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大厂码农
大厂码农,理财,价值投资,慢慢变富
IP属地:北京
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大厂码农
11-21 13:59
我开仓了
$快手-W(01024)$
,昨天财报其实很不错了,但是市场依然下跌,那就买入吧,pe估值很低,还要啥自行车呀,公司应该今天也是大量回购的
大厂码农
11-19
我开仓了
$COIN 20241129 280.0 PUT$
,打算把这周到期的300 call卖掉的再更低价格接回来,看市场给不给机会
大厂码农
11-19
我平仓了
$LI 20250117 30.0 PUT$
,平仓理想汽车put,之前下单时没想到会被问界等影响那么大,当前有很多更好的标的,认亏平仓了结
大厂码农
11-16
我平仓了
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
,coinbase被动行权,当前价格300过,250被行权了,
大厂码农
11-16
我平仓了
$COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL$
,coinbase被动行权,call卖的有点早,刚涨就卖了,操作不太好
大厂码农
11-16
我开仓了
$拼多多(PDD)$
,用减持的coinbase的钱买入拼多多,pdd预计q3净利润300亿,现在估值12非常低,长期看好,买来当现金,等coinbase大跌再进入
大厂码农
11-14
我开仓了
$COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT$
,之前卖出的250的call这周末到期,大概率被行权了,看能不能在245接回来,接不回来就收权利金。还有下周末300的call目前也不确定是否会达到
大厂码农
11-12
我平仓了2手
$COIN 20250321 100.0 CALL$
,继续减仓,去杠杆。这波大饼很快到10w刀,期待,扶好坐稳
大厂码农
11-07
我开仓了2手
$COIN 20241122 300.0 CALL$
,接着卖一个更高的covered call,继续可能的减仓
大厂码农
11-07
我开仓了9000.0股
$中国海洋石油(00883)$
,昨天卖了部分coinbase,换成中海油,等待其它机会,没机会就放着吃股息,7.7%
大厂码农
11-07
我平仓了2手
$COIN 20250321 100.0 CALL$
,之前下单的两个原因: 1. 相比比特币走势低太多 2.谁当选都是利好,只是川普当选利好更大,因为能解决sec诉讼问题 当前川普当选,利好兑现,不过没卖在当天最高价,已经不错了 当前是美股全仓几乎coinbase,卖掉一些换别的吧
大厂码农
11-06
我开仓了2手
$COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL$
,美股几乎全仓coinbase,适当趁着这次有机会可以减仓一点
大厂码农
10-14
我平仓了1手
$COIN 20241011 180.0 CALL$
,到期白的权利金,这次不续了,等这波上涨,大赚一把
大厂码农
10-11
我开仓了4手
$COIN 20250321 100.0 CALL$
,预期进入上涨行情,卖掉正股,换成期权,增加杠杆
大厂码农
10-11
我平仓了200.0股
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
,预期进入上涨行情,卖掉正股,换成期权,增加杠杆
大厂码农
10-05
我开仓了100.0股
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
,被动行权买入,接着买出了个180价格的call,继续吃权利金
大厂码农
10-05
我平仓了1手
$COIN 20241004 175.0 PUT$
,被动行权,算上权利金基本没算亏,同时卖出了个call接着吃权利金
大厂码农
10-05
我开仓了1手
$COIN 20241011 180.0 CALL$
,继续卖出call赚权利金,本周五是被175行权买入的
大厂码农
10-04
我开仓了20手
$XCC.HK 20250328 5.25 CALL$
,牛市看张大a行情下,金融低估银行会有不错表现并且因为估值低风险小,买它
大厂码农
09-30
我开仓了1手
$COIN 20241004 175.0 PUT$
,卖出期权,等回调,赚取权利金
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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,昨天财报其实很不错了,但是市场依然下跌,那就买入吧,pe估值很低,还要啥自行车呀,公司应该今天也是大量回购的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373313207554104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3471210355661451","authorId":"3471210355661451","name":"不高兴的小欣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be9f320e27bb9010bdd8748b7ecc7bf7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3471210355661451","authorIdStr":"3471210355661451"},"content":"不错?成长股营收增速11%?这都敢买?市场预期要1年才能转回哦","text":"不错?成长股营收增速11%?这都敢买?市场预期要1年才能转回哦","html":"不错?成长股营收增速11%?这都敢买?市场预期要1年才能转回哦"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372675035627520,"gmtCreate":1732027750232,"gmtModify":1732028047039,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241129 280.0 PUT\">$COIN 20241129 280.0 PUT$ </a>,打算把这周到期的300 call卖掉的再更低价格接回来,看市场给不给机会","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241129 280.0 PUT\">$COIN 20241129 280.0 PUT$ </a>,打算把这周到期的300 call卖掉的再更低价格接回来,看市场给不给机会","text":"我开仓了$COIN 20241129 280.0 PUT$ ,打算把这周到期的300 call卖掉的再更低价格接回来,看市场给不给机会","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372675035627520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000332","authorId":"9000000000000332","name":"爱尔兰032","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bf4dddd6d4678cc04a35cf677e4fd21","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000332","authorIdStr":"9000000000000332"},"content":"看起来你对市场有点判断,有信心!希望能买回更低的","text":"看起来你对市场有点判断,有信心!希望能买回更低的","html":"看起来你对市场有点判断,有信心!希望能买回更低的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372562693562640,"gmtCreate":1731966796854,"gmtModify":1731967089032,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/LI 20250117 30.0 PUT\">$LI 20250117 30.0 PUT$ </a>,平仓理想汽车put,之前下单时没想到会被问界等影响那么大,当前有很多更好的标的,认亏平仓了结","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/LI 20250117 30.0 PUT\">$LI 20250117 30.0 PUT$ </a>,平仓理想汽车put,之前下单时没想到会被问界等影响那么大,当前有很多更好的标的,认亏平仓了结","text":"我平仓了$LI 20250117 30.0 PUT$ ,平仓理想汽车put,之前下单时没想到会被问界等影响那么大,当前有很多更好的标的,认亏平仓了结","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372562693562640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563270363235900","authorId":"3563270363235900","name":"爱是付出","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0744bf2b16f361a1fca5dbedb057c90","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3563270363235900","authorIdStr":"3563270363235900"},"content":"为啥平仓?不是还有两个月吗?看好理想不会错。","text":"为啥平仓?不是还有两个月吗?看好理想不会错。","html":"为啥平仓?不是还有两个月吗?看好理想不会错。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":371729603842136,"gmtCreate":1731763328612,"gmtModify":1731765532493,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a>,coinbase被动行权,当前价格300过,250被行权了,","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a>,coinbase被动行权,当前价格300过,250被行权了,","text":"我平仓了$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ ,coinbase被动行权,当前价格300过,250被行权了,","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371729603842136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":371729094205728,"gmtCreate":1731763292778,"gmtModify":1731765530100,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL$ </a>,coinbase被动行权,call卖的有点早,刚涨就卖了,操作不太好","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL$ </a>,coinbase被动行权,call卖的有点早,刚涨就卖了,操作不太好","text":"我平仓了$COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL$ ,coinbase被动行权,call卖的有点早,刚涨就卖了,操作不太好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371729094205728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":371728273662208,"gmtCreate":1731763130100,"gmtModify":1731928357378,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,用减持的coinbase的钱买入拼多多,pdd预计q3净利润300亿,现在估值12非常低,长期看好,买来当现金,等coinbase大跌再进入","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,用减持的coinbase的钱买入拼多多,pdd预计q3净利润300亿,现在估值12非常低,长期看好,买来当现金,等coinbase大跌再进入","text":"我开仓了$拼多多(PDD)$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT\">$COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT$ </a>,之前卖出的250的call这周末到期,大概率被行权了,看能不能在245接回来,接不回来就收权利金。还有下周末300的call目前也不确定是否会达到","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT\">$COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT$ </a>,之前卖出的250的call这周末到期,大概率被行权了,看能不能在245接回来,接不回来就收权利金。还有下周末300的call目前也不确定是否会达到","text":"我开仓了$COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20250321 100.0 CALL\">$COIN 20250321 100.0 CALL$ </a>,之前下单的两个原因: 1. 相比比特币走势低太多 2.谁当选都是利好,只是川普当选利好更大,因为能解决sec诉讼问题 当前川普当选,利好兑现,不过没卖在当天最高价,已经不错了 当前是美股全仓几乎coinbase,卖掉一些换别的吧","listText":"我平仓了2手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20250321 100.0 CALL\">$COIN 20250321 100.0 CALL$ </a>,之前下单的两个原因: 1. 相比比特币走势低太多 2.谁当选都是利好,只是川普当选利好更大,因为能解决sec诉讼问题 当前川普当选,利好兑现,不过没卖在当天最高价,已经不错了 当前是美股全仓几乎coinbase,卖掉一些换别的吧","text":"我平仓了2手$COIN 20250321 100.0 CALL$ ,之前下单的两个原因: 1. 相比比特币走势低太多 2.谁当选都是利好,只是川普当选利好更大,因为能解决sec诉讼问题 当前川普当选,利好兑现,不过没卖在当天最高价,已经不错了 当前是美股全仓几乎coinbase,卖掉一些换别的吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368272399028512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368197343191056,"gmtCreate":1730907875808,"gmtModify":1731748897186,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了2手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL$ </a>,美股几乎全仓coinbase,适当趁着这次有机会可以减仓一点","listText":"我开仓了2手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL$ </a>,美股几乎全仓coinbase,适当趁着这次有机会可以减仓一点","text":"我开仓了2手$COIN 20241115 250.0 CALL$ 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PUT$ ,被动行权,算上权利金基本没算亏,同时卖出了个call接着吃权利金","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356814608109992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":960,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356686215991520,"gmtCreate":1728083569448,"gmtModify":1728724147112,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241011 180.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241011 180.0 CALL$ </a>,继续卖出call赚权利金,本周五是被175行权买入的","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241011 180.0 CALL\">$COIN 20241011 180.0 CALL$ </a>,继续卖出call赚权利金,本周五是被175行权买入的","text":"我开仓了1手$COIN 20241011 180.0 CALL$ ,继续卖出call赚权利金,本周五是被175行权买入的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356686215991520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356369033072712,"gmtCreate":1728013624123,"gmtModify":1728019324187,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了20手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/XCC.HK 20250328 5.25 CALL\">$XCC.HK 20250328 5.25 CALL$ </a>,牛市看张大a行情下,金融低估银行会有不错表现并且因为估值低风险小,买它","listText":"我开仓了20手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/XCC.HK 20250328 5.25 CALL\">$XCC.HK 20250328 5.25 CALL$ </a>,牛市看张大a行情下,金融低估银行会有不错表现并且因为估值低风险小,买它","text":"我开仓了20手$XCC.HK 20250328 5.25 CALL$ ,牛市看张大a行情下,金融低估银行会有不错表现并且因为估值低风险小,买它","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356369033072712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3449113858076299","authorId":"3449113858076299","name":"啊啊啊啊呀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd2453610af725d268615cdd71b3c6a4","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3449113858076299","authorIdStr":"3449113858076299"},"content":"牛市买大银行就是个错误,你大概率跑输指数","text":"牛市买大银行就是个错误,你大概率跑输指数","html":"牛市买大银行就是个错误,你大概率跑输指数"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355107838152848,"gmtCreate":1727705858931,"gmtModify":1728111123892,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241004 175.0 PUT\">$COIN 20241004 175.0 PUT$ </a>,卖出期权,等回调,赚取权利金","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241004 175.0 PUT\">$COIN 20241004 175.0 PUT$ </a>,卖出期权,等回调,赚取权利金","text":"我开仓了1手$COIN 20241004 175.0 PUT$ ,卖出期权,等回调,赚取权利金","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355107838152848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":699454824,"gmtCreate":1639881614960,"gmtModify":1704373461568,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"本周实盘总结2021-12-19","htmlText":"由于是第一篇实盘总结,一些整体情况先交代下,本人持有A股、港股、美股账户,还持有数字资产账户,这些账户当在我有变动时会陆续交代。A股:买入了平安银行(药明康德是从普通账户转移到了信用账户)为啥买银行呢?在一些价值投资者眼中好的银行始终是A股的核心资产,比如但斌的《时间的玫瑰》,邱国鹭的《投资最简单的事》都非常认可中国的核心银行资产,如下图,基金顶流张坤的易方达蓝筹也重仓了招商银行和平安银行为啥买平安银行而不是招商银行呢?我前两次8-10月期间的低吸高抛策略都是买的招商银行,都赚到了10个点以上,这次招行我认为还没跌到位,可以再等等,而平安已经进入短期支撑位附近(在今年3%的价格分位值了),招行/平安银行的股价比已经达到2.89高值(下图黄色线为股价比率)美股: 12月16日晚卖出了2手COIN的3个月到期put,由于是第一篇实盘交易文章,一些我的思考得先依次说明下为啥做期权交易? 有一本书叫《生命周期投资法》,内容不多,也好理解,推荐大家可以看下,尤其是年轻人应该看下,大概思路就是我们要贯穿一生去思考整个投资历程,比较好的思路是要达到风险敞口和你的年龄匹配,也就是年轻时你的资金少,承受风险能力强,应该多利用杠杆,随着年龄的增大,逐步降低杠杆,到50岁开始不再使用杠杆,这样能达到更好的收益风险。 增加杠杆主要有两种方式:期货和期权,期货的风险是当标的价格方向和你的预期方向相反时,你就必须增加保证金,是会有被平仓的风险的,但是如果你交易的是期权,有些期权策略是有兜底的,是更安全的。为啥卖COIN的put呢? 期权的交易策略很多,我自己分析和实际用下来,我主要会用到这几个策略:买call,卖put,covered call(备兑开仓)、bull put spread(牛市认沽价差),当标的股价低并且期权溢价低时我会买call,比如上图中我持有的苹果call,当标的价格低并且期权溢","listText":"由于是第一篇实盘总结,一些整体情况先交代下,本人持有A股、港股、美股账户,还持有数字资产账户,这些账户当在我有变动时会陆续交代。A股:买入了平安银行(药明康德是从普通账户转移到了信用账户)为啥买银行呢?在一些价值投资者眼中好的银行始终是A股的核心资产,比如但斌的《时间的玫瑰》,邱国鹭的《投资最简单的事》都非常认可中国的核心银行资产,如下图,基金顶流张坤的易方达蓝筹也重仓了招商银行和平安银行为啥买平安银行而不是招商银行呢?我前两次8-10月期间的低吸高抛策略都是买的招商银行,都赚到了10个点以上,这次招行我认为还没跌到位,可以再等等,而平安已经进入短期支撑位附近(在今年3%的价格分位值了),招行/平安银行的股价比已经达到2.89高值(下图黄色线为股价比率)美股: 12月16日晚卖出了2手COIN的3个月到期put,由于是第一篇实盘交易文章,一些我的思考得先依次说明下为啥做期权交易? 有一本书叫《生命周期投资法》,内容不多,也好理解,推荐大家可以看下,尤其是年轻人应该看下,大概思路就是我们要贯穿一生去思考整个投资历程,比较好的思路是要达到风险敞口和你的年龄匹配,也就是年轻时你的资金少,承受风险能力强,应该多利用杠杆,随着年龄的增大,逐步降低杠杆,到50岁开始不再使用杠杆,这样能达到更好的收益风险。 增加杠杆主要有两种方式:期货和期权,期货的风险是当标的价格方向和你的预期方向相反时,你就必须增加保证金,是会有被平仓的风险的,但是如果你交易的是期权,有些期权策略是有兜底的,是更安全的。为啥卖COIN的put呢? 期权的交易策略很多,我自己分析和实际用下来,我主要会用到这几个策略:买call,卖put,covered call(备兑开仓)、bull put spread(牛市认沽价差),当标的股价低并且期权溢价低时我会买call,比如上图中我持有的苹果call,当标的价格低并且期权溢","text":"由于是第一篇实盘总结,一些整体情况先交代下,本人持有A股、港股、美股账户,还持有数字资产账户,这些账户当在我有变动时会陆续交代。A股:买入了平安银行(药明康德是从普通账户转移到了信用账户)为啥买银行呢?在一些价值投资者眼中好的银行始终是A股的核心资产,比如但斌的《时间的玫瑰》,邱国鹭的《投资最简单的事》都非常认可中国的核心银行资产,如下图,基金顶流张坤的易方达蓝筹也重仓了招商银行和平安银行为啥买平安银行而不是招商银行呢?我前两次8-10月期间的低吸高抛策略都是买的招商银行,都赚到了10个点以上,这次招行我认为还没跌到位,可以再等等,而平安已经进入短期支撑位附近(在今年3%的价格分位值了),招行/平安银行的股价比已经达到2.89高值(下图黄色线为股价比率)美股: 12月16日晚卖出了2手COIN的3个月到期put,由于是第一篇实盘交易文章,一些我的思考得先依次说明下为啥做期权交易? 有一本书叫《生命周期投资法》,内容不多,也好理解,推荐大家可以看下,尤其是年轻人应该看下,大概思路就是我们要贯穿一生去思考整个投资历程,比较好的思路是要达到风险敞口和你的年龄匹配,也就是年轻时你的资金少,承受风险能力强,应该多利用杠杆,随着年龄的增大,逐步降低杠杆,到50岁开始不再使用杠杆,这样能达到更好的收益风险。 增加杠杆主要有两种方式:期货和期权,期货的风险是当标的价格方向和你的预期方向相反时,你就必须增加保证金,是会有被平仓的风险的,但是如果你交易的是期权,有些期权策略是有兜底的,是更安全的。为啥卖COIN的put呢? 期权的交易策略很多,我自己分析和实际用下来,我主要会用到这几个策略:买call,卖put,covered call(备兑开仓)、bull put spread(牛市认沽价差),当标的股价低并且期权溢价低时我会买call,比如上图中我持有的苹果call,当标的价格低并且期权溢","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3d36b5fd1cf3a44289503b51529631b"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09a6b2b26332c40da4b85767d235f8a"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/283e170496dc4508bfcdf573fd1e4da5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":647,"commentSize":165,"repostSize":31,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699454824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":29449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3473824220208426","authorId":"3473824220208426","name":"百胜医疗","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5c9c3dc67fa13fc82ca603e09f9bfb","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3473824220208426","authorIdStr":"3473824220208426"},"content":"老厉害了,向你学习","text":"老厉害了,向你学习","html":"老厉害了,向你学习"}],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":262614879355120,"gmtCreate":1705146290593,"gmtModify":1705147651425,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"大饼ETF刚上市2天就大跌,是入还是跑呢?","htmlText":"为啥ETF上市了反而大跌呢? ETF获批后两个交易日, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKB\">$ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF(ARKB)$</a> ETF大跌8%,coinbase <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 大跌18%,首先入我之前文章也说过了,ETF获批是极大大概率事件,所以在之前很多机构或者个人就有这个预期,早就提前买入等待上涨了,所以正式获批上市利好落地,这是获利了结是正常的,之前的减半行情也出现过类似情况,在其它股票上这种事情也经常出现,所以本次的大跌事件需要客观看待,不是有什么利空导致的,单纯只是利好兑现。 未来价格会怎样? 未来大饼的价格根据一些专家的预估,tom lee的预估是未来12个月能到15w,未来5年能到50w,木头姐的预测是到2030年到150w,而且叠加4月份的减半行情,所以中长期看肯定是会大涨的 现在该加仓还是减仓? 因为ETF已经上市利好兑现并且大跌了,如果刚上市或者上市前没有减仓的,现在也没必要减仓了。所以如果仓位比较重就等着上涨到心理价位逐步减仓就行了,如果仓位很轻或者没有仓位,倒是逢低可以适当加仓,但是要控制仓位,切记别贪婪,建议不要超过25%的仓位,木头姐在最近的采访中说她的可投资资产至少25%是在大饼上的。我是最近卖了个put,大概率得行权买入了(2号操作的时候还给弄错方向了。。。) 提醒 忘了说一点了,我为啥买的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 而不换成ARKB呢,是因为众所周知的原因,我买不了ARKB这种比特币ETF,但是coinbase和MSTR可以买,不过","listText":"为啥ETF上市了反而大跌呢? ETF获批后两个交易日, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKB\">$ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF(ARKB)$</a> ETF大跌8%,coinbase <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 大跌18%,首先入我之前文章也说过了,ETF获批是极大大概率事件,所以在之前很多机构或者个人就有这个预期,早就提前买入等待上涨了,所以正式获批上市利好落地,这是获利了结是正常的,之前的减半行情也出现过类似情况,在其它股票上这种事情也经常出现,所以本次的大跌事件需要客观看待,不是有什么利空导致的,单纯只是利好兑现。 未来价格会怎样? 未来大饼的价格根据一些专家的预估,tom lee的预估是未来12个月能到15w,未来5年能到50w,木头姐的预测是到2030年到150w,而且叠加4月份的减半行情,所以中长期看肯定是会大涨的 现在该加仓还是减仓? 因为ETF已经上市利好兑现并且大跌了,如果刚上市或者上市前没有减仓的,现在也没必要减仓了。所以如果仓位比较重就等着上涨到心理价位逐步减仓就行了,如果仓位很轻或者没有仓位,倒是逢低可以适当加仓,但是要控制仓位,切记别贪婪,建议不要超过25%的仓位,木头姐在最近的采访中说她的可投资资产至少25%是在大饼上的。我是最近卖了个put,大概率得行权买入了(2号操作的时候还给弄错方向了。。。) 提醒 忘了说一点了,我为啥买的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 而不换成ARKB呢,是因为众所周知的原因,我买不了ARKB这种比特币ETF,但是coinbase和MSTR可以买,不过","text":"为啥ETF上市了反而大跌呢? ETF获批后两个交易日, $ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF(ARKB)$ ETF大跌8%,coinbase $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 大跌18%,首先入我之前文章也说过了,ETF获批是极大大概率事件,所以在之前很多机构或者个人就有这个预期,早就提前买入等待上涨了,所以正式获批上市利好落地,这是获利了结是正常的,之前的减半行情也出现过类似情况,在其它股票上这种事情也经常出现,所以本次的大跌事件需要客观看待,不是有什么利空导致的,单纯只是利好兑现。 未来价格会怎样? 未来大饼的价格根据一些专家的预估,tom lee的预估是未来12个月能到15w,未来5年能到50w,木头姐的预测是到2030年到150w,而且叠加4月份的减半行情,所以中长期看肯定是会大涨的 现在该加仓还是减仓? 因为ETF已经上市利好兑现并且大跌了,如果刚上市或者上市前没有减仓的,现在也没必要减仓了。所以如果仓位比较重就等着上涨到心理价位逐步减仓就行了,如果仓位很轻或者没有仓位,倒是逢低可以适当加仓,但是要控制仓位,切记别贪婪,建议不要超过25%的仓位,木头姐在最近的采访中说她的可投资资产至少25%是在大饼上的。我是最近卖了个put,大概率得行权买入了(2号操作的时候还给弄错方向了。。。) 提醒 忘了说一点了,我为啥买的 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 而不换成ARKB呢,是因为众所周知的原因,我买不了ARKB这种比特币ETF,但是coinbase和MSTR可以买,不过","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5ca759c12c3c22518caef2d32cc5d0","width":"640","height":"228"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/263c22fa5f2e3f88efd0ea565986d226","width":"640","height":"504"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8366d977c895e16c13ab63c8c6ecb89a","width":"640","height":"599"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":141,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/262614879355120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4168504876442662","authorId":"4168504876442662","name":"gjaf","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e20cbe5a3187f6a5f19814f11140c9c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4168504876442662","authorIdStr":"4168504876442662"},"content":"这里买不了 rockflow可以买呀 11支都行","text":"这里买不了 rockflow可以买呀 11支都行","html":"这里买不了 rockflow可以买呀 11支都行"}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":274849627295824,"gmtCreate":1708139826038,"gmtModify":1709011029885,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"比特币、coinbase大涨,如期完成减持","htmlText":"本周卖了港股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">$中国平安(02318)$</a> 和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">$药明生物(02269)$</a> 的PUT,赚点权利金 目前比特币已经超5.2w刀,我的预期依然没变,2个月后就是减半,预计一年内能到15w。昨天早上 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 发布了盈利的财报,昨晚按照之前计划在COIN股价冲到190以上时卖掉了一手的COIN CALL,完成计划减持(最早计划200左右减持的,上次187时没减持后来大跌,这次就不等那么精确了) 从下图比特币和coinbase的价格走势来看,大多数情况下coinbase表现都比比特币要好,但是coinbase波动更大,所以持仓coinbase的得心态好,控制好仓位 目前持仓只有一个谷歌的PUT是小亏的,其它当前都是红的,最近一周中概包括港股科技都涨势不错,滴滴也终于水上了","listText":"本周卖了港股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">$中国平安(02318)$</a> 和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">$药明生物(02269)$</a> 的PUT,赚点权利金 目前比特币已经超5.2w刀,我的预期依然没变,2个月后就是减半,预计一年内能到15w。昨天早上 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 发布了盈利的财报,昨晚按照之前计划在COIN股价冲到190以上时卖掉了一手的COIN CALL,完成计划减持(最早计划200左右减持的,上次187时没减持后来大跌,这次就不等那么精确了) 从下图比特币和coinbase的价格走势来看,大多数情况下coinbase表现都比比特币要好,但是coinbase波动更大,所以持仓coinbase的得心态好,控制好仓位 目前持仓只有一个谷歌的PUT是小亏的,其它当前都是红的,最近一周中概包括港股科技都涨势不错,滴滴也终于水上了","text":"本周卖了港股 $中国平安(02318)$ 和 $药明生物(02269)$ 的PUT,赚点权利金 目前比特币已经超5.2w刀,我的预期依然没变,2个月后就是减半,预计一年内能到15w。昨天早上 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 发布了盈利的财报,昨晚按照之前计划在COIN股价冲到190以上时卖掉了一手的COIN CALL,完成计划减持(最早计划200左右减持的,上次187时没减持后来大跌,这次就不等那么精确了) 从下图比特币和coinbase的价格走势来看,大多数情况下coinbase表现都比比特币要好,但是coinbase波动更大,所以持仓coinbase的得心态好,控制好仓位 目前持仓只有一个谷歌的PUT是小亏的,其它当前都是红的,最近一周中概包括港股科技都涨势不错,滴滴也终于水上了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb271eebfc581b2040fc3220b75d1911","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/274849627295824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3458386655471801","authorId":"3458386655471801","name":"股神吧吧","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3458386655471801","authorIdStr":"3458386655471801"},"content":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","html":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":257566253383752,"gmtCreate":1703915876916,"gmtModify":1703919059926,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"2023年终总结:收益率332%","htmlText":"不废话,先上图(基金账户还有一部分是自动用闲置现金购买的货币基金) 持有coinbase的过程 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 10多年前就知道比特币,但是一直没有研究过它的逻辑,直到2020年2月比特币那次大跳空我才开始真正在交易所买入比特币,期间也买了以太币,买点很低,但是玩网格在比特币减半前卖飞了,后来又在300左右的价格买入价值100多w rmb的以太币,也还是因为没有任何研究,全当炒作,后来在以太下跌又涨回后微薄的利润下几乎清仓。直到2021年比特币6w8见顶,以太4800后,才开始思考比特币和以太币的逻辑,也看了油管很多博主的分析,以及木头姐的一些分析个预测,慢慢对于比特币的底层逻辑和支撑有了一些了解。比特币总量的稀缺性类似黄金,同时又比黄金方便,未来空间巨大。 在21年早期的时候已经买入了一些比特币基金和以太基金,在22年早期coinbase还在200多价格时,买入了230的put,随后coinbase随着比特币大跌,一路加仓买入摊平成本,直到今年上半年很多其它持仓都换成了coinbase。7月份coinbase短期因为ETF可能获批炒作超过100的价格,没有卖,有点后悔,所以10月份时在coinbase 70多价格时,卖了70的put,同时卖了85和90的call,11月份随着比特币价格快速上涨,coinbase价格也快速上涨,在接近100价格时,又果断买了长期的coinbase call,算是挽回一些卖call的损失吧。 为啥不是持有比特币而是持有coinbase呢,其实我在币安交易所是持有一定比特币和以太币的,coinbase相比直接持有比特币预期未来如果是上涨行情,涨幅会更大,具体原因大家可以网上找一些分析文章,我就不细说了,实际23年的情况也确","listText":"不废话,先上图(基金账户还有一部分是自动用闲置现金购买的货币基金) 持有coinbase的过程 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 10多年前就知道比特币,但是一直没有研究过它的逻辑,直到2020年2月比特币那次大跳空我才开始真正在交易所买入比特币,期间也买了以太币,买点很低,但是玩网格在比特币减半前卖飞了,后来又在300左右的价格买入价值100多w rmb的以太币,也还是因为没有任何研究,全当炒作,后来在以太下跌又涨回后微薄的利润下几乎清仓。直到2021年比特币6w8见顶,以太4800后,才开始思考比特币和以太币的逻辑,也看了油管很多博主的分析,以及木头姐的一些分析个预测,慢慢对于比特币的底层逻辑和支撑有了一些了解。比特币总量的稀缺性类似黄金,同时又比黄金方便,未来空间巨大。 在21年早期的时候已经买入了一些比特币基金和以太基金,在22年早期coinbase还在200多价格时,买入了230的put,随后coinbase随着比特币大跌,一路加仓买入摊平成本,直到今年上半年很多其它持仓都换成了coinbase。7月份coinbase短期因为ETF可能获批炒作超过100的价格,没有卖,有点后悔,所以10月份时在coinbase 70多价格时,卖了70的put,同时卖了85和90的call,11月份随着比特币价格快速上涨,coinbase价格也快速上涨,在接近100价格时,又果断买了长期的coinbase call,算是挽回一些卖call的损失吧。 为啥不是持有比特币而是持有coinbase呢,其实我在币安交易所是持有一定比特币和以太币的,coinbase相比直接持有比特币预期未来如果是上涨行情,涨幅会更大,具体原因大家可以网上找一些分析文章,我就不细说了,实际23年的情况也确","text":"不废话,先上图(基金账户还有一部分是自动用闲置现金购买的货币基金) 持有coinbase的过程 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 10多年前就知道比特币,但是一直没有研究过它的逻辑,直到2020年2月比特币那次大跳空我才开始真正在交易所买入比特币,期间也买了以太币,买点很低,但是玩网格在比特币减半前卖飞了,后来又在300左右的价格买入价值100多w rmb的以太币,也还是因为没有任何研究,全当炒作,后来在以太下跌又涨回后微薄的利润下几乎清仓。直到2021年比特币6w8见顶,以太4800后,才开始思考比特币和以太币的逻辑,也看了油管很多博主的分析,以及木头姐的一些分析个预测,慢慢对于比特币的底层逻辑和支撑有了一些了解。比特币总量的稀缺性类似黄金,同时又比黄金方便,未来空间巨大。 在21年早期的时候已经买入了一些比特币基金和以太基金,在22年早期coinbase还在200多价格时,买入了230的put,随后coinbase随着比特币大跌,一路加仓买入摊平成本,直到今年上半年很多其它持仓都换成了coinbase。7月份coinbase短期因为ETF可能获批炒作超过100的价格,没有卖,有点后悔,所以10月份时在coinbase 70多价格时,卖了70的put,同时卖了85和90的call,11月份随着比特币价格快速上涨,coinbase价格也快速上涨,在接近100价格时,又果断买了长期的coinbase call,算是挽回一些卖call的损失吧。 为啥不是持有比特币而是持有coinbase呢,其实我在币安交易所是持有一定比特币和以太币的,coinbase相比直接持有比特币预期未来如果是上涨行情,涨幅会更大,具体原因大家可以网上找一些分析文章,我就不细说了,实际23年的情况也确","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f91652af69eb976c71e5cd58d4b7792","width":"1080","height":"2291"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e380e0a611996551ab1743c3601ab8f","width":"1080","height":"2310"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ed7459056f5c7bda3e211a8b8b1d973","width":"1775","height":"631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/257566253383752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579612413176972","authorId":"3579612413176972","name":"Yonny","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231a2860cddd1bf2ffc3c16938f4673d","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3579612413176972","authorIdStr":"3579612413176972"},"content":"太牛了,24年打算哪一只噢?蹲一个更新。。","text":"太牛了,24年打算哪一只噢?蹲一个更新。。","html":"太牛了,24年打算哪一只噢?蹲一个更新。。"}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":274846261240040,"gmtCreate":1708138905019,"gmtModify":1709011040857,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"巴菲特为啥减持苹果浅析","htmlText":"巴菲特减持苹果1000w股股票 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 伯克希尔最近提交的13F显示减持了苹果股票1000w股,很多自媒体就解读说苹果不行了,巴菲特不看好苹果了等等。我开始也觉得说的有道理,后来自己仔细分析了一下13F报告,发现不是这么回事。 减持原因分析 从以上伯克希尔13F持仓信息可以看出来,相比上个季度,巴菲特确实减持了1000w股苹果股票,减持了大概1%多点,但是减持后的苹果股票的价值相比上个季度反而多了11.22%,原因就是苹果的股票Q4末相比Q3末有12.6%的涨幅 同时,还能看到苹果的持仓占比Q3末是50%,Q4末虽然减持了1%多,但是持仓占比还是达到了50.2%,多了0.2%。所以从上面信息可以推断出来,巴菲特大概率不是因为不是看好苹果而减持的,否则就不会只减持1%了,而大概率是因为苹果的股价增长导致单一股票的仓位占比太高了,都超过50%了,虽然没有单个股票仓位的占比上限要求,但是为了控制风险一般还是有一个自己的要求,那大概率就是因为防止苹果的仓位占比继续更高,而进行的技术性平衡。 结论 所以从13F的信息还看不出巴菲特不看好苹果,只能从后续的多次减持来判断是否真的不看好苹果了","listText":"巴菲特减持苹果1000w股股票 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 伯克希尔最近提交的13F显示减持了苹果股票1000w股,很多自媒体就解读说苹果不行了,巴菲特不看好苹果了等等。我开始也觉得说的有道理,后来自己仔细分析了一下13F报告,发现不是这么回事。 减持原因分析 从以上伯克希尔13F持仓信息可以看出来,相比上个季度,巴菲特确实减持了1000w股苹果股票,减持了大概1%多点,但是减持后的苹果股票的价值相比上个季度反而多了11.22%,原因就是苹果的股票Q4末相比Q3末有12.6%的涨幅 同时,还能看到苹果的持仓占比Q3末是50%,Q4末虽然减持了1%多,但是持仓占比还是达到了50.2%,多了0.2%。所以从上面信息可以推断出来,巴菲特大概率不是因为不是看好苹果而减持的,否则就不会只减持1%了,而大概率是因为苹果的股价增长导致单一股票的仓位占比太高了,都超过50%了,虽然没有单个股票仓位的占比上限要求,但是为了控制风险一般还是有一个自己的要求,那大概率就是因为防止苹果的仓位占比继续更高,而进行的技术性平衡。 结论 所以从13F的信息还看不出巴菲特不看好苹果,只能从后续的多次减持来判断是否真的不看好苹果了","text":"巴菲特减持苹果1000w股股票 $伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ 伯克希尔最近提交的13F显示减持了苹果股票1000w股,很多自媒体就解读说苹果不行了,巴菲特不看好苹果了等等。我开始也觉得说的有道理,后来自己仔细分析了一下13F报告,发现不是这么回事。 减持原因分析 从以上伯克希尔13F持仓信息可以看出来,相比上个季度,巴菲特确实减持了1000w股苹果股票,减持了大概1%多点,但是减持后的苹果股票的价值相比上个季度反而多了11.22%,原因就是苹果的股票Q4末相比Q3末有12.6%的涨幅 同时,还能看到苹果的持仓占比Q3末是50%,Q4末虽然减持了1%多,但是持仓占比还是达到了50.2%,多了0.2%。所以从上面信息可以推断出来,巴菲特大概率不是因为不是看好苹果而减持的,否则就不会只减持1%了,而大概率是因为苹果的股价增长导致单一股票的仓位占比太高了,都超过50%了,虽然没有单个股票仓位的占比上限要求,但是为了控制风险一般还是有一个自己的要求,那大概率就是因为防止苹果的仓位占比继续更高,而进行的技术性平衡。 结论 所以从13F的信息还看不出巴菲特不看好苹果,只能从后续的多次减持来判断是否真的不看好苹果了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/496e7826ec06bd9299bf57ab1d940117","width":"1077","height":"532"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/274846261240040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373313207554104,"gmtCreate":1732168746964,"gmtModify":1732187893195,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$ </a>,昨天财报其实很不错了,但是市场依然下跌,那就买入吧,pe估值很低,还要啥自行车呀,公司应该今天也是大量回购的","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$ </a>,昨天财报其实很不错了,但是市场依然下跌,那就买入吧,pe估值很低,还要啥自行车呀,公司应该今天也是大量回购的","text":"我开仓了$快手-W(01024)$ ,昨天财报其实很不错了,但是市场依然下跌,那就买入吧,pe估值很低,还要啥自行车呀,公司应该今天也是大量回购的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373313207554104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3471210355661451","authorId":"3471210355661451","name":"不高兴的小欣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be9f320e27bb9010bdd8748b7ecc7bf7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3471210355661451","authorIdStr":"3471210355661451"},"content":"不错?成长股营收增速11%?这都敢买?市场预期要1年才能转回哦","text":"不错?成长股营收增速11%?这都敢买?市场预期要1年才能转回哦","html":"不错?成长股营收增速11%?这都敢买?市场预期要1年才能转回哦"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301415602762000,"gmtCreate":1714594013449,"gmtModify":1714612574787,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"2024年4月份期权操作总结","htmlText":"今年以来平仓信息 下图是今年以来的平仓信息,只有1月份有两笔是亏损的,其中第一笔是操作错了方向重新下单了。 4月份的操作都是盈利的: 中概互联:最近几天内中概大涨,实现了接近最大化收益,即正股大涨+权利金收益 药明生物$药明生物 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">$药明生物(02269)$</a> :正股之前2月份是16.7的成本买的,现在还处于亏损,但是由于几次卖call的操作,以及把亏损大幅降低了,相信随着正股企稳叠加继续卖call,不亏大概率没问题 比亚迪 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">$比亚迪股份(01211)$</a> :比亚迪最近也大涨,期权到期日当天还差点接近行权价220,最后也实现了正股上涨+权利金收益 招商银行 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03968\">$招商银行(03968)$</a> :这是卖一个30价格的put,最近招行也大涨,顺利赚到put收益 最新下单和当前期权持仓 最新持仓信息如下,最近几天继续卖出了中概互联的宽跨式期权以及比亚迪的call,由于招行现在价格比较贵,没有继续卖put 还有两个对角价差合约的买方腿没有展示出来,一个COIN的,还有一个是阿里巴巴的 反思复盘 对角价差最近一个月才开始操作,感觉不错,如果在标的接近低点下单,可以达到类似covered call的效果 卖call时间都应该太长也不要太短,最好的一个月到2个月之间,我有一个8月到期的中概互联的call,到时就有被行权的风险,因为时间太长 卖put最好是在相对低点卖时间长一点,比如2个月到1年之间,要考虑年化在10%以上,最近操作的招行就有点可惜,虽然操作在了低点,但是卖的时间太短,现在价格比较高了,也不好再操作,应该卖个1年左右的 说明建议 我的所有操作都没","listText":"今年以来平仓信息 下图是今年以来的平仓信息,只有1月份有两笔是亏损的,其中第一笔是操作错了方向重新下单了。 4月份的操作都是盈利的: 中概互联:最近几天内中概大涨,实现了接近最大化收益,即正股大涨+权利金收益 药明生物$药明生物 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">$药明生物(02269)$</a> :正股之前2月份是16.7的成本买的,现在还处于亏损,但是由于几次卖call的操作,以及把亏损大幅降低了,相信随着正股企稳叠加继续卖call,不亏大概率没问题 比亚迪 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">$比亚迪股份(01211)$</a> :比亚迪最近也大涨,期权到期日当天还差点接近行权价220,最后也实现了正股上涨+权利金收益 招商银行 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03968\">$招商银行(03968)$</a> :这是卖一个30价格的put,最近招行也大涨,顺利赚到put收益 最新下单和当前期权持仓 最新持仓信息如下,最近几天继续卖出了中概互联的宽跨式期权以及比亚迪的call,由于招行现在价格比较贵,没有继续卖put 还有两个对角价差合约的买方腿没有展示出来,一个COIN的,还有一个是阿里巴巴的 反思复盘 对角价差最近一个月才开始操作,感觉不错,如果在标的接近低点下单,可以达到类似covered call的效果 卖call时间都应该太长也不要太短,最好的一个月到2个月之间,我有一个8月到期的中概互联的call,到时就有被行权的风险,因为时间太长 卖put最好是在相对低点卖时间长一点,比如2个月到1年之间,要考虑年化在10%以上,最近操作的招行就有点可惜,虽然操作在了低点,但是卖的时间太短,现在价格比较高了,也不好再操作,应该卖个1年左右的 说明建议 我的所有操作都没","text":"今年以来平仓信息 下图是今年以来的平仓信息,只有1月份有两笔是亏损的,其中第一笔是操作错了方向重新下单了。 4月份的操作都是盈利的: 中概互联:最近几天内中概大涨,实现了接近最大化收益,即正股大涨+权利金收益 药明生物$药明生物 $药明生物(02269)$ :正股之前2月份是16.7的成本买的,现在还处于亏损,但是由于几次卖call的操作,以及把亏损大幅降低了,相信随着正股企稳叠加继续卖call,不亏大概率没问题 比亚迪 $比亚迪股份(01211)$ :比亚迪最近也大涨,期权到期日当天还差点接近行权价220,最后也实现了正股上涨+权利金收益 招商银行 $招商银行(03968)$ :这是卖一个30价格的put,最近招行也大涨,顺利赚到put收益 最新下单和当前期权持仓 最新持仓信息如下,最近几天继续卖出了中概互联的宽跨式期权以及比亚迪的call,由于招行现在价格比较贵,没有继续卖put 还有两个对角价差合约的买方腿没有展示出来,一个COIN的,还有一个是阿里巴巴的 反思复盘 对角价差最近一个月才开始操作,感觉不错,如果在标的接近低点下单,可以达到类似covered call的效果 卖call时间都应该太长也不要太短,最好的一个月到2个月之间,我有一个8月到期的中概互联的call,到时就有被行权的风险,因为时间太长 卖put最好是在相对低点卖时间长一点,比如2个月到1年之间,要考虑年化在10%以上,最近操作的招行就有点可惜,虽然操作在了低点,但是卖的时间太短,现在价格比较高了,也不好再操作,应该卖个1年左右的 说明建议 我的所有操作都没","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b13350fe8715353a6d2715e4d5ad2045","width":"800","height":"530"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301415602762000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":289996808261840,"gmtCreate":1711806635415,"gmtModify":1711926602173,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"2024一季度总结:一季度收益率34%(去年全年收益率326%)","htmlText":"前言 大家转发、评论、点赞是我后续继续分享的动力。 总体情况 美股账户继去年全年收益率326%后,在此基础上今年一季度继续正收益34%,跑赢纳斯达克。 去年表现 今年Q1表现 持仓说明 持仓大头还是coinbase <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> ,之前也说过,我长期看好加密资产,一季度只是因为coinbase的大幅上涨将之前的期权call止盈了,为的是降低杠杆,剩下的正股部分短期不打算卖了,下一个卖点就是等翻倍,预计是今年年底到明年初。 正股第二持仓就是拼多多 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 了,一季度拼多多经历了较大幅度的回撤,但是基本面和财报依然亮眼,temu全球市场非常有潜力和机会,继续持有,但是短期可能不会很快涨上去,所以我卖了160的call做了个备兑赚点权利金。 一月份持有的滴滴前几天卖掉了,没有亏,我依然坚持今年年底滴滴大概率会港股上市迎来估值修复,同时最近滴滴发的2023年财报,盈利了(3月23日,滴滴发布的最新财报显示,2023年四季度营收494亿元,同比增长55.4%,净利润11亿元,经调整EBITA(非公认会计准则口径)亏损13亿元。其中中国移动出行在2023年四季度贡献营收449亿元,同比增长60.9%,国际业务实现营收22亿元,同比增长33.3%。)。那我为啥要卖掉滴滴呢,是因为滴滴是在粉单市场的,100%占用保证金,之前买时没考虑到这一点,同时我目前持仓了大量的期权,如果再被滴滴占有大量的保证金头寸是有一定风险的。 在春节期间买了药明生物 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">$药明生物(02269)$</a> ,本以为价格已经够低了,","listText":"前言 大家转发、评论、点赞是我后续继续分享的动力。 总体情况 美股账户继去年全年收益率326%后,在此基础上今年一季度继续正收益34%,跑赢纳斯达克。 去年表现 今年Q1表现 持仓说明 持仓大头还是coinbase <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> ,之前也说过,我长期看好加密资产,一季度只是因为coinbase的大幅上涨将之前的期权call止盈了,为的是降低杠杆,剩下的正股部分短期不打算卖了,下一个卖点就是等翻倍,预计是今年年底到明年初。 正股第二持仓就是拼多多 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 了,一季度拼多多经历了较大幅度的回撤,但是基本面和财报依然亮眼,temu全球市场非常有潜力和机会,继续持有,但是短期可能不会很快涨上去,所以我卖了160的call做了个备兑赚点权利金。 一月份持有的滴滴前几天卖掉了,没有亏,我依然坚持今年年底滴滴大概率会港股上市迎来估值修复,同时最近滴滴发的2023年财报,盈利了(3月23日,滴滴发布的最新财报显示,2023年四季度营收494亿元,同比增长55.4%,净利润11亿元,经调整EBITA(非公认会计准则口径)亏损13亿元。其中中国移动出行在2023年四季度贡献营收449亿元,同比增长60.9%,国际业务实现营收22亿元,同比增长33.3%。)。那我为啥要卖掉滴滴呢,是因为滴滴是在粉单市场的,100%占用保证金,之前买时没考虑到这一点,同时我目前持仓了大量的期权,如果再被滴滴占有大量的保证金头寸是有一定风险的。 在春节期间买了药明生物 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">$药明生物(02269)$</a> ,本以为价格已经够低了,","text":"前言 大家转发、评论、点赞是我后续继续分享的动力。 总体情况 美股账户继去年全年收益率326%后,在此基础上今年一季度继续正收益34%,跑赢纳斯达克。 去年表现 今年Q1表现 持仓说明 持仓大头还是coinbase $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ ,之前也说过,我长期看好加密资产,一季度只是因为coinbase的大幅上涨将之前的期权call止盈了,为的是降低杠杆,剩下的正股部分短期不打算卖了,下一个卖点就是等翻倍,预计是今年年底到明年初。 正股第二持仓就是拼多多 $拼多多(PDD)$ 了,一季度拼多多经历了较大幅度的回撤,但是基本面和财报依然亮眼,temu全球市场非常有潜力和机会,继续持有,但是短期可能不会很快涨上去,所以我卖了160的call做了个备兑赚点权利金。 一月份持有的滴滴前几天卖掉了,没有亏,我依然坚持今年年底滴滴大概率会港股上市迎来估值修复,同时最近滴滴发的2023年财报,盈利了(3月23日,滴滴发布的最新财报显示,2023年四季度营收494亿元,同比增长55.4%,净利润11亿元,经调整EBITA(非公认会计准则口径)亏损13亿元。其中中国移动出行在2023年四季度贡献营收449亿元,同比增长60.9%,国际业务实现营收22亿元,同比增长33.3%。)。那我为啥要卖掉滴滴呢,是因为滴滴是在粉单市场的,100%占用保证金,之前买时没考虑到这一点,同时我目前持仓了大量的期权,如果再被滴滴占有大量的保证金头寸是有一定风险的。 在春节期间买了药明生物 $药明生物(02269)$ ,本以为价格已经够低了,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6abfa7f792863037c7cf055ab4c75f","width":"444","height":"892"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7beaa0b0e0faa92f91512e36d145316","width":"449","height":"938"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0eba6cbb6a3403ad41ab9f1a21d98bff","width":"445","height":"903"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":46,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/289996808261840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000249","authorId":"9000000000000249","name":"完美逃顶SP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1a81761a2eae3f57678008e1b9012c2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000249","authorIdStr":"9000000000000249"},"content":"一季度收益率达34%实在是太棒了,而且去年全年的收益率也高达326%,真是非常了不起。","text":"一季度收益率达34%实在是太棒了,而且去年全年的收益率也高达326%,真是非常了不起。","html":"一季度收益率达34%实在是太棒了,而且去年全年的收益率也高达326%,真是非常了不起。"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605223499,"gmtCreate":1639182914864,"gmtModify":1704373461690,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"美股苹果及以太基金交易收益超50%","htmlText":"从今年4月份开始操作老虎证券,从本金6万美金左右吧,操作期权和美股、港股,刚开始学期权,开始亏损较多,后来买苹果期权大赚,下图已经是交易过几次的了,先发个图吧,如果感兴趣的人多,我讲讲我的投资思考吧,以及用到的分析工具","listText":"从今年4月份开始操作老虎证券,从本金6万美金左右吧,操作期权和美股、港股,刚开始学期权,开始亏损较多,后来买苹果期权大赚,下图已经是交易过几次的了,先发个图吧,如果感兴趣的人多,我讲讲我的投资思考吧,以及用到的分析工具","text":"从今年4月份开始操作老虎证券,从本金6万美金左右吧,操作期权和美股、港股,刚开始学期权,开始亏损较多,后来买苹果期权大赚,下图已经是交易过几次的了,先发个图吧,如果感兴趣的人多,我讲讲我的投资思考吧,以及用到的分析工具","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29ad60acf95a8195c07550a3d0ffcb01","width":"688","height":"1534"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":19,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605223499","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24016,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000298","authorId":"9000000000000298","name":"海明威78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49ce3ebb7bc89a87c064908623092f59","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000298","authorIdStr":"9000000000000298"},"content":"八个月的时间赚三万美金,很佩服了,幸亏没有买太多中概股,腾讯没有关系,我就认为腾讯现在是个很不错的建仓机会了。而且你买的是长期Call。","text":"八个月的时间赚三万美金,很佩服了,幸亏没有买太多中概股,腾讯没有关系,我就认为腾讯现在是个很不错的建仓机会了。而且你买的是长期Call。","html":"八个月的时间赚三万美金,很佩服了,幸亏没有买太多中概股,腾讯没有关系,我就认为腾讯现在是个很不错的建仓机会了。而且你买的是长期Call。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694058358,"gmtCreate":1641735468211,"gmtModify":1704373462672,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"本周实盘总结2022-01-09","htmlText":"本周操作 美股本周大跌,我的ETH也回撤很多,COIN也有风险在苹果AAPL期权50的时候清仓了CALL,收益接近100%(25.7的成本),当时正股价格大概181也是近期高点在贝壳17.35的时候买了3手正股,买的时候就打算在正股涨到20左右的时候卖出CALL,结果几天后正股就达到20以上了,然后卖出三个多月的CALL港股、A股也都还有一些操作,就不在这说了后续思考如果美股大跌,苹果跌到合适的价格,我还是会继续买苹果的CALL的","listText":"本周操作 美股本周大跌,我的ETH也回撤很多,COIN也有风险在苹果AAPL期权50的时候清仓了CALL,收益接近100%(25.7的成本),当时正股价格大概181也是近期高点在贝壳17.35的时候买了3手正股,买的时候就打算在正股涨到20左右的时候卖出CALL,结果几天后正股就达到20以上了,然后卖出三个多月的CALL港股、A股也都还有一些操作,就不在这说了后续思考如果美股大跌,苹果跌到合适的价格,我还是会继续买苹果的CALL的","text":"本周操作 美股本周大跌,我的ETH也回撤很多,COIN也有风险在苹果AAPL期权50的时候清仓了CALL,收益接近100%(25.7的成本),当时正股价格大概181也是近期高点在贝壳17.35的时候买了3手正股,买的时候就打算在正股涨到20左右的时候卖出CALL,结果几天后正股就达到20以上了,然后卖出三个多月的CALL港股、A股也都还有一些操作,就不在这说了后续思考如果美股大跌,苹果跌到合适的价格,我还是会继续买苹果的CALL的","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d151e5ae1d91ee88ffd6e21715488f7","width":"632","height":"1410"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694058358","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000687","authorId":"9000000000000687","name":"先救我她有对象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41ac112b8ed10bb069533864c6e9000d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000687","authorIdStr":"9000000000000687"},"content":"2022年2月份是不是应该比较有风险?做点末日期权应该比较有搞头。","text":"2022年2月份是不是应该比较有风险?做点末日期权应该比较有搞头。","html":"2022年2月份是不是应该比较有风险?做点末日期权应该比较有搞头。"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372562693562640,"gmtCreate":1731966796854,"gmtModify":1731967089032,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/LI 20250117 30.0 PUT\">$LI 20250117 30.0 PUT$ </a>,平仓理想汽车put,之前下单时没想到会被问界等影响那么大,当前有很多更好的标的,认亏平仓了结","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/LI 20250117 30.0 PUT\">$LI 20250117 30.0 PUT$ </a>,平仓理想汽车put,之前下单时没想到会被问界等影响那么大,当前有很多更好的标的,认亏平仓了结","text":"我平仓了$LI 20250117 30.0 PUT$ ,平仓理想汽车put,之前下单时没想到会被问界等影响那么大,当前有很多更好的标的,认亏平仓了结","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372562693562640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563270363235900","authorId":"3563270363235900","name":"爱是付出","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0744bf2b16f361a1fca5dbedb057c90","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3563270363235900","authorIdStr":"3563270363235900"},"content":"为啥平仓?不是还有两个月吗?看好理想不会错。","text":"为啥平仓?不是还有两个月吗?看好理想不会错。","html":"为啥平仓?不是还有两个月吗?看好理想不会错。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":267833302405184,"gmtCreate":1706413405313,"gmtModify":1706510510983,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"滴滴是否被低估,是否有投资价值?","htmlText":"本周操作 本周有两个操作,一个是卖出了TLT,换成了滴滴,再一个是将COIN <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 2月2日到期的PUT期权进行了展期,后面会具体说下这两个操作 为啥要买入滴滴 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDIY\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$</a> 之前在年终总结时也说过,本来计划在COIN达到止盈位置后卖出一部分,当时的计划是卖出以后换成滴滴的,但是COIN在ETF上市后结果大跌,这也在情理之中,毕竟ETF上市的利好兑现了,但是我依然看好大饼的未来,而且距离减半还有不到3个月时间了,我依然看好大饼在25年超过10w刀的目标价格。 所以,既然看好大饼,当前又大跌不能减持,那是否还有必要买滴滴呢 滴滴被严重低估了 我们看上面表格,先拿滴滴和同是做网约车的uber来对比一下,uber营收对比滴滴每个季度在1.3 ~ 1.5倍之间,但是市值却是滴滴的7.5倍,从营收和市值来看,如果uber当前估值是合理的,那滴滴就是被严重低估了。 我们再对比美团和滴滴,美团营收是滴滴的大概1.5倍,但是市值却是滴滴的3倍,这还是再美团最近因为本地生活、外卖被字节偷袭或者竞争风险下的估值 大家要知道滴滴在网约车的绝对主导地位是在前两年不让下载app的情况下都没有任何玩家能抢到滴滴市场的 其它滴滴相关的利好信息 传言滴滴将于24年底港交所上市,预期寻求的估值是500亿美元,是当前市值的3倍 滴滴当前股价3.7美元,内部新招的高端岗位给的期权对应的股价是按照9美元左右给的,也是匹配未来港股上市价格 这周末有滴滴的前同事被要求加班,滴滴在搞机票、旅游、火车票、酒店业务,这在未来对于估值会有较大的想象和提升空间 滴滴从Q3的财报","listText":"本周操作 本周有两个操作,一个是卖出了TLT,换成了滴滴,再一个是将COIN <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 2月2日到期的PUT期权进行了展期,后面会具体说下这两个操作 为啥要买入滴滴 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDIY\">$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$</a> 之前在年终总结时也说过,本来计划在COIN达到止盈位置后卖出一部分,当时的计划是卖出以后换成滴滴的,但是COIN在ETF上市后结果大跌,这也在情理之中,毕竟ETF上市的利好兑现了,但是我依然看好大饼的未来,而且距离减半还有不到3个月时间了,我依然看好大饼在25年超过10w刀的目标价格。 所以,既然看好大饼,当前又大跌不能减持,那是否还有必要买滴滴呢 滴滴被严重低估了 我们看上面表格,先拿滴滴和同是做网约车的uber来对比一下,uber营收对比滴滴每个季度在1.3 ~ 1.5倍之间,但是市值却是滴滴的7.5倍,从营收和市值来看,如果uber当前估值是合理的,那滴滴就是被严重低估了。 我们再对比美团和滴滴,美团营收是滴滴的大概1.5倍,但是市值却是滴滴的3倍,这还是再美团最近因为本地生活、外卖被字节偷袭或者竞争风险下的估值 大家要知道滴滴在网约车的绝对主导地位是在前两年不让下载app的情况下都没有任何玩家能抢到滴滴市场的 其它滴滴相关的利好信息 传言滴滴将于24年底港交所上市,预期寻求的估值是500亿美元,是当前市值的3倍 滴滴当前股价3.7美元,内部新招的高端岗位给的期权对应的股价是按照9美元左右给的,也是匹配未来港股上市价格 这周末有滴滴的前同事被要求加班,滴滴在搞机票、旅游、火车票、酒店业务,这在未来对于估值会有较大的想象和提升空间 滴滴从Q3的财报","text":"本周操作 本周有两个操作,一个是卖出了TLT,换成了滴滴,再一个是将COIN $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 2月2日到期的PUT期权进行了展期,后面会具体说下这两个操作 为啥要买入滴滴 $DiDi Global Inc.(DIDIY)$ 之前在年终总结时也说过,本来计划在COIN达到止盈位置后卖出一部分,当时的计划是卖出以后换成滴滴的,但是COIN在ETF上市后结果大跌,这也在情理之中,毕竟ETF上市的利好兑现了,但是我依然看好大饼的未来,而且距离减半还有不到3个月时间了,我依然看好大饼在25年超过10w刀的目标价格。 所以,既然看好大饼,当前又大跌不能减持,那是否还有必要买滴滴呢 滴滴被严重低估了 我们看上面表格,先拿滴滴和同是做网约车的uber来对比一下,uber营收对比滴滴每个季度在1.3 ~ 1.5倍之间,但是市值却是滴滴的7.5倍,从营收和市值来看,如果uber当前估值是合理的,那滴滴就是被严重低估了。 我们再对比美团和滴滴,美团营收是滴滴的大概1.5倍,但是市值却是滴滴的3倍,这还是再美团最近因为本地生活、外卖被字节偷袭或者竞争风险下的估值 大家要知道滴滴在网约车的绝对主导地位是在前两年不让下载app的情况下都没有任何玩家能抢到滴滴市场的 其它滴滴相关的利好信息 传言滴滴将于24年底港交所上市,预期寻求的估值是500亿美元,是当前市值的3倍 滴滴当前股价3.7美元,内部新招的高端岗位给的期权对应的股价是按照9美元左右给的,也是匹配未来港股上市价格 这周末有滴滴的前同事被要求加班,滴滴在搞机票、旅游、火车票、酒店业务,这在未来对于估值会有较大的想象和提升空间 滴滴从Q3的财报","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e4a3869a357bc8adecc31e72c9c6fa8","width":"1080","height":"2302"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db66055e050f69a0fdd231c9a03e5238","width":"419","height":"513"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebe7ff3fc586a05036c13124ff1bb6b0","width":"706","height":"178"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267833302405184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3558262628735244","authorId":"3558262628735244","name":"拉南","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b56dc3b1e07c1be13870015bd8465eb","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3558262628735244","authorIdStr":"3558262628735244"},"content":"有一个要考虑的,和宁德合作换电站,换电站是重资本投入,短期可能拖累滴滴盈利","text":"有一个要考虑的,和宁德合作换电站,换电站是重资本投入,短期可能拖累滴滴盈利","html":"有一个要考虑的,和宁德合作换电站,换电站是重资本投入,短期可能拖累滴滴盈利"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":261126435659944,"gmtCreate":1704761624659,"gmtModify":1704971320283,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"现货ETF获批在即,我们应该注意什么?","htmlText":"1. 比特币现货ETF能否获批,什么时候获批 比特币最早大家对它的定位是取代法币的定位,但是近年来包括政府等已经将比特币归为大宗商品一类了,那它就和美元法币没有那么大的冲突和竞争关系了,它的竞争对手是黄金这类资产,所以从这方面来看,比特币被政府监管允许是可能的。 去年8月底,灰度( Grayscale Investments)在针对美国SEC的一场关键诉讼中获胜,华盛顿特区巡回上诉法院法官在裁决中裁定,SEC批准比特币期货ETF的决定,而拒绝灰度将GBTC转换为现货比特币ETF的决定是“任意且反复无常的”。灰度的这一关键性的胜利,令市场猜测美国SEC或许不得不妥协,给日益增长的现货比特币ETF呼声开绿灯。SEC的现任主席Gary Gensler及其前任Jay Clayton,此前拒绝允许此类产品推出,理由是比特币价格波动剧烈、担心投资者保护、市场操纵的可能性等。从当时SEC拒绝的理由就可以看出来,只是因为担心风险和投资者保护而不是因为什么合法性问题,所以从去年8月这个事件来看,比特币现货ETF的批准就不是能否的问题,而是什么时间的问题。 2023年 12 月 22 日,香港证监会发布《有关中介人的虚拟资产相关活动的联合通函》(以下简称「联合通函」)与《有关证监会认可基金投资虚拟资产的通函》(以下简称「基金通函」),并表示「准备好接受虚拟资产现货 ETF 的认可申请」。在香港地区发行比特币现货 ETF 已是「万事俱备只欠东风」,主要监管障碍已经消除,剩下的主要是一些技术性细节问题,亚洲首支比特币现货 ETF 有望在未来不久落地香港。所以即便美国SEC短期不批准,那香港也很快会批准了,那香港批准了,美国就也会不远了 SEC现任主席Gensler周一在X平台(前推特)上发表了推文,提醒投资者加密货币相关的诸多风险,被认为是比特币现货ETF获批临近。 从以上可以看出来,比特币现货E","listText":"1. 比特币现货ETF能否获批,什么时候获批 比特币最早大家对它的定位是取代法币的定位,但是近年来包括政府等已经将比特币归为大宗商品一类了,那它就和美元法币没有那么大的冲突和竞争关系了,它的竞争对手是黄金这类资产,所以从这方面来看,比特币被政府监管允许是可能的。 去年8月底,灰度( Grayscale Investments)在针对美国SEC的一场关键诉讼中获胜,华盛顿特区巡回上诉法院法官在裁决中裁定,SEC批准比特币期货ETF的决定,而拒绝灰度将GBTC转换为现货比特币ETF的决定是“任意且反复无常的”。灰度的这一关键性的胜利,令市场猜测美国SEC或许不得不妥协,给日益增长的现货比特币ETF呼声开绿灯。SEC的现任主席Gary Gensler及其前任Jay Clayton,此前拒绝允许此类产品推出,理由是比特币价格波动剧烈、担心投资者保护、市场操纵的可能性等。从当时SEC拒绝的理由就可以看出来,只是因为担心风险和投资者保护而不是因为什么合法性问题,所以从去年8月这个事件来看,比特币现货ETF的批准就不是能否的问题,而是什么时间的问题。 2023年 12 月 22 日,香港证监会发布《有关中介人的虚拟资产相关活动的联合通函》(以下简称「联合通函」)与《有关证监会认可基金投资虚拟资产的通函》(以下简称「基金通函」),并表示「准备好接受虚拟资产现货 ETF 的认可申请」。在香港地区发行比特币现货 ETF 已是「万事俱备只欠东风」,主要监管障碍已经消除,剩下的主要是一些技术性细节问题,亚洲首支比特币现货 ETF 有望在未来不久落地香港。所以即便美国SEC短期不批准,那香港也很快会批准了,那香港批准了,美国就也会不远了 SEC现任主席Gensler周一在X平台(前推特)上发表了推文,提醒投资者加密货币相关的诸多风险,被认为是比特币现货ETF获批临近。 从以上可以看出来,比特币现货E","text":"1. 比特币现货ETF能否获批,什么时候获批 比特币最早大家对它的定位是取代法币的定位,但是近年来包括政府等已经将比特币归为大宗商品一类了,那它就和美元法币没有那么大的冲突和竞争关系了,它的竞争对手是黄金这类资产,所以从这方面来看,比特币被政府监管允许是可能的。 去年8月底,灰度( Grayscale Investments)在针对美国SEC的一场关键诉讼中获胜,华盛顿特区巡回上诉法院法官在裁决中裁定,SEC批准比特币期货ETF的决定,而拒绝灰度将GBTC转换为现货比特币ETF的决定是“任意且反复无常的”。灰度的这一关键性的胜利,令市场猜测美国SEC或许不得不妥协,给日益增长的现货比特币ETF呼声开绿灯。SEC的现任主席Gary Gensler及其前任Jay Clayton,此前拒绝允许此类产品推出,理由是比特币价格波动剧烈、担心投资者保护、市场操纵的可能性等。从当时SEC拒绝的理由就可以看出来,只是因为担心风险和投资者保护而不是因为什么合法性问题,所以从去年8月这个事件来看,比特币现货ETF的批准就不是能否的问题,而是什么时间的问题。 2023年 12 月 22 日,香港证监会发布《有关中介人的虚拟资产相关活动的联合通函》(以下简称「联合通函」)与《有关证监会认可基金投资虚拟资产的通函》(以下简称「基金通函」),并表示「准备好接受虚拟资产现货 ETF 的认可申请」。在香港地区发行比特币现货 ETF 已是「万事俱备只欠东风」,主要监管障碍已经消除,剩下的主要是一些技术性细节问题,亚洲首支比特币现货 ETF 有望在未来不久落地香港。所以即便美国SEC短期不批准,那香港也很快会批准了,那香港批准了,美国就也会不远了 SEC现任主席Gensler周一在X平台(前推特)上发表了推文,提醒投资者加密货币相关的诸多风险,被认为是比特币现货ETF获批临近。 从以上可以看出来,比特币现货E","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2afd05a27d593b56d6478b8a2710297"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/261126435659944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":371033070006328,"gmtCreate":1731598047946,"gmtModify":1731598673840,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT\">$COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT$ </a>,之前卖出的250的call这周末到期,大概率被行权了,看能不能在245接回来,接不回来就收权利金。还有下周末300的call目前也不确定是否会达到","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT\">$COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT$ </a>,之前卖出的250的call这周末到期,大概率被行权了,看能不能在245接回来,接不回来就收权利金。还有下周末300的call目前也不确定是否会达到","text":"我开仓了$COIN 20241122 245.0 PUT$ ,之前卖出的250的call这周末到期,大概率被行权了,看能不能在245接回来,接不回来就收权利金。还有下周末300的call目前也不确定是否会达到","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":16,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371033070006328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":343002829987976,"gmtCreate":1724759348850,"gmtModify":1725028228332,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了3手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD 20240830 99.0 PUT\">$PDD 20240830 99.0 PUT$ </a>,现在pdd只有13PE,严重低估,无惧情绪波动,卖put,希望被行权","listText":"我开仓了3手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD 20240830 99.0 PUT\">$PDD 20240830 99.0 PUT$ </a>,现在pdd只有13PE,严重低估,无惧情绪波动,卖put,希望被行权","text":"我开仓了3手$PDD 20240830 99.0 PUT$ ,现在pdd只有13PE,严重低估,无惧情绪波动,卖put,希望被行权","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343002829987976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010276","authorId":"10000000000010276","name":"点金圣手11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1a81761a2eae3f57678008e1b9012c2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010276","authorIdStr":"10000000000010276"},"content":"这个时候卖put确实是一种不错的策略,可以赚取权利金的同时,还有机会买入你想要持有的股票","text":"这个时候卖put确实是一种不错的策略,可以赚取权利金的同时,还有机会买入你想要持有的股票","html":"这个时候卖put确实是一种不错的策略,可以赚取权利金的同时,还有机会买入你想要持有的股票"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605261458,"gmtCreate":1639182135243,"gmtModify":1704373461773,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"最强宽基指数基金策略回测(近5年年化回报28%)","htmlText":"我们常见的宽基指数有上证50、沪深300、中证500、创业板等,那到底哪个回报更好呢,我们今天就采用常见好操作的高抛低吸策略来回测一下上面各宽基指数基金最近5年的收益率情况,并做个分析。策略说明高抛低吸策略是机构以及牛散常用的策略,顾名思义,就是在低估值或者相比前高下跌一定幅度后开始建仓一定比例(比如25%),然后如果再下跌一定比例(比如5%),再加仓一定比例(比如25%),当上涨超过一定比例(比如10%),就获利卖掉一份(25%),如果再次下跌则继续加仓,高抛低吸策略相比于一次性买入等待策略,在波动行情中有更好的回报表现,并且会有更小的回撤(回撤就是从最高点下跌多大幅度)。 众所周知,A股长期徘徊在3000点附近,如果只是持股不动,那收益率时很低的,而且会经历较大的回撤,那我们一起来看看高抛低吸策略到底表现如何。策略参数说明为了简化问题和分析,我们使用了初始资金100万元,在这里还使用以下几个参数: 单次加仓比例:0~1之间,代表建仓和加仓时每次最多买入相对于初始资金的比例的标的,比如0.25表示分4次加仓,每次1/4 初始跌幅多少入场:0~1之间,代表初次建仓时希望相对于之前最高点下跌多大幅度才开始建仓 再次下跌多少加仓:0-1之间,代表相比于上次加仓,本次需要相比上次加仓下跌多少幅度才会再次加仓 上涨多少减仓:0-1之间,代表相对于上次交易,上涨多少幅度后进行减仓 沪深300指数基金 沪深300指数基金是常见的宽基定投爱好者喜欢的基金,长期收益稳定,在这里我们选择代码是510300的指数基金ETF,进行近5年的回测,回测使用的参数如下图相比于一次性买入并持有,高抛低吸策略收益率更高,而且回撤更小,最近5年沪深300ETF年化回报只有9%,最大回撤达到了32.73%,而使用高抛低吸策略,年化收益率达到11%,最大回撤却只有12%。在达到更高收益的情况下,这个回撤幅度还是","listText":"我们常见的宽基指数有上证50、沪深300、中证500、创业板等,那到底哪个回报更好呢,我们今天就采用常见好操作的高抛低吸策略来回测一下上面各宽基指数基金最近5年的收益率情况,并做个分析。策略说明高抛低吸策略是机构以及牛散常用的策略,顾名思义,就是在低估值或者相比前高下跌一定幅度后开始建仓一定比例(比如25%),然后如果再下跌一定比例(比如5%),再加仓一定比例(比如25%),当上涨超过一定比例(比如10%),就获利卖掉一份(25%),如果再次下跌则继续加仓,高抛低吸策略相比于一次性买入等待策略,在波动行情中有更好的回报表现,并且会有更小的回撤(回撤就是从最高点下跌多大幅度)。 众所周知,A股长期徘徊在3000点附近,如果只是持股不动,那收益率时很低的,而且会经历较大的回撤,那我们一起来看看高抛低吸策略到底表现如何。策略参数说明为了简化问题和分析,我们使用了初始资金100万元,在这里还使用以下几个参数: 单次加仓比例:0~1之间,代表建仓和加仓时每次最多买入相对于初始资金的比例的标的,比如0.25表示分4次加仓,每次1/4 初始跌幅多少入场:0~1之间,代表初次建仓时希望相对于之前最高点下跌多大幅度才开始建仓 再次下跌多少加仓:0-1之间,代表相比于上次加仓,本次需要相比上次加仓下跌多少幅度才会再次加仓 上涨多少减仓:0-1之间,代表相对于上次交易,上涨多少幅度后进行减仓 沪深300指数基金 沪深300指数基金是常见的宽基定投爱好者喜欢的基金,长期收益稳定,在这里我们选择代码是510300的指数基金ETF,进行近5年的回测,回测使用的参数如下图相比于一次性买入并持有,高抛低吸策略收益率更高,而且回撤更小,最近5年沪深300ETF年化回报只有9%,最大回撤达到了32.73%,而使用高抛低吸策略,年化收益率达到11%,最大回撤却只有12%。在达到更高收益的情况下,这个回撤幅度还是","text":"我们常见的宽基指数有上证50、沪深300、中证500、创业板等,那到底哪个回报更好呢,我们今天就采用常见好操作的高抛低吸策略来回测一下上面各宽基指数基金最近5年的收益率情况,并做个分析。策略说明高抛低吸策略是机构以及牛散常用的策略,顾名思义,就是在低估值或者相比前高下跌一定幅度后开始建仓一定比例(比如25%),然后如果再下跌一定比例(比如5%),再加仓一定比例(比如25%),当上涨超过一定比例(比如10%),就获利卖掉一份(25%),如果再次下跌则继续加仓,高抛低吸策略相比于一次性买入等待策略,在波动行情中有更好的回报表现,并且会有更小的回撤(回撤就是从最高点下跌多大幅度)。 众所周知,A股长期徘徊在3000点附近,如果只是持股不动,那收益率时很低的,而且会经历较大的回撤,那我们一起来看看高抛低吸策略到底表现如何。策略参数说明为了简化问题和分析,我们使用了初始资金100万元,在这里还使用以下几个参数: 单次加仓比例:0~1之间,代表建仓和加仓时每次最多买入相对于初始资金的比例的标的,比如0.25表示分4次加仓,每次1/4 初始跌幅多少入场:0~1之间,代表初次建仓时希望相对于之前最高点下跌多大幅度才开始建仓 再次下跌多少加仓:0-1之间,代表相比于上次加仓,本次需要相比上次加仓下跌多少幅度才会再次加仓 上涨多少减仓:0-1之间,代表相对于上次交易,上涨多少幅度后进行减仓 沪深300指数基金 沪深300指数基金是常见的宽基定投爱好者喜欢的基金,长期收益稳定,在这里我们选择代码是510300的指数基金ETF,进行近5年的回测,回测使用的参数如下图相比于一次性买入并持有,高抛低吸策略收益率更高,而且回撤更小,最近5年沪深300ETF年化回报只有9%,最大回撤达到了32.73%,而使用高抛低吸策略,年化收益率达到11%,最大回撤却只有12%。在达到更高收益的情况下,这个回撤幅度还是","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817556ff073e4542841281beb2e19d32","width":"688","height":"98"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e774591eb31fd1bdda9fa18ae8bf3d1d","width":"688","height":"307"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ef9ef179b8baaede6a559a5e388b607","width":"688","height":"94"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605261458","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350250259718424,"gmtCreate":1726538212603,"gmtModify":1728724311998,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了10手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CMB.HK 20241030 33.00 CALL\">$CMB.HK 20241030 33.00 CALL$ </a>,a股持有正股,卖call收权利金,到期如果被行权进行平仓,同时卖正股","listText":"我开仓了10手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CMB.HK 20241030 33.00 CALL\">$CMB.HK 20241030 33.00 CALL$ </a>,a股持有正股,卖call收权利金,到期如果被行权进行平仓,同时卖正股","text":"我开仓了10手$CMB.HK 20241030 33.00 CALL$ ,a股持有正股,卖call收权利金,到期如果被行权进行平仓,同时卖正股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350250259718424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":371728273662208,"gmtCreate":1731763130100,"gmtModify":1731928357378,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,用减持的coinbase的钱买入拼多多,pdd预计q3净利润300亿,现在估值12非常低,长期看好,买来当现金,等coinbase大跌再进入","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,用减持的coinbase的钱买入拼多多,pdd预计q3净利润300亿,现在估值12非常低,长期看好,买来当现金,等coinbase大跌再进入","text":"我开仓了$拼多多(PDD)$ ,用减持的coinbase的钱买入拼多多,pdd预计q3净利润300亿,现在估值12非常低,长期看好,买来当现金,等coinbase大跌再进入","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371728273662208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274686403159","authorId":"3479274686403159","name":"去二三四五","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ef297533aecf0ca9678e827319cd033","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274686403159","authorIdStr":"3479274686403159"},"content":"长期看好的话,拼多多现在确实不错","text":"长期看好的话,拼多多现在确实不错","html":"长期看好的话,拼多多现在确实不错"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":291884291227792,"gmtCreate":1712286770890,"gmtModify":1712293286967,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"title":"腾讯最近几年的股本变化","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 整体从2019年底到现在最近5年来看,是减少了0.95% 分段来看,2019年底到2022年7月15日这段时间股份数是增加的,大概增加0.8%,这段时间增加原因是互联网还有高速增长的惯性和一定预期,但是22年互联网反垄断开始就有不好的预期了。 从2022年7月到现在是减少了1.73%,一直处于回购过程中 最近一年更是回购了1.12%","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 整体从2019年底到现在最近5年来看,是减少了0.95% 分段来看,2019年底到2022年7月15日这段时间股份数是增加的,大概增加0.8%,这段时间增加原因是互联网还有高速增长的惯性和一定预期,但是22年互联网反垄断开始就有不好的预期了。 从2022年7月到现在是减少了1.73%,一直处于回购过程中 最近一年更是回购了1.12%","text":"$腾讯控股(00700)$ 整体从2019年底到现在最近5年来看,是减少了0.95% 分段来看,2019年底到2022年7月15日这段时间股份数是增加的,大概增加0.8%,这段时间增加原因是互联网还有高速增长的惯性和一定预期,但是22年互联网反垄断开始就有不好的预期了。 从2022年7月到现在是减少了1.73%,一直处于回购过程中 最近一年更是回购了1.12%","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cee89fa21a2732d635c992ba79230e73","width":"640","height":"236"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a771f087c24c488f32d65f6c9b034a5c","width":"640","height":"243"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f649ffb667cac857debb1683550aae","width":"640","height":"244"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/291884291227792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1903,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3494370112403090","authorId":"3494370112403090","name":"一颗小草","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d72e88c6f8571c1ef5692df194d56c18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3494370112403090","authorIdStr":"3494370112403090"},"content":"在哪能看到这个数据","text":"在哪能看到这个数据","html":"在哪能看到这个数据"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350246731673664,"gmtCreate":1726537479911,"gmtModify":1730332397155,"author":{"id":"3578107342978108","authorId":"3578107342978108","name":"大厂码农","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e70ea891e60bdc419de48492a5ceb5d","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578107342978108","authorIdStr":"3578107342978108"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了10手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CMB.HK 20241030 28.00 PUT\">$CMB.HK 20241030 28.00 PUT$ </a>,港股28这个价格股息率会达到7.74%,比较稳,通过卖港股期权,收权利金,如果到期需要被行权,可以平仓港股期权,买入a股正股来代替,然后接着卖call。当然如果大家有充足的港股资金也不用这么折腾","listText":"我开仓了10手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CMB.HK 20241030 28.00 PUT\">$CMB.HK 20241030 28.00 PUT$ </a>,港股28这个价格股息率会达到7.74%,比较稳,通过卖港股期权,收权利金,如果到期需要被行权,可以平仓港股期权,买入a股正股来代替,然后接着卖call。当然如果大家有充足的港股资金也不用这么折腾","text":"我开仓了10手$CMB.HK 20241030 28.00 PUT$ ,港股28这个价格股息率会达到7.74%,比较稳,通过卖港股期权,收权利金,如果到期需要被行权,可以平仓港股期权,买入a股正股来代替,然后接着卖call。当然如果大家有充足的港股资金也不用这么折腾","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350246731673664","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010334","authorId":"10000000000010334","name":"11永远睡不醒","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bec56b183c9062aa6503216c12ee99f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010334","authorIdStr":"10000000000010334"},"content":"操作挺稳的,可以获得不错的股息率","text":"操作挺稳的,可以获得不错的股息率","html":"操作挺稳的,可以获得不错的股息率"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}