$联合大陆航空(UAL)$  对比别的航司，涨得也太多了。全球油价高，世界更加孤立主义，俄乌战争洲际航线影响。虽然中美可能也会和中加一样增加航班，但也不至于那么夸张。看空

相关数据显示，今年感恩节期间的出行人数预计再创新高，对此我觉得美股市场特别是航空板块和相关消费类股票，可能会迎来一些机会。 1. 航空公司收益可期 首先，感恩节期间美国航空公司载客量大涨几乎是板上钉钉的事情。像 $美国航空(AAL)$ $达美航空(DAL)$ $联合大陆航空(UAL)$ 这些老牌航司，可能在短期内迎来收入激增。这无疑是对航空股的一剂“强心针”，尤其是疫情后的市场复苏期，强劲的需求数据会增强投资者的信心。 2. 油价影响不可忽视 不过大家也别忘了，油价可是一把“双刃剑”。如果油价平稳甚至回落，航司的盈利能力自然会上升，股价也可能有更好的表现。但如果油价反弹，恐怕会抵消一部分营收增长的利好。 3. 酒店和消费行业的跟随效应 除了航空公司，旅游热潮也会带动酒店和消费行业的增长。比如 $万豪酒店(MAR)$ $希尔顿酒店(HLT)$ 这些酒店集团，以及在线旅游平台股，都可能受益于这次出行高峰。感恩节不仅是旅行，也是消费的高峰期。 旅游和消费的强劲需求还是给我们提供了不少观察市场走势的信号。你们认为这是否会对整体美股产生更广泛的影响？

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: continue to add into my shorts to improve average holding cost for this airline stock. It's back to pre-covid valuation on better business friendly administration. I'm still not convince that will give headwind to the traditional capital intensive and low margin business as airlines.

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: add additional shorts in UAL as it continue to match higher. Momentum is bullish so reversal might not be at play yet. Continue to add to improve short average cost.

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: continue selling new shares to accumulate my shorts as it continue to make new highs In recent years. UAL margins and forecast improved so the market is loving it.

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: sold additional shares on UAL. As of now, I am approaching the level of sufficiently shorting this counter. Might still be able to add more of it turns into my favour. Earning already out and UAL already increased their forecast. So the good news are factored in, I'm waiting for the switch in narrative for signs of topping.

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: additional shorts shares for dollar cost average into my short positions on UAL. Showing extraordinary resilience and bullish sentiments on the backs of good earnings, good forecast and share buy backs. Valuation wise will be up to individual and I think this is overbought.

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: another add to the shorts. Seeing this continue to move higher on bullish market day. Stock prices had already doubled in the past quarter and well into overbought regions. Transaction volume are very high post results on 16th Oct so the bulls are fully in charge.

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: Add short positions to UAL at $68/share at the start of market. As of writing, it continue to have its bullish march and touches $70 before reacting to it for now. UAL reported better result for Q3, announced share buy backs and also top end for Q4 forecast, all of which points to bullishness. Airline business are cutthroat, while financials could improve, the stock market price gains far outweighs and further Q4 top line for now.

我平仓了$UAL 20241018 71.0 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: continue to add on to new short positions as the counter is making all new time high. Dollar cost average into my shorts and it’s around $60 so I’m about 7% in the red. Earnings after market today 15th Oct so we’ll see which way it plays out.

航空公司向来不好投资，不仅受公司业绩表现的影响，但凡有点宏观事件，它都经不起考验。巴菲特在航空公司上的战绩都很差。而随着 $道琼斯(.DJI)$ 创下新高，航空公司股价表现也新高，但从上周的财报表现来看，其实并没有那么强势的理由。单位票价下跌，单位成本上升。意味着票价下浮，但成本压力增大，对整体利润率不利。 $达美航空(DAL)$ ：每可用座位英里收入（PRASM）0.2058美元，低于去年同期为0.2115美元，而每可用座位英里成本（CASM）为0.1875美元，略高于去年的0.1844美元。 $美国航空(AAL)$ ：PRASM同比下降3.5%，CASM同比上升1.85%除了上述问题外，资产负债率依然是三大航中最差的。 $联合大陆航空(UAL)$ ：PRASM同比下降2.4%，CASM同比上升1.68%什么在支持它新高？机票价格同比上升。9月CPI数据显示的是上升1.6%，虽然跟当月核心通胀同比上涨3.3%来比仍然相对较低。根据美国运输统计局的数据，环比来看，9月份机票价格在8月份上涨3.9%后上涨了3.2%。在过去五个月中，有四个月机票价格出现上涨。对经济软着陆的信心，因此对Q4假日需求将强劲，感恩节和圣诞节之间的短时间间隔被视为对价格有支撑作用.UAL的回购：公司宣布在第三季度回购了价值5亿美元的股票。航空公司这种现金流这么重要的公司还能回购，给市场的信心增强不少。空头平仓。财报后几家航空公司都跌了不少，这部分短期盈利的空头可能会在新高后平仓。但是这些都不能

我开仓了$UAL 20241018 71.0 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: sold additional UAL as it makes double top of its most recent high. I think it might continue to go high but I’ll continue to average in until my full position is reached. Looking into this trade, I believe there airline business are difficult business with upside limited and downside could be significant when there is bad financial news or otherwise.

Overview Global markets saw mixed performance on October 16, 2024, with US stocks recovering from prior losses, driven by strong corporate earnings, while European and Asian markets experienced pressure from disappointing results in key sectors and caution around central bank decisions. US Market: Earnings Fuel Recovery  The US stock market rebounded, buoyed by strong earnings reports from major companies like Morgan Stanley $Morgan Stanley(MS)$  and United Airlines$United Continental(UAL)$  . The Dow Jones $DJIA(.DJI)$  gained 0.7% (+337.28 pts), closing

$联合大陆航空(UAL)$  撑不死你

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: added some additional shorts in UAL as price continue to move up. This is the 2nd batch of selling and improved my average holding on the counter. Looking for a reversal in a poorer FOMC market but the results were overwhelmingly positive. So will have to wait for other news catalyst to sell.

I opened $United Continental(UAL)$  ,UAL: opened a new short position on UAL on breakout of its most recent top made in May. Accumulate starter positions with the shorts and will DCA my way in to full position eventually.

$联合大陆航空(UAL)$  $NVDA 20240913 118.0 PUT$ $UAL 20250117 42.0 PUT$ 昨晚做了两次T0，一个正股一个末日期权，好久没这么玩了。顺便买了50手的联航远期PUT，感觉应该要阶段到顶了，希望能盈利3倍以上吧$英伟达(NVDA)$