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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-08-27
  会上25+ 忍忍吧
  @何時才底：
  $Yalla Group(YALA)$虎友們有什麼看法⋯⋯
  $Yalla Group(YALA)$虎友們有什麼看法⋯⋯
  400 评论
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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-08-25
  $Yalla Group(YALA)$https://www.tahawultech.com/news/yalla-group-sees-compounded-growth-with-huawei-mobile-services/
  891 评论
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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-08-25
  $Yalla Group(YALA)$https://www.tahawultech.com/news/yalla-group-sees-compounded-growth-with-huawei-mobile-services/Go go
  454 评论
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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-08-10
  $Yalla Group(YALA)$Lets go 25$!!
  205 评论
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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-07-29
  $UBS Group AG(UBS)$Ok
  98 评论
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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-07-29
  Like n replyFor comment
  7 Stocks To Watch For July 29, 2021
  Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are: Wall Street expects Mastercard Inc (NYSE: MA) to report quarterly earnings at $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion before the opening bell. Mastercard shares fell 0.2% to $382.88 in after-hours trading.
  7 Stocks To Watch For July 29, 2021
  52 1
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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-07-29
  Like n comment for reply
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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-07-23
  Ok ok
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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-07-01
  Reply for comment n like
  There’s No Limit to Facebook’s Growth Potential
  Unless, of course, the government wins out Facebook(NASDAQ:FB) is worth almost $1 trillion. Yet many
  There’s No Limit to Facebook’s Growth Potential
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- letsgo8letsgo8
  ·2021-07-01
  Reply for comment n like
  Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%
  Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share .The company's improving top line and bottom line performance suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.Amazon, a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?I initiate
  Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%
  116 1
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comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808325188","repostId":"2155990524","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2155990524","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1627549354,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2155990524?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 17:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Stocks To Watch For July 29, 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155990524","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\tWall Street expects  Mastercard Inc (NYSE: MA) to report quarterly earnings at $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion before the opening bell. Mastercard shares fell 0.2% to $382.88 in after-hours trading.\n","content":"<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wall Street expects <b>Mastercard Inc</b> (NYSE:MA) to report quarterly earnings at $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion before the opening bell. Mastercard shares rose 0.2% to $384.23 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b>Ford Motor Company</b> (NYSE:F) reported a surprise profit for the second quarter, while sales also exceeded market estimates. The company also raised its profit guidance for the year. Ford shares gained 3.8% to $14.38 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect <b>Merck &amp; Co., Inc.</b> (NYSE:MRK) to post quarterly earnings at $1.44 per share on revenue of $11.54 billion before the opening bell. Merck shares rose 0.2% to $78.46 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc</b> (NASDAQ:FB) reported better-than-expected earnings for its second quarter. The company saw its daily active users grow 7% year-over-year to 1.91 billion in the quarter. Monthly active users increased 7% to 2.9 billion. Facebook said its third- and fourth-quarter revenue growth rates could decelerate “significantly” due to going against tough comp periods from the prior year. Facebook shares, however, fell 3.6% to $359.98 in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li>Analysts are expecting <b>AstraZeneca plc</b> (NASDAQ:AZN) to have earned $0.43 per share on revenue of $7.36 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. AstraZeneca shares rose 1.8% to $57.84 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b>Paypal Holdings Inc</b> (NASDAQ:PYPL) posted upbeat earnings for its second quarter, but issued weak profit forecast for the current quarter. Paypal shares dropped 5% to $286.80 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect <b>Comcast Corporation</b> (NASDAQ:CMCSA) to report quarterly earnings at $0.66 per share on revenue of $27.16 billion before the opening bell. Comcast shares fell 0.8% to $57.52 in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Stocks To Watch For July 29, 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Stocks To Watch For July 29, 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-29 17:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wall Street expects <b>Mastercard Inc</b> (NYSE:MA) to report quarterly earnings at $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion before the opening bell. Mastercard shares rose 0.2% to $384.23 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b>Ford Motor Company</b> (NYSE:F) reported a surprise profit for the second quarter, while sales also exceeded market estimates. The company also raised its profit guidance for the year. Ford shares gained 3.8% to $14.38 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect <b>Merck &amp; Co., Inc.</b> (NYSE:MRK) to post quarterly earnings at $1.44 per share on revenue of $11.54 billion before the opening bell. Merck shares rose 0.2% to $78.46 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc</b> (NASDAQ:FB) reported better-than-expected earnings for its second quarter. The company saw its daily active users grow 7% year-over-year to 1.91 billion in the quarter. Monthly active users increased 7% to 2.9 billion. Facebook said its third- and fourth-quarter revenue growth rates could decelerate “significantly” due to going against tough comp periods from the prior year. Facebook shares, however, fell 3.6% to $359.98 in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li>Analysts are expecting <b>AstraZeneca plc</b> (NASDAQ:AZN) to have earned $0.43 per share on revenue of $7.36 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. AstraZeneca shares rose 1.8% to $57.84 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b>Paypal Holdings Inc</b> (NASDAQ:PYPL) posted upbeat earnings for its second quarter, but issued weak profit forecast for the current quarter. Paypal shares dropped 5% to $286.80 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect <b>Comcast Corporation</b> (NASDAQ:CMCSA) to report quarterly earnings at $0.66 per share on revenue of $27.16 billion before the opening bell. Comcast shares fell 0.8% to $57.52 in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AZN":"阿斯利康","MA":"万事达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155990524","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects Mastercard Inc (NYSE:MA) to report quarterly earnings at $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion before the opening bell. Mastercard shares rose 0.2% to $384.23 in premarket trading.\nFord Motor Company (NYSE:F) reported a surprise profit for the second quarter, while sales also exceeded market estimates. The company also raised its profit guidance for the year. Ford shares gained 3.8% to $14.38 in premarket trading.\nAnalysts expect Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) to post quarterly earnings at $1.44 per share on revenue of $11.54 billion before the opening bell. Merck shares rose 0.2% to $78.46 in premarket trading.\nFacebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) reported better-than-expected earnings for its second quarter. The company saw its daily active users grow 7% year-over-year to 1.91 billion in the quarter. Monthly active users increased 7% to 2.9 billion. Facebook said its third- and fourth-quarter revenue growth rates could decelerate “significantly” due to going against tough comp periods from the prior year. Facebook shares, however, fell 3.6% to $359.98 in premarket trading.\n\n\nAnalysts are expecting AstraZeneca plc (NASDAQ:AZN) to have earned $0.43 per share on revenue of $7.36 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. AstraZeneca shares rose 1.8% to $57.84 in premarket trading.\nPaypal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL) posted upbeat earnings for its second quarter, but issued weak profit forecast for the current quarter. Paypal shares dropped 5% to $286.80 in premarket trading.\nAnalysts expect Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA) to report quarterly earnings at $0.66 per share on revenue of $27.16 billion before the opening bell. Comcast shares fell 0.8% to $57.52 in premarket trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808325931,"gmtCreate":1627559353823,"gmtModify":1631887621608,"author":{"id":"3575378189904678","authorId":"3575378189904678","name":"letsgo8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfa8cd71bc61e78a08bb731667341ac4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575378189904678","idStr":"3575378189904678"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment for reply","listText":"Like n comment for reply","text":"Like n comment for reply","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9b1ce65aade25a9aa559e40333125c0","width":"1125","height":"3463"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808325931","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":70,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174078083,"gmtCreate":1627054746542,"gmtModify":1631887621617,"author":{"id":"3575378189904678","authorId":"3575378189904678","name":"letsgo8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfa8cd71bc61e78a08bb731667341ac4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575378189904678","idStr":"3575378189904678"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok ok","listText":"Ok ok","text":"Ok ok","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5eabe5e9887e2c3c7ea16cfe2b7c9ac0","width":"1125","height":"3213"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174078083","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158130472,"gmtCreate":1625134742796,"gmtModify":1631887621633,"author":{"id":"3575378189904678","authorId":"3575378189904678","name":"letsgo8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfa8cd71bc61e78a08bb731667341ac4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575378189904678","idStr":"3575378189904678"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reply for comment n like","listText":"Reply for comment n like","text":"Reply for comment n like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158130472","repostId":"1117904279","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117904279","pubTimestamp":1625132824,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117904279?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 17:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"There’s No Limit to Facebook’s Growth Potential","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117904279","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Unless, of course, the government wins out\nFacebook(NASDAQ:FB) is worth almost $1 trillion. Yet many","content":"<p>Unless, of course, the government wins out</p>\n<p><b>Facebook</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>FB</u></b>) is worth almost $1 trillion. Yet many people — even investors in FB stock —still don’t know&nbsp;what exactly it is.</p>\n<p>They think it’s a service or a collection of services. Facebook is the world’s free communication system. Facebook does everything&nbsp;<b>AT&amp;T</b>(NYSE:<b><u>T</u></b>) once promised to do, and it does it all for free.</p>\n<p>What’s more, Facebook has done more to open the world and bring new people to the global economy than any company ever. Rather than celebrate this success, intellectuals seem intent on destroying it. Otherwise the company would be worth even more.</p>\n<p><b>The March to a Trillion</b></p>\n<p>I wrote in January that&nbsp;it was time to buy Facebook stock. Since then, FB stock is up 35.5%, quadrupling the gain of the average&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq</b>&nbsp;stock.</p>\n<p>At $352 per share (down from its intraday high of $355) it’s worth $987 billion. That’s about 10 times this year’s expected $94 billion in revenue but just 30 times earnings. By way of comparison,<b>Microsoft</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>MSFT</u></b>), worth $2.04 trillion, sells for 37 times earnings.</p>\n<p>Facebook is worth the price because it brings about one-third of its revenue to the net income line. It continues to grow at 18% per year, at scale. At the end of March, it had nearly $65 billion of cash and short-term investments in the bank. Long-term debt was $11 billion. Free cash flow during the most recent quarter came to almost $8 billion. This was true even after putting&nbsp;nearly $4.3 billion&nbsp;into capital investment.</p>\n<p><b>The Secret Sauce</b></p>\n<p>It’s capital investment that’s Facebook’s secret sauce. No company is doing as many different things to bring the world together&nbsp;as Facebook.</p>\n<p>Facebook now has&nbsp;15 data centers: 10 in the U.S., four in Europe and one in Singapore. It has&nbsp;its own network of fiber cables, which it sells&nbsp;as a “middle mile”&nbsp;to other companies. It’s building a fiber cable&nbsp;around Africa. Furthermore, it recently announced two new cables&nbsp;between North America and Singapore.</p>\n<p>This was made possible by Facebook’s free services and ad network, which supplied the necessary cash flow. But it was also made possible by CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s decision to commit to the cloud a decade ago, and by Facebook engineering. Facebook sponsors the&nbsp;Open Compute Project&nbsp;to drive down cloud costs and the&nbsp;Telecom Infra Project&nbsp;meant to cut networking costs.</p>\n<p>These are open-source projects, open to all. Other companies can do exactly what Facebook is doing. AT&amp;T can copy Facebook. They don’t have to reinvent anything.</p>\n<p><b>The Opponents</b></p>\n<p>For decades, AT&amp;T promised Americans universal broadband. It took billions of dollars in government subsidy based on this promise. It also broke itself with debts that, in March, were over $150 billion.</p>\n<p>Facebook has never taken a government subsidy. It has enough cash to clear all its debt. Yet it has done everything AT&amp;T once promised to do, and on a global basis.</p>\n<p>Guess which company American policymakers now favor? AT&amp;T. This, despite the fact that AT&amp;T is&nbsp;lobbying against proposals&nbsp;to subsidize fiber to homes. Pro-AT&amp;T writers insist it’s Facebook that’s subsidized, not AT&amp;T. This is because Section 230 of the Communications Act&nbsp;holds it harmless&nbsp;from speech made on its network, just as it did on AT&amp;T phone calls for decades.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line on FB Stock</b></p>\n<p>The only threat to Facebook’s growth is government.</p>\n<p>Lobbyists were shocked by a recent anti-trust decision that&nbsp;went Facebook’s way. They now want&nbsp;a digital regulatory agency&nbsp;to rein it in.</p>\n<p>Facebook’s purchase of a startup called Kustomer, which makes&nbsp;customer service tools, is still being&nbsp;held up.</p>\n<p>Facebook isn’t software so much as it is hardware and networking. Its software lets it offer communication to the world, free, all paid for with cash. It’s capital spending, not some nefarious plot, that made Facebook a trillionaire.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>There’s No Limit to Facebook’s Growth Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThere’s No Limit to Facebook’s Growth Potential\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 17:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/06/fb-stock-theres-no-limit-to-facebooks-growth-potential/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Unless, of course, the government wins out\nFacebook(NASDAQ:FB) is worth almost $1 trillion. Yet many people — even investors in FB stock —still don’t know what exactly it is.\nThey think it’s a service...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/fb-stock-theres-no-limit-to-facebooks-growth-potential/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/fb-stock-theres-no-limit-to-facebooks-growth-potential/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117904279","content_text":"Unless, of course, the government wins out\nFacebook(NASDAQ:FB) is worth almost $1 trillion. Yet many people — even investors in FB stock —still don’t know what exactly it is.\nThey think it’s a service or a collection of services. Facebook is the world’s free communication system. Facebook does everything AT&T(NYSE:T) once promised to do, and it does it all for free.\nWhat’s more, Facebook has done more to open the world and bring new people to the global economy than any company ever. Rather than celebrate this success, intellectuals seem intent on destroying it. Otherwise the company would be worth even more.\nThe March to a Trillion\nI wrote in January that it was time to buy Facebook stock. Since then, FB stock is up 35.5%, quadrupling the gain of the average Nasdaq stock.\nAt $352 per share (down from its intraday high of $355) it’s worth $987 billion. That’s about 10 times this year’s expected $94 billion in revenue but just 30 times earnings. By way of comparison,Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT), worth $2.04 trillion, sells for 37 times earnings.\nFacebook is worth the price because it brings about one-third of its revenue to the net income line. It continues to grow at 18% per year, at scale. At the end of March, it had nearly $65 billion of cash and short-term investments in the bank. Long-term debt was $11 billion. Free cash flow during the most recent quarter came to almost $8 billion. This was true even after putting nearly $4.3 billion into capital investment.\nThe Secret Sauce\nIt’s capital investment that’s Facebook’s secret sauce. No company is doing as many different things to bring the world together as Facebook.\nFacebook now has 15 data centers: 10 in the U.S., four in Europe and one in Singapore. It has its own network of fiber cables, which it sells as a “middle mile” to other companies. It’s building a fiber cable around Africa. Furthermore, it recently announced two new cables between North America and Singapore.\nThis was made possible by Facebook’s free services and ad network, which supplied the necessary cash flow. But it was also made possible by CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s decision to commit to the cloud a decade ago, and by Facebook engineering. Facebook sponsors the Open Compute Project to drive down cloud costs and the Telecom Infra Project meant to cut networking costs.\nThese are open-source projects, open to all. Other companies can do exactly what Facebook is doing. AT&T can copy Facebook. They don’t have to reinvent anything.\nThe Opponents\nFor decades, AT&T promised Americans universal broadband. It took billions of dollars in government subsidy based on this promise. It also broke itself with debts that, in March, were over $150 billion.\nFacebook has never taken a government subsidy. It has enough cash to clear all its debt. Yet it has done everything AT&T once promised to do, and on a global basis.\nGuess which company American policymakers now favor? AT&T. This, despite the fact that AT&T is lobbying against proposals to subsidize fiber to homes. Pro-AT&T writers insist it’s Facebook that’s subsidized, not AT&T. This is because Section 230 of the Communications Act holds it harmless from speech made on its network, just as it did on AT&T phone calls for decades.\nThe Bottom Line on FB Stock\nThe only threat to Facebook’s growth is government.\nLobbyists were shocked by a recent anti-trust decision that went Facebook’s way. They now want a digital regulatory agency to rein it in.\nFacebook’s purchase of a startup called Kustomer, which makes customer service tools, is still being held up.\nFacebook isn’t software so much as it is hardware and networking. Its software lets it offer communication to the world, free, all paid for with cash. It’s capital spending, not some nefarious plot, that made Facebook a trillionaire.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158130275,"gmtCreate":1625134727497,"gmtModify":1631887621644,"author":{"id":"3575378189904678","authorId":"3575378189904678","name":"letsgo8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfa8cd71bc61e78a08bb731667341ac4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575378189904678","idStr":"3575378189904678"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reply for comment n like","listText":"Reply for comment n like","text":"Reply for comment n like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158130275","repostId":"1113357649","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113357649","pubTimestamp":1625133776,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113357649?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 18:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113357649","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share .The company's improving top line and bottom line performance  suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.Amazon, a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization  of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?I initiate","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.</li>\n <li>I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share).</li>\n <li>The company's improving top line and bottom line performance (which is expected to continue) suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51ce52baed5afae04a384059297465d3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Daria Nipot/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Company Overview</b></p>\n<p>Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization (as of 06/29/2021) of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?</p>\n<p>Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters. For example, when Amazon announced the acquisition of Whole Foods, Walmart(NYSE:WMT), Kroger(NYSE:KR), Target(NYSE:TGT)took a&nbsp;nice hit&nbsp;in market value. I believe that the company will be able to keep delivering strong top line growth and continued growth in margins, fueled not only by the company's current business expansion but also by entering into new markets and new businesses.</p>\n<p><b>Company Analysis</b></p>\n<p>I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share). The FV is an algorithm-adjusted fair value (the algorithm takes into account fundamental and technical factors, such as DCF FV, momentum, etc.) and it implies that the stock is undervalued by 3.9%.</p>\n<p>To compute the DCF FV, I used the trailing twelve-month numbers and I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. As&nbsp;with Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), I don't believe that Amazon's R&amp;D is an operating expense, and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb427d462596db1e1cb1ffc99acc90e4\" tg-width=\"571\" tg-height=\"240\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>Capitalizing on R&amp;D expenses, we have now a more clear picture of the company (i.e. the restated operating margin is now 9.03% TTM vs the non-restated operating margin is 6.63% TTM).</p>\n<p><b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p>\n<p>Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e215b21ca0b3be5a5e0e7b62e36fb5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>In my DCF model, I assume a revenue growth for the Y1 of 21.2%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% and I assume a terminal year growth rate of 1.48% (or the current yield on 10Y Treasury). The decision of using the current and not expected yield is due to the willingness to remain market neutral (perhaps you can use&nbsp;Goldman Sachs expectations&nbsp;of 1.9%). The current assumptions lead to revenues of $1,253,844 million in Y10.</p>\n<p>Along the road, I also assume an improving outlook for operating margins with the target operating margin of 13.2% (vs current restated operating margin of 9.03%). If the company will be able to meet this target, it will result in operating margins in Y10 of $163,097 million.</p>\n<p>Finally, in doing my estimates, I used a WACC of 5.75% and a sales to capital ratio (or how much the company is going to reinvest to keep its business growing) of 2.95.</p>\n<p>By putting it together, I obtain a DCF value of $3328/share.</p>\n<p><b>Monte Carlo Simulation</b></p>\n<p>Rather than showing you only my point estimates, which may be right but also may be wrong, let's use probability distributions for inputs. Simulations allow us to assess the impact of continuous risk (e.g., changes in operating margins). In particular, I would like to focus on what I consider the main inputs of interest to get a bigger picture of the risk in the company. Those inputs are:</p>\n<p><i>1. Revenue Growth:</i></p>\n<p>In my DCF analysis, I assumed an expected CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% with lower rates going forward. This assumption lead to revenues in Y10 of $1,253,844 million. While it is a reasonable assumption, Amazon is full of surprises, and it may deliver a top line growth well above my expectations. In the latter, I see a possible scenario with a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 24%, resulting in Y10 revenues of $1,989,952 million. However, we all know that regulators represent a big risk for the company. According to&nbsp;WSJ sources, if the \"giant-tech bill\" will pass, the company may be forced to either split into two companies or spin off its private-label product businesses. This represents a big risk that may slow down Amazon's growth, which could translate into a growth rate of 6% (resulting in Y10 revenues of $764,723 million). To sum up, I will assume a uniform distribution with a maximum of 24% and a minimum of 6%. The results are displayed below (this simulation and the next one have been performed 10,000 times).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893dff753c8ca210759feb31b3966a5c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p><i>2. Operating Margin</i>:</p>\n<p>Currently, Amazon has a restated operating margin of 9.03% TTM (vs not restated EBIT margin of 6.83%). In my DCF, I assumed a target operating margin of 13.2%. While this represents my most likely scenario for the company, I cannot close my eyes to the fact that, even if the company is improving its margins, it is following a very slow climb. Below, I display the non-restated EBIT margin for the last 5 years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d66fcb05f4254b15de278f016121ffa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"><span>Source:SeekingAlpha.com</span></p>\n<p>However, as I stated at the beginning, Amazon is a disruptive company with the ability to do extraordinary things. For instance, AWS presents a current operating margin of 30% TTM and a revenue growth rate of 29.53% in 2020. A trend which is expected to continue, driven by improving outlook and with new partners joining the party. The last to join the party are Ferrari(NYSE:RACE)and Swisscom(OTCPK:SWZCF)who have chosen AWS as their&nbsp;preferred cloud partner.</p>\n<p>In 2020,according to Gartner, AWS generated revenue 2 times bigger than Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT). As stated by Gartner:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>The worldwide</i>&nbsp;\n <i>infrastructure as a service(IaaS) market grew 40.7% in 2020 to total $64.3 billion, up from $45.7 billion in 2019, according to Gartner, Inc. Amazon retained the No. 1 position in the IaaS market in 2020, followed by Microsoft, Alibaba, Google and Huawei... Amazon continued to lead the worldwide IaaS market with $26.2 billion of revenue in 2020 and 41% market share.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac00a17cbbd930ad6464a63f6d4f98eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>Source:Gartner.com</span></p>\n<p>Finally, to account for my concerns and beliefs, I will assume a triangular distribution with the following limits: the likeliest target operating margin of 13.2%, a maximum of 18.4%, and a minimum of 8% (close to the current company's EBIT margin). The results are displayed below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/054e2db392be500768de741516186013\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p><i>3. Cost of Capital:</i></p>\n<p>The last input of interest is the cost of capital. In doing my analysis, I estimated a cost of capital of 5.8% (with the current 10Y rate of 1.48 and an implied ERP of 4.54%). However, I may be wrong due to sector risk estimates or changes in the business mix (or both). To account for the possibility that I made some mistakes along the road, I will rely on a lognormal distribution with the most likely scenario of 5.8%. The results of the simulation are displayed below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7d51740fa35eb9aedbc58c4c49d96eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p>By putting all of this together, the simulations return the following results.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139c89300706eab1e37dd1c992286d31\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p>For completeness, I also display below the relative and cumulative frequency of the simulation.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af7a908e21b8678a775a3e1742161a7d\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"644\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p>By looking at the results, we can see that the 50th percentile or the median is equal to $3274, close to the expected DCF FV of $3328. While the algorithm-adjusted FV of $3576 is the 60th percentile in my simulations (note also the long right tail).</p>\n<p>Finally, simulation results give us an interesting insight into a potential exit point. I believe that an interesting take profit point may be within the 80th percentile, which implies a potential upside of 24.89%. Why within the 80th percentile? I believe that, after reaching the $2.0 trillion company status, we will see the last climb of euphoria before investors start to take profits.</p>\n<p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p>\n<p>Both the algorithm-adjusted fair value and the Monte Carlo simulation suggest and support the bullish rating. The results found suggest that the stock is currently undervalued and that the company has still more room to go. What may drive the price to go higher? Well, there are different factors that may drive it. One of those is for sure corporate news. For instance, the company may introduce new products or announce a stock split (For the latter, I think this is unlikely, at least not now). However, don't forget also the other side, the risks. There are many risks associated with being invested in the company, one of those is represented by antitrust and regulators.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 18:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437291-amazon-stock-amzn-undervalued-with-potential-upside-of-25-percent><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAmazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.\nI initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437291-amazon-stock-amzn-undervalued-with-potential-upside-of-25-percent\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437291-amazon-stock-amzn-undervalued-with-potential-upside-of-25-percent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113357649","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.\nI initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share).\nThe company's improving top line and bottom line performance (which is expected to continue) suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.\n\nDaria Nipot/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nCompany Overview\nAmazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization (as of 06/29/2021) of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?\nAmazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters. For example, when Amazon announced the acquisition of Whole Foods, Walmart(NYSE:WMT), Kroger(NYSE:KR), Target(NYSE:TGT)took a nice hit in market value. I believe that the company will be able to keep delivering strong top line growth and continued growth in margins, fueled not only by the company's current business expansion but also by entering into new markets and new businesses.\nCompany Analysis\nI initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share). The FV is an algorithm-adjusted fair value (the algorithm takes into account fundamental and technical factors, such as DCF FV, momentum, etc.) and it implies that the stock is undervalued by 3.9%.\nTo compute the DCF FV, I used the trailing twelve-month numbers and I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. As with Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), I don't believe that Amazon's R&D is an operating expense, and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nCapitalizing on R&D expenses, we have now a more clear picture of the company (i.e. the restated operating margin is now 9.03% TTM vs the non-restated operating margin is 6.63% TTM).\nDiscounted Cash Flow Model\nNow, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nIn my DCF model, I assume a revenue growth for the Y1 of 21.2%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% and I assume a terminal year growth rate of 1.48% (or the current yield on 10Y Treasury). The decision of using the current and not expected yield is due to the willingness to remain market neutral (perhaps you can use Goldman Sachs expectations of 1.9%). The current assumptions lead to revenues of $1,253,844 million in Y10.\nAlong the road, I also assume an improving outlook for operating margins with the target operating margin of 13.2% (vs current restated operating margin of 9.03%). If the company will be able to meet this target, it will result in operating margins in Y10 of $163,097 million.\nFinally, in doing my estimates, I used a WACC of 5.75% and a sales to capital ratio (or how much the company is going to reinvest to keep its business growing) of 2.95.\nBy putting it together, I obtain a DCF value of $3328/share.\nMonte Carlo Simulation\nRather than showing you only my point estimates, which may be right but also may be wrong, let's use probability distributions for inputs. Simulations allow us to assess the impact of continuous risk (e.g., changes in operating margins). In particular, I would like to focus on what I consider the main inputs of interest to get a bigger picture of the risk in the company. Those inputs are:\n1. Revenue Growth:\nIn my DCF analysis, I assumed an expected CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% with lower rates going forward. This assumption lead to revenues in Y10 of $1,253,844 million. While it is a reasonable assumption, Amazon is full of surprises, and it may deliver a top line growth well above my expectations. In the latter, I see a possible scenario with a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 24%, resulting in Y10 revenues of $1,989,952 million. However, we all know that regulators represent a big risk for the company. According to WSJ sources, if the \"giant-tech bill\" will pass, the company may be forced to either split into two companies or spin off its private-label product businesses. This represents a big risk that may slow down Amazon's growth, which could translate into a growth rate of 6% (resulting in Y10 revenues of $764,723 million). To sum up, I will assume a uniform distribution with a maximum of 24% and a minimum of 6%. The results are displayed below (this simulation and the next one have been performed 10,000 times).\nSource:Author's estimates\n2. Operating Margin:\nCurrently, Amazon has a restated operating margin of 9.03% TTM (vs not restated EBIT margin of 6.83%). In my DCF, I assumed a target operating margin of 13.2%. While this represents my most likely scenario for the company, I cannot close my eyes to the fact that, even if the company is improving its margins, it is following a very slow climb. Below, I display the non-restated EBIT margin for the last 5 years.\nSource:SeekingAlpha.com\nHowever, as I stated at the beginning, Amazon is a disruptive company with the ability to do extraordinary things. For instance, AWS presents a current operating margin of 30% TTM and a revenue growth rate of 29.53% in 2020. A trend which is expected to continue, driven by improving outlook and with new partners joining the party. The last to join the party are Ferrari(NYSE:RACE)and Swisscom(OTCPK:SWZCF)who have chosen AWS as their preferred cloud partner.\nIn 2020,according to Gartner, AWS generated revenue 2 times bigger than Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT). As stated by Gartner:\n\nThe worldwide \n infrastructure as a service(IaaS) market grew 40.7% in 2020 to total $64.3 billion, up from $45.7 billion in 2019, according to Gartner, Inc. Amazon retained the No. 1 position in the IaaS market in 2020, followed by Microsoft, Alibaba, Google and Huawei... Amazon continued to lead the worldwide IaaS market with $26.2 billion of revenue in 2020 and 41% market share.\n\nSource:Gartner.com\nFinally, to account for my concerns and beliefs, I will assume a triangular distribution with the following limits: the likeliest target operating margin of 13.2%, a maximum of 18.4%, and a minimum of 8% (close to the current company's EBIT margin). The results are displayed below.\nSource:Author's estimates\n3. Cost of Capital:\nThe last input of interest is the cost of capital. In doing my analysis, I estimated a cost of capital of 5.8% (with the current 10Y rate of 1.48 and an implied ERP of 4.54%). However, I may be wrong due to sector risk estimates or changes in the business mix (or both). To account for the possibility that I made some mistakes along the road, I will rely on a lognormal distribution with the most likely scenario of 5.8%. The results of the simulation are displayed below.\nSource:Author's estimates\nBy putting all of this together, the simulations return the following results.\nSource:Author's estimates\nFor completeness, I also display below the relative and cumulative frequency of the simulation.\nSource:Author's estimates\nBy looking at the results, we can see that the 50th percentile or the median is equal to $3274, close to the expected DCF FV of $3328. While the algorithm-adjusted FV of $3576 is the 60th percentile in my simulations (note also the long right tail).\nFinally, simulation results give us an interesting insight into a potential exit point. I believe that an interesting take profit point may be within the 80th percentile, which implies a potential upside of 24.89%. Why within the 80th percentile? I believe that, after reaching the $2.0 trillion company status, we will see the last climb of euphoria before investors start to take profits.\nFinal Thoughts\nBoth the algorithm-adjusted fair value and the Monte Carlo simulation suggest and support the bullish rating. The results found suggest that the stock is currently undervalued and that the company has still more room to go. What may drive the price to go higher? Well, there are different factors that may drive it. One of those is for sure corporate news. For instance, the company may introduce new products or announce a stock split (For the latter, I think this is unlikely, at least not now). However, don't forget also the other side, the risks. There are many risks associated with being invested in the company, one of those is represented by antitrust and regulators.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}