Thanks_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

Delfort
2021-12-30

Thanks

This indicator flashed warnings in 2000 and 2007 -- and it's buzzing now

They don't ring a bell at the top, the expression goes, but here's an indicator that topped in 2000

This indicator flashed warnings in 2000 and 2007 -- and it's buzzing now

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

推荐
最新

暂无评论

热议股票

关于我们·老虎社区守则·老虎社区账号管理规范·老虎社区服务协议·老虎社区隐私政策

公司名称：北京至简风宜信息技术有限公司

违法和不良信息投诉：010-5681-3562（工作时间9:30-18:30）

邮箱：service@laohu8.com

营业执照：91110105MA01A4U55R

ICP备：京ICP备18016422号

网安备：京公网安备11010502036490

关注我们

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":692138047,"tweetId":"692138047","gmtCreate":1640871134249,"gmtModify":1640871508974,"author":{"id":3551375367105184,"authorId":3551375367105184,"authorIdStr":"3551375367105184","name":"Delfort","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff9b618d1943ace275e2ebca8e4b8130","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":19,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Thanks</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Thanks</p></body></html>","text":"Thanks","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692138047","repostId":2195949376,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2195949376","pubTimestamp":1640867524,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2195949376?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-30 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This indicator flashed warnings in 2000 and 2007 -- and it's buzzing now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2195949376","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"They don't ring a bell at the top, the expression goes, but here's an indicator that topped in 2000 ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>They don&#39;t ring a bell at the top, the expression goes, but here&#39;s an indicator that topped in 2000 and 2007.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88cd20d2460fa528b42d175f5da964a9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Falling margin debt growth has augured in stock-market declines in 2000 and 2007.</span></p><p>It has to do with margin debt. According to Ned Davis, senior investment strategist at Ned Davis Research, falling margin debt growth, from high levels, triggers a sell warning. When the 15-month rate of change in margin debt falls below 48%, the market was lower three to 18 months later, on average.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/723cd58ba2f1ce67795b98bcdb6038b3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Another warning sign is that price-to-earnings ratios on what the firm calls institutional grade stocks are stretched.</p><p>Yet Davis can&#39;t quite bring himself to fully cloak himself in pessimism. Short-term sentiment is still negative, he points out, which usually is a good sign for markets.</p><p>&#34;I would note however, that following any rally, a break of the December low is often a warning sign. So we will be watching the year-end rally closely,&#34; he says. The S&amp;P 500 touched its lowest level for the 12th month on Dec. 3, when it reached 4,495.12.</p><p><b>The chart</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1680edab410becbb2f581220c29faee8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"269\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>It&#39;s already out of date, but this chart showing all-time highs for the S&amp;P 500  was picked by Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist of LPL Financial, as the chart of the year. The benchmark U.S. index has registered 70 record highs, the highest number since 1995. &#34;At the end of the day, the fact that 2021 had the second-most all-time highs ever probably tells the story better than nearly any other,&#34; he said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This indicator flashed warnings in 2000 and 2007 -- and it's buzzing now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis indicator flashed warnings in 2000 and 2007 -- and it's buzzing now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-30 20:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-indicator-flashed-warnings-in-2000-and-2007-and-its-buzzing-now-11640865332?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>They don't ring a bell at the top, the expression goes, but here's an indicator that topped in 2000 and 2007.Falling margin debt growth has augured in stock-market declines in 2000 and 2007.It has to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-indicator-flashed-warnings-in-2000-and-2007-and-its-buzzing-now-11640865332?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4022":"陆运","JNJ":"强生","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4539":"次新股","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","BK4007":"制药","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-indicator-flashed-warnings-in-2000-and-2007-and-its-buzzing-now-11640865332?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2195949376","content_text":"They don't ring a bell at the top, the expression goes, but here's an indicator that topped in 2000 and 2007.Falling margin debt growth has augured in stock-market declines in 2000 and 2007.It has to do with margin debt. According to Ned Davis, senior investment strategist at Ned Davis Research, falling margin debt growth, from high levels, triggers a sell warning. When the 15-month rate of change in margin debt falls below 48%, the market was lower three to 18 months later, on average.Another warning sign is that price-to-earnings ratios on what the firm calls institutional grade stocks are stretched.Yet Davis can't quite bring himself to fully cloak himself in pessimism. Short-term sentiment is still negative, he points out, which usually is a good sign for markets.\"I would note however, that following any rally, a break of the December low is often a warning sign. So we will be watching the year-end rally closely,\" he says. The S&P 500 touched its lowest level for the 12th month on Dec. 3, when it reached 4,495.12.The chartIt's already out of date, but this chart showing all-time highs for the S&P 500  was picked by Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist of LPL Financial, as the chart of the year. The benchmark U.S. index has registered 70 record highs, the highest number since 1995. \"At the end of the day, the fact that 2021 had the second-most all-time highs ever probably tells the story better than nearly any other,\" he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":806,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}