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外卖封神路
外卖小哥投资封神之路,小账户目标30刀到300万刀,大账户目标翻倍
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外卖封神路
2023-09-17
30刀挑战300万刀第三周
没活过三集,挑战失败。上周开的富途put没平,上周末央行一个控制汇率中概就止住了连跌。末日期权变数太大,周周开,一定归零,再优化一下策略,下次继续。 虽然小账户失败了,主账户的sell策略却非常成功。9.14日cvna大涨,立即sell了9.15的末日call,周五特斯拉大跌后立即sell 了末日put。震荡行情,sell策略最稳妥。
30刀挑战300万刀第三周
外卖封神路
2023-09-09
30刀挑战300万刀第2周
余额157,周收益率-30% 本周只操作了
$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$
和
$富途控股(FUTU)$
,AI虽然如期跌了,但跌得不够,反而亏了 做短期期权,核心还是以小博大,频繁参与肯定会亏的,最好的方式还是在技术面的支撑阻力位结合消息面操作,比如本周的
$苹果(AAPL)$
下周苹果发布会、CPI和四巫日,波动将会变大,鉴于石油反弹,主观看这次CPI高于预期,至少周三前看跌 C3.AI 财报前买入0908@38C和0915@27P 操作理由:伪AI股,做空又多,财报容易大涨大跌 结果:财报比预期好一丢丢,call归零,put没有及时平也亏了一点,其实25这个位置是MA200强支撑也是上涨的支撑点之一,量化是会在这些技术关键位置操作的。之后继续看跌,不过时间成本高了,周五开盘已止损 futu 0915@27P 操作理由:汇率停不下来,下方技术面支撑比较明显 结果:下跌中,如果我们不干预汇率,暂时看下周先到53-55位置 餐后甜点(主账户) roku因为裁员消息大涨10%+,开盘果断全仓sell call 0908@98,盈利99.99%走人
30刀挑战300万刀第2周
外卖封神路
2023-09-03
30刀挑战300万刀第1周
来了,第一周:先上总结:本
$拼多多(PDD)$
、
$贝壳(BEKE)$
、
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
三个标的全看对,但是全没拿住,账户盈余222,收益率 640%操作标的:拼多多财报前夜买入当周92末日call操作理由:公开渠道消息,Temu非常猛,国内平时也觉得周边各种层级的人用拼多多都更多了结果: 财报很好,自己还在安利别人买买买,但是因为末日call的原因,没拿住多久操作标的:贝壳财报前夜买入当周17末日call操作理由:国家房地产救市,北上深放开、存量房贷下降都将在这一两周宣布结果: 财报不好盘前大跌,看了一下盘前挂了一个很低的价格就忘了,结果当天救市政策全出,开盘反而大涨操作标的:特斯拉新Model 3宣布前一晚买入当周247.5末日put和次周270 call操作理由:新3如果好,特斯拉有望突破盘整到达技术面的下一目标270-280之间,call 可以有3倍左右收益,如果不好,技术面也到压力位了,很容易跌到支撑点240左右结果:开盘第一时间把call卖了,put 没拿住,开盘一会儿就卖了第一周还行,至少活下来了
30刀挑战300万刀第1周
外卖封神路
2023-08-17
Long CN, Buy TQQQ. 这一个月经常看到这句话,不出意外这个月才开始说这句话的人,会亏的一点也不意外。这波主升浪中赚的人,大部分都会在接下来一年多的大震荡中亏回去。
外卖封神路
2023-07-16
二季度财报看法
更新这个财报季美股看法,超预期是符合预期,符合预期是不及预期,上个财报那种大涨的情况不会出现了,大家都觉得财报超预期的个股基本会在财报前几天慢涨上去,财报出来高开低走。如果超预期的个股在财报前是下跌趋势,财报出来前两天会涨,但上限很难超过boll上轨,至于在财报前大涨但财报不及预期的个股,迎接的必然是大跌
二季度财报看法
外卖封神路
2023-01-28
开始了,杀空头
The Most Heavily Shorted Stocks And 5 Short-Squeeze Ideas For 2023
外卖封神路
2022-05-04
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
v起来
外卖封神路
2022-04-28
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
被空头盯上了
外卖封神路
2022-04-28
$Meta Platforms(FB)$
像这种前期大跌,积累了大量空单的,业绩只要有一丁点利好,注定会爆拉的
外卖封神路
2022-04-11
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
上涨吃不到,下跌还是能吃到的,多涨点,好做空
外卖封神路
2022-03-23
利润不是自己的,投资利润,营收利润双双不及预期
腾讯:Q4营收1,441.9亿元,同比增长8%
外卖封神路
2022-03-23
$腾讯控股(00700)$
实际营收利润双双不及预期吧,利润多出来的是京东,se的股票减持
外卖封神路
2022-03-15
$腾讯控股(00700)$
不要抄底
外卖封神路
2022-03-10
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
掐指一算,今晚要么大跌要么大涨
外卖封神路
2022-03-09
$WTI原油主连 2204(CLmain)$
石油每一次下跌都是机会,今年必上150
外卖封神路
2022-03-09
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
国际上没牌可打了,今晚大反弹
外卖封神路
2022-03-09
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
能不能干脆点,要跌赶紧跌,要涨赶紧涨
外卖封神路
2022-03-09
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
牛逼,现在走W路线了
外卖封神路
2022-03-08
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
乌克兰总统表示可以谈乌东独立问题,所以涨上去了
外卖封神路
2022-03-08
$苹果(AAPL)$
最后一支大型科技股跌破MA120了,今年熊市无疑了,可以有反弹,但不会有反转了
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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了末日put。震荡行情,sell策略最稳妥。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/220902590586984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":217865614704864,"gmtCreate":1694224484975,"gmtModify":1694234218604,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"title":"30刀挑战300万刀第2周","htmlText":"余额157,周收益率-30% 本周只操作了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$</a> 和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$富途控股(FUTU)$</a> ,AI虽然如期跌了,但跌得不够,反而亏了 做短期期权,核心还是以小博大,频繁参与肯定会亏的,最好的方式还是在技术面的支撑阻力位结合消息面操作,比如本周的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 下周苹果发布会、CPI和四巫日,波动将会变大,鉴于石油反弹,主观看这次CPI高于预期,至少周三前看跌 C3.AI 财报前买入0908@38C和0915@27P 操作理由:伪AI股,做空又多,财报容易大涨大跌 结果:财报比预期好一丢丢,call归零,put没有及时平也亏了一点,其实25这个位置是MA200强支撑也是上涨的支撑点之一,量化是会在这些技术关键位置操作的。之后继续看跌,不过时间成本高了,周五开盘已止损 futu 0915@27P 操作理由:汇率停不下来,下方技术面支撑比较明显 结果:下跌中,如果我们不干预汇率,暂时看下周先到53-55位置 餐后甜点(主账户) roku因为裁员消息大涨10%+,开盘果断全仓sell call 0908@98,盈利99.99%走人","listText":"余额157,周收益率-30% 本周只操作了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$</a> 和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$富途控股(FUTU)$</a> ,AI虽然如期跌了,但跌得不够,反而亏了 做短期期权,核心还是以小博大,频繁参与肯定会亏的,最好的方式还是在技术面的支撑阻力位结合消息面操作,比如本周的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 下周苹果发布会、CPI和四巫日,波动将会变大,鉴于石油反弹,主观看这次CPI高于预期,至少周三前看跌 C3.AI 财报前买入0908@38C和0915@27P 操作理由:伪AI股,做空又多,财报容易大涨大跌 结果:财报比预期好一丢丢,call归零,put没有及时平也亏了一点,其实25这个位置是MA200强支撑也是上涨的支撑点之一,量化是会在这些技术关键位置操作的。之后继续看跌,不过时间成本高了,周五开盘已止损 futu 0915@27P 操作理由:汇率停不下来,下方技术面支撑比较明显 结果:下跌中,如果我们不干预汇率,暂时看下周先到53-55位置 餐后甜点(主账户) roku因为裁员消息大涨10%+,开盘果断全仓sell call 0908@98,盈利99.99%走人","text":"余额157,周收益率-30% 本周只操作了 $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ 和 $富途控股(FUTU)$ ,AI虽然如期跌了,但跌得不够,反而亏了 做短期期权,核心还是以小博大,频繁参与肯定会亏的,最好的方式还是在技术面的支撑阻力位结合消息面操作,比如本周的 $苹果(AAPL)$ 下周苹果发布会、CPI和四巫日,波动将会变大,鉴于石油反弹,主观看这次CPI高于预期,至少周三前看跌 C3.AI 财报前买入0908@38C和0915@27P 操作理由:伪AI股,做空又多,财报容易大涨大跌 结果:财报比预期好一丢丢,call归零,put没有及时平也亏了一点,其实25这个位置是MA200强支撑也是上涨的支撑点之一,量化是会在这些技术关键位置操作的。之后继续看跌,不过时间成本高了,周五开盘已止损 futu 0915@27P 操作理由:汇率停不下来,下方技术面支撑比较明显 结果:下跌中,如果我们不干预汇率,暂时看下周先到53-55位置 餐后甜点(主账户) roku因为裁员消息大涨10%+,开盘果断全仓sell call 0908@98,盈利99.99%走人","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":56,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/217865614704864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3503176530513854","authorId":"3503176530513854","name":"主神级交易员鄧文","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2ca16674f05ce7610dac8b312ef4f5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3503176530513854","idStr":"3503176530513854"},"content":"30刀挑战300万刀?🐮🍺啊,我想来私去,30刀一300万刀的机会只有一个:佬鲍在放水出田以为水够的时候、出现了误判,造成决策者意志VS市场意志的差距扩大,能出现这种机会,并抓住了,再走第二步,","text":"30刀挑战300万刀?🐮🍺啊,我想来私去,30刀一300万刀的机会只有一个:佬鲍在放水出田以为水够的时候、出现了误判,造成决策者意志VS市场意志的差距扩大,能出现这种机会,并抓住了,再走第二步,","html":"30刀挑战300万刀?🐮🍺啊,我想来私去,30刀一300万刀的机会只有一个:佬鲍在放水出田以为水够的时候、出现了误判,造成决策者意志VS市场意志的差距扩大,能出现这种机会,并抓住了,再走第二步,"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":215893899341992,"gmtCreate":1693738198279,"gmtModify":1693739902747,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"title":"30刀挑战300万刀第1周","htmlText":"来了,第一周:先上总结:本<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">$贝壳(BEKE)$ </a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>三个标的全看对,但是全没拿住,账户盈余222,收益率 640%操作标的:拼多多财报前夜买入当周92末日call操作理由:公开渠道消息,Temu非常猛,国内平时也觉得周边各种层级的人用拼多多都更多了结果: 财报很好,自己还在安利别人买买买,但是因为末日call的原因,没拿住多久操作标的:贝壳财报前夜买入当周17末日call操作理由:国家房地产救市,北上深放开、存量房贷下降都将在这一两周宣布结果: 财报不好盘前大跌,看了一下盘前挂了一个很低的价格就忘了,结果当天救市政策全出,开盘反而大涨操作标的:特斯拉新Model 3宣布前一晚买入当周247.5末日put和次周270 call操作理由:新3如果好,特斯拉有望突破盘整到达技术面的下一目标270-280之间,call 可以有3倍左右收益,如果不好,技术面也到压力位了,很容易跌到支撑点240左右结果:开盘第一时间把call卖了,put 没拿住,开盘一会儿就卖了第一周还行,至少活下来了","listText":"来了,第一周:先上总结:本<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">$贝壳(BEKE)$ </a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>三个标的全看对,但是全没拿住,账户盈余222,收益率 640%操作标的:拼多多财报前夜买入当周92末日call操作理由:公开渠道消息,Temu非常猛,国内平时也觉得周边各种层级的人用拼多多都更多了结果: 财报很好,自己还在安利别人买买买,但是因为末日call的原因,没拿住多久操作标的:贝壳财报前夜买入当周17末日call操作理由:国家房地产救市,北上深放开、存量房贷下降都将在这一两周宣布结果: 财报不好盘前大跌,看了一下盘前挂了一个很低的价格就忘了,结果当天救市政策全出,开盘反而大涨操作标的:特斯拉新Model 3宣布前一晚买入当周247.5末日put和次周270 call操作理由:新3如果好,特斯拉有望突破盘整到达技术面的下一目标270-280之间,call 可以有3倍左右收益,如果不好,技术面也到压力位了,很容易跌到支撑点240左右结果:开盘第一时间把call卖了,put 没拿住,开盘一会儿就卖了第一周还行,至少活下来了","text":"来了,第一周:先上总结:本$拼多多(PDD)$ 、$贝壳(BEKE)$ 、$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 三个标的全看对,但是全没拿住,账户盈余222,收益率 640%操作标的:拼多多财报前夜买入当周92末日call操作理由:公开渠道消息,Temu非常猛,国内平时也觉得周边各种层级的人用拼多多都更多了结果: 财报很好,自己还在安利别人买买买,但是因为末日call的原因,没拿住多久操作标的:贝壳财报前夜买入当周17末日call操作理由:国家房地产救市,北上深放开、存量房贷下降都将在这一两周宣布结果: 财报不好盘前大跌,看了一下盘前挂了一个很低的价格就忘了,结果当天救市政策全出,开盘反而大涨操作标的:特斯拉新Model 3宣布前一晚买入当周247.5末日put和次周270 call操作理由:新3如果好,特斯拉有望突破盘整到达技术面的下一目标270-280之间,call 可以有3倍左右收益,如果不好,技术面也到压力位了,很容易跌到支撑点240左右结果:开盘第一时间把call卖了,put 没拿住,开盘一会儿就卖了第一周还行,至少活下来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/215893899341992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554542575382015","authorId":"3554542575382015","name":"湖心渺渺长空低","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c97b068b07799b8b81c0196ec43dc59","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3554542575382015","idStr":"3554542575382015"},"content":"大神求带路","text":"大神求带路","html":"大神求带路"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":209825800720536,"gmtCreate":1692232682769,"gmtModify":1692232684422,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long CN, Buy TQQQ. 这一个月经常看到这句话,不出意外这个月才开始说这句话的人,会亏的一点也不意外。这波主升浪中赚的人,大部分都会在接下来一年多的大震荡中亏回去。","listText":"Long CN, Buy TQQQ. 这一个月经常看到这句话,不出意外这个月才开始说这句话的人,会亏的一点也不意外。这波主升浪中赚的人,大部分都会在接下来一年多的大震荡中亏回去。","text":"Long CN, Buy TQQQ. 这一个月经常看到这句话,不出意外这个月才开始说这句话的人,会亏的一点也不意外。这波主升浪中赚的人,大部分都会在接下来一年多的大震荡中亏回去。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/209825800720536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":198403508699272,"gmtCreate":1689489759498,"gmtModify":1689489761591,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"title":"二季度财报看法","htmlText":"更新这个财报季美股看法,超预期是符合预期,符合预期是不及预期,上个财报那种大涨的情况不会出现了,大家都觉得财报超预期的个股基本会在财报前几天慢涨上去,财报出来高开低走。如果超预期的个股在财报前是下跌趋势,财报出来前两天会涨,但上限很难超过boll上轨,至于在财报前大涨但财报不及预期的个股,迎接的必然是大跌","listText":"更新这个财报季美股看法,超预期是符合预期,符合预期是不及预期,上个财报那种大涨的情况不会出现了,大家都觉得财报超预期的个股基本会在财报前几天慢涨上去,财报出来高开低走。如果超预期的个股在财报前是下跌趋势,财报出来前两天会涨,但上限很难超过boll上轨,至于在财报前大涨但财报不及预期的个股,迎接的必然是大跌","text":"更新这个财报季美股看法,超预期是符合预期,符合预期是不及预期,上个财报那种大涨的情况不会出现了,大家都觉得财报超预期的个股基本会在财报前几天慢涨上去,财报出来高开低走。如果超预期的个股在财报前是下跌趋势,财报出来前两天会涨,但上限很难超过boll上轨,至于在财报前大涨但财报不及预期的个股,迎接的必然是大跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198403508699272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626710467,"gmtCreate":1674844861059,"gmtModify":1674869129470,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"开始了,杀空头","listText":"开始了,杀空头","text":"开始了,杀空头","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626710467","repostId":"1186406653","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1186406653","pubTimestamp":1674660486,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186406653?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-25 23:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Most Heavily Shorted Stocks And 5 Short-Squeeze Ideas For 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186406653","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryHeavily shorted stocks are gaining momentum at the start of the year.Easing inflationary pres","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Heavily shorted stocks are gaining momentum at the start of the year.</li><li>Easing inflationary pressures and signs the economy remains resilient can be bullish for stocks in 2023.</li><li>The article includes a list of the most heavily shorted stocks along with 5 of our picks to buy now.</li></ul><p>The stock market has staged an impressive rally to start the year, with the S&P 500 (SPY) up 5% already in 2023, and even 15% from its low point back in October. The setup here is based on an improving economic outlook as inflationary pressures dissipate with significant implications for everything from corporate margins to consumer sentiment, and the next steps in monetary policy.</p><p>Whether the Fed has one or two more rate hikes up its sleeve, it's clear the end of the uber-hawkish messaging is now on the horizon. The reality is that the macro backdrop is significantly improved compared to the first half of last year defined by extreme uncertainty.</p><p>The VIX is near a 1-year low while credit spreads have narrowed as important signals of stabilizing financial conditions. I can also bring up the U.S. Dollar sharply reversing its strength in recent months which was a major headwind for markets in 2022. Putting it all together, there may be more upside for stocks and risk assets as the narrative slowly comes around.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a74ddd924a41c0b2be24ffb3b201e3a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p><b>Short Squeeze Stocks</b></p><p>The thesis in my recent article described a possible catalyst for the next leg higher in stocks, which could see bears and doom-and-gloomers quietly throwing in the towel on predictions for the most apocalyptic economic scenarios.</p><p>Anyone that was counting on the December CPI to accelerate higher or recent labor market figures to suggest a collapsing economy as a reason for stocks to make a "big crash lower" is on the wrong side of the trade right now. Here are my words from last week:</p><blockquote><i>The "pain trade" is up. Beaten-down names and high-growth stocks, in particular, may present the best opportunities as they reprice into an improving outlook. A market-wide short squeeze which is simply shorts covering their trades could end up surprising a lot of people.</i></blockquote><p>Today I'm going a step further by presenting not only the most heavily shorted stocks but also five of my top picks from the group poised for a short squeeze. We're only considering stocks with a current market cap above $250 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad0203d3f1342f97dc70c39c5bf76c0e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"812\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>source: data by y Charts/ table author</p><p>First, some of the key observations from the list include several distressed companies and names that have faced particular challenges over the past year. This makes sense as short sellers are often attracted to companies with weak operating or financial trends by expecting shares to trade lower.</p><p>A high-short interest can also imply there is some underlying skepticism of a company's business model over the long run. Many biotech firms fall into this category, sometimes dependent on a drug still in development that may or may not ever reach the market.</p><p>For much of 2022, that strategy worked as the average heavily shorted stock on the list is down by 32% over the past year. On the other hand, the recent strength is telling with that same group also up on average 20% year to date as an indication of more positive momentum.</p><p>Carvana Co (CVNA) with over 86% of its float (referring to the proportion of shares available for trading by the public and not held by insiders), or 51% of common shares outstanding, reported short is the most heavily shorted stock in the market right now. This is a company where its online used-car sales platform got caught up with essentially overpriced inventory even as demand slowed compared to skewed pandemic dynamics. The company faces a real risk of bankruptcy and it's not a stock I can recommend.</p><p>That's also the case with Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) where its brick-and-mortar retail model has been facing extinction for many years even before the pandemic. While it's unclear if the company willsurvive a restructuring, it's not a name we have much faith in for the long run. The downfall of BBBY can be traced to its lack of significant e-commerce presence and otherwise domination by Amazon.com Inc (AMZN).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5326a1270a5f7c7deb4b29b5a5b5f29\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"812\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>source: data by yCharts/ table author</p><p>In terms of stocks that have been gaining thus far in 2023, the main factor at play beyond the high-beta component is a view that there's a new path to deliver better-than-expected financial results. Wayfair Inc (W) appears to be in the middle of a real short squeeze with shares more than doubling from their low, gaining momentum following an announcement of job cuts and a profitability target. In many ways, Wayfair has delivered a blueprint for other stocks to follow into more bullish momentum.</p><p>Another key theme from the list above is the impressive rally in crypto-related stocks. The price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has climbed by more than 40% from the low which is giving many sector names like Coinbase Global Inc (COIN), MicroStrategy Inc (MSTR), and bitcoin miners like Marathon Digital Holdings Inc (MARA) orRiot PlatformsInc (RIOT) among others a new life. We're bullish on Bitcoin and the short-squeeze dynamic with bears chasing positions higher in crypto is part of the rally now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3cd98acd784144fd4c21df725576288\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"707\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>source: y Charts (performance through 1/23/2023)</p><p><b>5 Short Squeeze Ideas</b></p><p>The short squeeze ideas I like have a combination of not only a high short interest but also a fundamental angle with room for a more sustained turnaround to fundamentals, and surprising expectations to the upside. In the context of a broader positive market outlook through a sustained economic recovery compared to the headwinds in 2022, that proverbial rising tide can lift all the boats and heavily shorted stocks can lead higher.</p><p>1. EVgo Inc (EVGO)</p><ul><li>Market Capitalization: $1.4B</li><li>Percent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 36%</li><li>FY 2024 Consensus Revenue Growth: 206%</li><li>2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: (negative EPS)</li></ul><p>A global theme this year is the significant growth of electric vehicles on the road, including from manufacturers other than Tesla Inc (TSLA). Data shows nearly 6% of all vehicles sold in the U.S. in Q3 were electric, up from just 2% in 2020, with many new models launching from brands like Ford Motor Co (F), and General Motors (GM).</p><p>The other side of the equation is the necessary charging infrastructure. EVgo steps in as one of theleading operatorsof charging stations with over 2,600 stalls in operation. The outlook also benefits from federal and state government initiatives like the National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Program, and credits within the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 supporting funding for new locations and stations.</p><p>What I like about EVGO is that the growth is accelerating at the right time with 2023 revenue expected to jump by 206%. The stock has been beaten down based on a lack of profitability, although we believe pessimism baked into the share price has gotten extreme at the current level. A path to profitability sooner rather than later can make shares a runner going forward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9386a9e06eb007a55ce84a76a6d8295e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>2. Cheesecake Factory Inc. (CAKE)</p><ul><li>Market Capitalization: $2.0B</li><li>Percent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 26%</li><li>2023 Consensus Revenue Growth: 6%</li><li>2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: 90% (FWD P/E 13.2x)</li></ul><p>For much of 2022, Cheesecake Factory along with the broader restaurant industry became a high-profile victim of inflationary cost pressures and even a shortage of workers. The setup over the next few quarters should be improved margins as the conditions improve compared to a weaker first half of 2022 on the earnings side.</p><p>The case for the stock is that there is a good value at the current level with room for earnings to outperform expectations. Out of all the "upscale" fast-casual dining concepts, I'll go out on a limb to claim Cheesecake Factory is one of the better options and the extreme pessimism based on the high-short interest in the stock is simply unjustified. With CAKE already trading near a 1-year high, levels from 2021 above $50 can be a good first upside target.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/707df2ee1988de1c4dbb517f4b6b3540\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>3. Clear Secure Inc (YOU)</p><ul><li>Market Capitalization: $4.3B</li><li>Percent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 51%</li><li>2023 Consensus Revenue Growth: 27%</li><li>2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: 373% (FWD P/E 95x)</li></ul><p>Clear Secure offers an identity verification platform that includes the "Clear" checkpoints as a separate line in the security process at 46 major airports. Members enrolled through the private biometric system get to save time by skipping the step where TSA agents check ID cards and boarding pass.</p><p>What's made the company successful with over14 million enrollmentsis the several partnerships with credit card companies and airlines which have worked as effective marketing translating into impressive growth. For 2022, YOU is on track to reach a revenue of $433 million, up 70% year over year, benefiting alongside the recovery in air travel. Still, what I like about the stock is theearnings momentumwith EPS expected to accelerate through 2023.</p><p>Shares of YOU have been consolidating for much of 2022 following a selloff from its 2021 IPO. While shares are trading at a forward P/E of 95x, we believe that this premium is justified and exactly the type of high-growth stock poised to lead the market higher. A pending breakout in shares above $30.00 could kickstart a short squeeze considering nearly 51% of the float is reported short. I'm bullish and expect YOU to be trading higher over the next several months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cfa07a1a8737417925922a036274f7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>4. Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR)</p><ul><li>Market Capitalization: $1.4B</li><li>Percent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 36%</li><li>FY 2024 Consensus Revenue Growth: 206%</li><li>2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: (negative EPS)</li></ul><p>As one of the world's largest car rental companies, a challenge for Avis Budget Group in 2022 was the period of record-high gasoline prices that pressured demand by keeping drivers off the road. The company also dealt with shortages of vehicles amid global supply chain issues. Nevertheless, the stock has managed to post a positive return over the past year based on resilient travel and rental car demand, which has likely been frustrating for short sellers potentially betting on a much weaker operating environment.</p><p>Fast forward, what we like about CAR is that many of those same headwinds from last year have now reversed including lower gas prices and normalizing vehicle prices which allows the company to efficiently manage its global fleet. Compared to rival Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ), CAR has a larger proportion of business outside the United States which is now benefiting from the weakening U.S. Dollar.</p><p>We believe CAR is well-positioned to outperform what is a low base of expectations over the next few quarters opening the door for the stock to retarget levels from the 2022 highs around $300 as a price target.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04d68ab98bd3319ed66f8e1d32b6073d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"287\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>5. Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS)</p><ul><li>Market Capitalization: $2.2B</li><li>Percent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 25%</li><li>FY 2024 Consensus Revenue Growth: 13%</li><li>2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: 12% (FWD P/E 18x)</li></ul><p>Everyone will be familiar with the premium outerwear brand of Canada Goose with its expedition parkas and the iconic "Arctic Program" patch that has crossed over into a fashion statement.</p><p>Getting past the inflationary cost pressures that hit margins deeply last year and pressured the stock, the message here is that the brand and company outlook is alive and well, in my opinion. The catalyst we see for shares over the next few quarters is an expected recovery from sales in Asia. Indeed, this is an angle we covered in a recent article explaining how the re-opening of China easing Covid restrictions is positive for Canada Goose as the country is strategically important for its growth outlook.</p><p>GOOS is trading near the highest level since August while there's a good case to be made that the outlook has improved significantly in the period since. The stock is trading at 18x forward earnings while it's possible that consensus EPS estimates may be too conservative with an upside to the top line. My new $30.00 price target implies a forward P/E of 25x could be on the table with room for earnings to smash estimates. The call here is that shorts should be looking to close their short bets on the company as the outlook for sales and earnings accelerates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e475b3061667003252edcccd375bef0d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>With a bullish outlook on stocks, heavily shorted names and losers from last year can evolve into 2023 winners. At the same time, I don't believe it will be a straight line higher and it's important to stay selective. The short-squeeze ideas above are centered around companies I believe are fundamentally strong, but there are still risks.</p><p>The ongoing Q4 earnings season is prone to generate some volatility considering high-profile reports from mega-cap companies still incoming. On the downside, a scenario where economic conditions deteriorate into a deepening recession, defined by surging unemployment or a resurgence of inflationary trends, would also force a reassessment of the bullish case. At the same time, the bulls have been winning over the last few months and it's a trend we expect to continue.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Most Heavily Shorted Stocks And 5 Short-Squeeze Ideas For 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Most Heavily Shorted Stocks And 5 Short-Squeeze Ideas For 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-25 23:28 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4571962-most-heavily-shorted-stocks-5-short-squeeze-ideas-for-2023><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryHeavily shorted stocks are gaining momentum at the start of the year.Easing inflationary pressures and signs the economy remains resilient can be bullish for stocks in 2023.The article includes...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4571962-most-heavily-shorted-stocks-5-short-squeeze-ideas-for-2023\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CVNA":"Carvana Co.","BBBY":"3B家居"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4571962-most-heavily-shorted-stocks-5-short-squeeze-ideas-for-2023","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186406653","content_text":"SummaryHeavily shorted stocks are gaining momentum at the start of the year.Easing inflationary pressures and signs the economy remains resilient can be bullish for stocks in 2023.The article includes a list of the most heavily shorted stocks along with 5 of our picks to buy now.The stock market has staged an impressive rally to start the year, with the S&P 500 (SPY) up 5% already in 2023, and even 15% from its low point back in October. The setup here is based on an improving economic outlook as inflationary pressures dissipate with significant implications for everything from corporate margins to consumer sentiment, and the next steps in monetary policy.Whether the Fed has one or two more rate hikes up its sleeve, it's clear the end of the uber-hawkish messaging is now on the horizon. The reality is that the macro backdrop is significantly improved compared to the first half of last year defined by extreme uncertainty.The VIX is near a 1-year low while credit spreads have narrowed as important signals of stabilizing financial conditions. I can also bring up the U.S. Dollar sharply reversing its strength in recent months which was a major headwind for markets in 2022. Putting it all together, there may be more upside for stocks and risk assets as the narrative slowly comes around.Data by YChartsShort Squeeze StocksThe thesis in my recent article described a possible catalyst for the next leg higher in stocks, which could see bears and doom-and-gloomers quietly throwing in the towel on predictions for the most apocalyptic economic scenarios.Anyone that was counting on the December CPI to accelerate higher or recent labor market figures to suggest a collapsing economy as a reason for stocks to make a \"big crash lower\" is on the wrong side of the trade right now. Here are my words from last week:The \"pain trade\" is up. Beaten-down names and high-growth stocks, in particular, may present the best opportunities as they reprice into an improving outlook. A market-wide short squeeze which is simply shorts covering their trades could end up surprising a lot of people.Today I'm going a step further by presenting not only the most heavily shorted stocks but also five of my top picks from the group poised for a short squeeze. We're only considering stocks with a current market cap above $250 million.source: data by y Charts/ table authorFirst, some of the key observations from the list include several distressed companies and names that have faced particular challenges over the past year. This makes sense as short sellers are often attracted to companies with weak operating or financial trends by expecting shares to trade lower.A high-short interest can also imply there is some underlying skepticism of a company's business model over the long run. Many biotech firms fall into this category, sometimes dependent on a drug still in development that may or may not ever reach the market.For much of 2022, that strategy worked as the average heavily shorted stock on the list is down by 32% over the past year. On the other hand, the recent strength is telling with that same group also up on average 20% year to date as an indication of more positive momentum.Carvana Co (CVNA) with over 86% of its float (referring to the proportion of shares available for trading by the public and not held by insiders), or 51% of common shares outstanding, reported short is the most heavily shorted stock in the market right now. This is a company where its online used-car sales platform got caught up with essentially overpriced inventory even as demand slowed compared to skewed pandemic dynamics. The company faces a real risk of bankruptcy and it's not a stock I can recommend.That's also the case with Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) where its brick-and-mortar retail model has been facing extinction for many years even before the pandemic. While it's unclear if the company willsurvive a restructuring, it's not a name we have much faith in for the long run. The downfall of BBBY can be traced to its lack of significant e-commerce presence and otherwise domination by Amazon.com Inc (AMZN).source: data by yCharts/ table authorIn terms of stocks that have been gaining thus far in 2023, the main factor at play beyond the high-beta component is a view that there's a new path to deliver better-than-expected financial results. Wayfair Inc (W) appears to be in the middle of a real short squeeze with shares more than doubling from their low, gaining momentum following an announcement of job cuts and a profitability target. In many ways, Wayfair has delivered a blueprint for other stocks to follow into more bullish momentum.Another key theme from the list above is the impressive rally in crypto-related stocks. The price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has climbed by more than 40% from the low which is giving many sector names like Coinbase Global Inc (COIN), MicroStrategy Inc (MSTR), and bitcoin miners like Marathon Digital Holdings Inc (MARA) orRiot PlatformsInc (RIOT) among others a new life. We're bullish on Bitcoin and the short-squeeze dynamic with bears chasing positions higher in crypto is part of the rally now.source: y Charts (performance through 1/23/2023)5 Short Squeeze IdeasThe short squeeze ideas I like have a combination of not only a high short interest but also a fundamental angle with room for a more sustained turnaround to fundamentals, and surprising expectations to the upside. In the context of a broader positive market outlook through a sustained economic recovery compared to the headwinds in 2022, that proverbial rising tide can lift all the boats and heavily shorted stocks can lead higher.1. EVgo Inc (EVGO)Market Capitalization: $1.4BPercent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 36%FY 2024 Consensus Revenue Growth: 206%2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: (negative EPS)A global theme this year is the significant growth of electric vehicles on the road, including from manufacturers other than Tesla Inc (TSLA). Data shows nearly 6% of all vehicles sold in the U.S. in Q3 were electric, up from just 2% in 2020, with many new models launching from brands like Ford Motor Co (F), and General Motors (GM).The other side of the equation is the necessary charging infrastructure. EVgo steps in as one of theleading operatorsof charging stations with over 2,600 stalls in operation. The outlook also benefits from federal and state government initiatives like the National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Program, and credits within the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 supporting funding for new locations and stations.What I like about EVGO is that the growth is accelerating at the right time with 2023 revenue expected to jump by 206%. The stock has been beaten down based on a lack of profitability, although we believe pessimism baked into the share price has gotten extreme at the current level. A path to profitability sooner rather than later can make shares a runner going forward.Seeking Alpha2. Cheesecake Factory Inc. (CAKE)Market Capitalization: $2.0BPercent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 26%2023 Consensus Revenue Growth: 6%2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: 90% (FWD P/E 13.2x)For much of 2022, Cheesecake Factory along with the broader restaurant industry became a high-profile victim of inflationary cost pressures and even a shortage of workers. The setup over the next few quarters should be improved margins as the conditions improve compared to a weaker first half of 2022 on the earnings side.The case for the stock is that there is a good value at the current level with room for earnings to outperform expectations. Out of all the \"upscale\" fast-casual dining concepts, I'll go out on a limb to claim Cheesecake Factory is one of the better options and the extreme pessimism based on the high-short interest in the stock is simply unjustified. With CAKE already trading near a 1-year high, levels from 2021 above $50 can be a good first upside target.Seeking Alpha3. Clear Secure Inc (YOU)Market Capitalization: $4.3BPercent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 51%2023 Consensus Revenue Growth: 27%2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: 373% (FWD P/E 95x)Clear Secure offers an identity verification platform that includes the \"Clear\" checkpoints as a separate line in the security process at 46 major airports. Members enrolled through the private biometric system get to save time by skipping the step where TSA agents check ID cards and boarding pass.What's made the company successful with over14 million enrollmentsis the several partnerships with credit card companies and airlines which have worked as effective marketing translating into impressive growth. For 2022, YOU is on track to reach a revenue of $433 million, up 70% year over year, benefiting alongside the recovery in air travel. Still, what I like about the stock is theearnings momentumwith EPS expected to accelerate through 2023.Shares of YOU have been consolidating for much of 2022 following a selloff from its 2021 IPO. While shares are trading at a forward P/E of 95x, we believe that this premium is justified and exactly the type of high-growth stock poised to lead the market higher. A pending breakout in shares above $30.00 could kickstart a short squeeze considering nearly 51% of the float is reported short. I'm bullish and expect YOU to be trading higher over the next several months.Seeking Alpha4. Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR)Market Capitalization: $1.4BPercent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 36%FY 2024 Consensus Revenue Growth: 206%2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: (negative EPS)As one of the world's largest car rental companies, a challenge for Avis Budget Group in 2022 was the period of record-high gasoline prices that pressured demand by keeping drivers off the road. The company also dealt with shortages of vehicles amid global supply chain issues. Nevertheless, the stock has managed to post a positive return over the past year based on resilient travel and rental car demand, which has likely been frustrating for short sellers potentially betting on a much weaker operating environment.Fast forward, what we like about CAR is that many of those same headwinds from last year have now reversed including lower gas prices and normalizing vehicle prices which allows the company to efficiently manage its global fleet. Compared to rival Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ), CAR has a larger proportion of business outside the United States which is now benefiting from the weakening U.S. Dollar.We believe CAR is well-positioned to outperform what is a low base of expectations over the next few quarters opening the door for the stock to retarget levels from the 2022 highs around $300 as a price target.Seeking Alpha5. Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS)Market Capitalization: $2.2BPercent of Shares Float Outstanding Short: 25%FY 2024 Consensus Revenue Growth: 13%2023 Consensus Earnings Growth: 12% (FWD P/E 18x)Everyone will be familiar with the premium outerwear brand of Canada Goose with its expedition parkas and the iconic \"Arctic Program\" patch that has crossed over into a fashion statement.Getting past the inflationary cost pressures that hit margins deeply last year and pressured the stock, the message here is that the brand and company outlook is alive and well, in my opinion. The catalyst we see for shares over the next few quarters is an expected recovery from sales in Asia. Indeed, this is an angle we covered in a recent article explaining how the re-opening of China easing Covid restrictions is positive for Canada Goose as the country is strategically important for its growth outlook.GOOS is trading near the highest level since August while there's a good case to be made that the outlook has improved significantly in the period since. The stock is trading at 18x forward earnings while it's possible that consensus EPS estimates may be too conservative with an upside to the top line. My new $30.00 price target implies a forward P/E of 25x could be on the table with room for earnings to smash estimates. The call here is that shorts should be looking to close their short bets on the company as the outlook for sales and earnings accelerates.Seeking AlphaFinal ThoughtsWith a bullish outlook on stocks, heavily shorted names and losers from last year can evolve into 2023 winners. At the same time, I don't believe it will be a straight line higher and it's important to stay selective. The short-squeeze ideas above are centered around companies I believe are fundamentally strong, but there are still risks.The ongoing Q4 earnings season is prone to generate some volatility considering high-profile reports from mega-cap companies still incoming. On the downside, a scenario where economic conditions deteriorate into a deepening recession, defined by surging unemployment or a resurgence of inflationary trends, would also force a reassessment of the bullish case. At the same time, the bulls have been winning over the last few months and it's a trend we expect to continue.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616885116,"gmtCreate":1651674753438,"gmtModify":1651674753438,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>v起来","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>v起来","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$v起来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616885116","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":618428947,"gmtCreate":1651153758990,"gmtModify":1651153758990,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>被空头盯上了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>被空头盯上了","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$被空头盯上了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618428947","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":618530312,"gmtCreate":1651095076142,"gmtModify":1651095076142,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a>像这种前期大跌,积累了大量空单的,业绩只要有一丁点利好,注定会爆拉的","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a>像这种前期大跌,积累了大量空单的,业绩只要有一丁点利好,注定会爆拉的","text":"$Meta Platforms(FB)$像这种前期大跌,积累了大量空单的,业绩只要有一丁点利好,注定会爆拉的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618530312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613957126,"gmtCreate":1649677846980,"gmtModify":1649677846980,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>上涨吃不到,下跌还是能吃到的,多涨点,好做空","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>上涨吃不到,下跌还是能吃到的,多涨点,好做空","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$上涨吃不到,下跌还是能吃到的,多涨点,好做空","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613957126","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":637874958,"gmtCreate":1648026050025,"gmtModify":1648026050025,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"利润不是自己的,投资利润,营收利润双双不及预期","listText":"利润不是自己的,投资利润,营收利润双双不及预期","text":"利润不是自己的,投资利润,营收利润双双不及预期","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637874958","repostId":"1128595093","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128595093","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648024376,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128595093?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-23 16:32","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"腾讯:Q4营收1,441.9亿元,同比增长8%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128595093","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月23日,腾讯公布2021年第四季度及全年业绩,财报显示:第四季度营收1,441.9亿元人民币,预估1,453.1亿元人民币。- 期内本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币949.58亿元,同比增长60%。腾讯控股:2021年本土市场游戏收入增长6%至人民币1,288亿元腾讯控股财报显示,增值服务业务截至2021年12月31日止年度的收入同比增长10%至人民币2,916亿元。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>腾讯第四季度营收1,441.9亿元,同比增长8%,预估1,453.1亿元;网络广告收入215亿元,预估234.6亿元;增值服务业务收入719亿元,预估727.3亿元;个人电脑客户端游戏收入106亿元,预估104亿元。</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>腾讯2021年全年净利润2,248.2亿元,同比增长41%,预估1,619.9亿元;网络广告收入886.7亿元,预估905.4亿元;增值服务业务收入2,915.7亿元,预估2,928.5亿元。</b></blockquote><p>3月23日,腾讯公布2021年第四季度及全年业绩,财报显示:第四季度营收1,441.9亿元人民币,预估1,453.1亿元人民币。</p><p>第四季度营业利润1,100亿元人民币,预估414.5亿元人民币。</p><p>腾讯微信及WECHAT的月活跃帐户12.7亿,预估12.7亿。</p><p>网络广告收入215亿元人民币,预估234.6亿元人民币。</p><p>增值服务业务收入719亿元人民币,预估727.3亿元人民币。</p><p>个人电脑客户端游戏收入106亿元人民币,预估104亿元人民币。</p><p>腾讯2021年全年净利润2,248.2亿元人民币,预估1,619.9亿元人民币。</p><p>腾讯2021年全年网络广告收入886.7亿元人民币,预估905.4亿元人民币。</p><p>腾讯2021年全年增值服务业务收入2,915.7亿元人民币,预估2,928.5亿元人民币。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a61fbbaa09b9b97c396c4d8fa5306bcb\" tg-width=\"762\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33cea648c4d2fa02cb25b0744ce1bd97\" tg-width=\"805\" tg-height=\"659\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>2021年第四季业绩摘要:</b></p><p>总收入:同比增长8%,按非国际财务报告准则的本公司权益持有人应占盈利:同比下降25%</p><p>总收入为人民币1,441.88亿元(226.15亿美元),较2020年第四季(“同比”)增长8%。</p><p>按非国际财务报告准则,撇除若干一次性及/或非现金项目的影响,以反映核心业务的表现:</p><p>- 经营盈利为人民币331.51亿元(52.00亿美元),同比下降13%;经营利润率由去年同期的28%下降到23%。</p><p>- 期内盈利为人民币257.58亿元(40.40亿美元),同比下降25%;净利润率由去年同期的26%下降到18%。</p><p>- 期内本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币248.80亿元(39.02亿美元),同比下降25%。</p><p>- 每股基本盈利为人民币2.609元,每股摊薄盈利为人民币2.547元。</p><p>按国际财务报告准则:</p><p>- 经营盈利为人民币1,097.23亿元(172.10亿美元),同比增长72%;经营利润率由去年同期的48%上升至76%。</p><p>- 期内盈利为人民币957.05亿元(150.11亿美元),同比增长61%;净利润率由去年同期的44%上升至66%。</p><p>- 期内本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币949.58亿元(148.94亿美元),同比增长60%。</p><p>- 每股基本盈利为人民币9.957元。每股摊薄盈利为人民币9.788元。</p><p>期末总现金为人民币2,812.86亿元(441.18亿美元)。</p><p><b>2021年度业绩摘要:</b></p><p>总收入:增长16%,按非国际财务报告准则的本公司权益持有人应占盈利:增长1%</p><p>总收入为人民币5,601.18亿元(878.52亿美元),较2020年度增长16%。</p><p>按非国际财务报告准则,撇除若干一次性及/或非现金项目的影响,以反映核心业务的表现:</p><p>- 经营盈利为人民币1,595.39亿元(250.23亿美元),增长7%;经营利润率由去年的31%下降至28%。</p><p>- 年度盈利为人民币1,279.19亿元(200.64亿美元),增长1%;净利润率由去年的26%下降至23%。</p><p>- 年度本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币1,237.88亿元(194.16亿美元),增长1%。</p><p>- 每股基本盈利为人民币12.992元,每股摊薄盈利为人民币12.698元。</p><p>按国际财务报告准则:</p><p>- 经营盈利为人民币2,716.20亿元(426.02亿美元),增长47%;经营利润率由去年的38%上升至48%。</p><p>- 年度盈利为人民币2,278.10亿元(357.31亿美元),增长42%;净利润率由去年的33%上升至41%。</p><p>- 年度本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币2,248.22亿元(352.62亿美元),增长41%。</p><p>- 每股基本盈利为人民币23.597元。每股摊薄盈利为人民币23.164元。</p><p></p><p><b>腾讯控股:2021年本土市场游戏收入增长6%至人民币1,288亿元</b></p><p>腾讯控股财报显示,增值服务业务截至2021年12月31日止年度的收入同比增长10%至人民币2,916亿元。本土市场游戏收入增长6%至人民币1,288亿元,乃受《王者荣耀》、《使命召唤手游》及《天涯明月刀手游》等游戏推动,部分被《DnF》及《和平精英》的收入减少所抵销。我们已对本土市场游戏采取了一系列完备的未成年人保护措施,而此直接地(未成年人消费减少)及间接地(研发资源专注於新措施的实行)影响收入增长。国际市场游戏收入增长31%至人民币455亿元,《PUBGMobile》、《Valorant》、《荒野乱斗》及《部落冲突》等游戏表现强劲。在视频号直播服务、视频付费会员服务以及自二零二零年四月合并虎牙带来的收入贡献的推动下,社交网络收入增长8%至人民币1,173亿元。</p><p><b>预期未成年人保护措施的影响将于2022年下半年全面消化</b></p><p>2021年第四季度,未成年人游戏总时长同比减少88%,占本土市场游戏总时长的0.9%;未成年人总流水同比减少73%,占本土市场游戏总流水的1.5%。</p><p><b>腾讯:处置京东集团股份收益782亿元</b></p><p>腾讯控股:我们于截至二零二一年十二月三十一日止年度录得其他收益净额人民币1,495亿元,主要是非国际财务报告准则调整项目,如视同处置及处置若干投资公司而产生的收益净额(包括视同处置京东集团股份收益人民币782亿元),以及因若干投资公司估值增加而产生的公允价值净收益,部分被对若干投资公司因财务前景调整以及彼等所处的业务环境变动而作出的减值拨备所抵销。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>腾讯:Q4营收1,441.9亿元,同比增长8%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n腾讯:Q4营收1,441.9亿元,同比增长8%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-23 16:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>腾讯第四季度营收1,441.9亿元,同比增长8%,预估1,453.1亿元;网络广告收入215亿元,预估234.6亿元;增值服务业务收入719亿元,预估727.3亿元;个人电脑客户端游戏收入106亿元,预估104亿元。</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>腾讯2021年全年净利润2,248.2亿元,同比增长41%,预估1,619.9亿元;网络广告收入886.7亿元,预估905.4亿元;增值服务业务收入2,915.7亿元,预估2,928.5亿元。</b></blockquote><p>3月23日,腾讯公布2021年第四季度及全年业绩,财报显示:第四季度营收1,441.9亿元人民币,预估1,453.1亿元人民币。</p><p>第四季度营业利润1,100亿元人民币,预估414.5亿元人民币。</p><p>腾讯微信及WECHAT的月活跃帐户12.7亿,预估12.7亿。</p><p>网络广告收入215亿元人民币,预估234.6亿元人民币。</p><p>增值服务业务收入719亿元人民币,预估727.3亿元人民币。</p><p>个人电脑客户端游戏收入106亿元人民币,预估104亿元人民币。</p><p>腾讯2021年全年净利润2,248.2亿元人民币,预估1,619.9亿元人民币。</p><p>腾讯2021年全年网络广告收入886.7亿元人民币,预估905.4亿元人民币。</p><p>腾讯2021年全年增值服务业务收入2,915.7亿元人民币,预估2,928.5亿元人民币。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a61fbbaa09b9b97c396c4d8fa5306bcb\" tg-width=\"762\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33cea648c4d2fa02cb25b0744ce1bd97\" tg-width=\"805\" tg-height=\"659\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>2021年第四季业绩摘要:</b></p><p>总收入:同比增长8%,按非国际财务报告准则的本公司权益持有人应占盈利:同比下降25%</p><p>总收入为人民币1,441.88亿元(226.15亿美元),较2020年第四季(“同比”)增长8%。</p><p>按非国际财务报告准则,撇除若干一次性及/或非现金项目的影响,以反映核心业务的表现:</p><p>- 经营盈利为人民币331.51亿元(52.00亿美元),同比下降13%;经营利润率由去年同期的28%下降到23%。</p><p>- 期内盈利为人民币257.58亿元(40.40亿美元),同比下降25%;净利润率由去年同期的26%下降到18%。</p><p>- 期内本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币248.80亿元(39.02亿美元),同比下降25%。</p><p>- 每股基本盈利为人民币2.609元,每股摊薄盈利为人民币2.547元。</p><p>按国际财务报告准则:</p><p>- 经营盈利为人民币1,097.23亿元(172.10亿美元),同比增长72%;经营利润率由去年同期的48%上升至76%。</p><p>- 期内盈利为人民币957.05亿元(150.11亿美元),同比增长61%;净利润率由去年同期的44%上升至66%。</p><p>- 期内本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币949.58亿元(148.94亿美元),同比增长60%。</p><p>- 每股基本盈利为人民币9.957元。每股摊薄盈利为人民币9.788元。</p><p>期末总现金为人民币2,812.86亿元(441.18亿美元)。</p><p><b>2021年度业绩摘要:</b></p><p>总收入:增长16%,按非国际财务报告准则的本公司权益持有人应占盈利:增长1%</p><p>总收入为人民币5,601.18亿元(878.52亿美元),较2020年度增长16%。</p><p>按非国际财务报告准则,撇除若干一次性及/或非现金项目的影响,以反映核心业务的表现:</p><p>- 经营盈利为人民币1,595.39亿元(250.23亿美元),增长7%;经营利润率由去年的31%下降至28%。</p><p>- 年度盈利为人民币1,279.19亿元(200.64亿美元),增长1%;净利润率由去年的26%下降至23%。</p><p>- 年度本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币1,237.88亿元(194.16亿美元),增长1%。</p><p>- 每股基本盈利为人民币12.992元,每股摊薄盈利为人民币12.698元。</p><p>按国际财务报告准则:</p><p>- 经营盈利为人民币2,716.20亿元(426.02亿美元),增长47%;经营利润率由去年的38%上升至48%。</p><p>- 年度盈利为人民币2,278.10亿元(357.31亿美元),增长42%;净利润率由去年的33%上升至41%。</p><p>- 年度本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币2,248.22亿元(352.62亿美元),增长41%。</p><p>- 每股基本盈利为人民币23.597元。每股摊薄盈利为人民币23.164元。</p><p></p><p><b>腾讯控股:2021年本土市场游戏收入增长6%至人民币1,288亿元</b></p><p>腾讯控股财报显示,增值服务业务截至2021年12月31日止年度的收入同比增长10%至人民币2,916亿元。本土市场游戏收入增长6%至人民币1,288亿元,乃受《王者荣耀》、《使命召唤手游》及《天涯明月刀手游》等游戏推动,部分被《DnF》及《和平精英》的收入减少所抵销。我们已对本土市场游戏采取了一系列完备的未成年人保护措施,而此直接地(未成年人消费减少)及间接地(研发资源专注於新措施的实行)影响收入增长。国际市场游戏收入增长31%至人民币455亿元,《PUBGMobile》、《Valorant》、《荒野乱斗》及《部落冲突》等游戏表现强劲。在视频号直播服务、视频付费会员服务以及自二零二零年四月合并虎牙带来的收入贡献的推动下,社交网络收入增长8%至人民币1,173亿元。</p><p><b>预期未成年人保护措施的影响将于2022年下半年全面消化</b></p><p>2021年第四季度,未成年人游戏总时长同比减少88%,占本土市场游戏总时长的0.9%;未成年人总流水同比减少73%,占本土市场游戏总流水的1.5%。</p><p><b>腾讯:处置京东集团股份收益782亿元</b></p><p>腾讯控股:我们于截至二零二一年十二月三十一日止年度录得其他收益净额人民币1,495亿元,主要是非国际财务报告准则调整项目,如视同处置及处置若干投资公司而产生的收益净额(包括视同处置京东集团股份收益人民币782亿元),以及因若干投资公司估值增加而产生的公允价值净收益,部分被对若干投资公司因财务前景调整以及彼等所处的业务环境变动而作出的减值拨备所抵销。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7799eeb7043b8caaf3d109c3b13109e","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128595093","content_text":"腾讯第四季度营收1,441.9亿元,同比增长8%,预估1,453.1亿元;网络广告收入215亿元,预估234.6亿元;增值服务业务收入719亿元,预估727.3亿元;个人电脑客户端游戏收入106亿元,预估104亿元。腾讯2021年全年净利润2,248.2亿元,同比增长41%,预估1,619.9亿元;网络广告收入886.7亿元,预估905.4亿元;增值服务业务收入2,915.7亿元,预估2,928.5亿元。3月23日,腾讯公布2021年第四季度及全年业绩,财报显示:第四季度营收1,441.9亿元人民币,预估1,453.1亿元人民币。第四季度营业利润1,100亿元人民币,预估414.5亿元人民币。腾讯微信及WECHAT的月活跃帐户12.7亿,预估12.7亿。网络广告收入215亿元人民币,预估234.6亿元人民币。增值服务业务收入719亿元人民币,预估727.3亿元人民币。个人电脑客户端游戏收入106亿元人民币,预估104亿元人民币。腾讯2021年全年净利润2,248.2亿元人民币,预估1,619.9亿元人民币。腾讯2021年全年网络广告收入886.7亿元人民币,预估905.4亿元人民币。腾讯2021年全年增值服务业务收入2,915.7亿元人民币,预估2,928.5亿元人民币。2021年第四季业绩摘要:总收入:同比增长8%,按非国际财务报告准则的本公司权益持有人应占盈利:同比下降25%总收入为人民币1,441.88亿元(226.15亿美元),较2020年第四季(“同比”)增长8%。按非国际财务报告准则,撇除若干一次性及/或非现金项目的影响,以反映核心业务的表现:- 经营盈利为人民币331.51亿元(52.00亿美元),同比下降13%;经营利润率由去年同期的28%下降到23%。- 期内盈利为人民币257.58亿元(40.40亿美元),同比下降25%;净利润率由去年同期的26%下降到18%。- 期内本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币248.80亿元(39.02亿美元),同比下降25%。- 每股基本盈利为人民币2.609元,每股摊薄盈利为人民币2.547元。按国际财务报告准则:- 经营盈利为人民币1,097.23亿元(172.10亿美元),同比增长72%;经营利润率由去年同期的48%上升至76%。- 期内盈利为人民币957.05亿元(150.11亿美元),同比增长61%;净利润率由去年同期的44%上升至66%。- 期内本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币949.58亿元(148.94亿美元),同比增长60%。- 每股基本盈利为人民币9.957元。每股摊薄盈利为人民币9.788元。期末总现金为人民币2,812.86亿元(441.18亿美元)。2021年度业绩摘要:总收入:增长16%,按非国际财务报告准则的本公司权益持有人应占盈利:增长1%总收入为人民币5,601.18亿元(878.52亿美元),较2020年度增长16%。按非国际财务报告准则,撇除若干一次性及/或非现金项目的影响,以反映核心业务的表现:- 经营盈利为人民币1,595.39亿元(250.23亿美元),增长7%;经营利润率由去年的31%下降至28%。- 年度盈利为人民币1,279.19亿元(200.64亿美元),增长1%;净利润率由去年的26%下降至23%。- 年度本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币1,237.88亿元(194.16亿美元),增长1%。- 每股基本盈利为人民币12.992元,每股摊薄盈利为人民币12.698元。按国际财务报告准则:- 经营盈利为人民币2,716.20亿元(426.02亿美元),增长47%;经营利润率由去年的38%上升至48%。- 年度盈利为人民币2,278.10亿元(357.31亿美元),增长42%;净利润率由去年的33%上升至41%。- 年度本公司权益持有人应占盈利为人民币2,248.22亿元(352.62亿美元),增长41%。- 每股基本盈利为人民币23.597元。每股摊薄盈利为人民币23.164元。腾讯控股:2021年本土市场游戏收入增长6%至人民币1,288亿元腾讯控股财报显示,增值服务业务截至2021年12月31日止年度的收入同比增长10%至人民币2,916亿元。本土市场游戏收入增长6%至人民币1,288亿元,乃受《王者荣耀》、《使命召唤手游》及《天涯明月刀手游》等游戏推动,部分被《DnF》及《和平精英》的收入减少所抵销。我们已对本土市场游戏采取了一系列完备的未成年人保护措施,而此直接地(未成年人消费减少)及间接地(研发资源专注於新措施的实行)影响收入增长。国际市场游戏收入增长31%至人民币455亿元,《PUBGMobile》、《Valorant》、《荒野乱斗》及《部落冲突》等游戏表现强劲。在视频号直播服务、视频付费会员服务以及自二零二零年四月合并虎牙带来的收入贡献的推动下,社交网络收入增长8%至人民币1,173亿元。预期未成年人保护措施的影响将于2022年下半年全面消化2021年第四季度,未成年人游戏总时长同比减少88%,占本土市场游戏总时长的0.9%;未成年人总流水同比减少73%,占本土市场游戏总流水的1.5%。腾讯:处置京东集团股份收益782亿元腾讯控股:我们于截至二零二一年十二月三十一日止年度录得其他收益净额人民币1,495亿元,主要是非国际财务报告准则调整项目,如视同处置及处置若干投资公司而产生的收益净额(包括视同处置京东集团股份收益人民币782亿元),以及因若干投资公司估值增加而产生的公允价值净收益,部分被对若干投资公司因财务前景调整以及彼等所处的业务环境变动而作出的减值拨备所抵销。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":637875864,"gmtCreate":1648025974206,"gmtModify":1648025974206,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>不要抄底","text":"$腾讯控股(00700)$不要抄底","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634904181","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3088,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635198825,"gmtCreate":1646880006874,"gmtModify":1646880006874,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>掐指一算,今晚要么大跌要么大涨","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>掐指一算,今晚要么大跌要么大涨","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 掐指一算,今晚要么大跌要么大涨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635198825","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635390048,"gmtCreate":1646823435645,"gmtModify":1646823435645,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2204(CLmain)$ </a>石油每一次下跌都是机会,今年必上150","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2204(CLmain)$ </a>石油每一次下跌都是机会,今年必上150","text":"$WTI原油主连 2204(CLmain)$ 石油每一次下跌都是机会,今年必上150","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635390048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635972183,"gmtCreate":1646817803093,"gmtModify":1646817803093,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>国际上没牌可打了,今晚大反弹","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>国际上没牌可打了,今晚大反弹","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 国际上没牌可打了,今晚大反弹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635972183","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635951776,"gmtCreate":1646808955488,"gmtModify":1646808955488,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>能不能干脆点,要跌赶紧跌,要涨赶紧涨","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>能不能干脆点,要跌赶紧跌,要涨赶紧涨","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 能不能干脆点,要跌赶紧跌,要涨赶紧涨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635951776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635074195,"gmtCreate":1646764994405,"gmtModify":1646765365380,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>牛逼,现在走W路线了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>牛逼,现在走W路线了","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$牛逼,现在走W路线了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635074195","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635098554,"gmtCreate":1646732224673,"gmtModify":1646733577610,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>乌克兰总统表示可以谈乌东独立问题,所以涨上去了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>乌克兰总统表示可以谈乌东独立问题,所以涨上去了","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 乌克兰总统表示可以谈乌东独立问题,所以涨上去了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635098554","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":632701369,"gmtCreate":1646686547276,"gmtModify":1646686547276,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472738349257198","idStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>最后一支大型科技股跌破MA120了,今年熊市无疑了,可以有反弹,但不会有反转了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>最后一支大型科技股跌破MA120了,今年熊市无疑了,可以有反弹,但不会有反转了","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$最后一支大型科技股跌破MA120了,今年熊市无疑了,可以有反弹,但不会有反转了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632701369","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":215893899341992,"gmtCreate":1693738198279,"gmtModify":1693739902747,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3472738349257198","authorIdStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"title":"30刀挑战300万刀第1周","htmlText":"来了,第一周:先上总结:本<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">$贝壳(BEKE)$ </a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>三个标的全看对,但是全没拿住,账户盈余222,收益率 640%操作标的:拼多多财报前夜买入当周92末日call操作理由:公开渠道消息,Temu非常猛,国内平时也觉得周边各种层级的人用拼多多都更多了结果: 财报很好,自己还在安利别人买买买,但是因为末日call的原因,没拿住多久操作标的:贝壳财报前夜买入当周17末日call操作理由:国家房地产救市,北上深放开、存量房贷下降都将在这一两周宣布结果: 财报不好盘前大跌,看了一下盘前挂了一个很低的价格就忘了,结果当天救市政策全出,开盘反而大涨操作标的:特斯拉新Model 3宣布前一晚买入当周247.5末日put和次周270 call操作理由:新3如果好,特斯拉有望突破盘整到达技术面的下一目标270-280之间,call 可以有3倍左右收益,如果不好,技术面也到压力位了,很容易跌到支撑点240左右结果:开盘第一时间把call卖了,put 没拿住,开盘一会儿就卖了第一周还行,至少活下来了","listText":"来了,第一周:先上总结:本<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">$贝壳(BEKE)$ </a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>三个标的全看对,但是全没拿住,账户盈余222,收益率 640%操作标的:拼多多财报前夜买入当周92末日call操作理由:公开渠道消息,Temu非常猛,国内平时也觉得周边各种层级的人用拼多多都更多了结果: 财报很好,自己还在安利别人买买买,但是因为末日call的原因,没拿住多久操作标的:贝壳财报前夜买入当周17末日call操作理由:国家房地产救市,北上深放开、存量房贷下降都将在这一两周宣布结果: 财报不好盘前大跌,看了一下盘前挂了一个很低的价格就忘了,结果当天救市政策全出,开盘反而大涨操作标的:特斯拉新Model 3宣布前一晚买入当周247.5末日put和次周270 call操作理由:新3如果好,特斯拉有望突破盘整到达技术面的下一目标270-280之间,call 可以有3倍左右收益,如果不好,技术面也到压力位了,很容易跌到支撑点240左右结果:开盘第一时间把call卖了,put 没拿住,开盘一会儿就卖了第一周还行,至少活下来了","text":"来了,第一周:先上总结:本$拼多多(PDD)$ 、$贝壳(BEKE)$ 、$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 三个标的全看对,但是全没拿住,账户盈余222,收益率 640%操作标的:拼多多财报前夜买入当周92末日call操作理由:公开渠道消息,Temu非常猛,国内平时也觉得周边各种层级的人用拼多多都更多了结果: 财报很好,自己还在安利别人买买买,但是因为末日call的原因,没拿住多久操作标的:贝壳财报前夜买入当周17末日call操作理由:国家房地产救市,北上深放开、存量房贷下降都将在这一两周宣布结果: 财报不好盘前大跌,看了一下盘前挂了一个很低的价格就忘了,结果当天救市政策全出,开盘反而大涨操作标的:特斯拉新Model 3宣布前一晚买入当周247.5末日put和次周270 call操作理由:新3如果好,特斯拉有望突破盘整到达技术面的下一目标270-280之间,call 可以有3倍左右收益,如果不好,技术面也到压力位了,很容易跌到支撑点240左右结果:开盘第一时间把call卖了,put 没拿住,开盘一会儿就卖了第一周还行,至少活下来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/215893899341992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554542575382015","authorId":"3554542575382015","name":"湖心渺渺长空低","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c97b068b07799b8b81c0196ec43dc59","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554542575382015","authorIdStr":"3554542575382015"},"content":"大神求带路","text":"大神求带路","html":"大神求带路"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":217865614704864,"gmtCreate":1694224484975,"gmtModify":1694234218604,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3472738349257198","authorIdStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"title":"30刀挑战300万刀第2周","htmlText":"余额157,周收益率-30% 本周只操作了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$</a> 和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$富途控股(FUTU)$</a> ,AI虽然如期跌了,但跌得不够,反而亏了 做短期期权,核心还是以小博大,频繁参与肯定会亏的,最好的方式还是在技术面的支撑阻力位结合消息面操作,比如本周的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 下周苹果发布会、CPI和四巫日,波动将会变大,鉴于石油反弹,主观看这次CPI高于预期,至少周三前看跌 C3.AI 财报前买入0908@38C和0915@27P 操作理由:伪AI股,做空又多,财报容易大涨大跌 结果:财报比预期好一丢丢,call归零,put没有及时平也亏了一点,其实25这个位置是MA200强支撑也是上涨的支撑点之一,量化是会在这些技术关键位置操作的。之后继续看跌,不过时间成本高了,周五开盘已止损 futu 0915@27P 操作理由:汇率停不下来,下方技术面支撑比较明显 结果:下跌中,如果我们不干预汇率,暂时看下周先到53-55位置 餐后甜点(主账户) roku因为裁员消息大涨10%+,开盘果断全仓sell call 0908@98,盈利99.99%走人","listText":"余额157,周收益率-30% 本周只操作了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$</a> 和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$富途控股(FUTU)$</a> ,AI虽然如期跌了,但跌得不够,反而亏了 做短期期权,核心还是以小博大,频繁参与肯定会亏的,最好的方式还是在技术面的支撑阻力位结合消息面操作,比如本周的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 下周苹果发布会、CPI和四巫日,波动将会变大,鉴于石油反弹,主观看这次CPI高于预期,至少周三前看跌 C3.AI 财报前买入0908@38C和0915@27P 操作理由:伪AI股,做空又多,财报容易大涨大跌 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0908@98,盈利99.99%走人","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":56,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/217865614704864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3503176530513854","authorId":"3503176530513854","name":"主神级交易员鄧文","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2ca16674f05ce7610dac8b312ef4f5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3503176530513854","authorIdStr":"3503176530513854"},"content":"30刀挑战300万刀?🐮🍺啊,我想来私去,30刀一300万刀的机会只有一个:佬鲍在放水出田以为水够的时候、出现了误判,造成决策者意志VS市场意志的差距扩大,能出现这种机会,并抓住了,再走第二步,","text":"30刀挑战300万刀?🐮🍺啊,我想来私去,30刀一300万刀的机会只有一个:佬鲍在放水出田以为水够的时候、出现了误判,造成决策者意志VS市场意志的差距扩大,能出现这种机会,并抓住了,再走第二步,","html":"30刀挑战300万刀?🐮🍺啊,我想来私去,30刀一300万刀的机会只有一个:佬鲍在放水出田以为水够的时候、出现了误判,造成决策者意志VS市场意志的差距扩大,能出现这种机会,并抓住了,再走第二步,"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":220902590586984,"gmtCreate":1694952553018,"gmtModify":1694952845372,"author":{"id":"3472738349257198","authorId":"3472738349257198","name":"外卖封神路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094bc2953ab4e8b362ed2b2f478f07a2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3472738349257198","authorIdStr":"3472738349257198"},"themes":[],"title":"30刀挑战300万刀第三周","htmlText":"没活过三集,挑战失败。上周开的富途put没平,上周末央行一个控制汇率中概就止住了连跌。末日期权变数太大,周周开,一定归零,再优化一下策略,下次继续。 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