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- mrqwerty8808mrqwerty8808
  ·2021-07-01
  Dont understand
  Warren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather
  The stock market is entering the danger zone, according to one often overlooked measure of equities
  Warren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather
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- mrqwerty8808mrqwerty8808
  ·2021-07-01
  Gg
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- mrqwerty8808mrqwerty8808
  ·2021-07-01
  Gg
  These Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them
  Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend s
  These Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them
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Created by noted Yale professor Robert Shiller, the ratio is seen as better than the traditional P/E ratio as it adjusts for inflation.</p>\n<p>Historically, a Shiller PE ratio sustained over 25 times has gone on to be a precursor for sizable pullbacks in the market as presented in the below chart by Sundial Capital Research.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae6fa873e7da808f6a362a964ddfa0c7\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Markets look long overdue for a corrections, hints the Shiller P/E Ratio.</span></p>\n<p>The team at Sundial is quick to point out that no stock market measure is fool proof or all predictive.</p>\n<p>\"That the stock market is 'overvalued' DOES NOT mean investors need to take drastic action immediately. Because the reality is that the stock market can (and, in fact, has been) overvalued for many years,\" explains Sundial.</p>\n<p>The group added, \"The current high reading for the Shiller P/E is NOT a 'call to action.' It is more of a 'call to pay close attention.' There are always 'things' to be concerned about that may upset the apple cart.\"</p>\n<p>In other words, don't sell all your stocks and hide the cash under your bed.</p>\n<p>That said if you aren't inclined to be a big believer in the Shiller P/E Ratio (count my colleagueMyles Udlandin that camp,watch videoabove), perhaps a closely watched measure by theWarren \"Oracle of Omaha\" Buffettis more in lockstep with your analytical views.</p>\n<p>The “Buffett Indicator” as it’s called in Wall Street circles — which takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is still seemingly hitting new record highs daily. In crunching the numbers, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 204.4% — up sharply from the 187.5% level (also a record) from when we last wrote about the measure in late February. All data comes to us fromGuruFocus, which extensively tracks the indicator.</p>\n<p>The existing figure remains well above the 159.2% seen just before the dot-com bubble.</p>\n<p>“The stock market is significantly overvalued according to the Buffett Indicator,” said the researchers at GuruFocus. “Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (the aforementioned 204.4%), it is likely to return -3.3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.”</p>\n<p>The Buffett Indicator rose to fame after a2001 Fortune Magazine articlewritten by Buffett and long-time Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis.</p>\n<p>“The ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know. Still, it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment,” explained Buffett in the article.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 14:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-favorite-stock-market-indicator-isnt-alone-in-hinting-stocks-are-due-for-a-breather-192030974.html><strong>finance.yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market is entering the danger zone, according to one often overlooked measure of equities valuation.\nAt its current level of 38 times, the Shiller P/E Ratio is nearing the peak (44 times) ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-favorite-stock-market-indicator-isnt-alone-in-hinting-stocks-are-due-for-a-breather-192030974.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-favorite-stock-market-indicator-isnt-alone-in-hinting-stocks-are-due-for-a-breather-192030974.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147390885","content_text":"The stock market is entering the danger zone, according to one often overlooked measure of equities valuation.\nAt its current level of 38 times, the Shiller P/E Ratio is nearing the peak (44 times) seen at the height just before the dot-com bust in 2000, write strategists atSunDial Capital Research. Created by noted Yale professor Robert Shiller, the ratio is seen as better than the traditional P/E ratio as it adjusts for inflation.\nHistorically, a Shiller PE ratio sustained over 25 times has gone on to be a precursor for sizable pullbacks in the market as presented in the below chart by Sundial Capital Research.\nMarkets look long overdue for a corrections, hints the Shiller P/E Ratio.\nThe team at Sundial is quick to point out that no stock market measure is fool proof or all predictive.\n\"That the stock market is 'overvalued' DOES NOT mean investors need to take drastic action immediately. Because the reality is that the stock market can (and, in fact, has been) overvalued for many years,\" explains Sundial.\nThe group added, \"The current high reading for the Shiller P/E is NOT a 'call to action.' It is more of a 'call to pay close attention.' There are always 'things' to be concerned about that may upset the apple cart.\"\nIn other words, don't sell all your stocks and hide the cash under your bed.\nThat said if you aren't inclined to be a big believer in the Shiller P/E Ratio (count my colleagueMyles Udlandin that camp,watch videoabove), perhaps a closely watched measure by theWarren \"Oracle of Omaha\" Buffettis more in lockstep with your analytical views.\nThe “Buffett Indicator” as it’s called in Wall Street circles — which takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is still seemingly hitting new record highs daily. In crunching the numbers, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 204.4% — up sharply from the 187.5% level (also a record) from when we last wrote about the measure in late February. All data comes to us fromGuruFocus, which extensively tracks the indicator.\nThe existing figure remains well above the 159.2% seen just before the dot-com bubble.\n“The stock market is significantly overvalued according to the Buffett Indicator,” said the researchers at GuruFocus. “Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (the aforementioned 204.4%), it is likely to return -3.3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.”\nThe Buffett Indicator rose to fame after a2001 Fortune Magazine articlewritten by Buffett and long-time Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis.\n“The ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know. Still, it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment,” explained Buffett in the article.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":189,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158349294,"gmtCreate":1625131814218,"gmtModify":1631892694210,"author":{"id":"3585719144864945","authorId":"3585719144864945","name":"mrqwerty8808","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585719144864945","idStr":"3585719144864945"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158349294","repostId":"2148984489","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":56,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158340790,"gmtCreate":1625131791810,"gmtModify":1631892694216,"author":{"id":"3585719144864945","authorId":"3585719144864945","name":"mrqwerty8808","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585719144864945","idStr":"3585719144864945"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158340790","repostId":"1150867568","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150867568","pubTimestamp":1625119599,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150867568?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150867568","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend s","content":"<p>Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend stocks with the longest track records for continuous raises. A member of the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;that has boosted its payout for at least 25 years qualifies as a Dividend Aristocrat. That's an exclusive club, with only about 65 members today.</p>\n<p>A smaller subset of that list is referred to as Dividend Kings, companies that have increased their annual payouts for at least 50 consecutive years, going back to 1971 or earlier.</p>\n<p><b>PepsiCo</b>(NASDAQ:PEP),<b>Target</b>(NYSE:TGT), and&nbsp;<b>McDonald's</b>(NYSE:MCD)are all highly likely to earn that status. But there are more reasons to like these top-dividend stocks.</p>\n<p><b>PepsiCo has been growing for half a century</b></p>\n<p>PepsiCo is exposed to dramatic swings in consumer tastes, which even in recent years have swung away from sugary beverages, diet colas, and on-the-go drinks. Yet the company is the picture of stable growth.</p>\n<p>Even though the pandemic disrupted shopper mobility and sent<b>Coca-Cola</b>'s volumes lower, Pepsi grew organic sales at roughly the sameimpressive pace in 2020as it did in 2019. Its snack and food portfolio, plus aggressive bets on energy drinks, kept it firmly in the category of growth stocks.</p>\n<p>Pepsi's just-announced dividend hike will usher it into the club of Dividend Kings in 2021. The good news is that Wall Street's worry about a short-term profit drop has pushed the stock's yield up to 2.8% as of July. That's nearly double the rate you'd get from owning a diversified total stock market index fund.</p>\n<p><b>Target is going on fifty</b></p>\n<p>Retailers are underrepresented on the top dividend lists because of the tough selling conditions in that industry.<b>TJX Companies</b>was on the cusp of qualifying for Dividend Aristocrat status but had to pause its payout during the COVID-19 crisis. An emergency like that isn't especially rare, even for blue-chip giants.<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;paused its hikesduring the Great Recessionin 2009.</p>\n<p>Target made it through both of those periods without missing a beat, and its reward is entry into the Dividend Kings club this year. Its 50th hike was a huge one, too, after profitability surged in 2020.</p>\n<p>Shareholders in September will receive $0.90 per share in cash, up 32% from the previous quarterly payment. Investors are just as excited about Target's potential for continuedmarket-thumping growthand earnings even after the pandemic threat fades.</p>\n<p><b>McDonald's turns forty</b></p>\n<p>McDonald's has been paying a dividend since 1976, or around the time that a burger cost just $0.37 cents. It has raised that payout in each of the last 40 years, including the latest 3% increase for 2021.</p>\n<p>The fast-food titan's heavily franchised, highly profitable selling model allowed it to maintain its income track record even after sales fell 10% and earnings shrank 20% last year. The business is likely to bemore profitable going forward, too, thanks to cost cuts and new efficiencies added to the system, including a slimmed down menu and a shift toward delivery orders.</p>\n<p>These assets suggest shareholders will see many more years of dividend increases ahead, and some that dwarf the latest 3% hike, as the industry leader continues to capitalize on its unique competitive strengths.</p>\n<p>Sure, McDonald's trails the other stocks on this list in terms of its payout streak. But the chain has demonstrated agility over the decades in adjusting to, driving, and capitalizing on, changing consumer tastes. That ability should serve shareholders well as they wait for their company to become aDividend Kingin the 2030s.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 14:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/30/these-top-dividend-stocks-have-140-years-of-payout/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend stocks with the longest track records for continuous raises. A member of the S&P 500 that has boosted...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/30/these-top-dividend-stocks-have-140-years-of-payout/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PEP":"百事可乐","MCD":"麦当劳","TGT":"塔吉特"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/30/these-top-dividend-stocks-have-140-years-of-payout/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150867568","content_text":"Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend stocks with the longest track records for continuous raises. A member of the S&P 500 that has boosted its payout for at least 25 years qualifies as a Dividend Aristocrat. That's an exclusive club, with only about 65 members today.\nA smaller subset of that list is referred to as Dividend Kings, companies that have increased their annual payouts for at least 50 consecutive years, going back to 1971 or earlier.\nPepsiCo(NASDAQ:PEP),Target(NYSE:TGT), and McDonald's(NYSE:MCD)are all highly likely to earn that status. But there are more reasons to like these top-dividend stocks.\nPepsiCo has been growing for half a century\nPepsiCo is exposed to dramatic swings in consumer tastes, which even in recent years have swung away from sugary beverages, diet colas, and on-the-go drinks. Yet the company is the picture of stable growth.\nEven though the pandemic disrupted shopper mobility and sentCoca-Cola's volumes lower, Pepsi grew organic sales at roughly the sameimpressive pace in 2020as it did in 2019. Its snack and food portfolio, plus aggressive bets on energy drinks, kept it firmly in the category of growth stocks.\nPepsi's just-announced dividend hike will usher it into the club of Dividend Kings in 2021. The good news is that Wall Street's worry about a short-term profit drop has pushed the stock's yield up to 2.8% as of July. That's nearly double the rate you'd get from owning a diversified total stock market index fund.\nTarget is going on fifty\nRetailers are underrepresented on the top dividend lists because of the tough selling conditions in that industry.TJX Companieswas on the cusp of qualifying for Dividend Aristocrat status but had to pause its payout during the COVID-19 crisis. An emergency like that isn't especially rare, even for blue-chip giants.Home Depot paused its hikesduring the Great Recessionin 2009.\nTarget made it through both of those periods without missing a beat, and its reward is entry into the Dividend Kings club this year. Its 50th hike was a huge one, too, after profitability surged in 2020.\nShareholders in September will receive $0.90 per share in cash, up 32% from the previous quarterly payment. Investors are just as excited about Target's potential for continuedmarket-thumping growthand earnings even after the pandemic threat fades.\nMcDonald's turns forty\nMcDonald's has been paying a dividend since 1976, or around the time that a burger cost just $0.37 cents. It has raised that payout in each of the last 40 years, including the latest 3% increase for 2021.\nThe fast-food titan's heavily franchised, highly profitable selling model allowed it to maintain its income track record even after sales fell 10% and earnings shrank 20% last year. The business is likely to bemore profitable going forward, too, thanks to cost cuts and new efficiencies added to the system, including a slimmed down menu and a shift toward delivery orders.\nThese assets suggest shareholders will see many more years of dividend increases ahead, and some that dwarf the latest 3% hike, as the industry leader continues to capitalize on its unique competitive strengths.\nSure, McDonald's trails the other stocks on this list in terms of its payout streak. But the chain has demonstrated agility over the decades in adjusting to, driving, and capitalizing on, changing consumer tastes. That ability should serve shareholders well as they wait for their company to become aDividend Kingin the 2030s.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}