个人中心 - 老虎社区

XiushanWu

IP属地：上海

帖子 · 1帖子 · 1
关注 · 0关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0粉丝 · 0

- XiushanWuXiushanWu
  ·2022-01-06
  赶紧给我崩
  巴菲特指标达创纪录211%，再次拉响崩盘警告
  巴菲特青睐的市场指标本周攀升至211%的创纪录高位，再次为美国股市敲响了警钟，预示着崩盘可能即将到来。　　所谓“巴菲特指标”，是指美股总市值与美国GDP之比，被投资者和研究人士广泛用来衡量美股是否过热。　　巴菲特补充说，当该指标在互联网泡沫期间飙升至创纪录高点时，这应该是一个“非常强烈的警告信号”，预示着即将到来的崩盘。　　巴菲特指标并不是唯一预测美股即将发生崩盘的。
  巴菲特指标达创纪录211%，再次拉响崩盘警告
  694 评论
  3
  分享
  举报

热议股票

关于我们·老虎社区守则·老虎社区账号管理规范·老虎社区服务协议·老虎社区隐私政策

公司名称：北京至简风宜信息技术有限公司

违法和不良信息投诉：010-5681-3562（工作时间9:30-18:30）

邮箱：service@laohu8.com

老虎社区侵权投诉指引

中国互联网举报中心·北京互联网举报中心

网络谣言曝光台·扫黄打非举报中心

网络110报警服务

© 2018-2024 老虎社区版权所有

营业执照：91110105MA01A4U55R

ICP备：京ICP备18016422号

网安备：京公网安备11010502036490

qrcode

关注我们

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":3566983239710197,"uuid":"3566983239710197","gmtCreate":1603889219275,"gmtModify":1606272991809,"name":"XiushanWu","pinyin":"xiushanwu","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8f4a505294d0d5e980bfa2bfe3d554c","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":11,"tweetSize":1,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":1,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":4,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-2","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"资深虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.27","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.02.03","exceedPercentage":"80.36%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"80.53%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"上海","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":695605337,"gmtCreate":1641435216125,"gmtModify":1641435216125,"author":{"id":"3566983239710197","authorId":"3566983239710197","name":"XiushanWu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8f4a505294d0d5e980bfa2bfe3d554c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"赶紧给我崩","listText":"赶紧给我崩","text":"赶紧给我崩","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695605337","repostId":"2201256891","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2201256891","pubTimestamp":1641434475,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2201256891?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-06 10:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"巴菲特指标达创纪录211%，再次拉响崩盘警告","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2201256891","media":"市场资讯","summary":"巴菲特青睐的市场指标本周攀升至211%的创纪录高位，再次为美国股市敲响了警钟，预示着崩盘可能即将到来。　　所谓“巴菲特指标”，是指美股总市值与美国GDP之比，被投资者和研究人士广泛用来衡量美股是否过热。　　巴菲特补充说，当该指标在互联网泡沫期间飙升至创纪录高点时，这应该是一个“非常强烈的警告信号”，预示着即将到来的崩盘。　　巴菲特指标并不是唯一预测美股即将发生崩盘的。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>巴菲特青睐的市场指标本周攀升至211%的创纪录高位，再次为美国股市敲响了警钟，预示着崩盘可能即将到来。</p><p>所谓“巴菲特指标”，是指美股总市值与美国GDP之比，被投资者和研究人士广泛用来衡量美股是否过热。巴菲特曾将这一指标形容为“任何时刻衡量估值水平的最佳单一指标”。</p><p>威尔希尔5000总市场指数（Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index）周二触及48.99万亿美元的盘中新高，而美国去年第三季度GDP为23.20万亿美元，两者之比达到211%，远高于2020年第二季度的187%，，当时美国疫情正全面爆发，GDP下降了约16%。</p><p>2001年，巴菲特在《财富》（Fortune）杂志的一篇文章中称赞了以他的名字命名的指标，称其“可能是任何时刻衡量估值水平的最佳单一指标”。</p><p>巴菲特补充说，当该指标在互联网泡沫期间飙升至创纪录高点时，这应该是一个“非常强烈的警告信号”，预示着即将到来的崩盘。此外他还说，在这一指标接近200%时购买股票的投资者是在“玩火”。</p><p>在全球金融危机爆发前，该指标也曾大幅上升，使之成为预测经济衰退的有用工具。而在这两次崩盘前，该指标都没有超过150%。</p><p>不过，该指标远非完美。例如，它将上一季度的GDP与今天的股市价值进行比较。GDP也不包括海外收入，而美国企业的市值反映了其国内和国际业务的价值。</p><p>此外，自2020年初以来，新冠大流行扰乱了供应链，抑制了经济活动，压低了GDP。美国政府和美联储采取了前所未有的措施来刺激经济，支持受影响的个人和企业，在此过程中推高了资产价格。这些因素可能人为地推高了巴菲特指数的读数。</p><p>巴菲特指标并不是唯一预测美股即将发生崩盘的。电影《大空头》的原型人物迈克尔-伯里（Michael Burry）过去一年多次发出警告，称一场“所有崩盘之母”的大崩盘即将到来。传奇投资者、GMO联合创始人杰里米-格兰瑟姆（Jeremy Grantham）也对一个“史诗般的泡沫”敲响了警钟，并预计这个泡沫将以惊人的速度破裂。</p></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>巴菲特指标达创纪录211%，再次拉响崩盘警告</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n巴菲特指标达创纪录211%，再次拉响崩盘警告\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-06 10:01 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-01-06/doc-ikyamrmz3417330.shtml><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>巴菲特青睐的市场指标本周攀升至211%的创纪录高位，再次为美国股市敲响了警钟，预示着崩盘可能即将到来。所谓“巴菲特指标”，是指美股总市值与美国GDP之比，被投资者和研究人士广泛用来衡量美股是否过热。巴菲特曾将这一指标形容为“任何时刻衡量估值水平的最佳单一指标”。威尔希尔5000总市场指数（Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index）周二触及48.99万亿美元的盘中新高，而美国...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-01-06/doc-ikyamrmz3417330.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93332ed895aeaf09815c4627957afbe1","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-01-06/doc-ikyamrmz3417330.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2201256891","content_text":"巴菲特青睐的市场指标本周攀升至211%的创纪录高位，再次为美国股市敲响了警钟，预示着崩盘可能即将到来。所谓“巴菲特指标”，是指美股总市值与美国GDP之比，被投资者和研究人士广泛用来衡量美股是否过热。巴菲特曾将这一指标形容为“任何时刻衡量估值水平的最佳单一指标”。威尔希尔5000总市场指数（Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index）周二触及48.99万亿美元的盘中新高，而美国去年第三季度GDP为23.20万亿美元，两者之比达到211%，远高于2020年第二季度的187%，，当时美国疫情正全面爆发，GDP下降了约16%。2001年，巴菲特在《财富》（Fortune）杂志的一篇文章中称赞了以他的名字命名的指标，称其“可能是任何时刻衡量估值水平的最佳单一指标”。巴菲特补充说，当该指标在互联网泡沫期间飙升至创纪录高点时，这应该是一个“非常强烈的警告信号”，预示着即将到来的崩盘。此外他还说，在这一指标接近200%时购买股票的投资者是在“玩火”。在全球金融危机爆发前，该指标也曾大幅上升，使之成为预测经济衰退的有用工具。而在这两次崩盘前，该指标都没有超过150%。不过，该指标远非完美。例如，它将上一季度的GDP与今天的股市价值进行比较。GDP也不包括海外收入，而美国企业的市值反映了其国内和国际业务的价值。此外，自2020年初以来，新冠大流行扰乱了供应链，抑制了经济活动，压低了GDP。美国政府和美联储采取了前所未有的措施来刺激经济，支持受影响的个人和企业，在此过程中推高了资产价格。这些因素可能人为地推高了巴菲特指数的读数。巴菲特指标并不是唯一预测美股即将发生崩盘的。电影《大空头》的原型人物迈克尔-伯里（Michael Burry）过去一年多次发出警告，称一场“所有崩盘之母”的大崩盘即将到来。传奇投资者、GMO联合创始人杰里米-格兰瑟姆（Jeremy Grantham）也对一个“史诗般的泡沫”敲响了警钟，并预计这个泡沫将以惊人的速度破裂。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":694,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}