫曼基金。这家基金的工作状态和氛围是怎样的? 比较传统。老板经常跟我提及邓普顿(知名全球投资人,《纽约时报》评选为“20世纪全球十大顶尖基金经理人”)的工作方式。邓普顿原来是我们的有限合伙人,08年的时候去世了。去世以后,他基金的几千万美元全都捐给了慈善机构。 邓普","text":"作者 | 林波 编辑 | 周欣 多夫曼基金,于1999年创立。创始人约翰·多夫曼是美国深度价值投资的绝对权威大卫·德雷曼的两大弟子之一。过去20年(截至2020年第二季度的数据)内,多夫曼基金年化收益每年跑赢标普3%,自基金成立以来标普500指数的回报为214.13%,而多夫曼基金的回报为401.52%。 张景舒,是多夫曼基金董事总经理,麻省理工学院经济学博士,博士期间投资股票获利千万,被称为“麻省股神”,同时也是麻省脱口秀比赛的第一名。受《锐问》邀请,向投资者分享多夫曼基金投资思想和方法论,以及近期的投资故事。 一、多夫曼基金的特点 1、你在麻省读博的时候,被称为麻省股神。对你而言,投资意味着什么? 我专业是研究大宗商品的结构性市场。原来是想做经济学家的,但觉得经济学里很多理论,太依赖数学了。我认同巴菲特说的,大致的正确,好过精确的错误。 而且,当时在麻省理工接触了很多的企业家,感觉他们对世界的洞见和对产业的见解,比象牙塔里的经济学家,要深刻很多。 第一本影响我的,是“小巴菲特”塞思·卡拉曼写的一本书,叫《安全边际》,跟我的理念特别一致,比如逆向投资、逢低吸纳、人弃我取,贵出如粪土、贱取如珠玉。基于这样的背景,我开始研究投资。 投资,就像解谜,需要从不同角度和线索去挖掘信息,再把这些信息,组织成有逻辑的方式,这个投资逻辑可以是做多,可以是做空,过程很有意思。 当时做逆向投资也非常容易,比如15、16年,茅台才12倍的市盈率,格力和美的才7-8倍的市盈率,还都是高增长公司,有很多很好的机会。 2、2016年来到多夫曼基金。这家基金的工作状态和氛围是怎样的? 比较传统。老板经常跟我提及邓普顿(知名全球投资人,《纽约时报》评选为“20世纪全球十大顶尖基金经理人”)的工作方式。邓普顿原来是我们的有限合伙人,08年的时候去世了。去世以后,他基金的几千万美元全都捐给了慈善机构。 邓普","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa9457a8778c1862fdea3ba9a2f8079b","width":"1080","height":"720"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e5a13b3c3fa93558f09bc54c363f052","width":"1080","height":"606"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4831c94a6a728d809014e7a1a129e6ac","width":"1080","height":"783"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/399795507","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":303462076,"gmtCreate":1603238888795,"gmtModify":1703829166533,"author":{"id":"1392077993124","authorId":"1392077993124","name":"股海渣渣","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a8c29f7c4fd78b99e23ebb123f789efe","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"1392077993124","idStr":"1392077993124"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/303462076","repostId":"303817712","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":303817712,"gmtCreate":1603094920136,"gmtModify":1703828617047,"author":{"id":"3473459794537757","authorId":"3473459794537757","name":"MidasMike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cafd3d1411d04107e3c4859369109f6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3473459794537757","idStr":"3473459794537757"},"themes":[],"title":"知行合一:Baillie Gifford如何实现长期主义","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMT.UK\">$SCOTTISH MORT(SMT.UK)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 七年重仓陪跑特斯拉后,苏格兰资产管理公司Baillie Gifford(“柏基”)在高位减持约近四成仓位并获利约170亿美元,这家低调的百年老店突然成为中国投资圈里的网红。在对Baillie Gifford的投资风格进行了初步复盘之后(可参考Baillie Gifford的长线思维:陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿),另外一个问题开始引起了我的极大兴趣:Baillie Gifford如何有效地构建起行之有效的长线投资体系?如何真正做到了“Actual investors think in decades, not in quarters?”长期主义知易行难,但是Baillie Gifford却成功地践行了这一理念:其投资平均持仓周期接近10年,并且视期间的价格波动、新闻甚至季报为噪音;然而旗舰基金SMIT过去十年净值增长768%,而BG则成为英国成长最快的资管公司,资管规模在过去五年已经翻番并高达 2620亿英镑。下图:Baillie Gi","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMT.UK\">$SCOTTISH MORT(SMT.UK)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 七年重仓陪跑特斯拉后,苏格兰资产管理公司Baillie Gifford(“柏基”)在高位减持约近四成仓位并获利约170亿美元,这家低调的百年老店突然成为中国投资圈里的网红。在对Baillie Gifford的投资风格进行了初步复盘之后(可参考Baillie Gifford的长线思维:陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿),另外一个问题开始引起了我的极大兴趣:Baillie Gifford如何有效地构建起行之有效的长线投资体系?如何真正做到了“Actual investors think in decades, not in quarters?”长期主义知易行难,但是Baillie Gifford却成功地践行了这一理念:其投资平均持仓周期接近10年,并且视期间的价格波动、新闻甚至季报为噪音;然而旗舰基金SMIT过去十年净值增长768%,而BG则成为英国成长最快的资管公司,资管规模在过去五年已经翻番并高达 2620亿英镑。下图:Baillie Gi","text":"$SCOTTISH MORT(SMT.UK)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $蔚来(NIO)$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ 七年重仓陪跑特斯拉后,苏格兰资产管理公司Baillie Gifford(“柏基”)在高位减持约近四成仓位并获利约170亿美元,这家低调的百年老店突然成为中国投资圈里的网红。在对Baillie Gifford的投资风格进行了初步复盘之后(可参考Baillie Gifford的长线思维:陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿),另外一个问题开始引起了我的极大兴趣:Baillie Gifford如何有效地构建起行之有效的长线投资体系?如何真正做到了“Actual investors think in decades, not in quarters?”长期主义知易行难,但是Baillie Gifford却成功地践行了这一理念:其投资平均持仓周期接近10年,并且视期间的价格波动、新闻甚至季报为噪音;然而旗舰基金SMIT过去十年净值增长768%,而BG则成为英国成长最快的资管公司,资管规模在过去五年已经翻番并高达 2620亿英镑。下图:Baillie Gi","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8699ecabd64be7b7e85d9e7a5f0fa609","width":"0","height":"0"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46a1dfd27dba848799ec3db5a39bca54","width":"0","height":"0"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2274d06bc4ebd92680210be592ad0192","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/303817712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":303367309,"gmtCreate":1602902056301,"gmtModify":1703828361591,"author":{"id":"1392077993124","authorId":"1392077993124","name":"股海渣渣","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a8c29f7c4fd78b99e23ebb123f789efe","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"1392077993124","idStr":"1392077993124"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/303367309","repostId":"303976903","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":303976903,"gmtCreate":1602861544702,"gmtModify":1703828277734,"author":{"id":"39105730803552","authorId":"39105730803552","name":"格隆汇","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8774dfe20eceb38c9645128bb6e60684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"39105730803552","idStr":"39105730803552"},"themes":[],"title":"这只股,让冯柳亏的有点多","htmlText":"这周,游戏股都很惨!在昨日,A股游戏龙头世纪华通放量暴跌近7%,股价也来到9元以下,这次是放量下跌,昨日整个盘面成交额逾18亿,从7月份最高点至今,股价已经回撤近40%,回到去年12月份的位置,当天最大的原因是世纪华通的解禁日,股价被打压。去年以来,世纪华通的热度一直很高,因为这家公司是投资大佬冯柳的第一重仓股。根据最新的数据显示,冯柳旗下的高毅邻山1号远望基金持有33.52市值的股票,占其股份比例的3.52%,是第二大流通股股东。但是,近一个半月的回撤,世纪华通的股价让冯柳仓位产生了浮亏。1153亿商誉黑云压城说到世纪华通,就不得不说这只股票最大的问题便是其高达154.31亿元的商誉。先回顾下,在2014年1月,世纪华通发布了重大资产重组预案,定增共募集资金18个亿资金,收购天游软件和七酷网络全部股权。前者从事游戏平台运营,后者从事页游和手游开发。2015年12月,世纪华通发布重大资产重组预案,收购点点开曼和点点北京两家公司,且初始方案的募资金额高达110.33亿,反复修改后降至83.1亿元,其中定增募集配套资金41.5亿元。在2019年8月,世纪华通再次抛出一份募资额高达329亿的重大资产重组方案,向29名交易对手购买其合计持有的盛跃网络(即盛大游戏)全部股权,交易价格约为298亿元,另通过定增募资31亿,用于支付现金对价。上述并购案累计起来之后,截至到目前,世纪华通的商誉达到非常惊人的154.31亿元。作为一家游戏公司,世纪华通的产品众多,经典端游产品《传奇》、《最终幻想14》、《冒险岛》、《街头篮球》、《龙之谷》、《传奇世界》、《永恒之塔》、《彩虹岛》等,后续《庆余年》、《小森生活》、《传奇天下》、《地城邂逅:记忆憧憬》、《上古卷轴》、《月夜狂想曲》等多款IP合作产品有序推进中。世纪华通跟腾讯的关系紧密,早在7月份,世纪华通发布简式权益变动公告:公告称腾讯于7月27","listText":"这周,游戏股都很惨!在昨日,A股游戏龙头世纪华通放量暴跌近7%,股价也来到9元以下,这次是放量下跌,昨日整个盘面成交额逾18亿,从7月份最高点至今,股价已经回撤近40%,回到去年12月份的位置,当天最大的原因是世纪华通的解禁日,股价被打压。去年以来,世纪华通的热度一直很高,因为这家公司是投资大佬冯柳的第一重仓股。根据最新的数据显示,冯柳旗下的高毅邻山1号远望基金持有33.52市值的股票,占其股份比例的3.52%,是第二大流通股股东。但是,近一个半月的回撤,世纪华通的股价让冯柳仓位产生了浮亏。1153亿商誉黑云压城说到世纪华通,就不得不说这只股票最大的问题便是其高达154.31亿元的商誉。先回顾下,在2014年1月,世纪华通发布了重大资产重组预案,定增共募集资金18个亿资金,收购天游软件和七酷网络全部股权。前者从事游戏平台运营,后者从事页游和手游开发。2015年12月,世纪华通发布重大资产重组预案,收购点点开曼和点点北京两家公司,且初始方案的募资金额高达110.33亿,反复修改后降至83.1亿元,其中定增募集配套资金41.5亿元。在2019年8月,世纪华通再次抛出一份募资额高达329亿的重大资产重组方案,向29名交易对手购买其合计持有的盛跃网络(即盛大游戏)全部股权,交易价格约为298亿元,另通过定增募资31亿,用于支付现金对价。上述并购案累计起来之后,截至到目前,世纪华通的商誉达到非常惊人的154.31亿元。作为一家游戏公司,世纪华通的产品众多,经典端游产品《传奇》、《最终幻想14》、《冒险岛》、《街头篮球》、《龙之谷》、《传奇世界》、《永恒之塔》、《彩虹岛》等,后续《庆余年》、《小森生活》、《传奇天下》、《地城邂逅:记忆憧憬》、《上古卷轴》、《月夜狂想曲》等多款IP合作产品有序推进中。世纪华通跟腾讯的关系紧密,早在7月份,世纪华通发布简式权益变动公告:公告称腾讯于7月27","text":"这周,游戏股都很惨!在昨日,A股游戏龙头世纪华通放量暴跌近7%,股价也来到9元以下,这次是放量下跌,昨日整个盘面成交额逾18亿,从7月份最高点至今,股价已经回撤近40%,回到去年12月份的位置,当天最大的原因是世纪华通的解禁日,股价被打压。去年以来,世纪华通的热度一直很高,因为这家公司是投资大佬冯柳的第一重仓股。根据最新的数据显示,冯柳旗下的高毅邻山1号远望基金持有33.52市值的股票,占其股份比例的3.52%,是第二大流通股股东。但是,近一个半月的回撤,世纪华通的股价让冯柳仓位产生了浮亏。1153亿商誉黑云压城说到世纪华通,就不得不说这只股票最大的问题便是其高达154.31亿元的商誉。先回顾下,在2014年1月,世纪华通发布了重大资产重组预案,定增共募集资金18个亿资金,收购天游软件和七酷网络全部股权。前者从事游戏平台运营,后者从事页游和手游开发。2015年12月,世纪华通发布重大资产重组预案,收购点点开曼和点点北京两家公司,且初始方案的募资金额高达110.33亿,反复修改后降至83.1亿元,其中定增募集配套资金41.5亿元。在2019年8月,世纪华通再次抛出一份募资额高达329亿的重大资产重组方案,向29名交易对手购买其合计持有的盛跃网络(即盛大游戏)全部股权,交易价格约为298亿元,另通过定增募资31亿,用于支付现金对价。上述并购案累计起来之后,截至到目前,世纪华通的商誉达到非常惊人的154.31亿元。作为一家游戏公司,世纪华通的产品众多,经典端游产品《传奇》、《最终幻想14》、《冒险岛》、《街头篮球》、《龙之谷》、《传奇世界》、《永恒之塔》、《彩虹岛》等,后续《庆余年》、《小森生活》、《传奇天下》、《地城邂逅:记忆憧憬》、《上古卷轴》、《月夜狂想曲》等多款IP合作产品有序推进中。世纪华通跟腾讯的关系紧密,早在7月份,世纪华通发布简式权益变动公告:公告称腾讯于7月27","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ded6002c2684d6a46e56e11040cb4d5c"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95030da1d6d6963fd716cb4ad25bcd5e"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/366b98d5c4feb3f427d66a1847bb2a29"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/303976903","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977035383,"gmtCreate":1601367116142,"gmtModify":1703824062526,"author":{"id":"1392077993124","authorId":"1392077993124","name":"股海渣渣","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a8c29f7c4fd78b99e23ebb123f789efe","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitc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澳门司警局火速召开特别新闻发布会,连同周焯华在内的11人,因涉及不法经营赌博及清洗黑钱罪,全部逮捕拘留。全员认罪,承认在海外架设赌博平台及进行电投犯罪,但对其他调查拒绝合作。 周焯华,昔日横跨赌坛、娱乐圈的风云大佬,此时已沦为阶下囚。 01 现实版马仔上位史 1974年5月,何鸿粲名下第一个澳门博彩“新花园”开业12周年之际,一名男婴悄悄诞生在澳门台风季,他就是周焯华。从小叛逆,不学无术,初中没毕业就开始混迹街头。为了维持生计,他通过朋友介绍初涉香港赌场,当起了马仔,主要工作是放高利贷。别看他学历不高,但能言善道,几句话就把客人哄得相当开心,渐渐的,他成了赌场里的“红人”,一来二去,引起了赌场大佬尹国驹的注意。尹国驹,人送外号“崩牙驹”,掌管着澳门14k赌场中的借贷生杀大权。尹国驹,江湖人称“驹哥”,是当时黑帮界一个响当当的人物,鼎盛时期被称为澳门“地下拿督”。其势力庞大马仔遍地,与水房、新义安等各大黑帮纷争不断,曾以一己之力打退香港黑帮的进攻,一战封神。即便是娱乐圈顶流也不过和他平起平坐。1998年,他拿出1400万为自己树碑立传,拍了一部半自传体电影《濠江风云》。明星助阵,大咖云集,手下一众马仔全部充当群演。当时,周焯华“有幸”成了他众百仔中的一员。投靠大哥不久,周焯华25岁那年,大佬尹国驹因涉黑被捕入狱。树倒猢狲散,其手下的马仔们全部跑路。但周焯华和其他马仔不同,在众人急于和尹国驹撇清关系时,周焯华多次到监狱探望老大。探监时还不忘说说对未来的规划,让身在监狱的尹国驹对他另眼相看。 重情+韬略,尹老大觉得此人可委以重任,于是,手书推荐信一封,让周焯华带着信去找他的好友“东哥”。瘦死的骆驼比马大,“崩牙驹”用几个赌场和“东哥”做交易,给周焯华换来了三千万的投资款,让他去经","listText":"被称为何鸿燊接班人的澳门新晋赌王周焯华(绰号“洗米华”),被逮捕了。从“批捕”到“逮捕”只用了两天。 澳门司警局火速召开特别新闻发布会,连同周焯华在内的11人,因涉及不法经营赌博及清洗黑钱罪,全部逮捕拘留。全员认罪,承认在海外架设赌博平台及进行电投犯罪,但对其他调查拒绝合作。 周焯华,昔日横跨赌坛、娱乐圈的风云大佬,此时已沦为阶下囚。 01 现实版马仔上位史 1974年5月,何鸿粲名下第一个澳门博彩“新花园”开业12周年之际,一名男婴悄悄诞生在澳门台风季,他就是周焯华。从小叛逆,不学无术,初中没毕业就开始混迹街头。为了维持生计,他通过朋友介绍初涉香港赌场,当起了马仔,主要工作是放高利贷。别看他学历不高,但能言善道,几句话就把客人哄得相当开心,渐渐的,他成了赌场里的“红人”,一来二去,引起了赌场大佬尹国驹的注意。尹国驹,人送外号“崩牙驹”,掌管着澳门14k赌场中的借贷生杀大权。尹国驹,江湖人称“驹哥”,是当时黑帮界一个响当当的人物,鼎盛时期被称为澳门“地下拿督”。其势力庞大马仔遍地,与水房、新义安等各大黑帮纷争不断,曾以一己之力打退香港黑帮的进攻,一战封神。即便是娱乐圈顶流也不过和他平起平坐。1998年,他拿出1400万为自己树碑立传,拍了一部半自传体电影《濠江风云》。明星助阵,大咖云集,手下一众马仔全部充当群演。当时,周焯华“有幸”成了他众百仔中的一员。投靠大哥不久,周焯华25岁那年,大佬尹国驹因涉黑被捕入狱。树倒猢狲散,其手下的马仔们全部跑路。但周焯华和其他马仔不同,在众人急于和尹国驹撇清关系时,周焯华多次到监狱探望老大。探监时还不忘说说对未来的规划,让身在监狱的尹国驹对他另眼相看。 重情+韬略,尹老大觉得此人可委以重任,于是,手书推荐信一封,让周焯华带着信去找他的好友“东哥”。瘦死的骆驼比马大,“崩牙驹”用几个赌场和“东哥”做交易,给周焯华换来了三千万的投资款,让他去经","text":"被称为何鸿燊接班人的澳门新晋赌王周焯华(绰号“洗米华”),被逮捕了。从“批捕”到“逮捕”只用了两天。 澳门司警局火速召开特别新闻发布会,连同周焯华在内的11人,因涉及不法经营赌博及清洗黑钱罪,全部逮捕拘留。全员认罪,承认在海外架设赌博平台及进行电投犯罪,但对其他调查拒绝合作。 周焯华,昔日横跨赌坛、娱乐圈的风云大佬,此时已沦为阶下囚。 01 现实版马仔上位史 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